Rabbit Island surf break

Rabbit Island surfForecast / Nelson – Tasman Bay / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Friday 16 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Rabbit Island surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Rabbit Island sea temperature is
20.3° C
(Which is 3.2°C warmer than normal for this time of year)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit Island this week:

The surf forecast for Rabbit Island over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 22) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit Island in the next 12 days are 0.9m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jan 23) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Monday (Jan 19) at 4AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Thu 22nd Jan)2.5ft (0.7m) 15s
Best Surf 1AM (Fri 23rd Jan)3ft (0.9m) 14s
Most Powerful 1AM (Fri 23rd Jan)3ft (0.9m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit Island over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Fri night. Very mild (max 19°C on Sun afternoon, min 10°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 61mm), heaviest during Tue night. Warm (max 20°C on Mon afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thu
22
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.5
N
0.4
N
0.3
N
0.2
N
0.5
E
0.1
N
0.6
E
0.1
N
1.1
E
0.8
ESE
0.1
NE
0.8
E
0.6
E
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.1
N
0.2
N
0.4
NNE
0.2
N
0.3
NNE
Period(s) (?)7761241141144644141313138657
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)24157116212244272180444351329
Wind
(km/h)
5
S
5
SW
5
N
5
ESE
5
ESE
5
NNE
5
SE
0
E
15
E
5
S
5
SSE
10
NE
10
SSE
5
SSE
5
S
10
SSW
5
S
5
SSW
5
SSW
15
SSW
20
SW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
glassglassonglassglassglasscross-
off
glasscross-
on
cross-
off
glasscross-
on
cross-
off
glassoffoffoffglassoffoffcross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
9:32AM
3.51
9:36PM
3.35
10:17AM
3.67
10:23PM
3.50
10:55AM
3.81
11:05PM
3.65
11:31AM
3.93
11:45PM
3.76
12:07PM
4.03
12:25AM
3.82
12:42PM
4.10
1:05AM
3.84
1:18PM
4.12
Low Tide
/ height (m)
2:37AM
1.61
3:17PM
1.55
3:33AM
1.49
3:58PM
1.41
4:23AM
1.33
4:36PM
1.27
5:08AM
1.14
5:12PM
1.14
5:46AM
0.97
5:49PM
1.03
6:21AM
0.84
6:27PM
0.94
6:55AM
0.79
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thu
22
Sunrise-6:11--6:13--6:13--6:15--6:16--6:18--6:18-
Sunset--9:00--9:00--8:59--8:59--8:58--8:57--8:57
light rain
light rain
thunderstorm
heavy rain
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
light rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
rain showers
Rain (mm)
12213----------127191454275
Temp. °C161718151517141719131820131614131415171717
Feels °C (?)171818151516121515111517111513121416181615
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Rabbit Island Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rabbit Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Rabbit Island, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 73 km (45 miles) away

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