Rabbit Island Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.26° S 173.14° E

Rabbit Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 07 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rabbit Island sea temperature is
12.9°C
0.6° 

Rabbit Island surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rabbit Island surf forecast from 7 Sep 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 8 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 10s period, N swell with 29 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit Island this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit Island in the next 16 days are 0.4m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 13) at 3PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 3AM (Tue 8th Sep)1.5ft (0.4m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit Island over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – looking at Rabbit Island over the next 16 days, we’ve got a long, long dry spell. The forecast is pretty grim for most of the period, so don’t get your hopes up for much.

Right now, on Monday the 7th of September, we’ve got a tiny bit of swell pushing in, but it’s nothing to write home about. We’re looking at a weak 2 ft swell from the north with a short period of 8 seconds, and combined wave energy is a low 28. The wind is a cross-off from the south at 6 mph, so the surface is clean, but the waves are just too small and weak to bother with. The water temperature is 55°F with a 1°F anomaly, so it’s about average for the time of year.

Tuesday the 8th doesn’t get any better. Still a tiny 1 ft north swell, period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy is only 30. The wind goes glassy in the morning, which is beautiful, but there’s just no wave to surf. That trend continues right through the rest of the week.

From around Thursday the 10th, the swell completely dies – we’re looking at zeros right through to the 15th of September. That’s a solid gap of about 5 or 6 days with absolutely nothing. The wind is often offshore or glassy, so the ocean is flat and clean – good for a paddle, not for a wave.

We finally see a little pulse on Wednesday the 16th of September. A 4 ft swell from the north shows up, but the period is a weak 5 seconds, and energy is still only 75. The wind is light offshore from the southwest at 6 mph, so it’ll be clean, but the swell is short-period and lumpy. Honestly, this is still a poor outlook for proper surfing – it’s more of a bump on the surface than a real wave. With the wind and weak chop, this setup might actually be more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer.

After that, it’s back to nothing again. The last few days of the period, around the 21st and 22nd of September, we see a tiny 3 ft north-northwest swell with a period of 5 seconds and energy of 46 showing up. The wind is glassy, so it’s clean, but again, it’s just too small and weak to get excited about.

There’s no standout day here. Rabbit Island is inconsistent at the best of times, and this run is a long blank stretch. It’s one of those periods where you just have to wait for the forecasts to change. Hang tight.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Moderate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 11°C on Wed morning, min 6°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 2°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
Friday
11
Saturday
12
Sunday
13
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
N
8
0.3
N
9
0.3
N
8
0.4
N
9
0.4
N
9
0.3
NNW
8
0.2
N
8
0.1
N
20
0.1
N
18
0.1
N
7
0.1
N
7
0.2
N
5
0.4
NW
19
0.4
NW
18
0.3
NW
17
0.3
NW
16
0.4
NW
16
0.2
NNW
16
0.2
NNW
16
0.8
NW
6
0.1
NW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
28
14
10
25
24
0
5
8
6
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Wind (km/h)
10
S
5
SSW
5
SSE
0
ESE
5
NE
5
SSE
0
W
10
NNE
10
SW
5
SW
10
SW
5
S
5
SW
20
WSW
15
SW
10
SW
5
WNW
15
SW
20
SW
20
WSW
10
SSW
Wind State
cross-off
glassy
glassy
glassy
on
glassy
glassy
on
cross-off
glassy
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
High Tide
7:12PM3.34m
7:19AM3.38m
8:17PM3.67m
8:24AM3.62m
9:03PM3.96m
9:17AM3.86m
9:44PM4.16m
10:02AM4.05m
10:21PM4.27m
10:42AM4.16m
10:57PM4.28m
11:19AM4.19m
11:32PM4.22m
Low Tide
12:02PM1.52m
1:06AM1.29m
1:28PM1.32m
2:06AM1.00m
2:31PM1.06m
2:55AM0.74m
3:19PM0.82m
3:36AM0.56m
3:59PM0.65m
4:14AM0.47m
4:34PM0.57m
4:50AM0.49m
5:06PM0.59m
heavy rain
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:43
6:41
6:39
6:37
6:35
6:33
6:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:07
6:08
6:09
6:10
6:12
6:13
6:14
 mm
12
1
1
Temp °C
6
8
7
10
10
9
11
11
7
12
11
6
12
14
8
13
14
10
16
17
10
Feels °C
3
6
5
8
8
8
8
8
4
10
8
3
9
9
4
10
11
6
11
12
7
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rabbit Island Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rabbit Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Rabbit Island, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 73 km (45 miles) away

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