Rabbit Island Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.26° S 173.14° E

Rabbit Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 04 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rabbit Island sea temperature is
12.4°C
0.1° 

Rabbit Island surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rabbit Island surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, N swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period, N swell with 243 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 7s period with N swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit Island this week:

The surf forecast for Rabbit Island over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 7s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit Island in the next 16 days are 1.6m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 10) at 9AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 9PM (Sun 6th Sep)5ft (1.6m) 7s
Best Surf 9PM (Sun 6th Sep)5ft (1.6m) 7s
Most Powerful 9PM (Sun 6th Sep)5ft (1.6m) 7s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit Island over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I won't sugar-coat it – this is a tough run for Rabbit Island. For the first ten days of the forecast, it's basically a write-off. We've got a long stretch from the 4th of September right through to the 14th with next to nothing rideable. A bit of swell tries to show on the 6th – Sunday morning seeing 4ft from the NNW with a short 6-second period, and that picks up to 5ft in the arvo with combined energy of 131 – but the conditions are still tagged as poor. The water's sitting at 54°F which is about average for this time of year. It's frustrating because you'll see some clean, glassy mornings, like Saturday the 5th with a 3 mph SSW breeze and the 6th with dead calm winds, but there's just no solid wave to work with.

Then from the 7th, we get a few small pulses. Monday the 7th morning has a bit of 4ft at 8 seconds from the north, combined energy of 139, and glassy conditions with a 3 mph south wind. The report calls it "surfable waves but very ordinary" – and that's being generous. It's really only for the keen beginner on a longboard who just wants to get wet. The whole stretch from the 8th to the 14th is mostly flat with only tiny dribbles. On the 10th we see a 0.3ft swell with a ridiculously long 23-second period from the north, but that's barely a ripple.

So, after a long wait, the standout window finally shows up on the 18th of September. That Friday morning looks like the real deal. We're looking at a solid 8ft swell from the north at a solid 10-second period, with combined energy pumping at 1039 – that's serious, powerful groundswell. The wind is light from the SSW at 3 mph and offshore, so the surface should be clean. This is proper size though – over 8ft if you push it – so this one is for the experts only. The afternoon drops a bit to 7ft with 911 energy and the wind swings cross-off, so the morning is definitely the pick. After that, the 19th offers some smaller 3ft leftovers, but that Friday morning is the one to circle. It's a long-range call, so keep an eye on it, but if it comes together, Rabbit Island will have some serious, powerful lines.

Remember, this spot is inconsistent and more exposed to a NNW swell direction, which is exactly what we're getting on the 18th. Crowds are rare here, so you should have plenty of room. For the rest of the 16 days, it's a waiting game.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 35mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 7°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Mon morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Wed afternoon, min 7°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Friday
4
Saturday
5
Sunday
6
Monday
7
Tuesday
8
Wednesday
9
Thursday
10
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.7
NNW
8
1.1
N
9
0.6
N
7
0.4
NW
15
1.3
NW
6
0.9
NNW
6
1.1
NNW
6
1.4
NNW
6
1.4
N
7
1.1
N
8
0.8
N
8
0.7
N
8
0.6
N
8
0.6
N
9
0.5
N
8
0.4
N
8
0.2
NNW
14
0.1
N
7
2.1
NW
7
0.1
N
23
0.3
NW
20
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
0
0
0
0
0
45
71
131
199
138
71
65
0
0
35
21
0
1
0
10
0
Wind (km/h)
15
W
20
WSW
15
WSW
5
SSW
5
NW
5
SW
0
SSW
0
SE
5
NNE
5
S
10
SSW
5
SSW
5
SE
0
WSW
5
N
5
N
10
NNE
10
SW
5
SSW
5
WSW
5
SSE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
cross
glassy
glassy
glassy
glassy
glassy
off
glassy
glassy
glassy
glassy
glassy
on
cross-off
glassy
glassy
cross-off
High Tide
2:34PM3.52m
3:13AM3.42m
3:37PM3.28m
4:28AM3.25m
5:21PM3.15m
5:57AM3.23m
7:12PM3.34m
7:19AM3.38m
8:17PM3.67m
8:24AM3.62m
9:03PM3.96m
9:17AM3.86m
9:44PM4.16m
Low Tide
8:39PM1.34m
9:04AM1.39m
10:10PM1.53m
10:24AM1.54m
11:47PM1.50m
12:02PM1.52m
1:06AM1.29m
1:28PM1.32m
2:06AM1.00m
2:31PM1.06m
2:55AM0.74m
3:19PM0.82m
rain showers
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
rain showers
heavy rain
mod rain
light rain
part cloud
cloud
cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:48
6:46
6:43
6:43
6:41
6:39
6:37
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
6:05
6:06
6:07
6:07
6:08
6:09
6:10
 mm
2
2
1
2
28
9
1
1
1
Temp °C
15
14
11
11
12
11
11
12
13
10
10
10
10
11
10
12
13
8
11
12
8
Feels °C
10
9
5
10
10
10
10
12
12
9
8
8
9
11
9
10
11
6
10
11
5
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rabbit Island Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rabbit Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Rabbit Island, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 73 km (45 miles) away

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