
Surf Forecasts:
Rabbit Island surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 8s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 3PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 8s period, N swell with 216 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit Island this week:
The surf forecast for Rabbit Island over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit Island in the next 16 days are 1.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 30) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit Island over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. I’ve had a good look at what’s coming our way, and I gotta be honest with you – it’s a tough stretch. We’re looking at a long, quiet spell for Rabbit Island, so don’t be in a rush to wax up.
The whole 16-day window is a bit of a desert. We start off with a pulse of swell on Friday the 24th of July, but the conditions are a mess. That first morning sees a 6 ft swell from the north, with a short period of 7 seconds, and a cross-wind messing things up. The combined energy is moderate at 298, but it’s just not clean. The water’s sitting at 53°, which is a touch cooler than average for this time of year, so you’ll want a thick suit.
After that, things fall off a cliff. From Saturday the 25th through to the 30th of July, we’ve got a massive gap – days on end with no surf to speak of. You’ll see a few tiny pulses here and there, like a 0.3 ft ripple, but it’s not worth paddling out for. The glassy conditions on the 26th, 28th, and 29th are tantalising, but there’s simply no wave energy to work with. The combined energy barely registers, often just 1 or 0.
Now, the one little flicker of hope comes on Thursday the 30th of July in the afternoon. We get a glassy, calm sea with a 3 ft north swell, period 6 seconds. The energy is still weak at 79. It’s the best it’s going to get, but it’s still a poor surf forecast. It’s a long-period groundswell on the 31st of July evening, but it’s only 0.3 ft – a ghost.
For the rest of the run, right through to the 8th of August, it’s the same story: flat spells or tiny, weak swells with no push. The wind is often offshore or glassy, which is a real shame because the ocean is just asleep. The only consistent thing here is the inconsistency. This is a rough patch, but it’s the kind of blank run that happens in this area. Don’t lose hope, the forecasts can always change for the better.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Fri morning. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 3°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 11°C on Wed afternoon, min 3°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNW 15 | NNW 14 | NNW 14 | NNW 14 | NNW 12 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | N 11 | N 6 | NW 6 | N 5 | NNW 5 | NW 5 | NNW 6 | N 6 | N 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
298 | 216 | 119 | 76 | 57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 62 | 0 | 79 | 24 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | on | glassy | off | cross-off | glassy | off | glassy | off | off | on | off | off | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | glassy | off |
High Tide | 5:49PM3.22m | 6:24AM3.16m | 7:15PM3.28m | 7:30AM3.18m | 8:20PM3.44m | 8:27AM3.28m | 9:06PM3.61m | 9:14AM3.43m | 9:44PM3.76m | 9:55AM3.59m | 10:19PM3.89m | 10:33AM3.72m | 10:53PM4.00m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:20AM1.69m | 00:16AM1.78m | 12:23PM1.71m | 1:19AM1.70m | 1:26PM1.67m | 2:11AM1.58m | 2:24PM1.55m | 2:53AM1.45m | 3:15PM1.37m | 3:29AM1.31m | 3:58PM1.17m | 4:03AM1.18m | 4:34PM0.99m | ||||||||
7:43 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:41 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:39 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | 7:37 | — | — | |
— | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 9 |
Feels °C | 12 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNW 15 | NNW 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 14 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NW 6 | N 6 | NW 6 | N 5 | NNW 5 | NNW 5 | — | N 6 | N 6 |
— | — | 119 | 76 | 57 | 126 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | — | 79 | 24 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 17 | NNW 17 | NNW 15 | ENE 4 | NNW 14 | NNW 14 | NNW 7 | NNW 12 | NW 12 | NW 12 | N 11 | — | — | — | NW 14 | NW 14 | — | NW 16 | NW 15 |
— | — | 12 | 28 | 131 | 1 | 21 | 21 | 5 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 3 | — | — | — | 8 | 8 | — | 10 | 8 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 15 | — | — | — | — | NW 14 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | — | — | — | — | 54 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | N 8 | — | SSW 2 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 5 | NNW 6 | NNW 7 | — |
298 | 216 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 62 | 117 | 294 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 7 | 127 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 8 | 36 | 36 | 77 | 36 | 91 | 77 | 77 | 77 | 77 | 77 | 77 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 36 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Nelson - Tasman Bay | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Rabbit Island Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Rabbit Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Rabbit Island, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 73 km (45 miles) away










