Rabbit Island Surf Break

Lat Long: 41.26° S 173.14° E

Rabbit Island Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 11 am 29 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Rabbit Island sea temperature is
12.5°C
0.3° 

Rabbit Island surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Rabbit Island surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:

  • Most powerful swell: Monday 31 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, NW swell with 128 kJ wave energy.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Rabbit Island this week:

The most powerful waves expected at Rabbit Island in the next 16 days are 1.3m 6s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 7s period and expected on Thursday (Sep 03) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (NZST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)--
Best Surf--
Most Powerful 9PM (Mon 31st Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 6s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Rabbit Island over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The next 16 days are looking pretty grim for waves around here. Honestly, the surf cupboard is almost bare, with a long stretch of nothing to get excited about. We’re looking at mostly flat, weak conditions with only a couple of minor bumps that aren't worth changing your plans for.

The first real mention of any surf comes on Saturday morning, August 29th, at Rabbit Island. We’ve got a tiny 2ft swell from the north, with a short period of 8 seconds, so it’s a weak, local wind chop. The combined energy is a measly 65 (weak energy). The wind is a cross-offshore from the SW, so the surface will be clean, but with that size, you’re better off on a longboard or a floaty. The water is sitting at 55°F right now, which is about average for the time of year. That’s the only thing worth mentioning for the first few days.

After that, it’s a long, dry spell. From Sunday the 30th right through to the end of the first week of September, we’re looking at virtually nothing. You’ll see tiny 0.3ft to 0.7ft readings, and a lot of flat zeros. The wind does go glassy a couple of times, like on Thursday morning, September 3rd, and Friday morning, September 4th, but with no swell to work with, it’s just a perfect flat lake. It’s a tough run.

Things get a little more interesting, but still not great, on the weekend of September 5th and 6th. Saturday afternoon, September 5th, brings a 3ft swell from the NNW. The period is a short 5 seconds, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy and weak, with a combined energy of 53 (weak). The wind goes glassy, so it will look clean, but the waves will be soft and fat. Rabbit Island is an inconsistent beginner break, so this is a rare moment it might actually have a wave. It’s only for the absolute beginners on a foamie.

Then on Sunday afternoon, September 6th, the swell picks up a bit more to 4ft from the north, with a period of 9 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 241 (moderate wave energy), so there’s a bit more push. However, the wind is a cross-offshore WSW at 12 mph, so it’ll be a bit choppy. That’s the biggest wave we see all period, but it’s still a far cry from good. It’s a bit too big for beginners, but not really big enough or clean enough for experienced surfers. It’s a messy, middling option.

The rest of the second week is a total bust. Tiny pulses, no swell, and a lot of flat days. The most notable thing is a 2ft swell on Wednesday morning, September 9th, but it’s nothing special. Honestly, the best call is to keep the board in the car and wait for the next change. There’s just nothing to get your heart pumping here.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, fresh winds from the SW by Sun night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 4°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
29
Sunday
30
Monday
31
Tuesday
1
Wednesday
2
Thursday
3
Friday
4
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
N
8
0.1
N
21
0.4
NNW
7
0.2
N
8
0.1
N
8
0.8
NW
6
0.4
NW
15
1.1
NW
6
1.3
NW
6
0.3
NW
14
0.8
N
3
0.2
NNE
4
0.1
NW
17
0.1
N
17
0.8
NNW
6
0.1
N
15
0.9
NNW
6
1.2
NNW
6
1.1
N
7
0.7
N
8
0.1
N
11
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
65
8
0
5
1
39
0
75
114
0
15
1
0
6
37
4
58
93
0
0
3
Wind (km/h)
10
SW
10
WSW
15
SW
10
WSW
20
WSW
25
SW
20
WSW
20
WSW
30
WSW
15
SW
5
NW
10
SW
15
SW
15
WSW
5
NE
0
W
5
W
5
W
10
WSW
15
WSW
15
SW
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross
off
cross-off
cross-off
glassy
glassy
glassy
glassy
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
10:51AM3.89m
11:01PM4.17m
11:27AM3.97m
11:34PM4.21m
12:03PM4.01m
00:09AM4.17m
12:37PM3.98m
00:46AM4.05m
1:12PM3.90m
1:27AM3.87m
1:50PM3.74m
2:15AM3.64m
2:34PM3.52m
Low Tide
4:39PM0.68m
4:49AM0.73m
5:10PM0.62m
5:22AM0.65m
5:43PM0.63m
5:56AM0.66m
6:16PM0.71m
6:33AM0.77m
6:54PM0.87m
7:14AM0.95m
7:38PM1.09m
8:03AM1.17m
8:39PM1.34m
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:56
6:56
6:54
6:52
6:50
6:48
6:48
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:59
6:00
6:00
6:01
6:02
6:04
6:05
 mm
1
3
Temp °C
14
15
10
15
15
12
13
14
12
12
13
6
13
15
11
15
15
13
16
16
9
Feels °C
10
12
7
11
11
5
9
9
7
8
10
3
9
11
10
14
14
12
13
11
6
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Rabbit Island Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Rabbit Island provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Rabbit Island can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Rabbit Island surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Rabbit Island) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Rabbit Island may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Nelson - Tasman Bay? If you are looking for accommodation near Rabbit Island, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Nelson - Tasman Bay, consider staying in Nelson which is 11 km (7 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Blenheim which is 73 km (45 miles) away

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