Potrero Grande (Ollie's Point) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s shaping up around Potrero Grande (Ollie’s Point). Don’t expect much for a while, but there’s a glimmer of something special way out there.

The overall pattern is pretty flat and ordinary for the next two weeks. We’ve got a long stretch of small, weak swell with nothing to get excited about. The water temp is sitting at 85°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so the water feels nice even if the waves don’t deliver.

The first sniff of anything surfable comes on Friday afternoon, July 10th, with a tiny 2ft SW swell. The wind is light offshore from the NE, and the waves are clean but small. The combined energy is weak at 137, so it’s really just a leg-stretcher for a longboard or a soft-top. This same pattern hangs around through the weekend and into the following week – small 2ft to 2ft SW swell, consistent offshore winds, but the wave quality is very ordinary. It’s surfable, but you won’t be telling your mates about it. The combined energy stays in the low 100s, which is weak.

We hit a bit of a lull from Tuesday, July 14th, through to Saturday, July 18th, where the conditions turn poor. The wind picks up, often gusting to 19 mph, and while it’s offshore, it’s fresh and choppy. The swell stays tiny, and the scores are zero. It’s a pretty blank run for a few days there.

Things start to look a little more promising around Monday, July 20th, with a shift in swell direction. A small 2ft WSW swell rolls in, and the combined energy climbs to 201, which is moderate. Still nothing massive, but a bit more push. The wind stays offshore but moderate, so it’s clean. The same small, clean conditions hold through Tuesday, July 21st.

Now, the standout. And I mean the *real* standout. Mark your calendars for Saturday, July 25th. The morning shows a tiny 1ft WSW swell, but the period is a massive 21 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell. The combined energy jumps to 311, which is strong. The wind is light offshore from the ENE, making it glassy. This is a point break and river mouth setup, so that long period energy will wrap in beautifully. It’s for the experienced crew – the wave will have real power for its size. The afternoon does get a risk of thunderstorms and a light cross-onshore, so morning is the window. This is the one to wait for. It’s 16 days out, so it’s a little uncertain, but the potential is there for a proper session.

For the rest of the time, it’s a waiting game. The consistent offshore winds are a positive, but the swell just isn’t there. Given that Potrero Grande is a consistent spot, it won’t stay this lackluster forever.

Rusty.

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