Papanoa Surf Break

Lat Long: 17.17° N 100.76° W

Papanoa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 5 am 15 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Papanoa sea temperature is
31.2° C
1.5° 

Papanoa surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Papanoa surf forecast from 15 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 21 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, SSE swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Saturday 22 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 12s period, S swell with 3,554 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 16 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Papanoa this week:

The surf forecast for Papanoa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.5m and 3s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Papanoa in the next 16 days are 3.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 22) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 3s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 3AM.

Wave TypeTime (CST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)12AM (Sun 16th Aug)4.5ft (1.4m) 15s
Best Surf 6PM (Fri 21st Aug)11ft (3.5m) 10s
Most Powerful 6AM (Sat 22nd Aug)11ft (3.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Papanoa over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for Papanoa over the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a solid run of surf ahead, but the first real standout is our Saturday morning session. The water is sitting at 88°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so it’s a bit like bathwater out there. That Saturday morning, we’re looking at 5ft swell from the SW, with a very long period of 16 seconds – that’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is glassy out of the N at just 3 mph, so the conditions are going to be perfect. The combined swell energy is a solid 1182, which tells you there’s plenty of power in the water. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, and the clean, glassy conditions will make it a real treat. The swell direction is from the SSW, which is the optimum for this spot.

Sunday morning holds up nicely too. Swell drops a touch to 4ft from the SW, still with a long 15-second period, and we’ve got glassy conditions again with a light N wind. Combined energy is 746, so it’s still a good, fun size. A risk of thunderstorms, but the wind is right, so if you’re keen, you’ll be rewarded.

There’s a bit of a gap later in the week where the afternoons get chopped up by WSW winds, but the mornings from Monday through Thursday keep serving up glassy conditions with clean, 4ft to 4ft SW swell. Energy drops a bit through the week, down to 538 by Wednesday, but it’s still fun and clean for a morning paddle.

Now, Friday morning the 21st of August brings a shift. The swell jumps up to 7ft from the SSE, with a shorter period of 10 seconds. The wind is cross-off from the E at 16 mph, which keeps it clean, but the energy is way up at 1123. That’s a bit of a tricky one – the swell direction isn’t the optimum, and it might be a bit lumpy.

Saturday the 22nd of August we’ve got a big swell hitting – 10ft from the S and SSW, with 12-second periods. The combined energy is huge – 3262 – but that’s too big for this break. The wind is cross, so it’s going to be a messy, powerful beast. Unless you’re an expert on a big board, I’d sit this one out. In fact, with that much swell and crosswind, it’s looking more like a kiteboarding day than a paddle session.

Then things settle down again beautifully. Sunday the 23rd of August morning has glassy conditions, 4ft SW swell, and energy of 931. Good, clean fun. Monday the 24th of August morning is also glassy with 4ft from the WSW, and then Monday afternoon we get a surprise – glassy conditions again with 3ft SW swell and a very long 16-second period, energy 872. That’s a sneaky good session.

The end of the run is looking promising. The 29th of August Saturday morning has 5ft SSW swell, 16-second period, glassy conditions, and energy of 1546. That’s another excellent one for experienced surfers. And the 30th of August Sunday morning is calm and glassy with 4ft SSW swell, energy 910. A perfect way to wrap it up.

The standout here is clearly the Saturday morning of the 15th of August – that glassy, 5ft SW groundswell with big energy is the best on offer. The 29th of August Saturday morning is also a top-tier call, but it’s further out, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Heavy rain (total 48mm), heaviest during Sun night. Warm (max 33°C on Sat morning, min 23°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 57mm), heaviest during Thu night. Warm (max 32°C on Tue afternoon, min 25°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Saturday
15
Sunday
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
4
1
3
3
0
2
3
2
3
3
0
3
3
1
2
2
0
3
3
1
!
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.5
SW
16
1.5
SW
16
1.4
SW
15
1.3
SW
15
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
14
1.2
SW
16
0.7
SW
17
1.2
SSW
14
1.2
SSW
15
1.2
SSW
16
1.1
SW
14
1
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
13
0.8
SSW
13
1.4
SE
11
2.1
SSE
10
2.5
SSE
11
3
S
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1115
1101
784
685
614
597
606
702
291
561
600
649
482
425
342
282
222
471
899
1459
2340
Wind (km/h)
5
N
20
WSW
10
NW
5
N
20
WSW
20
NNW
5
NW
10
SW
10
NW
5
WNW
15
WSW
10
NNW
5
NNW
15
SW
5
NNE
5
ENE
10
S
15
E
25
E
30
ESE
20
E
Wind State
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
glassy
glassy
on
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
4:33PM0.56m
5:51AM0.61m
5:38PM0.56m
6:48AM0.69m
6:27PM0.55m
7:31AM0.75m
7:05PM0.55m
8:09AM0.78m
7:37PM0.54m
8:42AM0.79m
8:03PM0.52m
9:13AM0.78m
8:22PM0.51m
Low Tide
10:20AM0.33m
11:08PM0.26m
11:59AM0.32m
11:55PM0.19m
1:02PM0.30m
00:35AM0.13m
1:49PM0.28m
1:09AM0.09m
2:27PM0.27m
1:39AM0.07m
2:58PM0.28m
2:06AM0.05m
3:25PM0.29m
2:30AM0.04m
clear
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
rain showers
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
mod rain
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
light rain
heavy rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:26
6:26
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:07
7:07
7:07
7:06
7:06
7:05
7:04
 mm
3
1
1
41
2
1
2
12
2
7
33
1
2
30
Temp °C
33
32
29
32
33
28
30
31
28
31
32
28
32
31
29
29
29
26
26
27
25
Feels °C
36
34
33
35
35
33
34
35
32
34
34
31
35
35
35
33
33
29
27
27
27
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Papanoa Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Papanoa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Papanoa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Papanoa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Papanoa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Papanoa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Papanoa is 35 km (22 miles) from Atoyac de Alvarez. If you plan a holiday in Guerrero, look for hotels and other accommodation in Atoyac de Alvarez. Atoyac de Alvarez has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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