Papanoa Surf Break

Papanoa Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Lat Long: 17.17° N 100.76° W

Issued: 5 pm 03 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Papanoa sea temperature is
31.3° C

2.0°C warmer than normal for this time of year

Papanoa surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Papanoa surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 5 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 18s period, SSW swell with 1,966 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 4 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 14s period with SSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Papanoa this week:

The surf forecast for Papanoa over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 04) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Papanoa in the next 16 days are 1.8m 18s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 6AM.

Wave TypeTime (CST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 3AM (Sat 4th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 14s
Best Surf12AM (Sun 5th Jul)3ft (0.9m) 18s
Most Powerful 9AM (Tue 7th Jul)6ft (1.8m) 18s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Papanoa over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Righto, let’s have a look at Papanoa. We’ve got a solid run of surf coming up, with the best conditions locking in early in the mornings when the wind drops out. The water’s sitting at 88°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – you’ll be sweating in a spring suit if you wear one.

The standout window kicks off Saturday morning, July 4th. It’s clean, glassy with a light ENE breeze – offshore for Papanoa. Swell’s coming from the SSW at 3ft, with a long 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell, smooth and lined up, perfect for a point break setup like this. Combined energy is moderate at 588. It’ll be small but clean, and with the offshore wind, the faces will be peeling nicely. Crowds can turn up sometimes, but on a Saturday with this size it won’t be a circus.

Sunday morning July 5th is even better. Swell bumps up to 4ft from the SSW, 16-second period again, and it’s dead calm – glassy as a mirror. Combined energy jumps to 1161, moderate but with real push. This is a proper morning session, clean and punchy for intermediate surfers.

Tuesday July 7th morning brings the biggest swell of the first week: 6ft from the SSW, 18-second period – that’s long-period groundswell, powerful and straight-running. Combined energy hits 2017, moderate-strong. Glassy with a light NE breeze, this is for experienced surfers only; over 5ft it starts to push hard, and with that period it’ll be fat and fast, best handled at a reef or point. Not a beginner’s day.

Later in the run, Wednesday July 15th morning is a wildcard: 8ft from the SE, but only a 10-second period – that’s windswell, short and dumpy. Energy is strong at 2524, but short-period swell like this is unruly, especially at size. Unless you’re an expert looking for a beatdown, I’d steer clear.

Overall, the best on offer is Sunday July 5th morning at Papanoa – 4ft, glassy, long-period, and clean. Tuesday July 7th morning is the other standout for the bigger-swell hunters. After the first week, the second week tapers off – smaller, choppier afternoons, but the mornings still have glassy windows. No massive gaps, just a steady rhythm of clean dawns and messy afternoons.

- Rusty

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 32°C on Sat morning, min 26°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 19mm), heaviest on Mon night. Warm (max 31°C on Wed morning, min 25°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Fri
3
Saturday
4
Sunday
5
Monday
6
Tuesday
7
Wednesday
8
Thursday
9
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
3
1
4
4
3
4
4
3
4
4
3
4
4
2
4
3
2
3
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
SSW
14
1.2
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
16
1
SSW
17
0.9
SSW
18
1.3
SSW
16
1.4
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
16
1
SSW
20
1.4
SSW
18
1.8
SSW
18
1.6
SSW
18
1.7
SSW
17
1.6
SSW
16
1.6
SSW
16
1.5
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
15
1.3
SSW
15
1.3
SSW
15
1.3
SSW
15
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
431
602
291
576
491
938
969
904
790
790
1240
1966
1471
1657
1245
1230
1067
815
784
665
665
Wind (km/h)
15
SSW
5
N
5
ENE
15
WSW
10
NW
0
N
10
WSW
10
NW
0
NNE
10
SE
5
NNE
5
NE
10
SSW
5
NE
5
ENE
10
S
5
NE
5
E
10
WNW
10
NNW
0
SE
Wind State
on
glassy
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross
off
glassy
on
cross-off
glassy
cross-on
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross-off
glassy
High Tide
5:47PM0.66m
6:49AM0.41m
6:19PM0.64m
7:28AM0.47m
6:43PM0.61m
7:58AM0.54m
6:58PM0.57m
8:25AM0.62m
7:09PM0.54m
8:55AM0.69m
7:23PM0.52m
9:29AM0.75m
7:44PM0.51m
10:08AM0.79m
Low Tide
1:13AM0.29m
11:08AM0.33m
1:16AM0.27m
12:14PM0.35m
1:21AM0.25m
1:11PM0.36m
1:29AM0.21m
2:02PM0.37m
1:42AM0.15m
2:48PM0.38m
2:04AM0.08m
3:33PM0.39m
2:34AM0.01m
part cloud
thunderstorm
clear
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
cloud
thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
light rain
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
thunderstorm
part cloud
part cloud
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:13
6:13
6:13
6:13
6:13
6:15
6:15
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:21
7:21
7:21
7:21
7:21
7:21
7:21
7:21
 mm
1
1
2
5
1
5
1
1
4
2
3
2
Temp °C
31
29
32
32
28
30
31
28
30
30
29
30
30
28
31
30
28
27
28
27
31
Feels °C
34
34
36
36
32
34
35
32
33
33
34
33
34
33
34
33
32
31
31
29
33
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1
SSW
14
1.2
SSW
14
0.8
SSW
13
1
SSW
17
1
SSW
14
1.3
SSW
16
1.4
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
15
1.4
SSW
18
1.8
SSW
18
1.6
SSW
18
1.7
SSW
17
1.6
SSW
16
1.6
SSW
16
1.5
SSW
16
1.3
SSW
15
1.3
SSW
15
1.3
SSW
15
1.3
SSW
15
Energy kJ
431
602
222
576
431
938
969
904
740
674
1240
1966
1471
1657
1245
1230
1067
815
784
665
665
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.7
S
9
0.7
S
10
0.8
SSW
16
0.7
SW
13
0.9
SSW
18
0.6
S
9
0.7
SSE
9
0.7
SSE
9
1
SSW
20
1
SSW
20
1
SSW
14
0.5
SSE
8
0.7
SW
13
0.5
SSE
9
0.6
SSE
9
0.5
SSE
9
0.7
SSE
8
0.7
SSE
8
0.7
SSE
8
0.7
SSE
10
0.7
S
11
Energy kJ
85
92
291
172
491
64
82
84
790
790
431
41
180
44
53
45
61
58
56
98
114
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.5
S
18
0.6
SSW
20
0.6
SSE
10
0.6
SSE
10
0.7
S
10
0.4
SW
24
0.4
SSW
22
0.7
SSW
21
0.6
SSE
9
0.6
SSE
9
0.6
SSE
8
0.3
ESE
7
0.5
SSE
9
0.2
S
16
0.2
S
14
0.2
SSE
14
0.2
SSE
13
0.3
SSE
13
0.3
SSE
12
0.2
ESE
8
0.3
SSW
19
Energy kJ
160
253
75
75
90
141
183
404
62
62
55
10
44
19
15
20
16
32
28
6
74
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.3
WNW
10
0.2
W
9
0.3
WNW
8
0.3
WNW
8
0.3
ENE
7
0.5
W
3
0.5
NW
4
Energy kJ
18
7
14
13
9
5
6
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
3
3
4
4
1
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
Distance (km)
638
0
0
586
0
0
638
0
0
100
0
0
100
0
0
320
0
0
6
0
0
Best forecast wave conditions in Guerrero
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
Best forecast wave conditions in Mexico
Rating
(10 max)
3
3
3
3
4
4
1
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
4
3
3
3
3
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
7
5
5
5
9
7
7
5
8
7
5
6
9
8
9
8
5
5
5
4
9
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Papanoa Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Papanoa provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Papanoa can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Papanoa surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Papanoa) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Papanoa may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Papanoa is 35 km (22 miles) from Atoyac de Alvarez. If you plan a holiday in Guerrero, look for hotels and other accommodation in Atoyac de Alvarez. Atoyac de Alvarez has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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