Lighthouse Right Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's talk about what's on the menu for Noumea-Pass over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's a rough start. We're looking at a solid block of days with pretty ordinary conditions. The water is sitting at 72°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so at least you won't get a shock when you jump in, but the wind is the real problem. For the first week, from Friday the 24th right through to the end of the month, we've got a persistent run of onshore and cross-onshore winds, mostly from the ESE and SE. That means a lot of chop and lumpy, bumpy surf. The swell is small, mostly under 3 ft, and the energy is weak, often below 100 (24 July morning: 198). It's just not doing us any favours. There are a few windows where the swell picks up a bit, like the morning of Thursday the 30th where we get a 2 ft SSW groundswell (16s period) with moderate energy (409), but the wind is still cross-shore, so the quality is just not there. It's been a blank run for the first week, no doubt.

Things start to look a little more promising at the very end of the run. By the time we get to the second week of August, the signals start to get interesting, but it's a long way out so keep the optimism in check. The morning of Saturday the 8th of August is the one that caught my eye. We're looking at a solid 7 ft swell from the SSW, and that's a big one. The combined energy readings are massive (3379), so there's real power in the water. The period is a very long 19 seconds, which is proper groundswell. Now, a reef break like Lighthouse Right is going to handle that long-period energy beautifully, but that size is expert territory. Anyone who isn't a seasoned surfer should stay out of the water. The wind is forecast as a cross-onshore from the SE at 12 mph, which is a bit of a bummer, but it's not a total blowout. It'll be choppy, but for the experienced crew, that's a session worth marking on the calendar.

Before that, the morning of Friday the 7th of August has a 3 ft SSW swell with a 15s period and solid energy (461), but the wind is a fresh cross-onshore, so it will be lumpy.

So, the standout for the whole period? It's the morning of the 8th of August. The swell is big, the energy is huge, and the period is classic. The wind is the only thing holding it back from being a true classic, but for a big wave reef session, it's about as close as we're going to get in this 16-day window.

Rusty.

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