Lighthouse Right Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at the 16-day window for the Noumea-Pass area. It’s gonna be a slow burn, so strap in.

For the first few days, Monday the 24th and Tuesday the 25th of August, we're looking at a cross-shore breeze that's just going to chop everything up. There’s a pulse of swell on Tuesday morning, pushing 6ft, with some serious energy behind it, but the wind is going to ruin it. It's a lumpy, cross-chop mess. Not worth paddling out for. The water temp is sitting at 71°F, which is about normal for this time of year.

There's a bit of a lull and then a small window on Friday morning, the 28th. The swell has backed off to 3ft from the SSW, but the wind swings around to a light cross-offshore, and the conditions finally clean up. It's small, but tidy. This is the only time in the first week that looks half-decent, but it's not a standout. The energy is weak, so it'll be gutless.

After that, the bottom drops out again for the rest of the week. We go into a flat spell with more onshore junk, a mix of cross-onshore and onshore winds, and basically no surf on offer. This dry run carries through the 31st and into the start of September.

Around the 1st and 2nd, there are pulses but they are sunk by the wind again. This is a long blank stretch. We finally see a legitimate pulse of energy building by the 4th of September, but the wind is still a problem. The swell starts to build on Friday afternoon, with a 3ft south groundswell and a long period, but it's coming with a cross-onshore breeze. Not ideal.

The real standout is shaping up for the 6th of September. Sunday afternoon. The swell jumps to a solid 7ft from the SSW, with a long period. This is strong energy, with a massive combined reading. This is the biggest, most powerful swell of the window, but the catch is the wind. It's fresh cross-shore again. This is a big, raw ocean. That size is for experts only. It's going to be a battle. That’s the one to watch if you're keen and experienced.

The following Monday, the 7th, has a cleanup of sorts. The swell drops back to 6ft and the wind eases to a light cross-offshore in the afternoon. This would be the best combination of size and clean conditions if it holds, but the energy is less than the day before.

After that, we fade out at the end of the window on the 8th. There's a confused mix of a small 4ft wave and a long-period groundswell that's gone straight, and the wind is side-onshore. Not worth the effort.

So, if you're looking for the pick of the litter, it's the 6th of September for pure power, but it's a beast. The smarter money might be on the 7th for a more manageable, cleaner session, but still a heavy reef. A few days before that, the 4th has some promise as a longer period swell arrives, but the wind will be testing you.

This is the only break in the data in this region, so that's all we got. For most of the next two weeks, it's messy, but when the ocean decides to play, it plays hard. Forecasts can change, so keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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