Lighthouse Right Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break this down in feet and degrees, same place – Lighthouse Right (Noumea-Pass). Rusty here.

Early on, it’s a dead loss. From Monday the 13th through Wednesday the 15th, it’s flat, messy, chopped up, no point getting in the water. Combined swell energy starts weak at 133.

First sign of life shows up Thursday the 16th in the morning. Swell hits 5ft from the SSW with a 15-second period – that’s groundswell with some proper energy behind it. The combined swell energy clocks in at 962 (moderate to strong). The wind is a gentle cross-onshore, so it won't be perfect, but you can work with it. This break likes a WSW swell direction best, so the SSW is a little off the mark, but it’ll still push through. At 5ft on a reef, it’s for intermediates and up – not beginner-friendly. Crowds can pop up *sometimes*.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th keep similar 4 to 5ft swell with cross-onshore wind. Not ideal but still surfable. Saturday morning has combined energy of 733.

Sunday the 19th afternoon looks better. 3ft swell, but the period stretches to 19 seconds – that is a very long period. Combined energy is 955. That long period on a reef means it’ll wrap in smooth and give you proper, lined-up waves. Wind is cross-shore from the WSW. That’s a solid option.

Monday the 20th morning is still okay with 4ft and long period, but it goes downhill fast by the afternoon. From the 21st to the 24th we get hammered by strong onshore winds, and the swell vanishes. Several days of nothing.

The real gem shows up on Monday the 27th of July. We’re looking at 2ft of swell from the SSW with an 18-second period. Combined energy is 270, not huge but the wind is calm – glassy. That’s your standout. For a reef break, that glassy, long-period combination will give you the cleanest, most lined-up waves of the whole outlook. It’s small, but it’ll be beautiful. It’s more than a week out, so it’s a promising call, not a lock, but that’s what you circle on the calendar.

Water temp here is pretty standard for the season, no big anomaly flagged.

Bottom line: first week is a dud. Thursday the 16th gives you some real swell but average wind. The Monday the 27th is the true standout with perfect glassy conditions and a long-period swell that this reef will love.

Rusty.

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