Lighthouse Right Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Let’s be straight—this next stretch at Lighthouse Right (Noumea-Pass) is looking pretty darn bleak for a proper paddle. We got a long run of onshore and cross-shore winds, lumpy chop, and not much swell of use. Water temp’s 72°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Starting Thursday the 10th, we got a tiny 1ft SW groundswell, 12-second period, but the energy’s weak (35) and the SSE breeze has it all blown out. Nothing to bother with. The swell picks up a little Thursday arvo to 3ft, but it’s still onshore slop with a short 9-second period—junk.

Friday the 11th brings a serious pulse—moderate to strong energy (1291) with a 4ft SSW groundswell at 21 seconds in the morning. That’s a long-period groundswell, but 22 mph SSE winds and rain mean it’s all onshore mess. Energy jumps to 2176 with 5ft and a 20-second period in the arvo, but still cross-onshore and lumpy.

Then we hit a dead zone. From Saturday the 12th through Wednesday the 16th morning, there’s nothing—zero swell, zero options, just fresh cross-onshore winds and bump. That’s about a five-day gap where you don’t even look at the ocean.

Wednesday the 16th arvo throws us a tiny 1ft SW swell at 15 seconds, energy a weak 55, but the SE wind is still cross-onshore and lumpy. No chance.

Thursday the 17th is a mess of short-period junk—4ft SSE at 6 seconds in the morning, then 3ft SSW at 18 seconds later, but wind is howling cross-onshore at 19–22 mph. Forget it.

Finally Friday the 18th, we get something surfable. Morning shows 6ft SSW at a solid 13 seconds, energy at a strong 1853, but the cross-shore ESE wind creates lumpy cross-chop. It’s questionable tide, and honestly, still poor. Arvo drops to 1ft, so the window is narrow.

The standout for this whole outlook is Saturday the 19th arvo. We get a clean 7ft SSW groundswell at 16 seconds, with strong energy (2054). Wind is moderate cross-shore at 15 mph. Problem is, that’s over 8ft facing this reef, and for an intermediate spot like this, that’s expert-only territory. Too big. The morning has 4ft at 12 seconds but still bumpy. So the arvo is the best of a bad lot, but it’s a step too far.

Sunday the 20th has 4ft SSW at 14 seconds in the morning, energy 585, but the SE wind is cross-onshore and choppy. Not worth it.

The rest through Wednesday the 23rd is mostly flat, with a tiny 0.3ft SW at 24 seconds Tuesday morning (very long period, but no size) and 1ft SSW at 21 seconds Tuesday arvo. Wednesday the 23rd the wind goes cross-offshore, but there’s no swell—clean, but empty.

Thursday the 24th brings a weak 1ft SW at 20 seconds (101) in the morning, and a slightly better 2ft SSW at 19 seconds (241) in the arvo with a cross-offshore ENE breeze. Still small, but at least clean.

Then Friday the 25th—finally, a proper window. Morning shows 3ft SSW at a long 16-second period, energy at 654, with light SSW winds at just 3 mph. That’s glassy and clean, the best conditions we’ve seen all stretch. The arvo bumps up to 6ft SW at 14 seconds, energy at 1307, but the wind swings onshore at 9 mph. So the morning is the pick—clean, lined-up, and that long-period groundswell will be drawing nicely down this reef pass. Not huge, but the one real chance for a proper wave.

So my take: forget everything before the 25th. That Friday morning is the highlight, and even then, it’s modest. Over 8ft on the 19th is too much for most—if you’re not an expert, you’ll be in the washing machine. The setup looks better for kiting than paddle surfing most of the next two weeks. Hold out for that Friday morning glass.

Rusty.

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