Lighthouse Right Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s happening around Noumea Pass.

Right now, we’re looking at a pretty quiet start. The first couple of days have tiny swell, and the conditions are nothing to write home about. Tuesday morning the 11th sees a little 1ft groundswell from the SW with a very long 16-second period, but the wind is cross-off from the NW at 6 mph, keeping it clean but very weak – combined energy is only 64 (weak). Wednesday morning the 12th is glassy with a calm wind, and that same 1ft SW groundswell stretches out to a super long 19-second period, but again, the energy is low at 96 (weak). It’s surfable if you’re desperate for a paddle, but nothing to get excited about.

Things start to pick up a little on Thursday the 13th morning, with swell bumping to 2ft from the SW, period shortening to 10 seconds, and the combined energy jumping to 199 (moderate). But the wind is cross-shore from the W at 3 mph, and the report calls it poor. By Thursday afternoon, the swell hits 3ft from the SSW at 13 seconds, energy up to 360 (moderate), but the wind swings onshore from the SW at 9 mph, making it choppy.

Friday the 14th through Sunday the 16th sees the swell building more. By Friday morning it's 5ft from the SW (11 sec), with a strong 16 mph cross-onshore wind from the SSW. Energy is 693 (moderate to strong), but the chop is nasty. Friday afternoon jumps to 6ft from the SSW (10 sec) with onshore wind at 16 mph – that’s getting powerful but messy, energy at 757. Saturday the 15th holds 5ft from the SSW (9 sec) with cross-onshore wind all day, energy in the 600-700 range. Sunday the 16th is the biggest surge: 5-5ft from the SSW, but with a very long 18-second period in the morning and 16 seconds in the afternoon. The combined energy in the morning hits 1531 (very strong). That’s a proper groundswell. But the wind is cross-onshore from the SE at 12 mph, so it’s choppy and messy. For a reef break like Lighthouse Right, that long period might make it a bit too lined up, but the power is there – this is the best on offer, but only if you don’t mind battling the chop. Still, with that energy, the wave quality could be decent for intermediate surfers. The water temperature is about average for this time of year.

From Monday the 17th onward, it goes downhill fast. Swell drops to 4ft from the SSW, but the wind stays strong and cross-onshore or cross-shore, with poor conditions. By Tuesday the 18th, the wind ramps up to 25 mph from the ESE, creating messy, lumpy seas. From the 19th onwards, it’s mostly small junk – 0.7ft to 2ft – with strong cross-shore winds. The energy drops into the double digits or low triple digits. By the 22nd and 23rd, you’re looking at tiny 0.7ft swell and strong winds again. The last few days of the 16-day window have almost no swell and poor conditions.

If you’re looking for a standout, Sunday the 16th morning is it – that 5ft groundswell from the SSW with very long period and strong energy (1531) is the most power we see, even if the wind isn't perfect. For a clean session, Wednesday morning the 12th is glassy but tiny. Otherwise, this run is mostly a write-off after the first few days. There’s a long gap from around the 17th through to the end of the window with nothing worth chasing.

Rusty.

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