Lighthouse Right Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Righto, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: the next 16 days are a flat spell for Lighthouse Right (Noumea-Pass) with a couple of barely-there pulses that won’t get anyone excited. The water is sitting at 72°F, which is bang on average for this time of year – nothing to write home about.

We start off with a bit of a tease on Monday the 3rd – a 2ft SSW swell rolls in, but it’s coming from the ESE at 25 mph, cross-on and messy. The combined energy is a weak 305, and the whole thing’s just poor. Forget it. Tuesday the 4th bumps up to 4ft SSW, but the wind is still cross-shore from the east at 16–22 mph, and the score is a 1 at best – marginal, choppy, nothing to paddle for.

Wednesday the 5th through to the 10th is a total write-off. Swell drops to 0.7ft–1ft, energy values are in the single digits to low 20s, and the wind is either cross, cross-off, or glassy at times – but the swell is too small to do anything. The morning of the 9th is glassy, calm, and dead flat. That’s a blank stretch of about 6 days with no real surf.

From the 11th to the 12th, the swell picks up a tiny bit – 1ft SSW – but the wind is cross-on from the SE at 13–16 mph, and the energy is only 108–149. Still poor. Then on the 13th, there’s a brief hint of something: 3ft SSW, 16-second period, 440 combined energy, but the wind is cross-shore from the ESE. The morning is marginal, the afternoon is messy. Not worth rushing.

The 14th offers the cleanest conditions of the whole run: cross-off wind from the WNW at 13–19 mph, 3–3ft SSW, energy around 468. The morning is clean, but the swell is tiny and the period is 16–17 seconds – that’s a long groundswell for a reef break, so it might be a bit too straight and gutless. Still, if you’re desperate, it’s the best of a bad lot.

The 15th and 16th slide back into poor, with 1–2ft, cross-on winds, and energy in the 80–138 range. The 17th morning shows a 3ft SW with a 9-second period and light onshore wind – marginal – but the afternoon is 2ft with a longer 13-second period and 324 energy. Still, not great.

The 18th finishes the run with 4ft SW, 11-second period, 526 energy, but the wind is cross-on from the SE at 13–16 mph – choppy and poor. No standout days here, folks. The best I can say is the 14th morning is clean, but it’s not worth a trip.

Rusty.

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