Lighthouse Right Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a long stretch ahead and, to be honest, it’s been a bit of a slow one. The surf is going to be very small or messy for the first several days, so don’t get too excited just yet. The windows of opportunity are few and far between, but there are a couple of dates that could deliver something special if you’re patient.

The first real chance to get wet doesn’t come until mid-week. Thursday, July 16th, things start to look a bit more interesting. On Thursday morning, we’ll see a 5ft SSW swell pushing in, with a long period of 15 seconds, and it's a groundswell. The energy is building, hitting 949 (moderate to strong). The wind is a light cross-shore, so it’s not perfect but it’s rideable. The real standout for that day, though, is the Thursday afternoon session. The wind swings to a light offshore from the NNE, cleaning it right up, and we’ve got 5ft of SSW swell with a 14-second period. The energy is still strong at 700. This is the best of the first week, and it’s at Lighthouse Right (Noumea-Pass). The water is sitting at a warm 73°, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Now, if you can hold out until the following week, there’s a bigger pulse on the horizon. Friday, July 24th, the early morning is a tricky one. The swell is up to 7ft from the SSW, with an 11-second period, and the energy is an impressive 1843 – that’s strong. But the wind is a moderate cross-shore, and the forecast is clear: it’s too big for this break. That’s an expert-only call, and only if you’re feeling brave with the chop.

The real gem of the entire outlook is Saturday, July 25th. The morning session is the one to circle on your calendar. We’re looking at clean, glassy conditions with zero wind. The swell is a solid 6ft from the SSW, with a 10-second period, and the energy is a very healthy 968. It’s prime. The break will be clean, and the wave quality should be very good. Expect good conditions, and the crowds are sometimes a thing here, so you might have some company. This is the standout of the whole 16-day window.

After that, the energy drops away quickly. The last few days of the outlook are small and messy, with poor conditions and onshore winds. So, to sum it up: Thursday afternoon, July 16th, is your first decent shot, and Saturday morning, July 25th, is the one to aim for if you want the best of what’s on offer.

Keep your eyes on the horizon, and don’t let the slow start get you down. It’s gonna turn.

Rusty.

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