Nera Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Nera Rivermouth. Gotta be straight with you – this is a rough stretch. The forecast is a long, frustrating gap where the surf just isn't on. We're looking at Friday the 31st of July for a tiny window, and then pretty much nothing worth paddling for until the middle of the next week.

The only real starting point is Friday morning, July 31st. The river mouth is seeing a small 3 ft swell from the SSW, but the real story is the wind. It’s glassy, dead calm from the NW at just 3 mph. For this spot, that’s pure magic. The wave energy is moderate (236), and the water is sitting at 73°, which is bang on average for the time of year. It’s a beginner-friendly wave, so if you’re learning, this is your moment. The swell direction isn’t exactly the optimum SW, but with that glassy surface, you’ll take it. Just be aware that this spot is inconsistent and can get crowded sometimes.

But don’t get too excited. That Friday morning window is it. By Friday afternoon, a cross-onshore wind from the south at 9 mph messes it up, and the surf drops to 2 ft. Then from Saturday the 1st of August right through to about Tuesday the 11th of August, the stars just don’t align. The wind is either howling from the SSE at 19 mph, making it lumpy and cross, or the swell disappears entirely. There are days with zero combined energy. It’s a proper dead zone for over a week.

There’s a tiny flicker of hope on Tuesday morning, August 4th, with a 3 ft SSW swell and clean cross-offshore winds from the ESE. The energy is moderate (406), but the score is low. It’s marginal. The period is a long 19 seconds, which is a groundswell. At a river mouth, that long period might make it break a bit too straight, but it’s clean, and you might snag a few if you’re desperate.

Wednesday the 5th of August and Friday the 7th of August also offer some clean, small waves around 3 ft, but the energy is lower. Saturday the 8th of August has a glassy 3 ft swell, but it’s still just ordinary. None of these are standouts.

Look, I’ll be honest: the best on offer is that Friday morning, July 31st, for the glassy conditions. After that, it’s a waiting game. For a spot that’s often inconsistent, this kind of blank run is more normal than not. If you’re a kite surfer, the strong cross-shore winds on the weekend might be more interesting than paddle surfing. But for now, stay tuned – forecasts can change.

Rusty.

Read more