Surf Forecasts:
Nera Rivermouth surf forecast from 26 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 1 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 2,162 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 26 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nera Rivermouth this week:
The surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nera Rivermouth in the next 16 days are 2.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 16s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Wed 26th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's be straight with you: the next couple of weeks are looking pretty bleak for a paddle. This stretch of coast is set to be frustratingly small and messy for the most part, with only one real window of quality to get excited about. We'll be paying the price for a while, but there is a light at the end of the tunnel.
Right now, we're looking at the Nera Rivermouth (Rivermouth). The water temp is sitting at about 73°F, which is pretty much normal for late August. The start of this run isn't anything to write home about. Wednesday the 26th has some clean, rideable waves in the 4-4ft range with a 14-15 second period, and light offshore winds. It's surfable, but the energy is weak and the direction is a bit off for this spot. Thursday morning stays clean and small, but the swell fades through the day and the surface goes glassy, which is nice, but there's just not enough push.
From Friday the 28th, it all turns to mush. The wind goes onshore and the wave heights drop right off. We’re looking at a solid stretch of tiny, chopped-up closeouts through the weekend and into next week. The wind stays strong and cross-shore, creating lumpy cross-chop. It’s a write-off for surfing. Honestly, with that strong cross-shore wind and small, weak swell, the setup here looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The combined swell energy is very weak, mostly in the low hundreds or less, like on the 31st when it's only at 66. There’s a long stretch of nothing from the 28th through the 1st of September.
Now, I know this seems grim, but here’s the thing. Mark your calendars for a week from now: Wednesday, September 2nd. The forecast is showing a proper pulse of groundswell. We're looking at a 6ft SSW swell with a 15-second period, which is a serious step up. The energy is strong, with the combined swell energy jumping to 1459. And get this – the winds are predicted to be light and offshore, right out of the SE. This is the standout window. The river mouth will have some proper shape and power, but it might be a bit much for beginners. It won't be perfect, but it's the best we're going to see. That Wednesday afternoon looks like it gets messy again as the wind swings, so the morning session is the one.
After that, the following week looks like more of the same – inconsistent, often small, with onshore and cross-shore winds. There are a few attempts at a pulse, like on the 9th of September with 5-5ft swell, but the wind is set to be strong and cross-shore, ruining any potential. It’s a case of watching and waiting, but that Wednesday morning is the true standout. The conditions can always change, but this is what we’ve got.
Rusty, out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 24°C on Thu afternoon, min 19°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 18°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 18 | S 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 18 | SSW 10 | SE 6 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
580 | 472 | 402 | 413 | 339 | 163 | 137 | 90 | 56 | 234 | 331 | 730 | 647 | 13 | 0 | 36 | 66 | 73 | 0 | 102 | 67 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross-off | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | glassy |
High Tide | 5:36PM1.12m | 4:41AM1.13m | 6:04PM1.16m | 5:22AM1.14m | 6:32PM1.19m | 6:03AM1.14m | 7:00PM1.21m | 6:48AM1.12m | 7:30PM1.21m | 7:35AM1.08m | 8:01PM1.21m | 8:29AM1.04m | 8:36PM1.19m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:49AM0.17m | 11:08PM0.59m | 11:23AM0.16m | 11:44PM0.54m | 11:55AM0.17m | 00:20AM0.50m | 12:27PM0.21m | 00:58AM0.45m | 1:00PM0.27m | 1:38AM0.40m | 1:36PM0.35m | 2:21AM0.36m | 2:15PM0.44m | 3:10AM0.33m | |||||||
6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | |
— | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 20 |
Feels °C | 21 | 21 | 21 | 24 | 26 | 24 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 18 | 17 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 11 | SSW 13 | S 10 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 |
580 | 472 | 402 | 413 | 339 | 163 | 137 | 90 | 179 | 234 | 192 | 730 | 647 | 617 | 493 | 387 | 66 | 262 | 929 | 1769 | 2281 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 6 | — | SSE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SSE 6 | SE 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 14 | S 20 | S 19 | SW 18 | SE 14 | SSW 14 | S 20 | SSW 11 | S 10 | SSW 10 | — |
14 | — | 16 | 11 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 51 | 56 | 47 | 331 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 36 | 7 | 73 | 282 | 102 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | — | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 13 | SE 6 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 8 | S 20 | S 19 | SE 15 | — | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 18 | SE 12 | — | — |
7 | — | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 8 | — | 7 | 7 | 109 | 6 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 3 | — | SSW 7 | — | — | — | — | S 11 | SE 6 | S 11 | S 11 | SE 6 | SSE 6 | SE 6 |
— | 20 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 41 | — | — | — | — | 639 | 67 | 388 | 514 | 113 | 88 | 67 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1292 | 1331 | 38 | 1292 | 543 | 550 | 1295 | 1357 | 1 | 1361 | 1338 | 1 | 1361 | 1271 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nera Rivermouth Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nera Rivermouth provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nera Rivermouth can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nera Rivermouth surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nera Rivermouth) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Nera Rivermouth, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Poro which is 38 km (24 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kouaoua which is 44 km (27 miles) away and Thio, 78 km (48 miles) away.











