Surf Forecasts:
Nera Rivermouth surf forecast from 20 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 25 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 26 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 15s period, SSW swell with 519 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 6s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nera Rivermouth this week:
The surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.1m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 19s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nera Rivermouth in the next 16 days are 1.1m 15s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 8s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 2PM (Tue 25th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Wed 26th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be straight up: this 16-day window is a tough one for Nera Rivermouth. We’ve got a long, dry spell ahead with hardly anything worth paddling out for. The first real suggestion of surf doesn’t show up until Tuesday the 25th of August, and even then, it’s nothing to write home about. Before that, we’re looking at days of flat, weak conditions or tiny, messy waves with no energy. Thursday the 20th through to Monday the 24th is pretty much a write-off – you’ll be better off waxing your board and staring at the ceiling.
The best chance you’ll get is around Tuesday the 25th and Wednesday the 26th. Tuesday afternoon sees a modest bump: swell around 4 ft from the SSW with a period of 15 seconds, which is a long-period groundswell. That’s enough to get some shape into the waves, especially at a river mouth setup like this, where those longer lines tend to hold up better. The combined energy sits at 485 (moderate). Wind is a cross-offshore from the ESE at 12 mph, so it’ll be pretty clean. Wednesday morning is just as good – 3 ft SSW swell, 15 seconds, with lighter cross-off winds at 6 mph. That’s your pick of the fortnight. These days are for surfers who know the break; the inconsistent nature of the spot means you’ll need some patience, but when the sets come through, they’ll be worth it. Crowds can show up sometimes, so keep an eye out.
After that, it fades fast. Thursday the 27th has some glassy moments in the morning with 3 ft swell, but the energy drops (326) and the wind shifts cross-shore by the arvo, killing the quality. From Friday the 28th right through to the end of the window, it’s mostly small, weak, and choppy. Water temp is around 73°F – pretty average for this time of year, nothing wild. The swell direction is consistently from the SSW, which is the optimum direction for this sheltered spot, so that’s one positive, but without size and clean winds, it doesn’t matter much. Short story: if you’re free on Tuesday the 25th or Wednesday the 26th, get out there. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game. Maybe the kites will have a laugh on the windier days, but for paddle surfing, this run is mostly a bust.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 23°C on Sat afternoon, min 18°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Mon morning, min 19°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SSE 10 | SE 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 9 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
0 | 88 | 38 | 16 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 74 | 178 | 357 | 485 | 491 | 422 | 376 | 305 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | off |
High Tide | 12:47PM0.90m | 11:37PM1.02m | 2:09PM0.92m | 00:36AM1.00m | 3:13PM0.95m | 1:37AM1.01m | 3:59PM0.99m | 2:31AM1.03m | 4:35PM1.03m | 3:18AM1.07m | 5:07PM1.08m | 4:01AM1.10m | 5:36PM1.12m | 4:41AM1.13m | |||||||
Low Tide | 5:47PM0.71m | 7:01AM0.36m | 7:06PM0.73m | 8:01AM0.33m | 8:15PM0.73m | 8:52AM0.28m | 9:09PM0.70m | 9:36AM0.24m | 9:52PM0.67m | 10:14AM0.20m | 10:31PM0.63m | 10:49AM0.17m | 11:08PM0.59m | ||||||||
6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
— | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 21 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 21 |
Feels °C | 18 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 23 | 21 | 20 | 24 | 23 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 10 | SSE 6 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 7 | SE 6 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 |
94 | 147 | 256 | 126 | 71 | 174 | 68 | 20 | 83 | 54 | 54 | 24 | 10 | 74 | 178 | 357 | 485 | 491 | 422 | 376 | 305 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 10 | SE 13 | S 10 | S 10 | SE 10 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 |
79 | 88 | 38 | 98 | 45 | 70 | 68 | 74 | 14 | 36 | 18 | 17 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 9 | 8 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 18 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | S 13 | SSW 9 | S 12 | S 16 | S 16 | SE 9 | S 9 | S 8 | SE 9 | SSW 11 | SE 14 | SE 13 | — | — | S 14 |
47 | 25 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 28 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 7 | 7 | — | — | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 9 | — | SE 8 | SSE 8 | — | — | SE 8 | — | — | SE 7 | — | — | SSE 5 | — | — | SE 6 | — | — | SE 6 | — |
— | 266 | — | 367 | 150 | — | — | 296 | — | — | 67 | — | — | 18 | — | — | 31 | — | — | 39 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 38 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1271 | 1 | 1 | 1292 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nera Rivermouth Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nera Rivermouth provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nera Rivermouth can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nera Rivermouth surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nera Rivermouth) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Nera Rivermouth, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Poro which is 38 km (24 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kouaoua which is 44 km (27 miles) away and Thio, 78 km (48 miles) away.











