
Surf Forecasts:
Nera Rivermouth surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 13s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, SSW swell with 2,740 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 25 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 20s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nera Rivermouth this week:
The surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 25) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 20s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nera Rivermouth in the next 16 days are 2.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.5m 15s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Sat 25th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 20s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s shaping up for Nera Rivermouth.
Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next 16 days are a real mixed bag, and for the most part, it’s looking pretty grim. You’re not going to see much worth paddling out for. The first few days are a washout. Saturday the 25th through Sunday the 26th offer tiny, wonky waves with a strong cross-shore wind, and the combined energy is barely a whisper (66 on Saturday morning). Forget it. There’s a solid gap of poor surf right through to the middle of the coming week.
There is one flicker of hope, though. Monday morning, the 27th of July. That’s your standout. The swell jumps up to a solid 6ft from the SSW, with a long-period groundswell of 12 seconds, and the combined energy ramps right up to 830 – that’s proper moderate wave energy. The wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze, which should keep the surface clean. It’s a big step up from the junk we’ve been seeing. It’s a river and beach setup, so that long-period SSW swell might wrap in nicely, but keep in mind, long-period swells can be a bit tricky on a beach break, so you’ll want to find the right bank. The crowds are listed as “sometimes” here, so you might have a few friends out, but it won’t be a circus.
Tuesday morning, the 28th, is a decent follow-up – 5ft from the SSW, still a clean cross-offshore breeze, and energy at 634. It’s a solid option, but Monday morning is the real prize. After that, the wind swings around and it all goes to custard. By Wednesday morning, it’s tiny and glassy, but just 1ft, and the energy is gone (88). From then on, it’s a long stretch of cross-shore winds and lumpy, poor surf conditions all the way into early August. The wind picks up big time, with fresh to strong breezes out of the SE, making it a messy, choppy mess. Honestly, for a stretch there, it looks more like a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session.
So, to wrap it up: if you’ve got a flexible schedule, make the call for Monday morning, the 27th of July. That’s the best shot you’ve got. For the rest of the run, it’s a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 21°C on Fri night, min 18°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Thu afternoon, min 18°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 4 | SSW 12 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 15 | SE 5 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSE 6 | SSW 12 | SE 5 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
3 | 28 | 32 | 292 | 0 | 77 | 1316 | 793 | 875 | 579 | 634 | 497 | 59 | 56 | 42 | 31 | 103 | 126 | 105 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 2:07AM1.06m | 4:25PM0.99m | 2:54AM1.07m | 5:05PM1.02m | 3:39AM1.09m | 5:42PM1.05m | 4:21AM1.11m | 6:15PM1.08m | 5:01AM1.13m | 6:48PM1.11m | 5:40AM1.13m | 7:20PM1.14m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:31PM0.71m | 9:21AM0.26m | 9:25PM0.70m | 10:03AM0.21m | 10:11PM0.68m | 10:42AM0.17m | 10:53PM0.67m | 11:20AM0.14m | 11:31PM0.65m | 11:55AM0.12m | 00:10AM0.63m | 12:29PM0.13m | 00:48AM0.61m | ||||||
— | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 20 |
Feels °C | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 11 | SSW 10 | S 10 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 15 | SE 12 |
40 | 28 | 32 | 292 | 2700 | 2577 | 1316 | 793 | 875 | 579 | 634 | 497 | 345 | 167 | 206 | 184 | 108 | 126 | 98 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | — | SE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 12 | SSW 14 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SSW 12 | SE 13 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SSW 14 |
17 | 4 | 14 | 80 | — | 5 | 11 | 12 | 5 | 178 | 33 | 32 | 28 | 56 | 62 | 114 | 106 | 75 | 105 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 19 | SSW 16 | SE 10 | — | — | SE 18 | SE 18 | SE 16 | SE 16 | — | — | — | SE 13 | S 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 |
— | 15 | 24 | 15 | — | — | 13 | 12 | 11 | 38 | — | — | — | 44 | 7 | 31 | 103 | 57 | 38 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 5 | SSE 6 | SE 11 | SE 5 | — | SE 5 | SE 5 | — | — | — | SSE 6 | SE 6 | SE 5 | — | — | SE 7 | S 5 |
3 | 23 | 25 | 43 | 31 | 77 | — | 37 | 37 | — | — | — | 59 | 32 | 42 | — | — | 54 | 11 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 38 | 1292 | 1297 | 0 | 1297 | 1358 | 0 | 0 | 1404 | 0 | 0 | 1361 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 858 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nera Rivermouth Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nera Rivermouth provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nera Rivermouth can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nera Rivermouth surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nera Rivermouth) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Nera Rivermouth, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Poro which is 38 km (24 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kouaoua which is 44 km (27 miles) away and Thio, 78 km (48 miles) away.










