
Surf Forecasts:
Nera Rivermouth surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.1m), 14s period, SSW swell with 474 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nera Rivermouth this week:
The surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nera Rivermouth in the next 16 days are 1.1m 14s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 14s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.1m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s be real – this outlook is a total dud. The whole 16-day window for Nera Rivermouth is flat, with hardly any surf worth paddling for. There’s a long stretch of tiny, weak waves and garbage conditions, so don’t get your hopes up.
Right now, Friday the 10th through to Thursday the 17th of July, the swell is a joke. We’re talking tiny 1ft to 2ft waves from the SSW or SW, with periods that are mostly short – around 14 to 20 seconds, but the energy is a total fizzer, barely cracking 100 (combined energy 98) on the best of the early days. The wind is a constant problem too, either cross or cross-onshore, making it choppy and messy. The water temp is sitting at 74°, which is about average for this time of year, so no complaints there, but it doesn’t help. The only slight glimmer is on Tuesday the 14th morning, when we get a clean cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is a pathetic 1ft and 9-second period (combined energy 16) – not even worth paddling for.
Then from Thursday the 16th, the swell tries to pick up a bit, hitting 3ft to 3ft, but it’s still a poor-quality, wind-affected mess. The energy climbs a little (combined energy 401 on the 16th morning), but the wind stays cross-on or onshore, so it’s just a choppy, blown-out affair. The best of the whole window is probably Friday the 17th morning, when we get a 3ft SSW swell with a 12-second period and light onshore wind (combined energy 404). It’s a marginal call, and the wave comment calls it poor surf, but if you’re desperate, that’s your only real shot. Still, the water temp is a fizzer, and the wind isn’t clean.
The rest of the month into the 25th is a downward slide. Swell drops back to 0.3ft to 2ft, energy plummets, and the wind stays cross or cross-on. There’s a solid 8-day gap of nothing worth mentioning from the 18th onward. Nera Rivermouth is a river and beach setup, so it’s sheltered and inconsistent, and this blank run is pretty normal for the area. It’s not a place that fires often, and when it does, it’s a rare treat. For now, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing with that cross-shore wind. Don’t hold your breath – forecasts can change, but this one’s a stinker.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Fri morning, min 18°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon afternoon, min 18°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SE 6 | SSW 9 | SE 6 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
98 | 146 | 121 | 147 | 95 | 149 | 127 | 149 | 85 | 50 | 48 | 58 | 16 | 15 | 41 | 65 | 98 | 201 | 306 | 236 | 383 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | off | cross | cross | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 2:48PM0.98m | 1:58AM1.21m | 3:55PM1.06m | 2:53AM1.23m | 4:54PM1.13m | 3:49AM1.26m | 5:48PM1.20m | 4:44AM1.27m | 6:38PM1.24m | 5:38AM1.28m | 7:26PM1.27m | 6:32AM1.25m | 8:13PM1.28m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:13AM0.25m | 7:59PM0.63m | 9:07AM0.14m | 9:07PM0.64m | 9:59AM0.04m | 10:08PM0.63m | 10:50AM-0.04m | 11:06PM0.62m | 11:40AM-0.08m | 00:01AM0.59m | 12:29PM-0.08m | 00:55AM0.57m | 1:17PM-0.04m | 1:49AM0.55m | |||||||
6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
— | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 10 | SSE 11 | SSW 10 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SE 10 | SSW 10 | SW 9 | SSW 12 | SW 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 |
928 | 1735 | 1278 | 615 | 390 | 177 | 128 | 82 | 82 | 70 | 49 | 21 | 15 | 23 | 41 | 41 | 98 | 126 | 306 | 236 | 383 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 15 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 16 | SSE 6 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSW 9 | SE 10 | SSW 8 | SSE 6 | SSW 13 | SW 9 | SSW 19 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | SE 9 |
372 | 146 | 121 | 176 | 232 | 173 | 104 | 149 | 17 | 69 | 40 | 26 | 24 | 14 | 13 | 65 | 37 | 201 | 95 | 149 | 13 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 20 | — | — | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SE 14 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SSW 16 | SE 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 12 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | — |
98 | — | — | 147 | 95 | 149 | 127 | 7 | 85 | 50 | 48 | 25 | 16 | 15 | 23 | 42 | 22 | 61 | 21 | 13 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 10 | SE 5 | — | SSE 4 | SE 6 | — | SE 6 | — | — | SSE 4 | SE 5 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 151 | 34 | — | 8 | 58 | — | 15 | — | — | 6 | 23 | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1291 | 543 | 38 | 518 | 858 | 0 | 38 | 858 | 1 | 38 | 1291 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 38 | 858 | 0 | 1292 | 38 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nera Rivermouth Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nera Rivermouth provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nera Rivermouth can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nera Rivermouth surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nera Rivermouth) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Nera Rivermouth, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Poro which is 38 km (24 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kouaoua which is 44 km (27 miles) away and Thio, 78 km (48 miles) away.










