Nera Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – this stretch of the Nera Rivermouth is looking pretty grim for a good stretch. We’ve got a real lull on our hands, no two ways about it.

We’re kickin’ off from July 5th, and honestly, for the next two weeks, there’s nothin’ worth paddlin’ out for. The first week is a total write-off. From Sunday the 5th all the way through to Friday the 17th, every single session is flagged as poor surf conditions. We’re talkin’ tiny dribbles – mostly under 2ft – with cross or cross-onshore winds messin’ up any chance of a clean face. The combined energy is weak, with values mostly under 300 (like 20, 78, 259) which is just nothin’. The water temp is around 75°F, pretty normal for this time of year, but that’s about the only thing that’s average.

There are a few days in there, like Monday the 6th and Tuesday the 7th, where the swell bumps up to 4ft and even 10ft, but the wind is always cross-onshore and the comment stays “poor surf conditions.” That energy on July 7th hits 4649, which is strong, but with that dirty wind, it’s just a washing machine. Honestly, that setup would be more fun for a kite surfer than anyone tryin’ to paddle.

Then, finally, we get a glimmer. On Saturday the 18th of July, things start to look interesting. The morning session shows 8ft of SSW swell with a 14-second period – that’s a proper long-period groundswell. Combined energy is 3578, a solid pulse. And the wind? Light, easterly cross-offshore at 9 mph, making for clean conditions. The wave comment says “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers,” and you can bet that’s our standout. Just keep in mind, at 8ft, this is already pushing into expert territory, and Nera Rivermouth is an inconsistent river-and-beach break – it doesn’t always fire, but when it does, it can hold a good line. Crowds are listed as “sometimes,” so you might not have it to yourself, but it won’t be a zoo.

Sunday the 19th morning also looks promising – 8ft of SSW swell, 13-second period, combined energy 2535, and again light cross-offshore wind (ESE at 6 mph). Clean, solid, and punchy. But after that, the surf fades again into marginal conditions as we head into the 20th. The second week offers those two morning windows as the real highlights – nothin’ else comes close.

So, mark your calendar for Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th mornings. That’s when you want to be there. Before that? Save your wax.

Rusty.

Read more