Surf Forecasts:
Nera Rivermouth surf forecast from 18 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 25 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 14s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 26 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SSW swell with 435 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 19s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nera Rivermouth this week:
The surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 19s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nera Rivermouth in the next 16 days are 0.9m 16s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 26) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 8s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 19) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Mon 24th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 19s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Tue 25th Aug) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Wed 26th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer for the Nera Rivermouth stretch over the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it’s a tough one to write. For the first week, from now through to the end of August, the surf is just not cooperating. We’ve got a few pulses of swell, but the wind is a constant problem. Most days are plagued by a cross-shore or cross-onshore breeze, which is making a mess of what little wave energy there is. The combined swell energy is low, mostly under 100, and the wave heights are piddly. The best you can say is that there’s a bit of a long-period groundswell bump on the 24th of August, with a 1ft wave from the SW at a 20-second period, but that’s just not enough to overcome the wind. The water temp is sitting at 73°, which is pretty average for this time of year, so no complaints there.
The first real whisper of hope comes on Tuesday the 25th of August. Wednesday morning the 26th of August is the standout. The swell bumps up to 3ft from the SSW (16-second period), and the combined energy hits 424 - that’s moderate wave energy. The real kicker is the wind: it’s light and offshore from the ENE. That’s clean. For a river-mouth set-up that’s usually sheltered, this is the window. The wave comment says “expect good surf conditions”. It’s a beginner-friendly break, and it’s inconsistent, so you’ll be waiting for sets, but the quality should be there for a few fun ones. The crowd factor is "sometimes", so you might have company, but for a weekday morning, it could be quiet.
After that, the outlook fades fast. The wind swings back to the cross and cross-on directions, and the wave energy drops again. By the 29th of August, swell height climbs to 5ft, but with a cross-onshore wind from the S, it’s just a messy, choppy wall. Not worth the paddle.
Heading into the first week of September, the pattern stays poor. There’s a pulse on the 1st of September with 5ft swell from the SSW, but the wind is a strong cross-shore, making it lumpy. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. The 3rd of September sees a bigger 4ft swell with a long period of 19 seconds, and combined energy of 847 – that’s strong wave energy – but the fresh cross-shore wind will ruin it.
So, the bottom line: if you’ve got a board and a desperate need to get wet, make the call for Wednesday morning, the 26th of August. It’s the only clean window in the whole 16-day run. The rest of the time, it’s a flat, choppy, or blown-out mess. For a spot that’s inconsistent, a blank run like this is more normal for the area. Don’t lose hope, forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Fri afternoon, min 18°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SE on Wed afternoon, light winds from the ENE by Thu night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Mon morning, min 19°C on Sat morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | Monday 24 | Tuesday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSE 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SSE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | SE 9 | SW 18 | SW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
207 | 135 | 85 | 0 | 88 | 38 | 16 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 98 | 246 | 353 | 394 | 269 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 11:23AM0.92m | 10:47PM1.07m | 12:47PM0.90m | 11:37PM1.02m | 2:09PM0.92m | 00:36AM1.00m | 3:13PM0.95m | 1:37AM1.01m | 3:59PM0.99m | 2:31AM1.03m | 4:35PM1.03m | 3:18AM1.07m | 5:07PM1.08m | 4:01AM1.10m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:37PM0.64m | 5:57AM0.37m | 5:47PM0.71m | 7:01AM0.36m | 7:06PM0.73m | 8:01AM0.33m | 8:15PM0.73m | 8:52AM0.28m | 9:09PM0.70m | 9:36AM0.24m | 9:52PM0.67m | 10:14AM0.20m | 10:31PM0.63m | ||||||||
6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
— | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 24 | 24 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 20 |
Feels °C | 15 | 14 | 13 | 18 | 16 | 20 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 24 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSW 13 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSW 15 | S 9 | SSE 8 | S 10 | SSE 12 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 7 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
244 | 135 | 227 | 117 | 88 | 256 | 150 | 71 | 174 | 73 | 120 | 61 | 53 | 54 | 41 | 40 | 46 | 246 | 353 | 394 | 269 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | S 10 | SE 12 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 11 | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SW 20 | SE 7 | SE 6 | SSW 10 | SSE 5 |
121 | 56 | 43 | 59 | 26 | 38 | 96 | 34 | 68 | 67 | 28 | 14 | 21 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 98 | 22 | 10 | 9 | 11 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | SW 20 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SE 10 | S 18 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 16 | S 16 | SE 12 | SW 18 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 10 | SE 14 | — |
207 | 16 | 85 | 47 | 23 | 6 | 16 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 7 | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 10 | — | SSE 8 | — | SE 8 | SSE 7 | — | — | SE 10 | — | SE 7 | SE 7 | — | — | SE 8 | — | — | SE 5 | — |
455 | 275 | 480 | — | 180 | — | 401 | 146 | — | — | 341 | — | 75 | 99 | — | — | 109 | — | — | 11 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1297 | 1297 | 1 | 1 | 1361 | 1 | 1271 | 1271 | 1 | 1 | 1292 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1295 | 1310 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nera Rivermouth Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nera Rivermouth provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nera Rivermouth can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nera Rivermouth surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nera Rivermouth) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Nera Rivermouth, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Poro which is 38 km (24 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kouaoua which is 44 km (27 miles) away and Thio, 78 km (48 miles) away.











