
Surf Forecasts:
Nera Rivermouth surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 15 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 10s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 11s period, SSW swell with 469 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 13 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nera Rivermouth this week:
The surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 10s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nera Rivermouth in the next 16 days are 1.4m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sat 15th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty again. Let’s break down the Nera Rivermouth situation in feet and miles per hour.
Truth is, it’s a rough 16-day stretch. The Nera Rivermouth is a sheltered, inconsistent river-and-beach spot that needs a solid southwest swell to come alive, and the numbers just aren’t stacking up.
We’re looking at a gap of poor conditions from August 9th all the way through August 24th. There’s a little pulse of energy around August 14th and 15th, with combined swell energy hitting 460 and 484 (moderate wave energy), but the period is short (10 to 11 seconds), and the wind is cross or cross-onshore at 12 to 18 mph. That’s going to be choppy and lumpy. The swell height gets up to 5 feet on the Saturday morning of August 15th, but with that wind and short period, it’s a messy, blown-out mess. This setup honestly looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The only windows that look clean are the glassy mornings on Tuesday August 11th and Wednesday August 12th, but the swell is tiny – 0.3 feet to 0.7 feet – with combined energy under 40 (weak wave energy). You’d be waiting for a ripple.
There are no standouts here. The best you could do is a very early, very patient longboard session on one of those glassy mornings, but it’s a gamble. The water temperature is about average for the time of year.
The second week doesn’t offer any hope either. By August 20th, the wind is cranking at 28 to 31 mph from the south, and by August 21st, the swell flatlines to zero. A blank run like this is pretty normal for this area.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Sun morning, min 18°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Wed morning, min 18°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 9 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 8 | SSW 15 | SSW 7 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 13 | SW 11 | SSW 10 | SW 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
18 | 9 | 12 | 25 | 16 | 30 | 26 | 10 | 21 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 30 | 25 | 60 | 111 | 128 | 349 | 327 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 1:40AM1.16m | 3:51PM1.09m | 2:43AM1.19m | 4:44PM1.16m | 3:42AM1.23m | 5:31PM1.22m | 4:37AM1.25m | 6:15PM1.27m | 5:31AM1.26m | 6:56PM1.29m | 6:23AM1.23m | 7:35PM1.29m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:52AM0.12m | 9:06PM0.66m | 9:47AM0.04m | 10:05PM0.62m | 10:37AM-0.01m | 10:58PM0.57m | 11:24AM-0.03m | 11:48PM0.52m | 12:08PM-0.01m | 00:37AM0.48m | 12:51PM0.06m | 1:25AM0.44m | |||||||
— | 6:26 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 19 |
Feels °C | 21 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 19 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 18 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 9 | SE 12 | SSE 4 | SSW 8 | SSE 5 | S 5 | S 6 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SSW 18 | SSW 11 | SW 15 | SW 10 | SW 11 | SSW 10 | SW 10 |
20 | 12 | 7 | 25 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 12 | 60 | 76 | 128 | 349 | 327 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 10 | SE 14 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSE 11 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SSE 6 | SSW 16 | SW 11 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 |
18 | 9 | 7 | 8 | 16 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 36 | 4 | 25 | 29 | 111 | 78 | 111 | 100 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | SSE 14 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SE 12 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SW 7 | SE 10 | SW 13 | SW 8 | WSW 7 | SSW 18 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 13 |
8 | 19 | 12 | 25 | 23 | 30 | 26 | 10 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 5 | 5 | 7 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 11 | SSE 3 | SE 4 | SSE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 6 | — | SSW 6 | — | — |
— | — | 32 | 1 | 5 | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | 39 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 4 | 1292 | 38 | 1 | 38 | 1297 | 65 | 115 | 141 | 115 | 65 | 864 | 4 | 1292 | 1292 | 1292 | 1292 | 1292 | 1295 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nera Rivermouth Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nera Rivermouth provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nera Rivermouth can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nera Rivermouth surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nera Rivermouth) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Nera Rivermouth, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Poro which is 38 km (24 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kouaoua which is 44 km (27 miles) away and Thio, 78 km (48 miles) away.











