Surf Forecasts:
Nera Rivermouth surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 14s period, SSW swell with 1,591 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 30 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 12s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nera Rivermouth this week:
The surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 30) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nera Rivermouth in the next 16 days are 2.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.2m 16s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sun 30th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here, casting an eye over the Nera Rivermouth forecast for the next couple of weeks. Let’s get into it.
First thing you gotta know: this break is a rivermouth setup, so it’s a bit sheltered and tends to be inconsistent. The water’s sitting at 73°F right now, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The outlook starts slow, real slow. Friday the 28th and Saturday the 29th are a write-off – small, messy, and cross-onshore winds. Sunday morning shows a bit more size, about 5ft from the SSW, but the cross-onshore wind just chops it up. The wave energy on Sunday morning is moderate (572), but the quality just isn’t there. Monday and Tuesday are similarly poor with cross-shore winds and tiny surf. There’s a big flat spell from the 30th afternoon through the 1st of September.
Then things get interesting. Wednesday the 2nd of September is the first real standout. The morning brings clean conditions with light cross-offshore winds from the ESE, and the swell jumps to 7ft from the SSW with a 14-second period. That’s a solid groundswell with moderate to strong energy (1606). The wind is light, the break will have shape – this is a go. Just be aware, 7ft is getting toward the upper end for beginners, and with the rivermouth setup, it’ll have some punch.
After that, the surf gets more marginal through the 3rd and 4th, but there’s a sneaky window on Friday the 4th afternoon, where the wind goes cross-offshore and cleans up a 3ft SSW swell with a long 16-second period (energy 469). It’s not huge, but it’ll be smooth.
Now, the real highlight of the forecast is Friday the 11th of September. The morning session shows 7ft from the SSW, a very long 17-second period, light cross-offshore wind, and very strong wave energy (2213). This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. That kind of period and direction will push the rivermouth to its limit, creating deep, powerful lines. This one is a proper stand-out, but it’s a week and a half away, so keep your fingers crossed it holds.
A couple of other mentions: Wednesday the 9th of September morning has a big 8ft swell from the SSW, but with a shorter 13-second period and cross-shore winds. That’s big and a bit bumpy – really only for experts. And Thursday the 10th morning sees a clean 6ft from the SSW with 13-second period and light cross-offshore wind – another promising session, but the energy (1031) isn’t as strong as the 11th.
The forecast is a bit of a slow burn, but when it fires, it fires. The inconsistency of this spot means these clean, solid swells are precious. If you can wait, aim for the 2nd or the 11th.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 22°C on Fri morning, min 18°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Wed afternoon, min 17°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SE on Tue afternoon, calm by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 18 | SE 6 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SE 5 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
154 | 90 | 55 | 338 | 398 | 737 | 572 | 13 | 12 | 26 | 125 | 207 | 0 | 138 | 0 | 1591 | 50 | 0 | 703 | 692 | 0 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | cross-on | cross | off |
High Tide | 6:32PM1.19m | 6:03AM1.14m | 7:00PM1.21m | 6:48AM1.12m | 7:30PM1.21m | 7:35AM1.08m | 8:01PM1.21m | 8:29AM1.04m | 8:36PM1.19m | 9:31AM1.00m | 9:18PM1.15m | 10:44AM0.97m | 10:08PM1.12m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:55AM0.17m | 00:20AM0.50m | 12:27PM0.21m | 00:58AM0.45m | 1:00PM0.27m | 1:38AM0.40m | 1:36PM0.35m | 2:21AM0.36m | 2:15PM0.44m | 3:10AM0.33m | 3:01PM0.54m | 4:07AM0.31m | 3:58PM0.63m | ||||||||
6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
— | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | |
mm | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 |
Feels °C | 21 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 16 | SW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 11 | S 9 | SSW 15 | S 10 | SSW 18 | S 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 |
154 | 90 | 179 | 338 | 398 | 737 | 572 | 544 | 452 | 185 | 125 | 219 | 1690 | 2671 | 2339 | 1591 | 1270 | 943 | 703 | 692 | 469 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SSW 16 | SW 6 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 20 | S 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 11 | SE 13 | SSW 14 | SE 12 | — | — | — | — | SE 5 | — | — | E 10 |
7 | 51 | 15 | 231 | 247 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 59 | 7 | 207 | 6 | — | — | — | — | 17 | — | — | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 12 | SE 12 | ESE 8 | S 20 | — | SW 18 | — | SSW 16 | SE 13 | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
7 | 7 | 55 | 6 | 7 | 8 | — | 12 | — | 26 | 7 | 75 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 3 | SW 3 | SW 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 10 | — | SE 6 | — | SE 6 | SE 5 | — | — | SE 3 | — |
2 | 3 | 42 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 220 | 224 | 283 | — | 138 | — | 15 | 50 | — | — | 5 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 522 | 1357 | 543 | 543 | 543 | 0 | 1297 | 1361 | 1304 | 1338 | 1338 | 0 | 1271 | 1271 | 1 | 0 | 858 | 1 | 141 | 858 | 1 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nera Rivermouth Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nera Rivermouth provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nera Rivermouth can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nera Rivermouth surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nera Rivermouth) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Nera Rivermouth, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Poro which is 38 km (24 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kouaoua which is 44 km (27 miles) away and Thio, 78 km (48 miles) away.











