Surf Forecasts:
Nera Rivermouth surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 1 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 19s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 2 Sep, 5PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 14s period, SSW swell with 1,065 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 31 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nera Rivermouth this week:
The surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 31) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Nera Rivermouth in the next 16 days are 1.7m 14s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 16s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Mon 31st Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Tue 1st Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 19s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for our local stretch.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next week or so is a tough one. We’re lookin’ at a long dry spell of pretty meagre conditions. From Saturday the 29th of August all the way through to Friday the 4th of September, it’s a real struggle. The wind is mostly cross or cross-on, chopping up the water, and the surf quality is just poor. There’s a couple of bumps in size, but the wind is just not your friend. Saturday morning the 29th sees a 5ft SW swell, but with a 9 mph S cross-on breeze, it’s a choppy mess. The combined energy is moderate (569), but it’s just not clean. Sunday the 30th is similar – 5ft SW swell but with a 12 mph SSE cross-on, and the energy drops a bit to 582. Honestly, it’s a write-off for a paddle. The water temp is sitting at 73°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
We skip through a few more days of small, choppy slop, and then things get a little interesting around the 6th of September. Sunday morning the 6th is the standout window. We’ve got a 4ft SSW groundswell with a period of 15 seconds, and the wind goes glassy – a 3 mph ENE offshore breeze. That’s the kind of wind that turns a bloke’s head. The combined energy is a solid 604, so there’s some push there. For a rivermouth setup, this long-period groundswell could be a bit straight, but with that glassy surface, it’s your best chance for a clean, fun session. It’s still a beginner-friendly height, too.
The following week gets a bit more serious. Wednesday the 9th of September sees a pulse of bigger swell. Morning has 7ft SSW swell, and the afternoon pushes to 7ft, both from the SSW with a 13-second period. The wind is light – 6 mph cross-on in the morning, then light cross-shore in the arvo. The energy jumps right up: 1269 in the morning and 1574 in the afternoon. This is getting into moderate-to-strong territory. It’s a bit big for beginners, but for an experienced surfer, those light winds and solid groundswell will be worth a look.
The real heavy hitter shows up on Thursday the 10th of September. We’re talkin’ 8ft SSW swell, period of 15-16 seconds, and the combined energy hits 3185 in the morning, 3066 in the afternoon. That’s strong wave energy. The wind is a moderate SSE cross at 12-15 mph, so it’ll be a bit crumbly, but for a big-wave crew on a rivermouth, this is the moment. This is expert territory only – 8ft is big, and that long period means it’s gonna be powerful and walled up at a beach break. The rivermouth might straighten it out, but it’s the biggest, most powerful swell of the window.
After that, the wind picks up hard from the SE on Friday the 11th, hitting 18 mph, and the quality drops right off again. The 6ft swell is still there, but it’s a lumpy, cross-shore mess. The rest of the second week fades into small, windy slop.
So, to wrap it up: Sunday morning the 6th of September is your best bet for a clean, fun, glassy session on the 4ft SSW swell. For the big-wave hunters, Thursday the 10th of September is the standout for power and size, but it’s expert-only with that cross-wind. Don’t waste your time on the first week – it’s a bust.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Sun morning, min 18°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Tue afternoon, min 19°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 18 | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 5 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
398 | 811 | 582 | 492 | 12 | 50 | 123 | 265 | 0 | 72 | 50 | 23 | 1065 | 836 | 692 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 152 | 47 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:00PM1.21m | 6:48AM1.12m | 7:30PM1.21m | 7:35AM1.08m | 8:01PM1.21m | 8:29AM1.04m | 8:36PM1.19m | 9:31AM1.00m | 9:18PM1.15m | 10:44AM0.97m | 10:08PM1.12m | 12:09PM0.97m | 11:11PM1.09m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:58AM0.45m | 1:00PM0.27m | 1:38AM0.40m | 1:36PM0.35m | 2:21AM0.36m | 2:15PM0.44m | 3:10AM0.33m | 3:01PM0.54m | 4:07AM0.31m | 3:58PM0.63m | 5:14AM0.29m | 5:15PM0.69m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | |
5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:49 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 |
Feels °C | 16 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 15 | S 10 | S 18 | S 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 12 | SSE 5 |
398 | 811 | 582 | 492 | 495 | 241 | 123 | 214 | 1810 | 2105 | 1730 | 1240 | 1065 | 836 | 692 | 545 | 418 | 217 | 152 | 17 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | S 20 | S 19 | SW 18 | SW 18 | SSW 11 | SE 13 | SSW 14 | SE 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 6 | S 15 | SSW 16 | S 12 |
247 | 8 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 40 | 7 | 265 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | 17 | 26 | 72 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | S 20 | — | SW 18 | — | SSW 16 | — | SSW 20 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 9 | SSW 18 | S 11 | SSW 11 |
6 | 8 | — | 13 | — | 50 | — | 131 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 32 | 9 | 47 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | S 10 | — | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 9 | — | SE 5 | SE 6 | SE 5 | SSE 5 | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 5 | SE 5 |
— | — | — | 656 | — | 287 | 288 | 314 | — | 72 | 50 | 23 | 25 | — | — | — | — | — | 39 | 30 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 543 | 1361 | 1357 | 1297 | 1361 | 1357 | 1340 | 1338 | 0 | 1271 | 1271 | 1 | 1 | 1369 | 1 | 38 | 864 | 1 | 1291 | 1295 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Nera Rivermouth Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Nera Rivermouth provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nera Rivermouth can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nera Rivermouth surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nera Rivermouth) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Nera Rivermouth, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Poro which is 38 km (24 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kouaoua which is 44 km (27 miles) away and Thio, 78 km (48 miles) away.











