Nera Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Nera Rivermouth over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – this isn't looking like a classic run. The first proper surf we see is a tiny window on Sunday morning the 13th of September. We've got a weak 2ft SSW groundswell with a very long 20-second period, but the cross-shore wind is gonna put a bit of chop on it. The water’s sitting at 73°, which is about average for this time of year. The combined wave energy is weak (407), so don't expect much push. This is an inconsistent river-mouth setup, and it's sheltered, so it takes a lot to get it going. That morning is really the only shot for a couple of days.

Then we go into a real flat spell. Monday the 14th has a bit of a pulse in the morning – 5ft SSW at 18 seconds, with moderate cross-shore wind. That energy jumps up (1588), but it's still marked as marginal with questionable tide. Tuesday and Wednesday are duds, with barely anything on the charts. The 16th and 17th are a complete write-off.

We get a bit of a pulse again on Friday the 18th of September, but it’s messy. The swell is building to 7ft SSW (12 seconds) in the morning, and 8ft in the afternoon, but the wind shifts to a fresh cross-onshore, making it lumpy and choppy. The energy is solid (1362 and 1638), but the quality just isn't there for a paddle session.

Saturday the 19th pushes even bigger, with a 10ft SSW swell (14 seconds) in the morning – that’s expert-only territory, and with cross-onshore winds, it’s gonna be a washing machine. The energy reading is huge (2990), but the conditions are poor. This setup looks far more interesting for the kite crew than us paddle surfers.

Things settle down by Sunday the 20th. The morning brings a cleaner 4ft SSW groundswell (17 seconds) with lighter cross-shore wind and a moderate energy reading of 1003. It’s another marginal call, but it’s your best shot at something rideable that weekend.

It stays up and down through the following week. Monday the 21st has a nice 6ft SSW swell (15 seconds) and decent cross-shore wind, with good energy (1404), but again, it’s flagged as marginal. Wednesday the 23rd afternoon is interesting – a 5ft SSW swell (12 seconds) with a crisp cross-offshore wind, giving us a clean look. The energy is decent (889), and that’s the standout window in this whole second week.

Then Thursday the 24th of September is the big one on paper. We’ve got a 7ft SSW groundswell with a very long 19-second period, and the energy is massive (3551). But it’s cross-onshore, and the period is so long it’ll be lining up funny for a beach/river break. It’s still a powerful, expert-only wave.

After that, it just fades out through the 25th to the 28th. The 26th and 27th are basically flat, with tiny leftover energy.

The bottom line: If you’re desperate, Sunday morning the 20th of September is the pick of the first week. For the second week, keep an eye on Wednesday afternoon the 23rd and Thursday morning the 24th, but they’re not guaranteed. It’s a patchy forecast with lots of waiting between sessions. Stay tuned, forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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