Nera Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, I’m Rusty, and reckon I’ve got the local skinny on what’s comin’ our way at Nera Rivermouth. It’s a sheltered river and beach setup, best when a solid SW groundswell lines up with a clean offshore, but it’s an inconsistent little spot that can be real fickle. Right now, we’re lookin’ at a long, quiet stretch before any real hope shows up. Water temp’s sittin’ around 74°F for Tuesday the 14th, which is pretty average for this time of year, so nothin’ to write home about on that front.

First off, Tuesday the 14th and Wednesday the 15th are a complete write-off. We’re talkin’ tiny dribbles of 0.7ft to 1ft from the SSW, with weak wave energy (32 to 141) and poor surf conditions. Light cross-off winds are blowin’, but there just ain’t enough swell to even bother paddlin’ out. Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th see the swell creep up to 2ft–3ft from the southwest, with moderate energy (218–298) and clean conditions thanks to light offshores. It’s surfable, but very ordinary – you’d be scratchin’ for a ride.

Now, things start to look a bit more interestin’ on Saturday the 18th. The swell pushes to 3ft–4ft from the SSW, with moderate to strong combined wave energy of 497 to 743, and those long-period groundswell lines around 17 seconds will give the waves some real shape and power. Winds are light cross-off, keepin’ it clean. This is the standout session of the whole forecast window – the best on offer. However, because the period is so long, that SSW groundswell might break a bit straight across this beach-and-river break, so you’ll want to pick your peak carefully. That said, Saturday arvo with 4ft of clean, long-period swell is where you wanna be.

Sunday the 19th is a letdown, with the swell droppin’ and wind turnin’ onshore, makin’ for marginal conditions. Then from Monday the 20th right through to the 29th, it’s mostly a mess. We get a solid week or so of poor surf, with strong onshore winds, choppy conditions, and generally weak or junk swell. The 23rd of July even sees a quick spike of 5ft from the SSW, but with a short, weak 10-second period and onshore wind, it’s a sloppy hell of a closeout – only for the brave or the foolish.

There is a glimmer on Tuesday the 28th, with a glassy morning and 2ft from the SSW on a 16-second swell – very clean but tiny. Then Wednesday the 29th arvo brings the last shot: 3ft from the SSW, 13-second period, with moderate energy of 609 and clean conditions from a light cross-off breeze. It’s not a world-beater, but after all that dross, it’ll feel like a gift.

So to sum it up: the real highlight is Saturday the 18th. After that, the forecast turns into a long spell of junk. If you can’t get out on the 18th, keep an eye on the 29th, but that’s a long way off and less certain.

-Rusty

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