Nera Rivermouth Surf Break

Lat Long: 21.62° S 165.46° E

Nera Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 10 pm 14 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Nera Rivermouth sea temperature is
23.3° C
0.3° 

Nera Rivermouth surf forecast from 14 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 14s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 20 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 19s period, SSW swell with 980 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 15 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 12s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Nera Rivermouth this week:

The surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 15) at 8PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 20s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Nera Rivermouth in the next 16 days are 1.2m 19s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 20) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 8s period and expected on Monday (Jul 20) at 5AM.

Wave TypeTime (+11) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8PM (Wed 15th Jul)2.5ft (0.7m) 12s
Best Surf 5PM (Thu 16th Jul)3.5ft (1.0m) 14s
Most Powerful 5AM (Mon 20th Jul)4ft (1.2m) 19s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Nera Rivermouth over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s coming up at Nera Rivermouth over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it’s a slow start. There’s no worthwhile surf to speak of until Thursday the 16th, so you’re looking at a couple of days of flatness or junk. The first real glimmer comes Thursday morning with a 3ft SSW swell, but the period is a long 16 seconds which means those waves will be holding up shape nicely off the river mouth, though the sets will be spaced out. The cross-offshore breeze keeps things clean, but the energy is moderate (368) and the conditions are described as very ordinary, so don't expect much.

Friday the 17th stays small with 3ft SSW at 12 seconds in the morning, and a proper offshore wind from the NE. That’s a clean setup for a beginner-friendly river mouth break, but again, it’s far from pumping. Saturday the 18th is where things start to get interesting. The morning brings a solid 3ft SSW swell with a long 17-second period, combined with a light cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy jumps to strong (584) and the surf report says “expect good surf conditions.” That Saturday morning window is a standout – clean lines, manageable size, and decent push for a sheltered spot.

Sunday the 19th shows a bump in swell height to 3ft, but the period drops to 14 seconds and the wind turns cross-shore, creating some chop. The energy is high (756) but the quality is marginal due to tide and wind. Not bad, but not the best of the stretch.

Monday the 20th and Tuesday the 21st are write-offs. Onshore winds and rain ruin any chance of clean surf. Wednesday the 22nd is even worse, with tiny 1ft waves and onshore wind. From the 23rd through the 25th, it’s a total dry spell – barely a ripple, strong cross-winds, and energy readings in the teens to 50s. You’d be better off doing something else.

Things finally start to look up again on Sunday morning the 26th. A tiny 1ft SSW swell at 14 seconds with light cross-offshore winds and a bit of energy (137) makes for a very ordinary session. Not worth getting excited over.

Then, Monday the 27th morning brings real promise: 3ft SSW with a long 17-second period, light cross-offshore wind, combined energy of 456 (“good surf conditions”). That’s a solid session for the rivermouth – clean, consistent enough, and not too big. Tuesday the 28th is the absolute pick of the whole outlook. The swell builds to 4ft Tuesday morning and 4ft in the afternoon, both from SSW with 17/16-second periods, light cross-offshore winds, and combined energy in the 700s. That’s strong, clean, and well-shaped – the best on offer. Wednesday the 29th morning holds up with 3ft and lighter winds, still good, but the afternoon gets choppy with a 12 mph cross-offshore.

So here’s the takeaway: if you’re looking for the best windows, lock in Saturday the 18th morning for a clean, punchy session, and then Monday the 27th morning and especially Tuesday the 28th for the standout waves of the whole period. Longer-period groundswell means the river mouth will handle it well, and the light offshore winds will keep it glassy.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 24°C on Fri afternoon, min 19°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Heavy rain (total 73mm), heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 24°C on Sat morning, min 20°C on Sun afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
Friday
17
Saturday
18
Sunday
19
Monday
20
Tue
21
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
1
2
1
1
1
1
2
2
2
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.4
SSW
11
0.4
SSW
13
0.6
SSW
12
0.5
SSW
18
0.8
SSW
16
1
SSW
14
0.9
SSW
13
0.7
SSW
12
0.7
SW
12
0.7
SW
11
0.9
SSW
17
1.1
SSW
17
1
SSW
15
0.6
SSW
21
0.9
SSW
20
0.9
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
17
1.1
SSW
17
0.9
SSW
16
0.2
WSW
7
0.9
SSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
47
67
96
184
295
402
277
129
142
115
428
665
451
356
561
469
498
689
429
5
273
Wind (km/h)
5
ENE
10
E
15
SE
5
NE
5
ESE
10
ENE
10
ENE
15
NE
15
NE
10
NE
20
NNE
5
E
5
S
10
SSE
15
SE
5
W
10
SW
20
SW
15
SSW
20
SSW
25
SSW
Wind State
off
cross-off
cross
off
cross-off
off
off
off
off
off
off
cross-off
glassy
cross
cross
glassy
on
on
on
cross-on
on
High Tide
5:38AM1.28m
7:26PM1.27m
6:32AM1.25m
8:13PM1.28m
7:27AM1.20m
8:58PM1.28m
8:24AM1.13m
9:41PM1.26m
9:25AM1.05m
10:23PM1.23m
10:32AM0.97m
11:05PM1.18m
11:48AM0.92m
Low Tide
00:01AM0.59m
12:29PM-0.08m
00:55AM0.57m
1:17PM-0.04m
1:49AM0.55m
2:04PM0.04m
2:45AM0.52m
2:50PM0.16m
3:43AM0.50m
3:36PM0.29m
4:44AM0.46m
4:25PM0.42m
5:46AM0.43m
5:18PM0.54m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
rain showers
cloud
mod rain
heavy rain
mod rain
light rain
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:35
6:35
6:35
6:35
6:35
6:35
6:35
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:30
5:31
5:31
5:32
5:32
5:32
5:34
 mm
4
1
3
6
50
9
4
1
1
2
Temp °C
20
22
22
21
21
20
21
23
24
22
24
22
21
21
20
20
22
22
21
21
21
Feels °C
18
21
20
20
21
21
22
23
24
23
22
23
24
21
21
21
22
22
21
19
17
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Nera Rivermouth Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Nera Rivermouth provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Nera Rivermouth can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Nera Rivermouth surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Nera Rivermouth) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Nera Rivermouth may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Nera Rivermouth, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Poro which is 38 km (24 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Kouaoua which is 44 km (27 miles) away and Thio, 78 km (48 miles) away.

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