Nera Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m gonna level with you. The next couple weeks at Nera Rivermouth are looking pretty bleak. This is a sheltered, inconsistent spot that’s picky about swell direction and it just doesn’t have much to work with. We’ve got a solid 16-day window here, but honestly, there’s a big gap right from the start. The first few days have tiny swell and messy wind, nothing worth paddling out for. The real blank stretch runs from Wednesday 12th all the way through to Sunday 16th – that’s almost a full week of flat-to-poor conditions. The combined swell energy is weak, barely hitting 39 (early Wednesday) and then struggling to get past 100 for most of that time. The water temperature sits at 73°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Now, the one bright spot that shows up is Monday 17th August. The morning sees a bump in combined swell energy to 751 (that’s moderate energy) with a 4ft, 16-second groundswell from the SSW. The wind is cross-shore from the SE at 9 mph, so it’s a bit lumpy but rideable. The period is long, which means it’ll be powerful and better shaped for Nera’s river mouth setup, but it’s also gonna be a bit inconsistent. Still, this is the only time in the whole outlook where the waves have any real push. The best part of the day is the morning, but the afternoon gets wrecked by a fresh 19 mph cross-shore, turning it lumpy and messy. After Monday, the energy drops back into the weak range and the wind stays all over the place, with more cross and cross-onshore junk. The rest of the week and into the second week is a write-off – tiny waves, poor conditions, and lots of days with flat spells.

For the whole period, the only time I’d even suggest checking it is Monday morning 17th August. The swell is 4ft from the SSW, it’s a long-period groundswell, and the wind is manageable. But don’t expect anything special – this is a beginner spot that’s inconsistent, and the setups are dominated by cross-shore winds. If you’re a kite surfer, the stronger wind days in the second week might be more interesting than paddling in this slop.

Rusty.

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