Nera Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you: this is a grim outlook for Nera Rivermouth. The next 16 days are basically a write-off. We’ve got a long gap of nothing to start – the first few days are a total bust, and the pattern doesn’t improve. It’s not a great stretch for this spot, and honestly, it’s a patch that’s more likely to see you sitting on the bank than getting wet.

First up, Tuesday the 28th of July. The morning is flat as a tack – zero energy. By afternoon, a weak 5ft swell tries to show up from the SE, but it’s a short-period 6 seconds of windswill, and the cross-shore wind (12 mph) is ruining any chance of a wave. The water’s at 74°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year.

Wednesday the 29th is tiny. A 1ft SSW groundswell with a long 12-second period gives you a hint of shape, but it’s barely a ripple. The wind is light and cross-off, making it clean, but there’s just no push. The combined energy is a weak 29.

Thursday the 30th is the closest we get to a “maybe.” Morning brings a 1ft SSW groundswell with a very long 16-second period, and its combined energy gets up to 195. The wind is light and cross-off, so it’s clean. But it’s tiny, and the long period means it’ll roll straight through at this river-and-beach setup. It’s surfable but very ordinary.

Friday the 31st is the pick of a bad bunch. Morning goes glassy – zero wind – and there’s a 3ft SSW groundswell with a 14-second period. The combined energy is a moderate 236. It’s still small, but with the glassy conditions, you’d get a few clean, slow peelers if you’re patient. The afternoon turns to light rain and a slight cross-on wind, so that window is short.

From Saturday the 1st of August onward, it’s a hard pass. The swell bumps up to 3ft to 5ft, but the wind is a solid 16 mph cross-shore, creating a choppy mess. The combined energy spikes to 815 on Saturday afternoon, but it’s all wind-affected junk. The rest of the first week and into the second week is the same story: wind from the SSE or S, 9 to 19 mph, always cross or cross-on, with the swell never getting above 4ft and often dropping to barely 0.7ft.

By the second week, from the 3rd of August onwards, the swell is mostly a long-period ghost – 0.7ft to 2ft – but every session is blown out by a moderate to fresh breeze. The combined energy never gets strong enough to overcome the chop. On the 8th of August, a fresh 19 mph cross-on wind with a 3ft swell makes it look more like a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session.

Honestly, there’s no standout here. The only day worth a look is the morning of Friday the 31st of July for the glassy conditions, but you’ll be fighting for a knee-high wave. For the rest, save your energy. Forecasts can change, but this run looks pretty locked in.

Rusty.

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