Nera Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, the surf's been flat for days, but let's look at what's coming up for Nera Rivermouth. It's a sheltered river-and-beach setup, best with a southwest swell, but the wind's been a real issue for most of the run.

The forecast starts with a real dud. Tuesday the 28th of July, we've got a 4ft SE windswell, period a weak 6 seconds, and a cross-offshore breeze. The combined energy is only 102, so it's weak. The water is 74°, which is about average for this time of year. The conditions are poor, so don't bother.

Wednesday the 29th drops right off, with a tiny 1.0ft groundswell from the SSW, period 12 seconds, but the energy is almost nothing at 29, and it's cross-offshore. Thursday the 30th is a write-off with tiny, weak swell and cross-shore wind. Friday the 31st of July morning is the first real glimmer. We've got a clean 3ft SSW swell, period 14 seconds, and glassy conditions. The combined energy is 236, so it's moderate. There's only a sniff of surfable waves, but that glassy wind is a major positive. It'll be small, but clean. That afternoon, the wind swings cross-on, so the window is small.

The first weekend of August is a total loss. Saturday the 1st and Sunday the 2nd are hammered by strong SE winds, 15-22 mph, with a lumpy cross-chop. The swell is there, 3ft to 4ft, but it's blown out junk. The energy spikes up to 646 on Saturday afternoon, but it's just messy. Not worth a paddle.

Monday the 3rd is a non-event. Tuesday the 4th of August morning is the best bet in the whole outlook. The wind is a clean cross-offshore from the east at 9 mph, and we have a 3ft SSW groundswell with a long period of 19 seconds. The combined energy is a solid 433, so it's moderate to strong. The forecast says "expect good surf conditions." This is your standout. That long period will make the waves more powerful and shape up nicely on the river mouth bank, but the long gaps between sets will make it a bit of a patience game. It's a small day, but the quality will be there. The afternoon is still clean but with less energy.

The rest of the first week and into the second week is pretty bleak. The 5th of August is clean but small, with 2ft swell. The 6th is tiny. The 7th of August morning has a glassy 2ft, period 11 seconds, with 151 energy, so it's just surfable. But from the 8th of August onward, the wind picks up again from the SE, and it's mostly junk with a cross-chop until the 12th of August, when it cleans up but the swell is too small at 2ft to 2ft and short period. That 4th of August morning is the only real highlight.

So, the short story: Nera Rivermouth is looking pretty average for the next 16 days. The only session worth sliding into is the morning of Tuesday the 4th of August. It's small, clean, and has some decent energy for its size. The rest is a mix of too small, too windy, or both. If you're a beginner, the 3ft on the 4th is perfect, but the 4ft on the 8th might be a bit much for you with the onshore wind.

Rusty.

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