Nera Rivermouth Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s chew the fat on what’s brewing at Nera Rivermouth for the next two weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough run. The forecast starts with a whole lot of nothing. We’ve got a stretch of days from Friday the 4th right through the weekend where the swell is either tiny, the wind is chopping it up, or both. The energy is weak, with readings of just 32 on Friday morning and not much better through Saturday. The swell is from the SSW, but it’s just not working with the wind. This is a sheltered spot, and it’s living up to that reputation in the worst way.

The first real glimmer of hope shows up on Sunday, September 6th. Sunday morning is looking like the standout of the whole outlook. The wind goes glassy – dead calm, just a slight air – and that’s a major positive. The swell is a clean 4ft from the SSW, with a period of 14 seconds. That’s a proper groundswell, and it’s bringing some moderate energy with a combined reading of 812. It’s not massive, but it’s the best we’ll see for a while. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no need for a wetsuit just yet. The river mouth setup could be fun with that long period, but remember, this spot is inconsistent and rarely breaks. When it does, it can be a bit of a treasure hunt, and crowds are possible. Sunday afternoon bumps up to 5ft, but the wind picks up to a cross-shore, making it marginal.

After that, the week goes quiet again. Monday through Thursday is a mix of onshore and cross-onshore winds, with poor surf conditions and low energy. The swell sticks around 2ft to 3ft, but it’s all chop and no shape. Not worth paddling out for.

Friday, September 11th afternoon brings a bit of a pulse. The swell jumps to 5ft from the SSW, and the period is a very long 23 seconds. The combined energy is a strong 2212, but the wind is a moderate cross-shore. The forecast is marginal. That long period will make the waves powerful, but at a beach-and-river setup, it might break too straight. It’s more of a kite surfer’s proposition than a clean paddle session.

Saturday, September 12th morning is a strange one. The swell hammers up to 12ft from the SSW, with a period of 18 seconds. The combined energy is a massive 7387. That’s expert territory only – far too big for beginners. The wind is cross-shore, making it a messy, heavy beast. This is not a day for a casual surf. The afternoon goes flat.

Then we hit a real dead zone. From Saturday afternoon of the 12th all the way through to the morning of Wednesday, September 16th, there’s basically no swell. The combined energy readings are zero for most of those days. The wind is cross-shore, and the water is flat.

The run finally gets a little interesting again on Friday, September 18th. The morning shows 3ft from the SSW, but the wind is offshore from the NE at 25 km/h. That’s clean. The afternoon is even better – 4ft from the SSW, with a period of 12 seconds, and a moderate offshore wind. The combined energy is 406 (moderate), and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” For a brief moment, it looks like a proper session. Saturday morning the 19th has a very long 22-second period, but the swell is only 1ft, so it’s a tease.

So, to wrap it up: the one true standout is Sunday morning, September 6th, with that glassy 4ft groundswell. If you can get out of bed early, that’s your moment. Friday the 18th afternoon is a promising second call, but it’s a long way off and the forecast might change. The rest of the window is a tough slog. Nera Rivermouth is a fickle break, and this forecast shows exactly why.

Rusty out.

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