Nanwan Beach (South Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty comin' at ya from Nanwan Beach (South Bay) – and I gotta be straight with ya, it's lookin' like a slow start. We've got a bit of a wait on our hands before any real action shows up.

The first half of this week is pretty flat. The wind's all wrong, the swell is tiny and weak, and the combo energy is barely registering. It's a write-off for a paddle.

Then, out of nowhere, Wednesday morning (8th July) things flip. We've got a clean 7ft swell rollin' in from the east with a solid 19-second period. That's proper groundswell energy, and with a light cross-offshore breeze, the lineup is gonna look smooth. The combined energy jumps to 3273 – that's got some real weight behind it. This is a standout for the forecast, but it's already gettin' big. That swell builds fast.

By Wednesday afternoon, we're lookin' at a thumping 10ft east-southeast swell at 19 seconds. The energy is up to 5804. The wind stays cross-off, so the face will be clean, but this is now a big-wave session. This ain't for beginners – this is for the crew who can handle a heavy, long-period groundswell. The water is warm at 86°, which is just about normal for this time of year.

The standout window is Wednesday 8th July. That morning session is the sweet spot before it gets too serious. If you're experienced, Thursday morning (9th July) is also incredible – 13ft of east swell with a clean offshore wind from the NNW. But I have to warn you, the forecast says it's predicted to be too big for this break. The energy is at 8890; we're talking a proper pulse. You'd need to know the spot inside out, and a reef setup might handle it better.

Thursday afternoon brings a perfect offshore breeze (NNW, 15 km/h) with the same 13ft swell. It'll be glassy, but again, it's a beast.

Friday (10th July) is even bigger, with a 16ft to 18ft east swell. The energy values are over 15,000 – that's massive. The winds are off or cross-off, so the conditions are clean, but the size is plain dangerous for anyone not at the top level of big-wave surfing. It's a "for experts only" kind of day.

Then from Saturday 11th July onward, the wheels fall off. A storm hits. We're talkin' 62 mph winds from the west, risk of thunderstorms, heavy rain. The swell direction flips to the southwest and the period drops to 9-10 seconds. The sea state becomes a total mess: cross-onshore, lumpy, choppy. The energy stays high, but it's all wind-affected junk. This is kite-surfing territory, not for a surfboard.

The rest of the second week is a write-off. Consistent stormy onshore flow from the south and southwest, dropping swell, and the combined energy fades to under 1000 by the 20th. There's nothing else worth a paddle.

So, the headline: Wednesday 8th July morning is the best bet. Get it while it's clean and before it gets too big. After that, it's either for hardcore chargers only, or a complete mess. No other real standouts in the 16-day window.

That's the picture from here.
Rusty

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