Nanwan Beach (South Bay) Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin' for Nanwan Beach (South Bay) over the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water's sittin' at 86°, which is about 2° warmer than the normal for this time of year – nothin' too weird, just a touch on the warm side for the start of the outlook.

The pattern for the next 16 days starts with a bit of a tease. Tuesday the 7th is a write-off, just small, lumpy, cross-onshore junk. But don't get discouraged, because Wednesday the 8th is when things turn on. The morning at Nanwan Beach is lookin' real clean with a solid 6ft easterly groundswell, a 16-second period, and a nice 15 km/h cross-offshore wind from the WNW. The energy's already kickin' at 1883 (moderate), and the waves will be shapin' up nicely with those clean conditions. This is the standout session for the next week. The swell direction is from the ESE but the optimum for this break is SE, so it's in the ballpark, making for some good, rippable walls. Crowds are often here, so expect some company.

Thursday the 9th sees the swell jump to 12ft easterly, period still 17 seconds, and the winds stay clean and offshore from the NNW in the afternoon. However, this one's too big for most – over 8ft, so it's expert territory only. The combined energy is massive at 7352 (very strong). Friday the 10th is even bigger: 18ft, 18-second groundswell, and gale-force cross-offshore winds at 22 mph. The energy readings are off the charts (18405), but it's going to be a wild, powerful beast. Only for the absolute top-tier experts, and frankly, the wind is howlin'.

Then everything goes to shit. From Saturday the 11th through to around the 16th, it's a long stretch of poor, messy surf. The winds turn ugly – gale-force cross-shore on the 11th, then a mix of stormy cross-shore and cross-onshore conditions. Swell drops, period shortens, and the wave quality is just terrible. A few days have marginal conditions, but nothin' worth paddling out for. You're lookin' at about a 5-day gap of real rubbish.

The end of the outlook, around Wednesday the 22nd of July, shows another pulse of southeast swell, around 10ft with a 10-second period, but the wind is onshore and choppy. It's a bit of a tease, but not a real standout.

So, the best bet? The stand-out window is Wednesday morning, July 8th. Get out there early for 6ft clean, long-period groundswell. Everything after that is either too big, too windy, or too messy for the average surfer. Enjoy it while it lasts.

- Rusty

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