
Surf Forecasts:
Mitchell's Bay surf forecast from 4 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 9 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 16s period, WSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 10 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 19s period, S swell with 1,092 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 6 Sep, 6AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 18s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mitchell's Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Mitchell's Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mitchell's Bay in the next 16 days are 1.2m 19s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 10) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 3.5m 14s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Wed 9th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Thu 10th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mitchell's Bay over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 11°C on Sat morning, min 4°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the W on Fri afternoon, calm by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Wed night. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 5°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Tue morning, fresh winds from the WSW by Thu morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 15 | S 17 | S 18 | S 19 | S 18 | S 16 | S 15 | ESE 4 | S 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 21 | WSW 12 | S 20 | S 18 | W 10 | S 16 | S 21 | S 19 | S 19 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
20 | 17 | 52 | 229 | 176 | 156 | 81 | 40 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 43 | 169 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 129 | 9 | 882 | 1081 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | glassy | glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:46PM2.15m | 7:29AM2.19m | 8:00PM2.13m | 8:42AM2.20m | 9:10PM2.18m | 9:48AM2.27m | 10:13PM2.27m | 10:47AM2.35m | 11:10PM2.38m | 11:41AM2.44m | 00:00AM2.48m | 12:30PM2.51m | 00:47AM2.56m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:13AM0.61m | 1:48PM0.72m | 2:23AM0.59m | 3:00PM0.67m | 3:33AM0.50m | 4:10PM0.56m | 4:36AM0.37m | 5:08PM0.43m | 5:32AM0.24m | 5:59PM0.31m | 6:22AM0.15m | 6:45PM0.24m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | |
6:21 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:29 | — | |
mm | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 2 | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
Feels °C | -1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 5 | -1 | -1 | -1 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 13 | S 18 | S 19 | WSW 16 | WSW 15 | WSW 14 | WSW 13 | WSW 13 | WSW 12 | WSW 12 | WSW 21 | WSW 19 | W 11 | W 10 | S 16 | S 21 | S 19 | S 19 |
20 | 17 | 32 | 229 | 176 | 3963 | 2846 | 1399 | 651 | 447 | 258 | 196 | 86 | 214 | 576 | 639 | 129 | 9 | 882 | 1081 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 10 | S 17 | SE 10 | S 9 | S 18 | S 16 | S 15 | S 10 | S 9 | W 18 | WSW 21 | W 21 | S 20 | WSW 18 | WSW 17 | ESE 8 | S 10 | SE 8 | — |
3 | 4 | 52 | 4 | 28 | 156 | 81 | 40 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 43 | 9 | 7 | 326 | 315 | 13 | 7 | 2 | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 7 | E 9 | SE 9 | — | S 5 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | — | S 13 | W 22 | W 16 | — | E 4 | S 18 | WSW 13 | SSW 12 | ESE 8 | — | — |
1 | 2 | 3 | — | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11 | — | 3 | 9 | 5 | — | 1 | 6 | 98 | 15 | 6 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | W 13 | W 14 | W 15 | W 16 | W 16 | WSW 16 | — | SE 15 | ESE 4 | SE 5 | — | — | WSW 12 | W 12 | — | W 9 | W 13 | W 19 | WSW 18 | WSW 18 |
3718 | 4041 | 4583 | 5032 | 5130 | 49 | — | 9 | 10 | 1 | — | — | 169 | 425 | — | 14 | 2753 | 7276 | 5109 | 6054 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 641 | 251 | 172 | 174 | 113 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 27 | 23 | 11 | 11 | 82 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 136 | 135 | 488 | 170 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Southland | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mitchell's Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mitchell's Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mitchell's Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mitchell's Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mitchell's Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mitchell's Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mitchell's Cove is 3 km (2 miles) from Santa Cruz. If you plan a vacation in Santa Cruz, look for hotels and other accommodation in Santa Cruz. Santa Cruz has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










