Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 6 am Wednesday 21 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay sea temperature is
21.2° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 22) at 4AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay in the next 12 days are 2.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jan 22) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jan 24) at 1PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 4AM (Thu 22nd Jan)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 22nd Jan)10ft (3.0m) 9s
Most Powerful 7PM (Thu 22nd Jan)8ft (2.5m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Heavy rain (total 64mm), heaviest during Wed afternoon. Warm (max 24°C on Thu morning, min 16°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Sun afternoon, min 15°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the WSW by Mon night).

Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Monday
26
Tuesday
27
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
2
2
2
3
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
1.8
E
1.7
NNE
3
N
1.8
N
2.4
NNW
2.2
NNW
1.7
NNW
1.2
NNW
0.9
NNW
0.8
NNW
0.7
NW
0.5
NW
0.3
N
0.3
N
0.4
ESE
0.5
E
0.5
E
0.6
ESE
0.6
ESE
0.5
ESE
0.5
ESE
Period(s) (?)87891111111012111110161512121211111111
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)461294136255612451230687274218157128544538457270100987068
Wind
(km/h)
15
ENE
25
N
15
NW
20
WSW
25
W
15
W
20
W
25
W
25
WSW
25
WSW
30
WSW
20
WSW
20
WSW
25
WSW
15
WSW
15
WSW
20
WSW
10
WSW
10
W
15
WSW
5
S
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
on
cross-
on
crosscross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
offcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
offoffoffoffoffcross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
10:24AM
2.03
10:34PM
1.87
11:01AM
2.06
11:15PM
1.88
11:39AM
2.06
11:58PM
1.87
12:19PM
2.04
12:44AM
1.86
1:02PM
2.01
1:34AM
1.84
1:51PM
1.95
2:30AM
1.83
2:45PM
1.89
3:32AM
1.82
Low Tide
/ height (m)
4:37PM
0.33
4:44AM
0.19
5:17PM
0.28
5:24AM
0.21
5:58PM
0.25
6:06AM
0.25
6:40PM
0.24
6:51AM
0.31
7:26PM
0.24
7:40AM
0.37
8:16PM
0.26
8:37AM
0.44
9:13PM
0.28
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
Friday
23
Saturday
24
Sunday
25
Monday
26
Tuesday
27
Sunrise6:31--6:33--6:33--6:35--6:35--6:37--6:37--
Sunset-8:38--8:38--8:38--8:37--8:37--8:37--8:36-
heavy rain
heavy rain
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
clear
rain showers
part cloud
Rain (mm)
133021----------------1-
Temp. °C222323242319222318171817192117212117212018
Feels °C (?)242321222018192014111214151714171716191918
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 54 km (34 miles) away.

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