Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle12 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 am Thursday 15 Jan 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay sea temperature is
21.1° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)


Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay over the next 12 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jan 16) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay in the next 12 days are 4.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jan 21) at 7PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jan 16) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Fri 16th Jan)3.5ft (1.0m) 7s
Best Surf 7AM (Sat 17th Jan)3.5ft (1.1m) 9s
Most Powerful 7PM (Wed 21st Jan)13ft (4.0m) 10s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay over the next 12 days.

Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Wed night. Warm (max 24°C on Fri morning, min 16°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Heavy rain (total 130mm), heaviest during Mon morning. Warm (max 21°C on Tue morning, min 17°C on Sun afternoon). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Sat night, strong winds from the ESE by Mon afternoon).

Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wed
21
NightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPM
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
0
1
1
1
1
1
0
2
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.4
NW
0.4
NE
0.7
NNE
1
NNE
0.8
NE
0.9
NW
1.1
NE
1
ENE
1.3
NE
1.4
ENE
3
E
3.5
E
3.5
E
3
E
2.5
E
3.5
ESE
3
ESE
3
ESE
3
ESE
3.5
E
4
E
Period(s) (?)1185781198998999999991010
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)4223271046919817614030730011421893174413611121187213311424156827443302
Wind
(km/h)
10
NNW
15
NNW
15
NNW
10
W
10
W
25
WNW
10
SSW
5
ESE
10
NNE
10
SSE
25
ESE
25
ESE
40
ESE
40
ESE
45
ESE
35
ESE
30
ESE
30
ESE
35
ESE
35
ESE
40
E
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
crosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
cross-
off
glassoncross-
off
cross-
on
crosscrosscrosscross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
cross-
on
High Tide
/ height (m)
6:00AM
1.67
6:04PM
1.64
6:53AM
1.72
6:56PM
1.67
7:41AM
1.79
7:44PM
1.71
8:26AM
1.86
8:29PM
1.76
9:07AM
1.93
9:12PM
1.81
9:46AM
1.99
9:53PM
1.84
10:24AM
2.03
Low Tide
/ height (m)
11:32PM
0.48
12:05PM
0.68
12:25AM
0.45
12:59PM
0.64
1:15AM
0.40
1:48PM
0.58
2:01AM
0.34
2:34PM
0.51
2:44AM
0.28
3:17PM
0.45
3:25AM
0.23
3:58PM
0.38
4:05AM
0.20
4:37PM
0.33
Thursday
15
Friday
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wed
21
Sunrise-6:26--6:26--6:28--6:28--6:30--6:31--6:31-
Sunset--8:42--8:40--8:40--8:40--8:39--8:39--8:38
rain showers
thunderstorm
rain showers
thunderstorm
clear
clear
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
heavy rain
rain showers
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
light rain
mod rain
Rain (mm)
3313-----11121166714----28
Temp. °C222323202424192121201918181819192121202019
Feels °C (?)232322202221182021211715131313131717161514
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder

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Information about the Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 12 days. A general guide to surfing at Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 54 km (34 miles) away.

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