Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay surfForecast / Northland / New Zealand

information circle16 Day Weather and Surf, issued 12 pm Monday 16 Mar 2026 NZDT
Forecast update in hr  min  s Forecast update imminent
Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.
Today's Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay sea temperature is
21.1° C
(Which is slightly warmer than usual)

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay this week:

The surf forecast for Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Mar 16) at 10PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 7s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay in the next 16 days are 2.2m 11s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Mar 20) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Friday (Mar 20) at 7PM.

Wave TypeTime (NZDT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)10PM (Mon 16th Mar)1.5ft (0.4m) 12s
Best Surf10PM (Thu 19th Mar)5.5ft (1.7m) 9s
Most Powerful 7AM (Fri 20th Mar)7ft (2.2m) 11s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 15°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 3-6 Weather Summary Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Fri afternoon, min 16°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light.

Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Thursday
19
Friday
20
Saturday
21
Sunday
22
AMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNightAMPMNight
Rating
(10 max)
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
0
2
2
1
3
3
2
2
2
2
1
1
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Wave Height (m) & direction (?)
0.4
N
0.4
N
0.5
E
0.5
N
0.5
N
0.6
N
0.6
N
0.6
N
1.3
E
1.2
E
1.5
ENE
1.9
E
2.1
E
1.7
ESE
1.5
ESE
1.1
ESE
0.9
ESE
0.5
N
0.5
N
0.5
N
0.4
NNE
Period(s) (?)1212818181717167791011111010913121212
Wave
Graph
(?)Metric surfscale
Energy kJ (?)454529159155202200193181159352646101068542423014988787647
Wind
(km/h)
10
S
5
NNE
10
S
10
SE
15
ENE
10
SSE
15
SE
20
E
10
SSE
5
S
10
NNE
5
WSW
5
SSW
10
NW
10
S
5
SSE
5
NNE
0
W
0
S
10
NNW
5
SSW
Wind State (?)
onshore
cross-onshore
cross-shore
cross-offshore
offshore
glassy
cross-
off
glasscross-
off
crossoncross-
off
crosscross-
on
cross-
off
cross-
off
onglassglasscrosscross-
off
cross-
off
glassglassglasscross-
on
cross-
off
High Tide
/ height (m)
6:47PM
1.68
7:19AM
1.86
7:35PM
1.78
8:01AM
1.96
8:21PM
1.90
8:42AM
2.06
9:04PM
2.00
9:22AM
2.13
9:47PM
2.08
10:03AM
2.16
10:31PM
2.13
10:46AM
2.16
11:17PM
2.14
Low Tide
/ height (m)
12:46PM
0.56
12:59AM
0.40
1:33PM
0.43
1:45AM
0.31
2:17PM
0.29
2:29AM
0.23
2:58PM
0.17
3:13AM
0.16
3:39PM
0.07
3:56AM
0.13
4:21PM
0.02
4:41AM
0.13
5:04PM
0.01
Monday
16
Tuesday
17
Wednesday
18
Thursday
19
Friday
20
Saturday
21
Sunday
22
Sunrise7:24--7:24--7:24--7:26--7:26--7:28--7:28--
Sunset-7:43--7:42--7:39--7:38--7:37--7:36--7:35-
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
cloud
cloud
part cloud
rain showers
clear
clear
rain showers
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
Rain (mm)
-------------1--3----
Temp. °C212119202018212118212019212218202019202019
Feels °C (?)202018191818191918202020212117202221201920
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Motukahakaha and Paradise Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 54 km (34 miles) away.

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