Manglecito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. Rusty here, looking at the Manglecito stretch for the next 16 days.

You know, I’m looking at this whole 16-day window and it’s pretty flat out there. The overall pattern is a long, drawn-out period of tiny, weak swell with mostly cross-off winds. There’s a gap right at the start with no rideable surf, and it’s going to be that way for the better part of the first week and a half. Honestly, the first solid recommendation doesn’t come until late in the run.

Starting Monday morning, the 20th of July, we’ve got a tiny 1 ft north swell, period of 9 seconds, and the combined swell energy is weak (14). Winds are light cross-off out of the south at 6 mph, so it’s clean, but there’s just no power. That poor surf call runs right through every session until the 27th. Tuesday the 21st is even smaller, 0.7 ft, and it just fades out to zero by the afternoon. The whole week of the 20th to the 26th is a write-off—zero significant swell, just clean but flat water. That’s a long gap of 7 days with absolutely nothing to ride.

Then we get a tiny flicker of life on Monday the 27th of July. There’s a 0.7 ft swell from the NNW, but the period jumps to 13 seconds, which is proper groundswell energy. The combined energy though is still very weak (17). Winds are light cross-off. It’s still classed as poor surf, but that long period could wrap into the point at Manglecito (reef and point). It’s just too small to get excited about. That little pulse fades out quickly, and we’re back to zero through the 28th, 29th, and 30th with only tiny 0.3 ft to 0.7 ft NW and NNW swells showing up.

The end of the run, from the 31st of July right through to the 4th of August, is another flat stretch. There’s a tiny 0.7 ft north swell on the 2nd and 3rd of August, but with a short period of 8 seconds and weak energy (5), it’s barely a ripple. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual there.

So, the best—and really the only—standout moment in this whole 16-day run is the morning of Monday the 27th of July. That 0.7 ft, 13-second NNW groundswell is the only real swell of note, but it’s still tiny. Manglecuto is a fairly consistent reef and point break, and it’s rated for advanced surfers, but with these tiny conditions, it’s not going to offer much. Winds are light cross-off, keeping it clean, but the lack of size means it’s not a standout. No big swells, no clean offshore windows of note. For a stretch this long with no decent surf, unfortunately, it’s just a waiting game. Forecasts can change though.

Rusty.

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