Manglecito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a pretty quiet stretch ahead. The surf’s going to be small and not really doing much for a good long while. We’ve got a gap of no real surf on offer from now until the middle of the week, with the first bit of energy showing up on Wednesday, July 15th, but it’s nothing to get excited about. From there, it’s a long run of tiny, weak waves right through until the end of the month. There’s a bit of a pulse on the 19th, but it’s hardly a stand-out.

Let’s break it down. The only real showing in the 16-day window is at Manglecito, a reef and point break. It’s a fairly consistent spot, so it’s a bit of a shame to see it so flat. The first sign of life is Wednesday morning, July 15th, with a tiny 0.7ft swell from the north, period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is a weak 10. Winds are cross-offshore from the south at 12 mph, so it’ll be clean, but there’s just no power. That little 0.7ft to 1.0ft northerly slop hangs around on and off for the rest of the week and into the next, but the energy never gets above 14 – that’s next to nothing. The water temp is about average for the time of year down at Manglecito.

There is a bit of a curiosity on Sunday, July 19th, in the afternoon. A tiny 0.3ft swell from the northwest but with a very long period of 21 seconds. That’s a groundswell, but with only 0.3ft on offer and combined energy of 29, it’s more of a scientific oddity than something you’d paddle out for. Long period swells this small can sometimes wrap around points and reefs like Manglecito, but it’s a real gamble.

The best of a bad bunch, if you’re desperate, is the morning of Wednesday, July 23rd. You’ve got a 1.0ft swell from the north at 9 seconds, combined energy of 14, and clean cross-offshore winds from the south at 12 mph. It’s still tiny. Because the swell is so small and the period is under 11 seconds, it’s not going to have much shape or punch. For a beginner, anything under 5ft is fine, so this is safe, but there’s hardly a wave to ride. For an expert, it’s a bit of a non-event.

The same can be said for Monday, July 27th, in the afternoon, when a 0.7ft swell from the west-northwest with a 13-second period shows up, giving a combined energy of 30. That’s the highest energy reading in the whole period, but it’s still very weak. The long period means it could wrap around the point better, but with such a small size, it’s a long shot.

Overall, it’s a blank run. The area just isn’t producing. With a spot like Manglecote being fairly consistent, you’d hope something better turns up down the line, but for now, leave the boards at home. The wind is often clean, which is a tease, but the swell just isn’t there.

Rusty.

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