Manglecito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Well folks, it’s Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you. Looking at the charts for Manglecito, it’s a tough stretch. If you’re jonesing for waves, you’re gonna be waiting a while, because there’s a big ol’ dry spell at the start.

Right out of the gate, Friday the 7th through the first part of the weekend, we've got nothing. Flat. The water’s sitting at 78°, which is a good eight degrees warmer than it should be for this time of year – that’s a really unusual warm patch. The wind is light, mostly a cross or cross-offshore breeze, but it doesn’t matter because there’s just no swell reaching the coast. The ocean is a sheet of glass with nothing behind it.

The good news is the wind stays favorable, mostly light and cross-offshore through the weekend, with some clean, sunny conditions. Sunday morning, we see a hint of life, with a tiny 0.3ft swell rolling in – but that’s just a pulse, not a wave. It doesn’t make a difference. The next few days are the same story; Monday and Tuesday, we get a little more push with 0.7ft waves but a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy is weak, around 6. Your paddle-out will be a holiday, but you won’t have anything to ride.

We're looking at a long stretch of no surf. It’s not until Saturday the 15th, that the energy ticks up a notch. The swell dips to 0.3ft, but the period stretches out to a long 12 seconds, which is a proper groundswell. It’s going to be clean and the combined energy is still weak, but for this spot, it’s the first bit of real, organized swell. It might just be enough for a fun, small day. Still, keep your expectations low.

The following days hold a little more hope. Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th keep some 0.7ft and 1ft swell in the mix with periods around 9 seconds. The cross-offshore wind should hold. It’s clean, but still small, with moderate energy. There’s nothing here that's going to get your heart racing.

So, as I look through the whole 16 days, there’s no standout swell. The only thing worth mentioning is that Saturday the 15th offers the longest period (12 seconds at 0.3ft), which means it might just have a touch more shape than the short-period slop. The winds are consistently good, so if we were to snag a pulse of swell, the conditions would be clean. But as it stands, the surf at Manglecito is a no-go for the next couple of weeks. On the bright side, for a stretch like this, the winds are favorable, so it's just a waiting game for the swell to show up.

This is just one of those blank runs we get around here. Keep the board waxed for another time.

Rusty.

Read more