Manglecito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you – the 16-day outlook for Manglecito is a tough one to write. We’re looking at a long, dry spell with next to nothing in the water for the better part of two weeks.

The forecast period opens now, but the first real glimmer of surfable energy doesn’t show up until the morning of Friday, 14th August, and even then, it’s barely a whisper. Before that, we’ve got a solid 12 days of flat, poor surf conditions. From Sunday, 2nd August right through to Thursday afternoon, 13th August, the combined energy is virtually zero for most sessions, with a few fleeting moments of tiny, weak waves of 0.3 ft to 0.7 ft that are still classed as “poor surf conditions.” The wind is mostly a cross-off from the S or SSE, which is clean, but there’s simply no swell to work with. It’s a frustrating wait.

The standout, if you can call it that, is the morning of Friday, 14th August. Manglecito (reef and point) finally sees a tiny pulse of swell. We’re looking at a 1 ft wave from the N, with a period of 8 seconds, giving a combined energy of just 13 (weak). The wind is a gentle cross-shore from the SE, which will put a little texture on the surface. It’s small, but it’s the best we get. The afternoon of the 14th cleans up nicely with a cross-off breeze and a slight bump to 1 ft, 9-second period from the N, bumping the energy up to 28 (still weak). This is a beginner-friendly size, but don’t expect anything with punch.

Saturday morning, 15th August, offers a similar story: 1 ft from the NNE, 8 seconds, energy 22 (weak) with a light cross-off breeze. Again, tiny but clean. After that, the energy fades right back down into the single digits and low teens through to the end of the forecast period on Monday, 17th August.

The water temperature is worth noting. For the first mention on Sunday, 2nd August, the water is at a very warm 80°F, which is a whopping 10°F warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s incredibly unusual, so you’ll be in for a bath.

Honestly, if you’re desperate for a paddle, the 14th and 15th are your only realistic windows, and it’s strictly a longboard or foiling day. The setup is so weak and small that it might actually be more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddler, given the consistent cross-off breeze. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game. The break is fairly consistent, so it tends not to stay this poor for long, but this run is a real blank. Keep an eye on the charts, because things can change.

Rusty.

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