Manglecito Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty here. Look, I hate to be the bearer of flat news, but Manglecito is completely shut down for the next two weeks. The whole 16-day window shows nothing but poor surf conditions – scores all zero. That's a long stretch with no rideable waves. For a spot that's fairly consistent, this is pretty unusual, but it happens. The water is way warmer than normal for this time of year – sitting at 79°F with a 8°F anomaly, so that's a good 7 degrees above average. That's a sign something's off with the usual swell patterns.

Let me run through the dates. Starting Monday July 6 afternoon, we've got a tiny 0.7 ft from the north with a short 8-second period and only 5 units of energy. Cross-shore wind, but it doesn't matter – the surf is poor. Tuesday July 7 morning sees even less – 0.3 ft from the northwest, 10-second period, 7 energy. Afternoon a bit cleaner but still tiny. Wednesday the 8th, still 0.7 ft from north, 8 seconds, energy 6 to 8. And this pattern holds through Thursday the 9th, Friday the 10th, Saturday the 11th – all under 0.7 ft, never cracking double-digit energy. Then from Sunday July 12 through Monday July 14, absolutely flat – zeros across the board. No swell at all.

Wednesday July 15 morning we get a tiny pulse: 1.0 ft from north, 7 seconds, 10 energy – still poor. Then more zeros until Thursday July 16 morning – 1 ft from north-northeast, 8 seconds, 22 energy – the biggest bump of the first ten days. But still poor surf conditions. After that it drops back to 0.7 ft and 5 energy through Friday the 17th. Then another flat stretch from Saturday July 18 through Monday July 20 morning. Monday afternoon sees 0.7 ft from west-northwest, 10 seconds, 10 energy – again, poor.

The best of the whole run is Tuesday July 21 afternoon: 0.7 ft from west-northwest, long 18-second period, 49 energy. That's a proper groundswell pulse, but tiny – only 0.7 ft. With that long period, Manglecito as a reef and point could handle it, but the size is just too small to do anything. And it's still marked as poor surf conditions.

Bottom line: there is no good surf on offer. Not even a window. The break needs swell from the north to work well, and we're getting tiny scraps from that direction, but nothing with enough height or energy to make it worth paddling out. With fairly consistent breaks like Manglecito, it tends not to stay flat for long, but right now forecasts can change – keep an eye out. Until then, leave the board in the car and enjoy the warm water without a wave.

Rusty

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