
Surf Forecasts:
Mangawhai Heads surf forecast from 5 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 7 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period, NNW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period, NNW swell with 268 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 7 Sep, 9AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period with NNW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Mangawhai Heads this week:
The surf forecast for Mangawhai Heads over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Mangawhai Heads in the next 16 days are 1.7m 7s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Mangawhai Heads over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – the next few days are pretty flat. We’re looking at a real quiet start with tiny, weak waves and not much to get excited about until Monday the 7th.
The first real pulse of energy arrives Monday morning, the 7th of September. Mangawhai Heads (beach and reef) will see a bump in size to 6 ft from the NNW. The problem is that this swell is pretty short-period, only 7 seconds, so it’s going to be a bit mushy and disorganized. The combined energy reading is 276, which is moderate, but the wind is a cross-offshore from the NW at 9 mph, which will keep the surface reasonably clean. It’s not a standout, but it’s the most size we’ve seen. For the beginners out there, this will be pushing it a bit, but it’s still manageable if you’re cautious.
Monday afternoon drops off a little to 4 ft from the N, but the wind swings to a light offshore from the W at 6 mph. The period is still short at 7 seconds, so again, don’t expect any real power. The energy drops to 119. It’s surfable, but only just.
Tuesday the 8th offers a sliver of hope in the morning. The swell drops to 3 ft from the N, but the period is still 8 seconds. The energy is weak at 88. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the WSW at 6 mph. It’s small, clean, and could be fun on a log if you are desperate for a paddle.
After Tuesday, the outlook goes pretty grim again. From Wednesday the 9th right through to the end of the 16-day window, we’re looking at tiny, weak waves. The swell heights barely crack 1 ft, and the periods are mostly long-period groundswells (12-14 seconds) but with no height to back them up. The combined energy readings are mostly in the single digits or low double digits, which is very weak. Even though we get some glassy conditions and offshore winds, you can’t ride what isn’t there.
For a brief moment on Wednesday afternoon the 16th, there’s a tiny 2 ft from the NNW with a 5-second period and a moderate offshore wind, but it’s still just a dribble.
Honestly, it’s a tough stretch. The best call is Monday morning, the 7th, for the most size if you’re willing to work for it in a messy, short-period swell. The water temp is sitting around 59°F, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual there.
Keep your eyes on the horizon, but for now, the wax might stay in the bag.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 6mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 10°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed afternoon, fresh winds from the WSW by Thu night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | N 4 | ENE 9 | NNW 7 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | ENE 10 | SE 4 | NE 8 | NE 14 | NE 14 | NE 13 | NE 10 | NNE 14 | NE 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 268 | 111 | 163 | 74 | 28 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 30 | 32 | 26 | 27 | 19 | 61 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | glassy | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 1:34AM1.97m | 2:17PM2.02m | 2:39AM1.94m | 3:24PM2.04m | 3:47AM1.94m | 4:29PM2.09m | 4:52AM1.99m | 5:28PM2.16m | 5:52AM2.05m | 6:22PM2.24m | 6:46AM2.12m | 7:12PM2.29m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:36PM0.45m | 8:03AM0.32m | 8:43PM0.47m | 9:09AM0.32m | 9:51PM0.45m | 10:15AM0.30m | 10:57PM0.38m | 11:17AM0.24m | 11:57PM0.29m | 12:15PM0.19m | 00:51AM0.20m | 1:08PM0.14m | 1:40AM0.13m | |||||||
— | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | |
6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 7 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | N 7 | NE 9 | N 8 | N 7 | N 7 | N 6 | SE 4 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 9 | NE 10 | ENE 10 | NE 13 |
11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 111 | 3 | 74 | 28 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 15 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 24 | 9 | 61 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 5 | N 4 | N 9 | N 9 | — | — | ENE 9 | E 16 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 17 | ENE 10 | N 6 | N 6 | NE 14 | NE 14 | NE 13 | NNE 14 | NNE 14 | NNE 13 |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | 8 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 30 | 32 | 26 | 21 | 19 | 17 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | E 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 10 | NE 15 | ENE 9 | NE 14 | SE 5 | ENE 9 | NNW 6 | NE 13 | ENE 13 | N 22 |
2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 10 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 17 | 9 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 2 | W 2 | NW 3 | N 4 | N 5 | NNW 7 | — | N 8 | SW 3 | WSW 3 | — | — | SE 4 | SW 2 | W 3 | W 3 | WSW 4 | SW 4 | SW 4 | W 4 |
1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 92 | 268 | — | 163 | 5 | 4 | — | — | 6 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 53 | 39 | 52 | 42 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 166 | 408 | 407 | 407 | 415 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 73 | 30 | 119 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 10 | 401 | 75 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Mangawhai Heads Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Mangawhai Heads provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Mangawhai Heads can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Mangawhai Heads surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Mangawhai Heads) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Mangawhai Heads may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Mangawhai Heads is 46 km (29 miles) from the city of Whangarei. If you plan a holiday in Northland, look for hotels and other accommodation in Whangarei. Whangarei has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










