Makaha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s get real about what’s heading our way. We’re looking at a pretty flat and frustrating stretch for Makaha. It’s a long, drawn-out period of marginal surf, and honestly, there’s no standout day that’s going to get the heart racing. The next two weeks are a grind.

We start off with a bit of life in the water on Friday the 14th. A solid 4ft groundswell from the SW with a very long period of 16 seconds is pushing in, carrying moderate energy (1030). The catch? The wind is a cross-shore from the SSE, kicking up a slight cross-chop. It’s clean enough for the die-hards, but the quality is just “marginal.” That long period will make for some beautiful, walled-up waves peeling down the reef, but the wait between sets will be real. Paddling out shouldn't be a drama with those long lulls, though.

The weekend is a washout. Saturday the 15th sees the swell drop a touch and the wind turns cross-onshore, making things choppy. The energy drops into the moderate range (636-713). By Sunday the 16th, the swell gets smaller, and the same onshore wind kills the shape. Not worth the paddle.

Monday the 17th brings a bump back up to 5ft from the SW, with moderate energy (1025), but the wind is a messy cross-shore at 15 mph. The chop is going to make it a battle. Tuesday the 18th sees the swell actually push up to 7ft from the SSW with strong energy (1395), but that’s completely negated by strong, bumpy cross-shore winds. The wave period is short (13 seconds), so it’s going to be a jumbled, lumpy mess. That’s expert-only territory due to the size, and the wind will ruin it for everyone.

From Wednesday the 19th onward, it’s a slow death. The swell slowly fades from 6ft down to nothing, and the wind stays cross-on or cross. The energy drops off a cliff, dipping into the low hundreds. By Saturday the 22nd, the swell is a pathetic 1ft on a very long 19-second period. It’s “poor surf conditions” territory. That’s a long, flat spell.

The only bright spot, and it’s a dim one, is very late in the game. On Friday the 28th, we get a whisper of clean conditions with some light offshore wind from the WSW, but the swell is only 2ft from the SW. It’s a tease.

So, the summary is this: There is not a single day in this 16-day window that I’d call a “standout.” The best bet is Friday the 14th for the lone-surfer session, if you can handle the chop and the wait. The rest is a long, drawn-out period of poor-to-marginal conditions. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no wetsuit surprises. That’s the reality. Don't bother paddling out unless you’re desperate.

Rusty.

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