Makaha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards.

Honestly, the whole 16-day run looks pretty flat for us. We’ve got a persistent run of small, weak swell and the wind is never really working in our favour. It’s a tough stretch. The first recommendation doesn’t pop up until Monday the 14th, and even that is a bit of a stretch.

So, Monday the 14th afternoon sees a small 3ft SW groundswell rolling in, with a very long 17-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 659, but the wind is a cross-on SSW breeze at 9 mph, which will chop things up a little. The water is sitting at 68°F, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – a proper anomaly of 6°F above average. That feels weird, but it’s a tropical treat.

Tuesday the 15th morning cleans up slightly, with the swell holding at 3ft from the SW and a 15-second period. The wind drops to a light 6 mph S breeze, but it’s a cross-shore, so not ideal. It’s the best window we get, but it’s still marginal. The afternoon goes downhill with a moderate 12 mph S cross-shore.

From Wednesday the 16th right through to Thursday the 24th, it’s a long, bleak stretch. Swells drop below 3ft, periods shorten, and the wind stays cross or cross-on from the south. Combined energy dips into the 100s and 200s (weak). Honestly, it’s not worth paddling out. A few mornings like the 19th and 20th have light offshore winds (WSW and SW) but the swell is tiny – 1ft to 2ft – and the period is all over the place. The sets are just too small and weak to get a ride.

Friday the 25th sees a slight bump of 4ft from the SW, but the period is a short 13-14 seconds, and the wind is still cross-on at 9 mph. Combined energy gets back up to 441, but the conditions are poor. By Tuesday the 29th, the swell pushes a bit more to 5ft and 5ft from the SSW and S, with periods around 10-11 seconds. The combined energy climbs to 532 and 583 – moderate to strong energy. Still, the wind remains cross-on and light, so it’s not clean. This is probably the most energy we see, but the quality isn’t there.

Overall, with the swell being small, the wind never truly offshore, and the break being a very consistent reef that needs that clean SW groundswell from a good direction to really fire, this stretch is a skip. The best you could hope for is a quick, marginal paddle on Tuesday the 15th morning, but don’t expect much.

Rusty.

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