Makaha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's happening at Makaha. Look, straight up, this 16-day window is a tough one. We've got a classic spot—a very consistent reef break that's usually a great option, but the next couple of weeks are going to test your patience. There's no decent surf on the horizon for the first part of the run, so don't bother paddling out unless you just want a float.

We start from Sunday the 13th and honestly, it's pretty grim. The water is a warm 68.4°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, but that's the only bright spot. The swell is coming in from the south at 4.9ft, which is a waist-high possibility, but it's got a short period of 8 seconds and the wind is all wrong—cross-onshore. The combined swell energy is moderate at best (399), but the wave comment says it all: poor surf conditions. We're looking at a messy cross-chop with no power.

This stays flat and ugly for days. Monday the 14th through to around Monday the 21st is a dead zone. We get some longer period swells (15-19 seconds) pushing in from the southwest, but they're tiny—1.6ft to 3.3ft. That long period means the waves are groundswell, which is *usually* good for a reef like Makaha, but the energy is so weak (combined energy values between 160 and 704) and the wind is constantly cross or cross-onshore. The wave comments are consistently "poor surf conditions" or "marginal surf forecast," and the scores are a flat zero or one. Honestly, this setup looks more interesting for a kite surfer looking for some clean-ish wind than anyone paddling. For nearly 10 days, there's nothing to recommend.

Now, we finally get a small glimmer towards the end of the run. Saturday the 26th morning shows a slight improvement. The swell picks up to 3.6ft from the southwest, with a period of 13 seconds. That's still a short period, but the wind turns offshore from the southwest (WSW) at a light 6.2 mph. The combined energy bumps up to a moderate 468. This is the only period that even sniffs at being okay. The wave comment is "marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions," but with offshore wind on a reef, if the tide lines up, you might find a couple of clean, albeit small, waves. For beginners, 3.6ft is fine, but don't kid yourself—this is not a standout. It's just the best of a bad lot.

Sunday the 27th morning is similar: offshore WSW wind at 6.2 mph, 3.3ft swell from the southwest, but the period drops to 12 seconds. Again, marginal.

So, the honest truth: there is no real standout session in this entire forecast. The best window is possibly Saturday the 26th and Sunday the 27th mornings, but you're really grinding for scraps. For a consistent spot like Makaha, this is an unusually long flat spell. The long-range prospects for the very end of the window are a bit more promising, but far from certain. Keep an eye on the forecast; it tends not to stay this poor for long.

That's the story from where I'm standing.

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