Makaha Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let's have a look at what we've got on the cards for Makaha.

Right now, we're looking at a pretty quiet spell to start. The surf is there, but it's nothing to write home about. The water is sitting at a very unusual 69°, which is a solid 7° warmer than what we'd normally expect for this time of year – that's a proper anomaly.

The first few days are all about marginal conditions. Thursday morning the 10th, we've got a SW swell at 4ft, but with a light cross-onshore breeze, it's not going to be clean. The swell energy is moderate (774), and it's a long-period groundswell at 15 seconds, which can be a bit tricky here. Friday the 11th sees a drop in period to 8 seconds and the swell bumps up slightly to 5ft, but the wind stays cross-onshore, keeping things messy.

Saturday and Sunday the 12th and 13th are flat out poor, with light cross-onshore winds and weak, short-period swell making for a messy, choppy ocean. Not worth paddling out.

There's a little glimmer on Monday morning the 14th. A small 3ft swell rolls in from the SW, but the period is a very long 18 seconds. That's proper groundswell, and with a light cross-onshore breeze, it'll be small and possibly a bit closed out on the beach, but Makaha can handle it. Energy is moderate (734). It’s still marginal, though.

From Tuesday the 15th right through to the end of the second week, it's a real dry spell. We're looking at day after day of poor surf conditions with small, short-period swell and persistent cross-onshore winds. The 2ft to 2ft swell from the 19th to the 23rd is barely a bump. It’s a long blank run, and it’s pretty normal for the area to have these quiet stretches.

The only real standout on the whole 16-day horizon comes right at the tail end. On Thursday the 24th, the wind goes light and cross-shore, and we get a pulse of long-period groundswell. The afternoon session shows 2ft from the SW with a very long 21-second period. The energy jumps to a moderate 563. It's small, but that period is the real deal. With the glassy conditions, it'll be clean, though those long gaps between sets are a certainty. This is the best bet on offer, but it's a long way out, so treat it as a promising but less certain call.

So here's the bottom line: if you're desperate for a paddle, the first couple of mornings are a gamble, but the one to keep an eye on is that Thursday the 24th afternoon session. It's the only proper glimmer of clean, long-period groundswell in a sea of mediocrity.

- Rusty

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