Keramas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mate, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.

First up, we’re talkin’ Keramas. The water’s sitting at a warm 81°, which is pretty normal for this time of year – no surprises there. The whole forecast period is a bit of a mixed bag, though. The swell’s gonna be consistent from the SSW, which is exactly what this reef wants to see, but the wind is the real story here. It’s mostly from the SE, which is cross-on for this break, so the wave faces are gonna be a little bumpy and choppy a lot of the time. The combined swell energy is moderate to strong, with values mostly in the 1000s and 2000s (like 1362 on Tuesday morning), but that onshore wind is really holding things back.

For the first week, from Tuesday, August 4th right through to Sunday, August 9th, the surf is there but it’s just not clean. The swell hovers around 5 ft to 8 ft, with periods around 14 to 17 seconds, which is a nice long-period groundswell full of energy, but that cross-on breeze is messing with the shape. It’s a bit frustrating, honestly. The mornings are a touch better, with lighter winds, but still not glassy. The conditions are described as “marginal” and scores are low, so it’s not a time to get too excited. There’s even some rain showers on Sunday morning.

Now, the standout window starts to look a bit more interesting from Monday, August 10th, and really peaks around Tuesday, August 11th and Wednesday, August 12th. On Monday afternoon, the swell bumps up to 8 ft from the SSW with a period of 18 seconds – that’s some serious energy (4574)! The wind is offshore, so it’s gonna be clean and lined up. This is a big swell, over 8 ft, so this is for the experts only. The same goes for Tuesday morning, August 11th, with 10 ft SSW swell and 17 second period, combined energy hitting 4513 – that’s a powerful, heavy wave. The wind is cross-on again in the morning, but the afternoon cleans up with offshore winds and 8 ft swell. This is the best of the whole outlook: big, powerful SSW groundswell, and periods of clean offshore wind. After that, Wednesday, August 12th still has good size, around 7 ft, but the wind turns cross-on again.

After that mid-week peak, the swell drops back a bit but stays rideable through the end of the second week. The 14th and 15th of August still have some 7 ft to 8 ft SSW swell, but the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore, keeping it choppy. The 16th and 17th see the size drop to 4 ft to 6 ft, with light offshore winds at times, so it’s cleaner but smaller. The 19th of August shows another pulse of energy, with 10 ft SSW swell and an 18-second period (5464) on Wednesday afternoon, with light offshore winds again – that’s another big, powerful day for the crew that can handle it.

The bottom line: Keramas is a consistent reef that’s always got some swell, but the wind is the limiting factor. The true standout is the window from Monday afternoon, August 10th, through Tuesday, August 11th, where you get the biggest, cleanest waves of the period. After that, it’s a case of picking the cleaner windows in the mornings and afternoons, but don’t expect perfection. It’s a reef break, so that long-period groundswell will be wrapping in nicely.

Stay stoked, and keep your eyes on the horizon.

Rusty

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