Keramas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.

The long-range outlook is trying to build something, but for the first few days, it's a struggle. The wind is a real pain, blowing cross-on from the south-east, and that's messing up what could be a nice run of swell. The water is sitting at 81°, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

We start at Keramas on Friday the 24th. The swell is small, around 3ft, coming from the SSW with a period of 13 seconds. That's a long period groundswell, meaning it has some punch, but it's too small and the cross-onshore wind is making it choppy. The wave energy is moderate (705). Not a day to get excited about.

Saturday the 25th is similar. The swell picks up a touch to 4ft, still from the SSW, but the wind is still cross-on and the conditions are choppy. The energy is moderate (1004). It's still a struggle.

Sunday the 26th sees a jump in size to 8ft, but the swell switches to the SE and the period drops to 9 seconds. That's a short-period, wind-affected swell, and with the wind still cross-on, it's going to be a messy, lumpy mess. The energy is strong (1118), but it's not the kind of energy you want for a clean ride. This is getting into the territory for experts only, but the quality is poor.

Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th are a write-off. The swell is all over the place, wind is still cross-on, and the scores are bottoming out. Expect a few days of nothing special.

Now, things start to look a bit more promising from late in the first week into the second. The swell becomes more consistent, with a stronger SSW groundswell arriving. The wind is still cross-on, but it's forecast to be lighter at times, with a few "on" and "light breeze" periods.

The standout window is looking like Saturday the 1st of August and Sunday the 2nd of August. The swell is a solid 5ft to 7ft from the SSW, with a very long period of 16 to 18 seconds. That's a proper groundswell. The wind is forecast to be light, with some periods of offshore and light cross-on. The energy is very strong (2665 and 2654). This is the best the forecast has to offer. The long period means the sets will be clean and powerful, but it might be a bit too straight for the beach break, so keep an eye on the tide. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, and with this quality, expect some company.

After that, the swell holds through the 5th of August, with 7ft SSW swell on the Wednesday morning and a light cross-on wind. The energy is very strong (2233). This is another solid day, but the wind might be a bit more of a factor.

The rest of the second week stays surfable, with moderate to strong energy and a consistent SSW swell, but the wind is always a bit of a gamble. It's worth keeping an eye on the 7th and 8th of August, where the swell is still 7ft and the winds are looking lighter again.

So, to sum it up: the first few days are a write-off. The best bet is on the weekend of the 1st and 2nd of August, with the chance of some clean, powerful SSW groundswell. The 5th of August is also a strong contender. It's not a classic, but there's some good surf to be had if you pick your window.

Rusty.

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