Keramas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board and listen up. This is Rusty, and I'm looking at the surf ahead for our neck of the woods. It's a bit of a mixed bag, with some decent energy coming, but the wind's not always going to play ball.

The real standout window is shaping up later on. We've got a consistent south-west groundswell running through the whole 16 days, starting with solid 4ft to 6ft waves in the first few days, but the wind is a problem early on with a persistent southeast cross-onshore breeze making it choppy.

The best of the best is shaping up for Keramas. It's a world-class reef, very consistent, and when the wind drops, it's on. The waves are pointing in the right direction from the SSW, which is exactly what this break wants.

Let's break it down. Starting Sunday the 30th of August, the swell is around 4ft from the SSW, with a long 13-second period and moderate energy (1011). But that SE wind is blowing cross-onshore at 9 mph, which messes up the face. It'll be a bit of a battle. Monday the 31st sees the swell drop a touch to 4ft, but the period jumps to a juicy 18 seconds, and the energy ramps up to 1239. Still, that same cross-onshore wind is there. It's a tease.

We hit Tuesday the 1st of September, and the swell builds to 6ft with 18-second period, and the combined energy is now strong (2007). But the wind picks up to 12 mph, still cross-onshore, making it choppy and hard work. The wave quality is just marginal.

The pattern holds through Wednesday the 2nd and Thursday the 3rd. Decent swell (6ft to 5ft) and long periods (16 seconds), but that cross-onshore wind keeps the surface bumpy. The energy drops from 1683 down to 980 by Thursday. You'll get some waves, but you'll be working for them.

Friday the 4th of September drops out to a 3ft to 4ft swell, still with 14-15 second periods. The energy is weak to moderate (679 to 705). The wind lays back a little and goes 'on' in the afternoons, which is a slight improvement but still not clean.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Sunday the 6th of September into the second week, the swell starts to pump. We see a 5ft, 18-second SSW swell on Sunday morning with very strong energy (2573), and by the afternoon it's 8ft with a 16-second period and massive energy (3476). The wind is still onshore or cross-onshore, but it's lighter. The wave quality scores start creeping up too.

Monday the 7th of September keeps the 7ft to 7ft swells coming, but cross-onshore winds return. Tuesday the 8th sees the swell drop slightly to 5ft but then bounces back to 5ft with an 18-second period in the afternoon, and the energy jumps to 2701. The wind is onshore and light.

The absolute highlight is Wednesday the 9th of September morning. We've got a 8ft SSW swell, 16-second period, very strong energy (2719), and the wind is from the SSW at just 6 mph, coming cross-on. That's close to ideal for Keramas. It's going to be big, powerful, and with that light wind, it'll be cleaner than it has been all week. This is the session to aim for.

The rest of the second week keeps the goods coming. Friday the 11th of September has 8ft, 18-second SSW swell and a massive energy of 3956, but the wind goes back to a cross-onshore SE at 9 mph. Still, the power will be there. Saturday the 12th holds at 8ft with lighter winds.

Sunday the 13th of September has 6ft, 15-second swells, and the afternoon sees very strong energy (3026) with a light onshore breeze.

Look, this is a reef break that works best with an offshore wind from the NNW. We don't get that here, but when the wind is light and onshore or cross-onshore, it can still be good. Get ready for the 9th of September. That's your best shot.

Rusty, signing off.

Read more