Keramas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at this stretch.

Well, it’s a bit of a mixed bag for *Keramas* over the next couple of weeks. That deep-water reef is a powerful machine when it turns on, but the wind is going to be the story for a while. We’ve got a consistent, solid groundswell from the south-southwest rolling in, with periods hanging around 15-17 seconds, which is serious energy. The combined energy numbers are mostly in the strong to very strong range, like 3707, meaning there’s plenty of push. The water temp is sitting at a nice 80°, right about average for this time of year, so no need for a thick suit.

Thursday the 13th kicks things off with an 8ft S swell with a 16-second period. That's a lot of water moving fast, and with a cross-onshore wind, it’s going to be a choppy, messy beast. Not the clean, peeling perfection Keramas is famous for. Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th are similar stories: plenty of swell (7ft to 7ft), still from the SSW, but that persistent onshore wind is killing the quality. The scores are low because the surface is too bumpy.

Sunday the 16th sees the swell dip a touch, but the wind stays messy. Honestly, the first week is a grind. There are a few windows on Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th where the breeze drops out to a light 6 mph, and the combined energy jumps back into the 2000s and even 3000s. Wednesday the 19th looks promising with a 7ft to 8ft SSW groundswell and a very long 18-second period. Even though it’s a slight cross-onshore, with such light wind, the face could be pretty smooth. That is the standout in the first half – a powerful, long-period groundswell hitting a world-class reef. Just keep in mind, with these long-period swells, the sets will be bigger and less frequent, making paddling out a little easier between them, but you better be on your game when they arrive. Crowds are going to be a factor here as the consistency is very high.

Moving into the second week, the pattern holds. We get another pulse of strong SSW swell around Thursday the 20th (8ft, 16 seconds) and into the 22nd. The cross-onshore is still there, but it's a gentle breeze, which keeps the chop manageable. The best-looking day of the entire run might just be Friday the 28th. We’ve got a clean 7ft SSW swell with a 15-second period and a decent combined energy of 3132 (strong), and the wind looks to be properly onshore. Keep an eye on that one, but it’s a long way out.

Overall, this isn't a period for perfect, glassy Keramas. It’s a period for solid, powerful swell with a persistent, but often light, cross-onshore wind. That makes it a more challenging session, but for the experienced surfer, there’s rideable, hefty surf almost every day. If you’re a beginner, the swell is too big (over 5ft and often over 8ft) for you on most days.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

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