Keramas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for Keramas over the next couple of weeks.

Overall, we’ve got a persistent run of groundswell from the SSW, but the wind is the real story – and not in a good way. For the first few days, it’s gonna be a battle. The wind is mostly onshore or cross-onshore, making things lumpy and chopped out. The first week is a write-off for clean, quality waves; the energy is there, but the conditions just aren’t playing ball. There’s a solid 10-day stretch from the 3rd to the 12th where I’d barely bother paddling out unless you’re desperate for a bumpy session. After that, things start to clean up nicely into the second week.

Alright, let’s get into the nuts and bolts.

Friday 3rd July: The swell’s hanging around 5.6 ft to 6.2 ft from the SSW, with a decent 14-second period – proper groundswell energy. But the wind is onshore from the SE at 9 mph to 10 mph, and the wave comment says it’s marginal with questionable tide. The combined energy is pretty hefty at 1312 and 1478, but without clean wind, it’s just a mess. Not one to get excited about.

Saturday 4th & Sunday 5th July: Similar story. Swell sits around 5.6 ft to 6.2 ft, period 14–16 seconds, so there’s grunt (energy 1532–1788). But the wind is cross-onshore from the ESE or SE, 9 mph–10 mph. Saturday morning’s got a “gentle cross-onshore and fairly choppy” note. Sunday’s the same – light cross-onshore with small wind ripples. Not the stuff dreams are made of.

Monday 6th July: Swell drops a touch to 4.3 ft–5.2 ft, but the wind picks up to a moderate cross-onshore breeze at 12 mph. Choppy, messy. Energy still solid (1255–1737). Still a no-go for me.

Tuesday 7th July: Now we’re really in the doldrums. Swell down to 4.3 ft, and the morning’s got rain showers with a moderate cross-onshore breeze. The wave comment says “poor surf conditions” and a score of 0. Energy drops to 838–941. That’s a skip.

Wednesday 8th July: Swell bumps back up to 5.6 ft–6.2 ft, period 15–16 seconds, and the energy is massive – 1940 to 2006. But again, the wind is cross-onshore or onshore at 9 mph–12 mph. The morning is rain showers and choppy. The afternoon is onshore but “unknown” state – still not clean. Frustrating.

Thursday 9th July: More of the same. 5.2 ft–5.9 ft SSW swell, 15-second period, energy 1706–2035. Wind is cross-onshore from the SE at 9 mph, leaving it fairly choppy. The score is only 1. Hard pass.

Friday 10th July: Swell dropping to 4.6 ft–4.9 ft, morning has rain showers and cross-onshore wind. Energy 1123–1355. Still messy.

Saturday 11th & Sunday 12th July: The bottom falls out. Swell down to 2.6 ft–4.3 ft, energy crashes to 356–1083. Saturday morning is “poor surf conditions” with a 0 score. Sunday morning has a 3.0 ft swell and only 382 energy. Wind is onshore but light. Barely a ripple worth paddling for.

Now we turn a corner.

Monday 13th July: Swell picks up to 4.3 ft, period 14 seconds, and the wind finally goes light from the SSE at 6 mph. The morning is clear with onshore wind, and the afternoon is light cross-onshore with small wind ripples. Energy 895–1148. Still not perfect, but it’s the first day that doesn’t feel like a complete waste.

Tuesday

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