Keramas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming down the pipe for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, it's a bit of a rough start. We've got a solid, consistent groundswell from the SSW pushing through, but the wind is the enemy here. A persistent SE breeze is blowing cross-onshore, chopping up the surface and making things pretty ugly. For the first ten days, through to the end of July, it's a struggle. The swell is there, between 3ft and 4ft with periods from 13 to 17 seconds, which is great for wave shape and energy in theory, but that wind just ruins the party. The combined energy is moderate (between 565 and 1069), but the quality is poor. It's a classic case of a lot of energy but no real joy. The water temperature is sitting at 82°, which is about 2° warmer than usual for this time of year, so at least the water is comfortable.

There's a proper little spike in size on the 26th of July morning, with a short-period SE swell hitting 8ft, but the energy jumps up (1809) and the wind is still cross-onshore at 12 mph. That's a messy, choppy wall of water, better suited for a kite than a surfboard unless you're really desperate. The rest of the first week is a write-off, just marginal scraps that aren't worth paddling out for.

Now, hold onto your boards, because the story changes completely as we move into August. The first real hope comes on the 2nd of August. The wind finally eases, dropping to a light breeze from the SE, only 6 mph. The swell holds at 5ft from the SSW with a solid 15-16 second period. The energy is strong (1505). This is where it gets interesting. The morning of the 2nd is looking like a proper window, with the wind going glassy or light offshore. That's a big deal.

The real standout, though, builds through the following week. From the 3rd of August onwards, the swell starts to pump. We're looking at 5ft to 6ft on the 4th and 5th, climbing to 7ft and 7ft by the 6th of August. And the wind is holding steady from the SSE at a light 6 mph. This is the sweet spot. The energy readings are huge, hitting 2469 and 2511, which is strong to very strong wave energy. The period is a long, powerful 16-18 seconds. This is proper groundswell.

Keramas is a very consistent, exposed reef break, and it calls for a clean SSW swell. That's exactly what we've got. The wind is offshore, the waves are going to be well-shaped and powerful. For the morning sessions on the 5th and 6th of August, with the swell at 6ft to 7ft, it's going to be a wave of consequence. That's expert territory by the 6th, but for the intermediate surfer, the 4th and 5th are going to be real special. The crowds are only "sometimes" there, so if you can get out, you'll have a good chance at some clean ones. This is the best the forecast has to offer, no question.

So, the first week is a bit of a painful wait, but the second week is absolutely worth it. The long-range promise of those big, clean, light-wind days from the 4th to the 6th of August is the real deal.

Rusty.

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