Keramas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s lining up for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a solid run of SSW groundswell hitting Keramas. The water temp is sitting at 81°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The overall pattern is a consistent, long-period swell train that’s going to keep the reef working for days, but the catch is that the forecast is calling for marginal surf conditions throughout, mostly due to questionable tide windows and a persistent onshore wind element.

Starting Monday the 7th, we’ve got a 7ft SSW swell with a 14-second period, but the wind is coming from the SE at 9 mph, which is onshore here. The combined energy is strong at 1792, but the morning rain showers and that wind direction mean the surface won’t be glassy. It’s surfable, but not the standout. The swell drops a bit to 6ft in the afternoon, still with the same wind issue.

Tuesday the 8th sees the swell drop to 5ft in the morning, but the period jumps to a very long 19 seconds – that’s proper groundswell. The combined energy is a massive 2582. The wind lightens to 6 mph from the SSE, still onshore, but lighter. This is a day for the more experienced crew; that long period will make the reef lines stand up nicely, but the onshore wind will keep it from being perfect.

Wednesday the 9th is the best on offer in the first week. The swell bumps up to 8ft in the morning, period at 16 seconds, and the combined energy is 2903. Winds are light SSE at 6 mph, onshore. For a reef break like Keramas, that’s a powerful, chunky swell. It’s pushing into the 8ft range, so this is expert territory. The afternoon drops to 7ft, still solid. If you’re an advanced surfer, this is your window.

The rest of the first week and into the second week is a steady diet of 5ft to 7ft SSW swell with periods between 14 and 18 seconds. The wind stays mostly SE at 9 mph, which is squarely onshore, with a few lighter periods. The combined energy stays in the 1100 to 2200 range, so moderate to strong. The consistency is very high, but the quality is held back by that wind direction.

Around the 19th and 20th of September, we see a bit of a pulse. The swell picks up to 7ft on the 19th afternoon with a 17-second period and combined energy of 2221. The wind is light SE at 6 mph, but it’s cross-onshore. The 20th morning has a 6ft swell with a 15-second period and a strong 2215 energy, with the wind onshore again. This is a promising long-range call, but it’s a bit far out to lock in perfect conditions.

The standout here is definitely Wednesday the 9th. That 8ft, 16-second SSW groundswell, with light wind, is the most powerful day of the whole run. The sets will be meaty, the reef will be testing, and the energy is top-tier. For the advanced surfer, that’s the one to circle. The long-period swells (18-20 seconds) on the 8th and 22nd are also worth a mention – they’ll produce long, clean lines, but the onshore wind will stop them from being truly epic.

Crowds at Keramas? It’s a world-class reef, so expect company. The very consistent nature of the swell means there will be waves all day, but the wind will likely keep the peak count down, so it could get a bit busy.

Rusty.

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