Keramas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, this is Rusty. Let’s look at what’s coming up at Keramas, a reef break that’s very consistent and exposed to the SSW swell.

The water temperature is about 81°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year.

The next few days are a bit mixed. Friday morning the 28th of August sees a solid 8ft SSW swell rolling in, with a very long period of 16 seconds and a huge combined energy of 3043 (very strong). The wind is light and offshore from the SE, so it’ll be clean. That’s big, powerful groundswell – one for the experienced crew. Friday afternoon drops slightly to 7ft, still clean, but the tide or something has the forecast iffy.

Saturday the 29th of August stays clean with offshore winds, but the swell drops to 6ft in the morning and 6ft in the arvo, with period easing from 15 to 14 seconds. Energy is still moderate to strong (1394 and 1176). Still good, but not the standout.

Sunday the 30th of August the swell backs right off to 4ft, and the wind goes cross-onshore in the afternoon, making it choppy. From Monday the 31st of August through to the end of the first week of September, the swell is all over the place – mostly 4ft to 6ft, but the wind is cross-onshore or onshore much of the time, with a lot of “poor surf conditions” flagged. The combined energy drops into the hundreds (weak to moderate). Not much to get excited about.

There’s a bit of a gap of poor options through the middle of the period. Then, Thursday the 10th of September, a small 3ft swell with a very long 18-second period in the morning, but it’s weak (energy 972). The arvo brings 5ft with 17 seconds and 1556 energy.

Now, the real standout is shaping up for Friday the 11th of September. The morning sees a 7ft SSW swell, 16-second period, and a massive 3634 energy. The wind is light offshore from the SE, so it’ll be clean. But the afternoon of Friday the 11th of September is the pick of the whole forecast: a solid 10ft SSW swell, very long 18-second period, and a whopping 6386 combined energy (very strong). Light offshore wind from the SSE. That’s huge, powerful groundswell with offshore winds – only for experts, but it has the potential to be absolutely pumping at Keramas. This is a long-range call, so it’s promising but less certain.

Saturday the 12th of September still holds 10ft SSW swell, with periods of 17 and 16 seconds, and energy over 4000. Light offshore winds again. Another cracker for the experienced crew.

If you’re a beginner, the bigger swells over 8ft are definitely not for you. The long periods (over 15 seconds) mean these are proper groundswells, which at a reef break like Keramas will produce some long, clean lines but also big sets. Keep an eye on that Friday the 11th of September afternoon session – it’s the one to aim for.

Rusty.

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