Keramas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for our local waves.

Well, to be honest, the next week or so is looking pretty average. The wind has been a real pain, blowing cross-onshore most of the time and that’s been messing with the surface. The swell is there, but it’s not showing its best side.

Keramas is a top-tier reef break, and it’s very consistent. It’s an intermediate wave, but it can get serious. The water temperature is sitting at 82°, which is about 2° warmer than usual for this time of year – a nice little tropical treat. The wind is mostly from the SE, which is cross-on for this spot, and that’s why we’re seeing a lot of “marginal” or “poor” ratings.

Let’s walk through it. Starting Monday, July 20th, we’ve got a 7ft SSW groundswell with a very long period of 16 seconds. That’s a lot of energy and it’s a proper groundswell. But the wind is a cross-onshore 9 mph, so it’s going to be a bit choppy. The conditions are marginal, and the tide could be a factor. It’s not a write-off, but it’s not a day for the photos.

Tuesday the 21st starts with a bit more wind at 12 mph, dropping to 9 mph in the afternoon. The swell is still a solid 6ft, but again, it’s cross-on and choppy. Not great.

Wednesday the 22nd, the swell drops to 4ft, and we’re firmly in “poor surf conditions” territory. This trend continues right through until the end of the month. The wind is a constant issue, and the swell quality is low.

We do see a little flicker of hope on Thursday, July 30th. The morning shows a 4ft SSW groundswell with a period of 16 seconds, and the wind drops to a light 6 mph. The energy is strong, but the wind is still cross-on. It’s marginal, but the lighter breeze makes it the most interesting morning in a while. The afternoon has a bit more size at 5ft, but the energy is pumping. Still, it’s a light cross-on, so it’s going to be a bit bumpy.

The first few days of August are much the same story. The wind is still a problem, but the swell is consistent. The best of a bad bunch looks like Tuesday, August 4th, where we have a 5ft SSW groundswell, period of 14 seconds, and the wind is actually onshore in the morning and then turning to onshore in the afternoon. The energy is huge, but the wind is just not cooperating. It’s a real shame.

So, the standout? There really isn’t one. The best I can say is that the period from July 30th to August 4th has the most consistent swell energy, with the lightest winds on the 30th. If you are desperate, Thursday the 30th of July is your best bet, but keep your expectations in check. The wind is going to be the boss, and it’s not being kind.

If you’re a beginner, the swell is mostly over 5ft, so it’s going to be a bit much. For the more experienced, the wind is just going to make it feel like a fight.

Honestly, for the next 16 days, it’s a waiting game. The swell is there, but the wind is the enemy. It’s more of a “check the forecast every day” situation than a “mark your calendar” one.

Rusty.

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