Keramas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get into what’s happening with this one spot.

We’re looking at Keramas, and honestly, for the next week and a half, I wouldn’t be rushing to wax up. There’s a long stretch of tricky conditions coming up, with a lot of "marginal" surf clouding the picture.

The whole run starts on Friday the 21st of August with a solid SSW groundswell – we’re seeing a strong 6ft to 7ft range, with a very long period of 15 to 17 seconds, meaning plenty of energy (combined energy of 2253 to 2817). That’s the kind of juice that usually gets Keramas firing. But here’s the kicker: the wind is stubbornly out of the SE at 6-9 mph, blowing either cross-on or onshore. That breeze keeps the surface messy, especially for a reef that loves it glassy. The water temp is feeling about average for this time of year, nothing wild there.

This pattern of low-quality, choppy surf with a persistent SE wind holds right through to Sunday the 30th of August. Swell sizes gradually drop from 7ft down to a smaller 4ft, with periods staying long (12-16 seconds), so the energy tails off (combined energy drops from 1903 to 786). There’s a little lift on the 27th afternoon with a very long 20-second period and only 3ft of swell, but the onshore light breeze from the SSE still keeps it from being truly clean.

Now, if you can wait, the end of the run is where the real promise lies. The standout period is Friday the 4th and Saturday the 5th of September. The swell jumps back up to a clean 8ft to 8ft from the SSW, holding a very long 19-20 second period. That’s wave of the winter stuff – the combined energy gets huge, hitting 5262. The winds finally back off, turning light and variable from the SSE, with clear skies. That is a recipe for a world-class, long-interval groundswell with clean conditions on the reef. This is the one to circle on your calendar.

Crowds are possible here; Keramas is a well-known spot. For the expert-level swell on the 4th and 5th (over 8ft), this is strictly for experienced surfers. The long period will make it a very powerful wave. The 6ft to 7ft stuff in the first week is more manageable for intermediates, but the wind is the spoiler.

So, a long, flat-ish, bumpy run for the next ten days, but a killer window at the end. Keep your eyes on the 4th and 5th of September.

Rusty.

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