Keramas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on the table for the Keramas region over the next couple of weeks.

Right now, we’re looking at a bit of a slow start. The first few days are a write-off, with cross-onshore winds and poor surf conditions. That’s from Thursday 3rd September right through to Friday 4th September. The swell is there – around 4ft to 5ft from the SSW – but the wind is just messing it up. Hold your horses.

Things start to get a little more interesting from Saturday 5th September. The swell builds to 6ft to 6ft from the SSW, with a period of 16 seconds, which is a proper long-period groundswell. The wind switches to onshore, but it’s a gentle breeze. The conditions are still only marginal, and the combined energy is ramping up (1443 to 1572), so there’s some push in the water. It’s not perfect, but it’s a step up.

The real standout window looks like it kicks off around Monday 8th September. The swell holds solid at 6ft to 7ft from the SSW, and the period stretches out to 18-19 seconds. That’s a very long-period groundswell. The winds are light and onshore, which is a good sign for a reef like Keramas. The water temperature is sitting at 27°, which is about normal for this time of year. The combined energy is hitting values like 2569 and 2947, which is strong wave energy. This is where I’d be keeping an eye on the morning sessions. The onshore wind is light, so it could clean up nicely. Keramas is a consistent reef, and it’s exposed to that SSW swell, so it should handle it well. Keep in mind that with such a long period, the waves might pitch a bit hollow and the sets will be spaced out. It’s a top-tier intermediate to expert wave when it’s working.

The next week, from Tuesday 9th September through to Thursday 17th September, continues to serve up surf, but with a bit more wind. The swell stays in the 5ft to 7ft range, mostly from the SSW, with periods around 14-16 seconds. The winds are mostly a gentle breeze, sometimes cross-onshore, which will add some texture. The combined energy stays moderate to strong (1673 to 1865). It’s still surfable, especially on the mornings when the wind is lighter. The onshore wind is a bit of a theme, but for a reef, it’s workable.

Towards the end of the run, on Friday 18th September, the swell drops back to 4ft, and the period shortens to 13 seconds. The wind is cross-onshore again, and the combined energy is weak (723). It’s a poor setup, and we’re back to choppy conditions.

For the standouts, I’d be circling the mornings of Monday 8th and Tuesday 9th September. The biggest, most powerful swell, with the longest period, and the lightest winds. That’s the pick of the bunch. The rest of the window is more of a “maybe” for the adventurous, but the middle of the first week is where the magic might happen.

Rusty.

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