Keramas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, and I've got the read on the next couple of weeks. Honestly, it's a bit of a mixed bag, and we're not looking at anything that's going to be perfect. The best we can say is that there's a steady pulse of SSW swell, but the wind is the main character in this story, and it's not always playing nice.

The whole period starts with a bit of a dud. Wednesday the 26th of August has some swell around 5ft, but it's coming in with a cross-onshore wind that's messing up the surface. The wave energy is moderate (856), but it's a bit of a chop fest. Thursday morning sees the swell drop a little to 4ft, but the wind is better, and we get a much longer period of 16 seconds, pushing the energy up to a solid 1127. That's a sign of some proper groundswell trying to get in. That afternoon, the period actually jumps to 20 seconds, which is very long and pushes the energy to 1647. But don't get too excited; the swell is tiny at 3ft.

Friday the 28th of August is where things start to get interesting. The swell jumps up to 8ft in the morning, with a period of 16 seconds and a strong energy reading of 3037. The wind is still cross-onshore though, which is a shame. That afternoon the wind does go light and onshore, which is better, but the swell drops a touch to 8ft. The water temp is about what you'd expect for this time of year, nothing weird going on there.

The standout in this whole window is really the Saturday the 29th of August. The swell is a solid 6ft, still from the SSW, with a period of 15 seconds and healthy energy (1524). The wind is light and onshore, which is a major positive. That wind condition will make the waves at Keramas (a reef break) as clean as they get. This is a very consistent spot, so you know there will be waves. Just keep in mind that it can get crowded sometimes. The crowd is the only thing that might put a bit of a damper on it. The size is fine for intermediate surfers, but it's getting a bit punchy for beginners.

The rest of the first week into the second week is a bit of a letdown. From Sunday the 30th of August, the swell drops back to around 4ft to 5ft, and the wind goes back to being cross-onshore, which makes things a bit bumpy. The energy levels are moderate, bouncing around between 824 and 1713. There's a brief pulse of energy up to 1831 on Tuesday the 1st of September, but the wind is cranking at 12 mph, creating a moderate cross-onshore and choppy mess.

The second week, from the 3rd of September onward, the trend is for smaller, weaker swell. The energy levels drop back to the 800-1000 range, and the wind is light and onshore in the mornings. It's not terrible, but it's not the quality we saw on that Saturday. There's a bit of a bump on the 5th of September with 6ft swell and a 16-second period, but the wind is onshore, so it will be a bit soft.

The best call is to point you to Saturday the 29th of August at Keramas. The conditions will be the most aligned of the whole 16 days, with a decent size, long period, and light wind. It's the one to aim for.
Rusty.

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