El Camotal Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get real about the next couple weeks. To be honest, it’s looking pretty bleak for a proper surf. The forecast is a long stretch of small, weak, and wind-affected waves. There’s no real standout on the horizon, and most of the time you’ll be looking at gutless, crumbly lines rather than anything with real push.

The first couple of days, starting Monday the 7th, are just marginal. We’re looking at a waist-high swell around 3ft, coming from the southwest. The period is long, around 16 seconds, which is a groundswell, but the energy is weak, only around 624. That long period might help it wrap a bit, but the cross-onshore wind is going to chop it up, leaving it fairly messy. The water is sitting at 68°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year, a solid sign of things being out of whack.

Tuesday kicks up a touch, with 4ft of swell, but the wind stays cross-onshore, so it’s still not going to be clean. The energy gets a bit more moderate, hitting around 827, but the morning is the only chance, as the afternoon gets worse with more wind. Wednesday drops slightly to 4ft, with a solid period of 14-16 seconds. The morning is again the better bet, but it's still only a marginal call. The energy is moderate, at over 1000, but the chop is the killer.

We go through the rest of the week in this same pattern: small, messy, and not worth getting too excited about. The swell stays in the 3ft to 4ft range, the period slowly drops, and the wind stays cross-onshore for the most part. There’s a bit of a drop over the weekend, with Saturday the 12th down to 3ft, and by Sunday the 13th, we are looking at tiny 1ft leftovers with a very long 18-second period. It’s a classic case of a long-period swell with no size.

The new week brings a little pulse back, with Monday the 14th seeing a small increase to around 3ft. Tuesday the 15th picks up to 4ft, but again, it’s all cross-onshore and poor. The conditions remain pretty woeful through the middle of the month. Thursday the 17th is around 3ft, and then we drop again into the weekend.

There is a tiny spark late on Saturday the 19th. The morning has 3ft of southwest swell, and the wind for the first time looks light and a bit more favorable. It’s still cross-onshore, but lighter. This will be the most rideable it gets, still marginal, but at least the surface might have a chance. This is your best bet.

After that, it all fades away into the last few days of the forecast, with nothing but knee-high slop. So, the takeaway is: don’t get your hopes up. The highlight of the whole run will be that 3ft set on the morning of Saturday the 19th, but even that is a stretch. Otherwise, the boards stay in the car.

Now, the spot itself, El Camotal, is consistent, but it's not a spot that handles this kind of wind well. The setup just isn't doing us any favors. With the swell this small and the wind messing it up, the whole period is a bust for a proper wave. It’s not even worth considering a kite unless the wind really picks up, which it doesn't. It's just one of those flat, gutless runs that happens from time to time.

Keep the faith, though. Forecasts change, and this blank run won’t last forever.

Rusty.

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