El Camotal Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. This forecast is a bit of a slow burner for El Camotal. The water is running at 70°, which is much warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s a full five and a half degrees above average, so it feels like a warm bath out there.

We start off with a bit of a flat spell. Thursday the 23rd through to Saturday the 25th is a write-off. The swell is tiny, around 2ft to 3ft from the SW, but the wind is cross-on and the energy is weak to moderate (448 to 743). It’s just poor surf conditions with no real shape.

Sunday the 26th sees a slight lift. The wind swings offshore on the Sunday afternoon, with a 3ft SW swell and a period of 15 seconds. The energy is getting up there (927), but it’s still a marginal call. The Monday morning session on the 27th is probably the pick of the bunch in the first week. We’re looking at a 4ft SW swell, period of 18 seconds, with light cross-onshore winds. The combined energy is strong (1139), and while it’s not perfect, it’s the most potential we’ve seen. The crowd here is only sometimes an issue, so you might get a few waves to yourself.

From Tuesday the 28th through to the end of the first week, the swell holds around 5ft to 5ft, but the wind stays mostly cross-on. The period drops from 15 seconds down to 14 seconds, so the energy is still moderate to strong (736 to 1204). The morning of Tuesday the 28th has offshore wind with a 5ft swell, but it’s a short period (15 seconds), so it’ll be a bit lumpy. Still, that’s a big swell for a beginner spot, so it’s best left for the more experienced crew.

The second week, from the 30th of July onwards, it fades. The swell drops back under 4ft, and the wind stays messy. Energy levels drop to moderate (383 to 496), and then things go flat around the 2nd of August. There’s a gap of several days with no real surf on offer. A tiny pulse comes back on the 6th of August with a 5ft SW swell and 13-second period, but the wind is cross-on, so it’s marginal.

The standout is the Monday morning of the 27th of July. That 4ft SW groundswell with a long period of 18 seconds and light cross-onshore winds will give you the best chance of a clean, fun wave. The long period will make the sets a bit more spaced out, but the energy is there for a good paddle. It’s not a perfect day, but it’s the best on offer.

Rusty.

Read more