Ekas-Outside Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, gather round. Rusty here. Been staring at the charts for Ekas-Outside and, well, it’s a bit of a mixed bag for the next couple of weeks. The waves are there, but the notes keep flagging “marginal surf forecast or questionable tide conditions” for the whole run, so we’re not talking about a perfect stretch. The water’s sitting at 80°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, so no drama there.

We kick things off proper on Friday, the 4th. It’s not huge, around 5ft to 5ft from the SW with a solid 14-second period. The wind is a cross-off from the SE, so it’ll be clean enough, but the energy is only moderate, reading 838 to 890. It’s surfable, but I’d call it more of a warm-up than a standout.

The weekend picks up some steam. Saturday the 5th sees the swell push to 7ft, and the energy climbs into the four-digit range, hitting 1531 in the morning and 1856 by the afternoon. The period stretches to 16 seconds later in the day, which is a nice bit of groundswell. Sunday the 6th keeps that pace with 7ft in the morning, and the energy is up around 2136, but it eases back to 6ft by the afternoon. Still clean, still cross-off, still moderate breeze.

Monday and Tuesday of next week hold onto the 7ft range. The energy is moderate, staying in the 1600-1800 range, but then things get interesting. On Tuesday the 8th, the period jumps way up. Morning shows 5ft at 19 seconds, and the afternoon is 6ft at 18 seconds. That’s proper long-period groundswell, and the energy is strong, reading 2701 and then a hefty 3585. This is the kind of juice that marches straight in. The caveat is that at a reef break like this, long-period stuff can get a bit tricky, but it should still be a step up.

Then we hit the meat of it. Wednesday the 9th is the peak of the first big push. We’re looking at 8ft from the SSW, both morning and afternoon, with the energy a strong 3336 and 2961. This is solid, powerful surf. It stays in the 7ft to 7ft range through Thursday and Friday, holding decent energy from that SSW direction. The wind remains that cross-off SE/SSE flow, which will keep the faces reasonably clean, but the note about “questionable tide conditions” keeps getting attached to it, so you’ll need to pick your sessions wisely.

The weekend of the 12th and 13th sees a slight dip in size on Saturday, down to 6ft, before pumping back up on Sunday the 13th. That Sunday morning looks at 7ft, but the afternoon jumps to 8ft with a risk of thunderstorms. Energy is strong there too, hitting 3670. That’s the biggest number we’ve seen, and it’s paired with a long-ish 17-second period. That could be a real standout if the wind plays ball, but the storm risk is a bit of a spanner in the works.

From the 14th through to the 18th, the swell backs off a touch, mostly sitting in the 5ft to 7ft range. The energy stays in that moderate-to-strong zone but drops from the peak, and the period shortens back to 13-16 seconds. It’s still rideable, but the magic seems to have gone out of it. The wind stays a consistent SE/SSE cross-off, but the “marginal” tag is still there, and the size and energy don’t have that same punch.

The final few days, looking at the 19th of September, show a bit of life again. The morning has 7ft with a 17-second period and the energy reading 2359. That’s a promising sign for a comeback, but we’re into the second week of the forecast, so take it with a pinch of salt. The pattern has been up and down, so I wouldn’t book the trip on that alone, but it’s a good note to end on.

All in all, for this 16-day window, the real standouts look like Tuesday the 8th and Wednesday the 9th, and possibly that Sunday the 13th, when the energy readings are at their strongest. Everything else is just standard, average Ekas-Outside. For the beginners out there, be careful on those 8ft days—that’s getting into serious territory.

Stay salty,
Rusty

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