Ekas-Outside Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into this next 16-day window for Ekas-Outside. The whole stretch is on reefs, so expect that familiar setup, but it’s going to take a bit of patience before we see anything clean and punchy.

The first few days are tough. Starting from Sunday the 26th of July, we’ve got a solid 8ft swell (1995 combined energy) but it’s coming from the SE with a 9-second period. That’s a short-period, wind-driven swell for a reef, and with a steady 15 to 18 mph cross-offshore wind, the shape just won’t be there. It drops off fast into Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th, with weaker waves and moderate breeze, so don’t paddle out expecting much.

We finally get a shift late on Tuesday the 28th afternoon when the swell direction swings to SSW and the period jumps to 16 seconds. That’s real groundswell energy. Wednesday the 29th keeps that long-period SSW swell running around 4ft but still with fresh cross-off winds that keep the surface messy.

The standout moment arrives on Saturday morning the 1st of August. The data calls it excellent for experienced surfers, and I get why. Swell is a clean 5ft from the SSW with a 16-second period (1444 combined energy) and wind eases to a gentle 9 mph cross-off. That’s going to be glassy, long lines on the reef. Crowds can happen here sometimes, but if you get out early, it will be worth it. The water temp is 80°, about normal for this time of year, so no wetsuit needed.

Sunday the 2nd of August is similar, but the swell bumps up to 6ft (1974 energy) with the same SSW direction and 16-second period. Still clean, but the bigger size makes it more of a strong intermediate to expert wave. That’s a two-day window of proper wave riding.

After that, it settles back into marginal conditions. Winds stay moderate to fresh cross-off, and the swell hangs around 5ft to 7ft with periods between 14 and 17 seconds. It’s rideable but not special. The energy is there (over 1200 and up to 2157), but the wind is just strong enough to mess with that beautiful reef face.

The last highlight comes on Monday the 10th of August, over a week away. We see the biggest swell of the whole forecast: 10ft from the SSW with a 17-second period and combined energy hitting 4760. That’s a heavy, powerful groundswell. Only experts should be thinking about it, and even then, with moderate cross-off wind, it won’t be picture-perfect. Worth watching, but keep your expectations realistic for that far out.

Overall, if you want the best waves, make your move Saturday the 1st of August morning. That’s the one.

- Rusty

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