Dumbea Left Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, giving you the long-range outlook for Dumbea Left.

First up, the water temp is sitting at 73°, which is about average for this time of year.

Look, this 16-day run starts off a little shaky. We've got a decent-sized SSW groundswell coming in on Sunday the 26th – pumping out a massive 4070 combined energy units – but with a 16 mph cross-shore wind, it's messy. You'd be surfing a 10ft clean-up set, but it's going to be a war zone out there. Leave this one for the gluttons for punishment.

Monday and Tuesday see the swell dropping a touch to the 7ft – 8ft range, and the wind switches to a cleaner cross-offshore. The energy drops into the thousands (1624 to 1951), and the conditions clean right up. Still, the scoring isn't there for a standout session.

The real highlight – and I mean the only one in this whole window – is Thursday morning, the 30th of July. Winds go glassy, 3 mph from the east, and it’s crystal clear. The swell holds at 4ft from the southeast with a long 13-second period. It’s calling for "very good surf conditions" with a glassy surface. That’s the pick of the forecast. The break is a reef setup, and that long-period SE groundswell will wrap in nicely. It's a little bit of a rarity to get those conditions here, so if you can sneak a session, do it.

After that, it gets ugly again. The end of July and first few days of August are a write-off. Friday the 31st is a total dud with poor conditions and choppy onshore wind. The first week of August is filled with a lumpy, cross-onshore wind and swell jumping to 8ft - 12ft. It's too big and blown out for Dumbea Left.

We do get a glimmer of hope on the 5th and 6th of August. Wednesday the 5th morning has a 5ft south-southeast swell with 10-second period, clean winds from the east-southeast at only 9 mph, and the energy is still moderate (1152). That’s another session for experienced surfers. Thursday the 6th morning pushes up to 6ft from the southeast with a longer 14-second period and glassy conditions again. If the glassy Thursday morning was the main event, Wednesday morning is a solid backup.

The rest of the run into the second weekend is average at best. There's a lot of days with cross-shore chop and dropping swell. The long-range stuff on the 10th of August shows a big 13ft SE swell, but it's just too much juice for this break and the wind will be on it.

So, the final word: Don't get excited about the coming weekend. If you want a wave, aim for the glassy morning of Thursday, July 30th, or keep an eye on Wednesday and Thursday mornings, August 5th and 6th. Everything else is a mission.

Rusty.

Read more