Dumbea Rights Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’m gonna be straight with you – it’s a lean run ahead for Dumbea Rights. This spot is a consistent reef break, suited to advanced surfers, and it likes a swell from the SSW. The water temp is sitting at 72°, which is about average for this time of year. There’s some energy in the water over the next couple of weeks, but the wind is the killer, pretty much the whole way through.

It’s a quiet start. Tuesday the 11th sees tiny 2ft surf with a short-period ESE windswell, but with a light cross wind and the forecast calling it poor, don’t bother. Wednesday the 12th morning is the real teaser – a glassy 1ft SSW groundswell with a very long 19-second period. The combined energy is 124. It’s tiny, but clean. You could get a few knee-high runners if you’re desperate. That’s about as good as the first week gets.

From Thursday the 13th through to Saturday the 15th, the wind builds from the south and southeast, getting up to a fresh 19 mph. Swell bumps up to 5ft, but it’s all cross and choppy with poor surf conditions. The energy readings are moderate to high (636 to 797), but the quality is rubbish. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Now, Sunday the 16th is the only real standout in the whole outlook. The morning brings a clean 7ft SSW groundswell with a period of 16 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 2383, which is strong. For advanced surfers only at this size. The wind is a moderate cross-offshore breeze, so the waves should have some shape. Crowds are possible here, so get in early. The afternoon sees the wind swing cross and the size drop to 5ft, but it goes lumpy.

Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th are messy again with strong cross winds and fresh to strong breezes. The swell stays around 5ft to 7ft, but the period is long, and the wind keeps the surface ugly. Surfable maybe, but not worth the effort.

Looking into the second week, from Wednesday the 19th to Friday the 21st, conditions clean up a bit with cross-offshore winds from the east. The swell is around 7ft, from the SSE to SE, with a shorter period around 10 seconds. The energy is moderate to strong (820 to 1054). These are marginal days at best. The waves might have a few ok ones, but the direction isn’t optimum for this break. Saturday the 22nd to Tuesday the 26th sees the wind turn onshore from the west and southwest, putting a cap on things. Swell drops to 5ft and the quality goes poor again. Wednesday the 26th morning has a clean 4ft swell with light wind, but it’s marginal.

So, the pick of the entire forecast is Sunday the 16th morning. Get it while you can. After that, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty

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