Surf Forecasts:
Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 16 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 20s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 16s period, SSW swell with 2,107 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:
The surf forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 2.1m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 9s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 20s |
| Most Powerful | 8AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s break down the same stretch of water in the units you’d use on a boat. The only spot we’re looking at is Dumbea Rights, a right-hand reef break that’s consistent and built for the experienced crew. The water is sitting at 72°, which is dead average for this time of year.
We start with a long dry patch. Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th are a waste – tiny 2 to 3-foot swells with messy wind. Don’t bother.
Wednesday the 12th morning is a little window of calm. The wind goes glassy, and there’s a tiny 1-foot groundswell from the SSW with a very long period of 19 seconds. The energy is weak (124), but it’s clean. Only for the patient.
The rest of the week is rough. Thursday and Friday the 14th see the swell jump to 6 to 7 feet, but the wind is howling onshore at 18 to 19 mph, and it’s lumpy. The energy is moderate to strong (870), but the quality is poor.
Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are marginal. Swell stays at 6 feet, but the wind is cross-shore from the SE, and the energy is building. Sunday morning hits a massive 2660 in energy, but it’s still cross-shore and choppy.
The real standout opens on Monday the 17th. The wind goes cross-offshore from the SE, and the swell is 4 to 5 feet with a 14 to 16-second period. The energy is strong (1334 to 1336). The afternoon is the first clean call. This is the one to watch.
Tuesday the 18th is the best of the whole run. The morning swell jumps to 7 feet from the S with a 14-second period, and the energy is massive (2215). The wind is fresh cross-offshore, and the conditions are clean. This is expert territory – 7 feet on a reef with long intervals will be powerful and well-shaped.
After that, it drops off. Wednesday the 19th is 4 feet, still clean, but the energy drops. The 20th has a pulse of 6 feet from the SE, but the period shortens to 9 seconds, so it loses that groundswell quality.
The final days from the 21st onward are a letdown with weak swells and poor wind. The best of the 16 days is Tuesday the 18th morning. The 7-foot groundswell from the S, with a 14-second period and clean cross-offshore wind, is a proper session. The second best is Monday afternoon the 17th, with clean conditions and a solid 5-foot swell.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 18°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Thu afternoon, min 19°C on Fri morning). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 19 | ESE 9 | SW 18 | SW 10 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 21 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 132 | 79 | 80 | 58 | 61 | 74 | 43 | 78 | 122 | 149 | 422 | 635 | 550 | 419 | 516 | 579 | 1275 | 1988 | 1954 | 1341 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross | on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 6:42PM1.25m | 6:10AM0.97m | 7:30PM1.34m | 7:06AM1.04m | 8:11PM1.41m | 7:56AM1.10m | 8:49PM1.43m | 8:42AM1.14m | 9:24PM1.43m | 9:26AM1.17m | 9:57PM1.38m | 10:09AM1.16m | 10:28PM1.32m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:58AM0.51m | 12:34PM0.07m | 1:46AM0.42m | 1:25PM0.02m | 2:28AM0.35m | 2:10PM0.01m | 3:06AM0.28m | 2:52PM0.03m | 3:42AM0.24m | 3:32PM0.10m | 4:16AM0.21m | 4:11PM0.19m | 4:50AM0.20m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — |
 | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 20 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | SW 10 | SW 12 | ESE 9 | SW 9 | SW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | S 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 17 | 79 | 80 | 58 | 61 | 44 | 43 | 40 | 122 | 149 | 29 | 635 | 550 | 419 | 516 | 579 | 546 | 640 | 1954 | 1341 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 12 | S 5 | S 6 | S 6 | S 6 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 21 | SSW 18 | E 9 | S 9 |
| kJ | 22 | 8 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 74 | 35 | 78 | 31 | 27 | 83 | 204 | 243 | 229 | 220 | 314 | 1275 | 1988 | 6 | 416 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SW 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 7 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SW 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 14 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SW 10 | SE 10 | ESE 13 | E 11 |
| kJ | 21 | 18 | 49 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 98 | 94 | 54 | 31 | 32 | 32 | 18 | 18 | 255 | 23 | 18 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | — | — | WNW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 9 | SW 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 10 | S 9 | — |
| kJ | 132 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 138 | 422 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 556 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1402 | 0 | 27 | 1361 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 0 | 27 | 1394 | 1243 | 1243 | 1243 | 1245 | 1322 | 1243 | 46 | 1243 | 1243 | 115 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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