Dumbea Rights Surf Break

Lat Long: 22.35° S 166.25° E

Dumbea Rights Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 18 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Dumbea Rights sea temperature is
22.7° C
0.5° 

Dumbea Rights surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 17 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 24 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 18 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, SSE swell with 2,476 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 24 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period with ESE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:

The surf forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 24) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 18s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 3.0m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 5s period and expected on Monday (Aug 24) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (+11) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 8AM (Mon 24th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Best Surf 8AM (Mon 24th Aug)4.5ft (1.3m) 8s
Most Powerful11AM (Tue 18th Aug)10ft (3.0m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

Right, so for this stretch, we’re talking Dumbea Rights. It’s a consistent reef break, exposed to the swell, but the first week is a bit of a write-off for decent waves. The setup is there, but the wind is just too strong most days, and the size is either too big with messy conditions, or it drops off. The real standout, the one to circle on your calendar, is the morning of Wednesday, August 26th. That’s where it all comes together.

Let’s walk through it. From Tuesday the 18th, we’ve got a big 10ft swell from the SSE, but with a strong 25 mph cross-off wind, it’s just not going to be clean. The energy is massive (3356), but it’s too blown out. That pattern holds through the rest of the week; solid swell but the wind is always too fresh, keeping the quality marginal. By the weekend, the swell drops below 7ft and the wind is still annoying, so we’re looking at a gap of poor to flat conditions from Saturday the 22nd right through to Monday the 24th.

Then things shift. The standout comes on Wednesday, August 26th, early. We’ve got a 5ft swell from the SSW, and here’s the kicker: the period is a very long 16 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy (1246), and for a reef break like Dumbea Rights, that’s the sweet spot. The wind is a moderate 12 mph from the ESE, which is a clean cross-off. The water temp is 73°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year, nothing unusual there. This is the session to aim for. Thursday the 27th morning also looks promising with lighter winds and a clean 5ft SSW swell.

Looking into the first week of September, there’s a bit of a last hurrah on Monday, August 31st morning. It’s small at 3ft, but the wind goes glassy. That’s a rarity, and if you’re after some clean, small waves on a reef, that’s your window. After that, the wind swings onshore and it gets ugly again.

So, bottom line: the best on offer is the morning of Wednesday, August 26th at Dumbea Rights. Clean, long-period groundswell, manageable wind. The morning of Monday, August 31st is a backup for a glassy, small wave session. The rest of the time, you’re fighting the wind.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 21°C on Thu afternoon, min 18°C on Tue night). Mainly strong winds.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Sat afternoon, min 19°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ESE on Sat afternoon, light winds from the E by Sun morning).

Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
Sunday
23
Monday
24
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
2
1
2
1
1
0
3
1
0
0
0
0
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
SSE
12
2.5
SSE
12
2.5
SSE
9
2.2
SE
10
2.1
SE
11
2.1
SE
10
1.9
SE
9
1.7
SE
8
2.5
SE
8
1.9
ESE
8
2.1
SE
12
1.8
SE
11
1.8
SE
8
1.7
SE
8
2.1
ESE
8
1.6
SE
8
1.6
ESE
8
0.8
SSE
9
1.2
ESE
8
0.9
SSW
18
1.6
SSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2476
1879
1004
974
954
761
548
344
899
425
1284
730
450
400
574
338
277
101
188
514
1294
Wind (km/h)
40
ESE
40
ESE
40
ESE
35
ESE
40
SE
30
E
30
ESE
35
E
35
E
35
E
35
ESE
25
E
30
ESE
35
ESE
20
E
25
ESE
30
E
20
E
25
ESE
40
ESE
25
E
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
11:37AM1.09m
11:28PM1.13m
12:26PM1.03m
11:59PM1.03m
1:25PM0.97m
00:35AM0.94m
2:47PM0.93m
1:30AM0.86m
4:25PM0.94m
3:05AM0.81m
5:39PM1.00m
4:43AM0.83m
6:28PM1.08m
Low Tide
5:28PM0.41m
6:00AM0.24m
6:10PM0.52m
6:41AM0.29m
7:03PM0.62m
7:34AM0.34m
8:22PM0.68m
8:44AM0.37m
10:20PM0.69m
10:06AM0.36m
11:50PM0.64m
11:16AM0.31m
00:40AM0.57m
cloud
part cloud
light rain
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
part cloud
rain showers
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:15
6:13
6:13
6:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:39
5:39
5:40
5:40
5:40
5:42
5:42
 mm
1
1
1
2
1
1
1
Temp °C
19
20
19
19
19
19
19
21
19
20
21
20
21
22
21
21
22
21
22
23
21
Feels °C
11
13
12
13
12
12
14
15
14
14
15
15
17
16
17
19
18
18
20
18
18
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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