Dumbea Rights Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming up for our local zone.

Right off the bat, the next few days are a write-off for anything decent. We’ve got a solid swell pulse pushing through Wednesday and Thursday, but the wind is just howling out of the east-southeast at 25 mph, and it’s coming across the face. The waves are there, around 7 ft to 8 ft from the southeast, but it’s just messy and blown out with poor conditions. The combined energy is high – over 1400 all the way up to 1442 – but it’s wasted energy with that wind. The water temperature is average for this time of year, so nothing crazy there.

Now, Friday the 24th of July is where things start to look interesting. The wind drops right out, down to a light air at 3 mph in the morning, still cross-off. The swell drops to 4 ft from the southeast, with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy is a moderate 444. The report says "expect good surf conditions" and it’s clean. That’s the standout for the week. Dumbea Rights will be offering up some fun, rideable waves with that clean cross-off wind. It’s a reef break, consistent, and an advanced wave, but it’s a good one. Keep in mind, crowds are possible here.

The weekend turns average. Saturday the 25th is a write-off with rain showers and moderate cross-shore wind, tiny waves. Sunday the 26th has a big jump in size – 10 ft from the southwest with a very long 14-second period, and the energy is massive (3624). But the wind is cross-onshore and choppy, so it’s marginal. That’s a lot of water moving, but it’s not clean. That size is only for experts.

Moving into the following week, Monday the 27th shows a bit of promise with a 7 ft SSW groundswell at 14 seconds, and light cross-shore wind. The energy is strong (1853). The report rates it a 3, which is the best score in the entire run. It’s still marginal with a light cross-shore, but it’s the closest we get to a clean session with that size. After that, Tuesday and Wednesday see the wind pick up again, and the quality drops off.

The rest of the run into the first week of August is mostly marginal with fresh to strong cross-off breezes, keeping the waves clean but the wind strong. The swell stays around 4 ft to 6 ft from the southeast with moderate energy. Nothing is a standout in that second week – it’s just a long stretch of on-and-off, marginal surf. The final few days of the forecast, from the 3rd of August onwards, show poor conditions with a drop in energy.

So the best bet is Friday morning, the 24th of July, at Dumbea Rights. Clean, light winds, and a decent 4 ft SE swell. That’s the one to circle.

Rusty.

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