
Surf Forecasts:
Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 13s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 13s period, S swell with 1,850 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 13s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:
The surf forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.4m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 2.4m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be glassy at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for the next couple of weeks.
To be honest, it’s a tough run ahead. We’ve got Dumbea Rights on the radar, but it’s a reef break that needs a very specific SSW swell direction to fire, and the wind gods are not playing ball for most of this period. The wave energy is all over the shop, and the quality just isn’t there for a clean paddle session.
The only real window that has a pulse is this Saturday morning, the 11th of July. We’ll see a 6ft SSW swell rolling in with an 11-second period, giving the place some decent shape. The wind is offshore from the SW, which is exactly what you want on a reef. It’s a consistent spot, so you’ll get waves, but it’s an advanced wave, so don’t be fooled. The combined energy is moderate (1543), so it’s got some punch. Water temp is sitting at 74°, pretty much bang on average for this time of year.
Sunday morning the 12th is clean with cross-offshore winds, but the swell has dropped to 4ft from the SSE. It’s a bit weaker at 746 energy, and with a 10-second period, it’ll be a bit more gutless. Better than a kick in the teeth, but it’s not a standout.
After that, it’s a long, frustrating stretch. From Sunday afternoon the 12th right through to Saturday the 25th of July, the wind is either cross, cross-on, or howling, and the swell is small, weak, or just messy. The 20th of July morning has a 6ft SSW swell with a super long 19-second period, and the energy is strong (3242), but the wind is a fresh cross-shore, ruining the surface. That setup screams “kite-surfing” more than paddle surfing, to be honest.
We get a flicker of hope on the 22nd of July Wednesday morning with a 6ft ESE swell, but it’s short-period (9 seconds) and the wind is cross-off, so it’s clean but weak. The energy is moderate (699). It’s a consolation prize, not a highlight.
So, if you’re keen, your best bet is Saturday morning, the 11th of July, at Dumbea Rights. Get it while the wind is off. After that, park the boards and wait for a better set of charts.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 19°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the ESE by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon afternoon, min 20°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ESE on Mon afternoon, light winds from the ESE by Wed morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 13 | SSW 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSW 16 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
3037 | 1850 | 777 | 540 | 419 | 340 | 407 | 292 | 231 | 196 | 79 | 110 | 71 | 94 | 151 | 251 | 368 | 532 | 402 | 410 | 639 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | glassy | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross |
High Tide | 4:40PM1.06m | 3:59AM1.01m | 5:50PM1.15m | 5:08AM0.99m | 6:49PM1.25m | 6:12AM1.01m | 7:41PM1.34m | 7:09AM1.03m | 8:28PM1.41m | 8:02AM1.06m | 9:13PM1.44m | 8:51AM1.09m | 9:54PM1.44m | 9:40AM1.09m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:25PM0.59m | 10:46AM0.17m | 11:48PM0.57m | 11:46AM0.10m | 00:57AM0.52m | 12:42PM0.03m | 1:54AM0.46m | 1:34PM-0.02m | 2:43AM0.41m | 2:23PM-0.04m | 3:29AM0.37m | 3:08PM-0.03m | 4:12AM0.34m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | |
5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:27 | — | 5:28 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Feels °C | 17 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | S 13 | SSW 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSW 16 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SW 11 |
3037 | 1850 | 777 | 540 | 419 | 340 | 407 | 292 | 231 | 196 | 79 | 110 | 71 | 71 | 141 | 251 | 207 | 532 | 402 | 410 | 639 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSE 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSW 9 | SW 13 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SW 10 | SSW 11 | SE 8 | SSW 14 |
305 | 386 | 540 | 471 | 222 | 120 | 139 | 115 | 77 | 74 | 43 | 26 | 42 | 94 | 151 | 149 | 368 | 98 | 215 | 93 | 246 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | SSE 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | SSE 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 8 | SSW 21 | SW 9 | — | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | ESE 8 | SSW 16 | SE 8 |
13 | 158 | 226 | 217 | 164 | 286 | 20 | 191 | 111 | 137 | 73 | 42 | 13 | 44 | 68 | — | 68 | 99 | 70 | 298 | 63 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 9 | — | — | ESE 4 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | — | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 8 | SSE 4 | S 4 | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 258 | — | — | 16 | 104 | 74 | 47 | 52 | — | 173 | 177 | 149 | 27 | 15 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 571 | 0 | 759 | 759 | 46 | 71 | 759 | 26 | 71 | 1345 | 46 | 71 | 116 | 46 | 71 | 765 | 759 | 1243 | 1243 | 1243 | 1243 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











