Surf Forecasts:
Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 25 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 13s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SSW swell with 4,851 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 3.5ft (1.0m), 13s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:
The surf forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 1.0m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 3.5ft (1.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let's talk it through. The first real surf window opens up this morning, Sunday July 26, at Dumbea Rights. You've got a solid 12 ft groundswell from the SSW with a 15-second period and strong energy kicking at 5,098 – plenty of punch. That's advanced-level stuff, not for the groms. Wind is cross-shore from the SE at 15 mph, so wave faces will be a bit lumpy. It's a consistent reef break and it can get crowded sometimes. This afternoon the swell drops a bit to 10 ft, same direction, 14-second period, but still with that cross breeze.
Monday the 27th, the swell backs down to 7 ft from the SSW, 12-second period, with a cross-offshore ESE wind at 15 mph, giving cleaner conditions. Combined energy at 1,501 – respectable. Tuesday the 28th stays similar, 7–7 ft S swell, 12-second period, cross-off winds, though there may be some rain or clouds. Conditions are still clean. Water temperature is unremarkable, right around average for the time of year.
Then comes a real highlight: Thursday morning July 30. Swell is small at 4 ft from the SE, 13-second period, but the wind goes glassy from the SSE at 3 mph. The forecast says “expect very good surf conditions” with a combined energy of 630 – small but pristine. This is the cleanest option in the whole outlook, a lovely glassy reef wave. It's consistent but crowds are possible.
Friday morning July 31 offers another glassy start, 3 ft swell from the SSW, very long 15-second period, energy 649. Calm wind from the SW at 3 mph. Just magic if you can get out there.
From Saturday August 1 things turn gnarly. Swell builds back to 5 ft then 7 ft, but winds go onshore or cross-onshore, making for poor, choppy conditions with zero-rated sessions. That rough run lasts through Sunday, Monday, and into Tuesday August 4 – blown-out and rough, probably better for kitesurfing. Wednesday August 5 and Thursday August 6 drop to 3–4 ft swell but still cross-shore winds or moderate chop. There's a slight chance on Sunday August 9 with a light WSW breeze and 3 ft SSW swell (15-second period, 563 energy) – could be a clean little morning.
The standout: Thursday July 30 morning – small but glassy and perfect. Friday July 31 morning is your backup for another glassy session.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 18°C on Tue morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 21°C on Wed morning, min 19°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 14 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 4851 | 3980 | 2177 | 1477 | 1501 | 1491 | 954 | 689 | 401 | 302 | 242 | 340 | 437 | 411 | 320 | 400 | 286 | 272 | 2111 | 2019 | 2268 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 6:49PM1.10m | 6:02AM0.90m | 7:29PM1.16m | 6:50AM0.94m | 8:05PM1.22m | 7:32AM0.98m | 8:38PM1.27m | 8:11AM1.02m | 9:08PM1.31m | 8:48AM1.05m | 9:38PM1.34m | 9:26AM1.07m | 10:06PM1.34m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:39AM0.26m | 00:56AM0.59m | 12:29PM0.21m | 1:37AM0.53m | 1:12PM0.16m | 2:13AM0.48m | 1:50PM0.11m | 2:47AM0.43m | 2:26PM0.09m | 3:19AM0.39m | 2:59PM0.09m | 3:52AM0.34m | 3:33PM0.12m | 4:24AM0.30m | |||||||
 |  |  | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | |  |  | | | |
 | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — |
 | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 |
Feels °C | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 14 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 4851 | 3980 | 2177 | 1477 | 1501 | 1491 | 954 | 689 | 401 | 302 | 240 | 340 | 437 | 411 | 320 | 400 | 286 | 272 | 2111 | 2019 | 2268 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | SSW 15 | ESE 8 | SE 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 |
| kJ | — | 115 | 119 | 101 | 64 | 79 | 164 | 181 | 205 | 242 | 242 | 75 | 115 | 246 | 74 | 305 | 264 | 265 | 303 | 273 | 140 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 18 | SE 17 | SE 16 | SE 11 | — | — | — | SSE 8 | SW 19 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SE 7 | SSW 13 | ESE 7 | E 18 | SSW 17 | ENE 7 | E 16 | S 23 |
| kJ | — | — | 12 | 46 | 41 | 43 | — | — | — | 7 | 14 | 170 | 105 | 47 | 158 | 48 | 6 | 109 | 10 | 5 | 10 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | — | — | — | — | ESE 4 | SE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 7 | — | — | — | SSW 4 | S 5 | S 6 | S 6 | — | — |
| kJ | 207 | — | — | — | — | 7 | 138 | 161 | 90 | 52 | 77 | 131 | — | — | — | 7 | 69 | 95 | 113 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1245 | 1384 | 1247 | 1394 | 1394 | 46 | 50 | 1345 | 46 | 68 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 76 | 71 | 71 | 1243 | 26 | 1243 | 1243 | 1243 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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