Dumbea Rights Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright mate, let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for this stretch of coast. It’s a bit of a mixed bag, so don’t get too amped for a clean run of pumping surf. We’ve got a solid window of waves, but the wind is gonna be the main player, and it’s not always gonna be on our side.

We’re looking at a period that kicks off with some decent, punchy swell, but the early sessions are gonna be a bit rough around the edges. The conditions are going to clean up for a brief moment in the middle, promising a standout day, but then it looks like things are going to fade out into a bit of a patchy, quiet spell later on.

The first couple of days, Monday the 3rd and Tuesday the 4th, see some solid swell in the 10ft range rolling in from the south with a long period. The energy in the water is strong, with the combined swell energy values well into the four digits, hit 2384 on Monday morning. But here’s the catch – that wind is a fresh cross-off breeze blowing at 22-25 mph. It’s keeping the surf clean, but it’s going to be bumpy and contest-y. This is proper advanced territory; anything over 8ft is expert-only in my book, so the rest of you are better off watching from the sand. The swell does drop back to a more manageable 4ft on Tuesday, but the wind stays up, so it’s still going to be a bit of a wrestle with the elements.

Then things get interesting. The swell eases a bit but the wind goes light. On Saturday morning, the 8th, we’ve got 5ft of ESE groundswell, but the cross-off breeze drops to just 3 mph. That’s the one to get excited about. It’s still got that long period, but it’s clean and glassy. The energy is moderate, at 334, but the lack of wind is going to make it look way better than the numbers suggest. That’s your standout window. The crowd factor is a bit of a thing there, too, so you might have to share.

After that, it goes a bit quiet. Sunday the 9th is mushy and small, with cross-on winds messing things up. The following week, things get properly poor. From the 10th through to the 15th, it’s looking like a write-off. Swell drops off, wind is all over the place, either onshore or cross-onshore, and the energy is low. There’s a brief pulse of energy on the 14th, with a 3ft SSW swell arriving with an 18-second period, but the wind is just hopeless. The breaks will be closed out and messy. It’s a real lull and there’s not much to get excited about. It just looks like a lot of groveling or sitting on the beach.

We do see a bit of life return on Sunday the 16th. The swell bumps up to 5ft from the SSW with a solid 13-second period. The energy rises too, getting close to 1000. But that onshore wind comes straight back with it, and it’s looking cross-shore and lumpy. It’s a promising sign of things to come, though. The long range forecast is hinting at a more substantial SSW swell moving in on Tuesday the 18th, around 8ft. That’s one to keep an eye on, but it’s far out, so I wouldn’t be betting the farm on it just yet. The conditions look like they’re going to be a bit cleaner, which could be a great session if it all lines up, but we’ll see.

Alright, that’s the story. Keep your eyes on Saturday the 8th for the clean one.

Rusty.

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