Surf Forecasts:
Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 24 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 27 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 25 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 15s period, SSW swell with 1,382 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:
The surf forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 1.1m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 1.7m 15s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 25) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 8s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 27) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Thu 27th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Thu 27th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Tue 25th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's get into it. The next couple of weeks are looking like a bit of a slow burn, but there are a couple of moments that will get the heart pumping.
We start off with a bit of a wait. The first few days are a write-off with poor conditions and messy winds. The first real hope arrives on the morning of Thursday the 27th of August. The swell is still building, but the wind is light and cross-shore, making it manageable. The real standout, though, is shaping up for the week after.
The big one is looking at Wednesday the 2nd of September. That morning, we’ve got a solid 8ft swell from the south with a 16-second period – that's a proper groundswell, packing a punch. The combined energy is a massive 3962, which is very strong. The wind is light and cross-off, so it’s going to be clean. This is a big, powerful wave, and the water temp is sitting around 72°, which is about average for this time of year. This is definitely for the experienced crew only; it’s going to be too big for beginners. The swell direction is SSW, which is right on the money for Dumbea Rights. This is the one to aim for.
The afternoon of the 2nd of September is still excellent, with 8ft from the SSW and a 16-second period, still with light cross-off winds. The energy is a bit lower, but still very strong.
The rest of the second week is a bit of a mixed bag. The mornings of the 3rd of September offer some decent 6ft swell, but with a cross-on wind, it won't be as perfect. The days after that drop off in size and quality, with a lot of cross-on winds and choppy conditions. There’s a glimmer late on the 7th of September with a small, clean 3ft swell from the late afternoon, but it’s a long period wave which might be a bit tricky at this spot.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off, the second week starts with a bang on the 2nd of September, but then it fades. Keep your eyes on that Wednesday.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 24°C on Mon afternoon, min 19°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ESE on Tue afternoon, light winds from the SE by Thu morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 23°C on Thu afternoon, min 19°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 24 | Tuesday 25 | Wednesday 26 | Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 237 | 1011 | 1382 | 1240 | 1193 | 983 | 678 | 706 | 653 | 505 | 312 | 249 | 138 | 400 | 573 | 497 | 510 | 969 | 921 | 601 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross |
High Tide | 6:28PM1.08m | 5:48AM0.88m | 7:05PM1.16m | 6:37AM0.95m | 7:36PM1.24m | 7:17AM1.02m | 8:05PM1.30m | 7:55AM1.08m | 8:33PM1.34m | 8:32AM1.13m | 9:01PM1.35m | 9:09AM1.17m | 9:29PM1.34m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:40AM0.57m | 12:08PM0.25m | 1:16AM0.50m | 12:50PM0.19m | 1:48AM0.42m | 1:27PM0.14m | 2:18AM0.35m | 2:02PM0.12m | 2:47AM0.28m | 2:36PM0.12m | 3:17AM0.22m | 3:11PM0.16m | 3:47AM0.17m | |||||||
 |  | | | | |  | | | | | | |  |  | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:11 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — |
 | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 24 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 20 | 19 | 17 | 14 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | ESE 9 | SSW 13 | ESE 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 |
| kJ | 210 | 1011 | 1382 | 1240 | 1193 | 983 | 678 | 706 | 653 | 505 | 131 | 249 | 88 | 400 | 573 | 497 | 510 | 969 | 75 | 50 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | SE 9 | SE 13 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 14 | SE 14 | ESE 8 | SE 13 | SSW 14 | ESE 9 | SSW 12 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SW 18 | SW 18 |
| kJ | 5 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 142 | 6 | 312 | 111 | 138 | 65 | 55 | 57 | 83 | 80 | 12 | 12 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | SE 13 | — | SE 13 | — | — | — | SE 13 | — | SE 12 | SE 13 | S 16 | SSW 12 | SE 12 | SSW 8 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SE 15 | SE 14 |
| kJ | 5 | 1 | 7 | — | 7 | — | — | — | 7 | — | 6 | 7 | 134 | 93 | 5 | 40 | 15 | 15 | 9 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | S 3 | S 6 | — | SSW 12 | S 8 |
| kJ | 237 | 180 | 186 | 95 | 110 | 144 | 192 | 176 | 247 | 149 | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 153 | — | 921 | 601 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 71 | 46 | 71 | 116 | 46 | 76 | 113 | 46 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 1269 | 26 | 1243 | 1403 | 1247 | 1430 | 1403 | 1403 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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