Surf Forecasts:
Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 17 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 12s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 19 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, SSW swell with 6,512 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 17 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 12s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:
The surf forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 4.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 19) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Thu 17th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 19th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s shaping up for Dumbea Rights.
We’ve got a solid run of swell on the cards, but the wind is going to be a real pain for the first week or so. This is a reef setup that loves a clean SSW groundswell, and there’s plenty of energy in the water, but most of the early sessions are going to be messy. The water temp is 73°, right about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The main event looks like it’s going to be Saturday the 26th of September. That morning is the standout. We’re looking at a clean 5 ft SSW swell with a long 15-second period. The wind is a gentle offshore breeze, making for some clean, lined-up waves. The energy is moderate (1327), but the quality of the ride should be excellent for experienced surfers. This is the one to circle.
Before we get there, it’s a bit of a battle. The first Saturday (12th) has a big 12 ft SSW groundswell (7456 energy) but a fresh cross-shore wind is going to chop it up. Too big for beginners anyway, but the wind ruins it for everyone. Sunday morning (13th) cleans up a touch with a 8 ft S swell and a cross-off breeze, but it’s still a fresh wind, and the conditions are only marginal.
We then hit a dry patch from the 16th through the 22nd, where the swell drops, and the winds keep messing with it. A few pulses come through, but the onshore or strong cross-shore winds just kill the quality. The 18th and 19th see size jump back up to 12 ft to 13 ft, but it’s onshore and ugly – honestly, that setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The gap lasts until the 26th, which is a long wait. The 25th has a bit of potential with a 6 ft, 17-second SSW groundswell, but the wind is still moderate, so it’s just a warm-up for the real deal the next day.
So, bottom line: the first week is a write-off thanks to wind. There’s a big gap with nothing good. The single standout is Saturday the 26th of September. Get on it if you can, because it’s the only time in the forecast the stars align.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon morning. Warm (max 20°C on Sat night, min 19°C on Sat afternoon). Mainly strong winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 21°C on Thu afternoon, min 18°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ESE on Tue afternoon, light winds from the ESE by Wed night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | S 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | S 10 | SSW 17 | SSW 7 | SW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 5340 | 3697 | 2218 | 5571 | 5856 | 2749 | 3767 | 2170 | 1972 | 1016 | 632 | 447 | 347 | 189 | 68 | 59 | 353 | 1210 | 3244 | 6512 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:48PM1.35m | 9:09AM1.24m | 9:17PM1.30m | 9:47AM1.24m | 9:46PM1.23m | 10:25AM1.21m | 10:14PM1.15m | 11:04AM1.15m | 10:42PM1.07m | 11:47AM1.08m | 11:12PM0.98m | 12:40PM1.00m | 11:47PM0.90m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:05AM0.14m | 3:10PM0.20m | 3:35AM0.12m | 3:46PM0.27m | 4:05AM0.12m | 4:22PM0.36m | 4:36AM0.16m | 4:59PM0.45m | 5:09AM0.21m | 5:39PM0.54m | 5:49AM0.27m | 6:30PM0.62m | ||||||||
 |  | |  | |  |  | | | |  | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — |
 | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:49 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 |
Feels °C | 13 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 20 | 18 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | S 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SE 6 | ESE 7 | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 5340 | 3697 | 2218 | 5571 | 5856 | 2749 | 3767 | 2170 | 1972 | 1016 | 632 | 447 | 347 | 189 | 33 | 29 | 284 | 368 | 3244 | 6512 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 20 | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | E 13 | SE 11 | E 12 | SW 15 | SE 7 | S 10 | S 10 | ESE 7 | S 15 | SSW 19 | E 8 |
| kJ | — | — | 1021 | — | — | 2162 | — | — | — | 3 | 5 | 3 | 55 | 54 | 68 | 47 | 17 | 357 | 143 | 11 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 11 | SE 12 | SE 12 | S 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 17 | E 12 | ESE 7 | SSW 19 | — |
| kJ | — | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 59 | 3 | 10 | 143 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | — | — | SW 3 | SSW 7 | SW 10 | WSW 12 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 263 | 195 | 145 | 126 | 132 | 85 | 83 | — | — | 2 | 353 | 1210 | 1299 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1403 | 116 | 1247 | 1403 | 113 | 1247 | 1247 | 48 | 759 | 1573 | 46 | 76 | 759 | 0 | 1243 | 1247 | 571 | 571 | 582 | 582 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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