
Surf Forecasts:
Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 4 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 14s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 17s period, SSW swell with 8,436 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 5 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 11s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:
The surf forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 05) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.4m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 4.0m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sun 5th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Tue 7th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's cookin'.
First up, we've got Dumbea Rights. It's a reef break, exposed to the swell, and it prefers the swell from the SSW. The water temp is sitting at 74°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, no surprises there.
Now, the outlook starts off a bit ordinary. Saturday the 4th has some chest-high waves (5ft) from the southeast, but the wind is a moderate cross-off in the morning, which keeps it clean. The energy is moderate (562). The afternoon gets messy though, with a fresh cross-shore wind making it lumpy. Sunday the 5th is similar, with a consistent 4ft to 5ft from the SE, but winds stay cross-shore. It's not terrible, but nothing to write home about.
Then things get big and ugly. From Monday the 6th through to Friday the 10th, we're looking at a big SSW groundswell. The swell size climbs from 6ft up to a massive 13ft by Tuesday the 7th, with a very long period (17 seconds) and a huge energy reading (8555). That's a lot of power. But the wind is onshore or cross-onshore the whole time, making it a total washout. This is really only for the experts, and even then, the wind is going to make it a battle. For the rest of us, this looks more like a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session.
After that big pulse, it starts to drop. Saturday the 11th is the standout. We get an 8ft SSW groundswell with a 12-second period, and the wind goes completely glassy in the morning. That's the goods. It's a solid wave for experienced surfers, and the conditions will be perfect. The energy is still strong (1982). This is the one to circle on the calendar. The afternoon gets a light cross-on, but the morning session is where it's at.
Sunday the 12th and Monday the 13th see the swell fade to 5ft and then 3ft. The energy drops right off. Tuesday the 14th morning shows some promise with a 4ft SE swell and a light offshore breeze (cross-off), giving us clean 4ft waves. It's not huge, but it's a fun little window.
From Wednesday the 15th onward, we're back into a messy pattern. A mix of rain showers and strong, onshore winds make for poor conditions through to Sunday the 19th. There's a few pulses of swell, like a 5ft and 8ft from the SW on the 16th, but the wind is straight onshore. Not great.
So to sum it up, if you want clean, solid waves, you're waiting for the morning of Saturday the 11th of July. That's the real gem in this two-week window. The days before and after are either too big and windy, or too small and sloppy.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 21°C on Sat afternoon, min 18°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SE on Sun night, fresh winds from the S by Mon afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 20°C on Tue night, min 18°C on Tue morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 4 | Sunday 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 18 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
505 | 453 | 423 | 354 | 604 | 558 | 414 | 986 | 4094 | 8436 | 7954 | 7116 | 5239 | 4119 | 3145 | 2271 | 1903 | 1499 | 798 | 637 | 1933 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 10:19AM0.99m | 11:12PM1.28m | 11:03AM0.97m | 11:46PM1.26m | 11:53AM0.95m | 00:22AM1.22m | 12:51PM0.94m | 1:03AM1.17m | 2:01PM0.95m | 1:51AM1.11m | 3:21PM0.98m | 2:50AM1.05m | 4:40PM1.06m | 3:59AM1.01m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:29PM0.17m | 5:34AM0.40m | 5:07PM0.24m | 6:15AM0.37m | 5:48PM0.32m | 7:00AM0.34m | 6:38PM0.41m | 7:49AM0.31m | 7:40PM0.50m | 8:44AM0.27m | 8:57PM0.56m | 9:44AM0.23m | 10:25PM0.59m | ||||||||
6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | |
— | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 |
Temp °C | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Feels °C | 18 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 14 |
505 | 453 | 423 | 354 | 604 | 558 | 414 | 986 | 4094 | 8436 | 7954 | 7116 | 5239 | 4119 | 3145 | 2271 | 1903 | 1499 | 798 | 577 | 1933 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SW 14 | SE 14 | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SE 11 | SSW 20 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SW 20 | SSW 18 | SE 12 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 |
49 | 42 | 51 | 149 | 44 | 121 | 264 | 298 | 738 | 119 | 78 | 56 | 45 | 28 | 28 | 99 | 128 | 21 | 336 | 637 | 381 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 10 | S 9 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 15 | SSW 10 | SSW 23 | SE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | SW 22 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 12 | SE 12 |
8 | 7 | 2 | 34 | 13 | 57 | 122 | 54 | 172 | — | — | — | — | — | 18 | 11 | 12 | — | 98 | 29 | 34 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 5 | S 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 3 | 74 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 71 | 1384 | 0 | 1245 | 1247 | 76 | 1247 | 1247 | 1243 | 1243 | 1243 | 1243 | 1404 | 1404 | 571 | 1404 | 1403 | 1247 | 1384 | 550 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










