
Surf Forecasts:
Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 9 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period, S swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, S swell with 3,388 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:
The surf forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 17s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for the next couple of weeks. We’ve got one spot on the radar, and it’s a bit of a mixed bag, so let’s break it down.
Right off the bat, the first few days are a write-off. Thursday and Friday the 9th and 10th of July are seeing a big 10ft SSW swell, but it’s coming in with a cross-onshore wind that’s got it choppy and messy. The combined energy is massive (2478 to 3393), but it’s just not clean. It’s a no-go for paddle surfing; the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing.
The first real glimmer of hope comes in on Saturday the 11th. The swell drops to a more manageable 6ft, still from the SSW, and the wind goes light and variable. The water temp is 74°, which is about average for the time of year. It’s still a little on the cross-on side, but it’s the cleanest we’ve seen so far. The combined energy is still strong (1617), but it’s not a standout.
For the best of the window, you have to look at Sunday the 12th. The swell drops even more, but the wind goes clean, cross-off from the ESE. The waves will be small, around 2ft to 3ft, but that long period 18-second groundswell will have some push. Just remember, that long period is best over a reef, and Dumbea Rights is a reef. The energy is moderate (629 to 719). It’s small, but it’ll be the cleanest surf of the first week.
The following week, from Monday the 13th through to the 23rd, it’s a real struggle. The swell is small and weak, and the wind is mostly clean but too strong for the size. The energy drops to low three-digit and even two-digit values. There’s a bump on the weekend of the 19th and 20th with a 6ft to 8ft SW swell, but the wind is howling at 18-28 mph, making it choppy and difficult. That’s a kite session, not a surf session.
The very last day on the 24th of July is a big swell, 12ft from the SSW, but again, it’s cross-onshore, messy, and for experts only. The combined energy is massive (3881 to 4148), but the quality is poor. It’s a long way out, so don’t get your hopes up.
So, the standout is Sunday the 12th, for the cleanest, most ridable waves. It’s small, but it’s your best bet. For the rest, it’s a waiting game. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but it looks like a long, flat spell with a few blown-out days.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 21°C on Thu morning, min 19°C on Fri morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Sun night, min 19°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ESE on Tue afternoon, light winds from the E by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | SSW 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2391 | 2391 | 2160 | 3119 | 2993 | 2069 | 833 | 540 | 452 | 286 | 407 | 191 | 313 | 148 | 145 | 117 | 115 | 127 | 212 | 371 | 203 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:21PM0.98m | 2:50AM1.05m | 4:40PM1.06m | 3:59AM1.01m | 5:50PM1.15m | 5:08AM0.99m | 6:49PM1.25m | 6:12AM1.01m | 7:41PM1.34m | 7:09AM1.03m | 8:28PM1.41m | 8:02AM1.06m | 9:13PM1.44m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:44AM0.27m | 8:57PM0.56m | 9:44AM0.23m | 10:25PM0.59m | 10:46AM0.17m | 11:48PM0.57m | 11:46AM0.10m | 00:57AM0.52m | 12:42PM0.03m | 1:54AM0.46m | 1:34PM-0.02m | 2:43AM0.41m | 2:23PM-0.04m | 3:29AM0.37m | |||||||
6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
— | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 22 | 21 |
Feels °C | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 14 | S 13 | S 13 | SSW 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSW 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SSW 10 | SW 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 |
2391 | 2391 | 2160 | 3119 | 2993 | 2069 | 833 | 540 | 452 | 223 | 176 | 145 | 77 | 148 | 145 | 117 | 115 | 127 | 118 | 371 | 196 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SE 12 | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSE 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 10 | SSW 14 | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 13 | SE 10 | SSW 13 | SE 10 | SE 10 |
76 | 127 | 21 | 253 | 305 | 386 | 558 | 408 | 222 | 120 | 407 | 112 | 110 | 74 | 42 | 26 | 62 | 76 | 212 | 76 | 58 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | SE 12 | SE 12 | ESE 12 | S 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 | S 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 7 | SW 8 | SE 9 | SW 19 | SSW 19 |
11 | 11 | 34 | 21 | 13 | 110 | 226 | 217 | 164 | 286 | 136 | 191 | 6 | 94 | 73 | 41 | 11 | 20 | 71 | 94 | 203 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 10 | ESE 5 | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 313 | 36 | 20 | 39 | 42 | 53 | 64 | 57 | 43 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1404 | 1404 | 1247 | 1384 | 1384 | 0 | 26 | 76 | 0 | 50 | 765 | 46 | 1247 | 1345 | 46 | 68 | 116 | 26 | 76 | 71 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










