Dumbea Rights Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s comin’ down the pipe for this stretch of coast.

We’re lookin’ at a bit of a slow start, but hold onto your boardies because there’s a proper pulse of energy rolling in by the weekend. Don’t get too excited about the early part of the run – Friday’s got rain showers and a fresh 22 mph cross-shore wind, with a weak 3 ft SSW swell. The water’s about average for this time of year, but the conditions are just plain messy. We’ve got a big gap before anything worthwhile shows up.

The real story starts on Saturday 12 September. The morning is where it’s at. We’re talkin’ a solid 12 ft SSW groundswell with a very long 17-second period – that’s a whole lotta energy pushin’ in. The wind is a clean cross-off from the SE at 19 mph, makin’ for some clean lines. Dumbea Rights will be pumpin’. This is the standout of the whole 16-day window. The wave quality is a bit borderline due to the size, but for a surfer who knows what they’re doin’, this is a gem. The swell direction is spot-on for this reef. Watch out for the crowds though, they can show up sometimes. Saturday afternoon holds similar size at 12 ft, but the energy drops a tick and the wind is a little less favorable.

Sunday morning the 13th drops to a 8 ft S swell, still with a decent 14-second period, and clean cross-off winds. It’s a solid option, but not the standout. By Sunday afternoon, the wind picks up hard to 25 mph from the SE, and it’s a total write-off.

Monday the 14th has some waist-to-chest high sets in the morning, but the wind is still fresh. By Tuesday the 15th, the swell is droppin’ out and the energy is fading. The rest of the week into the 18th is a mix of small, lumpy junk and onshore winds. Not worth paddlin’ out for.

There’s a little blip on Saturday 19 September with a 5 ft SSW swell and a very long 21-second period. The wind is clean cross-off, but the energy is only moderate. It’s a promising look for a point break, but it’s a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it.

The last real chance is Thursday 24 September. Light 6 mph winds from the SE, a 4 ft SSW groundswell with a long 19-second period. The energy is moderate. It’s glassy, it’s clean, and it’s a long way out. Consider it a promising but uncertain call.

Overall, if you’ve got the skills, the Saturday morning session is the one to circle. Otherwise, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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