Surf Forecasts:
Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 29 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 2 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 1 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 17s period, S swell with 3,514 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 2 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:
The surf forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 2.4m 17s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Wed 2nd Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Tue 1st Sep) | 8ft (2.4m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Dumbea Rights.
We’re looking at a long stretch here with some heavy swell, but the wind is going to be a hassle for most of it. The swell direction from the SSW is exactly what this reef wants to show its best face, but that cross-shore breeze is going to mess up the surface for the first few days. Water temp is about normal for this time of year, so nothing weird going on.
Starting off on Sunday the 30th of August, there’s decent sized swell, around 7 ft to 7 ft from the SSW and S, but it’s getting hammered by a strong cross-on and cross wind. The energy is pumping at over 1000 (1000-1086), but the surface is rough, so I’d give it a miss.
Monday the 31st is even worse. Swell drops a bit to 5 ft-6 ft, but the wind is fresh and cross. The combined energy is moderate (687-713), and ‘poor surf conditions’ tells you everything – lumpy and no fun.
Then we get the good stuff. Tuesday the 1st of September. This is the one to circle. Swell jumps to 8 ft-8 ft from the SSW, with a long 17-second period. That’s proper groundswell, and it’s carrying a massive punch with a combined energy of 3549. The wind goes cross-offshore (ESE) at 18-22 mph, which cleans it right up. This is a serious reef-break session for advanced surfers only – anything over 8 ft is expert territory. The sets will be powerful, lined up, and worth the paddle. This is your best bet.
Wednesday the 2nd keeps the energy with 8 ft-8 ft SSW swell, a 14-second period, and clean cross-off winds. Energy is still strong (2065-2635). It’s a big, powerful wave, but the period has dropped a bit, so it’s a notch below Tuesday. Still a good day for the experienced crew.
From Thursday the 3rd, it starts winding down. Swell drops to 7 ft then 6 ft, the wind swings back to cross, and the energy fades to 861-1295. The clean windows are there, but the quality is dropping. By Friday the 4th, it’s small and poor – 3 ft-3 ft with a cross chop. Not worth the effort.
There’s a gap of poor or marginal days from Friday the 4th through to Monday the 7th of September. Swell hangs around 3 ft to 4 ft, but the wind is all over the place and the shape is gone.
Then a glimmer appears on Sunday the 6th. The swell bumps to 7 ft with a long 16-second period from the SSW, and the wind drops to a light 3 mph cross-on. The energy is strong at 2243. That light wind means just small ripples, so the reef could be glassy in places. This is a promising, but less certain, long-range call – keep an eye on it.
From Tuesday the 8th onward, it’s a grind. Swell sits 4 ft to 4 ft, period dropping to 11-13 seconds, with persistent fresh cross and cross-off winds. It’s clean at times, but the energy is weak to moderate (375-1069). Not much happening.
A final pulse shows up on Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th of September. Swell builds to 7 ft-7 ft from the SSW/SW, with 12-13 second periods and clean cross-off winds. Energy is moderate to strong (1001-1482). It’s a marginal call with questionable tide, but for those chasing something in the second week, it’s the best of a quiet bunch.
So the real standout is Tuesday the 1st of September. Clean, powerful, and solid. Sunday the 6th is the long-range hope. The rest is mostly a fight with the wind.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 20°C on Mon morning, min 19°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSE on Sun morning, fresh winds from the SE by Tue afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Wed morning, min 19°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ESE on Wed afternoon, light winds from the E by Fri morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 9 | S 9 | SSW 14 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
908 | 1020 | 804 | 436 | 450 | 474 | 3514 | 3304 | 2790 | 2444 | 2171 | 1730 | 1193 | 861 | 589 | 320 | 113 | 207 | 229 | 193 | 779 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 9:09AM1.17m | 9:29PM1.34m | 9:47AM1.19m | 9:58PM1.31m | 10:27AM1.18m | 10:29PM1.24m | 11:12AM1.16m | 11:02PM1.16m | 12:04PM1.11m | 11:41PM1.06m | 1:10PM1.06m | 00:30AM0.96m | 2:40PM1.03m | 1:46AM0.88m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:11PM0.16m | 3:47AM0.17m | 3:47PM0.21m | 4:19AM0.15m | 4:25PM0.29m | 4:54AM0.15m | 5:07PM0.39m | 5:34AM0.17m | 5:56PM0.49m | 6:22AM0.21m | 7:03PM0.59m | 7:25AM0.26m | 8:43PM0.65m | ||||||||
6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | |
— | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | |
mm | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 18 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 19 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | S 10 | S 11 | S 9 | SSW 15 | S 9 | S 17 | S 16 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 |
908 | 1020 | 804 | 436 | 242 | 372 | 3514 | 3304 | 2790 | 2444 | 2171 | 1730 | 1193 | 861 | 589 | 320 | 113 | 151 | 229 | 193 | 779 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | S 11 | ESE 10 | SSW 14 | SE 12 | SE 12 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | — | E 9 | E 9 | — | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 10 | SW 10 |
77 | 55 | 46 | 62 | 30 | 474 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 17 | — | 26 | 40 | — | 32 | 31 | 98 | 109 | 103 | 42 | 23 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SE 13 | SSW 19 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 12 | SSW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 11 | S 12 | S 12 |
15 | 31 | 30 | 144 | 7 | 295 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 32 | 92 | 207 | 84 | 43 | 41 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | S 9 | — | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | — | E 9 | ESE 9 | — | — | ESE 4 | — | — | SE 3 | E 4 | ESE 9 | ESE 4 | ESE 4 |
— | — | — | — | 450 | — | 29 | 17 | — | 85 | 88 | — | — | 15 | — | — | 4 | 6 | 28 | 30 | 13 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 76 | 1247 | 1403 | 1286 | 1286 | 1384 | 48 | 1243 | 1243 | 26 | 115 | 1596 | 26 | 1245 | 1361 | 46 | 1247 | 1361 | 113 | 76 | 765 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











