
Surf Forecasts:
Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 24 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 10s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 16s period, SSW swell with 5,229 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:
The surf forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.6m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 3.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 5ft (1.6m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 6ft (1.8m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s put this in feet and miles per hour, ‘cause that’s how some folks read it.
So, lookin’ at Dumbea Rights, it’s a slow start but the end of this run could be a proper session. Let’s break it down.
The first few days have some swell, but the wind is a constant cross-off or cross breeze, keeps things messy. The wave energy is moderate through this first week, but it’s just not clean. Tuesday morning of the 21st has a 4ft SSW swell, but with that 9 mph cross-off wind, it’s not worth paddlin’ out. The 22nd and 23rd see the swell jump to 8ft and 7ft, but the period drops to 8 seconds – that’s short period, wind-affected chop, and it’s still blown out.
A little break shows up on Friday morning, July 24th. The wind drops to a light 3 mph, and the swell is a clean 5ft from the SE with a 10-second period. The combined energy is 602, and we get a “very good” call. That’s the best of the early run, but it’s short-lived.
Then we hit a lull. The weekend of the 25th and 26th is poor. The swell gets small and messy, then jumps up huge on the 26th – 10ft to 12ft – but with a 12 mph cross wind, it’s a mess. That’s for experts only, and even then, it’s not pretty.
The real magic is at the end. On July 31st, the swell builds again, with a 8ft SSW groundswell, long period of 18 seconds, and a combined energy of 4256. The wind is a clean cross-off at 12 mph. This is gettin’ good.
The absolute standout is the morning of August 1st. The wind goes dead glassy. Zero wind, then a whisper from the north. The swell is a solid 8ft from the SSW, with a 17-second period. The combined energy is a massive 4777. The conditions are glassy, and it’s “excellent for experienced surfers.” This is the one. Water temp is about average for the time of year.
After that, the swell drops a touch, but it stays big and clean through the following days. The 5th of August sees a 8ft S swell with a 14-second period, light cross-off breeze, and a combined energy of 2310 – another excellent session for the experienced crew.
So, the first week is mostly a write-off. The highlight is the morning of August 1st – that’s the one to circle. The days just before and after are also solid for the advanced crowd. Beginners, stay away from the big days (over 8ft), and wait for a smaller, cleaner window, but there’s not much of that here.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 22°C on Mon night, min 20°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Mon night, strong winds from the ESE by Tue afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 21°C on Fri afternoon, min 19°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 10 | SSE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SSW 17 | SSW 19 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
696 | 534 | 378 | 954 | 678 | 555 | 625 | 867 | 848 | 538 | 424 | 327 | 202 | 153 | 246 | 332 | 4842 | 4810 | 2452 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:21AM1.18m | 1:10PM0.97m | 00:57AM1.08m | 2:19PM0.95m | 1:40AM0.99m | 3:39PM0.95m | 2:36AM0.92m | 4:57PM0.98m | 3:49AM0.87m | 6:00PM1.03m | 5:02AM0.87m | 6:49PM1.10m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:58AM0.30m | 6:50PM0.49m | 7:44AM0.31m | 7:49PM0.60m | 8:36AM0.32m | 9:07PM0.66m | 9:37AM0.32m | 10:41PM0.67m | 10:41AM0.31m | 00:01AM0.64m | 11:39AM0.26m | 00:56AM0.59m | |||||||
— | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 |
Feels °C | 24 | 22 | 18 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 20 | 20 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 17 | SE 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
696 | 534 | 313 | 222 | 499 | 346 | 246 | 111 | 204 | 538 | 424 | 327 | 202 | 57 | 246 | 86 | 4842 | 4810 | 2452 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | SE 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SW 18 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 11 | SW 19 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SE 8 | SE 10 | ESE 14 |
162 | 246 | 378 | 266 | 150 | 155 | 78 | 85 | 12 | 201 | 178 | 129 | 37 | 88 | 28 | 275 | 49 | 16 | 19 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | ESE 8 | SE 13 | S 19 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSW 12 | — | SSW 15 | — | — | — | SW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 19 | ESE 11 | — | SE 18 |
253 | 73 | 205 | 175 | 92 | 89 | 109 | — | 42 | — | — | — | 44 | 131 | 60 | 332 | 12 | — | 12 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 8 | ESE 5 | SSE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 10 | SE 10 | — | — | — | — | SE 8 | SE 8 | — | — | ESE 7 | ESE 10 |
— | 127 | 95 | 954 | 678 | 555 | 625 | 867 | 848 | — | — | — | — | 153 | 126 | — | — | 21 | 114 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 549 | 71 | 1247 | 1243 | 1247 | 1243 | 46 | 46 | 759 | 46 | 0 | 76 | 46 | 1245 | 1384 | 113 | 1247 | 1300 | 46 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.










