Dumbea Rights Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate. Rusty here. Let’s have a proper look at what’s coming our way for Dumbea Rights over the next couple of weeks.

First off, the water temp is sitting at 74°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Now, the outlook kicks off this Saturday afternoon, July 11th. We’ve got a clean 5-foot swell from the SSE with an 11-second period. The wind is a light 9 mph cross-off, and the combined wave energy is a strong 1228. This makes for some excellent, clean conditions for experienced surfers. This is your stand-out session for the near term. It’s the best on offer early in the window.

Things get a bit touch and go after that. Sunday morning, July 12th, still has clean lines with a 4-foot SE swell, but the winds are picking up to 12 mph. By Sunday afternoon, the swell drops to 3 feet, and that long-period 16-second groundswell from the SSW shows up, but the wind is howling at 16 mph. It stays marginal at best through Monday and Tuesday. The wind really cranks up on Tuesday afternoon, July 14th, with a 22 mph fresh breeze and only 2 feet of swell, so that’s a write-off.

Wednesday, July 15th, we get a pulse of long-period SSW groundswell peaking at 13 seconds, but the winds are still messy. There’s a small window Thursday morning, July 16th, with a 4-foot SSW groundswell at 15 seconds and lighter 9 mph cross-shore wind, but it’s still a bit lumpy. That afternoon the wind swings cross-on and it gets choppy.

Friday the 17th, the swell starts to build into the 6-foot range by the afternoon, but the cross-on wind and chop make it a no-go for a good paddle.

The big energy rolls in on the weekend of July 18th and 19th. Saturday the 18th afternoon sees a 7-foot SSW swell with massive 1598 energy, but the winds are a fresh 19 mph cross-shore, making it lumpy. Sunday morning, July 19th, has the heaviest wind of the whole run: 25 mph cross-shore, with a 8-foot SSW swell and a huge 3491 energy reading. That’s expert-only territory if you’re keen, but the wind is really strong and messy. That afternoon, the swell drops to 5 feet but it’s a very long 18-second period groundswell with 3436 energy. The wind is still strong. This setup is really more interesting for kite surfing than a relaxing paddle session.

There’s another big peak on Monday, July 20th afternoon, with an 12-foot swell from the S at 14 seconds. Combined energy is a massive 4334. That is very serious. Only for the most experienced, and even then, the wind is a fresh 19 mph cross-shore. It’s lumpy and messy.

The following week, Tuesday July 21st morning cleans up a bit. We get a 10-foot SSE groundswell at 13 seconds with lighter 16 mph cross-off wind. It’s clean, but that’s a heavy, powerful wave for strong experts only. The rest of that week through July 25th sees a gradual drop in size, but the winds stay moderate to fresh. There is a period from July 23rd morning with a 5-foot SE swell and a light 9 mph cross-shore wind that might offer a slightly cleaner, smaller wave, but the energy is dropping.

Overall, the first best window is this Saturday afternoon, July 11th. After that, things get blown out or too big. The standout for sheer power is Monday afternoon, July 20th, but it’s for the brave. If you’re after clean lines and a manageable size, get in the water on Saturday.

Stay safe,
Rusty.

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