Surf Forecasts:
Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 9 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 12 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 19s period, SSW swell with 8,457 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 3.5m 19s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 12th Sep) | 11ft (3.5m) 19s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about the only spot in the lineup: Dumbea Rights. It's a consistent reef, and the water's running at 73°F, which is right about normal for this time of year.
First few days are a total bust. Wednesday 9th and Thursday 10th are a mess – cross-onshore and cross-shore winds, choppy, and the swell is weak. The combined energy is low to moderate (496 to 556). Not worth getting wet.
Friday 11th is a tease. A massive, very long period 21-second SSW groundswell rolls in, with huge energy (1678 in the morning, 2983 in the afternoon), but the wind is a disaster. Morning is cross-shore and choppy, and by afternoon a strong breeze from the SE has trashed it. *Marginal* at best. That kind of swell needs a clean point or reef, but the wind is a killer.
Here's the standout. Saturday 12th September. The morning is the one. We’re looking at a solid 12ft SSW swell with a 17-second period – that’s serious groundswell energy (7058). The wind is cross-offshore from the ESE, and the call is clean. That’s a big, powerful wave at Dumbea Rights. It’s over 8ft, so this is for experienced surfers only. The afternoon drops to 10ft, still clean, but the morning is the session.
Sunday 13th holds at 8ft to 10ft, still clean from the ESE, but the wind picks up to a strong breeze, making it a bit more challenging. The swell shifts to S, and energy is still huge (2868 to 5505). Monday 14th keeps the swell at 7ft to 8ft, clean, but the energy is a notch lower.
After that, it drops off. Tuesday 15th and Wednesday 16th see the swell fade below 7ft, and the wind gets messy again. Thursday 17th has a 5ft SE swell with a weak 6-second period – just wind bump. The rest of the second week is a mix of small, marginal swells and onshore winds. A few clean windows on the 18th and 19th, but the swell is only 5ft to 5ft with moderate energy. The 21st of September has a promising 7ft SSW swell with a 16-second period and light cross-shore wind, but it's over a week out and less certain.
Bottom line: if you're an experienced surfer, Saturday 12th September morning is the one to chase. That's your best shot at some serious, clean reef waves. The rest of the forecast is either blown out, too small, or too far out to get hyped about.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed morning. Warm (max 20°C on Wed morning, min 18°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Wed morning, strong winds from the SE by Fri afternoon). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 19°C on Sat morning). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | Friday 11 | Saturday 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | SSW 21 | SSW 21 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 16 | S 14 | S 18 | S 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | S 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 523 | 464 | 529 | 294 | 141 | 288 | 934 | 1706 | 8457 | 7058 | 5111 | 3644 | 2197 | 5505 | 5067 | 2048 | 3669 | 3021 | 1187 | 893 | 538 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:07PM1.33m | 7:02AM1.08m | 7:43PM1.37m | 7:47AM1.16m | 8:17PM1.38m | 8:29AM1.21m | 8:48PM1.35m | 9:09AM1.24m | 9:17PM1.30m | 9:47AM1.24m | 9:46PM1.23m | 10:25AM1.21m | 10:14PM1.15m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:23PM0.14m | 1:26AM0.34m | 1:11PM0.11m | 2:01AM0.26m | 1:54PM0.11m | 2:34AM0.19m | 2:33PM0.14m | 3:05AM0.14m | 3:10PM0.20m | 3:35AM0.12m | 3:46PM0.27m | 4:05AM0.12m | 4:22PM0.36m | 4:36AM0.16m | |||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | |  | | |  | | | |  | |  | | | | |
 | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — |
 | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — |
mm | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 |
Feels °C | 19 | 18 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 10 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | S 10 | SSW 21 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | S 16 | S 14 | S 18 | S 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | S 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 523 | 464 | 529 | 73 | 141 | 288 | 573 | 1706 | 8457 | 7058 | 5111 | 3644 | 2197 | 5505 | 5067 | 2048 | 3669 | 3021 | 1187 | 893 | 538 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | S 11 | SW 12 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 21 | SSW 16 | S 10 | — | — | E 8 | SSW 20 | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | — | E 13 | SE 7 |
| kJ | 12 | 12 | 64 | 37 | 71 | 184 | 934 | 402 | 1004 | — | — | 12 | 671 | — | — | 1765 | — | — | — | 3 | 97 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSE 13 | ESE 8 | SW 19 | SW 11 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | E 8 | — | — | — | — | E 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 21 | 35 | 6 | 92 | 58 | 120 | 171 | 11 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 102 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SSW 9 | SSE 10 | SSE 5 | — | S 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 7 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | SE 7 | SE 7 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 294 | 105 | 38 | — | 875 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 215 | 221 | 259 | 169 | 118 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1243 | 1243 | 1383 | 1577 | 1567 | 46 | 1247 | 1430 | 1403 | 1403 | 1403 | 115 | 1403 | 1403 | 76 | 1247 | 1403 | 46 | 1245 | 1243 | 76 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)- Wind Speed (km/h)
FREE! Surf-Forecast.com widget for your website
The surf report / weather widget below is available to embed on third party websites free of charge and provides a summary of our Dumbea Rights surf forecast. Simply grab the html code snippet that we provide and paste it into your own site. You can choose your preferred language and metric/imperial units for the surf forecast feed to suit users of your site. Click here to get the code.
Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
Nearest