Surf Forecasts:
Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with 3,568 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:
The surf forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sun 23rd Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.
First up, we’ve got a stretch of nothing much for a few days. The only spot on the radar is Dumbea Rights, a consistent reef break that likes a good SSW swell. Water temp’s sitting at 73°F, which is about average for this time of year.
Sunday 16th August sees some swell starting to push in, but it’s messy. We’ve got a 5ft SSW groundswell, period a very long 15 seconds, and a crosswind blowing 22 mph. The water’s choppy and lumpy. It’s not really one to get excited about – just a bit of a tease.
Monday 17th August is straight up poor. Same lumpy cross-shore wind, bigger swell Monday morning at 6ft, but the wind’s ruining it. Afternoon goes from bad to worse with 25 mph crosswinds. Just leave the board in the car.
The standout action shows up Tuesday 18th August. The swell jumps to a solid 10ft from the SSE, period drops to 12 seconds. That’s a lot of energy (4407) and the wind shifts to a cross-off, cleaning things right up. This is big – over 8ft, so this is expert territory only. If you’ve got the skills and the balls, Tuesday morning and afternoon will have proper, clean waves. The combined energy is strong (4407).
From Wednesday 19th through the rest of the week, the swell drops back. We’re looking at 5ft to 8ft, period dropping to 8-10 seconds. Winds stay cross-off and the faces are clean, but the energy is fading (down to 578 by Friday). It’s rideable but nothing to call home about. By Saturday 22nd, it’s down to 4ft and dropping – a real letdown.
There’s another pulse coming around Tuesday 25th August. The swell picks up again, 7ft from the SSW with a very long 18-second period. The energy jumps back up (2771). But here’s the catch – the wind is light cross-onshore, so not perfect, but still better than most days. This is the second highlight, but less certain given it’s over a week away.
Wednesday 26th and Thursday 27th keep that size (6ft to 8ft) but the wind turns more onshore and we get some rain. It’s not the cleanest, but if you’re desperate for a push, it’ll be there.
After that, it fades again into the end of the month. Small, weak swells (under 5ft) and mostly onshore wind. Not worth paddling out for.
So to wrap it up: Tuesday 18th August is the real standout – big, clean, expert-only power. The later pulse on 25th-27th August is worth watching but the wind is a question mark. The other days are mostly flat or messy.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 18°C on Mon night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Thu morning, min 18°C on Wed afternoon). Mainly strong winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sun 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSE 9 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 8 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
1102 | 3568 | 1794 | 1310 | 1294 | 2635 | 2128 | 1163 | 965 | 1048 | 708 | 406 | 297 | 613 | 423 | 247 | 408 | 286 | 358 | 164 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:28PM1.32m | 10:53AM1.14m | 10:58PM1.23m | 11:37AM1.09m | 11:28PM1.13m | 12:26PM1.03m | 11:59PM1.03m | 1:25PM0.97m | 00:35AM0.94m | 2:47PM0.93m | 1:30AM0.86m | 4:25PM0.94m | 3:05AM0.81m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:50AM0.20m | 4:49PM0.30m | 5:24AM0.21m | 5:28PM0.41m | 6:00AM0.24m | 6:10PM0.52m | 6:41AM0.29m | 7:03PM0.62m | 7:34AM0.34m | 8:22PM0.68m | 8:44AM0.37m | 10:20PM0.69m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:40 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 |
Feels °C | 15 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 9 | S 10 | S 10 | SE 12 | SE 10 | S 10 | SE 10 | SSW 9 | SSE 10 |
1102 | 3568 | 1794 | 1310 | 1294 | 880 | 716 | 778 | 555 | 246 | 210 | 130 | 228 | 167 | 178 | 212 | 68 | 286 | 27 | 164 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 20 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | — | S 16 | SSW 15 | SSE 13 | S 12 | SW 21 | SSW 10 | SSW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SE 14 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 14 | S 9 | SSW 12 | S 11 |
301 | 17 | 16 | — | 43 | 892 | 236 | 46 | 17 | 74 | 124 | 109 | 126 | 102 | 96 | 70 | 19 | 41 | 27 | 59 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | E 10 | SE 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 19 | — | SSW 16 | SW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 14 | S 13 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 16 |
8 | 7 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | — | 151 | 35 | 74 | 33 | 49 | 14 | 32 | 12 | 11 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 7 | S 8 | SSE 9 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 10 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 9 | E 8 | SE 8 | ESE 7 |
422 | 250 | 355 | 836 | 1242 | 2635 | 2128 | 1163 | 965 | 1048 | 708 | 406 | 297 | 613 | 423 | 247 | 408 | 117 | 358 | 99 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1247 | 1253 | 1430 | 1403 | 1403 | 1430 | 1403 | 1403 | 1403 | 1384 | 76 | 76 | 1410 | 46 | 113 | 1245 | 46 | 71 | 116 | 26 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











