Dumbea Rights Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s break down what’s coming up. There’s a bit of a slow start, but we’ve got some clean windows, especially if you can wait for the glassy mornings.

The first decent chance is the morning of Friday, 31 July, at Dumbea Rights. It’s a reef break, consistent, so it’ll be working. Swell’s from the SSW at 3 ft, with a 14-second period – that’s proper groundswell, with good energy. The water’s 73°, right about average for this time of year. Wind is a light E breeze at 6 mph, giving us a clean cross-off setup. The combined energy is moderate at 736. It’s not huge, but it’s clean and the shape will be good. A solid Friday morning session.

The first week gets messy after that. Saturday, 1 August, the wind hits 22 mph from the SSE, and the swell is lumpy and cross-onshore. Sunday, 2 August, the swell jumps to 8 ft from the S, but with the same strong cross wind, it’s just a choppy mess – too big and blown out. That’s the strongest energy of the forecast (2205), but it’s wasted. Monday and Tuesday, 3-4 August, bring more size, around 10 ft from the SSE, but the wind is a fresh 19-25 mph cross-off, making it clean but very powerful. At 10 ft, that’s expert territory only, and with the period around 11-12 seconds, it’s a heavy, fast wave.

We then hit a dry spell. From Wednesday, 5 August, through to Sunday, 10 August, the swell drops to 2 ft to 3 ft, and the wind is cross or cross-on, keeping the surf average. There’s a brief moment on Friday afternoon, 7 August, when the wind goes offshore from the ENE at 9 mph, and the swell is 2 ft from the SSW with an 11-second period – that’s a clean, small wave.

The real standout is the glassy morning of Saturday, 8 August. The wind is dead calm, and the swell is 3 ft from the SSW with an 11-second period. The combined energy is 369, low, but that glassy surface will make it perfect. A fun, clean wave.

The second week shows promise. On Wednesday, 12 August, we get another glassy morning and afternoon – wind is 3 mph from the WSW and then SSW, and the swell is 3 ft and 3 ft from the ESE. The afternoon session has a 12-second period and combined energy of 558, so it’s got more push. That’s a genuine good session.

The last big highlight is Friday morning, 14 August. Another glassy start, wind from the WNW at 3 mph, and the swell is 5 ft from the SSW with a 12-second period. That’s 960 on the energy scale – solid. That morning is worth getting up early for. The wave will be bigger, but the glassy conditions will make it perfect.

Overall, the best windows are the Friday 31 July morning, the glassy Saturday 8 August morning, and the standout Friday 14 August morning. The rest of the 16 days is mostly small or blown out. It’s a reef break, so it handles the swell well, but pick your moment.

Rusty.

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