Dumbea Rights Surf Break

Lat Long: 22.35° S 166.25° E

Dumbea Rights Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 pm 16 Aug 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Dumbea Rights sea temperature is
22.8° C
0.6° 

Dumbea Rights surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Sunday 23 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with 3,568 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 23 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 9s period with SSE swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:

The surf forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 23) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 23) at 2PM.

Wave TypeTime (+11) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 5AM (Sun 23rd Aug)3ft (0.9m) 9s
Best Surf 5AM (Sun 23rd Aug)3ft (0.9m) 9s
Most Powerful 2AM (Mon 17th Aug)8ft (2.5m) 17s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.


The Lowdown

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

First up, we’ve got a stretch of nothing much for a few days. The only spot on the radar is Dumbea Rights, a consistent reef break that likes a good SSW swell. Water temp’s sitting at 73°F, which is about average for this time of year.

Sunday 16th August sees some swell starting to push in, but it’s messy. We’ve got a 5ft SSW groundswell, period a very long 15 seconds, and a crosswind blowing 22 mph. The water’s choppy and lumpy. It’s not really one to get excited about – just a bit of a tease.

Monday 17th August is straight up poor. Same lumpy cross-shore wind, bigger swell Monday morning at 6ft, but the wind’s ruining it. Afternoon goes from bad to worse with 25 mph crosswinds. Just leave the board in the car.

The standout action shows up Tuesday 18th August. The swell jumps to a solid 10ft from the SSE, period drops to 12 seconds. That’s a lot of energy (4407) and the wind shifts to a cross-off, cleaning things right up. This is big – over 8ft, so this is expert territory only. If you’ve got the skills and the balls, Tuesday morning and afternoon will have proper, clean waves. The combined energy is strong (4407).

From Wednesday 19th through the rest of the week, the swell drops back. We’re looking at 5ft to 8ft, period dropping to 8-10 seconds. Winds stay cross-off and the faces are clean, but the energy is fading (down to 578 by Friday). It’s rideable but nothing to call home about. By Saturday 22nd, it’s down to 4ft and dropping – a real letdown.

There’s another pulse coming around Tuesday 25th August. The swell picks up again, 7ft from the SSW with a very long 18-second period. The energy jumps back up (2771). But here’s the catch – the wind is light cross-onshore, so not perfect, but still better than most days. This is the second highlight, but less certain given it’s over a week away.

Wednesday 26th and Thursday 27th keep that size (6ft to 8ft) but the wind turns more onshore and we get some rain. It’s not the cleanest, but if you’re desperate for a push, it’ll be there.

After that, it fades again into the end of the month. Small, weak swells (under 5ft) and mostly onshore wind. Not worth paddling out for.

So to wrap it up: Tuesday 18th August is the real standout – big, clean, expert-only power. The later pulse on 25th-27th August is worth watching but the wind is a question mark. The other days are mostly flat or messy.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 18°C on Mon night). Mainly strong winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Light rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Thu morning, min 18°C on Wed afternoon). Mainly strong winds.

Sun
16
Monday
17
Tuesday
18
Wednesday
19
Thursday
20
Friday
21
Saturday
22
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
1
2
0
0
0
2
2
1
2
1
2
1
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.6
SSW
15
2.5
SSW
17
1.9
SSW
16
1.6
SSW
16
3
SSE
9
3
SSE
12
3
SSE
12
2.5
SSE
10
2.4
SE
9
2.2
SE
10
2
SE
10
1.6
SE
9
1.5
SE
8
2.1
SE
8
1.8
ESE
8
1.5
ESE
8
1.6
SE
9
1.2
SE
10
1.8
SE
8
0.9
SSE
10
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1102
3568
1794
1310
1294
2635
2128
1163
965
1048
708
406
297
613
423
247
408
286
358
164
Wind (km/h)
35
SSE
30
SE
35
SE
40
SE
45
SE
40
ESE
40
ESE
35
ESE
35
ESE
40
ESE
30
ESE
30
ESE
35
E
25
E
35
ESE
35
ESE
25
E
30
ESE
35
ESE
15
ENE
Wind State
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
High Tide
10:28PM1.32m
10:53AM1.14m
10:58PM1.23m
11:37AM1.09m
11:28PM1.13m
12:26PM1.03m
11:59PM1.03m
1:25PM0.97m
00:35AM0.94m
2:47PM0.93m
1:30AM0.86m
4:25PM0.94m
3:05AM0.81m
Low Tide
4:50AM0.20m
4:49PM0.30m
5:24AM0.21m
5:28PM0.41m
6:00AM0.24m
6:10PM0.52m
6:41AM0.29m
7:03PM0.62m
7:34AM0.34m
8:22PM0.68m
8:44AM0.37m
10:20PM0.69m
part cloud
rain showers
rain showers
cloud
cloud
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
rain showers
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:18
6:16
6:16
6:16
6:15
6:13
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:38
5:39
5:39
5:39
5:40
5:40
5:40
 mm
1
1
1
3
1
Temp °C
20
20
20
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
19
21
21
19
21
21
21
21
22
21
Feels °C
15
13
12
11
10
11
11
12
13
12
13
15
14
15
15
15
17
16
16
17
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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