Surf Forecasts:
Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 28 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 3 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 14s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 1 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, S swell with 3,474 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 3 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 14s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:
The surf forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 03) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.2m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 2.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 5s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 02) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Thu 3rd Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 8ft (2.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Dumbea Rights. This is a reef break, consistent and exposed to SSW swells. Water temp is sitting about average for this time of year, nothing unusual to report there.
Honestly, the first few days are a bit of a write-off. Saturday the 29th and Sunday the 30th have some size, around 6ft to 7ft from the SSW, but it’s all cross-on with moderate breezes and the conditions are lumpy and chopped out. Wave energy is weak to moderate (989–1237) and the surf quality is poor. Not worth paddling out.
Monday the 31st stays messy with cross-shore winds and fresh breezes; the swell drops to 5ft from the South but it’s still poor. The combined energy is fading (620–630). Still a skip day.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. On Tuesday the 1st of September, the swell jumps to 7ft from the SSW, but the big story is the period hitting 18 seconds – that’s a serious groundswell. Combined energy rockets up to 2906. The morning is still lumpy and cross, but the afternoon turns clean with cross-offshore winds. It’s still a marginal call due to tide and the size (8ft in the arvo), so this is one for advanced surfers only. This is the standout of the whole run: solid, long-period SSW groundswell with clean conditions.
Wednesday the 2nd holds clean conditions in the morning, 8ft from the South at 14 seconds, energy at 2359. Still good for experienced crew, but the wind cranks up to 25 mph by the arvo so the window is tight. Thursday the 3rd keeps it clean in the morning with a gentle breeze, 8ft SSW at 14 seconds – that’s a nice, clean, powerful wave if you can get on it early.
From Friday the 4th onward, the swell drops off fast. By the weekend of the 5th and 6th, it’s down around 3ft–3ft with long periods (16–17 seconds) but cross-winds and lumpy conditions spoil it. The 7th of September throws up a surprise: offshore wind in the morning with 6ft SSW at 14 seconds, but it’s cross-on in the arvo. Still, that Monday morning is the second-best window for a clean, punchy wave.
After that, from the 8th to the 13th, it’s mostly small and messy, with energy bottoming out (136–493) and poor conditions, except for a quick pulse on the 10th with 7ft from the south, but that’s cross-on with a fresh breeze – not worth it. The very end, the 13th, has 6ft from the South at 13 seconds but it’s cross-shore and mediocre.
So if you’re keen, your best shot is the afternoon of Tuesday the 1st of September for dedicated experts, or the morning of Monday the 7th of September for a cleaner but smaller session. Don’t bother with the rest.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Fri night. Warm (max 21°C on Fri night, min 19°C on Sat night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Thu afternoon, min 19°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ESE on Wed afternoon, light winds from the E by Thu morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 11 | S 9 | S 9 | SSW 14 | SSW 18 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
320 | 574 | 704 | 1245 | 925 | 951 | 804 | 390 | 381 | 415 | 2696 | 3304 | 3093 | 2341 | 1977 | 1846 | 1873 | 1408 | 781 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:33PM1.34m | 8:32AM1.13m | 9:01PM1.35m | 9:09AM1.17m | 9:29PM1.34m | 9:47AM1.19m | 9:58PM1.31m | 10:27AM1.18m | 10:29PM1.24m | 11:12AM1.16m | 11:02PM1.16m | 12:04PM1.11m | 11:41PM1.06m | ||||||
Low Tide | 2:47AM0.28m | 2:36PM0.12m | 3:17AM0.22m | 3:11PM0.16m | 3:47AM0.17m | 3:47PM0.21m | 4:19AM0.15m | 4:25PM0.29m | 4:54AM0.15m | 5:07PM0.39m | 5:34AM0.17m | 5:56PM0.49m | |||||||
— | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 |
Feels °C | 21 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 11 | S 11 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 18 | S 16 | S 15 | S 14 | S 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 |
320 | 574 | 482 | 1245 | 925 | 951 | 804 | 86 | 242 | 415 | 2696 | 3304 | 3093 | 2341 | 1977 | 1846 | 1873 | 1408 | 781 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | SSW 15 | ESE 8 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 10 | SSW 16 | E 10 | SSW 20 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 10 |
57 | 376 | 38 | 52 | 77 | 55 | 46 | 144 | 46 | 298 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 28 | 29 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | ESE 8 | S 22 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | E 10 | SE 13 | ESE 9 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 12 |
91 | 39 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 31 | 30 | 49 | 7 | 29 | 14 | 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 5 | — | SSW 9 | — | — | — | — | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | SSE 8 | — | ESE 5 | E 10 | ESE 5 | E 4 | E 5 | E 9 | E 9 |
49 | — | 704 | — | — | — | — | 390 | 381 | 304 | 167 | — | 37 | 143 | 17 | 10 | 11 | 27 | 64 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 571 | 571 | 1322 | 571 | 1247 | 1403 | 1300 | 1300 | 1286 | 76 | 1243 | 1243 | 76 | 76 | 759 | 26 | 759 | 765 | 26 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.











