Surf Forecasts:
Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 13 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 16s period, S swell with 2,655 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 2.3m 16s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 10s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Mon 17th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is a tough one for the region. The forecast window is pretty lean overall, with a lot of marginal to poor conditions, but there are a couple of very specific windows that look like they’ll be worth the wait.
Right now, through the start of the period, we’ve got a bit of a flat spell. The first real surfable pulse shows up on Friday the 15th, but even then it’s just a small, choppy SSW swell with a short period. Not worth paddling out for. We’ve got a long stretch of “poor surf conditions” and “marginal” calls until we get to the end of the first week.
The real standout is shaping up for Dumbea Rights, a reef break that's exposed to that SSW swell direction. On Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th, we start to see some size building, with a big jump in energy. The swell is coming from the SSW, which is the optimum direction for this spot. The combined energy is really healthy, hitting around 1800-2400 (moderate to strong), with swell heights around 6 ft to 8 ft. The period is a mix, but there are some solid 15-16 second groundswells in there. The wind is a clean cross-off from the ESE, which is a massive plus – it’ll keep the surface smooth. Just be aware that when the swell gets over 8 ft, it’s going to be expert territory only, and with that long period, the sets will be powerful and well-spaced, better for a reef break like this.
Then, after a bit of a lull, we get another absolute beauty. The 21st of August (Friday) is looking like the pick of the bunch. The morning has a 7 ft groundswell from the ESE, with a light cross-off breeze, and the afternoon turns glassy with a 6 ft swell. Clean conditions, perfect for a reef. The combined energy is moderate but the quality is described as “very good.” That’s the one to circle on the calendar.
The following Sunday, the 23rd, also has a solid morning – glassy conditions with a 7 ft S swell and good energy. That’s another strong option.
There’s a big gap after the 24th, with the energy dropping off and the wind turning messy again. The 28th does have a tiny, long-period 1 ft SSW swell, but it’s really just a whisper.
So, bottom line: the first week is a write-off. The second week has a few good days, but the absolute standout is Friday the 21st of August at Dumbea Rights. That morning and afternoon session with the glassy conditions and a solid 6 ft to 7 ft swell is the one to aim for. The Sunday the 23rd morning is also a very good backup. Get on it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 21°C on Thu morning, min 19°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 18°C on Mon night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 144 | 225 | 480 | 476 | 343 | 323 | 405 | 388 | 943 | 1067 | 1801 | 1922 | 1550 | 1675 | 1294 | 903 | 2040 | 756 | 665 | 402 | 412 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:49PM1.43m | 8:42AM1.14m | 9:24PM1.43m | 9:26AM1.17m | 9:57PM1.38m | 10:09AM1.16m | 10:28PM1.32m | 10:53AM1.14m | 10:58PM1.23m | 11:37AM1.09m | 11:28PM1.13m | 12:26PM1.03m | 11:59PM1.03m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 2:10PM0.01m | 3:06AM0.28m | 2:52PM0.03m | 3:42AM0.24m | 3:32PM0.10m | 4:16AM0.21m | 4:11PM0.19m | 4:50AM0.20m | 4:49PM0.30m | 5:24AM0.21m | 5:28PM0.41m | 6:00AM0.24m | 6:10PM0.52m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — |
 | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 19 |
Feels °C | 20 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 12 | SSW 18 | SSW 8 | SSW 8 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | S 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | S 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SE 9 |
| kJ | 144 | 130 | 480 | 204 | 343 | 323 | 405 | 388 | 332 | 1067 | 1801 | 1922 | 1550 | 1675 | 1294 | 822 | 2040 | 756 | 475 | 361 | 412 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | ESE 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | ESE 14 | SSW 20 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | S 15 | S 12 | S 12 | SSE 11 | SE 15 | SSE 9 | SSW 12 |
| kJ | 98 | 225 | 127 | 31 | 240 | 226 | 229 | 318 | 943 | 18 | 216 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 151 | 108 | 24 | 36 | 113 | 250 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | SSE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | S 12 | SW 10 | SSE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 13 | SE 13 | — | — | — | SE 16 | SSE 15 | SW 21 | SE 18 | ESE 8 |
| kJ | 26 | 27 | 30 | 12 | 32 | 19 | 18 | 102 | 322 | 8 | 8 | 17 | 26 | — | — | — | 10 | 23 | 17 | 78 | 118 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 4 | — | SW 11 | — | — | — | — | — | S 9 | S 9 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SE 6 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | ESE 7 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | E 9 |
| kJ | — | 8 | — | 476 | — | — | — | — | — | 480 | 419 | 216 | 226 | 151 | 803 | 903 | 210 | 699 | 665 | 402 | 225 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1243 | 1243 | 571 | 1243 | 1243 | 1247 | 1247 | 1571 | 46 | 1246 | 1247 | 1243 | 1245 | 1247 | 1245 | 1247 | 1247 | 76 | 1247 | 1403 | 46 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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