Surf Forecasts:
Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 5PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 10s period, SSW swell with 961 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 8 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 9s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:
The surf forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 2.2m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 9s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 08) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 2AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. I’ve looked over the forecast for the next couple of weeks, and here’s the lowdown.
It’s a slow start, no doubt. The first few days aren’t going to get you out of bed. The only real action is at Dumbea Rights, an advanced reef break that’s consistent. The water temperature is about 72°F, which is just average for the season.
Your first real chance to get wet is Saturday morning, August 8th. The wind is dead calm, so it’s glassy. Swell is a clean 5ft from the ESE with a period of 9 seconds, and a moderate wave energy of 406. That’s a sweet little window – head-high, clean, and smooth. Crowds are possible sometimes, so you might have some company.
The rest of the first week falls off pretty hard. Sunday and Monday are windy and low quality. There’s a gap of a few days where you’re better off doing something else.
Into the second week, things get more interesting but less reliable. On Thursday morning, August 13th, a long-period groundswell from the SSW, 16 seconds, rolls in with 444 energy. It’s got shape, but the wind is a light cross-shore, so it’s not perfect.
The big highlight is Saturday the 15th of August. We’ve got a chunky 8ft swell from the SSW, a 12-second period, and a very strong energy of 2297. That’s huge. The wind is cross-shore, so it’s not pristine, but it’s clean enough. This is over 8ft, so it’s expert-only. The swell direction lines up perfectly with the reef’s optimum.
After that, from the 18th onward, the swell stays massive, with energy readings over 2000 to 4000, but the wind is strong and messy. It’s big, powerful, and a real challenge.
So, to sum it up: Saturday morning, August 8th, is your pick for a clean, glassy session. For the big, heavy stuff, Saturday the 15th is the one, but it’s for experts only.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 22°C on Sat afternoon, min 19°C on Fri morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ENE on Fri morning, calm by Sat morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Wed afternoon, min 19°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SE on Mon afternoon, calm by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SW 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 641 | 602 | 486 | 360 | 311 | 222 | 172 | 151 | 151 | 116 | 116 | 146 | 82 | 62 | 84 | 88 | 65 | 121 | 215 | 239 | 361 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-on | cross | on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross | off | cross | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:54PM1.01m | 2:08AM0.96m | 4:27PM1.06m | 3:34AM0.91m | 5:43PM1.15m | 5:00AM0.92m | 6:42PM1.25m | 6:10AM0.97m | 7:30PM1.34m | 7:06AM1.04m | 8:11PM1.41m | 7:56AM1.10m | 8:49PM1.43m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:38PM0.62m | 9:09AM0.25m | 10:24PM0.64m | 10:26AM0.21m | 11:54PM0.59m | 11:35AM0.14m | 00:58AM0.51m | 12:34PM0.07m | 1:46AM0.42m | 1:25PM0.02m | 2:28AM0.35m | 2:10PM0.01m | 3:06AM0.28m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — |
 | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 |
Feels °C | 16 | 16 | 16 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 21 | 18 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 22 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SW 11 | SW 10 | SW 10 | SW 12 |
| kJ | 77 | 72 | 486 | 360 | 311 | 222 | 172 | 151 | 151 | 116 | 116 | 146 | 82 | 62 | 84 | 88 | 65 | 121 | 163 | 160 | 361 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 14 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SW 9 | S 6 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SW 8 | SSW 7 | SSW 19 | SSW 19 | ESE 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | E 10 |
| kJ | 28 | 14 | 41 | 24 | 21 | 49 | 91 | 46 | 53 | 22 | 9 | 18 | 17 | 9 | 5 | 74 | 34 | 86 | 215 | 239 | 47 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 15 | S 11 | SW 13 | SSW 4 | SE 11 | SW 9 | SE 11 | SW 8 | SSE 6 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 7 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | SSW 18 |
| kJ | 38 | 14 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 46 | 6 | 33 | 21 | 31 | 17 | 6 | 49 | 21 | 20 | 2 | 18 | 78 | 66 | 51 | 32 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | E 9 | — | — | SW 4 | — | — | SE 3 | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 2 | NE 3 | — | — | W 3 |
| kJ | 641 | 602 | 9 | 2 | 506 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 46 | 71 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 46 | 1243 | 1243 | 46 | 76 | 116 | 0 | 0 | 1403 | 0 | 26 | 759 | 0 | 27 | 1345 | 46 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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