Surf Forecasts:
Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 28 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 13s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SSW swell with 4,851 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 28 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 13s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:
The surf forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.5m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. The only break in the picture is Dumbea Rights, a reef setup for the advanced crew. It’s consistent, and the best swell direction is from the SSW.
Things start off slow as hell. Saturday 25th and Sunday 26th July are a total loss – cross-shore winds, poor surf, and the swell is either too small or too raw. Not worth wetting your wetsuit. There’s a gap, but it gets better from Monday 27th.
Monday 27th July brings a solid 2.2m (7ft) SSW groundswell, with a 13-second period. That’s got some serious push. The wind is cross-offshore and clean, which is a huge plus. The combined energy is 1697 – that’s moderate wave energy, but it’s got plenty of grunt. This reef will handle that long-period groundswell nicely. It’s over 1.5m (5ft), so beginners should sit this one out. Crowds are possible here, so don’t expect solitude.
Tuesday 28th July holds similar size, around 1.9m to 2.0m (6ft to 7ft), still from the SSW, with clean cross-offshore wind in the morning. The energy is still moderate (1180-1247). That’s the best run of the whole forecast.
Wednesday 29th and Thursday 30th July ease back to 1.1m to 1.4m (4ft to 5ft), but Thursday morning has a gentle breeze and clean conditions, with a 14-second SE swell. The energy is moderate (792). It’s smaller, but clean and workable.
Friday 31st July through Tuesday 5th August is a mixed bag – winds pick up, and the swell stays small, mostly under 1.5m (5ft). Wednesday 5th and Thursday 6th August get hammered by near gale-force winds, and the swell is tiny. Skip it.
The standout is Monday 27th to Tuesday 28th July. That’s when you’ve got the best combo of size, direction, and clean wind. Dumbea Rights will be on fire with that SSW groundswell. The water temperature anomaly isn’t given, so we can’t say if it’s warmer or colder than usual, but it’s about average for the time of year.
For the first week of August, Monday 3rd August shows a 2.0m (7ft) swell, but the wind is messy and cross-shore, making it lumpy. Not great. The final days of the forecast, into the second week, have a window around Sunday 9th August with a 1.8m (6ft) WSW swell, but the period is a short 7 seconds – that’s windswell, and the energy is weak (430). Not worth it.
So, the call is clear: get on Monday 27th and Tuesday 28th July for the best waves. The rest is either too small, too windy, or too messy. Advanced surfers only for those two days. Beginners, stay on the beach.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Fri night, min 19°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSE on Fri night, fresh winds from the SE by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 21°C on Wed morning, min 18°C on Tue morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ESE on Wed afternoon, light winds from the E by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 145 | 73 | 184 | 917 | 4851 | 3980 | 2177 | 1550 | 1477 | 1465 | 1016 | 1066 | 686 | 392 | 398 | 488 | 518 | 418 | 600 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:49AM0.87m | 6:00PM1.03m | 5:02AM0.87m | 6:49PM1.10m | 6:02AM0.90m | 7:29PM1.16m | 6:50AM0.94m | 8:05PM1.22m | 7:32AM0.98m | 8:38PM1.27m | 8:11AM1.02m | 9:08PM1.31m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:41PM0.67m | 10:41AM0.31m | 00:01AM0.64m | 11:39AM0.26m | 00:56AM0.59m | 12:29PM0.21m | 1:37AM0.53m | 1:12PM0.16m | 2:13AM0.48m | 1:50PM0.11m | 2:47AM0.43m | 2:26PM0.09m | 3:19AM0.39m | ||||||
 |  | |  |  | | | | | |  |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 |
Feels °C | 21 | 18 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 18 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SE 13 | SSW 11 | SE 13 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 |
| kJ | 145 | 73 | 184 | 917 | 4851 | 3980 | 2177 | 1550 | 1477 | 1465 | 1016 | 1066 | 686 | 242 | 286 | 488 | 518 | 418 | 600 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | — | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SSW 12 | SE 13 | SE 7 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
| kJ | 96 | 57 | 26 | — | 121 | 92 | 119 | 101 | 64 | 60 | 164 | 181 | 208 | 83 | 398 | 53 | 125 | 279 | 232 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 12 | — | — | — | SE 18 | SE 17 | SE 16 | SE 15 | — | — | E 8 | SW 17 | SW 19 | SSW 9 | SSW 16 | SE 7 | E 8 |
| kJ | 44 | 32 | 59 | — | — | — | 12 | 46 | 41 | 79 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 14 | 98 | 149 | 53 | 31 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSE 4 | SE 8 | SSE 6 | ESE 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | S 10 | ESE 4 | E 6 | E 7 | E 8 | SE 7 |
| kJ | — | 25 | 151 | 192 | 207 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 32 | 32 | 392 | 18 | 12 | 25 | 46 | 53 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 46 | 1243 | 1247 | 115 | 1247 | 1394 | 115 | 115 | 1430 | 26 | 68 | 1403 | 46 | 68 | 48 | 46 | 0 | 759 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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