Surf Forecasts:
Dumbea Rights surf forecast from 3 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 6 Sep, 8AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 16s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 11 Sep, 11AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 23s period, SSW swell with 1,883 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 18s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Dumbea Rights this week:
The surf forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 18s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Dumbea Rights in the next 16 days are 1.3m 23s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 11) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Sep 05) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 3ft (0.9m) 18s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sun 6th Sep) | 4ft (1.2m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Fri 11th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 23s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Dumbea Rights over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright crew, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s happening for the next couple of weeks.
The good news is, the swell window is open for a solid SSW groundswell for a few days, but the wind is the real wildcard. For the first week, it’s a bit of a battle. We’ve got a clean, glassy window coming up that’s the standout, but it’s a narrow one.
The best of the entire forecast is hands down Sunday morning the 6th of September at Dumbea Rights. I’m pumped just looking at it. We’re talking a solid 6ft SSW swell, with a long 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy (1706 total energy). And the wind? Dead glass. SSE at 3 mph. It’s going to be absolutely clean. This is a reef break, so that long period is going to carve up nicely. It’s a bit too big for beginners, but for anyone with experience, this is the session to circle. Just be aware, the crowds are sometimes an issue here, so get there early.
The rest of that first week is a bit of a write-off. Friday and Saturday (4th and 5th) are blown out with cross-shore winds. Sunday afternoon gets messy, and Monday through Thursday (7th to 10th) are all on the cross or cross-onshore, keeping things choppy or marginal.
Then we hit a patch of big, unruly surf. Saturday morning the 12th of September shows a massive 15ft SSW swell, but the cross-shore wind and the sheer size make it a no-go for paddle surfing. The energy is extreme (13245). That’s kite-surfing territory, not for us. The rest of that weekend and into the next week is just too big and lumpy for most.
The second week holds a few promising moments again. Friday morning the 18th of September has a 6ft SSW swell with a light offshore wind (NE 6 mph). That’s clean, punchy, and a solid option. Then, Saturday morning the 19th of September finishes the run nicely: a small 3ft, but a very long 21-second period, glassy conditions with S 3 mph winds. The energy is still decent (1272). It’s a classic small, clean, long-period reef day. Both of those are for experienced surfers, given the reef and the potential for the long period making things a bit more critical.
Overall, it’s a mixed bag, but the clear winners are this Sunday morning and the final weekend.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Fri morning, min 18°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ESE on Sat afternoon, light winds from the SSE by Sun morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 19°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | Thursday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 190 | 190 | 404 | 407 | 358 | 644 | 1684 | 1578 | 965 | 569 | 827 | 461 | 339 | 286 | 378 | 263 | 418 | 574 | 1699 | 1194 | 839 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | off | on | cross-on | cross-off | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-on | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 1:10PM1.06m | 00:30AM0.96m | 2:40PM1.03m | 1:46AM0.88m | 4:19PM1.08m | 3:34AM0.85m | 5:32PM1.16m | 5:06AM0.90m | 6:25PM1.25m | 6:11AM0.99m | 7:07PM1.33m | 7:02AM1.08m | 7:43PM1.37m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:03PM0.59m | 7:25AM0.26m | 8:43PM0.65m | 8:48AM0.28m | 10:39PM0.63m | 10:15AM0.26m | 11:56PM0.54m | 11:27AM0.20m | 00:46AM0.44m | 12:23PM0.14m | 1:26AM0.34m | 1:11PM0.11m | 2:01AM0.26m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | |  | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:00 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:56 | — | — |
 | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 18 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 15 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SW 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 |
| kJ | 190 | 136 | 175 | 407 | 358 | 644 | 1684 | 1578 | 965 | 569 | 827 | 461 | 339 | 286 | 378 | 263 | 418 | 574 | 1699 | 1194 | 839 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 18 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | — | E 9 | E 8 | SSW 18 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | S 12 | S 11 | S 15 | SW 19 | SW 18 | SSW 17 |
| kJ | 136 | 115 | 404 | 95 | 42 | 22 | — | 13 | 45 | 299 | 21 | 24 | 21 | 24 | 19 | 98 | 85 | 110 | 92 | 81 | 119 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | SSW 18 | SW 12 | SE 12 | S 12 | ESE 9 | — | — | SW 7 | E 8 | — | — | E 16 | WSW 8 | E 15 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SW 25 |
| kJ | 36 | 190 | 34 | 6 | 3 | 8 | — | — | 2 | 32 | — | — | 5 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 157 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 4 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 4 | ESE 4 | ESE 5 | ESE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 4 | SSW 5 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 74 | 15 | 43 | 60 | 31 | 29 | 22 | 28 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 23 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 76 | 1430 | 26 | 76 | 1434 | 46 | 115 | 1246 | 0 | 571 | 1353 | 0 | 26 | 1247 | 76 | 1243 | 1243 | 0 | 26 | 76 | 1286 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Dumbea Rights Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Dumbea Rights provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Dumbea Rights can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Dumbea Rights surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Dumbea Rights) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Dumbea Rights may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Dumbea Rights is 21 km (13 miles) from Noumea. If you plan a holiday in New Caledonia, look for hotels and other accommodation in Noumea. Noumea has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.
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