Dumbea Rights Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

First up, we’ve got a solid pulse of energy hitting the reef. That south-southwest swell is pumping in, and the water is sitting at a nice 74°, which is pretty much spot on for this time of year. The real standout window starts Sunday afternoon (19 July) with a 5ft SSW swell, a 20-second period, and a combined energy reading of 3549. That’s a proper groundswell. The wind is a light easterly cross-off, so it’s going to be clean. With a period that long, the waves will have plenty of power and shape, especially on this reef setup. Just keep in mind, this is an advanced wave, so it’s not for the faint-hearted.

Monday (20 July) is still good, dropping a touch to 5ft from the SSW, but the real gem is Monday afternoon. The wind goes glassy from the SSW, and the swell period is still a healthy 17 seconds. That’s about as clean as it gets for a reef break. The energy is still strong at 1691.

Now, things get messy from Tuesday (21 July) through to Friday (24 July). The wind picks up hard from the east and southeast, gusting 22-25 mph, and the swell period drops to 8-9 seconds. That short-period windswell is no good here. The energy is moderate but the quality is shot. For a few days, it’s a write-off.

We get a bit of a lull in the size on Saturday (25 July), with tiny 1ft to 2ft waves. Not worth paddling out for.

Then, on Sunday (26 July) we see a big spike in size again – 8ft to 10ft from the SSW, with a 16-17 second period. The combined energy is massive, up around 3797-3991. That’s a lot of water moving. But the wind is cross-shore from the SSE, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy. Still, for the experienced crew, there will be some powerful, deep waves on offer. It’s pushing into the too big for beginners territory.

That big swell carries into Monday (27 July) with 8ft SSW, but the wind is cross-onshore, so it’s going to be choppy. By Tuesday (28 July) it’s dropping but still messy.

Thursday (30 July) looks like a nice little reset. The swell is back to 4ft from the SSW, but the wind is almost glassy from the ESE, and the energy is moderate. The conditions are expected to be very good. A calm, clean day for a reef session.

The end of the run, from 31 July through to 2 August, is mostly poor with onshore winds and small, weak swell. Not worth getting excited about.

So, the standout here is Sunday (19 July) afternoon and Monday (20 July) afternoon. That’s your best chance for clean, powerful, long-period groundswell. Be ready for it.

Rusty.

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