Todasana Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking.

Honestly, mate, if you’re looking for a clean wave over the next sixteen days, this stretch is a tough one. The forecast is a real mess of cross-onshore winds and choppy seas, with no real standout window. The first proper surf recommendation doesn’t even kick off until the 20th of July, but even then, it’s not something to get excited about.

From Monday the 20th right through to the end of the month, it’s a pretty grim run. The wind is stuck onshore or cross-shore from the east and east-northeast, blowing at 9 to 12 mph. That’s keeping the surface chopped up and messy. The swell is hanging around the 3 ft to 5 ft range, coming from the northeast and east-northeast, with a short period of just 6 to 7 seconds. That’s windswell, not groundswell, so the waves are weak and lack shape. The combined energy is mostly in the weak to moderate range, hitting values like 183 on the morning of the 20th, but dropping back to weak numbers like 75 later on. It’s just not coming together.

The only break on offer is Todasana, a reef and point set-up that’s fairly consistent and exposed to the north-northeast. The optimum swell direction is from the north-northeast, so the swell we’re getting is coming from the right direction, but the wind is killing it. The water is sitting at 80°F with a temperature anomaly of -0.2°F, so it’s about average for the time of year.

There’s a small bump in energy around the morning of Thursday the 30th of July, with swell hitting 5 ft and a combined energy of 204, but it’s still cross-onshore and only a 7-second period. It’s not enough to save the run. Even into the first week of August, the pattern looks the same – poor surf conditions, onshore wind, and small, weak swell.

Nothing here is a standout. The best you could say is that on the morning of Tuesday the 4th of August, the swell hits 5 ft again with a combined energy of 250, but the wind is cross-shore and the period is still short. It’s not worth the paddle for a clean wave.

If you’re into kite surfing, the onshore winds and consistent chop might be more interesting than trying to surf this slop. But for a paddle surfer, this is a long stretch of nothing. Hang tight, mate. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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