Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 13s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 30 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 12s period, E swell with 251 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 13s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 0.9m 12s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 12s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. The next 16 days look pretty grim overall for Tauranga Bay, but if you’re patient, there’s a little window that’s worth a look.
The pattern starts with a bit of small, clean swell on the 28th, but it’s tiny and unremarkable. After that, we’re stuck in a real flat spell. From Wednesday the 30th right through to the morning of Monday the 11th of August, it’s pretty much a write-off – days and days of poor surf conditions, with barely any energy. There’s a long gap with no real recommendations, so don’t get your hopes up for that stretch.
Then, on the morning of Tuesday the 12th of August, things finally show a pulse. The swell picks up to 3ft from the NE, with a period of 9 seconds, and the combined energy of all swells coming in is a solid moderate push (342). The wind is light from the SSE, which is a nice cross-off breeze, so the surface should be clean and glassy. That makes it the standout of the whole outlook. The water’s running at 61°F, which is about average for this time of year.
Tauranga Bay is a beginner-friendly spot, and with the swell just under 5ft, it’s okay for most levels. The wind is very light, so the waves should hold a nice shape. It’s a consistent spot, though crowds are rare, so you might even have it to yourself. The swell direction from the NE is good for the break, too.
The afternoon of the 12th gets a bit more energy (441) but the wind switches to a cross-shore, so it won’t be as clean as the morning.
Nothing else in the whole 16 days comes close to that Tuesday morning session. Keep an eye on the forecasts, but for now, mark the 12th and get out there early.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (light winds from the ESE on Wed morning, fresh winds from the NW by Thu night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 8°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SW on Sat afternoon, light winds from the SW by Sun morning). | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | E 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | NNW 6 | ESE 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | NE 15 | NE 15 | NE 14 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 176 | 232 | 225 | 225 | 251 | 192 | 186 | 142 | 97 | 130 | 88 | 61 | 61 | 40 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 23 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:31PM2.26m | 7:35AM2.16m | 8:13PM2.31m | 8:18AM2.20m | 8:53PM2.35m | 9:00AM2.24m | 9:31PM2.39m | 9:42AM2.28m | 10:09PM2.42m | 10:24AM2.31m | 10:49PM2.44m | 11:06AM2.34m | 11:30PM2.44m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:28AM0.90m | 1:48PM0.73m | 2:11AM0.82m | 2:27PM0.67m | 2:52AM0.75m | 3:04PM0.63m | 3:33AM0.68m | 3:41PM0.61m | 4:12AM0.64m | 4:19PM0.61m | 4:52AM0.62m | 5:00PM0.64m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — |
 | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 15 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | E 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | E 11 | E 11 | E 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | ESE 10 | SE 6 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 |
| kJ | 176 | 232 | 225 | 225 | 251 | 192 | 186 | 142 | 97 | 130 | 88 | 61 | 61 | 40 | 26 | 21 | 9 | 27 | 26 | 23 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 5 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | N 4 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NW 6 | NE 18 | NNW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NE 15 | NE 15 | NE 14 | NE 13 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | SE 9 |
| kJ | 3 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 6 | 5 | 28 | 12 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | — | — | — | — | NE 12 | NE 9 | NE 19 | N 6 | NE 11 | NE 17 | NE 16 | NE 16 | NE 10 | ESE 6 | NE 10 | E 10 | NE 16 | E 9 | NE 15 |
| kJ | 2 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 3 | 15 | 17 | 5 | 47 | 41 | 41 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | NNE 3 | — | N 4 | NNW 5 | NNW 6 | NW 6 | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | SSE 4 | — | — | SSW 2 | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | 25 | 78 | 88 | 46 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 52 | 3 | 81 | 112 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 65 | 65 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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