Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 6.5ft (2.0m), 8s period, N swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 11 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 9s period, NNE swell with 831 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 5 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 7s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.2m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 2.2m 9s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Wed 5th Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 6.5ft (2.0m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s coming up at Tauranga Bay.
First up, the water is sitting at 61°F with a pretty normal anomaly for this time of year, so nothing out of the ordinary there. The next few days are looking pretty flat and uninspiring overall. There’s a real gap of poor conditions from now until the end of the first week, with very little to get excited about. Most of the early mornings are glassy, but the swell is tiny and weak, with combined energy often below 30. It’s more of a rest period than a surfing window.
Things start to build a little around Sunday, the 9th of August, but that’s mostly onshore wind and rain bringing lumpy, blown-out 5ft to 7ft swell from the north. That’s not paddle-friendly, more of a kite-surfing setup with that fresh cross-onshore breeze. Keep your board on the beach.
Now, the real standout arrives on Monday, the 10th of August. By Monday afternoon, the wind drops to glassy calm, the swell is a solid 7ft from the north with a period of 8 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 586. That’s a solid, fun-sized wave with good energy. It’s clean, glassy, and the best we’re going to see. This is a push for experienced surfers, though, as it’s a bit much for beginners. The optimum swell direction for Tauranga Bay is NE, and this north swell is close enough to get those banks working.
Tuesday the 11th stays clean with cross-off winds, but the swell drops a touch and the energy is still solid. It’s a good follow-up day, but Monday afternoon is the pick of the bunch.
Towards the end of the second week, around Thursday, the 13th of August, we get another short window of glassy conditions with 4ft to 4ft swell from the NE, and combined energy around 285. That’s a more manageable size for most surfers, and the period is 9 seconds, offering decent shape. After that, things taper off again into tiny, clean but powerless waves.
So, if you’re picking one session, make it Monday, the 10th of August afternoon. The rest of the run is mostly small or messy, with a few clean, small windows mid-week.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 6°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 51mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Fri morning, fresh winds from the N by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | SE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | NE 16 | N 4 | N 6 | N 6 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 23 | 22 | 21 | 37 | 83 | 40 | 12 | 18 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 72 | 182 | 168 | 327 | 529 | 572 | 724 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | glassy | on | glassy | glassy | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:49AM2.35m | 00:14AM2.43m | 12:35PM2.36m | 1:01AM2.41m | 1:26PM2.34m | 1:51AM2.38m | 2:24PM2.33m | 2:46AM2.35m | 3:30PM2.33m | 3:47AM2.32m | 4:38PM2.36m | 4:55AM2.33m | 5:44PM2.43m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:44PM0.68m | 6:17AM0.63m | 6:32PM0.74m | 7:05AM0.65m | 7:26PM0.80m | 8:00AM0.66m | 8:27PM0.84m | 9:00AM0.67m | 9:34PM0.85m | 10:04AM0.65m | 10:43PM0.81m | 11:10AM0.60m | 11:48PM0.73m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | | | |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | | | |
 | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — |
 | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 6 | 41 | 8 | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 13 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | NNE 9 |
| kJ | 22 | 22 | 15 | 6 | 83 | 40 | 12 | 18 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 724 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NNE 12 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | NE 15 | NE 16 | NE 13 | SE 6 | N 13 | N 12 | — | — | — | E 12 |
| kJ | 23 | 22 | 21 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | 11 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 18 | NE 18 | NE 16 | ENE 9 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | E 8 | NE 10 | N 13 | NE 9 | N 12 | N 12 | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 12 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 2 | SW 2 | S 3 | SE 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 3 | N 4 | N 6 | N 6 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | — |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 5 | 37 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | 17 | 72 | 182 | 168 | 327 | 529 | 572 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 15 | 67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 64 | 60 | 60 | 113 | 112 | 94 | 94 | 155 | 65 | 0 | 51 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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