Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 31 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 1 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 11s period, E swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, E swell with 217 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 1 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 2ft (0.6m), 11s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 01) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 1.5m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sat 1st Aug) | 2ft (0.6m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it for Tauranga Bay. The 16-day window has a long, flat start, but there’s a bit of a pulse waiting for us later on – you just gotta be patient.
Right now, the water temp is sitting at 61° – that’s about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The first week and a half is pretty much a write-off. From Friday the 31st right through to the morning of Friday the 14th of August, we’re staring down a serious gap with no real surf on offer. There’s a tiny spike on the 2nd of August, with a 5ft easterly swell showing up Sunday morning, but it’s a short-period windswell (7 seconds) and the wind is cross-off – it’s clean, but nothing to get excited about. The combined energy sits at 274 (moderate), but it’s just not coming together for a good session. That’s a solid 13-day stretch of flat or poor conditions.
Thursday morning the 6th of August is glassy, but with a tiny 1ft swell from the NE, it’s not worth paddling out for.
The real action starts to rumble on Friday the 14th of August. The morning is our standout. We’ve got a 6ft short-period swell (6 seconds) from the NNW, with a clean cross-off breeze from the SSW. The combined energy jumps to 339 (strong), and the forecast is calling for *good surf conditions*. That’s the one to circle. The swell is a bit punchy and short, so it’ll be a bit lumpy, but it’s clean and rideable – a solid day for intermediate surfers. Beginners might find it a bit much at 6ft.
Saturday the 15th of August backs it up nicely. Morning sees a 6ft NW swell (8 seconds) with a light offshore from the S. Combined energy is 445 (strong), and again, the forecast says *good surf conditions*. The wind is offshore, so the waves will be clean and lined up. That’s your second best session of the whole window. By the afternoon, the swell drops to 4ft and it goes glassy, but it’s pretty ordinary.
So, to wrap it up: the first 13 days are a bust. The real standouts are the morning of the 14th and the morning of the 15th of August. That’s your window. Get out there if you can.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 14°C on Fri afternoon, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Fri night, fresh winds from the ESE by Sat afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Tue afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | E 11 | E 11 | NE 16 | NE 15 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NNE 11 | NE 10 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 97 | 88 | 61 | 41 | 42 | 217 | 146 | 37 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 29 | 11 | 23 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 9:31PM2.39m | 9:42AM2.28m | 10:09PM2.42m | 10:24AM2.31m | 10:49PM2.44m | 11:06AM2.34m | 11:30PM2.44m | 11:49AM2.35m | 00:14AM2.43m | 12:35PM2.36m | 1:01AM2.41m | 1:26PM2.34m | 1:51AM2.38m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:04PM0.63m | 3:33AM0.68m | 3:41PM0.61m | 4:12AM0.64m | 4:19PM0.61m | 4:52AM0.62m | 5:00PM0.64m | 5:33AM0.62m | 5:44PM0.68m | 6:17AM0.63m | 6:32PM0.74m | 7:05AM0.65m | 7:26PM0.80m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  | | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — |
 | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — |
mm | — | — | 3 | 6 | 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 |
Temp °C | 14 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 11 | NNW 6 | E 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | E 7 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | NE 11 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | ENE 9 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 97 | 29 | 61 | 40 | 42 | 217 | 146 | 37 | 17 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 29 | 7 | 23 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 6 | E 11 | NNW 6 | NNW 5 | NE 15 | NE 15 | NE 14 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ENE 7 | ESE 5 | E 5 | E 5 |
| kJ | 29 | 88 | 10 | 6 | 35 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 18 | NE 17 | NE 16 | NE 16 | N 5 | ESE 11 | NW 6 | E 10 | NE 16 | E 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 18 | NE 16 | N 12 | N 12 | SE 5 | NE 18 | NNE 11 | NE 16 |
| kJ | 12 | 47 | 41 | 41 | 2 | 24 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 10 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 7 | — | — | ENE 3 | E 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | NNE 3 | N 4 |
| kJ | 52 | — | — | 7 | 62 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 22 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 0 | 72 | 92 | 211 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 518 | 65 | 65 | 10 | 65 | 65 | 60 | 60 | 10 | 60 | 60 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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