Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 11 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 18 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 15s period, ESE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 6AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 11s period, N swell with 1,747 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 12 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 9s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 12) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Sun 12th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 9s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 18th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk Tauranga Bay. This spot is a beginner-friendly, consistent wave that’s fairly exposed to the open ocean, and it usually handles a decent NE swell. Looking at the next 16 days, the first week is a bit of a write‑off – small, weak, and mostly onshore or cross‑onshore winds. Then just after the middle of the month a big pulse arrives, but it’s too chunky for the learners. The real action comes in the third week with a solid, clean E groundswell that’ll have the experienced crew grinning.
The first couple of days – Sunday 12th through to Thursday 17th – are flat or tiny. The biggest bit of energy is a 2.3ft ESE swell on Sunday morning, but with a cross‑off wind and only 116 combined energy (moderate) it’s still pretty ordinary. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there. Wednesday 15th and Thursday 16th go glassy, but the swell is barely 1ft, so it’s a flat spell.
Then on Saturday 18th we get a little pulse: 2.3ft ESE swell, 14‑second period, clean and cross‑off winds. Combined energy 288 – moderate. That’s a small but clean window for a longboard or a foiler. The next day, Sunday 19th, things change fast. A 10ft NNE swell shows up in the morning, offshore wind, but it’s 19 mph – fresh – and the energy is 3321 (strong). That’s too big for beginners, and the afternoon sees 15ft E swell – even bigger. The break is beginner‑friendly, so this is only for experts. Monday 20th is still big: 13ft E swell, clean cross‑off wind, 4071 energy – excellent for experienced surfers, but no‑go for the average punter.
After a bit of a lull on Wednesday 22nd (4ft, onshore, poor), the groundswell settles into a solid, consistent E pulse from Thursday 23rd through to Sunday 27th. Swell heights sit between 6.5ft and 8ft
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 14mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 11°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummarySome drizzle, heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 12°C on Thu night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Sat 18 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | NNW 5 | NW 6 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | E 13 | ESE 14 | E 17 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 428 | 90 | 68 | 108 | 78 | 55 | 31 | 60 | 23 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 23 | 22 | 13 | 38 | 153 | 201 | 228 | 215 | 160 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 5:11AM2.38m | 6:00PM2.46m | 6:15AM2.42m | 7:01PM2.56m | 7:18AM2.47m | 8:00PM2.64m | 8:18AM2.51m | 8:55PM2.71m | 9:15AM2.54m | 9:47PM2.75m | 10:09AM2.55m | 10:36PM2.74m | 11:00AM2.54m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:00PM0.80m | 11:26AM0.54m | 00:02AM0.72m | 12:28PM0.46m | 1:03AM0.62m | 1:28PM0.37m | 2:02AM0.53m | 2:24PM0.30m | 2:59AM0.45m | 3:17PM0.27m | 3:53AM0.40m | 4:07PM0.29m | 4:43AM0.38m | 4:56PM0.36m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  |  | | | | | | |  |  | | | | |  |  |  | |
 | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — |
 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 |
mm | 3 | 1 | 4 | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 6 | 7 | 1 |
Temp °C | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 12 |
Feels °C | 8 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 8 | NNE 5 | NE 4 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | NNE 5 | E 13 | ESE 14 | E 17 | ESE 16 | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 |
| kJ | 245 | 90 | 68 | 108 | 78 | 55 | 31 | 7 | 18 | 5 | 20 | 21 | 23 | 5 | 13 | 38 | 153 | 201 | 58 | 70 | 103 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 12 | N 11 | N 11 | N 11 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | NNE 4 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 |
| kJ | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 228 | 215 | 160 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | W 16 | NE 10 | NE 12 | NE 9 | N 10 | N 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NW 6 | NNW 5 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | ESE 10 | E 9 | NE 9 | NE 10 | NE 9 | — |
| kJ | — | 5 | 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 3 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | E 5 | ENE 5 | — | NNW 3 | N 3 | NNW 4 | NNW 5 | NW 6 | — | — | NNW 6 | — | NNW 5 | NNE 5 | — | — | — | — | SE 2 | ESE 4 |
| kJ | 428 | 24 | 24 | — | 2 | 3 | 21 | 60 | 23 | — | — | 4 | — | 2 | 7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 12 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 21 | 0 | 67 | 33 | 9 | 236 | 518 | 10 | 10 | 60 | 60 | 114 | 52 | 73 | 52 | 15 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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