Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 29 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NNE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 29 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, NNE swell with 1,024 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 29 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period with NNE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.5m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 14s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 29) at 3PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 30) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 3PM (Sat 29th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it.
Honestly, we’re looking at a pretty bleak run for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days. The best I can say is there’s a window of opportunity, but it’s for the experienced crew only and it’s rough around the edges. For the first week and a half, it’s basically a write-off – small, junky swell, onshore winds, and rain. Not worth paddling out for. Then, around the 7th of September, things get a bit more interesting, but not without a big caveat.
The water temperature is sitting around 60°F, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The standout here is Monday, the 7th of September. We’ve got a solid pulse of swell pushing in – 10ft from the NNW with a period of 8 to 9 seconds. That’s a lot of water moving. The combined energy is massive, hitting 1058 on the Monday morning and peaking at 1525 in the afternoon. This is a serious swell, no doubt. The wind is a strong cross-offshore from the WSW at 22 mph, which will keep the surf clean. But look, 10ft is big – this is for experienced surfers only. The period is short, so it’s going to be a bit lumpy and harder to read, but for a beach break setup, that cross-off wind might just make it workable for those who know what they’re doing. The swell direction is from the NNW, which is a bit off the optimum NE direction, but it’s still going to wrap in.
Nothing else in the whole 16-day window comes close to that. From Friday the 28th of August right through to the 6th of September, you’re looking at tiny surf with poor conditions – rain, onshore winds, and weak energy. The 11th and 12th of September show a little improvement with glassy conditions and a longer period swell (12-13 seconds), but the wave height is only 1ft to 1ft, so it’s barely surfable. The energy is weak (69 or less), so it’s more of a paddle than a surf.
To sum it up: if you’re an expert and you can handle solid, clean but short-period waves, Monday the 7th of September is your only real shot. Otherwise, it’s a long wait for a very small window.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 45mm), heaviest during Sat morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri night, min 12°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNE on Fri afternoon, calm by Sat morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 5 | NNE 6 | NNE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 50 | 205 | 352 | 509 | 1024 | 361 | 140 | 104 | 170 | 88 | 39 | 87 | 83 | 73 | 71 | 39 | 35 | 38 | 41 | 40 | 40 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross |
High Tide | 8:23PM2.38m | 8:37AM2.31m | 9:03PM2.44m | 9:20AM2.37m | 9:42PM2.49m | 10:03AM2.43m | 10:24PM2.52m | 10:46AM2.47m | 11:06PM2.51m | 11:31AM2.49m | 11:52PM2.48m | 12:18PM2.47m | 00:40AM2.44m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:59PM0.68m | 2:24AM0.70m | 2:37PM0.62m | 3:04AM0.62m | 3:16PM0.58m | 3:45AM0.57m | 3:56PM0.58m | 4:26AM0.54m | 4:39PM0.60m | 5:08AM0.54m | 5:26PM0.65m | 5:54AM0.56m | 6:18PM0.71m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | |  | |  | |
 | 6:50 | — | — | 6:48 | — | — | 6:47 | — | — | 6:46 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — |
 | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:02 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:04 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:06 | — |
mm | 1 | 3 | 11 | 28 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | E 11 | E 5 | E 14 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 |
| kJ | 4 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 1024 | 361 | 140 | 104 | 170 | 88 | 39 | 87 | 83 | 73 | 71 | 39 | 35 | 38 | 41 | 40 | 40 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 10 | — | E 12 | — | E 13 | E 13 | SE 6 | E 12 | E 12 | NNE 11 | NNE 10 | — | — | WNW 6 | NW 5 | NW 4 | N 12 | N 11 | N 11 | N 11 | N 11 |
| kJ | 2 | — | 3 | — | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 44 | 39 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | — | E 15 | — | — | — | — | SE 12 | S 6 | WNW 6 | NW 5 | W 21 | — | — | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | — | W 16 | — | — |
| kJ | 2 | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 5 | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 5 | NNE 6 | NNE 7 | NNE 8 | — | S 3 | SW 3 | SW 3 | W 3 | SW 3 | SW 3 | SW 3 | W 3 | WSW 3 | — | — | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 |
| kJ | 50 | 205 | 352 | 509 | — | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 7 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 4 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 92 | 113 | 112 | 60 | 17 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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