Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 17 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 9s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.6m), 9s period, ESE swell with 400 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 15 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 7s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 15) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.6m and 9s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 1.6m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Sat 15th Aug) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 3PM (Mon 17th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Mon 17th Aug) | 5ft (1.6m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's break down Tauranga Bay. This spot is a consistent, beginner-friendly break that's fairly open to the ocean and loves a NE swell. The water's sitting at 61°, which is pretty standard for this time of year.
We're looking at a pretty average start to the week. Saturday the 15th and Sunday the 16th are kind of flat, with small waves and not much energy. Monday the 17th is where things get interesting. The morning has a fresh offshore breeze from the south with 4ft of swell from the SE, carrying a moderate energy of 250. It's a bit raw, but the afternoon cleans up nicely with a solid 5ft from the ESE and a moderate energy reading of 298. The south wind is still offshore, keeping things clean. That Monday afternoon is the first real highlight.
From Tuesday through to the following Monday, the swell drops right off. The energy readings fall into the double digits, and the waves are small and weak. A bit of a dry spell, really.
Then we get to Saturday the 29th. This is the big one. Saturday morning is pumping with a solid 10ft of swell from the north. The energy reading is a massive 1233 – that's a huge amount of power. The wind is a light offshore from the SE, so it's going to be clean. Now, for a beginner spot, 10ft is way too big, but for the experienced guys, it's a full-on, powerful day. The period is only 8 seconds, so it's not a long-period groundswell, but with that much energy, it's going to be a proper beast. The afternoon is still pumping at 7ft with a massive 1008 energy reading.
Sunday the 30th still has some size, around 6ft in the morning, but the wind is cranking at 19 mph from the SSE. It's still cross-offshore, but that fresh breeze will put a bit of a chop on the face. The energy is still impressive at 1275, but it won't be as clean as Saturday.
So, the standout is definitely Saturday the 29th. That's a full day of heavy, powerful surf. If you're not after that, the Monday afternoon is a much more manageable, clean option.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sat morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | ESE 7 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 9 | SE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 74 | 84 | 127 | 69 | 50 | 23 | 219 | 295 | 202 | 110 | 86 | 58 | 117 | 134 | 62 | 41 | 39 | 35 | 22 | 21 | 11 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:48AM2.57m | 10:11PM2.71m | 10:36AM2.57m | 10:54PM2.66m | 11:20AM2.55m | 11:37PM2.58m | 12:03PM2.49m | 00:19AM2.48m | 12:46PM2.41m | 1:01AM2.38m | 1:32PM2.31m | 1:44AM2.28m | 2:23PM2.22m | 2:30AM2.19m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:44PM0.33m | 4:17AM0.37m | 4:30PM0.40m | 5:01AM0.41m | 5:15PM0.52m | 5:44AM0.49m | 6:00PM0.65m | 6:27AM0.60m | 6:45PM0.79m | 7:12AM0.73m | 7:32PM0.91m | 7:59AM0.84m | 8:23PM1.01m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:01 | — | — | 7:00 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — |
 | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:53 | — | — | 5:54 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:55 | — | — | 5:57 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 17 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 15 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 |
| kJ | 48 | 84 | 127 | 69 | 50 | 23 | 21 | 295 | 202 | 110 | 86 | 58 | 117 | 134 | 62 | 41 | 39 | 35 | 22 | 21 | 11 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | SE 9 | NW 12 | NE 9 | NE 11 | ESE 14 | E 13 | ESE 12 | N 10 | N 10 | NE 10 | N 10 | N 10 | E 16 | E 9 | E 14 | NE 9 |
| kJ | 74 | 41 | 30 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 4 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 6 | NW 6 | — | SE 9 | SE 9 | NE 9 | NW 11 | — | — | NE 11 | — | NE 10 | — | W 18 | — | — | — | N 10 | E 14 | NE 9 | E 13 |
| kJ | 4 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 21 | 5 | — | — | 4 | — | 4 | — | 6 | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 3 | SW 2 | SSW 3 | SW 3 | SW 3 | — | SE 8 | — | S 3 | SSW 3 | SW 3 | S 4 | SSW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 4 |
| kJ | 3 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 2 | — | 219 | — | 5 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 325 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 65 | 10 | 52 | 502 | 60 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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