Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 13 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, N swell with 1,014 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 7s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 13) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.1m 11s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Thu 13th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s break it down.
Honestly, it’s a bleak outlook. We’re looking at a long stretch of nearly two weeks with no real surf to speak of. The only spot in the mix is Tauranga Bay, a consistent, beginner-friendly break that’s fairly exposed to swell, but it’s just not doing anything.
The only glimpse of hope is Monday morning, 10th August. The swell is a tiny 4ft from the north, with a period of 7 seconds. The combined energy is weak (187). The wind is light and offshore from the south, which will keep the surface clean. It’s surfable, but it’s barely worth getting wet for. The water temperature is 61°, which is about average for this time of year.
After that, it’s all downhill. The wind goes onshore, the swell stays small and disorganized, and the quality is poor. There’s a short window around the 18th and 19th where the wind turns clean offshore, but the swell drops to just 1ft to 2ft. The combined energy during those days is ridiculously low, with values as low as 31 (18th afternoon) and 34 (19th afternoon). The period is a bit better at 9 seconds, but with no size, it’s just a tease.
For a break that’s usually consistent, this is a real bummer. The whole 16-day window is a dud. Leave the board in the car and wait for a better system. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s not looking good.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 27mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 11°C on Fri afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Tue night. Very mild (max 17°C on Wed afternoon, min 12°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ENE 15 | ESE 6 | N 4 | N 6 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 | N 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 6 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 8 | NE 7 | N 7 | N 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 18 | 21 | 10 | 10 | 156 | 214 | 184 | 243 | 159 | 163 | 109 | 84 | 102 | 135 | 180 | 231 | 232 | 79 | 414 | 771 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | off | on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross | on | on | on |
High Tide | 2:46AM2.35m | 3:30PM2.33m | 3:47AM2.32m | 4:38PM2.36m | 4:55AM2.33m | 5:44PM2.43m | 6:03AM2.36m | 6:45PM2.52m | 7:06AM2.42m | 7:43PM2.61m | 8:04AM2.48m | 8:36PM2.68m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:27PM0.84m | 9:00AM0.67m | 9:34PM0.85m | 10:04AM0.65m | 10:43PM0.81m | 11:10AM0.60m | 11:48PM0.73m | 12:15PM0.51m | 00:50AM0.63m | 1:15PM0.41m | 1:48AM0.53m | 2:08PM0.33m | 2:41AM0.44m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  |  |  | | | |  | |  |  |  |  | | |  | | |
 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — |
 | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | 4 | 18 | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 17 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 7 | 5 |
Temp °C | 11 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 15 |
Feels °C | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 18 | 14 | 15 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | E 6 | ENE 13 | NE 14 | NE 13 | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 | N 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | E 11 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 8 | NE 7 | SE 12 | SE 9 |
| kJ | 18 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 243 | 159 | 163 | 109 | 84 | 102 | 2 | 180 | 231 | 232 | 79 | 5 | 3 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | ENE 15 | NE 16 | NE 13 | SE 8 | N 13 | E 13 | NE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | NE 11 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | E 13 | E 12 | — | E 16 |
| kJ | 4 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 16 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | E 8 | N 12 | E 12 | ESE 12 | SE 11 | N 14 | N 13 | E 12 | SE 10 | N 12 | N 12 | SE 12 | W 10 | — | E 13 |
| kJ | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | — | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | N 6 | N 7 | N 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 6 | — | — | — | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 |
| kJ | — | — | 1 | 10 | 156 | 214 | 184 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 135 | — | — | — | 69 | 414 | 771 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 92 | 60 | 60 | 223 | 331 | 216 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 60 | 92 | 64 | 60 | 3 | 3 | 52 | 112 | 112 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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