Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 14 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 17 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 7s period, NNW swell with 518 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 2.2m 7s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Sep 17) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Sep 20) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Thu 17th Sep) | 7ft (2.2m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let's get into it.
Mate, to be honest, this is a pretty grim stretch for Tauranga Bay. The whole 16-day window is a write-off for any decent waves. There's a massive gap of absolutely nothing worth paddling out for right from the start, all the way through the end of September. You’re looking at a blank run of about two weeks where the conditions are just plain poor. It’s the kind of run that’s normal for an area when the swell windows just don't line up.
The only flicker of life comes right at the very end of the forecast period. On Sunday the 29th of September, things get interesting for a moment. The combined energy of all swells directed here is moderate at (119), but the swell is very small at 2ft from the ESE. The real issue is that cross-onshore wind from the NNW will chop it up. It’s just not worth getting excited about.
Because the swell stays consistently below 5ft for the whole period, it’s not a danger issue, but the quality is just never there. Honestly, the setup looks so poor for so long, if you’re desperate for a session on the water, you’d have better luck kiting than trying to paddle this stuff.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Winds increasing (calm on Wed morning, fresh winds from the NNW by Thu morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 18°C on Sun morning, min 10°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | Saturday 19 | Sunday 20 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NNW 5 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NE 8 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 37 | 23 | 37 | 21 | 20 | 27 | 23 | 23 | 82 | 384 | 63 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 14 | 21 | 14 | 6 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | off | off | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:23PM2.56m | 10:51AM2.55m | 11:03PM2.49m | 11:31AM2.49m | 11:42PM2.40m | 12:11PM2.40m | 00:22AM2.31m | 12:53PM2.29m | 1:02AM2.22m | 1:40PM2.20m | 1:46AM2.13m | 2:35PM2.13m | 2:37AM2.06m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:02PM0.48m | 4:28AM0.44m | 4:45PM0.58m | 5:09AM0.53m | 5:28PM0.70m | 5:50AM0.64m | 6:11PM0.82m | 6:32AM0.76m | 6:56PM0.92m | 7:17AM0.87m | 7:44PM1.00m | 8:06AM0.95m | 8:37PM1.05m | |||||||
 |  | | | | |  |  |  | | | |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — |
 | 6:14 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:17 | — | — | 6:19 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 7 | — | 3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 18 | 17 | 13 |
Feels °C | 14 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NNW 7 | NNW 7 | NE 8 | ESE 13 | NW 6 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NW 6 |
| kJ | 37 | 23 | 37 | 21 | 20 | 27 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 63 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 5 | 16 | 14 | 21 | 14 | 6 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NNE 10 | N 11 | E 9 | E 13 | SE 13 | NE 12 | NE 7 | WNW 7 | NE 8 | ESE 13 | NE 11 | NE 8 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 |
| kJ | 8 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 13 | N 12 | SE 5 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | N 11 | E 10 | — | SE 11 | NE 11 | N 7 | NW 6 | NE 11 | NE 8 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | E 15 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 5 | NNW 7 | SW 3 | WSW 3 | SW 3 | SW 3 | WSW 3 | W 3 | WNW 6 | W 3 | WSW 3 | SW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 6 | 82 | 384 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 55 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 10 | 65 | 10 | 65 | 60 | 60 | 518 | 112 | 518 | 331 | 3 | 363 | 323 | 432 | 445 | 518 | 518 | 445 | 432 | 65 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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