Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 16 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 17 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 17s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 17 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 17s period, ESE swell with 290 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 17 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 17s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 0.7m 17s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 17) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Fri 17th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for Tauranga Bay.
To be straight with you, this 16-day window is pretty flat. There’s a real gap here. After the first few days of small, rideable waves, the surf just drops away and we’re looking at a long stretch of nothing special from around Monday the 21st right through to the end of the month. It’s a tough run.
The best of what’s on offer is right at the start. Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th. We’ve got a tiny little groundswell pushing in from the ESE with a long period, 15 to 17 seconds. That long period means the wave shape should be better than the size suggests, with nice lines and longer waits between sets. Swell heights are only around 2ft, but combined energy is moderate (224), so there’s a bit of push in the water. The water temp is sitting at 62°, about normal for this time of year.
Friday morning is the pick. Clear skies, a light WSW wind blowing cross-offshore, keeping the surface clean. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, and with the swell this small, it’s perfect for a longboard or a funboard. The water will be glassy. The wind gets a bit messy in the afternoon, turning cross-on, but still light.
Saturday morning is also worth a look. The wind is a light SSW, again cross-off, and the surf stays clean. Same small swell, still around 2ft. It’s not going to be epic, but it’s surfable and clean. After that, the size drops off a cliff.
By Sunday the 19th, the swell is fading fast, down to 2ft and then 1ft, and the energy is weak (122 dropping to 77). It’s the last day you’d bother paddling out. From Monday the 20th onwards, it’s basically flat. There are a few days with clean conditions and even some glassy mornings, but the swell is too small to do anything with. The wind gets strong later in the week, and there’s a messy cross-shore chop, but there’s no swell to ride anyway.
So, the call is simple. If you’re desperate for a paddle, hit Friday or Saturday morning this week. After that, save your wax. It’s a quiet spell for Tauranga Bay.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Fri afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 17 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 11 | E 5 | E 5 | SE 12 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 215 | 269 | 246 | 222 | 163 | 160 | 115 | 70 | 57 | 52 | 49 | 48 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | off | off | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:09AM2.55m | 10:36PM2.74m | 11:00AM2.54m | 11:23PM2.69m | 11:48AM2.50m | 00:10AM2.61m | 12:35PM2.45m | 00:56AM2.52m | 1:23PM2.37m | 1:42AM2.42m | 2:13PM2.30m | 2:28AM2.32m | 3:08PM2.23m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:07PM0.29m | 4:43AM0.38m | 4:56PM0.36m | 5:31AM0.40m | 5:44PM0.47m | 6:18AM0.47m | 6:32PM0.60m | 7:04AM0.55m | 7:21PM0.74m | 7:52AM0.66m | 8:11PM0.86m | 8:42AM0.76m | 9:05PM0.96m | ||||||||
 | |  | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:28 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — |
 | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 13 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 17 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 14 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 | E 5 |
| kJ | 215 | 269 | 246 | 222 | 163 | 160 | 115 | 70 | 57 | 52 | 49 | 48 | 26 | 25 | 24 | 11 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 10 | NE 9 | SE 12 |
| kJ | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 10 | E 9 | — | W 18 | SSE 5 | NW 6 | — | — | — | N 7 | — | SE 6 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | N 7 | NE 9 | E 10 | NE 9 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 2 | — | 6 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 65 | 65 | 52 | 60 | 65 | 60 | 60 | 546 | 518 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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