Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 1 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 8 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, N swell with 825 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 2 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 1.9m and 8s. Another secondary swell of 0.3m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 5s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 02) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Sat 8th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Righto, groms. Rusty here. We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming up for Tauranga Bay. Let’s get into it.
The water is sitting at a pretty standard 61°, which is about what you’d expect for this time of year. Nothing weird going on there.
The first bit of actual surf to talk about is this Saturday morning. It’s small, with waves around 2ft coming from the east, and the wind is glassy. It’s not going to blow you away, but the energy is moderate. The conditions are clean, so it’s a good one for a beginner to get a few soft ones. That afternoon, it drops right off to 1.0ft, and we get some rain. Not much to write home about.
Now, Sunday is where it gets interesting. The morning is the standout of the whole 16-day window. We’ve got a solid 6ft swell from the east, with a short period of 8 seconds, and it’s blowing offshore from the SSE at 12 mph. The wave energy is strong. This is a proper peak for Tauranga Bay. It’s a consistent wave, and with offshore wind, it’s going to be clean. It’s a bit punchy for a beginner, but a solid intermediate will have a ball. The afternoon cleans up a bit with the swell dropping to 4ft, still offshore, but the energy is moderate. Still a good session.
Monday morning is a letdown. The swell drops to 2ft and the wind goes cross-off. The energy is weak. It’s clean, but tiny. The rest of the week from Monday afternoon through to the end of the 16-day window is a long, quiet stretch. There’s a lot of wind from the north and east, and the swell is mostly small and messy. You get a few pulses of energy, like on the 7th and 8th of August where the swell pushes over 7ft, but the wind is onshore and choppy. The 8th of August has a massive energy spike, but with a strong cross-onshore wind, it’s going to be a washing machine. That’s more of a kite day than a paddle day.
The 11th of August has a bit of a 5ft swell from the east-southeast, but the wind is messy. It’s marginal. After that, it’s all small, weak, and blown out. The 16th of August is the last day, and it’s barely 1ft.
So, the only real standout is Sunday morning, 2nd of August. That’s your best bet. Don’t expect much else for the rest of the fortnight.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sat afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, fresh winds from the SE by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 9°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | NE 16 | NE 15 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | NNE 6 | NNE 7 | N 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 61 | 41 | 35 | 477 | 191 | 71 | 28 | 26 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 18 | 18 | 26 | 45 | 190 | 385 | 487 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 9:42AM2.28m | 10:09PM2.42m | 10:24AM2.31m | 10:49PM2.44m | 11:06AM2.34m | 11:30PM2.44m | 11:49AM2.35m | 00:14AM2.43m | 12:35PM2.36m | 1:01AM2.41m | 1:26PM2.34m | 1:51AM2.38m | 2:24PM2.33m | 2:46AM2.35m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:41PM0.61m | 4:12AM0.64m | 4:19PM0.61m | 4:52AM0.62m | 5:00PM0.64m | 5:33AM0.62m | 5:44PM0.68m | 6:17AM0.63m | 6:32PM0.74m | 7:05AM0.65m | 7:26PM0.80m | 8:00AM0.66m | 8:27PM0.84m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | |  | |  | |
 | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — |
 | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — |
mm | 2 | 10 | 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 7 | 4 | 13 |
Temp °C | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 11 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Feels °C | 11 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | ESE 11 | NE 15 | E 8 | E 8 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 8 | NE 11 | NE 12 | NE 12 | E 6 | ENE 6 | ENE 6 | NE 6 | NE 10 | NE 16 | ENE 15 |
| kJ | 61 | 40 | 35 | 477 | 191 | 71 | 28 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 22 | 22 | 10 | 18 | 26 | 45 | 4 | 10 | 21 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 6 | NNW 5 | N 5 | NE 15 | NE 14 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 13 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | ENE 8 | ENE 7 | NE 6 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 16 | N 13 | N 13 |
| kJ | 10 | 6 | 2 | 33 | 33 | 28 | 27 | 26 | 23 | 23 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 4 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 16 | NE 16 | NW 6 | NW 7 | NW 7 | SE 13 | ENE 8 | ENE 8 | NE 15 | ENE 8 | NE 18 | NE 16 | N 12 | N 12 | NE 15 | N 11 | N 11 | NE 16 | SE 7 | E 7 | E 13 |
| kJ | 41 | 41 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | NNE 6 | NNE 7 | N 8 |
| kJ | — | — | 67 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 8 | 190 | 385 | 487 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 211 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 101 | 376 | 65 | 73 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 64 | 94 | 74 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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