Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 1 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 4 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period, NW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 6 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 7s period, NW swell with 317 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 4 Sep, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 6s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Sep 04) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s. Another secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 1.8m 7s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 06) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Monday (Sep 07) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Fri 4th Sep) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sun 6th Sep) | 6ft (1.8m) 7s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get a look at what’s shaking for Tauranga Bay over the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it’s a rough patch to start. There’s a big dry spell of nothing rideable for the first week-plus, with the first real chance of a wave not popping up until Sunday the 13th of September. You’re looking at more than a week of tiny, bumpy junk before anything decent shows. The water temp is 61°, right about average for this time of year – no drama there.
So the one and only standout in the whole 16-day window is Sunday the 13th of September, first thing in the morning. Tauranga Bay finally fires up. We’ve got a 4ft swell rolling in from the east, and the big news is a clean offshore wind from the south. That’ll have the surface glassed off. The combined energy is a moderate 270, so there’s some real grunt behind it. This break is pretty exposed to a north-east swell, so an easterly isn’t its absolute ideal direction, but that offshore breeze is gold. It’s not a giant day – good for most folks, and just fine for a keen beginner who’s paying attention.
That Sunday afternoon drops off to 3ft from the east-southeast with a lighter offshore, so the morning is definitely the call.
After that, it’s back to tiny dribble for the rest of the forecast. Monday the 14th has a clean 0.9ft wave, but it’s barely worth a paddle. It’s a long wait for one good session, but that Sunday morning is the one to aim for.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 16mm), heaviest on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun morning, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat morning, strong winds from the NW by Sun afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NE 10 | NE 11 | ENE 10 | NNW 4 | NW 6 | NW 8 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 76 | 45 | 42 | 21 | 20 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 35 | 67 | 35 | 24 | 29 | 19 | 34 | 172 | 205 | 77 | 37 | 11 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 10:46AM2.47m | 11:06PM2.51m | 11:31AM2.49m | 11:52PM2.48m | 12:18PM2.47m | 00:40AM2.44m | 1:10PM2.42m | 1:33AM2.38m | 2:09PM2.36m | 2:31AM2.31m | 3:17PM2.33m | 3:36AM2.27m | 4:25PM2.34m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 4:39PM0.60m | 5:08AM0.54m | 5:26PM0.65m | 5:54AM0.56m | 6:18PM0.71m | 6:45AM0.60m | 7:13PM0.76m | 7:42AM0.65m | 8:15PM0.81m | 8:44AM0.67m | 9:22PM0.82m | 9:51AM0.67m | 10:31PM0.78m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  | | | | |  | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 6:43 | — | — | 6:43 | — | — | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — |
 | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:08 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 11 | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 16 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 11 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NW 6 | NNW 6 | NE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 7 |
| kJ | 76 | 45 | 42 | 21 | 20 | 11 | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 25 | 35 | 10 | 29 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 77 | 37 | 11 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 6 | NW 5 | NW 5 | — | N 12 | ENE 10 | N 11 | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | N 10 | NNW 5 | N 10 | W 18 | — | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NE 9 |
| kJ | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7 | — | 8 | 8 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 14 | — | N 12 | N 12 | SE 12 | N 11 | E 13 | — | — | — | NE 15 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | N 10 | NW 18 | — | — | N 8 | N 8 | NW 15 |
| kJ | 4 | — | 3 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 13 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 9 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 3 | SW 3 | — | — | WNW 2 | WNW 4 | WNW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | — | — | NNW 5 | — | NNW 4 | NW 6 | NW 8 | W 4 | WSW 4 | SW 3 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 35 | 67 | — | — | 11 | — | 34 | 172 | 205 | 9 | 11 | 1 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 3 | 10 | 10 | 65 | 65 | 65 | 518 | 518 | 518 | 518 | 551 | 0 | 65 | 573 | 92 | 544 | 573 | 192 | 15 | 61 | 326 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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