Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period, N swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 8s period, NNW swell with 725 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 6AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.8m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 2.4m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 8ft (2.4m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ for Tauranga Bay.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you. The first week and a half is a real struggle. We’ve got a nasty run of poor surf conditions with strong onshore winds and messy, junky waves. The water temp is sitting at 61°, which is pretty much what you’d expect for this time of year, so nothing unusual there. The first few days are a write-off, with tiny 1ft slop and no energy to speak of.
The first real flicker of hope comes on Monday morning, the 10th of August. The wind swings around to a light cross-offshore from the SE, and we get a pulse of 7ft swell from the north with a moderate energy reading (554). It’s not perfect, but it’s clean and surfable. That’s likely your best window for a proper paddle out, but it’s not a standout. The wind stays a bit tricky for the rest of that week, with a lot of onshore and cross-onshore junk.
The real standout, and the one I’d circle on the calendar, is Friday morning, the 21st of August. We’ve got a clean, 3ft groundswell from the ESE with a period of 11 seconds, delivering a solid 310 units of energy. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the SE, which should keep the faces clean. This is a long period groundswell, so it’ll have more shape and power than the short-period slop, and the gaps between sets will make paddling out a bit easier. For a consistent, beginner-friendly spot like Tauranga Bay, this is the pick of the entire forecast. The swell size is well within the beginner comfort zone, too.
There’s a long gap of nothing worth chasing after the 10th, right through to the 21st. That’s over a week of poor to marginal conditions. The 21st is the only true highlight, and being that far out, it’s a promising call but not locked in. Keep your fingers crossed.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu afternoon, fresh winds from the N by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 25mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 14°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Sun afternoon, calm by Sun night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ENE 15 | ESE 6 | N 4 | N 5 | N 7 | N 8 | NNW 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 18 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 62 | 255 | 588 | 725 | 545 | 551 | 294 | 416 | 521 | 483 | 330 | 250 | 207 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross | on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:51AM2.38m | 2:24PM2.33m | 2:46AM2.35m | 3:30PM2.33m | 3:47AM2.32m | 4:38PM2.36m | 4:55AM2.33m | 5:44PM2.43m | 6:03AM2.36m | 6:45PM2.52m | 7:06AM2.42m | 7:43PM2.61m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:26PM0.80m | 8:00AM0.66m | 8:27PM0.84m | 9:00AM0.67m | 9:34PM0.85m | 10:04AM0.65m | 10:43PM0.81m | 11:10AM0.60m | 11:48PM0.73m | 12:15PM0.51m | 00:50AM0.63m | 1:15PM0.41m | 1:48AM0.53m | |||||||
 |  | |  |  | |  |  |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — |
 | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 15 |
Feels °C | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ENE 13 | NE 14 | NE 13 | N 8 | NE 12 | N 8 | NE 12 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 |
| kJ | 18 | 15 | 15 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 494 | 6 | 396 | 6 | 416 | 521 | 483 | 330 | 250 | 207 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 10 | ENE 15 | NE 16 | NE 13 | SE 6 | N 13 | E 13 | ENE 12 | E 11 | ENE 12 | — | NE 12 | N 13 | SE 12 | NW 12 | NW 11 | NW 11 |
| kJ | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 3 | 14 | — | 6 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 16 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | E 8 | E 13 | E 9 | — | — | — | — | E 10 | — | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 |
| kJ | 5 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | N 5 | N 7 | N 8 | NNW 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | — | — | — | — | NW 3 | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 62 | 255 | 588 | 725 | 545 | 551 | 294 | — | — | — | — | 7 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 216 | 113 | 518 | 466 | 64 | 0 | 60 | 60 | 52 | 32 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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