Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 12 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 7s period, NNE swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 3AM (local time) - 7ft (2.2m), 8s period, NNW swell with 569 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 5 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 7s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 2.2m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 06) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 7s |
| Best Surf | 9AM (Wed 12th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 7ft (2.2m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Wednesday: Flat and pretty, honestly. Tauranga Bay’s got nothing doing. The water’s 61°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no drama there. But the swell’s tiny and the wind’s all over the shop. A couple of days of pretty much nothing here—Thursday and Friday are looking gutless, just knee-high slop if you’re lucky. You’d be better off doing something else.
Then the weekend rolls in with a bit of a pulse, but it’s messy. Saturday stays small, but Sunday throws a bit of size at us—northwest wind is howling onshore, and that 7ft of north swell is going to be a blown-out mess. Not worth the paddle. That one’s a no-go.
Now, Monday the 10th – that’s the one that’s got my attention. The swell’s still up, around 7ft from the north, and the wind swings around to a light cross-offshore from the ESE. That’s clean. The energy’s solid, with combined readings of 637 and 753 – that’s a proper push of water. It’s a bit much for the beginners, but for anyone who knows what they’re doing, this is the standout. Tauranga Bay (Tauranga-Bay) is fairly exposed and the offshore wind is going to make it smooth. The period’s only around 8-9 seconds, so it’s a bit of a windswell, but it’s got enough grunt to be fun. This is the best of the whole run right here.
After that, the swell slowly backs off. Tuesday and Wednesday are still surfable, but the wind gets a little more cross-on and the quality drops. By Thursday and Friday the 13th and 14th, it’s dropping to around 4ft with a cleaner, cross-off wind in the mornings. It’s ordinary, but it’s rideable. Not worth getting excited about.
The second week is a bit of a letdown, to be honest. The swell keeps fading, and the wind stays fickle. There’s some small stuff around 3ft to 4ft, but it’s mostly cross-shore chop or just too weak to get your fins wet. The energy’s weak. Nothing here that’s going to make you rush out of bed. The best of the week is probably the 19th, with a little 3ft ENE swell and a light offshore wind – surfable, but far from epic.
So, the long and short of it: Monday the 10th is the day. Everything else is either too small, too messy, or just average. Get it while it’s there.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Wed afternoon, min 6°C on Wed morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 31mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon night, min 13°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the NNE on Sat morning, fresh winds from the N by Sun morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ENE 15 | NE 16 | N 4 | N 6 | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 67 | 86 | 26 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 144 | 295 | 363 | 421 | 396 | 323 | 253 | 397 | 316 | 273 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | on | off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 12:35PM2.36m | 1:01AM2.41m | 1:26PM2.34m | 1:51AM2.38m | 2:24PM2.33m | 2:46AM2.35m | 3:30PM2.33m | 3:47AM2.32m | 4:38PM2.36m | 4:55AM2.33m | 5:44PM2.43m | 6:03AM2.36m | 6:45PM2.52m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:32PM0.74m | 7:05AM0.65m | 7:26PM0.80m | 8:00AM0.66m | 8:27PM0.84m | 9:00AM0.67m | 9:34PM0.85m | 10:04AM0.65m | 10:43PM0.81m | 11:10AM0.60m | 11:48PM0.73m | 12:15PM0.51m | 00:50AM0.63m | ||||||||
 | |  | | | | | | |  | |  |  | |  |  | |  | |  | | |
 | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — |
 | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 4 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Temp °C | 10 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 |
Feels °C | 4 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 13 | NE 14 | NE 13 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | N 8 | ENE 12 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 |
| kJ | 15 | 16 | 26 | 17 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 323 | 14 | 397 | 316 | 273 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 12 | NE 12 | ENE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 16 | ENE 15 | NE 16 | NE 13 | SE 8 | N 13 | E 8 | E 8 | — | ENE 12 | SE 12 | NE 12 | NE 11 | E 11 |
| kJ | 14 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | — | 14 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | N 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | N 13 | NE 10 | N 12 | N 12 | E 8 | E 12 | — | — | — | N 14 | E 11 | N 13 | N 13 |
| kJ | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | 4 | 3 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | ESE 7 | S 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | N 6 | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | — | N 8 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 67 | 86 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | 144 | 295 | 363 | 421 | 396 | — | 253 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 21 | 17 | 17 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 113 | 211 | 314 | 518 | 94 | 73 | 113 | 112 | 60 | 216 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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