
Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 3 Aug, 12PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 7s period, SE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period, ESE swell with 277 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 28 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 13s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 0.9m 13s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Monday (Aug 03) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Mon 3rd Aug) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 7s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Wed 29th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at Tauranga Bay for the next couple of weeks. I’ll be honest, it’s a bit of a slow burner. The overall pattern is a small start, then a long stretch of flat and poor conditions, with a little something at the very end. The water temperature is about 61°F, which is normal for the time of year.
We start off on Monday, July 27th, with a small 2ft swell from the ESE, with a period of 13 seconds. That’s a long-period groundswell, so it’ll have some shape, but it’s weak with only 146 units of energy. The wind is a moderate offshore from the SSW, keeping it clean. It’s surfable, but nothing special. Tuesday the 28th is more of the same – 2ft, same direction, still clean with cross-off winds. Fine for a beginner.
The best of this first run is Wednesday the 29th. We’ve got a 3ft swell, still from the ESE, with that same 13-second period, and the morning is clear with a light cross-off breeze. The energy climbs to 229, still weak, but it’s better. It’s clean and lined up. That’s your pick for the first week. But the afternoon gets a little onshore, so get out early.
Then it goes quiet. From Thursday the 30th all the way through to the 8th of August, it’s mostly flat or poor. The swell drops, the wind is messy, and the scores are zero. There’s a tiny 2ft wave on Saturday August 1st, but it’s barely there. You’re looking at over a week with nothing worth paddling for.
The only other option that might wet your whistle is Monday, August 10th. The swell comes back to 2ft from the ESE with a 10-second period, and the wind is light and offshore. The energy is back up to 84, and it’s clean. Tuesday the 11th is similar, with a bit more energy at 114. It’s not a classic, but it’s the best the second week has to offer.
So, your true standout is Wednesday morning, July 29th. It’s clean, the groundswell has good shape, and the conditions are the best on offer. For the rest, you’re waiting for August 10th or 11th.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Thu night. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | E 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | E 12 | E 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | NE 15 | NE 14 | NE 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
127 | 173 | 176 | 176 | 232 | 225 | 225 | 251 | 192 | 186 | 142 | 130 | 95 | 96 | 62 | 39 | 47 | 34 | 33 | 28 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 6:46PM2.22m | 6:48AM2.13m | 7:31PM2.26m | 7:35AM2.16m | 8:13PM2.31m | 8:18AM2.20m | 8:53PM2.35m | 9:00AM2.24m | 9:31PM2.39m | 9:42AM2.28m | 10:09PM2.42m | 10:24AM2.31m | 10:49PM2.44m | |||||||
Low Tide | 00:42AM0.97m | 1:05PM0.80m | 1:28AM0.90m | 1:48PM0.73m | 2:11AM0.82m | 2:27PM0.67m | 2:52AM0.75m | 3:04PM0.63m | 3:33AM0.68m | 3:41PM0.61m | 4:12AM0.64m | 4:19PM0.61m | ||||||||
— | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | 7:18 | — | — | |
5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 9 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 12 | 15 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 10 |
Feels °C | 9 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | E 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | NNW 6 | ESE 11 | E 12 | E 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 12 | ESE 11 | NE 14 | NE 13 |
127 | 173 | 176 | 176 | 232 | 225 | 225 | 251 | 192 | 186 | 142 | 51 | 95 | 96 | 62 | 39 | 47 | 24 | 33 | 28 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 5 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 5 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | ESE 11 | NNW 6 | N 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NE 15 | NE 15 | ESE 11 | E 10 |
15 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 130 | 24 | 2 | 13 | 10 | 35 | 34 | 11 | 8 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 6 | — | N 11 | N 10 | — | — | — | — | NE 9 | N 9 | NE 19 | NE 11 | NE 18 | NE 17 | NE 16 | E 13 | NW 6 | SE 5 | — | NE 10 |
4 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | 15 | 5 | 12 | 47 | 41 | 31 | 2 | 1 | — | 4 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 2 | SSW 3 | SSE 5 | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | N 5 | NNW 6 | W 3 | WSW 3 | WNW 3 | WSW 3 | SW 3 | S 3 | — | SSW 2 | SSE 3 |
1 | 1 | 19 | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 42 | 109 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 2 | — | 1 | 10 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 60 | 3 | 94 | 94 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away










