Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 6 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, N swell with 935 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 2.1m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.3m 2s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G’day, I’m Rusty, and I’ve been staring at the charts for Tauranga Bay. It’s a tough stretch ahead, I’m not gonna lie. The first week is a write-off, with nothing but onshore slop and messy conditions. There’s a short window of hope early in the second week, but overall, it’s a lean, frustrating period for surfers.
The first solid recommendation doesn’t pop up until Monday morning, the 10th of August. The swell is from the north at 5 ft, with an 8-second period, which is short-period windswell. The combined energy is moderate at 290. The real kicker is the wind – a light SSE offshore breeze, glassy clean. It’s a beginner-friendly break, consistent, and rarely crowded. For a few hours, it’ll be fun, clean waves for a learner or a longboarder. But the energy is weak, so don’t expect a barrel.
After that, the window slams shut. From Monday afternoon all the way through to Saturday the 16th of August, it’s a grim run of onshore winds, lumpy conditions, and poor surf. The wind states are mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell directions are all over the shop. It’s a proper drought.
Finally, on Sunday morning, the 16th of August, there’s a tiny flicker. The swell is a tiny 2 ft from the NE, with a 9-second period, and the combined energy is a weak 75. The wind flips to a light offshore from the south, leaving it clean. It’s surfable, but very ordinary. This is a spot for the patient soul with a longboard.
Then it’s another dry spell. From Sunday afternoon through to the end of the forecast on the 22nd of August, the swell is consistently below 3 ft, with periods as low as 5 seconds. The wind is mostly cross-off or cross, keeping the surface clean, but there’s simply no power. The combined energy rarely breaks 100. It’s flat, and that’s the long and short of it.
The standout is the Monday morning, the 10th of August. It’s the only time the swell, wind, and a consistent break line up. It’s not a world-class day, but it’s the only game in town. The long-range Sunday morning the 16th is a distant second, a novelty for the keener.
Rusty out.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 9°C on Thu night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu night, strong winds from the N by Sun afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue morning, min 11°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ENE 15 | ESE 6 | N 4 | N 6 | N 7 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | NNE 7 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 15 | 15 | 18 | 21 | 10 | 16 | 121 | 303 | 569 | 587 | 270 | 201 | 131 | 208 | 653 | 383 | 226 | 196 | 142 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-on | glassy | on | on | on | on | on | cross-off | off | cross | cross-off | cross | on | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:51AM2.38m | 2:24PM2.33m | 2:46AM2.35m | 3:30PM2.33m | 3:47AM2.32m | 4:38PM2.36m | 4:55AM2.33m | 5:44PM2.43m | 6:03AM2.36m | 6:45PM2.52m | 7:06AM2.42m | 7:43PM2.61m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:00AM0.66m | 8:27PM0.84m | 9:00AM0.67m | 9:34PM0.85m | 10:04AM0.65m | 10:43PM0.81m | 11:10AM0.60m | 11:48PM0.73m | 12:15PM0.51m | 00:50AM0.63m | 1:15PM0.41m | 1:48AM0.53m | |||||||
 |  | | |  | |  |  |  |  | | |  | |  | | | | | |
 | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 6 | 1 | — | — | — | 7 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 9 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 14 |
Feels °C | 7 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 18 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ENE 13 | NE 14 | NE 13 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 7 | NE 12 | E 10 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 |
| kJ | 15 | 15 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 8 | 7 | 587 | 270 | 201 | 131 | 6 | 2 | 383 | 226 | 196 | 142 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | NE 10 | ENE 15 | NE 16 | NE 13 | SE 6 | N 13 | E 13 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | SE 13 | E 12 | NE 11 | — | NW 11 | NW 11 |
| kJ | 5 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | — | 5 | 5 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 16 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | E 8 | E 13 | E 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | — | N 13 | — | — | W 13 | N 12 | NW 8 |
| kJ | 5 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | — | 4 | — | — | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | N 6 | N 7 | N 7 | — | SE 2 | — | — | NNE 7 | N 8 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | 2 | 16 | 121 | 303 | 569 | — | 1 | — | — | 208 | 653 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 60 | 60 | 92 | 60 | 60 | 211 | 277 | 518 | 376 | 0 | 0 | 44 | 0 | 29 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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