Tauranga Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. We've got a flat spell on the horizon for the whole 16-day window. The only spot with any real potential is Tauranga Bay, but it's a serious case of "right place, wrong time." The water temp is sitting at 60°F, which is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The outlook starts with a real whimper on Saturday, September 5th. We've got tiny 1ft NE swell with a 10-second period, and that's barely a ripple. The cross-off wind keeps it looking clean, but with combined energy at just 35, it's not worth paddling out for. Sunday is even smaller, dropping to 1.0ft, and the wind swings cross-on, making it choppy and messy.

Monday, September 7th, is where things get a bit interesting. The swell jumps to 7ft from the NNW, but it's short-period windswell at just 7 seconds. The combined energy hits 361 (moderate), but the wind is howling at 19 mph from the WNW, making it a cross-on mess. The rain and risk of thunderstorms don't help. That 7ft is pushing into the "too big for beginners" zone, but with that wind, it's not for anyone.

Tuesday, September 8th, the swell drops to 4ft from the NW, still short-period at 8 seconds. The wind goes cross-off in the morning, so the surface is clean, and combined energy is 201 (moderate). It's surfable, but the conditions are still very ordinary. Not a standout.

The rest of the week is a write-off. Wednesday through to the next weekend, we're looking at tiny swell, mostly under 2ft, with very weak combined energy (between 16 and 96). The wind is all over the place, but the swell just isn't there. There's a brief pulse on Monday, September 14th, with a 4ft NW swell, but the period is only 7 seconds, and the wind is cross-off again. It's clean, but not special.

The real kicker is that the longer-period swells (13-15 seconds) that show up from September 11th are all tiny, around 1.0-1ft. That's a groundswell with no energy behind it. The best look is probably Tuesday, September 8th, morning, with that 4ft cross-off swell. It's clean, but it's still a mediocre wave. For a beginner, that might be the pick of the bunch, but it's not a day to call in sick for.

Honestly, this is a blank run. The forecast is poor across the board, and the consistent pattern of small, weak, or wind-affected swell means I'd be looking at other plans. The forecasts can change, but as it stands, don't hold your breath.

Rusty.

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