
Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 9PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, N swell with 588 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 5 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 6AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Monday (Aug 10) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6AM (Sun 9th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer at Tauranga Bay.
First up, the outlook is a bit of a slow burner. We're looking at a few days of pretty ordinary conditions before things start to clean up. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so don't expect any surprises when you first paddle out.
The best bet for a proper surf session is going to be Monday, the 10th of August. We’ve got a solid NNE swell pushing in at 5ft, with a period of 8 seconds. The energy is moderate (352), and the wind is set to be offshore from the S in the morning, swinging to a clean cross-off from the ESE in the afternoon. Both sessions are looking good. Tuesday morning, the 11th, is also a standout. The swell holds at 6ft from the NNE, and the wind goes glassy from the SSW. That’s going to be clean, lined-up waves with minimal bump. The energy is a bit stronger (454), which means longer set waves. The consistency is good, and crowds are rare, so you should have plenty of room.
Before that, Sunday the 9th is a write-off. The wind is howling from the WNW, and the swell is a messy 7ft from the N. That’s a choppy, blown-out mess. Not worth your time.
After the Monday and Tuesday shine, the surf drops off. Wednesday the 12th has some surfable 4ft waves, but it’s ordinary. Thursday the 13th has a bump in the afternoon to 6ft, but the wind is onshore, spoiling it. By Friday the 14th, the swell cranks up to 8ft from the NW, but with onshore winds, it’s only for the experts who don’t mind a battle. The energy is strong (1080), but the quality is poor.
From the 15th onwards, it’s a long stretch of small, weak waves. The wind stays offshore or cross-off, but the swell is tiny, around 1ft to 2ft, with very low energy. It’s a flat spell that looks to last for days. The breaks are there, but there’s simply no push.
So, to wrap it up: the pick of the window is Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th of August. Get out there those days for clean, chest to head-high waves with a nice offshore feel. After that, it’s a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 12°C on Tue night, min 6°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 16°C on Sat night, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Sat night, light winds from the SSW by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 12 | SE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | N 4 | N 5 | N 6 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
21 | 57 | 88 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 29 | 291 | 553 | 410 | 310 | 310 | 338 | 454 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | cross | cross-on | off | off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:14AM2.43m | 12:35PM2.36m | 1:01AM2.41m | 1:26PM2.34m | 1:51AM2.38m | 2:24PM2.33m | 2:46AM2.35m | 3:30PM2.33m | 3:47AM2.32m | 4:38PM2.36m | 4:55AM2.33m | 5:44PM2.43m | |||||||
Low Tide | 6:17AM0.63m | 6:32PM0.74m | 7:05AM0.65m | 7:26PM0.80m | 8:00AM0.66m | 8:27PM0.84m | 9:00AM0.67m | 9:34PM0.85m | 10:04AM0.65m | 10:43PM0.81m | 11:10AM0.60m | 11:48PM0.73m | |||||||
— | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 7 | 8 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 12 | 9 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 8 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | NE 14 | NE 13 | NE 14 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 |
15 | 15 | 17 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 410 | 310 | 310 | 338 | 454 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 12 | NNE 12 | NE 12 | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 15 | NE 16 | ESE 6 | E 7 | SE 12 | NE 13 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 |
21 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 16 | NE 10 | N 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 16 | N 13 | NE 10 | N 12 | E 8 | — | E 13 | SE 12 | — | — | E 12 |
10 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — | 3 | 6 | — | — | 3 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 3 | SE 7 | ESE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 4 | N 5 | N 6 | N 8 | — | — | — | ESE 3 | — |
7 | 57 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 29 | 291 | 553 | — | — | — | 3 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 224 | 21 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 92 | 60 | 60 | 264 | 505 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away











