Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 5 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 11 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, N swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 9AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 9s period, NNW swell with 1,655 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 11 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 11) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 9AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Tue 11th Aug) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 9AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let’s get into it for Tauranga Bay.
Look, I’m not gonna lie to you, the first week is a bit of a write-off. We’ve got a long stretch of tiny, weak waves and poor conditions. From Thursday the 6th right through to Sunday morning the 9th, it’s all onshore mush and knee-high dribble. The swell energy is barely registering (22 to 30), so you’re better off taking the dog for a walk. Sunday the 9th actually sees a bump in size, with 5ft to 7ft, but the wind is howling onshore at 19 mph, making it a total mess. The combined energy jumps to 200-384, but that’s just angry, lumpy water. This setup is more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
We start to see a glimmer of hope on Monday the 10th. The morning has a solid 10ft swell from the NNW with a huge energy reading of 2725, but the wind is a moderate cross-onshore, making it choppy and marginal. Not ideal, but there’s power in the water. Tuesday the 11th morning is a tease – glassy calm conditions with a 3ft swell, but it’s pretty ordinary. The real action doesn’t fire up until the following weekend.
The standout period is the weekend of the 15th and 16th, and then early the next week. For the beginner-friendly crew, Saturday the 15th is your best bet. That morning, we’ve got clean 5ft sets with a light offshore wind from the SSW. The break is consistent and fairly exposed to the swell, and it’s a spot that’s rated for beginners. The combined energy is a solid 322, and the conditions are clean. It’s the pick of the whole run for the less experienced.
Now, for the experts, mark your calendars for Monday the 17th and Wednesday the 19th. Monday morning the 17th is firing. We’re looking at a powerful 10ft groundswell from the NNE, with a period of 11 seconds, and a clean offshore wind from the SSW. The combined energy is a massive 1984, and the forecast is for excellent surf for experienced surfers. The swell direction is a perfect match for the break’s optimum. This is a solid, powerful swell, so only the experienced should paddle out. Wednesday the 19th morning is another big one, with a 10ft swell from the east and a fresh offshore wind, keeping it clean. The energy is 1558. Both of these days are the true standouts, but remember, the long-range stuff is promising but less certain.
The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.
Stay safe out there, and I’ll catch you on the next one.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sat afternoon, min 8°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 22mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun night, min 14°C on Mon night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the N on Sun night, calm by Tue morning). | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ENE 15 | NE 16 | NE 13 | N 4 | N 6 | N 7 | N 8 | NNW 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 27 | 12 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 32 | 187 | 363 | 786 | 1655 | 656 | 294 | 110 | 196 | 196 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | on | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | on |
High Tide | 1:01AM2.41m | 1:26PM2.34m | 1:51AM2.38m | 2:24PM2.33m | 2:46AM2.35m | 3:30PM2.33m | 3:47AM2.32m | 4:38PM2.36m | 4:55AM2.33m | 5:44PM2.43m | 6:03AM2.36m | 6:45PM2.52m | |||||||
Low Tide | 7:05AM0.65m | 7:26PM0.80m | 8:00AM0.66m | 8:27PM0.84m | 9:00AM0.67m | 9:34PM0.85m | 10:04AM0.65m | 10:43PM0.81m | 11:10AM0.60m | 11:48PM0.73m | 12:15PM0.51m | 00:50AM0.63m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | |  |  |  |  |  |  | | |  | | | | |
 | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — |
 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 3 |
Temp °C | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Feels °C | 5 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 6 | E 6 | ENE 13 | NE 14 | ENE 13 | ENE 12 | N 9 | N 9 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 |
| kJ | 27 | 12 | 18 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 8 | 17 | 15 | 1064 | 656 | 294 | 110 | 196 | 196 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | E 8 | NE 16 | ENE 15 | NE 16 | NE 13 | SE 6 | SE 8 | E 8 | E 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 8 | N 13 | E 11 |
| kJ | 8 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 21 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 109 | 3 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | N 13 | SE 8 | N 12 | N 12 | N 13 | E 13 | SE 9 | — | SE 11 | — | NE 12 | — | NE 11 |
| kJ | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | 5 | — | 6 | — | 5 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | N 3 | N 4 | N 6 | N 7 | N 8 | NNW 9 | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 32 | 187 | 363 | 786 | 1655 | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 10 | 60 | 65 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 92 | 211 | 277 | 518 | 462 | 10 | 94 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 74 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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