Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 27 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 14s period, E swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 14s period, ESE swell with 189 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 27 Jul, 12AM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.5m), 14s period with E swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Jul 27) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 0.7m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 12PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 9AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Mon 27th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.5m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 12PM (Tue 28th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, checking in on the local surf scene.
Look, the next week and a half is a bit of a write-off for Tauranga Bay. Surf energy is weak, sitting around 20 to 190 in the combined swell energy, with waves mostly under 3 feet. The first real pulse of any size doesn’t show up until the weekend of August 2nd, but it’s short-period windswell from the NE, so it’s not going to offer much shape. The water temp is sitting at 61.7°, which is about normal for this time of year, so nothing weird there.
Now, the standout is Monday, August 3rd through Tuesday, August 4th. That’s where the magic is. We’ve got a solid NE groundswell pushing in, with wave heights hitting 10 to 12 feet and combined energy readings of 1511 to 2044 – that’s a serious amount of energy. The period is 8 to 9 seconds, so it’s a little shorter than ideal for a groundswell, but the power is real. The wind is glassy or near glassy, with light offshore breezes on Monday morning, turning glassy for the afternoon and Tuesday morning. This is only for experienced surfers though – 10 to 12 feet at a beach break with that period can be a handful, and the long period (over 15 seconds is not the case here, but 8-9 secs is still punchy) means it’s going to be dumpy and fast. Crowds are rare at Tauranga Bay, so you’ll have plenty of room. This is the best bet by far.
After that, Wednesday through Friday, August 5th-7th, the swell backs off into the 3.5 to 6.5 foot range, with strong offshore winds from the SSE and S, so it’ll be clean but the energy is fading (311 to 648). Thursday afternoon and Friday offer some decent, clean waves for the intermediate crew, but it’s not going to be the power of earlier in the week.
So, clear your calendar for August 3rd and 4th. That’s the one to chase.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Thu afternoon, fresh winds from the WNW by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Sun afternoon, min 9°C on Sun night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Thu 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | E 7 | E 7 | NNW 5 | NW 7 | E 11 | E 12 | E 11 | NW 7 | NW 7 | E 14 | E 13 | E 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 11 | 11 | 15 | 87 | 140 | 118 | 129 | 90 | 135 | 44 | 97 | 119 | 113 | 173 | 181 | 187 | 184 | 178 | 176 | 170 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 3:08PM2.23m | 3:16AM2.24m | 4:06PM2.19m | 4:08AM2.17m | 5:03PM2.18m | 5:03AM2.12m | 5:56PM2.19m | 5:58AM2.11m | 6:46PM2.22m | 6:48AM2.13m | 7:31PM2.26m | 7:35AM2.16m | 8:13PM2.31m | |||||||
Low Tide | 9:05PM0.96m | 9:34AM0.83m | 10:02PM1.02m | 10:27AM0.88m | 10:59PM1.04m | 11:22AM0.89m | 11:53PM1.02m | 12:16PM0.85m | 00:42AM0.97m | 1:05PM0.80m | 1:28AM0.90m | 1:48PM0.73m | 2:11AM0.82m | |||||||
 |  |  |  |  |  | | |  | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — |
 | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — |
mm | — | — | — | 4 | 3 | — | — | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 12 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 8 | E 10 | NW 8 | E 12 | E 11 | E 11 | NW 7 | E 14 | E 13 | E 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 |
| kJ | 7 | 9 | 15 | 20 | 76 | 67 | 129 | 90 | 62 | 44 | 97 | 119 | 113 | 173 | 181 | 187 | 184 | 178 | 176 | 170 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | NE 7 | E 8 | SE 11 | — | E 11 | NW 7 | NW 7 | E 16 | ESE 11 | NW 7 | NW 7 | SE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 5 | N 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 |
| kJ | 11 | 2 | 6 | 4 | — | 118 | 33 | 16 | 21 | 40 | 15 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | E 12 | — | — | — | NW 17 | — | ESE 15 | NW 11 | ESE 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | N 8 | N 10 | N 8 | — | — | NE 12 |
| kJ | 2 | 11 | 11 | 3 | — | — | — | 11 | — | 44 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 6 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | NW 3 | NNW 5 | NW 7 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | WSW 3 | NW 7 | W 3 | SSW 2 | SSW 3 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NW 2 | NW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | 4 | 87 | 140 | 13 | 11 | 3 | 135 | 8 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 65 | 518 | 112 | 518 | 10 | 155 | 567 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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