Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 10 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 17 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, ESE swell with 1,093 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 8s period with NNE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 6PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.3m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 12) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 6PM (Mon 10th Aug) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6PM (Mon 17th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Mon 17th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at the next stretch of surf for us.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a decent pulse of swell rolling in, but you’ve gotta pick your moments. The wind and swell are gonna be a bit of a battle for most of this run, especially for the half of the week.
Monday morning is where it’s at to start the period. We’ve got clean, chest to head high waves at Tauranga Bay with a solid 5ft of swell pushing in from the north. The wind is light and offshore, so expect some clean faces. The water temp is sitting at 61°, which is pretty average for this time of year, nothing too wild. The energy is solid, you can feel it. This is your window if you want a crack.
Later Monday and into Tuesday, the wind swings around and messes things up. The swell hangs in there around 5ft, but it gets cross-onshore, then cross-offshore, then all sorts of cross-chop. Not the best.
Wednesday looks like a write-off with strong cross-shore winds and rain. The swell tries to push through at 5ft, but the wind is messy. This is more of a kite-surfing session than a paddle session.
Thursday is flat and small, but we get a little breather. Friday morning (14th) is surfable but nothing special with 4ft from the NE and light cross-offshore breeze.
Then we hit a real flat spell. From Saturday 15th right through to Monday 24th, the waves drop to barely knee-high. There’s a tease on Monday afternoon 17th when a big 6ft pulse shows up from the ESE with strong energy, but the wind is still cross-off and the conditions are only marginal. It’s a sight for sore eyes, but not a sure thing.
The real standout from the long-range is the Tuesday 25th morning. We get a 6ft NE swell with some serious grunt. The wind is cross-shore but light enough to keep it from being total crap. It’s promising, but don’t hold me to it: a week and a half out, things can change. Still, that’s the one to circle on the calendar for a second week look.
So, bottom line: Monday morning (10th) is your best bet this week, and Tuesday 25th looks like the big one to watch if you’re patient. Expect a big lull in between.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed afternoon, min 11°C on Mon morning). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 10 | NE 7 | NE 7 | NE 10 | NE 8 | NE 10 | NE 10 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 333 | 264 | 191 | 300 | 311 | 288 | 367 | 261 | 250 | 133 | 117 | 161 | 131 | 103 | 137 | 69 | 59 | 46 | 34 | 43 | 110 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 5:44PM2.43m | 6:03AM2.36m | 6:45PM2.52m | 7:06AM2.42m | 7:43PM2.61m | 8:04AM2.48m | 8:36PM2.68m | 8:58AM2.53m | 9:25PM2.71m | 9:48AM2.57m | 10:11PM2.71m | 10:36AM2.57m | 10:54PM2.66m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 11:10AM0.60m | 11:48PM0.73m | 12:15PM0.51m | 00:50AM0.63m | 1:15PM0.41m | 1:48AM0.53m | 2:08PM0.33m | 2:41AM0.44m | 2:57PM0.30m | 3:31AM0.38m | 3:44PM0.33m | 4:17AM0.37m | 4:30PM0.40m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | | | |  |  |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | |
 | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — | 7:03 | — | — |
 | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 17 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 13 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NE 8 | N 12 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 10 | NE 7 | N 6 | NE 10 | NE 8 | NE 10 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 |
| kJ | 333 | 264 | 191 | 300 | 311 | 288 | 3 | 261 | 191 | 133 | 117 | 161 | 131 | 59 | 137 | 69 | 59 | 33 | 34 | 43 | 110 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | NE 12 | E 12 | N 12 | SE 11 | N 12 | E 6 | E 6 | E 5 | E 6 | E 15 | NE 10 | NNW 7 | SE 6 | SE 6 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 15 | 14 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 44 | 22 | 14 | 18 | 4 | 61 | 25 | 8 | 9 | 46 | 23 | 23 | 23 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | N 15 | — | SE 12 | N 13 | — | — | — | NW 11 | NW 10 | NE 10 | NW 8 | E 8 | E 15 | E 14 | E 7 | E 8 | E 13 | E 12 | ESE 11 | — |
| kJ | 5 | 4 | — | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 8 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 25 | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 8 | E 6 | NE 8 | — | — | — | — | NE 7 | SSE 2 | S 3 | SW 3 | SSW 3 | SSW 3 | SSW 3 | SW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | — | — | — | — | 367 | 44 | 250 | — | — | — | — | 103 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 29 | 29 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 33 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 3 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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