Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 20 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 21 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 12s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 24 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 8s period, NW swell with 464 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 21 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 12s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 3AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.5m and 7s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 2.1m 8s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 3s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 3AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 1ft (0.3m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Tue 21st Jul) | 1ft (0.3m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Fri 24th Jul) | 7ft (2.1m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright my friends, Rusty here. Let’s break down the next 16 days for Tauranga Bay.
Honestly, it’s a bit of a slow stretch. The first real chance of a decent surf doesn’t pop up until Monday the 28th of July. That means we’ve got about a week of very small stuff and average winds to get through first. From the 20th to the 27th, it’s mostly tiny swell and messy conditions. Sure, there’s a few windows with offshore wind, but the waves are just too small to get your board wet for.
The one session that’s worth circling on the calendar is the morning of Monday the 28th of July. We’ll see a clean 3ft swell from the ESE with a 13-second period – that’s some proper groundswell energy with a combined energy reading of 298. The wind is a light offshore from the W, so you’ll be looking at glassy, clean faces. This is the standout of the whole forecast.
The days after that drop off again. The 29th and 30th have similar height and period, but the wind shifts cross-shore, which will put a little texture on the surface. Water temp is around 62°F, which is about normal for this time of year.
As we push into the first week of August, the swell stays small and clean, but it’s just too small to get excited about. The 4th of August sees a 6ft windswell from the NW, but it’s coming straight onshore with a short, weak period. That’s more of a kite session than a paddle session.
So if you can, aim for the morning of Monday the 28th of July. It’s the only real window of quality in this outlook.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 15°C on Wed afternoon, min 10°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 20mm), heaviest during Fri afternoon. Very mild (max 15°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the W on Thu night, fresh winds from the WNW by Sat night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Mon 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | E 7 | ESE 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 11 | E 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NW 6 | NNW 7 | NW 7 | E 12 | WNW 6 | E 11 | E 11 | ESE 14 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 49 | 48 | 113 | 119 | 45 | 24 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 239 | 111 | 30 | 66 | 57 | 60 | 37 | 68 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:56AM2.52m | 1:23PM2.37m | 1:42AM2.42m | 2:13PM2.30m | 2:28AM2.32m | 3:08PM2.23m | 3:16AM2.24m | 4:06PM2.19m | 4:08AM2.17m | 5:03PM2.18m | 5:03AM2.12m | 5:56PM2.19m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:32PM0.60m | 7:04AM0.55m | 7:21PM0.74m | 7:52AM0.66m | 8:11PM0.86m | 8:42AM0.76m | 9:05PM0.96m | 9:34AM0.83m | 10:02PM1.02m | 10:27AM0.88m | 10:59PM1.04m | 11:22AM0.89m | 11:53PM1.02m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | | | |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:26 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — |
 | 5:34 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — |
mm | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 11 | 3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Feels °C | 13 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 | ESE 5 | E 7 | E 6 | E 6 | E 7 | E 6 | NNW 7 | NW 7 | E 12 | E 10 | NW 7 | NW 6 | ESE 14 |
| kJ | 49 | 48 | 27 | 79 | 45 | 23 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 111 | 30 | 66 | 54 | 45 | 14 | 68 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 8 | N 8 | N 6 | ESE 11 | N 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NE 6 | ENE 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 8 | ENE 8 | E 10 | E 9 | NW 7 | NW 19 | E 11 | E 11 | E 10 |
| kJ | 7 | 12 | 3 | 25 | 9 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 60 | 37 | 17 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 10 | NNE 8 | NE 8 | N 8 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | E 10 | NE 8 | NE 9 | E 18 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | NW 7 |
| kJ | 2 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 23 | 7 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 7 | ESE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 4 | NW 6 | W 3 | WSW 3 | WSW 3 | WNW 6 | WSW 3 | SW 3 | SW 3 |
| kJ | — | — | 113 | 119 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 10 | 239 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 57 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 33 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 65 | 65 | 60 | 546 | 92 | 518 | 518 | 112 | 445 | 10 | 74 | 69 | 10 | 15 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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