
Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 14s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Wednesday 29 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period, ESE swell with 246 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 14s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 9PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 6s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 0.9m 13s and forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 25) at 12PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 9PM (Sun 26th Jul) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
G'day, Rusty here, your local surf reporter. Let's have a look at what's on the table for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
Straight up, it's a pretty flat, slow start. We're looking at a solid gap with no real surf to speak of from now until the end of the first week of August. The conditions are just ordinary for the first week or so, with a mix of lumpy cross-onshore winds and small, weak swell. The energy is anaemic, often under 200 in the combined energy readings. The wind is a major issue, with stiff northwesterlies making a mess of things. You'd be better off staying on the beach for a while.
The first real glimmer of hope, and I mean the only standout in this whole 16-day window, comes around the 6th of August. That's a Thursday morning. We get a late-in-the-game pulse of energy. The swell jumps up to a solid 6ft from the ESE! That's a proper groundswell, with a 12-second period, and it's packing a punch with a combined energy of 934. The wind finally swings around to a clean, fresh offshore from the south. This is the one to circle on the calendar. It's a fresh offshore breeze, so the sets will be clean and lined up. The water temp is sitting at 62°, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there. The break is fairly exposed to the swell, so it'll catch that energy. Keep in mind, Tauranga Bay is a consistent spot, so when it's on, it's on. The only downside is that it might be a bit much for the groms at 6ft, but for the rest of us, it's looking like the best session on offer.
Beyond that, the 6th is the clear peak. The following days fade back into small, weak surf with the wind turning a bit scrappy again. The 7th and 8th of August look like a washout, so don't get your hopes up for a repeat.
So, in a nutshell, the only time to get wet is the morning of the 6th of August. That's your window. Everything else is a write-off until then.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Sat night. Very mild (max 15°C on Fri morning, min 9°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the WSW on Fri night, light winds from the SSW by Sun night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Very mild (max 14°C on Tue morning, min 10°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | NNW 5 | NW 7 | NW 8 | E 12 | E 11 | NW 6 | ESE 15 | E 14 | E 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
21 | 94 | 158 | 118 | 129 | 90 | 86 | 44 | 101 | 115 | 160 | 173 | 173 | 184 | 229 | 246 | 229 | 173 | 152 | 152 | 152 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | off | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 4:06PM2.19m | 4:08AM2.17m | 5:03PM2.18m | 5:03AM2.12m | 5:56PM2.19m | 5:58AM2.11m | 6:46PM2.22m | 6:48AM2.13m | 7:31PM2.26m | 7:35AM2.16m | 8:13PM2.31m | 8:18AM2.20m | 8:53PM2.35m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:34AM0.83m | 10:02PM1.02m | 10:27AM0.88m | 10:59PM1.04m | 11:22AM0.89m | 11:53PM1.02m | 12:16PM0.85m | 00:42AM0.97m | 1:05PM0.80m | 1:28AM0.90m | 1:48PM0.73m | 2:11AM0.82m | 2:27PM0.67m | 2:52AM0.75m | |||||||
7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:24 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:22 | — | — | 7:20 | — | — | |
— | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | |
mm | — | 4 | 1 | — | — | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 11 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Feels °C | 9 | 9 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 8 | E 8 | E 10 | NW 8 | NW 7 | E 11 | E 11 | NW 6 | E 14 | E 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 13 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 | ESE 12 |
21 | 20 | 104 | 110 | 54 | 90 | 62 | 27 | 101 | 115 | 160 | 173 | 173 | 184 | 229 | 246 | 229 | 173 | 152 | 152 | 152 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | — | E 11 | E 12 | NW 7 | E 16 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | NW 7 | NNW 6 | NW 6 | ESE 6 | N 10 | N 10 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 12 | NE 12 | NE 12 |
4 | 4 | — | 118 | 129 | 17 | 21 | 40 | 38 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 5 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 7 | E 12 | — | — | WNW 12 | WNW 17 | NW 12 | ESE 15 | NW 7 | SE 5 | SE 4 | — | N 11 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 19 |
2 | 3 | — | — | 13 | 28 | 5 | 44 | 11 | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 14 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | NNW 5 | NW 7 | W 4 | WSW 4 | SW 3 | NW 6 | WSW 3 | SSE 4 | — | — | SE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
6 | 94 | 158 | 19 | 19 | 2 | 86 | 6 | 2 | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 494 | 518 | 74 | 302 | 548 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 9 | 3 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away










