Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 7 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 10s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 9PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 10s period, ESE swell with 331 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 9AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 9AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 7s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 1.3m 10s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 9PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 4s period and expected on Friday (Jul 10) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 9AM (Thu 9th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 12PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 9PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here with the lowdown on Tauranga Bay.
We’ve got a slow start. From Wednesday through the weekend, the surf is just hanging in there. Small waves from the ESE, around 2ft to 3ft, but the energy is low to moderate. A few windows of offshore wind, but the waves are just “surfable but very ordinary.” Not exactly a call to action.
Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th are rough. A messy northerly wind messes things up, and while Tuesday shows a bump to about 5ft, it’s short-period garbage from the N. A beach break like this won’t hold that chop.
Then, the real highlight. Thursday the 16th of July morning. We’re looking at clean 2ft waves from the ESE, but the period hits 17 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, with good energy (339). The wind is light offshore from the SE, making for glassy conditions. It’s a consistent, beginner-friendly spot, and with crowds rare, you could have it quiet. Water temp is around 62°, which is normal for this time of year.
After that, it’s a wipeout. Strong cross-shore winds from the ENE kick in from Friday the 17th, blowing hard and bringing messy, lumpy conditions. The swell builds to 6ft to 10ft by the 19th and 20th, with energy readings over 1200, but the wind ruins everything. This stretch looks better for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
In short, the whole 16-day window is thin, but Thursday the 16th of July morning is your best bet. Small, clean, and that long-period pulse will be a treat.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Wed night. Very mild (max 16°C on Wed morning, min 9°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (calm on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the NNW by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | N 5 | N 5 | N 6 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 121 | 194 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 166 | 214 | 248 | 269 | 173 | 205 | 170 | 131 | 98 | 74 | 57 | 50 | 78 | 178 | 263 | 154 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross | cross-off | cross | glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 1:47PM2.22m | 2:16AM2.34m | 2:46PM2.25m | 3:10AM2.35m | 3:52PM2.29m | 4:08AM2.36m | 4:57PM2.37m | 5:11AM2.38m | 6:00PM2.46m | 6:15AM2.42m | 7:01PM2.56m | 7:18AM2.47m | 8:00PM2.64m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 7:46PM0.82m | 8:26AM0.69m | 8:47PM0.85m | 9:23AM0.66m | 9:53PM0.85m | 10:24AM0.61m | 11:00PM0.80m | 11:26AM0.54m | 00:02AM0.72m | 12:28PM0.46m | 1:03AM0.62m | 1:28PM0.37m | 2:02AM0.53m | ||||||||
 | |  | |  |  | | | | | |  |  | | | |  | | | | | |
 | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — |
 | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | — | — | 1 | 4 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 14 |
Feels °C | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 12 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 |
| kJ | 121 | 194 | 141 | 141 | 141 | 166 | 214 | 248 | 269 | 173 | 205 | 170 | 131 | 98 | 74 | 57 | 37 | 38 | 17 | 263 | 154 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 7 | NNW 7 | N 9 | NW 7 | NW 7 | NW 13 | N 13 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | N 11 | N 11 | NE 12 | E 5 | NE 11 | ESE 11 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 |
| kJ | 28 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | 17 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 6 | NE 8 | — | WNW 4 | NW 17 | — | — | — | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | — | — | N 10 | NE 12 | NE 9 | NE 12 | NE 9 | NE 11 | ESE 11 | NW 7 |
| kJ | 11 | 3 | — | 2 | 11 | — | — | — | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 2 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 4 | SSW 3 | SW 3 | SSW 3 | SSE 3 | SSE 4 | S 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 4 | N 5 | N 5 | N 6 | — | — |
| kJ | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 21 | 50 | 78 | 178 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 466 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 0 | 49 | 0 | 21 | 60 | 211 | 94 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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