Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 8 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 3AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 10s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 6PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 10s period, ESE swell with 402 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 9 Jul, 12PM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 10s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 09) at 12PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 10s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 1.4m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 4s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 09) at 9PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12PM (Thu 9th Jul) | 2.5ft (0.8m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 3AM (Fri 10th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about Tauranga Bay.
Right now, and for the next few days, it’s a bit of a flat spell. We’ve got some small, weak energy in the water (moderate energy around 142) but the conditions are just ordinary. The first real chance to get wet comes Thursday morning, but it’s only 3ft from the ESE with a light cross-offshore wind. It’s surfable, but nothing to write home about. Friday and Saturday look similar with a bit more size, peaking around 4ft on Friday morning, but the wind is a fresh offshore from the south, which will keep things clean. The water temperature is 62°F, which is about normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The standout window is the following week, starting on Friday, 17 July. That morning we’ve got a glassy dawn with 3ft of ESE swell, but the period jumps to 14 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 313 (moderate). This is a long-period groundswell, so expect better shaped waves with more push, but it might be a bit straight for a beach break. The real highlight is Saturday, 18 July. Saturday morning is the pick of the whole forecast: 10ft of NNE swell, clean with a light cross-offshore wind, and the energy is strong (1994). This is for experienced surfers only – 10ft is too big for beginners. The period is 9 seconds, so it’s a bit shorter period, but with that much size and clean conditions, the sets will be solid. The afternoon stays big (12ft) but gets a bit of cross-chop.
After that, it gets messy. Sunday, 19 July, is a write-off with near gale-force winds blowing 31-37 mph and 13ft of messy, churned-up surf. The energy is very strong (over 3000), but it’s not for paddling. That setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Monday and Tuesday are still big (7-7ft) but with cross-onshore winds and poor conditions. Wednesday, 22 July, shapes up nicely with 4ft of NE swell, a clean offshore wind in the morning, and glassy conditions in the afternoon. That’s a solid day for the intermediate crew.
The only true standout here is the morning of Saturday, 18 July. Big swell, clean, and plenty of energy. If you’re experienced, that’s your window. It’s a week and a half out, so keep an eye on it, but it’s looking promising.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Very mild (max 13°C on Thu morning, min 10°C on Fri night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the S on Fri morning, calm by Sat morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 13mm), heaviest on Mon night. Very mild (max 16°C on Tue afternoon, min 12°C on Sun morning). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | N 4 | NNE 5 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NNE 5 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 141 | 141 | 237 | 218 | 179 | 223 | 209 | 209 | 163 | 131 | 94 | 48 | 28 | 20 | 28 | 22 | 22 | 11 | 20 | 22 | 22 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 2:46PM2.25m | 3:10AM2.35m | 3:52PM2.29m | 4:08AM2.36m | 4:57PM2.37m | 5:11AM2.38m | 6:00PM2.46m | 6:15AM2.42m | 7:01PM2.56m | 7:18AM2.47m | 8:00PM2.64m | 8:18AM2.51m | 8:55PM2.71m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:47PM0.85m | 9:23AM0.66m | 9:53PM0.85m | 10:24AM0.61m | 11:00PM0.80m | 11:26AM0.54m | 00:02AM0.72m | 12:28PM0.46m | 1:03AM0.62m | 1:28PM0.37m | 2:02AM0.53m | 2:24PM0.30m | 2:59AM0.45m | ||||||||
 | |  |  | |  |  | | | | |  | | | | | | | | | | |
 | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:31 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — | 7:30 | — | — |
 | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — |
mm | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | 10 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 13 | 13 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 14 |
Feels °C | 10 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | ESE 5 | E 5 | ESE 9 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | NNE 5 | ESE 11 |
| kJ | 141 | 141 | 237 | 218 | 179 | 223 | 209 | 209 | 163 | 131 | 94 | 48 | 10 | 8 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 11 | 5 | 5 | 22 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 4 | WNW 7 | NW 13 | N 13 | N 13 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | N 11 | N 11 | N 11 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | NE 11 | NW 6 | ESE 10 | NW 5 | ESE 10 | ESE 11 | NNE 4 |
| kJ | 2 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 19 | 22 | 5 | 20 | 22 | 2 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 6 | W 17 | — | — | — | N 13 | — | — | W 18 | — | N 10 | NE 12 | NE 12 | ESE 11 | N 11 | ESE 11 | NW 6 | ESE 8 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 1 | 6 | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 6 | — | 2 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 2 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 4 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WSW 3 | SSE 2 | S 4 | S 4 | S 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NE 4 | NE 5 | NNE 5 | N 4 | NNE 5 | — | NW 6 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 1 | 14 | 19 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 35 | 22 | 20 | 28 | — | 20 | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 0 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 92 | 10 | 3 | 546 | 10 | 0 | 10 | 60 | 60 | 92 | 52 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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