Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 2 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 5 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 6s period, NW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 7 Sep, 3AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 8s period, NW swell with 1,114 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 5 Sep, 12AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.7m), 6s period with NW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 05) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.7m and 6s period with a secondary swell of 0.4m and 10s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 3.0m 8s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 07) at 3AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.4m 9s period and expected on Tuesday (Sep 08) at 12AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 6s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Sat 5th Sep) | 2.5ft (0.7m) 6s |
| Most Powerful | 3AM (Mon 7th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the table for the next couple of weeks.
Honestly, it's a bit of a flat spell we're looking at right now. The energy is just not there. The first real chance of anything even resembling a surf comes on Thursday, the 10th of September, and even then it's a whisper. The Tauranga Bay break is the only game in town, and it's in a quiet mood.
The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The standout, if you can call it that, is the morning of Thursday the 10th. We're looking at a tiny 1.0 ft swell from the NE. The period is a long 14 seconds, which is a groundswell. That long period means the sets will be spaced out, but the shape can be good. The wind is cross-offshore from the SW at 9 mph, which will keep the surface clean. The combined wave energy is a weak 65 (65). It's described as "surfable waves but very ordinary conditions," which is really stretching it. It's a session for a longboard and a lot of patience.
The following days, Friday the 11th through Sunday the 13th, offer more of the same story. Tiny 1 ft to 2 ft swells from the NE, with clean conditions but still very weak energy. The afternoon of Friday the 11th has a combined energy of 141 (141), which is in the moderate range, but it's still a very small swell. It's that classic "almost" scenario.
Then, from Monday the 14th onwards, we're back to barely a ripple. The winds pick up, turning sideshore and onshore, and the swell drops back to 0.3m or 0.4m. It's a long stretch of nothing, really.
So, for the whole 16 days, the only time the water is even worth a paddle is the morning of Thursday the 10th. It's not a standout by any measure, but it's the only show in town. The clean conditions are a big plus, but you'll be hunting for ankle-biters.
Keep your eyes on the charts, things can change. But for now, it's a waiting game.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Fri night. Very mild (max 16°C on Thu afternoon, min 11°C on Fri night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 15mm), heaviest on Sun night. Very mild (max 17°C on Sun afternoon, min 11°C on Tue night). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the NW on Sun night, light winds from the W by Tue night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 3 | Friday 4 | Saturday 5 | Sunday 6 | Monday 7 | Tuesday 8 | Wednesday 9 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NW 6 | NW 6 | NE 10 | NE 11 | ENE 10 | ENE 10 | NNW 5 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | N 7 | N 7 | ESE 8 | E 7 | NE 8 | NE 15 | NE 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 25 | 27 | 27 | 34 | 86 | 34 | 24 | 29 | 19 | 18 | 98 | 637 | 315 | 201 | 69 | 24 | 58 | 22 | 30 | 37 | 40 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | off | glassy | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross |
High Tide | 12:18PM2.47m | 00:40AM2.44m | 1:10PM2.42m | 1:33AM2.38m | 2:09PM2.36m | 2:31AM2.31m | 3:17PM2.33m | 3:36AM2.27m | 4:25PM2.34m | 4:46AM2.27m | 5:30PM2.40m | 5:54AM2.31m | 6:29PM2.48m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:18PM0.71m | 6:45AM0.60m | 7:13PM0.76m | 7:42AM0.65m | 8:15PM0.81m | 8:44AM0.67m | 9:22PM0.82m | 9:51AM0.67m | 10:31PM0.78m | 10:58AM0.62m | 11:36PM0.70m | 12:02PM0.54m | 00:35AM0.60m | ||||||||
 |  |  | |  |  | | | | |  | | | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:41 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:39 | — | — | 6:37 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:35 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — |
 | — | 6:06 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:08 | — | — | 6:09 | — | — | 6:10 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 11 | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
Feels °C | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 8 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NW 6 | NNW 5 | NE 11 | NW 5 | ENE 10 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | ENE 9 | NNW 8 | N 7 | N 7 | ESE 8 | E 7 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NE 9 |
| kJ | 25 | 27 | 27 | 25 | 25 | 34 | 10 | 29 | 7 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 201 | 69 | 24 | 58 | 22 | 30 | 30 | 39 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 11 | N 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | N 10 | ENE 10 | NW 19 | NW 18 | — | W 17 | ENE 9 | NW 9 | NW 8 | NNE 6 | NE 10 | ESE 6 | ESE 5 | NE 16 |
| kJ | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 | 24 | 2 | 19 | 14 | 13 | — | 6 | 8 | 19 | 16 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 6 | 40 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | E 13 | — | — | — | NE 14 | N 10 | N 10 | SE 4 | NW 17 | N 9 | N 10 | — | — | — | NE 9 | ENE 10 | NW 7 | N 6 | NE 15 | NE 15 | E 5 |
| kJ | 3 | — | — | — | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 11 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 3 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 37 | 2 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 4 | NW 5 | NW 6 | — | — | NNW 5 | — | NNW 3 | NNW 5 | NNW 7 | NNW 8 | WSW 3 | — | — | — | SSW 2 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 4 | 9 | 4 | 34 | 86 | — | — | 10 | — | 2 | 98 | 637 | 315 | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 464 | 493 | 518 | 155 | 518 | 549 | 0 | 65 | 65 | 73 | 216 | 196 | 553 | 43 | 3 | 0 | 65 | 518 | 65 | 65 | 3 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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