Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, N swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 9 Aug, 6PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 8s period, NNW swell with 669 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Monday 10 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period with N swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 12AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.2m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 2.3m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.5m 3s period and expected on Friday (Aug 14) at 6PM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 12AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 12AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s get real about Tauranga Bay. This is gonna be a tough stretch for anyone looking to get wet. The forecast is a long, drawn-out period of real disappointment, with a few fleeting moments that might be worth a paddle.
We start off with nothing. The first couple of days are a write-off – Saturday and Sunday, August 8th and 9th, look miserable with onshore winds and messy, lumpy conditions. The wave energy is weak, barely registering (21-33) and the wind is all wrong. You’d be better off staying home.
The first real chance to even think about a wave comes up on Monday morning, August 10th. The swell is small, around 4ft, and it’s coming from the north. The wind swings offshore out of the south, making things clean. The problem is it’s short period, only 8 seconds, so the waves are weak and lack push. The combined energy is moderate (216), but the surf report calls it “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” It’s not a standout, but it’s the only real window in the first week. For a beginner, this is the only option that’s not dangerous, but it’s far from good.
The rest of the week is a bust. The wind is a mess, mostly onshore or cross-onshore, and the swell stays inconsistent and weak. The water temperature anomaly is not given, so we can’t say much about that, but it’s not a factor here.
The next glimmer of hope comes a full week later, on Saturday morning, August 15th. The wind is finally offshore, coming from the southwest, and the swell is a modest 4ft from the northeast with a 9-second period. The combined energy is moderate (237), and the morning session looks clean. It’s not pumping, but it’s the cleanest wave on offer in the entire forecast. This is your best bet, but it’s still only “surfable waves but very ordinary conditions.” For a beginner, this is safe. For anyone else, it’s a grovel.
After that, it drops off again. The final days of the 16-day window see the swell disappear completely, dropping below 2ft with next to no energy. The wind is offshore, but there’s nothing to ride.
So, the honest truth? There’s no standout here. The best on offer is Saturday morning, August 15th, with small, clean waves from the northeast. Don’t expect anything special. The rest of the 16 days are a long gap of poor to non-existent surf.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 18mm), heaviest on Sun morning. Very mild (max 15°C on Sat afternoon, min 12°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the N on Sun morning, calm by Mon morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 24mm), heaviest during Thu afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Tue night, min 12°C on Thu night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | N 4 | N 6 | N 7 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | N 6 | N 6 | NE 10 | NW 7 | NW 11 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 10 | 9 | 139 | 321 | 566 | 350 | 201 | 163 | 142 | 107 | 173 | 224 | 150 | 125 | 99 | 128 | 148 | 115 | 104 | 255 | 125 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-off | glassy | on | cross-off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:30PM2.33m | 3:47AM2.32m | 4:38PM2.36m | 4:55AM2.33m | 5:44PM2.43m | 6:03AM2.36m | 6:45PM2.52m | 7:06AM2.42m | 7:43PM2.61m | 8:04AM2.48m | 8:36PM2.68m | 8:58AM2.53m | 9:25PM2.71m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:34PM0.85m | 10:04AM0.65m | 10:43PM0.81m | 11:10AM0.60m | 11:48PM0.73m | 12:15PM0.51m | 00:50AM0.63m | 1:15PM0.41m | 1:48AM0.53m | 2:08PM0.33m | 2:41AM0.44m | 2:57PM0.30m | |||||||||
 | |  |  |  |  |  | | | | |  |  | |  | |  |  |  | | | |
 | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:05 | — | — |
 | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:51 | — | — | 5:52 | — |
mm | — | — | 3 | 11 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 7 | — | — | — | 3 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 14 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 |
Feels °C | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 11 | 9 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | NE 13 | NE 14 | NE 13 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 8 | NNE 7 | NNE 7 | ESE 5 | NE 10 | ESE 6 | NE 10 | NW 7 | NW 11 |
| kJ | 7 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 350 | 201 | 163 | 142 | 107 | 173 | 224 | 150 | 125 | 99 | 5 | 46 | 4 | 92 | 114 | 125 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 16 | NE 13 | SE 7 | E 8 | N 10 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | ENE 12 | N 9 | NE 11 | E 11 | N 12 | E 5 | E 5 | E 13 | E 5 | E 13 | ESE 6 | NE 8 | NE 10 |
| kJ | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 101 | 59 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 12 | N 12 | N 12 | SE 12 | E 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 12 | ENE 12 | E 12 | N 13 | N 12 | N 12 | E 13 | W 10 | E 13 | E 8 | E 15 | N 7 | N 7 |
| kJ | 3 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 14 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 8 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | N 3 | N 4 | N 6 | N 7 | N 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNE 7 | N 6 | N 6 | NNW 6 | NW 7 | W 3 |
| kJ | 1 | 9 | 139 | 321 | 566 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 128 | 148 | 115 | 104 | 255 | 5 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 60 | 211 | 331 | 112 | 76 | 0 | 0 | 43 | 0 | 60 | 93 | 64 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 331 | 81 | 81 | 9 | 15 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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