Surf Forecasts:
Tauranga Bay surf forecast from 4 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Monday 10 Aug, 6AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 10s period, N swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 10 Aug, 12AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 10s period, N swell with 2,580 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 5 Aug, 3PM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 8s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Tauranga Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 3PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 9s. Another secondary swell of 0.1m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Tauranga Bay in the next 16 days are 3.5m 10s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 10) at 12AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 4s period and expected on Wednesday (Aug 05) at 6AM.
| Wave Type | Time (NZST) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 3PM (Wed 5th Aug) | 3ft (0.9m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 6AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 10s |
| Most Powerful | 12AM (Mon 10th Aug) | 11ft (3.5m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Tauranga Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what Tauranga Bay has got cookin' for us over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – it's a slow start. The next few days are pretty flat and messy, nothing worth paddling out for. We're looking at a dry spell from now until about the 9th of August. The water temp is sittin' around 61°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The real story starts to build on Monday the 10th. That morning, the south-southwest wind goes offshore, and we get a solid 8ft pulse of northerly swell with a moderate energy (1026). That’s the standout window right there. The offshore wind will have it looking clean, and the swell direction is bang on from the north-east which is what this place likes to see. But listen, at 8ft, this is expert territory – it's gonna be a proper handful, so if you're a beginner, maybe give this one a miss.
Tuesday the 11th is still decent with the swell easing a bit to 5ft in the morning and 5ft in the afternoon. The afternoon session is looking glassy with that north-west wind dying off, making for some real nice, clean waves. The swell direction holds from the north-north-east, and the energy is still moderate (376 and 319). This is a good solid session for the confident surfer.
The rest of the week into the second week sees the swell holding around the 3ft to 5ft mark with clean conditions at times, especially on the mornings with the south winds blowing offshore. It's not epic, but there'll be some fun little waves to be had. The swell direction shifts around a bit more from the east and south-east, which isn't as ideal as the north-east direction, and the period drops a bit, so don't expect the same power as that Monday pulse. It's more cruisy, small-wave territory.
So, if I'm picking the one to circle on the calendar, it's the morning of the 10th of August. That's the biggest, cleanest, most powerful swell of the whole run. Just make sure you've got the skills to handle it.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Very mild (max 15°C on Tue afternoon, min 6°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 27mm), heaviest during Sun night. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun morning, min 12°C on Fri afternoon). Mainly strong winds. | |||||||||||||||||||
Tue 4 | Wednesday 5 | Thursday 6 | Friday 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 12 | NE 12 | SE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | NE 15 | N 4 | N 4 | N 6 | N 7 | N 8 | N 10 | N 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 22 | 21 | 27 | 88 | 41 | 10 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 24 | 164 | 449 | 893 | 2580 | 1026 | 690 | 516 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | off | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 00:14AM2.43m | 12:35PM2.36m | 1:01AM2.41m | 1:26PM2.34m | 1:51AM2.38m | 2:24PM2.33m | 2:46AM2.35m | 3:30PM2.33m | 3:47AM2.32m | 4:38PM2.36m | 4:55AM2.33m | 5:44PM2.43m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 5:44PM0.68m | 6:17AM0.63m | 6:32PM0.74m | 7:05AM0.65m | 7:26PM0.80m | 8:00AM0.66m | 8:27PM0.84m | 9:00AM0.67m | 9:34PM0.85m | 10:04AM0.65m | 10:43PM0.81m | 11:10AM0.60m | 11:48PM0.73m | |||||||
 |  | | | | | | | |  |  | | |  |  |  |  | | | | |
 | — | — | 7:16 | — | — | 7:15 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — | 7:11 | — | — |
 | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:45 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:49 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 15 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 13 |
Feels °C | 11 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 16 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ENE 8 | ENE 9 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | E 6 | ESE 6 | ENE 13 | ENE 14 | ENE 13 | — | N 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 |
| kJ | 22 | 15 | 6 | 16 | 41 | 10 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 17 | — | 1026 | 690 | 516 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 12 | NE 12 | NNE 12 | NE 12 | ENE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 9 | NE 10 | NE 15 | NE 16 | NE 13 | SE 6 | N 13 | SE 9 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 22 | 21 | 14 | 6 | 16 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 18 | NE 16 | ENE 9 | N 12 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 16 | N 13 | NE 9 | N 12 | N 12 | E 8 | E 12 | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 12 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3 | — | — | — | — |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 2 | S 3 | SE 7 | ESE 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NNW 3 | N 4 | N 4 | N 6 | N 7 | N 8 | N 10 | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1 | 5 | 27 | 88 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 6 | 24 | 164 | 449 | 893 | 2580 | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 15 | 65 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 60 | 92 | 60 | 60 | 216 | 211 | 518 | 331 | 60 | 0 | 17 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Northland | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Zealand | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Tauranga Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Tauranga Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Tauranga Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Tauranga Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Tauranga Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Tauranga Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Northland? If you are looking for accommodation near Tauranga Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Northland, consider staying in Houhora which is 71 km (44 miles) away. Alternatively, find information about places to stay and car hire in Whangarei which is 93 km (58 miles) away
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