Soup Bowl Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Soup Bowl.

Right off the bat, I’ve got to be straight with you – the next week-plus is looking pretty grim. We’ve got a solid run of cross-onshore wind that’s just going to trash the surface. Starting Tuesday the 18th, through to the end of the following week, it’s a slog. The swell is there, but the wind is just all wrong, kicking up a chop and making things lumpy and unpleasant. We’re looking at a lot of days where the combined swell energy is weak to moderate, like on Wednesday the 19th morning with only 179 (moderate energy) of push, but it’s all for nothing with that onshore breeze. Even when the size bumps up, like Thursday the 20th morning with 7ft from the east and a moderate energy reading of 531, it’s still a “fresh cross-onshore and lumpy” mess. That kind of setup, with size and poor quality at a reef, is really more for the kites than a clean paddle session. There’s nothing here for beginners for a long while, and once we get past 8ft, it’s expert-only territory anyway.

If you have the patience of a saint, there is a little window that shows some promise, but we’re talking over a week out. Tuesday the 25th afternoon is the standout. The wind swings around to a light cross-offshore from the SSW at only 3 mph, which will clean things right up. The swell drops a bit to 7ft from the east, with a period of 9 seconds and strong wave energy (667). That’s a proper groundswell pulse, and with those clean conditions, Soup Bowl could be firing. It’s an advanced and very consistent reef break, and with it being exposed to that NE optimum direction, this east swell should wrap in nicely. Keep in mind, crowds are sometimes an issue here, so get out there if you can.

After that fleeting moment of glory, it’s back to the wind-a-thon. Wednesday the 26th morning is already choppy again, and that pattern holds through the end of the forecast. Right into September, the morning of Tuesday the 2nd is still showing fresh cross-onshore wind at 19 mph with lumpy 5ft surf. It’s a long, frustrating stretch with only that one clean afternoon to save it.

Stay tuned, the long-range stuff can shift.

Rusty.

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