Soup Bowl Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here, givin' it to you straight. We’re lookin’ at Soup Bowl for the next sixteen days, and I won’t sugarcoat it — it’s a tough run. The swell is there, but the wind is just wrecking it. Almost every session is cross-onshore, gusty, and choppy, which turns a world-class reef into a bumpy, blown-out mess.

Let’s start Wednesday afternoon, July 15th. We’ve got 5ft of short-period, 7-second ENE windswell, but with a 15 mph cross-on from the east, it’s choppy and poor. Water temp is a warm 82°, which is pretty average for now. The combined energy is weak at 214, so nothin’ exciting.

Thursday and Friday, same story. More swell, same cross-on wind. By Friday morning, July 17th, the swell pushes to 6ft from the east, period still a short 7 seconds, and the wind cranks to 19 mph. Energy climbs to 330, but it’s lumpy and blown out. Not worth paddling out.

The weekend of July 18th and 19th brings some size: 8ft to 8ft on Saturday morning with an 8-second period and energy hitting 610. That’s decent energy, but the 19 mph east-northeast cross-on kills it. This setup looks more fun for a kite than a paddle — it’s just too rough.

The whole first week stays in this rut. Swell runs between 5ft and 8ft, period never gets above 8 seconds, and the wind is relentless from the east. Energy numbers hit 400 to 600 some days, but without clean wind, you’re just fighting chop.

Now into the second week, there’s a tiny glimmer around July 29th. Wednesday morning shows the wind shifting to an onshore direction from the east-northeast at 15 mph, with 6ft swell from the east, 8-second period. Energy is a solid 411. But “on” wind at Soup Bowl is still onshore, not offshore. The wave state is listed as “unknown,” so it’s a real question mark.

Bottom line: the entire 16-day window is a blank run for quality surf. No standout. No glassy morning. No offshore wind. For a spot as consistent as Soup Bowl, that’s a bummer. The reef is exposed and can handle plenty of size, but it needs the wind to cooperate. Right now, it just ain’t happenin’.

Keep an eye on the charts — forecasts can change — but for now, I’d find somethin’ else to do.

Rusty.

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