Soup Bowl Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer.

Honestly, looking at the next 16 days for this area, it’s a rough stretch. There’s surf coming through, but the wind just won’t play ball. We’ve got a solid, persistent ENE flow that’s gonna be a real pain, keeping things cross-on and messy for the entire window. There’s no standout day here, not a single session I’d get excited about. The water temp is sitting at 82°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so at least you won’t need a thick suit.

The only break on the radar is Soup Bowl, a powerful advanced reef break that’s very consistent and exposed to the swell. It’s an expert spot at the best of times, but with this wind, it’s going to be a battle. The swell sticks around, mostly from the ENE, between 4 ft and 8 ft, with wave energy ranging from moderate to strong (values of 209 to 636). The period is short too, mostly 7 to 8 seconds, which means weaker, less organised waves. This isn’t the kind of setup you want.

From Sunday 12 July right through to Monday 27 July, it’s the same story: fresh cross-onshore wind and lumpy conditions. It’s all “poor surf conditions” with zeros across the board. There’s no let-up. For a break that’s so consistently exposed, it’s frustrating to see it wasted by this easterly wind. The swell does kick up a bit around 19–20 July, with heights around 7 ft to 8 ft and wave energy climbing over 600, but the wind is just as strong and onshore. That’s expert-only territory in these conditions, and honestly, it looks more like a raw day for the windsurfers or kite crew than for us.

So, to be straight with you: there are no good surf options in this 16-day window. It’s a complete blank for quality waves. The swell is there, sometimes even decent in size, but the wind destroys any chance of clean faces. Given that Soup Bowl is so consistent, it tends not to stay poor forever, and forecasts can shift, but for now, this stretch is a write-off.

Rusty.

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