Silencios Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what Silencios has in store. The pattern for this 16-day window is a long, drawn-out run of mostly marginal surf with only a few moments that really catch the eye. The water is running at a very unusual 71°F, which is a whopping 8°F warmer than normal for the time of year – you’ll definitely feel that difference without a thick wetsuit.

The first real recommendation doesn’t kick off until Saturday the 25th of July. Saturday morning sees a clean 3ft SW groundswell rolling in with a very long period of 18 seconds and light offshore wind. Combined swell energy is moderate (728). The break is a reef, and with that long period, it should set up nicely, though it is inconsistent and crowds are possible. The morning looks the best of the day, with the afternoon turning cross-onshore and a bit rippled.

Sunday the 26th is a similar story: a cross-onshore breeze messes with a 3ft, 15-second SW swell in the morning and a fading 3ft, 19-second groundswell in the afternoon. The energy is still moderate (915, 793), but the wind keeps it from being special.

Monday the 28th offers a slightly better shot. The morning has a 4ft, 17-second SW groundswell with offshore wind and moderate energy (919). That’s the pick of the first few days. The afternoon bumps up to 5ft with a 16-second period, but the cross-onshore breeze kicks in again. The whole week through Thursday the 30th remains in the marginal zone, with light offshore winds in the mornings but the swell staying in the 3ft to 5ft range with periods around 12 to 15 seconds.

There’s then a real lull. From Friday the 31st of July right through to early August, the surf drops off hard. The first week of August is a write-off – poor conditions, tiny waves, and choppy afternoons. That gap stretches for several days with nothing worth paddling out for.

Now, the standout. Keep your eyes on Friday the 7th of August. The morning delivers a solid 8ft SSW swell, though it’s short-period at 10 seconds, and the combined energy jumps right up to strong (1668). The wind is light offshore, so it could be clean. This is getting into expert territory – 8ft is big. The afternoon pushes even larger at 8ft (strong energy 2211) but with cross-onshore wind, so the morning is the go. The Saturday the 8th still has 8ft in the morning with offshore wind, but the afternoon drops to almost nothing.

The second week’s only other highlight is Sunday the 9th of August morning with a 6ft SSW swell, 10-second period, and moderate energy (700), but it’s cross-onshore again.

Honestly, if you’re looking for the absolute best on offer, it’s the Saturday morning of the 25th of July for a clean, long-period groundswell, and then the Friday morning of the 7th of August for the big, powerful stuff – that’s for the experienced crew only. Everything else is a bit of a wait and see.

Rusty.

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