Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s talk about the surf coming up for Ninja’s.

Alright, the next week and a half is a bit of a mixed bag, but there are a few windows where it’ll clean up nicely. Water temps are sitting around 85°, which is pretty standard for this time of year, so nothing crazy there.

For the first few days—starting Saturday the 11th through to Tuesday the 15th—the swell is small, around 2ft to 4ft, coming from the south and southeast. The combined energy is moderate, around 200 to 700 (moderate wave energy). Winds are cross-offshore from the west and northwest, so the surface will be clean, but the wave quality is just okay—marginal, really. Not worth getting too excited about. There’s a bit of a lull in proper standouts here.

Now, Wednesday the 15th is where things start to look interesting. We’ve got a nice clean 3ft swell from the southwest with a long period of 15 to 16 seconds. That’s groundswell, plenty of energy (627 combined energy). Winds are light cross-off from the west, and the water stays clean. This is shaping up to be the best morning of the first week. The long period means it’ll break nicely at this reef setup—good shape, longer waits between sets, and easier paddling. Thursday the 16th carries that same energy through the morning, with 3ft from the southwest at 14 seconds. Still good, but the afternoon drops off slightly.

Friday the 17th and Saturday the 18th hold in the 2ft to 3ft range, with south-southeast windswell coming in on Saturday (period 8-9 seconds, energy 240-263). It’s clean, but the quality dips. Sunday the 19th and into the next week, things get messy with cross-shore winds and poor conditions—some light chop, smaller swells, and general lack of form. There’s a stretch from Sunday the 19th to Tuesday the 22nd where I wouldn’t bother paddling out unless you’re desperate.

Then, look ahead to Thursday the 23rd afternoon: a standout. Swell bumps to 5ft from the SSE at 10 seconds, combined energy around 700 (moderate to strong). Winds are light cross-off from the WNW, and the call is for very good surf. That’s the one to circle on your calendar.

Friday the 24th morning is glassy with a 3ft SE swell, period 10 seconds—light offshore from the NNW in the afternoon. Clean, fun, but not huge. Saturday the 25th sees a 2ft SSW groundswell at 16 seconds, with offshore NW winds. Glassy and clean, perfect for this reef.

Overall, the standout is Wednesday the 15th morning and Thursday the 23rd afternoon. The rest is mostly small and average, with a few okay sessions in between. Good for beginners on the smaller days, but bigger stuff on the 23rd might be a bit much for the new crew.

Rusty.

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