Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Let's talk about what's cooking at Ninja's.

We're looking at a bit of a quiet start to this 16-day stretch, with nothing that really gets the heart racing. The water is sitting at a balmy 86°F, which is about a touch warmer than usual for this time of year. We've got a solid window coming up on Saturday the 19th and Sunday the 20th, but the wind isn't playing ball. The standout actually looks like it might be further out, around Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th of September.

Alright, let's break it down. The first few days are pretty average. We get some knee to waist-high swell, but the wind is a fresh cross-offshore, which keeps things clean but the energy is just not there. The combined swell energy sits around 1099 on the Monday afternoon, which is moderate. Nothing to write home about.

Things get a bit more interesting on Saturday the 19th of September. We see a bump in size, with waves hitting 7 ft from the SSW. That's a decent groundswell with a 16-second period, bringing some proper power to the reef with moderate energy (1909). The catch? The wind is a moderate cross-offshore from the W. It'll be clean, but that cross element might put a bit of a bump on the face. For the more experienced crew, this could be a fun session, but at that size, it's getting a bit much for the beginners.

The next real highlight that's worth marking on the calendar is Monday the 28th of September. We finally see some decent conditions shaping up. The swell drops back a bit, but the wind goes light and cross-offshore. It's a similar story for Tuesday the 29th. Look for a 3 ft SSW groundswell with a long 17-second period. The combined swell energy reads 580, so not pumping, but with a light breeze and offshore wind, the reef at Ninja's is going to be super clean. The sets will have that long-period push, which might make it a bit straight at the take-off, but for a reef break, it should offer up some nice, lined-up walls. The crowds at Ninja's can be an issue, so get in early or be prepared to share.

From the 20th through the 27th, things go pretty flat or get chopped up by fresh cross-shore winds. A lot of that period is a write-off for a decent paddle. Sunday the 20th and Monday the 21st in particular look more like a kitesurfer's dream with that strong cross-wind and lumpy chop.

So, in a nutshell: the first week is a bit of a struggle. The real standout window looks to be around the 28th and 29th of September – it's a bit of a long-range call, so keep an eye on it, but the potential for some clean, lined-up waves on a light wind day is there.

Stay stoked.
Rusty.

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