Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu.

The opening window is Saturday afternoon with a clean 4ft swell from the SSE, packing moderate energy (528). The water is a warm 86°, which is about average for this time of year. The wind is a gentle cross-offshore breeze, so the surface will be clean. This is a good, fun-sized wave for a beginner-friendly reef break like Ninja's. It's a fairly consistent spot, so you've got a reasonable chance of scoring a wave, but it can get crowded often, so be ready to share the lineup.

The pattern then shifts. Sunday through to the end of the first week, the surf is in a bit of a slump. The swell stays around the 4ft to 2ft mark, but the wind turns more cross-shore, and the quality drops. The combined energy is moderate, but the tide and wind aren't playing ball. It's not a total write-off, but it's marginal.

Now, roll into the second week. The beginning of August sees a real drop in size, with swells dropping to 2ft to 3ft. The wind is a mix of cross-off and light breezes, but there's not enough energy in the water to get excited about. The combined energy readings are weak, dipping into the low 200s and 300s.

Then, around the 5th of August, the wind starts to howl from the West at 19 mph, with a fresh breeze. The swell picks up a little to 4ft to 5ft from the SSE, bringing moderate energy back into the 500s and 600s. The surface stays clean, but the wind is strong, and the quality is still marginal. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The best chance for a real standout comes later in the run. On the 7th of August, Friday morning, we see a 3ft swell from the SSW with a very long period of 21 seconds. The combined energy jumps to strong (1017). The wind is a clean cross-off. This is a long-period groundswell, which means it will have serious push and shape, but it can be a bit too straight for a beach break. Being a reef, Ninja's should handle it well. This is a promising session, but it's a long way off, so keep an eye on it.

For the rest of the second week, the swells are similar, with long periods and moderate to strong energy, but the wind is often a fresh breeze. The 8th of August has a 3ft SSW swell at 18 seconds with moderate energy (952), but the wind is up. The 9th of August, Sunday morning, the wind turns cross-shore, introducing a chop, so the quality drops.

So, to sum it up, the best bet is the opening Saturday afternoon if you want a guaranteed clean session. For the long-range, the Friday morning on the 7th of August has the most potential if the wind holds. The rest of the period is mostly a case of waiting for the right conditions.

Rusty.

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