Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. The long-range charts are showing some life for Ninja's, but it’s not going to be a straight shot. We’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands for the real quality to show up, but there’s a solid window in the middle of the period that looks like the pick of the bunch.

Right out of the gate, Saturday the 8th and Sunday the 9th are pretty messy. We’ve got chest-high swell at about 5ft, but it’s coming with a cross-shore wind and a cross-chop that’ll have you fighting it more than riding it. There’s a storm risk too, so it’s not looking like a great time to be in the water. The energy is moderate, around 650, but it’s just not clean.

Monday the 10th is where things start to turn. The swell drops a bit, but the wind swings to a cross-offshore and the period jumps to 20 seconds. That’s a serious groundswell pulse, even if the height is only around 3ft. The energy is up at 843, and the wave comment says it’ll be very good. That’s a promising start to the week.

From Tuesday the 11th through to Saturday the 15th, we’re looking at a consistent run of fun, clean surf. The swell holds around 4-5ft from the SSE, with a period of 10-11 seconds. Winds are mostly light and cross-offshore, so the surface should be clean, especially in the mornings. The energy is moderate, ranging from the 400s to the 700s. It’s not huge, but it’s consistent and rideable. This is the kind of stretch where you can get your fix without too much hassle.

Sunday the 16th sees things back off a touch, with swell dropping to around 4ft. Still clean, but the energy fades a bit. Then, here’s the standout of the whole forecast: Monday the 17th into Tuesday the 18th. We get a new pulse of long-period SW groundswell. Monday morning starts small at around 2ft with a 21-second period, but that’s a sign of things to come. By Tuesday the 18th, the swell is up to about 6ft with a 17-18 second period, and the energy jumps to over 2300. That's strong, powerful stuff. The wind is light and offshore, so it should be proper clean. This is the one to circle on the calendar. It’s a bit more size, so it’ll be more for the experienced crew, but the quality looks excellent.

Wednesday the 19th and Thursday the 20th keep the good vibes going with around 4ft of SW swell, still at a long period of 15-16 seconds. The energy is still solid, in the 700-1400 range. Clean conditions continue with light offshore winds. This is a nice little run of quality surf.

Then, as we head into the second week, the wheels start to come off a bit. Friday the 21st the wind goes cross-shore and the swell drops to around 3ft. The energy fades and the surface gets a bit chopped. Saturday the 22nd and Sunday the 23rd look pretty poor. The swell is under 3ft, the wind is more on it, and the wave comment is just "poor." The energy is weak, down in the 400s. It looks like the run is done for that stretch.

So, the best on offer is definitely Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th. That’s the big, clean, long-period groundswell. Monday the 17th is the precursor, and that run from the 11th to the 15th is a solid, dependable stretch of waves. The first couple of days and the final weekend are the ones to skip.

This is Ninja's we’re talking about, a reef break that’s fairly consistent and exposed to the south. It’s a beginner-friendly wave, but when the swell gets over 5ft, it’s time for the more experienced surfers to have a go. And with a long-period swell like that, it’s going to be breaking with real purpose. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so not much to worry about there.

Alright, that’s the look. Get out there for those mid-period days, and definitely don’t miss that Tuesday pulse.

Rusty.

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