Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m lookin’ at the whole 16-day window, and honestly, we’ve got a mixed bag here. The first few days are pretty marginal, but the back half of the forecast has some real promise—especially if you’re willing to wait and watch the charts.

The first real session worth paddling out for is on Wednesday, July 15th in the afternoon. We’ve got a 3ft swell coming from the SW with a super long period of 16 seconds. That’s groundswell, and it’s gonna bring some proper shape and energy. The combined energy of all swells directed here is moderate at 539. Winds are light cross-offshore, which will keep the face clean. For a reef break, that long period stuff at Ninja’s will link up nicely. The water temp is about 85°, which is pretty normal for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Thursday morning, July 16th, is a similar story—3ft from the SW, period around 14 seconds, and light WNW winds. Energy is still moderate at 464. It’s a bit smaller but still clean. Perfect for a beginner-friendly reef.

Now, the real standout—and I mean the one you circle on the calendar—is Monday morning, July 20th. We’ve got a 3ft swell from the S with a very long period of 17 seconds. That’s proper groundswell, and the combined energy jumps to 549 (moderate). Winds are light offshore from the W, so it’s gonna be glassy. This is the best wave quality of the whole period. The long period means longer lulls, but when the sets come through, they’ll have push and shape. For a reef like Ninja’s, that’s a dream. Crowds can be an issue here—it’s a spot that’s often busy, so get there early.

After that, we have a few days of cross-shore and chop, but then Wednesday morning, July 22nd, shows a big pulse of energy: 3ft from the SSW, period 20 seconds, and combined energy of 826 (solid moderate). The wind is cross-shore, which is a bit of a bummer, but that’s a lot of water moving. Not the cleanest, but for experienced surfers, there’ll be some power.

Thursday morning, July 23rd, is another winner: 3ft from the SW, 16-second period, and light WNW winds. Energy is 528. Clean, lined-up, and begging for a longboard or a mid-length.

The last few days of the month, from the 25th to the 26th, bring smaller but fun southerly swells around 3ft to 4ft, with light winds. These are solid, consistent options for a morning paddle, with moderate energy around 350-483. By the 27th, the wind turns cross-shore again and the energy drops, so that’s the tail end.

All in all, the best on offer is Monday the 20th for the glassy, long-period groundswell, with Wednesday the 15th and Thursday the 23rd as the next best. There’s a gap of about 4 days of poor-to-marginal conditions between the 16th and the 20th, so plan around that.

Rusty.

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