Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Alright, let’s be straight with you. We’ve got one spot on the radar for this entire 16-day window: Ninja’s. It’s a reef break that’s fairly consistent, but honestly, we’re not looking at a run of classics here. The calendar is packed with days that are just knee-to-waist high and barely worth the paddle out.

The most promising action kicks off now. Today, Sunday the 30th, we’ve got some fun 6ft SSW groundswell with a long 19-second period. The energy is strong, reading 2378 on the dial. It’s cross-offshore wind making the face reasonably clean, but the forecast calls it “marginal” due to tide. As a beginner-friendly reef, this is a good time to get wet, but the consistent cross-off breeze might have it a little lumpy in the lineup.

The water is a warm 85°, which is about average for this time of year, so a rashie is all you need.

Monday the 31st bumps up a notch. The swell pushes to 7ft from the SSW, still with serious energy (2776), and the period is a solid 16 seconds. It’s bigger and more powerful but still marked as marginal. This is the standout of the first week. The winds stay cross-offshore, so it should be holding shape, but the energy is significant. For a beginner spot, this is getting towards the top end of your comfort zone. As the afternoon drops back to 6ft, it gets more user-friendly.

Tuesday sees a step down in size, with 4ft SSW swell and lighter winds. It’s cleaner, but the energy drops to 1219. It’s a more manageable day for a cruise, but not the standout.

The real gem, if you can time it, is Wednesday afternoon the 2nd. We have 6ft of SSW swell, a 14-second period, and only a gentle 9 mph cross-offshore breeze. The forecast explicitly calls it “excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers.” This is the best day of the whole run. It’s got the size and the clean face. After this, the swell starts to fade quickly through Thursday and Friday, dropping to 5ft, then smaller, with energy levels falling to under 500. The wind is light and clean, but the waves just lose their grunt.

There’s a lull over the weekend of the 5th and 6th, with waves hovering around 4–5ft, and the energy is weak. It’s still rideable for a longboard but nothing to get excited about.

Then we hit a proper flat spell. From the 7th through the 9th, the swell drops to below 3ft, and the power is gone. The energy reading gets down to 284, which is about as weak as it gets. This gap of a few days with no real surf is a good time to fix your dings or go fishing.

Looking further out, the second week starts to rebuild slowly. From the 10th to the 13th of September, we see a return of SSW swells, but they’re inconsistent and the periods are shorter, around 14-16 seconds. The winds are mostly cross-offshore and moderate. The size hovers between 3ft and 5ft. It’s promising, but with the lower period and moderate breeze, it won't be as clean as that Wednesday. The energy is moderate at best, sitting around the 1000-1200 mark early on, then fading again.

The 14th of September shows another pulse of 4–5ft swell, but we’re getting into the long-range territory, so treat that with some caution. It’s a “promising but not certain” situation.

So, the takeaway: Wednesday afternoon is your wave. Get out there for that one. The rest is a grind with a few fun moments.

Rusty out.

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