Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

We’re kicking things off with a bit of a slow start, but don’t write it off just yet. The first few days are pretty marginal, with not much to get excited about. We’ve got a bit of a wait until the real energy starts to roll in. From around Wednesday the 10th, things start to get more interesting, and there’s a solid run of clean, cross-off swell that should keep us busy.

The standout window is looking like Thursday the 10th through to Saturday the 12th. The swell builds nicely, with a long-period groundswell from the SSW pushing through. On Thursday morning we’re looking at 5 ft of swell from the SSW with a period of 16 seconds, and the combined energy is in the strong zone (1527). Winds are WNW, cross-off, and clean. That’s proper surf. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

Ninja's (reef break) is the main game in town. It’s a beginner-friendly reef, and it’s fairly consistent. It’s exposed to the swell, and it’s picking up that SSW groundswell really well. The optimum direction here is S, so we’re getting a good angle. With the wind staying cross-off through much of this period, it’s going to be clean. Crowds are often a thing here, so expect company, but the quality will be worth it.

The SSW swell peaks on Friday the 11th with 5 ft and a 16-second period, and the energy is cranking (2530 in the afternoon). That’s a lot of power. For a reef setup, this long-period groundswell is a treat. The water is clean, winds are moderate, and it’s all cross-off. Saturday morning holds at 5 ft from the SW with a 17-second period, still strong energy (1914). It’s a solid run.

Sunday the 13th sees the swell start to back off a little, dropping to 4 ft and then 3 ft, but it’s still clean. The energy drops back to moderate (978). Still worth a paddle if you’re keen.

After that, there’s a bit of a lull. Monday the 14th has a short-period 8 ft wind swell from the W on the afternoon, but that’s a messy one – period of just 7 seconds and fresh winds. That’s more of a kite-surfing kind of day than a clean paddle session. The following days are a mix of clean but smaller SSW swells, and then we get a bit of a bump again on Friday the 18th.

Friday the 18th is another one to mark. The morning brings 4 ft SSW swell at 16 seconds, with strong energy (1694). Winds are cross-off and moderate. The afternoon picks up to 6 ft from the S with a 12-second period, energy still strong (1797). That’s a good day, though the swell is getting a bit bigger, so it’s more for intermediate and above. The weekend after that (19th and 20th) gets a bit choppy with fresh cross-shore winds and lumpy conditions, so the quality drops off.

The last few days of the forecast (21st and 22nd) have clean, cross-off winds again, with 3 ft to 4 ft SSW swell and long periods (18-20 seconds). The energy is moderate to strong (1190-1384). It’s not the biggest, but it’s clean and consistent for a reef.

So, the real standouts are Thursday 10th to Saturday 12th, and then Friday 18th as a secondary call. The early part of the second week is a bit of a write-off for clean surf, but the long-range stuff looks promising. Keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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