Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks.

First up, water temp is sitting at 85°F, which is bang on average for this time of year – nothing weird going on there.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but the surf picks up on the morning of Thursday the 23rd. The best bet across the whole run is actually the opening sessions. Thursday morning kicks off with a clean 4ft SSE swell, period around 9 seconds, and a light cross-off wind from the W. The wave energy is moderate (327) and it’s a reef setup that’s fairly consistent. This is a beginner-friendly spot, but keep in mind crowds are often a thing here.

Thursday afternoon holds up nicely too – 4ft SSE swell, period bumping up to 10 seconds, a bit more energy (401), and still clean with that WNW cross-off breeze.

Friday the 24th is still in the mix. Morning sees 4ft SSE swell, clean conditions, moderate energy at 446. Afternoon drops a bit in size to 2ft but the period jumps to 13 seconds – that’s a nice groundswell pulse – and the wind stays light cross-off from the NW. Clean.

Saturday the 25th gets a bit more marginal. The swell is still around, but the wind swings cross-shore, and the wave quality takes a hit. The morning is 3ft SSW, while the afternoon picks up to 4ft SE with some energy (515), but the light cross-shore breeze puts a bit of ripple on the face.

Sunday the 26th is where things get interesting. The morning is still a bit messy with 5ft SE swell, cross-shore wind, but the afternoon is a standout – 5ft SE, period 11 seconds, cross-off wind from the W, and strong energy (818). This is clean, punchy, and the best session of the first week.

From Monday the 27th through to the end of the month, the surf stays on the table but the quality drops. Winds are mostly cross or cross-shore, with a mix of moderate breezes and some storm risk. Swell sizes range from 2ft to 5ft, but the conditions are marginal more often than not. The period on the 29th and 30th gets long, up to 20 seconds, but with moderate winds and a cross-chop, it’s not the cleanest for a beach break setup – this would be better if it was a point or reef.

Now, into the first week of August, we see a ramp-up in energy. On the 31st of July and the 1st of August, the combined energy numbers go big – 1189 and 1456 – meaning strong wave energy. Swell is 4ft to 5ft from the SSW and SSE, but the wind is blowing 12-15 mph from the WSW, creating a cross-chop. The period is good, around 15-17 seconds, but the wind is the spoiler. This is more of a kite-surfing zone than a clean paddle session.

Monday the 3rd of August actually looks like a decent chance. Morning shows 4ft SSW swell, period 17 seconds, light cross-shore breeze, and high energy (1090). The wind is light, so it’ll be less choppy, but still cross-shore. The afternoon gets a cross-off breeze from the W, clean, but smaller at 3ft.

After that, the 4th through the 6th of August sees the wind pick up again, with moderate to fresh breezes, and the wave quality drops to poor or marginal. The 7th of August has a bit of size – 5ft SSE – but strong winds ruin it.

Overall, the standout session is Sunday the 26th afternoon at Ninja's. Clean, 5ft, solid period, light cross-off wind. Get in the water then. The long-range stuff around the 3rd of August is promising but less certain – keep an eye on it.

Rusty.

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