Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next 16 days at Ninja’s are a real mixed bag, and honestly, they’re more about patience than perfection. The setup is a reef break that’s fairly consistent, but the wind and swell just aren’t playing ball for clean, rideable waves for the most part. We’re looking at a long stretch of so-so conditions, with a couple of brief windows that might get your hopes up, but nothing that’s gonna have you calling in sick.

The water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The first real action shows up on Monday, August 3rd, with a small 2ft SW swell pushing in on a very long 16-second period. The wind is a cross-off at 12 mph, so the surface will be clean. The combined wave energy is weak (316), so it’s more of a paddle and a trim than a proper session. Monday afternoon bumps up to 4ft from the SSW, still with that long period, but the energy is moderate (768). The wind is a bit stronger at 16 mph, but still cross-off, keeping it clean. Worth a look if you’re desperate.

Tuesday, August 4th is similar – 4ft SSW swell, long period, cross-off wind, but the energy is moderate (740). It’s a repeat of the day before. Wednesday, August 5th morning sees a drop to 3ft, but the period is a ridiculous 19 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to strong (1019). The wind is cross-off at 16 mph. This is a standout in the first week – a proper groundswell. That long period (over 15 seconds) means it’s gonna be a bit testing at a reef, with long lulls between sets, but the shape should be good. It’s a spot for the patient.

From Thursday, August 6th afternoon right through to Sunday, August 9th morning, the wind turns cross-shore, and the wave comment is “poor surf conditions.” The swell is mostly 4ft to 5ft from the S or SSE, with a shorter period around 10-11 seconds. The energy is moderate (516 to 863), but the chop is gonna be nasty. The waves are there, but the quality is trash. Sunday afternoon offers a glimmer – cross-off wind returns, with a 5ft SSE swell and a 10-second period. The energy is moderate (711), and it’s clean. It’s a salvageable session.

Monday, August 10th is a real tease. The swell drops to 2ft, but the period is a massive 21 seconds, and the energy is moderate (819). The wind is cross-off and light. This is a long-range groundswell, but it’s tiny. You’ll be chasing ankle-biters between long waits. The afternoon is similar with 3ft and 20-second period.

The second week from Tuesday, August 11th to Friday, August 14th is a snooze-fest: 3ft to 5ft SSE swell, period stuck at 10 seconds, cross-off wind but the energy is weak to moderate (248 to 736). The waves are clean but small and uninspiring. The best of this run is Wednesday the 12th morning with 5ft, but it’s nothing special.

Then from Saturday, August 15th through to Tuesday, August 18th, the wind swings cross-on and the wave quality goes to “poor.” The swell is tiny – 2ft to 3ft from the S, with periods mostly 10-11 seconds. The energy is weak (143 to 346). The chop and onshore wind make it a write-off.

So, if you’re picking a window, Wednesday morning, August 5th is the standout – that 3ft swell with a 19-second period and 1019 energy is about as good as it gets. The other worthy mention is Monday, August 10th for the novelty of a 21-second period, but it’s too small to get excited about. The rest is for the die-hards who just need to get wet. Don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

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