Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way. We’ve got a pretty slow start, but there’s a pulse of energy building for the end of the month that has my attention.

The first real surf we can talk about is a bit of a tease. We’re looking at a period where the swell is just too weak and the wind is a constant cross-shore, keeping things choppy and messy. For the first few days, from Sunday the 23rd right through most of the next week, the wave energy is low (174) and the conditions are just... poor. Nothing to get excited about. The swell is small, around 3ft to 3ft, and that cross wind just won’t let up. It’s a real struggle to find anything clean.

Then, around Wednesday the 26th, we finally see a shift. The swell period jumps up to 16 seconds from the SSW, which is a proper groundswell, and the energy climbs to a moderate 548. The wind is still cross, but it’s much lighter. The surf is still small, around 3ft, and the forecast calls it marginal, but it’s a glimmer of hope. The water temp is a warm 85°, which is about average for this time of year.

Now, the real standout. The 30th of August (Sunday) and 31st of August (Monday) are looking like the best on offer. The swell builds nicely, with the SSW groundswell holding a long period of 18-17 seconds, and the wave energy is strong (2336 to 2604). The swell height pushes up to 6ft. What makes this special is the wind. For the Sunday afternoon and Monday sessions, we get a cross-offshore wind from the West, which will clean up the waves nicely. This is a reef break, and with that long period groundswell, it’s going to be a classic setup. The waves will be powerful, with good shape, and those long lulls between sets will make paddling out easier. Just be aware, this spot can get crowded, and with a swell over 5ft, it might be a bit too much for beginners.

After that peak, the swell slowly backs off through the first week of September, and the wind turns more cross and cross-onshore, so the quality drops off. There are some other days, like the 3rd of September, where the swell is a solid 7ft from the SSE, but the wind is cross-on and choppy, making it a messy prospect. The period is also shorter by then (11 seconds), so it won’t have the same punch as that late August run.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a write-off. The real window is the last weekend of August and the Monday the 31st. That’s your best bet for clean, solid waves at Ninja's.

Stay stoked.
Rusty.

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