Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into what's coming our way for the next couple of weeks.

The main event is a solid run of groundswell from the south, kicking off this weekend and lasting well into the first week of September. We’ve got a decent pulse of energy rolling in, with moderate combined wave energy readings in the thousands, so there’s plenty of push in the water. The early part of the week has a few tricky conditions to work through, but the real standout window is Sunday afternoon through to Wednesday.

Water temp is sitting at 85°F with a 1°F anomaly, which is pretty average for this time of year. The first real action starts Saturday morning at Ninja's (reef break). The swell is small, around 2ft from the SSW, but with a long period of 20 seconds, so it’s a proper groundswell. The wind is a moderate cross-off at 12 mph, keeping things clean. The combined energy is moderate. It’s a bit marginal for a session, but a sign of things to come.

By Saturday afternoon, the swell jumps to 4ft, still from the SSW and a 19-second period, and combined energy climbs. Still moderate breeze cross-off, and the wave comment says marginal or questionable tide, so it’s one to watch and time right.

Now, the real pick of the early part is Sunday afternoon, 30 August. The swell is 5ft from the SW, period 18 seconds, and combined energy is solid. Winds are a gentle 9 mph from the W, making it cross-off and clean. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers, and the quality is there. Only downside? Crowds are often at Ninja's, so expect company.

Monday the 31st through to Wednesday the 2nd of September keeps the swell in the 4ft to 7ft range, still from the SW/SSW, with periods dropping from 16 down to 14 seconds. The wind stays cross-off and light to moderate, so conditions remain clean. The size on Monday morning hits 7ft, which is pushing into expert territory only. The highlight in this stretch is Wednesday afternoon, 2 September: 5ft from the SSW, 14-second period, with a light breeze from the W at 6 mph. Combined energy is solid, and it’s excellent surf for experienced surfers. That’s a real sweet spot.

After Wednesday, the swell backs off a bit through the end of the first week and into the second. The period drops to 10-11 seconds, so the waves will be a bit weaker and more local. The combined energy falls into the lower range, and the wind stays light and cross-off, so it’s still clean but smaller and less punchy. There’s a gap of a few days where the quality is just okay, not great.

Then, we get a second pulse of energy around the 10th of September. Thursday the 10th has 5ft to 6ft from the SSW, with a 16-17 second period, and combined energy roaring back. Winds are a moderate 12 mph cross-off, keeping it clean. This is a promising swell but it’s more than a week out, so keep an eye on it. The following days, Friday the 11th through Sunday the 13th, the swell fades again, with the last kick being a very long period 24-second swell from the S on Sunday afternoon the 13th, but only 3ft, so it’s small but incredibly long period.

Overall, the standout is the run from Sunday afternoon 30 August through to Wednesday 2 September. The mixture of solid 5ft to 6ft SSW groundswell, long periods, and light cross-off winds makes for excellent, clean surf. Just remember, Ninja's can get crowded, so get in early.

Rusty.

Read more