Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Let’s size up what’s coming for Ninja’s. The first few days are a total bust—Thursday afternoon and Friday are hammered with heavy rain, thunderstorms, and cranking winds, so don’t bother. There’s swell, but it’s messy.

The first real chance to get wet is Sunday the 2nd of August. The morning is the pick: a clean 3ft S swell, period around 9 seconds, with a light offshore breeze from the NW. That’s the right direction for Ninja’s (NNW is the optimum), so it’ll be glassy. The combined energy is moderate (306), nothing too big, perfect for beginners and a fun session. The afternoon goes cross-off with a 4ft S swell, still clean but not as good.

Monday the 3rd of August has a small morning: 2ft SW groundswell with a long 16-second period, but it’s tiny. The afternoon picks up to 4ft from the SSW, with a very long 17-second period and gentle cross-off wind. The energy jumps to 808 (moderate), so there’s some punch. That long period groundswell will wrap nicely around this reef break, giving well-shaped, organised waves with longer lulls between sets, making paddling out easier.

The real standout is Wednesday the 5th of August afternoon. You’ve got a 4ft SSW swell, period 18 seconds—proper groundswell—with clean cross-off wind from the WNW at 16 mph. The combined energy is strong at 1027. Those long-period lines will hold up beautifully at the reef, delivering clean, powerful waves. It’s a beginner-friendly break, but with that energy, it’ll be a step up—still fine for confident beginners. Expect a few others in the water, as crowds are often here.

After that, the second week gets messy. From Thursday the 6th through Wednesday the 12th of August, you’ve got 4ft to 5ft swells from the S and SSE, but the wind turns cross or cross-off, and the quality drops. The 8th, 9th, and 10th of August are rough with cross-shore winds and lumpy chop—not worth it. The 12th of August morning has a 5ft SSE swell with 10-second period and clean cross-off wind, but it’s marginal. The 13th of August hits 6ft SSE, which is expert territory, and the cross-shore wind will make it bumpy.

The long-shot is Friday the 14th of August morning: a 3ft SSW swell with a very long 18-second period and light cross-shore wind. The energy is 817 (moderate). If the wind goes light, it could produce a few clean, long-running lines, but it’s a long way out.

Water temp is 85°F with an anomaly of 1°F, so it’s about average for the time of year—warm and comfortable.

Bottom line: Sunday the 2nd of August morning and Wednesday the 5th of August afternoon are your best calls. The 5th afternoon is the standout. The rest is a gamble at best.

Rusty.

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