Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next couple of weeks for us. Gotta be straight with you – it’s a rough patch ahead. We’ve got a whole lot of days with not much to get excited about, and a lot of wind that’s just not playing nice.

The first real chance to get wet comes on Thursday, the 10th of September. We’re looking at Ninja's, a reef break that’s exposed to the swell. We’ve got a solid 5ft to 5ft swell from the SSW, but it’s coming in with a long 16-second period. That’s a proper groundswell, which usually means good shape, but it’s also a bit of a beast for a beginner spot. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 87°F – that’s about 3°F above the average for this time of year, so it’s a little cozy. The big issue is the wind. It’s a moderate cross-offshore breeze for most of the day, which keeps the surface clean, but the overall energy is moderate (1592 combined energy). The ratings on the surf quality are low, though, with a "questionable tide" tag hanging over it. It’s rideable, but not a standout.

Friday the 11th is a write-off. The swell bumps up to 5ft, but the wind howls at 22 mph, creating a messy cross-off. The energy is actually strong (up to 2917 combined), but it’s just too blown out to be fun. The same goes for Saturday and Sunday – the wind stays fresh, the swell hangs around, but the quality is poor. It’s a grind.

There’s a tiny glimmer on Tuesday the 15th. The wind drops to a light breeze, only 6 mph from the NW. The swell is 4ft from the SSW with a 14-second period, and the energy is moderate (992 combined). The call is for "very good surf conditions," but it’s only a single window. The rest of that week is plagued by fresh cross-off winds and deteriorating swell.

The next week, starting Monday the 21st, is just a washout. The swell is from the S and SSE with a short period of only 10 seconds, which is junk. The wind is a steady cross-shore mess, and the surf quality is consistently rated as poor. It’s not looking good for paddling. Honestly, with the consistent strong cross-shore winds and waist-high, weak swell, this setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

So, what’s the best on offer? That’s a tough one. If I had to pick one, it’s the Tuesday, 15th of September, morning session at Ninja's. The light wind promise is the only real shot at clean conditions in the whole 16-day window. It’s a long-range call, but it’s the only one with a positive note. The rest of the time, you’re better off waxing the kiteboard or just waiting for the next forecast to change.

Rusty.

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