Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, it's Rusty again. Let's break it down in feet and miles per hour for you.

We're looking at just one spot for this whole stretch: Ninja's reef. It's a fairly consistent wave, so we'll get some action, but don't kid yourself—the first week is a grind.

Starting Thursday, August 6th, the swell is a measly 2ft from the S with a long 16-second period, giving us moderate energy (677). The wind is a problem, blowing 16 mph and making a mess of things. That pretty much sets the tone through to Monday the 10th. Swell sizes bounce from 2ft to about 5ft, mostly from the S or SSE, but the wind stays moderate and cross or cross-off. It's all pretty average. There's a big gap of mediocre days here.

Things clean up a bit on the 11th and 12th, but it's still nothing to rave about. We get a lull from the 15th to the 17th, with the swell dropping and the wind turning onshore. Not good.

Now, here's the payoff. The real standout window opens on Tuesday, August 18th. The wind gets light, and a new long-period SSW groundswell moves in. The peak is Wednesday morning, August 19th. We're looking at a solid 5ft swell from the SSW with a period of 16-18 seconds—that's proper groundswell with loads of energy (1353). The wind goes light and cross-off from the west, which means clean, glassy conditions. This is the stuff you wait for. Just be aware that long-period swell like this can be a bit tricky on beach breaks, but for a reef like Ninja's, it's perfect.

The water temp is about normal for the season. The only downside is this spot is "often" crowded, so expect some company for that peak session.

After that, the swell fades and the wind swings onshore again through the 20th and 21st. So the takeaway is simple: suffer through the first week, and be ready to go on Wednesday the 19th of August at Ninja's. It's a long-range call, so it's promising but not locked in.

Rusty.

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