Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks.

Honestly, it’s a bit of a frustrating start. We’ve got solid swell energy on the way, but the wind is just not playing ball for the first week or so. The setup we’re looking at is Ninja's, a reef break that’s fairly consistent. Water temp is about average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The first few days, from Tuesday the 4th through to Saturday the 8th, we’re seeing moderate swell energy (around 500-700) with a mix of SSW and S swells, but the wind is a consistent 15 mph from the west or west-northwest. That’s a cross-off breeze, which keeps the surface clean, but the surf reports are all calling it marginal. The wave quality just isn’t there for a proper session. A bit of a shoulder-shrugger, to be honest.

Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th don’t look any better. The energy drops a bit, and the wind stays stubborn. The highlight on Monday the 10th is a very long period SSW groundswell (20-21 seconds), but with only 2 ft of swell and a moderate cross-off breeze, it’s going to be pretty disappointing. That long period might make a few lines stand up, but it’s likely to be too inconsistent for a good time.

The second week is where things get interesting. There’s a pick-up in swell to around 5 ft from the SSE from the 11th to the 14th, but it’s short period (10-11 seconds), and the wind is still a bother. The energy is there, but it’s not clean.

Now, the real standout. You need to mark your calendar for Wednesday the 19th of August. The morning is looking excellent. The combined energy of all swells directed here hits a massive 1360 (strong to very strong wave energy). We’ve got a 5 ft S swell with a very long period of 18 seconds, and crucially, the wind is a light 3 mph cross-off. That’s going to be glassy, clean, and powerful. This is a reef break, so that long-period groundswell is going to wrap in beautifully and offer some proper, well-shaped waves. It’s going to be a rippable morning. The only downer? The crowds are often here, so get out early if you want a few waves to yourself. This is the one to chase.

For everything before that, it’s mostly a waiting game. The best of the rest is probably the afternoon of Sunday the 16th, where we get a touch of glassy wind and a 19-second period S swell, but it’s only 2 ft. A fun little session for a longboard if you’re desperate, but nothing compared to the 19th.

So, keep your powder dry for that Wednesday the 19th at Ninja's. That’s your window.

Rusty.

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