Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m looking at the next couple of weeks, and honestly, I’m not gonna sugarcoat it for you — this is a tough stretch. We’ve got a bit of a slow start with no real standouts, but there’s a window of decent energy in the middle if you’re patient. Let’s break it down.

Right now, through Sunday the 6th and Monday the 7th, it’s pretty lackluster. Swell’s hanging around 3 ft to 4 ft from the SSE with a period of 10 seconds, but the wind is cross or cross-on, and the wave energy is weak (305 to 340). The water temp is about average for this time of year, nothing wild. Honestly, it’s a bit of a write-off — just small, junky lines.

Things start to look a little more interesting from Tuesday the 8th onward. The swell stays small (4 ft, SSE) but the wind shifts to a clean cross-offshore from the W at 9 mph, and the wave energy bumps up to 435–455, which is moderate. It’s still not big, but it’ll be cleaner. Wednesday the 9th, the swell drops to 2 ft–3 ft but the period jumps to 17–18 seconds — that’s proper groundswell, but it’s small. That kind of long period is better suited for a reef or point break, and at Ninja’s (a reef), it could actually offer some fun, lined-up waves for the beginner-friendly crew. Wind is still cross-off at 12 mph, so it’s clean.

Now, the real kicker comes in on Thursday the 10th through Saturday the 12th. Swell picks up to 5 ft–5 ft from the SSW, with a period of 14–17 seconds, and the wave energy is strong — we’re talking 1605 to 2315. That’s a lot of energy coming through. Wind stays cross-off from the WNW to W at 12–16 mph, so the surf will be clean. This is the best window of the whole outlook. The swell is still manageable for most, but it’s not beginner territory at 5 ft. If you’re an intermediate or better, get out there. The SSW direction is a nice match for the optimum swell direction here, so expect some good shape at Ninja’s.

After that, from Sunday the 13th onward, it slowly backs off. Swell drops to 3 ft–4 ft, period shortens, and energy fades into the 700–900 range. The wind stays cross-off, so it’s still clean, but the punch is gone. By the 18th and 19th, we get a slight bump from the S and SSE, 4 ft–5 ft, period 10 seconds, but it’s a shorter-period swell, so it’ll be a bit more crumbly.

The real standout here is the window from Thursday the 10th to Saturday the 12th. That’s your best bet. It’s not perfect — the wind is a bit brisk at 12–16 mph — but it’s clean, and the energy is there. Just keep in mind that with a long period like that at a beach break, it can break a bit straight, but at a reef like Ninja’s, it should groom up nicely. Crowds are often here, so expect company.

All in all, it’s a slow start, a solid mid-period, and a taper-off. If you can only pick one day, aim for the 10th or 11th.

Rusty

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