Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, I’m gonna level with you. The next few days are pretty grim here at Ninja's. We’ve got a run of poor surf conditions with weak SSE swell, cross-shore wind, and real messy lines. That’s the story for Saturday the 15th right through the weekend. The water’s sitting about average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first real flicker of hope comes Monday afternoon, the 17th. The swell flips direction to SSW, period jumps up to 21 seconds, and the wind goes light cross-off. That’s a proper groundswell, with moderate energy – 1754 in the bracket – and the sets will have some punch. The wave face cleans right up. Still, the surf is marginal due to the tide, so don’t expect perfection.

But the standout, the one you’ve been waiting for, is Tuesday the 18th. From the morning onward, Ninja's is firing. We’re looking at solid 6ft to 7ft SSW swell, clocking in at 18 seconds – that’s a long-period groundswell with heaps of grunt. The combined energy hits 2355 and 2521, which is strong. The wind is light and cross-off, keeping the surface glassy. This is excellent surf, but it’s for experienced surfers only – that size and period will push hard. It’s a reef break, so the longer period will wrap in nicely, and it’s exposed to the S, which is right on the money. Crowds are often around here, so expect a few locals out.

Wednesday the 19th is still solid, with a smaller but still clean afternoon session. The 4ft S swell, 16-second period, and cross-off wind make for a fun, clean wave, but it’s not as meaty as Tuesday.

After that, we go into a dry spell. Thursday the 20th through to nearly the end of the month, surf drops right off – small, short-period SSE windswell, energy under 500, and mostly marginal or poor conditions. There’s a small bump around the 25th and 26th with some SSW swell and 14-17 second period, but it’s marginal and the wind is moderate. Not worth paddling out for.

Then, promising but less certain, we look toward the end of the month. On Thursday the 27th, a new SSW swell shows up with a very long 22-second period and moderate energy of 1053, but the wind is cross-off and moderate. The real potential is Friday the 28th – 6ft to 6ft SW swell, 17-second period, and clean cross-off wind. The combined energy jumps to around 3000, which is strong. That’s a solid option for experienced surfers, but it’s a week and a half out, so keep an eye on it.

Bottom line: Tuesday the 18th is your best bet – get out there early. Friday the 28th is one to watch, but don’t hold your breath on the long-range stuff.

Rusty

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