Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's check out what's cookin' at Ninja's. This is a reef break, exposed to the swell, and it's a beginner-friendly spot that's fairly consistent. The water's sittin' at a warm 85°, which is pretty much average for this time of year. We've got a slow start, but the second half of the window is where the real action is.

The first few days, from Wednesday the 12th through the weekend, are a bit of a mixed bag. We've got a moderate energy SSE swell around 4ft, with a period of 10-11 seconds, putting the combined energy in the moderate range (445 to 396). The wind is mostly cross-off from the west, which keeps things clean, but the scores are low. You'll find some clean waves on Friday morning and Saturday morning, but the conditions are a bit marginal. Don't expect much.

There's a real lull on Sunday the 16th, with the energy dropping to 320 and the wind going cross-shore, making for some poor surf. Then Monday the 17th rolls around, and we start to see a shift. The swell direction swings to the SSW, and the period jumps up to 21 seconds for the afternoon – that's proper groundswell. The energy skyrockets to 1754 (strong), and the waves are a clean 4ft. It's still a bit marginal, but you can feel the pulse coming.

Now, here's the standout. Tuesday the 18th is the one to circle. Morning and afternoon, we've got clear skies, a clean cross-off wind from the west at 9 mph, and a solid 6ft to 7ft SSW groundswell. The period is 18 seconds, and the combined energy is up at 2352 and 2519 – that's strong, powerful surf. This is excellent for experienced surfers, as it might be a bit much for the beginners. The reef setup here is perfect for that long-period energy, so expect some well-shaped, punchy waves. It's going to be a high-quality session.

Wednesday the 19th still has some good leftovers, with a 6ft SSW swell in the morning and a clean 4ft S swell in the afternoon, both carrying that long period. The energy is still strong (1699-1457). After that, the swell slowly backs off through the rest of the week and into the next, with a mix of S and SSW swells dropping to around 2ft to 4ft. The wind stays mostly cross or cross-off, but the energy falls away to a moderate 300-500 range. Things get pretty quiet until around Tuesday the 25th, when we see a bit of a pulse again – a 5ft to 6ft SSW swell pops up, but the wind is cross-shore from the SW, making it a bit bumpy. Still, for the more patient surfer, there's something to work with.

So, to sum it up: the early part of the forecast is a bit flat and average. The real magic is on Tuesday the 18th of August – that's your best bet by a long shot, with strong, clean, long-period groundswell for the experienced crew. After that, it's a slow fade with a few small windows of opportunity.

Rusty.

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