Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Right, let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for Ninja’s (reef). It’s a fairly consistent spot, exposed to the swell, and it picks up a southerly direction best. The water temp is sitting at 84°F, which is just about bang on average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

We’ve got a bit of a wait on our hands for anything worthwhile. The first few days are pretty average—Tuesday the 7th and Wednesday the 8th only show small, 2ft to 3ft swells from the SW with a solid 14 to 15-second period, which is proper groundswell, and the cross-off winds will keep things tidy. But the energy is weak (388 and 313), so don’t expect much push. The forecast is calling them marginal, and I’d agree—not really worth paddling out for unless you’re desperate.

Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th see a bump up to 4ft and 3ft from the SSW, still long-period, and the combined energy climbs into moderate territory (613 and 487). Winds stay cross-off and light, which is a major plus for clean faces. Thursday morning is the pick of those two, with that moderate energy and decent shape.

Now, the first standout comes on Tuesday the 14th of July. Early morning we get a 5ft swell from the SSE, 11-second period, and a combined energy of 753—that’s solid moderate energy. Winds are light, cross-off from the west, and conditions are clean. The reef will handle that direction well, and it’s not too big for most surfers. This is the best session on offer by a fair margin. Expect some punchy lines with these longer-period waves, and it’s a reef, so the shape should be there.

There’s another promising window on Wednesday the 15th of July morning, with a 4ft SSE swell, 10-second period, and 582 energy. Still clean, still cross-off, and a solid option if you missed Tuesday.

After that, the quality drops off. From Thursday the 16th onwards the winds shift cross and cross-on, and a lot of the sessions are labelled poor or marginal. The swell sticks around the 2ft to 4ft range but period drops and the breeze churns things up. By the 19th and 20th it’s mostly cross-on slop—not worth a drive.

For the second week, the 22nd of July shows a small uptick: 3ft to 3ft from the SSE, 9 seconds, with cross-off winds and clean surfaces. The energy is low (204 to 228), so it’s a small wave option for a grovel, but nothing to get excited about.

Overall, the one to circle is Tuesday the 14th of July—morning session at Ninja’s. That’s your best chance at some proper, clean, moderate-energy surf. The rest is pretty average.

Rusty.

Read more