Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.

First up, we’ve got a solid run of surf starting from Saturday the 25th of July. The standout window is the opening weekend, especially Saturday and Sunday. The water temp is sitting at 86°F which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Saturday morning (25th July) at Ninja's is looking like the pick of the early days. We’ve got a clean 3ft swell pushing in from the SSW, with a period of 12 seconds – that’s a nice groundswell, giving the waves some shape and push. The wind is a light 3 mph from the west, a cross-off breeze that’ll keep the faces clean. Sure, the swell is modest, but the combined energy is moderate (410) and the conditions are right. This is a reef break, so that long-period swell will set up nicely. Crowds are often here, so expect some company, but for a beginner-friendly reef with clean lines, this is a solid call.

Saturday afternoon bumps up to 4ft from the SSE, period drops to 10 seconds, still clean with 6 mph cross-off breeze. The energy rises to 528. It’s a bit more size, but still very manageable.

Sunday (26th July) stays in the game. Morning sees 5ft from the SE, 10-second period, and that same clean cross-off wind from the west at 9 mph. The energy is up to 700 – moderate to strong. This is the best size of the first few days. The afternoon holds similar wave height and a longer 11-second period, energy pushing to 818. If you can get out Sunday morning, you’ll be looking at the best combination of size and cleanliness.

From Monday (27th July) onward, things start to slip. The swell drops back to 4ft, and while the wind stays favourable, the scores drop. It’s marginal, with some questionable tide conditions mentioned. The energy drops to around 500 and then 448. Not a write-off, but not the cracker the weekend was.

Tuesday (28th July) through to the end of the first week gets messy. The wind swings more cross-shore, speeds pick up to 12-16 mph, and the swell becomes a mix of short-period and long-period scraps. The combined energy is moderate, but the conditions are choppy with cross-chop. Not great for a paddle board. From Tuesday to Thursday, the surf quality is poor to marginal at best. The 2ft to 4ft swells are there, but the wind is spoiling the party.

Friday (31st July) sees a bit of a shift. The wind turns back to a cross-off from the west at 16-19 mph, keeping it clean. The morning has a 3ft SE swell, but the energy is lower (360). The afternoon brings a 3ft SW swell with a 17-second period – that’s very long period. Energy jumps to 784. That long period will make for some nice lines on the reef, but the size is small. Worth a check if you’re desperate.

The first week of August is a real mixed bag. The wind is consistently moderate to fresh from the west, keeping the surface clean for the most part, but the swell heights are all over the place – 2ft to 5ft. The energy stays moderate, and the scores are low. The only real spike comes on Friday the 7th of August and Saturday the 8th of August. The Friday afternoon has a 3ft SSW swell with a 19-second period and energy of 1065 – that’s strong. Saturday morning follows with a 4ft SSW swell, 19-second period, and energy of 1238. That’s proper strong. The wind is a fresh 22 mph cross-off, so it will be bumpy but clean. This is a long-range standout – promising, but with that much wind, it’s a gamble. The sets will be long and powerful, best on the reef at Ninja's. If it comes together, it could be the best of the whole run.

Sunday the 9th of August finishes the period with a 3ft SSW swell, 16-second period, energy 807, and 19 mph cross-off wind. Marginal.

Overall, the best bet is this coming weekend (25th-26th July) for the best combination of clean conditions and solid, rideable swell. The long-range window around the 7th-8th August has the power, but the wind is a real factor. There’s a gap of poor to marginal days in between, but that’s how it goes sometimes.

Rusty.

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