Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me tell you what I’m seeing for the next couple of weeks at Ninja’s. It’s a reef setup, exposed to the swell, and it’s a beginner-friendly wave when it’s working. But don’t get too excited too fast – the start is a bit of a slow burn.

The water temperature is about average for this time of year, so nothing weird going on there.

We kick things off on Wednesday the 12th with a bit of hope. Morning shows a clean 4ft SSE swell, with a period around 11 seconds, and a light cross-off breeze. The energy is moderate (451). It’s not huge, but it’s rideable and clean. The afternoon picks up a bit more energy (470) but the wind picks up too, making it more marginal with the tide.

Thursday the 13th is a write-off – the wind goes cross and the conditions get choppy. Friday the 14th is a bit better, with a morning clean-up but the swell is still small and mixed. Saturday the 15th afternoon is the first real highlight of this run. We’ve got a clean 4ft SSE swell, light cross-off breeze, and the conditions are clean. The energy is solid (392). It’s not a stand-out for the ages, but it’s a good, fun little wave for a beginner to get some practice on.

Now, hold on to your board. The real standout is coming up on Tuesday the 18th. This is the one. We’re looking at a 7ft SSW groundswell, with a very long period of 18 seconds. The energy is pumping hard (2528). That’s a serious push of water. The wind is a light cross-off, and conditions are clean. This is a big, powerful wave – it’s going to be too much for beginners, but for experienced surfers, this is a top-tier session. Wednesday the 19th holds onto that quality with a slightly smaller 5ft SSW swell, still with a long period and clean conditions. That’s two days of quality.

After that, the energy drops off. The rest of the week into the weekend is a mix of smaller, less consistent SSW and S swells. The wind stays mostly cross or cross-off, but the wave height drops below 3ft and the energy fades. There’s nothing to write home about until the following week, which looks pretty average – a mix of small S swells, moderate winds, and a lot of chop. The 16-day window ends with a stormy, choppy, poor outlook on the 27th.

So, the play is clear: Saturday the 15th afternoon for a relaxed, clean beginner-friendly wave, but the absolute standout is Tuesday the 18th for the experienced crew. That’s the day to call in sick.

Rusty

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