Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, check it out. Let's talk about what's coming up at Ninja's. This is a reef break, and it's pretty consistent, so even when things are quiet, there's usually a little something to work with.

Right now, we're looking at a bit of a slow start. Wednesday morning is a write-off, with small cross-onshore wind and ripples. Not worth paddling out. That afternoon is cross-shore and messy, too.

Thursday the 23rd is where we start to see a change. The wind swings offshore and light, and the swell cleans right up. We're looking at a clean 4ft to 4ft SSE swell with a period of 9-10 seconds. The energy is moderate (337-401). It's not going to be pumping, but it will be clean and fun, perfect for a beginner on a reef. The water temp is about average for this time of year, maybe a touch warmer than usual.

Then Friday the 24th morning is a real standout. The wind is offshore, light, and the swell drops to 2ft, but it's a clean SW groundswell with a solid 13-second period. The energy is solid (413). That long period means the waves will have some shape and power, and the offshore wind will make it glassy. For a small wave, this is the best bet of the early run.

Saturday the 25th continues the clean streak. The swell picks up to 4ft from the SE by the afternoon, with a 10-second period, and the energy jumps up to 522. The wind is cross-offshore and light. It's a very good session on the cards.

The swell builds through Sunday the 26th, hitting 5ft from the SE with a period of 11-12 seconds. The energy is strong (832-818), but the wind goes cross-shore, and the forecast flags it as marginal. It's gonna be a bit bumpy.

The following week is a mixed bag. Monday through Wednesday the 30th sees a lot of cross-shore wind and chop, with the swell dropping and then changing direction. The energy stays moderate to strong, but the quality is poor due to the wind. There's a long period SSW groundswell (16-20 seconds) coming through on the 28th and 29th, but it's small, only 3ft to 3ft, and the wind is messy. That long period on a small swell at a reef can be tricky, but it's worth a look if you're desperate.

From Thursday the 30th, the wind turns more offshore again, but the swell is inconsistent. The energy is high (582-923) but the wave heights are only 3ft to 4ft. The pattern is there, but the quality is just marginal.

Look, the real standout here is the small window of clean, offshore conditions from Friday the 24th to Saturday the 25th. That's the best on offer. The swell is small, but the quality is high. After that, the wind and swell get messy, and the crowds at Ninja's can be a factor, so be prepared for company, especially if it's decent.

The crowd can be "often" here, so don't expect a solo session. But for a beginner-friendly reef break with clean conditions, it's a solid option.

If you're looking at the end of the run, the first week of August has some big energy numbers (up to 1707) and a long period SSW swell, but the wind is cross-offshore and the waves are still only 4ft to 5ft. It's a watch-and-wait situation. The forecast is always a bit less certain that far out, but it could turn into something promising.

Rusty.

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