Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but once the swell kicks in, there’s some real potential on the horizon. The first few days are a bit of a tease, with small, clean waves that are more about getting a few cruisey ones than anything with real power. But hold on, because the second week looks like a proper groundswell event is on the cards, with a lot more energy and size.

The standout here is Ninja's, a reef break that’s fairly consistent. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, but don’t let that fool you, when the swell lines up, it can handle some juice. The water temp is sitting at 85°, which is about 1° warmer than average for this time of year, so it’s a touch on the warm side, but nothing crazy.

The first decent window starts on Thursday, September 3rd into the weekend. The swell is small, around 4ft to 5ft from the SSE, with a period of 10 to 11 seconds. The combined energy is moderate (589) on Thursday afternoon, dropping a bit over the weekend. But the real story here is the wind. For Saturday morning and Sunday, we’re looking at glassy conditions – that’s a massive win. The waves will be clean, with a light cross-offshore breeze. It’s not going to be epic, but for a fun, easy session, Sunday morning and afternoon (September 6th) are the pick of this early period. Expect little rippable rollers.

We then hit a bit of a lull from Monday, September 7th, through to Wednesday, September 9th. The swell drops to 3ft or less, and the wind picks up, making it a bit choppy. It’s not terrible, but it’s not worth getting excited about.

Then, things get interesting. From Thursday, September 10th, a new groundswell arrives from the SSW. The period jumps to 16 seconds, and the combined energy rockets up to 1515 – that’s strong. The swell height is 5ft, which is about the top end for beginners, but still very manageable for anyone with a bit of experience. The wind is a cross-offshore from the WNW, keeping the surface clean. However, because this is a long-period groundswell (over 15 seconds), it’s going to be better at a reef break like this one, as it can be a bit too straight for beach breaks. The gaps between sets will be longer, but the waves themselves will have real shape and push.

This bigger swell holds through Friday, September 11th, and into Saturday, September 12th, with the energy staying high (around 1400-1500). The swell drops a bit in size on Saturday to 4ft, but the period is still 14-16 seconds, and the wind stays clean. The standout session in this whole run is probably Thursday, September 10th, with the new 5ft, 16-second SSW groundswell and clean conditions. It’s the most powerful and consistent looking day of the whole 16-day window.

After that, the swell slowly fades through the second week. The period drops, but we still see some fun waves around 3ft to 4ft, with moderate energy, up until about Tuesday, September 15th. After that, the wind gets a bit more cross-shore and the conditions become more marginal, with a smaller, weaker swell. The final few days (September 17th and 18th) see a return of some longer period energy (17 seconds), but the swell is only 3ft and the wind is messy, making it a bit of a gamble.

So, to sum it up: the best bet is Sunday, September 6th, for the glassy, small surf, but the real power and the true stand-out is Thursday, September 10th, with that solid 5ft, 16-second SSW groundswell and clean offshore winds. That’s the one to circle on the calendar.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty.

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