Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get into it.

We’ve got a bit of a mixed bag coming up for Ninja's. It’s a reef setup, exposed to the south, so it’s picking up whatever the ocean throws at it. Water temp is 86°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can leave the springsuit at home.

The first real window of surf kicks off on Wednesday morning. We're looking at a clean 4ft of swell from the southeast, with a 9-second period. The wind is glassy, almost nothing out of the WSW, and that's a big deal. It’s going to be super clean, and while the energy is only moderate at 610, it’s a solid, surfable morning. The afternoon drops a bit to 2ft but the period jumps to 17 seconds, a proper groundswell, with energy picking up to 671. That long period will make it better shaped but might also make it a bit fat on a reef. Still, very good conditions are on the cards.

Thursday through the weekend sees the swell filling in more. We’re looking at chest to head-high surf, with waves around 4ft to 5ft. The swell direction swings to the SSW, which is not quite the magic S direction this spot likes, but it's still workable. The period stays long, mostly 15-17 seconds, which means a lot of water moving around. Energy climbs into the thousands, so there's plenty of push. The wind stays cross-offshore out of the west, which keeps the face clean, but it does pick up to 12-15 mph, putting a bit of texture on it. It's not glassy, but it's still good, and the surf is consistent.

Now, the standout period looks like Friday afternoon into Saturday morning. The swell pushes up to 5ft, with energy hitting 2692 on Friday and 2463 on Saturday. The period is a solid 16-17 seconds. It’s the biggest, most powerful swell of the first week. However, winds are moderate and cross-offshore, and there is a risk of thunderstorms around. It’s still going to be a proper reef break with some push to it. That’s your pick if you want some size and grunt.

Sunday sees it start to back off a little, down to 5ft and then 3ft in the afternoon, with energy dropping. The winds stay moderate from the WNW.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. Monday the 14th throws in a 8ft swell on the morning, but the period is a junky 8 seconds. That’s windswell, not the good stuff. It'll be lumpy and maybe a bit too much for the beginner crew. The rest of the week, from the 15th to the 18th, is pretty lackluster. Heights hover around 3ft to 4ft, periods vary, and the energy is weak to moderate. Friday the 18th afternoon has a clean 3ft with a 17-second period, but it's not going to be anything to write home about.

The second week gets a bit more interesting but is more of a "keep an eye on it" situation. Saturday the 19th sees a bump back up to 6ft - 5ft of SSW swell, but the wind goes more cross-shore, which will chop it up. Not ideal. The following days see the swell hold around 4ft to 4ft, but the winds are stronger from the west, and the periods drop down to 9-12 seconds by the end of the week. It's not a clean forecast, and the conditions start to degrade.

From the 23rd on, it goes pretty flat and junky, with poor conditions and weak energy. The window closes.

So, where does that leave us? Your best bets are the Wednesday morning glass, and the bigger, more powerful Friday afternoon into Saturday morning window. That's the one to circle on the calendar.

Rusty

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