Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s get into it, mate.

The next week and a half is shaping up to be a real treat for Ninja's. There’s a solid run of clean, surfable days coming up, especially from Wednesday the 22nd right through to the start of the following week. The water temp is sitting at a nice 85°, which is about average for this time of year – no shock to the system.

The window kicks off Wednesday afternoon, 22nd July. We’ve got 4ft of swell from the SSE with a period of 8 seconds. The energy is moderate (246), and with a light cross-offshore breeze, the waves will be looking clean. It’s a beginner-friendly reef break, good for learning the ropes, but the crowds are often around, so keep your eyes peeled for a peak.

Thursday, 23rd July, rolls in with similar conditions – 4ft to 4ft SSE swell, the period stretching to 9-10 seconds, and the energy picks up nicely (327-401). Still clean, still cross-offshore. Friday morning sees a risk of thunderstorms, but the surf holds at 4ft and the wind stays light, so don’t let a bit of cloud put you off.

The standout day, and the one I’d circle in permanent marker, is Saturday the 25th of July. Saturday afternoon brings 4ft of SE swell with a period of 10 seconds and combined energy hitting 522 – that’s proper moderate wave energy. The wind is a light cross-offshore, so the surface will be glassy. This is where Ninja’s really shines. If you can get out there, do it.

Sunday the 26th is the other absolute ripper. We’re talking 5ft to 5ft of SE swell, the period pushing to 11-12 seconds, and the energy jumps to 777-827. The wind is barely a whisper – a slight air from the WSW and WNW. That’s as good as it gets for a reef break like this. The water will be smooth as silk.

We hit a bit of a lull from Monday the 27th through Tuesday the 28th, with the swell dropping and the winds turning cross-shore, bringing in some small crossing wind ripples. The energy is moderate but the quality dips.

Then, Wednesday the 29th of July brings a surprise. Wednesday morning shows a 3ft swell from the SSW with a very long period of 20 seconds. The energy is high (768), and the wind stays cross-offshore clean. That long period groundswell will wrap beautifully into Ninja’s reef. Just be ready for the longer lulls between sets.

From Thursday the 30th onwards, things get a bit messy. The wind picks up, turning cross-shore with a moderate breeze and a cross-chop. The swell builds again, but the quality goes out the window. The period on the 31st gets back up to 16-18 seconds, with combined energy spiking over 1000 and even 1246 – that’s strong energy. But the wind is cross-shore and choppy, so this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The second week, from the 1st of August, is a mixed bag. There are glimpses of clean surf on Sunday the 2nd and Monday the 3rd afternoons, with 3ft swells from the SSW and SW, long 16-second periods, and cross-offshore winds. But the mornings and other days are plagued by risk of thunderstorms and cross-shore breezes. The energy remains high (663-737), so there’s plenty of power in the water, but finding a clean window will take some patience.

The last few days, from the 4th to the 6th of August, see the wind strengthen again, and with swell coming from the S and SSW, the cross-shore wind will keep conditions marginal. The energy is still significant (up to 1240), but for a paddle surfer, it’s not going to be the most enjoyable. Keep an eye on that Wednesday the 5th – 4ft of SSW swell with a strong 18-second period – but only if the wind drops.

Best on offer: Saturday 25th and Sunday 26th of July. No question. Clean, consistent, and glassy. Get on it.

Rusty.

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