Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey there, Rusty here, taking a look at what we've got coming up. Just the one spot on the radar for this whole 16-day stretch, so let's get into it.

The break we are watching is Ninja's. It's a reef setup, wide open to the south. The water's a warm 87°, which is a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, so don't bother with a thick wetsuit. It's rated as a beginner-friendly break, and it breaks fairly consistently, but fair warning—crowds are a common sight here.

The real standout session kicks off on Wednesday, September 9th in the afternoon. We're looking at a tiny 0.8 ft swell from the SSW, but the period is a very long 17 seconds. That groundswell energy combined with a light 10 km/h cross-off breeze will keep the surface smooth. Combined energy is a moderate 671, but for a small, clean, lined-up wave, this is the one to hit.

After that, we're surfing through a mixed bag. From Thursday the 10th through the weekend, the swell bumps up to 5 ft to 5 ft from the same SSW direction, with a really nice 16 to 19-second period. But the wind is the problem—moderate to fresh breezes at 20-30 km/h, always cross-off. The wave energy gets strong, peaking at 2803, but the surface won't be clean. The notes keep saying "marginal" and it’s all due to wind and tide timing. It'll be a bumpy ride.

The beginning of the second week, from Thursday the 17th to Friday the 18th, the wind eases to a gentle breeze. Swell drops to 2 ft to 4 ft from the SW. There are notes of "very good surf conditions," but with the small size and questionable tides, it’s strictly a small-wave day.

From Saturday the 19th onward, it turns ugly. The wind howls back up to 30 km/h, creating lumpy, choppy conditions. By Sunday the 20th, we've got fresh cross-shore winds and poor quality waves. From Monday the 21st of September through to Thursday the 24th, the swell drops to 3 ft or less with a short 9-11 second period. The wave energy drops to a very weak 259. The conditions are consistently listed as poor. It's a write-off.

So, to sum it up: the only true gem is that Wednesday afternoon window the first day. The rest is either wind-blown or plain poor. For a beginner reef break, the stronger, windier days especially after the 19th won't be much fun.

Keep an eye on the sky, and don't force it.

Rusty

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