Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here. Look, I’ll be straight with you – for the first week of this outlook, it’s pretty average. Nothing to write home about from Thursday 13th right through to Sunday 16th. We get some cross-shore winds and weak energy, with swell heights only around 3 ft to 5 ft from the SSE. The wind is mainly cross or cross-off, but the conditions are either poor or marginal. The combined energy is moderate, sitting between 265 and 529, but the waves just aren’t coming together. There’s no standout here, so don’t rush down to Ninja's (reef break) just yet – it’s likely to be crowded often, and the surf’s not worth the fight.

Now, hold onto your board, because things fire up from Monday 17th. That’s when we get a proper groundswell with a very long period of 22 seconds on Monday morning, jumping to 21 seconds by the afternoon. The combined energy rockets up to 815 on Monday morning and then smashes into 1754 by Monday afternoon – that’s strong wave energy. The swell direction swings to SSW, and the winds shift to cross-off, with a light breeze. On Monday afternoon, we get 4 ft swell with clean conditions, and it’s excellent for experienced surfers. Then Tuesday 18th is the real standout: clear skies, light cross-off winds, and a pumping 6 ft to 7 ft SSW swell with an 18-second period. The combined energy peaks at 2519 – that’s very strong. This is big, clean, and powerful. Because the period is over 15 seconds, Ninja's reef setup will handle it beautifully, but be warned – with the size over 5 ft, it’s not for beginners. This is for the crew who know what they’re doing, and it’s the best on offer. Water temperature is sitting at a warm 85°F, which is about average for this time of year, so you’ll be comfortable.

Wednesday 19th keeps the momentum with 6 ft SSW swell in the morning and 4 ft in the afternoon, both clean. Thursday 20th follows with clean 4 ft to 3 ft SSW swell, still with excellent conditions. After that, from Friday 21st, the energy drops off fast. The combined energy falls back under 500, winds go cross-shore, and the swell gets smaller and weaker. The surf turns poor again through the weekend of 22nd and 23rd. But then, from Monday 24th afternoon through to Wednesday 26th, we get a small cleanup with light cross-off winds and 3 ft to 5 ft SSE swell. It’s not huge, but combined energies climb back to 557 by Tuesday afternoon, and conditions are described as good to very good.

Thursday 27th and Friday 28th also offer some tidy, clean waves with SSW swell, periods around 14 to 16 seconds, and combined energies in the 500 to 800 range. These are the smaller, cleaner days for a longboard or a fish, with light winds and clean faces. It’s not the monster surf of the 18th, but it’s a nice way to finish the window.

So, the standout is Tuesday 18th – that’s the day to clear your diary for some serious SSW groundswell at Ninja's. Get it while it’s clean and powerful.

Rusty.

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