Ninja's Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what Ninja’s has got cooking for us for the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water temperature is sitting at 84°, which is right about average for this time of year – nothing unusual there, just your standard warm bath.

Honestly, the first week is a bit of a struggle. We’ve got some small swell rolling in, but it’s mostly cross-shore winds and the quality is just not there. Friday the 21st through to the end of the month is a real mixed bag of marginal surf and poor conditions. The wave energy is weak to moderate at best, with the combined energy reading between 174 and 501. The swell is short-period too, mostly under 14 seconds, so the waves are lacking that real punch. You’ll be battling cross-shore chop more than anything else. It’s not looking like a great time to paddle out, honestly.

Now, if you’ve got patience, the real story starts to shape up around Sunday the 30th of August. That’s when we see a proper groundswell start to fill in. The morning of the 30th brings a 5ft swell from the SSW, with a very long period of 19 seconds, and the combined energy jumps right up to 1807 – that’s strong wave energy. The wind swings cross-offshore from the W, so the lineup should be clean. By the afternoon, it’s even bigger at 6ft, and the energy is 2606. This is where it gets interesting.

The standout is definitely Monday the 31st of August. Morning and afternoon both see solid 7ft and 6ft SSW swell, with a period of 18 seconds and energy readings hitting 3902 and 3651. That’s very strong energy. The wind stays cross-offshore from the W, so it’s going to be clean. That said, this is getting into expert territory – over 8ft it’s only for the experienced crew. Ninja’s is a reef break, so that long-period groundswell will wrap in nicely, and the optimum swell direction is S, which is close to what we’re getting. It’s a fairly consistent spot, but keep in mind it can get crowded often. This is the best stretch of the outlook, no question.

After that, the swell backs off a bit through the first week of September, and the winds turn more cross-shore, introducing some chop. The energy drops back down to moderate levels, and the quality gets marginal again. It’s a long grind of 4ft to 5ft swell with mixed wind conditions until the 5th of September. On the 5th, the afternoon shows a 4ft SE swell with light cross-offshore winds and clean conditions, but the energy is only 423, so it’s a weak finish.

Overall, the first week is a write-off. The real action is that Sunday the 30th through Monday the 31st. If you’re an expert, that Monday is your window. For everyone else, just keep an eye on the forecasts – things can change.

Rusty.

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