Las Cuevas Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here. Look, I've been staring at the charts for your area, and I gotta be straight with you – it's a bit of a tough stretch. The next week and a half is mostly a write-off for anything decent, but there's a little glimmer of hope right at the end of the forecast period worth keeping an eye on.

Let's talk about Las Cuevas. This is a reef break, so it can handle a bit of direction, but man, the conditions are just not playing ball. The water is currently sitting at 51°F, which is a whopping 4°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that's seriously unusual.

We kick off on Saturday, 18 July, with a tiny 3ft east swell and a period of 10 seconds. The wind is on it from the SSE, and the combined energy is a weak 136. It's just poor surf. That theme carries right through the weekend and into the middle of the week. Everything is small, choppy, and cross-onshore. There's a moment on Tuesday morning, 21 July, where the wind goes glassy, but the swell is only 2ft with a combined energy of just 68. It's surfable, but only just.

From Wednesday, 22 July, through to the end of the month, it's a real mixed bag of tiny, wonky swells and messy winds. The 25th of July has a 25 mph cross-offshore wind, but that's just howling, and the swell is a pathetic 1ft. Not worth paddling out for.

The real kicker comes on Wednesday, 29 July. We get a pulse of swell from the SSE at 8ft, but it's a short period of 8 seconds. The combined energy jumps to 588, which is moderate, but the wind is light cross-onshore, making it look messy. It's a "marginal" call. At 8ft, it's pushing into the territory where it's not for beginners, and the wind is not helping.

The standout for the whole 16 days is Thursday, 30 July. The swell from the S drops a touch to 5ft, but the period stretches out to a nice 11 seconds, giving it some proper groundswell punch. The combined energy is a solid 656 (moderate), and the wind swings around to the NNW at 16 mph, which is offshore. That's a clean, offshore line-up. The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions" and I believe it. The water is still that warm anomaly, but the waves will be the best we've seen. This is the one session to aim for.

After that, the swell fades back into the 3ft to 4ft range for the first few days of August, with clean conditions on Sunday, 2 August, but nothing that will get your heart racing like that Thursday.

The rest of the window is a lot of "poor surf conditions" and "clean" but tiny waves. It's a long wait for that one day, but it's the only real opportunity on the table.

Rusty.

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