La Caffrine Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's coming down the line for our patch.

We're starting off with a bit of a slow build. The first real chance to get wet is on Wednesday the 22nd. It's not a classic, but it's a start. The main event, the one that has me pacing, is a run of really good conditions starting from the end of the first week and into the start of August. There's a bit of a flat spot early on the second week, but the tail end of the forecast looks promising. All the action is at La Caffrine.

Wednesday morning the 22nd will see a solid 6ft of south swell rolling in at 13 seconds. The water is a touch warmer than normal at 76°F. The real story here is the wind—dead glassy with a light W breeze. That combined swell energy is pumping at (1231), so there's plenty of grunt, but at 6ft it's a bit much for the beginners. This is one for the experienced crew. The afternoon goes a little cross-onshore, and the quality drops right off.

Thursday the 23rd is a write-off. Cross-shore winds in the 12 mph range and a cross-chop make it not worth looking at.

Now, Friday the 24th is where it starts to turn. The morning looks clean with glassy conditions and a 4ft swell from the SSW. Then Friday afternoon? This is a standout. Glassy conditions, a 4ft swell, but look at that combined energy climbing to (1474). It's clean, it's got push, and with the swell coming from the SSW, it's lining up beautifully. The water's still pleasant, and the crowd factor is a possibility here, so get in early.

Saturday the 25th continues the form. Glassy all day, 5ft of clean swell, and the combined energy is still in the sweet spot (997 to 883). This is the kind of weekend session you dream about.

Sunday the 26th gets a bit messy with a cross-onshore wind and a drop in swell size, so we'll give that a miss. But then Monday the 27th... whoa. The morning shows a massive 10ft swell from the SW combined with a glassy wind. The combined energy is off the charts at (4935). However, at this break and for this size, it's simply too big to be any fun. The afternoon drops to a still-very-large 8ft. This is big-wave territory for experts only, and even then, it's right on the limit.

The real sweet spot kicks in from Tuesday the 28th through Thursday the 30th. Tuesday morning delivers 7ft of SW swell with glassy conditions and a combined energy of (2194). This is premium, powerful surf for the experienced surfer. The afternoon and Wednesday morning hold that quality with 6ft and glassy winds. Thursday the 30th is another top-tier morning with 5ft and clean conditions.

Then, we get a bit of a lull on Friday the 31st and Saturday the 1st of August. Friday morning is good, 8ft of SSW swell and glassy, but the energy is up and down. Saturday the 1st of August is a serious contender for the pick of the fortnight. Dead glassy, 8ft of SSW groundswell with a 16-second period, and a combined energy of (3162). That's a long-period groundswell full of power. It's going to be a heavy, demanding wave at this size, strictly for the confident lot. A long period like that can make beach breaks a bit straight, but if there's a reef or point at La Caffrine, it'll be unreal. Crowds are a possibility here.

Sunday the 2nd of August is a strange one. Morning is a gem—glassy, 5ft of S swell, huge 17-second period and a combined energy of (3203). That is very long-period groundswell, meaning it will have heaps of energy and long lulls between sets. The afternoon, however, spikes to a messy 10ft from the ESE with a short 9-second period—way too big and not organized.

After that, the beginning of the second week from Monday the 3rd to Tuesday the 4th is a complete write-off with strong cross-shore winds and poor surf, dropping to just 4ft and weak energy. It turns quiet.

Things perk back up towards the end of the forecast. Wednesday the 5th and Thursday the 6th of August see the swell dip but the wind turns cross-offshore, creating clean, although smaller, waves. Thursday afternoon the 6th is a nice little surprise: 5ft of SSW swell, a 17-second period, clean cross-offshore wind, and a combined energy of (1890). A fine way to wrap up the run.

If you're picking your days, Friday 24th afternoon, Tuesday 28th morning, and Saturday 1st of August morning are your standout windows. The swell is solid, the wind is on your side, and the ocean has got plenty of energy.

Rusty.

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