Black Rocks Jetty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, it’s Rusty here. Right, let’s have a look at what’s happening at Black Rocks Jetty over the next sixteen days. We’ve got a solid run of surf on the horizon, with a real standout window that’s going to get the blood pumping. Water temp is sitting at 76°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year – not a bad thing for a long session.

The forecast kicks off Friday the 24th of July with a clean, cross-off breeze and 1.5m (about 5ft) swell from the south at 9 seconds, combined wave energy of 772 (moderate). It’s a good way to start, but the real juice shows up Friday afternoon: glassy conditions, 1.1m (about 4ft) south-west groundswell at 14 seconds, energy bumping to 823 (moderate). Just clean and lined up.

Saturday the 25th keeps the trend with morning offshores and 1.1m (4ft) south-west swell at 13 seconds (724 energy). Saturday afternoon the wind picks up a bit, still cross-off, but it’s a touch messier. Sunday the 26th brings a very long-period south-west groundswell – 20 seconds! That’s train-like energy at 812 (moderate), but at only 0.8m (3ft) it’s small and those long-period swells can be a bit straight for a reef setup. Still, the morning’s clean.

Now, here’s the standout. Monday the 27th of July – this is the one. Morning starts glass with a solid 2.5m (about 8ft) south-west groundswell at 16 seconds, combined energy roaring to 3298 (very strong). That’s serious power. This is expert territory no doubt – over 2.5m (8ft), so not for beginners. The afternoon stays glassy with the same size and energy. This is about as good as it gets here, and the optimum swell direction is dead-on from the south-west.

Tuesday the 28th holds size, with 1.8m (6ft) in the morning and 2.3m (8ft) in the afternoon, both glassy or near-glass, excellent shape. The energy stays strong in the 2700–2975 range. Wednesday the 29th is still pumping with 1.9m (6ft) to 1.7m (6ft), glassy, and even a rain shower on the arvo doesn’t hurt the texture. This whole stretch from Monday through Wednesday is the peak.

Thursday the 30th sees a dip in quality with some onshore wind in the morning, but the afternoon cleans up with 1.6m (5ft) and cross-off breeze (1239 energy). Friday the 31st has another solid morning: 2.0m (7ft) glassy, 1832 energy. The weekend of August 1st and 2nd stays very consistent with 1.2m (4ft) to 1.8m (6ft), all glassy, and energy in the 1000–1500 range – nice, clean, reliable waves.

Into the second week, Monday the 3rd of August has a 1.9m (6ft) morning with onshore wind, but the afternoon cleans up again. Tuesday the 4th and Wednesday the 5th see smaller and more onshore conditions, energy dropping. By Thursday the 6th, we’re back to glassy mornings with 1.3m (4ft), energy 928 (moderate). Friday the 7th is marginal in the morning but glassy in the arvo. Saturday the 8th fades out with small 0.9m (3ft) swells and onshore wind – not worth chasing.

So to wrap it up: the absolute best is Monday the 27th through Wednesday the 29th of July – big, clean, powerful south-west groundswell, expert-level, and glassy. Make those days count. Black Rocks Jetty can get crowded sometimes, so get in early. After that, the quality holds but the size drops. A solid forecast overall.

That’s it from me. Stay stoked.

Rusty

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