Black Rocks Jetty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's have a look at what's coming down the pipe for Black Rocks Jetty over the next couple of weeks. We've got a solid run of swell on the way, but you've gotta pick your moments.

This is a reef setup, exposed to the southwest, and it's very consistent, so it's got a lot of potential. The water's sitting at a warm 77°F, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can leave the thick rubber at home.

The pattern starts off a bit shaky. Sunday the 26th is a write-off. We've got a small 3ft cross-shore bump in the morning and then a 4ft onshore slop in the afternoon from the SW. The wave energy's there (764 and 1084), but the quality is poor. Not worth paddling out.

Monday the 27th is a step up. The swell builds to a solid 7ft from the SW, with a long period of 16 seconds, and the combined energy is pumping at 3726. The wind is light cross-shore in the morning, shifting cross-onshore in the afternoon. It's still messy, but there's a lot of water moving. This is a big, powerful groundswell at a reef, so it's for the experienced crew only.

Now, Tuesday the 28th is our first true standout. The swell holds at 7ft from the SW, but the period stretches to 15 seconds. The morning is absolute glass with calm winds (0 mph), and the afternoon is near-perfect with a glassy 7ft from the south-southwest at a 17-second period. The combined energy is a massive 2867. This is a long-period groundswell, and on a reef break like Black Rocks, it's going to set up some proper, weighty waves with long waits between sets. If you can sit out there and handle the paddle, this is *the* day for a good one. Wednesday the 29th keeps that magic going with glassy conditions and 7ft to 6ft waves, but it’s a notch below Tuesday.

There's a bit of a dip Thursday the 30th through Saturday the 1st of August. The swell drops back to the 5ft to 6ft range, but with glassy conditions mixing with light cross-onshore winds. It's still surfable, just not the same quality as Tuesday.

Then we hit another absolute gem on Monday the 3rd of August. The swell jumps to 10ft from the south-southwest with a 14-second period, and the combined energy screams up to 3816. The wind is calm and glassy all day. This is a big, solid, clean swell at a reef break. This is expert territory only—8ft is the line, and at 10ft with that energy, it's going to be thick and heavy. Tuesday the 4th is nearly as good with 8ft and glassy winds.

The end of the run fades out from the 5th of August. The wind gets messy and the swell period drops, so the quality falls away significantly. The 8th of August has a small 3ft glassy morning, but the real highlight at the very end is Monday the 10th of August. That morning is perfect: 8ft from the south-southwest at a long 17-second period, with dead-calm, glassy conditions. The combined energy is a massive 3365. It's a long way off, so treat it as a promising call, but if the pattern holds, that could be another absolute cracker.

So, to sum it up: Tuesday the 28th of July and Monday the 3rd of August are your two standouts. The 28th for the clean, long-period groundswell, and the 3rd for the powerful, glassy peak. Both are for the experienced crowd. Don't bother with the first couple of days.

- Rusty

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