Black Rocks Jetty Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let's talk about what's on the table for our local zone.

First up, we've got a fun run of surf coming our way, but it starts off a little uncertain on Monday the 14th. The water is sitting at 76°, which is a touch warmer than what we'd normally expect for this time of year - nothing crazy, just a little bonus warmth.

Monday afternoon is a bit of a washout for a surf at Black Rocks Jetty. There's a 5ft SW swell, but a cross breeze from the SSE is messing with the surface and the whole thing feels marginal. The combined swell energy is sitting at 765, which is moderate, but not worth paddling out for right now.

The real action kicks off on Tuesday the 15th. The morning is looking clean with a 5ft SW swell wrapping in from 18 seconds - that's proper groundswell. The wind is light cross-off from the east, keeping things tidy. Then Tuesday afternoon is the standout: the wind drops to glass, the swell jumps slightly to 6ft from the SSW, and the period is a healthy 17 seconds. The combined energy is a solid 3072. This is going to be smooth, clean, and powerful on the reef. If you're an experienced surfer, this is your window.

Wednesday the 16th keeps the quality high. Morning sees 8ft SSW swell with a 15-second period and glassy conditions - that's expert territory, too big for beginners. The combined energy is massive at 3221. The afternoon drops a touch to 8ft, but still glassy with a 14-second period. Beautiful waves, but definitely for the experienced crew.

Thursday the 17th mornings sees things drop a notch to 5ft from the south, glassy calm, with a 13-second period. Very nice morning session. The afternoon takes a hit as the wind goes cross-on from the south, making it messy and marginal.

From Friday the 18th through Sunday the 21st, we're in a lull. Swell sizes drop to 3ft and below. The conditions are often glassy, but the wave energy is weak, with combined energy numbers under 700. These days are better for a longboard or a rest day. The crowds are noted as "sometimes" at this reef, so it's not a total secret spot, but on these small days it'll be quiet.

Monday the 21st shows a little pulse with a 4ft SSW swell, 16-second period, and glassy offshore winds in the morning. Worth a look if you're keen.

Tuesday the 22nd and Wednesday the 23rd see more small, clean swell in the 3ft to 4ft range, with good winds and glassy or clean conditions. The combined energy is moderate. These are solid days for a cruiser session.

Thursday the 24th morning looks promising again with a 3ft SSW swell but an 18-second period - very long period groundswell. That'll wrap nicely into the reef, with glassy conditions. Combined energy is 747. Should be some quality lines.

Now, looking further ahead, Friday the 25th gets a bit of size back - 6ft to 7ft from the SW, but the wind turns onshore and cross-onshore, making the reports look marginal and choppy. Not worth the paddle.

But then Saturday the 26th and Sunday the 27th are looking like another real highlight. Saturday morning has 6ft SSW swell with a 12-second period and glassy conditions - combined energy of 1669. Saturday afternoon bumps the period up to 16 seconds with 6ft energy at 2217 - excellent, clean conditions for experienced surfers. Sunday morning is the biggest of the run: 7ft from the SSW, 14 seconds, glassy - combined energy of 1978. That's proper, solid surf. The crowd factor is "sometimes," so expect company at a spot this good.

After that, Monday the 28th and Tuesday the 29th trail off again into smaller, clean but weaker swells with the occasional cross-on wind.

Overall, the standout windows are Tuesday afternoon the 15th through Wednesday the 16th, and then Saturday the 26th to Sunday the 27th. Both offer good size, long-period groundswell, and glassy to clean winds at the reef. Black Rocks Jetty is an exposed reef, so it needs that SW to SSW swell, and it's getting it. The long period swell will really stand up and offer some proper waves, but on the biggest days (over 8ft), it's for experts only.

Crowds are a possibility here, but not a guarantee - it's not a total secret spot.

Rusty out.

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