Hornitos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, breaking down the Hornitos forecast for the next couple of weeks. I’m not going to sugarcoat it – we’ve got a lot of days where the wind is just a little too cross-onshore to get the surf glassing off properly. There’s a lot of "so-so" in the data, but a couple of bright spots that are worth the wait.

Kicking off on Monday, July 20th, we’ve got a decent afternoon on the cards. Winds are glassy, barely a breath at 3 mph, and the water temp is about 64°F, feeling a little warmer than usual for this time of year – about 3°F above average. The swell is a modest 4ft from the WSW with an 11-second period. The combined energy is moderate at 367, so there’s some push but nothing overwhelming. It’s a nice little window for a session.

After that, it gets pretty quiet. From Tuesday the 21st through to Sunday the 27th, we’re looking at persistent cross-onshore winds and small, messy waves. A few mornings show marginal conditions, but I wouldn’t bother. Monday the 27th morning brings a shift – the wind comes from the WNW going straight onshore, and the swell is tiny at 3ft, but the period stretches out to 17 seconds. That’s long-period groundswell energy at 530. Those long lulls between sets make paddling out easier, but the waves will be straight and less user-friendly on a beach break. Better for a point or reef.

Now, circle Tuesday, July 28th. The morning swell builds to 4ft from the WSW with a 14-second period, energy climbing to 923. By the afternoon, we’re at 6ft and energy jumps to 1115 – that’s a solid push. The wind stays light at 6 mph from the SW, still cross-onshore but at that low speed it’s manageable. The surf will be a little bumpy, but there’s real power behind it.

The absolute best bet in this forecast is Wednesday, July 30th, in the afternoon. The wind goes glassy again – dead calm at 3 mph from the WSW. Swell drops to 4ft from the SW with a 12-second period and energy at 372. This is clean, lined-up surf with no wind to mess it up. If you only get one session, make it this one. There might be a few people out, but it’ll be worth it.

Then hold on for Sunday, August 2nd. The morning pumps up to 8ft from the SW with a 15-second period – that’s a serious, long-period groundswell. The combined energy is massive at 2706. This is expert-only territory, well over 8ft. The wind is light from the WNW at 3 mph, but still cross-onshore. That size and period will make it heavy, with barrels on the right bank but closeouts on the beach. This one’s for the experienced crew, not beginners.

After that pulse, things fade through the 3rd and 4th of August with smaller, marginal conditions and light breezes.

So to wrap it up: your first good window is Monday the 20th afternoon. The standout glassy session is Wednesday the 30th afternoon. The biggest, heaviest swell hits on Sunday the 2nd of August, but only if you’ve got the skills. The rest is a waiting game. That’s the story from Hornitos.

Rusty.

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