Hiriketya Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your wettie and listen up. It’s Rusty here, and I’ve been staring at the charts for the next couple of weeks. Let’s be straight with each other: it’s a rough stretch ahead for Hiriketya Beach. I’m not seeing any green lights on the horizon, so if you’ve got other things to do, this might be the time to do them.

The pattern for the next 16 days is dominated by a stubborn cross-onshore wind howling out of the west-southwest, which is going to put a messy chop on just about everything. The swell will be there at times, but it’s going to be fighting that onshore breeze the whole way. We’re looking at a lot of “poor surf conditions” across the board, and the odd window of “marginal” at best. It’s going to be a battle for anyone who paddles out.

We kick things off with some swell on Sunday the 30th, but it’s not pretty. We’ve got a 4ft SSW groundswell with a long 19-second period, and the energy is moderate at 1647. But the 25 km/h cross-on wind is going to turn it into a washing machine. The water temp is 83°, which is about average for the time of year, so you won't be cold, but you might be frustrated.

The swell builds on Monday, pushing 8ft, but that’s when it starts to get too big for the beginners and the wind stays messy. The period drops a bit, and the energy reads 3645, which is strong, but the quality is just gone. It’s all cross-onshore chop from there on out.

We roll through the first week with wave heights hovering between 5ft and 7ft. The period is steadily dropping from that initial 19 seconds down to around 13-14 seconds, which is still a decent groundswell, but it doesn't matter much when the surface is blown out. The energy readings stay in the moderate to strong range, hitting 2339 and 1922 on Tuesday, but it's all for nothing with that wind.

On Thursday the 3rd, the energy drops to a three-digit value of 999, marking a slide into weaker conditions. The swell steadily shrinks through the 4th and 5th, and by the 6th, we’re down to a weak 3ft with a short-period 10-second swell. It’s weak and still messy.

Then, on Monday the 7th, we get a long-period pulse of 20 seconds, but it’s tiny. Only 2ft to 3ft. The energy is weak (569), so it’s not doing much, and it’s still onshore. That long period at a point break like this could be a silver lining for the shape, but there isn’t enough size to make it work.

The second week doesn’t offer any reprieve. It’s a rinse and repeat of the same conditions. Cross-on winds, moderate chop, and mediocre swell. On the 11th, the swell bumps back up to 6ft, but the wind is still there, making it a battle. The 12th brings a fresh breeze, with the wind cranking up to 30 km/h for part of the day, making things lumpy. The rest of the run to the 14th is just more of the same – onshore wind and poor quality surf.

Look, I’m not going to sugarcoat it. There is no standout day here. Nothing is offering that window of clean, glassy perfection we all chase.

If you had to go out, you might find something rideable on the back half of a few afternoons, like Tuesday the 9th or Friday the 11th, when the wind goes a bit more cross-shore and the forecast is just "marginal." But even then, it’s a 1/10 call. The break at Hiriketya Beach, a point setup that likes that SW swell, is fairly consistent, but it’s just not going to be clean. The only positive is that with conditions this bad, the crowds, which are sometimes an issue, should stay away.

With swell over 5ft and strong winds, this setup looks more interesting for the kite surfers than us paddle surfers. It’s going to have that bumpy, wind-blown texture they love.

To be honest, this looks like a blank run. It happens. But with a fairly consistent break like this, it never stays poor for long, and the forecasts can change. I’d keep one eye on it, but don't hold your breath.

Stay patient.

Rusty

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