Fourth Beach Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get into it. We've got a solid 16-day window ahead for Fourth Beach, but it's a mixed bag—some real gems, some absolute monsters, and a few that are just plain out of control.

The overall pattern is a long, drawn-out run of solid SSW groundswell. The energy coming through is massive at times, with the combined energy values hitting four and even five digits, meaning we're talking strong to very strong wave energy. The water temp is sitting at 62°, which is pretty much par for the course for this time of year, just a hair above average.

We kick off on Tuesday the 28th with a bit of a sad start. The swell is there at 10ft, but the wind is onshore, and the word on the street is marginal. It's not worth paddling out for. Same story into the afternoon. Best to sit this one out.

Now, Wednesday the 29th is where it starts to get interesting. The morning brings a light offshore breeze from the NNW, and the swell is still pumping at 10ft from the SSW with a period of 13 seconds. That's a solid groundswell. The conditions are clean, and the comment says "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers." That 10ft is getting up there, though—over 8ft, so this is for the advanced crew only. The crowd factor is "sometimes," so it might not be a circus out there. This is a standout.

Thursday the 30th morning is a treat. Clear skies, a solid 25 km/h offshore wind from the NNW, and the swell has dropped to a more manageable 5ft but with a gorgeous 15-second period. That's a long-period groundswell, meaning beautifully shaped, powerful waves. The energy is still moderate (1363), and the conditions are clean. This is a great window for the advanced surfer.

Friday the 31st morning is another one to circle. The swell bumps back up to 7ft with a very long 17-second period, and the offshore wind is back. It's clean, but it's big and powerful. The afternoon looks even better, with the swell holding at 8ft and a 17-second period, with a lighter offshore breeze. That's a serious session.

Then the wheels fall off a bit. Saturday the 1st of August through to the 5th is a write-off. The swell gets huge—13ft, 12ft—and the wind is either onshore, cross-onshore, or just too strong. The comments say it's too big for this break. That's a no-go zone for a few days.

The next real standout hits on Tuesday the 4th of August. The swell is 5ft from the SSW, but the period is a massive 19 seconds. That's a very long, clean groundswell, with a light cross-offshore wind. The energy is strong (2730), and the conditions are reported as "excellent surf for experienced surfers." For a beach break, that long period wave might feel a bit straight, but the conditions are prime.

Thursday the 6th of August morning is another cracker. 10ft from the SSW, 16-second period, and a clean offshore wind from the N. The combined energy is a massive 4533. This is a powerful, clean, big-wave day for the experts only.

After that, from the 7th to the 10th, we get a messy run of onshore winds, rain, and building swell. Not worth your time.

Finally, the last week of the outlook is a humbling reminder of nature's power. From the 11th of August onwards, the swell is predicted to be 16ft or more. The wind is often light, but the forecast is clear: the swell is too big for this break. This is a hard pass for even the most experienced surfer unless you're on a jet ski. The combined energy numbers are in the 13,000s and 14,000s—that's extreme.

The best of the best? Lock in Wednesday the 29th of July morning for the first big one, and Thursday the 30th of July morning for the more manageable, clean, long-period session. The 4th of August morning is a sneaky, long-period gem.

Rusty out.

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