Explosivos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, Rusty here.

Look, I’ll be straight with you – the next 16 days are a bit of a grind. We’ve got a consistent run of swell, but it’s almost always wrapped in a cross-onshore wind, keeping things from ever really getting clean. The standout is a short window of opportunity, but we’ve got to work for it.

The best bet is Explosivos, a sandbar break. It’s the only spot worth talking about, and it’s an advanced wave. The water is much warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 71°F with a huge anomaly of 7°F, which is very unusual.

We start with a pulse on Sunday, July 5th. The afternoon sees a 5ft swell from the SW, with a long period of 19 seconds, and the combined energy is a solid 1935. The wind is cross from the S at 15 km/h, so there’s a bit of chop. It’s not perfect, but it’s the start.

Monday, July 6th, is the pick of the whole run. The morning has a clean 6ft swell from the SSW, with a period of 17 seconds. The wind is light and offshore from the WSW at 10 km/h. That’s glassy, clean, and the combined energy is 2031. This is the one to aim for. The afternoon stays clean, but the wind swings cross-on from the SSW, so it’ll get a bit of a texture.

Tuesday, July 7th, the morning is clean again with offshore wind from the WSW at 10 km/h, and a 5ft SSW swell at 16 seconds. The afternoon sees the wind shift to a cross-on, same direction, so the quality drops off.

From Wednesday, July 8th, the pattern gets messy. The wind is mostly cross-on, the swell hangs around 4ft to 5ft, and the periods are long (15-16 seconds), but the energy drops into the hundreds (e.g., 687 on Wednesday morning). The combined energy stays moderate, but the cross-onshore wind keeps it from being any good. The surf is marginal at best.

By the second week, from July 13th onwards, the swell drops off. The combined energy gets weaker, usually in the 500-700 range, and the period drops to 13-14 seconds. The wind is still cross-on, and the wave heights are 3ft to 4ft. The best of a bad lot is the morning of Monday, July 13th, with a 4ft SSW swell at 15 seconds and a light cross-on wind, but it’s still not clean.

The end of the run, from July 20th, the period drops to a short 7 seconds, and the combined energy is only 298. That’s weak, short-period wind swell, and it’s not going to do much.

Honestly, for a spot that’s consistent, this is a frustrating run. The crowds are only sometimes a problem, but with the wind issues, it’s not going to be a circus. The best session is without a doubt Monday morning, July 6th. Get on it early.

Rusty.

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