Explosivos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

We’re looking at a solid run of swell, but it’s a bit of a mixed bag with the wind. The main event is a consistent southwest groundswell that builds through the period, but you’ll need to pick your windows carefully. The best of it is definitely later in the forecast, but there’s a gem right at the start if you’re quick.

Tuesday morning (21 July) is our first real chance. Explosivos is seeing a clean 4 ft swell from the SW, with a nice long 12-second period. The wind is a light cross-on from the SSW at 10 km/h, so it’s not perfect, but it’s workable. The water is a balmy 71°, which is a whopping 8° warmer than usual for this time of year – that’s very unusual, and it’s a real treat. The combined wave energy is moderate at 533. It’s not the best session of the month, but it’s a start.

Wednesday morning (22 July) is a total standout. Glassy conditions with a 4 ft swell from the south. The wind is a dead calm from the SW at just 5 km/h. The catch is the period is short – only 7 seconds – so it’ll be a bit soft and choppy, but when it’s that clean, you don’t complain. The energy is moderate (441). This is the best morning of the first week, no question.

The rest of the week through to Sunday morning (26 July) is a bit of a grind. The swell stays small, around 2 ft to 3 ft, with mostly cross-onshore winds. The energy jumps up to 1016 on Sunday morning, but it’s messy. Not worth paddling out for.

Monday 27 July through to Thursday 30 July sees the swell pick up to 5 ft to 5 ft, and the period is long, dropping from 17 seconds down to 13 seconds. This is proper groundswell. The energy is strong, hitting 1303 on Monday morning and 1409 on Monday afternoon. But here’s the problem: the wind is cross or cross-onshore from the S or SSW at 10 to 15 km/h. It’s going to be bumpy. For a more experienced surfer, the size and power are there, but the conditions won’t be clean. This is a “check the cams before you go” situation.

Friday 31 July is another absolute beauty. The morning is glassy with a 4 ft SW swell at 12 seconds. The wind is a light 5 km/h from the SW, dead offshore. The energy is moderate (456). Then in the afternoon, it goes completely flat calm – 0 km/h wind, glassy, with a 3 ft swell. If you can get out on Friday, you’ll be smiling. This is the second standout of the whole outlook.

The surf then drops off into the first week of August, with small 3 ft to 3 ft swells and persistent cross-onshore winds. Not much to write home about.

Now, the real big one is on Wednesday 5 August. Explosivos is looking at a 6 ft to 7 ft swell from the SW, with a 15-second period. The combined energy is a massive 1753 – that’s very strong wave energy. This is a serious swell. For a sandbar, that’s going to be powerful and heavy. The wind is a light cross-on from the SW at 10 km/h, rising to 15 km/h in the afternoon. This is for advanced surfers only. It’s too big for beginners, and at 7 ft, it’s pushing into expert territory. The long period means it’ll be a bit walled-up at the beach, but there’ll be some bombs. This is the biggest, most powerful swell of the entire 16 days.

Overview: Wednesday the 22nd morning is your clean, fun session. Friday the 31st is your glassy, clean session. And Wednesday the 5th of August is the big, powerful one for the experienced crew. Tuesday morning (21st) is a decent fallback.

Rusty, signing off.

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