Explosivos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G’day, Rusty here.

Look, I’ll be straight with you. The next 16 days at Explosivos are a tough watch. We’ve got swell, but the conditions are fighting us every step of the way. It’s not a total write-off, but you’ll be searching hard for a window.

The water is sitting at 70°F, which is over seven degrees warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s very unusual, like a warm bath.

The first real chance of anything decent doesn’t show up until Monday the 17th of August. Monday morning sees a solid 7ft S swell, but the period is a short 8 seconds, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and fat. The combined energy is moderate at 1211, but the wind is a gentle cross-onshore breeze, making it fairly choppy. The main kicker here is the forecast says the swell is too big for this break, so only for the experienced crew. The afternoon stays similar, 7ft S swell, but a moderate cross-shore breeze (1105 combined energy) won’t help clean it up.

Tuesday the 18th of August offers the biggest swell of the period. Tuesday morning is 8ft S swell with a 9-second period (1340 combined energy) – that’s a strong, powerful swell. Again, the forecast flags it as too big for the break, so this is expert-only territory. The wind is a gentle cross-onshore, keeping things messy. Tuesday afternoon drops to 8ft S swell (1142 combined energy) with a moderate cross-shore breeze and a cross-chop.

After that, things fade fast. From Wednesday the 19th, the energy drops significantly. Wednesday morning has 6ft S swell (806 combined energy), but the wind shifts to a light offshore from the WSW – that’s a major positive for clean faces, but it’s still rated as marginal. By Thursday the 20th, we’re down to 3ft SW swell with a long 15-second period (526 combined energy). The offshore wind returns Thursday morning, but the swell is too small for any real action.

From Friday the 21st of August all the way through to the end of the forecast, it’s a long, dry spell. The swell drops to tiny 1ft to 2ft and combined energy values are weak, between 203 and 369. The wind is mostly light or gentle offshores, but you can’t ride what isn’t there. There’s nothing to recommend until perhaps the 25th of August, when a 4ft S swell (653 combined energy) creeps back in, but the conditions are still marginal.

The standout, if you can call it that, is Monday the 17th and Tuesday the 18th – those are the only days with any real power. But with the size and the choppy wind, this is strictly for the seasoned locals who know the bank. For everyone else, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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