Explosivos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve got a solid 16-day window ahead, but it’s a bit of a slow burn. The surf starts small but picks up some steam after the first week. The standout waves are going to be later in the period, so keep your powder dry.

The first hint of waves comes in on Friday, 24 July, at Explosivos. It’s a sandbar break, so it can handle a bit of swell direction. We’re looking at a small 2ft to 3ft groundswell out of the southwest, with a very long period of 20 seconds. That’s a lot of energy for a small wave, giving it a 665 combined energy (moderate). The wind is light and offshore, WSW at 6 mph, which is a major plus – it’ll be glassy clean. The crowd factor is "sometimes," so you might have a few mates out, but nothing crazy. The swell direction is a perfect match for the break. However, it’s a bit small for any heroics, and the tide might be iffy. It’s a fun start, but not the highlight.

The weekend (Saturday 25 and Sunday 26 July) stays similar, with clean 3ft SW groundswell. The wind on Saturday holds offshore, but by Sunday it goes light cross-onshore. Still manageable, but the quality drops a notch. The energy is moderate (716 to 1064). It’s surfable, but you won’t be rushing.

Now, Monday 27 July sees a bump in size. The swell pushes to 4ft in the morning, and 5ft in the afternoon, still from the SW. The period drops to 16 seconds, but the energy climbs to 1309 (strong). The wind is a light cross-onshore, but it’s not choppy. This is a solid session for the advanced crew, as 5ft is a fun size, but it’s not too big.

The real standout, though, is shaping up for Thursday, 6 August. The morning sees a 5ft SW groundswell with a 13-second period, but the wind is pure offshore from the west at 6 mph. The combined energy is 1294 (strong). That’s clean, lined-up waves. The afternoon gets a bit tricky with a 6ft S swell and a shorter 9-second period, but the wind stays light cross-onshore. The morning is the clear winner – it’s the best of the whole run.

The following Friday, 7 August, is also worth a mention. We’ve got 6ft S swell with a 9-second period, and the wind is light cross-onshore. The energy is 1134 (strong). It’s a bit more of a windswell mix, but it’ll be punchy. This is a good option if you miss the Thursday morning.

For the beginners: most of the swell sits between 2ft and 5ft, which is fine. Once it pushes over 5ft on Monday 27 July and Thursday 6 August, it starts to get a bit more serious for the less experienced. The 6ft on Thursday afternoon is pushing into expert territory, especially with the shorter period.

The water temperature at Explosivos is about average for this time of year, nothing unusual to report.

If you’re thinking about kite surfing, the days with stronger cross-onshore winds (like the 9 mph days on 28 July and 3 August) and the 6ft S swell on 6 August could be more interesting for a kite than a paddle.

Overall, the best bet is the Thursday, 6 August morning session at Explosivos. Clean, offshore, solid SW swell. Don’t sleep on it.

Rusty.

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