Explosivos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's break down the next couple of weeks at this break. It's gonna be a slow grind with a couple of sweet spots.

The overall picture is a long stretch of surf coming through, but most of it is just average. The water's sitting at 70° right now, which is a good 7° warmer than what's normal for this time of year, so you'll definitely notice that when you jump in.

We start on Thursday, July 2nd, but it's a bit messy. Swell is around 6ft from the SSW, a long-period groundswell at 15 seconds, with a ton of energy behind it (1839). The problem is the wind is cross-on from the S, so it'll be choppy. Not the best way to kick things off.

Friday the 3rd is more of the same, dropping swell and cross-on winds. We're waiting for the real window.

That window opens on Saturday, July 4th. This is the pick of the whole run. We get glassy conditions in the morning with a clean 4ft swell from the SSW. The energy is moderate at 850, but the lack of wind is the big win. This is the day to get wet – clean, rideable waves at Explosivos. It's a consistent spot, so you won't be waiting forever, but it can get crowded sometimes, so roll up early.

Sunday the 5th is interesting. A very long-period swell at 20 seconds pushing 4ft from the SW, with offshore wind from the WSW in the morning. That's a rare combo. Energy is high at 1582, but with that period, the waves might be too lined-up and fat for a sandbar break. It could work, but it could also be a handful.

From Monday the 6th to Wednesday the 8th, the swell hangs in the 4ft to 6ft range, but the wind is mostly cross-on or unknown, keeping it marginal. Nothing to get excited about.

Thursday the 9th and Friday the 10th fade off, with swell dropping to 4ft to 5ft, and average conditions with cross-on breezes. Energy drops hard after that, and by Saturday the 11th, we've got poor surf and choppy winds. Skip it.

The middle of the second week, from Sunday the 12th to Tuesday the 14th, is flat and poor. Swell drops below 3ft, and energy is weak. A dead spell.

There's a tiny bump on Wednesday the 15th of July, but it's small and cross-shore. Not worth a look.

Now, keep your eyes on Friday, July 17th. This is a long-range call, so less certain, but the morning is showing glassy conditions again with a 3ft SSW groundswell at 16 seconds. Energy is moderate at 746, and with offshore winds, this could clean up into something really fun. It's a promising end to the run, but don't count your chickens yet.

So, the standout is absolutely Saturday, July 4th in the morning for the cleanest, most user-friendly waves. Sunday the 5th is a wildcard for the longer-period stuff. And that Friday the 17th is one to watch if you're planning ahead.

Rusty.

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