Explosivos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, mate, Rusty here. Let's break down what's cooking for this spot.

The only wave in town across the whole 16-day stretch is Explosivos (sandbar), but it's a mixed bag. This is an advanced sandbar that's consistent and loves a south-west swell. The big letdown? The wind is almost always cross-on or cross-shore, keeping the surface messy and choppy. The water is a warm 70°F, which is 9°F warmer than normal for this time of year – you'll be in boardies for sure.

The first few days, from Tuesday 11th to Wednesday 13th, the swell sits around 4ft to 5ft, with moderate combined energy (roughly 1173 to 1259 on Tuesday, dropping to 785 on Wednesday). The period is decent at 14 to 15 seconds, so there's some long-period groundswell energy, but the cross-on wind is just ruining the surface. It's not worth paddling out unless you're really keen for a chop.

We get a better swell direction on Thursday 13th and Friday 14th – more south-west, and the period stretches to 18 seconds on Thursday morning. That's a very long-period groundswell, which will be packing real punch. Combined energy is moderate (936 to 1336), and wave heights are around 4ft to 5ft. But again, the wind is cross-on or cross-shore. It's promising energy, but the wind is still the enemy.

The standout, the only time this spot gets serious, is from Sunday 16th through Tuesday 18th. The swell jumps to 8ft to 8ft, with a very strong combined energy of 2052 on Monday 17th morning. The period is short though – only 8 to 9 seconds – so it's a windswell, not clean. The wind is cross-shore, and the reports say the swell is actually too big for this break. This is strictly for experts only. It'll be big, powerful, and messy. A heavy session for those who can handle it.

After that, it's a fast drop. From Wednesday 19th onward, the swell fades from 7ft down to 2ft, and energy drops to 200-300. The wind finally turns offshore on Thursday 20th, but the swell is weak and short-period. Then from Saturday 22nd to Wednesday 26th, we're in a real slump – swell under 3ft, poor surf conditions, and scores bottoming out. It's a long flat spell.

So, the only real window of action is Sunday 16th to Tuesday 18th for expert surfers ready for big, messy, short-period waves. For everyone else, it's a quiet outlook. The forecast can turn, but right now, it's a lean run.

Rusty.

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