Explosivos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s shaping up.

Honestly, mate, the next 16 days at Explosivos are a bit of a grind. There’s no real standout session that’s going to have you calling in sick. We’ve got a long, drawn-out stretch of small to moderate SSW to SW swell, but the wind is just never quite on our side. It’s a stubborn cross-on breeze for most of it, which is going to keep the surface messy. The wave energy is moderate, hanging around the 500 to 900 mark for most of the first week, so there’s some push, but it’s just not clean.

The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no need to dig out the 5/4 just yet.

Thursday the 16th kicks off with a 6ft SSW swell at 13 seconds, but that S wind at 6 mph is cross-on, making it choppy. The energy is a moderate 1022, but it’s just not worth the paddle for the quality on offer. Friday and Saturday are more of the same, with 4ft to 5ft waves and the same cross-on breeze. The 5ft mark is about as big as it gets, so it’s not out of control, but it’s not exactly inviting.

We do get a bit of a respite on the morning of Monday the 22nd. The wind swings to a light WSW at 3 mph, putting it directly onshore, but the swell is small at 4ft and the period drops to just 7 seconds. That’s a short-period, wind-driven lump, and it’s a poor option.

Then things get weird. Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th see a strange, long-period swell arrive. The 24th morning has a 2ft swell from the SW with a period of 24 seconds. That’s a very long-period groundswell, but it’s tiny. That kind of energy is better suited to a point break or reef than a sandbar, so Explosivos might just see some fat, straight lines. Not worth the drive.

The final week shows a slight uptick. The morning of Wednesday the 29th has a 6ft SW swell at 14 seconds, with the combined energy climbing to a strong 1287. The wind is still cross-on from the SSW at 6 mph, but it’s light. Closer to the end of the month, the swell energy stays moderate to strong, but that persistent cross-on breeze is the story of this forecast. It’s a lot of “almost” but not quite.

If you’re a kitesurfer, this setup might look interesting. For a paddle, it’s a tough call. There’s always next week, and forecasts can change.

Rusty.

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