Explosivos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, checkin’ in from the lineup. I’ve got the goods on what’s comin’ our way for the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you: the first two days of the window are pretty flat and weedy. We’re talkin’ small, weak swell with a scratchy cross-onshore breeze. It’s not gonna be worth paddlin’ out, so save your energy. The real action starts to build from the 3rd of September.

We’ve got a solid window of South-West groundswell energy that starts to show some life on Thursday the 3rd. The swell pushes up to 4ft with a 17-second period, which is a proper long-period groundswell. The energy is ramping up strong, with a moderate energy reading around 1076. The wind is still a bit of a bummer though – a gentle cross-onshore out of the SSW, so it’ll be a bit lumpy and choppy. The real standout, what I’m really gettin’ fired up about, comes on Friday the 4th of September. We’re lookin’ at a solid 6ft swell from the SW, with a 16-second period, and the energy reading jumps to 1581. That’s a significant push of water. The wind finally swings to a straight cross-shore from the S, which is a massive improvement. The water temp is a very unusual 69°, a good 7° warmer than average for this time of year – it’s a real treat.

Now, the caveat: that long-period swell is gonna be a bit tricky for a beach break. It’ll be a lot better at a point or a reef, but at Explosivos, it’ll be a powerful, shifty wave. The crowd profile says “sometimes,” so you might have a few heads out, but it’s not a circus. The quality is decent, but the wind is still not perfect. For the morning of Friday the 4th, the swell is 6ft which is gettin’ into the zone where it’s a bit much for beginners, but for the experienced crew, it’s a proper challenge. The afternoon settles a touch to 6ft, but the wind turns back onshore a bit, so the morning is the pick.

After that, the swell slowly backs off through the weekend and into the following week. The period stays long, but the heights drop below 5ft, and the wind is mostly cross-onshore. It’s a long stretch of marginal, average surf. The second week is much quieter. We get a few little pulses, but the energy is low, and the wind is often onshore. There’s a day on the 10th of September with a clean offshore wind from the WSW, but the swell is tiny at 4ft, and the energy is low. It’s a long wait for anything worthwhile. The 16th of September shows a small bump of 3ft from the SSW, but the wind is onshore, and it’s a long shot.

So, to sum it up: the entire window is a bit of a struggle. The only real window of opportunity, the one that shines above the rest, is the morning of Friday the 4th of September. That’s your best bet. It’s not gonna be perfect, but it’s the most power and size we’re gonna see. Go get some if you’re keen, but don’t expect glassy perfection. For the rest of the time, you’re better off waitin’ for the next system.

- Rusty

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