Explosivos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for the next couple of weeks at Explosivos.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you – this isn't the kind of outlook that gets the stoke levels high. We're looking at a long stretch of pretty marginal conditions. The first few days are a grind, with a persistent cross-onshore wind that's keeping things messy. The water is a balmy 68°F, which is a massive 7°F warmer than usual for this time of year – that's very unusual, almost like the ocean forgot what season it is.

The first real chance of anything decent doesn't come until Thursday the 10th in the morning. You'll see a 4ft swell from the southwest, with a solid 15-second period, and the wind switches to offshore. That's clean at least. The wave energy is moderate at 924. But it's still a bit of a scrap with the tide, and the forecast isn't screaming quality. The best of the whole run is probably going to be that window. The swell direction is straight from the south-west, which is exactly what this sandbar wants to see. A 3ft to 4ft south-west swell with offshore wind is a good setup here, but it's a short-lived moment.

After that, we slip back into the same pattern. The wind stays in the south, cross or cross-on, and the swell stays small – mostly in the 3ft to 3ft range. The energy drops off fast, and by the 12th and 13th, the period crashes to 7 or 8 seconds, which is just short-period chop. Not good. The 14th has a morning pulse of 5ft from the south, but with a short 8-second period and a south wind, the quality won't be there. It's more of a messy, blown-out affair.

Things go quiet from the 16th onward. The swell drops to below 3ft, and the energy reading dips into the 100s and 200s – weak stuff. The 19th might show a little bump of 4ft from the southwest over the weekend, but it's still cross-on or cross-shore, so you're not scoring clean waves. By the final week, from the 21st, it's flat with 1ft dribble. There's a gap of a few days with no real surf on offer at the end there.

Honestly, if you're a paddle surfer, this is a tough run. The only window that's worth a look is the morning of Thursday the 10th. If you can get out then, you'll find a clean, offshore bump with some long-period groundswell energy. But for the rest of the time, this setup, with the consistent cross-shore winds and small swell, looks more like a kiteboarding session than a surf session. Keep your eyes on the charts, though – it tends not to stay this flat for long.

Rusty.

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