Explosivos Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, and I’ve got the lowdown on what the next couple of weeks are looking like for your local stretch.

We're starting off with a bit of a frustrating situation, to be honest. The coming days are going to be tricky. The first real window we're watching kicks off on Monday the 17th, but it’s not a great one. On Monday afternoon, we’re looking at a clean 3ft swell from the Southwest at a solid 13 seconds, which is a nice groundswell, but the wave energy is only moderate (567). The wind is a cross-shore, so it won't be glassy, and it’s only scoring as marginal due to tide issues. The water is a very unusual 70°, which is a whopping 8° warmer than normal for this time of year – that’s definitely a standout for your first surf.

Tuesday the 18th is where things get serious, but not in a good way for most of us. The swell jumps up to a solid 7ft-8ft from the SW/SSW. The combined energy for Tuesday morning is strong (1634). That’s a lot of power, and the reports are calling it too big for this break. If you’re an expert, the Tuesday morning session with lighter winds could be on, but with that size and an onshore component later, it’s gonna be a brute.

Wednesday the 19th stays big with 7ft-8ft waves, but the wind starts to get a bit messy. The surf quality is being called poor for this break because it's too powerful. Honestly, with this much wind and size, this setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

We then hit a long, quiet spell. From Thursday the 20th all the way through to the morning of Friday the 28th, this is going to be a proper flat spell. Most days are 'marginal' or 'poor', with wave heights dropping to under 3ft. There are about 8 or 9 days in there where you’d be wasting your time. Don't bother checking the cam until the end of the month.

The sole standout in this whole 16-day window is Friday the 28th and the weekend of the 30th of August. Friday morning brings a 5ft swell from the Southwest with a very long period of 18 seconds (energy 1528). By Friday afternoon, it cleans up to 5ft from the SW at 17 seconds with a cross-shore breeze. That's proper groundswell, and even with a touch of cross-chop, it will have some good shape at this sandbar. The weekend of the 30th sees 6ft waves from the SW on Saturday, dropping to 6ft on Sunday. The period is still long and strong, peaking at 15 meters. This is the best bet for a decent session, but keep in mind this is over a week away, so it's promising but not locked in yet. It might be a little too big for beginners, but for anyone who’s comfortable, it's your window.

After that, it fades back down to small, marginal stuff rolling into September. Keep your eyes on that last weekend of August.

Rusty.

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