El Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. We’ve got a solid run of surf lining up for El Estero, and it’s all about picking your moments. The mornings are where it’s at, with clean, offshore winds doing the heavy lifting. The afternoons, especially with those storm risks, are going to be a washout more often than not.

The first real standout for me is Thursday morning, the 10th of September. We’ve got a decent 4ft SW groundswell, and the energy jumps right up (1114), which tells you there’s some proper push behind it. With a clean, gentle offshore breeze, the river mouth is going to be an absolute grovel-box dream. That’s the pick of the first week without a doubt.

The weekend drops off a bit. Saturday morning on the 12th is still clean with a little 3ft, but the energy backs off (412). The afternoons look chopped out with those cross-onshore breezes, so don’t even bother. By Sunday, the swell really fades. It’s small and clean, but not much on offer.

There’s a bit of a lull through the middle of the next week. Monday and Tuesday, the 14th and 15th, are looking pretty average. Swell is small and there’s some cross-onshore wind messing with the surface. It’s not flat, but it’s far from firing. You’d be scratching for anything rideable.

The pattern picks up again later in the week. Thursday morning, the 17th, shapes up nicely with a clean 3ft and offshore winds (595). It’s not big, but it’ll be fun and user-friendly. Then there’s another little dip before things get interesting again.

Now, for the long-range call. There’s a real pulse of energy setting up for the following Tuesday and Wednesday mornings, the 22nd and 23rd of September. We’re looking at a solid 7ft from the WSW, and the energy readings are through the roof (1121 and 1239). This is a proper swell. The windows on those mornings are glassy, which is perfect. The period is down at 9 seconds, so it’s more of a windswell combo than a clean groundswell, which might keep it a bit more manageable at the river mouth. This is the big one to keep an eye on, but it’s a way off so don’t book the week off work just yet. It's promising, but we need to see it get closer before we pop the champagne. That’s definitely not one for the beginners, but for the experienced crew, that could be firing.

Alright, that’s the picture. Look for the clean windows and dodge those stormy afternoons. Keep it salty.

Rusty.

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