El Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright my friends, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s cooking at El Estero. We’ve got a good run of SW groundswell lined up, starting small but building into some real juice by the end of the week. The water is running a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, which is a nice little bonus.

Right now, on Thursday, July 23rd, it’s tiny. The morning has a 2ft SW swell with a cross-off breeze, making it clean enough for a soft top, but the energy is weak (129). The afternoon drops to 1ft, and the wind turns cross-on, so it’s a bit messy.

Friday the 24th is where things start moving. The morning brings a cleaner 3ft SW swell, a nice 24-second period, and a light NE cross-off, keeping the surface smooth. The energy is kicking up (851). It’s surfable. The afternoon is a step down with a cross-on wind, so hit the morning.

Saturday the 25th is a beauty. The morning is glassy, with a 3ft SW swell and a 21-second period. The wind is dead calm, so it’s clean and smooth. The energy is pumping (880). This is the best session of the early days, no doubt.

Sunday the 26th sees the swell push to 4ft in the morning, but it’s windier with a 12 mph cross-off. The afternoon is where it’s at: 4ft of SW swell, 18-second period, and a solid cross-off. The energy is strong (1099), and it’s excellent for experienced surfers. This is a proper session.

Monday the 27th is another one to circle. The morning is offshore with a 4ft SW swell, 19-second period, and clean, clean lines. The energy is very strong (1410). This is the kind of day you clear your schedule for. The afternoon goes onshore, so morning is the call.

Tuesday the 28th brings the biggest swell of the run: 6ft of SW swell in the morning, 18-second period, and clean offshore wind. The energy is sky-high (1766). This is expert only. The afternoon is cross-on and choppy, so stick to the dawn patrol.

Wednesday the 29th is glassy in the morning again, with a 5ft SW swell and a 16-second period. The energy is still strong (1339). Another excellent morning for the experienced crew.

Thursday the 30th, the swell drops to 4ft, a 14-second period, and a clean cross-off. Good energy (693), and a solid session for the confident intermediate.

Friday the 31st through the start of August, the swell fades to 3ft and then 3ft, but the winds stay clean. The energy dips to moderate (373-311), but it’s still fun, glassy, and user-friendly. The Sunday morning of August 2nd has a clean 2ft with offshore wind, a nice little session.

The second week settles into smaller, cleaner surf. From Monday, August 3rd, morning sessions are the go with 3ft SW swells and clean cross-off winds. The energy is moderate (308). By Tuesday, August 4th, it’s down to 2ft, and the energy is weak (117). The Thursday morning of August 6th is a 2ft with a gentle offshore, but it’s very small. The Friday morning of August 7th brings a slight bump back to 3ft, with a clean offshore wind and a glassy afternoon.

The standout is the Monday, July 27th morning session, with that 4ft, 19-second SW groundswell and perfect offshore wind. The Sunday, July 26th afternoon is a close second for the bigger, punchier stuff. Don’t sleep on those.

Rusty.

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