El Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s talk in feet and miles per hour. Rusty here, looking at the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a slow start, but a solid run of cleaner, more powerful surf builds into the end of the first week and beyond. The water is running a touch warmer than usual for this time of year, coming in at 86°, which is a nice little treat for the skin.

The absolute standout is Saturday the 8th. The morning at El Estero will have clean, offshore winds out of the ENE at 9 mph, with a 3 ft swell from the SSW on a 16-second period. The combined energy is strong (610), and the sets will have some real punch. Then, if you can stick around, Saturday afternoon turns glassy with a 4 ft SW swell – the water will be flat as a pancake. The energy is still very solid (515). That’s the day to circle.

Before that, from Tuesday the 4th through Thursday the 6th, it’s pretty flat. Swell is tiny, around 2 ft to 2 ft, with winds that keep pushing in poor, cross-onshore junk in the afternoons. The mornings offer a glimmer with light offshore breezes, but the wave energy is weak (around 147 to 125), so you’ll be fighting for scraps.

Friday the 7th morning sees a jump in energy (377) with a 2 ft SSW swell and a very long 18-second period, but the cross-off wind keeps it clean enough. That long period will make it a bit straight at the beach break, so find a sandbar that’s holding.

After the Saturday glory, Sunday the 9th still has good, clean surf with a 3 ft SW swell and moderate offshore winds, though the energy drops a little (431). Monday the 10th is a mixed bag – clean morning, but the afternoon turns to rubbish.

The second week starts to look promising again. Monday the 17th afternoon has a 4 ft SW swell, a clean offshore wind, and strong energy (688) – a sneaky good session. Tuesday the 18th morning is also very clean with a 4 ft swell and moderate offshore winds (607 energy). The week closes out with Wednesday the 19th afternoon going glassy, with a 3 ft SW swell and good energy (461) – a solid way to finish.

The beginners will be fine on the smaller days under 3 ft, but when it hits 4 ft to 5 ft, the power picks up, and the 5 ft days on the 15th and 16th are for the experts only. Crowds are often at El Estero, so expect to share the water, especially on the good days.

Rusty.

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