El Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Hey, Rusty here. Let’s talk El Estero. The first good window opens Friday morning, 24 July, with a solid groundswell from the SW, a very long period of 24 seconds. The swell is only 3ft, but the combined swell energy is 851 (moderate). The wind is a light cross-off from the NE at 6 mph, so the surface is clean. Expect very good surf. The water temp is about average for the time of year.

Saturday morning, 25 July, is similar—3ft swell, 21-second period, energy at 905 (moderate). Wind is still light cross-off from the NE. Clean. Sunday morning, 26 July, the swell hits 4ft, period 19 seconds, energy at 978 (moderate). Wind is a moderate cross-off from the ENE at 12 mph, still clean but a bit stronger.

Now, Monday morning, 27 July, is a standout. The swell is 4ft, period 19 seconds, but the energy jumps to 1354 (strong). The wind is pure offshore from the ENE at 6 mph. This is excellent for experienced surfers—clean, powerful, and the offshore wind is a major plus. The afternoon gets choppy with a cross-on wind. Stick to the mornings.

Tuesday morning, 28 July, is another highlight. The swell builds to 6ft from the SW, period 18 seconds, and energy at 1766 (strong). That’s a solid wave. The wind is a light offshore from the E at 3 mph—glassy conditions. This is excellent for experts only. Too big for beginners. The afternoon turns messy.

Wednesday morning, 29 July, stays good with 5ft, 16-second period, energy at 1317 (strong). Light cross-off wind from the ENE. Clean. Thursday morning, 30 July, drops to 4ft, 14-second period, energy at 709 (moderate), but still clean with a cross-off.

From Friday, 31 July, into the first week of August, the swell fades. Mornings are clean with smaller waves (2ft to 3ft), but nothing special. The period drops below 15 seconds. Afternoons get onshore or cross-on, making a mess. There’s a gap of a few days where the afternoons are no good.

In the second week, we get a few small, clean sessions. Saturday morning, 1 August, is glassy with 3ft swell, 13-second period, energy at 347 (weak). Sunday morning, 2 August, is also glassy with 2ft. Fun for a longboard. Tuesday morning, 4 August, has a gentle offshore from the ENE, 2ft, 13-second period, energy at 219 (weak). Clean but small.

By Wednesday, 5 August, the swell is 1ft, energy at 124 (weak). Surfable but very ordinary. The rest of the forecast is a fade-out with small, weak waves and onshore winds. The energy drops to two digits by Saturday, 8 August, at 92 (weak). It’s flat.

The standout is Monday morning, 27 July, or Tuesday morning, 28 July. That’s your best bet for size, power, and offshore wind. Mornings are the only time to go. The afternoons are a write-off.

Rusty, out.

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