El Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s in store for El Estero over the next couple of weeks.

Well, I gotta be straight with you. For the next week or so, it’s pretty flat and uninspiring. The swell is small and the conditions are ordinary. But then, hold onto your board, because the last few days of August and into the start of September look like they might just deliver something special.

The water temperature is sitting around 86°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. That’s a nice bonus.

Right now, from Monday the 17th right through to Monday the 24th of August, you’re looking at tiny waves. The swell height barely sneaks above 4ft and mostly hovers around 1ft to 2ft. The combined swell energy is weak to moderate, with readings as low as 90 and reaching only 502 at its best early on. A lot of the time the winds are okay – some clean offshore mornings – but the waves are just too small to get excited about. Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th have some clean, glassy windows, but with surf around 3ft or less, it’s really only for the longboard or the foamie.

Then Thursday morning the 20th of August, we get a little bump to 2ft from the SW with a 13-second period and gentle offshore wind. It’s clean, but still small. The energy is weak here at 298. Not a standout, but a quiet session if you’re desperate.

Honestly, the real action doesn’t kick in until Friday the 28th of August. That’s when the charts start looking proper. The swell jumps to 2ft on the Friday morning, but with a long 20-second period from the SW, and the combined energy shoots up to 730 (moderate). The wind is light and cross-offshore, so it will be clean. That’s a good sign.

But the standout is Saturday the 29th of August. This is the one. The swell pushes to 5ft from the SW, with a 17-second period. The combined energy is a solid 1799 (strong). Morning winds are light and cross-offshore, so it’ll be clean. This is excellent surf for experienced surfers. It’s too big for beginners. The afternoon turns glassy with a slight air, which is just magic. This is the best on offer.

Sunday the 30th of August still has 5ft from the SW, but the period drops to 15 seconds and the wind gets a bit messy in the afternoon. The morning is better with a moderate offshore breeze, but the afternoon will be cross-onshore and choppy. Still, the morning session is worth it for the experienced crew.

Heading into Monday the 31st, the swell drops a little to 4ft from the SW with a 14-second period. Morning offshore winds will keep it clean, and the energy is at 718. Good, solid waves.

Tuesday the 1st of September sees the swell drop to 4ft from the SW, with a 13-second period. The morning is glassy. It’s clean and fun, but not as powerful as the weekend.

So, if you’re free, clear your calendar for Saturday the 29th of August. That’s the day the swell, the period, the wind, and the energy all line up. It’s going to be a ripper.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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