El Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for this spot.

We’ve got a solid run of surf ahead, with the first proper waves showing up Sunday afternoon. The water is sitting at a warm 86°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you won’t need a thick wetsuit.

Sunday afternoon, the 2nd of August, kicks things off at El Estero. It’s a river mouth setup, exposed to the WNW, and we’ve got a nice 2ft swell from the SW with a very long 15-second period. The wind is glassy, dead calm. That’s a beautiful combo for a late afternoon session. The combined wave energy is moderate (256), but the conditions are about as clean as it gets. This is a standout for the near future.

Monday morning the 3rd looks good too. The swell bumps up to 3ft from the SW, 14-second period, with a light cross-offshore breeze from the NNE keeping things clean. The energy is still moderate (300). It’s a proper little runner.

Tuesday morning the 4th drops off a bit to 2ft, but with NE cross-offshore winds and clean conditions, it’s still worth a paddle if you’re jonesing. The energy is weaker (147).

The real highlight, the one that’s got me a little excited, is Saturday morning the 8th. We’ve got a 3ft SW swell with a 16-second period, and the wind is offshore from the ENE at 15 mph. The combined energy is strong (580), and the forecast says it’ll be very good. That’s your pick of the first week. Keep in mind the longer period means this river mouth will handle it well, with better shaped waves and longer waits between sets.

Saturday afternoon the 8th gets a little bumpy with cross-onshore wind, but the morning is the time to be out.

Sunday morning the 9th is another solid option. 3ft SW swell, 14-second period, offshore ENE wind at 15 mph. Energy is strong (407). Clean, lined up, and ready to go.

The second week gets a bit more mixed. The wind picks up, but there are still windows. Monday morning the 10th is clean with offshore wind on 3ft SW swell. Wednesday morning the 12th has moderate offshore wind and a glassy afternoon with 2ft SW swell and a 16-second period.

But the big one, the one that’s a bit further out and worth keeping an eye on, is Friday afternoon the 14th and Saturday morning the 15th. Friday afternoon we’ve got a 4ft SW swell, 18-second period, with a moderate offshore ENE breeze at 20 mph. The combined energy is very strong (904). That’s a lot of water moving. It’s a bit more of a challenging size, but for experienced surfers, this is the standout of the whole forecast. Saturday morning the 15th is similar, 4ft SW swell, 16-second period, with ENE cross-offshore wind, but the wind is a stiff 30 mph, which makes it a bit more of a handful.

Monday morning the 17th wraps it up with a good morning session: 3ft SW swell, 14-second period, with a moderate offshore ENE wind. The afternoon turns glassy again with a chance of storms, but the waves will be clean and fun.

There’s a bit of a gap early on, but once it starts, it keeps coming. Keep an eye on that Saturday the 8th and Friday the 14th.

Rusty.

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