El Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what El Estero is shaping up to deliver over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a decent run of surf lined up. The pattern is a consistent pulse of south-west groundswell, and it’s that longer period stuff – anything from 13 seconds right up to 19 seconds – so you’re looking at proper, lined-up waves with good energy. The combined swell energy is moderate to strong, peaking well into the three-figure range, so there’s plenty of push.

Monday, September 7th kicks things off. The morning is the call with some cloud cover and a light cross-off breeze out of the NE at 3 mph. That’s giving us clean conditions on 4 ft of SW swell with a 14-second period. The wave energy is moderate (550). It’s a solid start, nothing too crazy, but clean and surfable. The afternoons are a write-off for the first several days with onshore breezes and storm risks, so make it a dawn patrol.

Tuesday, September 8th morning is a standout. We’ve got gentle offshore wind from the east at 9 mph, which is going to groom the 2 ft SW swell (18-second period) into clean lines. The energy is up there at 625. That’s a quality window for a river break like this – the long period will run nicely.

Wednesday, September 9th morning looks excellent again. Clear skies, moderate offshore breeze from the ENE at 12 mph, cleaning up 3 ft of SW swell (16 seconds). The energy is solid at 532. This is definitely one of the best morning sessions of the run – clean, offshore, and fun-sized.

Thursday, September 10th is another highlight. The morning sees 4 ft of SW swell (17 seconds) with a light cross-off breeze from the ENE, and the combined energy jumps to a strong 1124. That’s proper power. The afternoon holds clean, too, with a light cross-off from the south. Thursday is a top contender for the best days of the whole forecast.

We roll into the second week, and the pattern holds well. The mornings from Friday, September 12th through to Sunday, September 14th stay clean with lighter winds and waist-high swell from the south-west. Be aware of the afternoons – they get chopped up by cross-shore breezes. The crowds are listed as “often” at El Estero, so expect a few locals in the water for these quality morning windows.

Into the deeper forecast, Monday, September 15th morning is a special one. That’s a glassy session with next to no wind, just a slight air, and 2 ft of long-period SW swell at 19 seconds. It’ll be clean as a whistle, but small and very long period, so it might be a bit tricky at the river mouth unless it hits a good bank. Still, total energy is a solid 247 for the size.

The end of the run from Saturday, September 20th through to Monday, September 22nd brings another pulse of 3 ft to 3 ft SW swell (18 to 16 seconds) with clean, offshore or glassy mornings. Tuesday, September 22nd morning has zero wind and glassy conditions with 3 ft of swell – that is about as perfect as a small-wave river mouth can look.

So, the best on offer? Thursday, September 10th morning takes the cake – strong energy (1124), 4 ft swell, 17-second period, and clean cross-off wind. Right behind it, Wednesday, September 9th morning with the offshore breeze and solid energy is a cracker. Get on those early windows, and you’ll be smiling.

Rusty.

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