El Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s switch it up to feet and Fahrenheit for those who think that way.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a stretch of clean, consistent surf at El Estero. The water is sitting at a warm 86°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you might not need the full wetsuit.

The week kicks off on Friday afternoon (10th) with a 3ft SSW groundswell, period of 15 seconds, and glassy conditions. The combined energy is moderate at 387, and with that long period, the waves will have shape and push, perfect for a river mouth setup like this.

Saturday (11th) is looking solid too. Morning brings a 3ft SSW swell with cross-off winds from the NE, keeping things clean. By afternoon, the wind goes glassy again, and the swell bumps up a touch in energy to 448. That’s a great afternoon session.

Sunday (12th) holds steady with 3ft SW swell and light cross-off breezes all day. The energy dips slightly but it’s still clean and consistent.

The standout period here is from Friday through Sunday. Swell sizes are small but rideable, and the winds are mostly light and favourable. The long period (14-15 seconds) means those waves will have some real push, and at a river break like El Estero, that’s a recipe for nice, peeling lines without too much jostling for position. Crowds can be a factor here, so get in early.

Monday (13th) sees a slight drop to 2ft, but still clean in the morning with a cross-off breeze. Tuesday (14th) morning is clean with offshore wind, but the swell sits at only 2ft, so it’ll be small and gutless. Afternoon turns marginal with a cross-shore wind.

We then hit a bit of a lull through the middle of the week. Wednesday (15th) has some okay morning waves (2ft) but the wind picks up to 12 mph, and by afternoon the onshore wind kills it. Thursday (16th) is similar—clean morning but small, and the afternoon gets messy.

Friday (17th) is a bit of a mixed bag. Morning is small and clean with an offshore breeze, but the afternoon is where it gets interesting again: 3ft SSW swell, glassy conditions, and energy at 431. That’s a good surprise for a Friday evening.

Over the weekend of the 18th and 19th, it’s pretty quiet. Small swell and moderate breezes keep things average, though Sunday afternoon turns glassy with a 2ft SW swell and very long 18-second period. That’s more of a clean-up set type of day.

Now, looking further out, we see the real spike coming on Saturday 25th July. The morning delivers a 3ft SW groundswell with a very long period of 21 seconds and combined energy hitting 790—that’s strong. Winds are light offshore from the east. This is the best looking window in the whole outlook. The swell direction (SW) lines up perfectly with the optimum for the spot (WNW/SW), and with that period, El Estero could really light up. It’s a long-range call, so don’t lock it in yet, but it’s got my attention.

Wednesday 22nd July also deserves a mention. We see a 5ft SW swell, but the period drops to just 8 seconds—short period windswell. It’s clean with offshore winds in the afternoon, and energy is high at 496, so there’ll be lumpy, powerful waves. That size might be too much for beginners, and the short period will make it a bit crumbly at the river mouth, so it’s more of a challenge wave.

Rusty.

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