El Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the menu for El Estero over the next couple of weeks.

First up, we’ve got a little bit of a slow start, but the river mouth is offering up a consistent run of waves. The water is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, sitting at 85°, so it’s a nice balmy session.

The best bet on the board is Thursday afternoon, July 30th. We’ve got a clean 4ft SW groundswell with a long 14-second period, and the wind is going offshore from the ENE at 19 mph. That’s going to set up some really clean, lined-up waves. The combined energy is moderate (603), so there’s plenty of push. It’s a consistent spot, so you won’t be waiting around forever. Be aware that crowds are likely here, so get your spot early.

Friday morning, July 31st, still has some clean 3ft SW swell, but the wind is cross-off, so it won’t be quite as perfect. The energy drops to 382. Saturday morning, August 1st, is smaller at 3ft, but still clean with a cross-off NE breeze. By Saturday afternoon, the wind swings offshore and it cleans up again with a light breeze. Sunday morning, August 2nd, is small but clean, though the swell is fading to 2ft.

We hit a bit of a lull from Sunday afternoon through the middle of the next week. The wave heights drop to 1ft-2ft and the wind turns onshore, making it mostly rubbish. There’s a tiny window on Thursday morning, August 6th, with a glassy 2ft swell, but it’s very ordinary.

Now, looking ahead to the second week, things get more interesting. Friday, August 7th, sees a nice jump in period with a 2ft SW groundswell coming in at 18 seconds. That’s a very long period, which means it’s going to be a bit straighter at the beach, but the river mouth can handle it. The combined energy jumps to 420. Saturday, August 8th, is looking like a real standout. The afternoon session has a 4ft SW swell with a 15-second period, and the wind is offshore from the ENE at 6 mph. The energy is strong (574), and the forecast is for very good conditions. This is the one to circle on the calendar, but it’s a week and a half away, so keep an eye on it.

The following week has a mix of clean mornings with offshore winds and onshore afternoons that ruin it. The session on Thursday morning, August 13th, is worth a mention: a 3ft SW groundswell with a 17-second period and a gentle offshore breeze from the ENE. The energy is strong (636), and it’s forecast for very good conditions. Again, a promising long-range call.

Overall, it’s a consistent run at El Estero with a few really clean windows. The best bets are the afternoon of July 30th and the afternoon of August 8th. Get out there when the wind is right.

Rusty.

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