El Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s cooking for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a bit of a slow start, but the longer-range looks like it’s got some serious potential. The first few days are a bit of a mixed bag, with some surfable waves but the conditions aren't always gonna play ball. We’re looking at a single break here, El Estero, and it’s got a few windows of opportunity.

The water is sitting at 86°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so you can leave the 4/3 at home.

The first real standout looks like Monday morning, July 13th. We’ve got a clean 2ft swell from the SW, with a period of 14 seconds. The wind is a gentle offshore breeze from the ENE, so the face will be smooth. The combined wave energy is moderate (200). It’s not a big day, but it’s a nice, clean start to the week.

Conditions get a bit messy after that, with onshore winds chopping things up in the afternoons. Tuesday and Wednesday mornings are surfable with offshore winds, but the quality is just ordinary. The swell stays small, around 2ft.

Then we hit a bit of a lull. The swell drops off, and the wind isn't helping. It’s not until Sunday, July 19th that we see a glimmer of hope. The afternoon session looks clean with a 3ft SSW swell and a 12-second period, and the wind is light offshore. The energy picks up too (449).

Now, the real gold is in the second week. Hold onto your boards.

Saturday, July 25th morning is interesting. The swell is only 2ft, but the period jumps to a very long 21 seconds. That’s proper groundswell energy. The wind is light offshore from the E, and the energy reading is 434. This is a promising sign for a river mouth like El Estero, as those long-period lines will wrap in nicely.

The absolute best of the bunch is shaping up for Sunday, July 26th morning. We’re looking at a clean 3ft swell from the SW with a 19-second period. The wind is a light offshore from the ESE. The combined wave energy is strong (577). This is the kind of forecast that gets you out of bed early. The waves will have proper shape and power.

But it gets even better. Monday, July 27th morning is a glassy dream. Zero wind, clean conditions, and a 3ft SW swell with an 18-second period. The energy is a massive 591. This is a no-brainer. Get out there.

The run of good conditions continues into Tuesday, July 28th morning. We’ve got glassy conditions again, with a 4ft SW swell and a 16-second period. The energy is the highest of the whole forecast at 619. This is the biggest swell in the window, and with that glassy surface, it’s going to be a treat. This is a bit more size, so it’ll be a step up from the weekend, but for the experienced surfer, this is the session to aim for.

Because this is a river mouth, those long-period swells (over 15 seconds) will wrap around the banks and deliver some nice, lined-up waves. Crowds are often here, so expect some company, especially on those standout days.

Rusty

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