El Estero Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, grab your board and listen up. Rusty here with the long-range look at El Estero.

The first few days are a mixed bag, but this river mouth setup has some proper windows of clean surf if you time it right. The water's sitting at a balmy 86°, which is a touch warmer than normal.

Thursday, September 3rd afternoon – Just forget it. That 9 mph cross-onshore wind is putting a chop on a 3ft southeast groundswell. The energy is weak (922). Not worth paddling out.

Friday, September 4th morning is the first real standout. We’ve got a solid 5ft southwest groundswell with a long 17-second period, and the wind is blowing offshore from the east-northeast at 9 mph. This is excellent, clean surf for experienced surfers. The swell energy is moderate at 1425. Afternoon sees a thunderstorm risk and the wind swings cross-on, so get it early.

Saturday, September 5th morning is another beauty. A building 6ft southwest swell, 16-second period, with light offshore winds. Clean conditions for experienced surfers again (1446 energy). The afternoon will blow out with storms and cross-on wind.

Sunday, September 6th morning – Good call. The swell drops a touch to 5ft, but the 6 mph offshore wind from the east keeps it clean. Moderate energy (878). The afternoon goes to junk again with storm risks.

Monday, September 7th morning is a glassy one. Just 4ft of southwest swell, but with the wind dead calm (3 mph from the southeast), it’ll be mirror-flat clean. Low energy (597), but perfect for a longboard.

We then have a run of smaller but clean mornings from Tuesday through Wednesday, September 8-9. Swell between 2ft and 3ft, with offshore or glassy conditions. Good for beginners or a fun cruise. Energy is weak (between 516 and 618).

Thursday, September 10th morning sees a pulse of 4ft southwest swell (17s period) with a moderate cross-offshore wind. The energy builds to 1143. It’s a bit onshore in the afternoon, so stick to the early.

From Friday, September 11th to Saturday, September 12th, the mornings are clean with 4ft to 4ft southwest swell. Not massive, but clean conditions make for a fun session.

The second week gets smaller and less consistent. Sunday and Monday mornings, September 13th & 14th, have clean, glassy conditions on tiny 2ft to 3ft southwest groundswell with long periods (17-19 seconds). Energy is very weak (227 to 446). The afternoons are blown out with onshore winds.

The standout for the entire forecast is Friday, September 18th morning. The wind goes dead calm – glassy conditions – with a 2ft southwest groundswell and a very long 21-second period. The swell energy is moderate (637). This will be a dreamy, clean session at the river mouth.

And keep an eye on Friday, September 17th morning – a 2ft southwest swell with a massive 23-second period and clean conditions. That’s a very long-period groundswell, which can be tricky at beach breaks but often works a treat at a river mouth like El Estero. The energy hits 685. A promising but less certain long-range call.

Rusty.

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