Arashi Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's get straight into it. We've got a long, quiet stretch ahead for this region, so don't get your hopes up for anything rideable for a while.

The whole 16-day window is looking grim. There is simply no surf of any real size on offer. We are staring at a blank run with zero wave height. The first two weeks are a write-off with nothing but tiny, unrideable bumps and strong winds. We're talking about a 15-day gap with no surf recommendations.

The only spot in the game is Arashi Bay Reef. This is a tricky reef break that rarely breaks, so you need the right conditions – and we just don't have 'em. It's exposed to the swell, and the optimum direction is from the NW, but we're getting tiny pulses from the north. The combined energy of all swells is weak, barely cracking double digits (3 to 5 units), and the water temp is about average for this time of year.

Thursday, September 10th kicks things off with a 0.3ft NE windswell. The period is a sluggish 12 seconds, but seriously, at 0.3ft it's not even a wave. The wind is howling offshore from the east at 22 to 28 mph, which would normally be perfect, but with no swell, it's just a clean, blown-out bathtub. This pattern of strong offshore wind and zero surf sticks around for days. The wave energy is weak (0 to 4 units), and the conditions are labelled "poor surf conditions" the whole way through. The "best" we get is clean, offshore bumps that you can't surf. The wind is way too strong for these tiny conditions anyway.

Tuesday, September 15th brings some clouds and a risk of thunderstorms, but still no swell.

We finally see a tiny uptick on Thursday, September 17th with a 0.3ft, 15-second pulse from the north. That's a very long period for such a tiny wave, which means it'll be super clean but you'd be hard-pressed to even stand up on it.

For the final few days, from September 20th to 25th, the wind eases to a moderate breeze (12 mph), but the swell remains at a measly 0.3ft. The combined energy is still weak (2 to 5 units). A 0.3ft, 10-second wave is a puddle. It's not happening.

There are no standouts here. Nothing is good. Even for a beginner, 0.3ft is nothing, and for an expert, a reef that rarely breaks with zero push is just a waste of time. With such poor surf quality, strong wind, and a reef setup, this is more of a kite-surfing forecast if you're into that sort of thing when it's flat.

Better luck next time, folks.

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