Arashi Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s get straight into it. For this little stretch of coast, we’re looking at a pretty bleak 16-day window. The only break on the radar is Arashi Bay Reef, and it’s a tricky one at the best of times. This reef setup is a real specialist spot, rarely breaks, and when it does it’s for the advanced crew only. Unfortunately, for the entire forecast period, there’s no swell to speak of – the combined energy is sitting at a flat zero (0) every day. That means zero waves, no matter what the wind is doing.

The poor surf conditions are a constant companion throughout. Starting from Sunday 5 July right through to Monday 20 July, the story doesn’t change. There’s a strong, persistent easterly wind hammering the place, often around 25 to 31 mph. On the plus side, many afternoons show offshore or cross-offshore wind, so the surface would be clean if there were any swell, but with nothing to push you along, it’s just a blown-out, flat ocean. Mornings are mostly cross-off, with a clean face but again, no waves. The afternoons often switch to a strong offshore – some days near gale force (31 mph) – which makes the water glassy but also impossible to paddle into. That’s no use.

Water temp here is 81°F, which is about average for this time of year (anomaly of 0.7°F).

Because the reef rarely breaks and there’s zero combined swell energy across the whole 16 days, there’s no standout moment. The entire forecast is a blank. No recommendations from the system, and honestly, that matches the situation. For this spot, a long run with no surf is more normal than not.

If you’re desperate for a paddle, you’d be better off with a kiteboard on those strong offshore winds – the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. But for wave riding, save your energy.

Rusty out.

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