Arashi Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s cookin’ – or not cookin’ – for Arashi Bay Reef over the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the 16-day window starts off dead calm, flat, and frankly, a bit grim. We’re talking a solid block of days from Monday the 10th all the way through to the morning of Monday the 17th with absolutely no surf on offer. Zero. Nada. The combined swell energy is sitting at 0 for most of that stretch.

The wind, though, is a constant presence. It’s blowin’ fresh to strong out of the east and east-northeast, hitting 25 to 31 mph. That’s putting it straight offshore for this spot, and the water will be glassy clean – but you can’t paddle into what isn’t there. A few of the afternoon sessions even read as “near gale” on the 12th, so that’s kite-surfing territory, not paddle surfing.

Now, at the very tail end of the outlook, there’s a tiny flicker. On Monday, the 17th of August, we finally see a pulse – a 2 ft swell from the north, with a period of 6 seconds. That’s short-period windswell, and the combined energy is only 17 – weak. Water temp’s sitting at 82°, which is pretty much normal for this time of year (anomaly of only 0.4°). Even then, the Tuesday afternoon on the 18th shows just 0.3 ft from the north.

Arashi Bay Reef is a tricky one anyway – it rarely breaks, and it’s an advanced-only reef setup. Even when that tiny north pulse shows up, the offshore wind stays strong and clean, but the swell is just too small and weak to be worth paddling out for. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, but with surf like this, you’ll have the place to yourself – because nobody’s out.

So, the honest truth: there’s nothing worth chasing. The first real surfable day might not even land in this window. A blank run like this isn’t unheard of for the area. Stay hopeful, though – forecasts can change.

Rusty.

Read more