Arashi Bay Reef Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s be straight with you—this outlook is a tough one. We’re looking at a solid 16-day window, but honestly, there’s nothing to get excited about.

Arashi Bay Reef is the only spot on the radar, and it’s a rare-breaks reef that needs a very specific NW swell to come alive. Over the next two weeks, the swell is virtually non-existent. We’re talking flat to near-flat conditions with tiny 0.3ft to 0.7ft pulses from the north, and combined swell energy is pitiful, sitting between 1 and 9 (9 is weak). The period is all over the place—from a short 8 seconds up to 12 seconds—but with no height, it doesn’t matter.

The wind is a real kicker too. It’s howling out of the ENE and E at 22 to 28 mph, which is a *strong breeze*. While that gives you clean, offshore conditions, the swell is so small that even with perfect wind, you’re looking at a flat, bumpy mess. The water temperature is 83°F, which is about normal for this time of year, but you won’t be in the water anyway.

There’s a gap of absolutely no surf worth mentioning until the very end of the period. Around the 11th of September, we see a tiny pulse of 0.7ft from the north with an 11-second period, but the energy is still only 9 and the wind is still 25 mph. That’s barely a ripple. For the rest of the run, it’s a blank slate. This is a region where a flat spell is pretty normal for a reef that rarely breaks.

If you’re a kite surfer, those strong offshore winds might look interesting, but for paddle surfing, there’s nothing here. Don’t hold your breath.

Rusty.

Read more