Anse Bougainville Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's talk about what we've got on the cards for the next couple of weeks. To be honest with ya, straight up, this outlook is a tough one. The whole 16-day window is one big stretch of messy conditions with barely a silver lining.

Right from Friday morning, the 11th, it’s onshore wind at Anse Bougainville, a reef break. A solid 7ft swell from the SSE, period of 12 seconds – that’s got some proper energy behind it, we're talking strong wave energy (1903). But the problem is that wind is howling straight onshore at 25 km/h, absolutely trashing it. You’d be fighting a losing battle. The water is 83°, a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, but you won't be enjoying it. This pattern just locks in day after day.

From Friday the 11th right through until around Wednesday the 23rd, it's the same grim story. The swell sticks around, mostly around 5ft to 8ft, from the SSE or SE, with periods hanging between 8 and 11 seconds. The combined energy fluctuates from moderate to strong (573 to 1145), but none of it matters because the wind refuses to play nice. It stays onshore almost the entire time, mostly a Moderate to Fresh breeze at 12 to 22 mph. There’s not a single session in that whole first week and a half that I’d recommend paddling out for.

Now, around Wednesday the 23rd, there is a bit of a shift. The swell drops right off to a tiny 2ft, but the period jumps to 20 seconds. That’s a very long period groundswell, with the energy still reading strong (832). The direction swings to S, then SSW. But again, the wind is still onshore. It's a cruel tease. For a wave that long-period, you'd want it to be glassy and peeling perfectly down the reef, but it'll be a bumpy, blown-out mess. This tiny, long-period energy sticks around through Thursday the 24th before the swell starts to pick up again on Friday the 25th. But by Saturday the 26th, we’re back to onshore winds with a short-period 7ft SE swell (7 seconds), making it choppy and cross-onshore. Not for surfing.

Honestly, there are no standouts here. The entire period is a write-off for a decent wave. If you’ve got a kite, the consistent onshore wind and solid swell might be worth a look, but for a paddle surfer, this is a blank run. That’s the reality of it. Forecasts can change, and with that consistency in the swell, it won't stay this bad forever, but for now, it's time to do something else.

Rusty.

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