Anse Bougainville Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a hard look at what’s coming up for Anse Bougainville over the next couple of weeks. I’ll be straight with you – this is going to be a tough stretch.

The main issue is the wind. For the entire 16-day window, we’re looking at a relentless onshore flow, mostly from the SE. That wind is going to trash any chance of clean, lined-up waves. The swell is coming from the SE to SSE, which is the go-to direction for this break, but it doesn’t matter if the wind is slapping it flat. The water temp is sitting at 81° at the start, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year.

Let’s run through it. Saturday the 25th kicks off with a 6 ft SE swell (587 combined energy), but a 19 mph cross-on wind from the SSE makes it lumpy and poor. Conditions don’t improve. Sunday the 26th drops to 4 ft, still cross-on. Monday the 27th sees the wind shift straight onshore, and while the swell bumps up a bit, the quality is zero. By Tuesday the 28th, we’ve got 7 ft SE swell (838 energy), but it’s blowing 22 mph onshore. That’s choppy, blown-out, and not worth your time.

Mid-week, Wednesday the 29th holds 7 ft (867 energy) and the wind stays strong onshore. Thursday the 30th has a weird moment – a 3 ft, 16-second groundswell from the S (879 energy) appears in the afternoon. That long period would be a dream under different conditions, but the onshore wind is still there, so it’s a tease. Friday the 31st through the weekend of August 1st and 2nd is more of the same: 4 ft to 5 ft, onshore wind, and poor surf.

The second week doesn’t get any kinder. Monday August 3rd sees 5 ft, still onshore. Tuesday the 4th bumps up to 8 ft (981 energy), but by now the wind is a solid 22 mph onshore. That’s borderline expert-only size, but with that wind, it’s a washing machine. Wednesday the 5th through to the final day on Sunday August 9th sees swell holding between 7 ft and 8 ft. The combined energy climbs into the four-figure range (1392, 1704, 1825) – that’s a lot of water moving – but it’s all accompanied by a 19 to 22 mph onshore wind. Heaps of energy, zero quality. Honestly, if you’re into kite surfing, that setup might get you interested, but for paddle surfing, it’s a hard pass.

There’s not a single standout day in this outlook. The reef setup at Anse Bougainville is exposed and consistent, so it’s trying, but the wind just won’t let up. For a solid 16 days, there’s nothing to recommend. You’re better off waiting for the next forecast change.

Rusty.

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