Anse Bougainville Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, surfers, Rusty here. Let's get into it. We've got one spot on the radar for the next 16 days, and I gotta be straight with you – it's a tough stretch.

The overall pattern is a long, frustrating run of onshore winds and messy conditions. We're looking at a solid 16-day window, but the first real chance for a wave doesn't kick in until July 17th, and even then, it's a battle.

We start on Friday, July 17th, with Anse Bougainville. It's a consistent reef break, set up for a southeasterly swell, and the swell direction is bang on. But the wind is a killer. We've got a strong, onshore breeze from the SSE at 12 mph, and it's blowing straight onto the shore. The swell is a modest 4 ft from the SE, with a period of 9 seconds, but the combined energy is weak, sitting at 328. The water temp is about average for the season here. It's just not worth paddling out; the report calls it "poor surf conditions" and I'm not arguing.

The weekend doesn't bring any relief. Saturday, July 18th, the wind picks up to 19 mph, still onshore, with the swell just a touch bigger at 5 ft. The energy is still moderate at 368. It's a write-off.

Sunday, July 19th, the swell energy climbs to 501, but it's all for nothing. The wind is still a moderate breeze right onshore. The waves are just going to be a mess.

This pattern of onshore wind and average, short-period swell continues day after day. We see the swell height climb to 6 ft on Wednesday, July 22nd, and the energy is building into the 607 to 666 range, but it's all wind-affected slop. For a beginner, the 4 ft to 5 ft days are doable swell-wise, but the wind is just too strong. For anyone else, it's a no-go. The wind stays a constant onshore or cross-onshore, making everything lumpy and choppy.

The only standout, and I use the term loosely, is a weird moment on Tuesday, July 28th. The morning session shows a tiny 2 ft swell, but it's from the south with a very long period of 22 seconds. That's a proper groundswell in the mix. The combined energy is high at 853, but on a beach break, that long period will likely make it break too straight and close out. Plus, the wind is still onshore at 12 mph. It's a cruel tease of what could be if the wind ever turned.

The last week of the run is a bit of a wash. The wind stays onshore, and the swell is mixed. By the end of the first week of August, the conditions are still poor. There is no real highlight here. The best advice I can give is to keep an eye on the charts, because this kind of blank run can't last forever. For now, the setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, with that consistent onshore breeze.

Stay tuned, and keep your stick dry.

Rusty

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