Anse Bougainville Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here again. Let’s look at the same picture but in feet and Fahrenheit.

Honestly, it’s a tough stretch. This is a run where the ocean’s got plenty of push, but the wind’s just not playing ball, and the conditions are gonna frustrate the hell out of you. The whole 16-day window is one long, messy grind. Every day is scored as poor surf conditions. There’s no sweet spot, no golden hour. It’s like the sea’s got plenty of grunt, but the wind’s got the last say.

We’re looking at Anse Bougainville, a reef setup, which needs that clean, lined-up swell to really work. The first recommendation gets going on the 31st of July, Friday morning. A solid 5ft of swell from the SSE, with a period of 9 seconds, giving us moderate wave energy (703). But the wind is a fresh 30 km/h (19 mph) southerly, cross-onshore, and that’s blowing it out. It’s lumpy and messy, no good for a paddle. That same story carries right through the weekend. On the 1st of August, we’ve got onshore wind from the SE, 25-30 km/h (16-19 mph), with swell around 4ft to 6ft. That 6ft is only good for experts in these winds, but the onshore chop will make it a battle. The energy is moderate (391 to 630), but the quality is zero.

We go through the first week of August without a single day that looks clean. By the 6th of August, the swell really picks up – 10ft from the SE with a 10-second period, giving strong wave energy (1668). That is proper size for a reef, but with that kind of wind stress (35 km/h, 22 mph SE onshore), it’s going to be a washing machine. That size is for experts only anyway, and with the onshore kick, it’s more of a kite-surfing show than a paddle session. The swell stays big right through to the 9th of August, consistently over 8ft, but the wind never lets up. It’s all onshore, fresh to strong breeze, every session. The period hangs around 9-10 seconds, so it’s a mix of windswell and background groundswell, but the wind kills any chance of a decent face.

The second week brings more of the same from the 10th of August onwards. Swell dips to 5ft on the 14th of August, but the wind is still a fresh onshore breeze. The energy drops to moderate (694) but the conditions stay poor. There’s no standout session here. Surfers are gonna have to sit this one out, or just accept a messy, bumpy wave. For a reef break, the wind needs to be offshore (from the NW) to get those clean walls, and we don't see that once in the entire forecast.

The water temperature anomaly isn’t given in the data, so I can’t say if it’s warm or cold for the time of year at Anse Bougainville. But with that constant onshore wind, you’ll be wearing a proper wetsuit anyway.

Crowds are noted as “sometimes” at this spot, and honestly, on this forecast, you probably won’t have to worry about anyone else out there. It’s going to be a quiet lineup for all the wrong reasons.

Rusty

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