Anse Bougainville Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Gotta be straight with you – looking at the forecast for Anse Bougainville over the next couple of weeks, and frankly, it’s a rough one. The whole damn 16-day window is a write-off. There are zero standouts, zero sessions worth paddling out for. This is a full-on blank run for the area, so don't be surprised; sometimes this stretch just goes quiet.

Right from the start on Wednesday, July 15th, we're on the back foot. The wind is hammering straight onshore from the SE at 16 mph, making a mess of the 5ft swell coming from the ESE. The water’s sitting at a warm 80°, about average for the time of year, but you won’t care about that when you’re getting blown off your board. The combined energy is a moderate 686, but with that junk wind, it’s just a washing machine.

Things don't get any better. Thursday the 16th sees the wind pick up even more – a fresh breeze at 22 mph from the SSE, onshore again, trying to push around a 7ft swell. That's getting up there in size, but with the wind, it’s just messy and blown out. The rest of that week and into the next are just more of the same: consistent onshore SE winds, moderate to fresh breeze, with swell hanging between 4ft and 6ft. The energy reads moderate most days, like 348 to 613, but it’s all for nothing with that wind direction. It’s the kind of setup that looks more interesting for a kite surfer than a surfer on a paddle board.

By the time we get to Wednesday, July 22nd, we’re even getting risk of thunderstorms thrown in for good measure. The swell sticks around 5ft to 6ft, but that wind just won't let up.

There is a brief flicker of hope around the 29th and 30th of July. The swell direction swings to the south, and the period gets long – 22 seconds on the 29th morning. That’s a proper long-period groundswell, which at a reef break like Anse Bougainville could be magical if the stars align. The combined energy reads strong, hitting 878 on the 29th afternoon. But the catch? The swell height is tiny, only about 2ft to 3ft. The wind is still onshore and howling. It’s a whisper of what could have been, but on the day, it’s still just poor surf conditions.

So, to sum it up: there is nothing to get excited about here. Don’t bother waxing up for the next two weeks. Sometimes the ocean just says no. We’ll have to wait and see if the forecasts change.

Rusty

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