Anse Bougainville Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the outlook for the next couple of weeks.

First up, the water here is running a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, coming in at 81°F – that’s a nice little bonus, mates.

Right, let’s be straight with you. The whole 16-day window is a tough one for surfers. The swell is there, no doubt, with moderate to strong wave energy, but it's coming in from the southeast and south-southeast, which is straight onshore for this spot. The wind is a relentless bastard – mostly from the SE, blowing onshore at 15 to 25 mph. For the first week, from Saturday the 8th right through to the end of the next week, it’s a write-off for clean surf. The waves are messy, lumpy, and choppy. We’ve got swell heights from 5 ft to 10 ft, but it’s all blown out. The period is mostly short, so no real power or shape to speak of.

There’s a bit of a shift in the wind on Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th, going cross-onshore, but it’s still poor. The swell gets a bit bigger on the 13th, hitting 7 ft with a period of 11 seconds from the SSE, but the onshore wind just kills it.

The second week doesn’t offer any relief. The wind stays locked in from the SE at 20-22 mph, onshore all the way. The swell hangs around 5 ft to 8 ft, mostly with a short period. Even on Sunday the 16th, when we get a big 21-second period groundswell from the south, the wind is still howling onshore at 19 mph, ruining any chance of a clean wave. That long-period swell would be beautiful at a point break or reef, but not here with this wind.

Honestly, there is not a single standout in this entire run. The forecast is poor for every single session. The waves are too big for beginners at times (over 5 ft), and for experts, the wind is just too strong and onshore. With the wind and the swell direction, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing right now. If you’ve got a kite, you’ll be laughing. For a surfboard? It’s a hard pass.

This is a classic case of a blank run for this area. It’s not normal for it to stay this poor for this long, but when the trade winds lock in, you just have to wait it out. Forecasts can change, but right now, I’d be finding something else to do for the next two weeks.

Rusty.

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