Anse Bougainville Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright crew, Rusty here again. Let’s break down the same grim picture in feet and miles per hour.

We’ve got a solid run of swell on the horizon at Anse Bougainville, but the wind is the enemy here. The whole 16 days is plagued by onshore flow from the SSE and SE, making for messy, blown-out waves. No real windows of clean surf, so it’s a long slog of lumpy, poor conditions.

First up, Monday the 27th of July. Water temp is a touch warmer than average at 27°, but that’s the only good news. Wind is nailing it onshore at 19 mph, swell is 5 feet from the SE with a short 6-second period – that’s junk. The combined energy is 390 (moderate power), but it’s all wind swell. Poor surf, full stop.

Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 29th see the swell build to 7 feet, period bumping to 8 seconds, but the wind stays onshore at 19 mph. Energy hits 807 on Wednesday morning – plenty of water moving, but it’s a mess. The wave comment doesn’t change: “poor surf conditions.”

Thursday the 30th is a tease: a 3-foot south swell with a long 16-second period, energy at 825. That’s real groundswell potential, but the wind is still onshore at 16-19 mph. A long-period swell like that, on a reef, with that wind, will be lumpy and hard to read.

The second week gets wild. From Thursday the 6th of August, we’re looking at 8 feet of SE swell, period 9 seconds, and energy numbers like 1230 and 1155 – that’s strong, powerful stuff. But the wind is relentless, 19-22 mph onshore, and by Sunday the 9th and Monday the 10th, it turns cross-onshore, described as “fresh cross-onshore and lumpy.” That’s ugly.

With that much power and those onshore winds, this is more of a kite surfer’s playground than a paddle surfer’s dream. The swell is there, but the quality is gone. No standout day. If you’re desperate, try the early mornings, but it’s a battle. Forecasts can change, but for now, don’t get your hopes up.

Rusty.

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