Anse Bougainville Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, this is a tough one. Looking at the whole 16-day window, there's really nothing that shapes up as a good day for a paddle. The break, Anse Bougainville, is a reef setup that's supposed to like swell from the SE, and there's plenty of swell on the way, but it's almost always hitting with a nasty onshore wind. For the vast majority of the period, we're looking at a fresh breeze from the SE or SSE blowing straight onshore, wrecking any chance of a clean wave. There’s a long stretch from Thursday the 14th right through to the end of the window on the 27th where conditions look poor. It’s a pretty blank run, but when the trade winds set in like this, it’s not unusual for the area to go quiet.

Starting out, Wednesday the 12th has some swell from the SSE, about 6ft, with a period around 10 seconds. The combined wave energy is moderate at 967, but the wind is a cross-on from the SSW at 19 mph, so it's messy and lumpy. Not one to get excited about.

Moving into Thursday the 13th, we get a bit more swell energy (1019) and a slightly longer period of 11 seconds. The swell is still 6ft from the SSE, but the wind is a cross-on from the S at 12 mph. It’s still choppy and poor.

Friday the 14th is a little bit of a tease. The wind backs off to a gentle breeze, going onshore from the SSE and SE. The swell drops to 5ft and 5ft, with a long period of 11 seconds. The forecast calls it marginal. With the wind on it like that, it’s tough to recommend. The combined energy is in the moderate range (764 and 637).

From Saturday the 15th onward, it's a real grind. The wind picks back up, the swell gets short and bumpy, or it gets very long-period but blown out. There's a moment on Sunday the 16th where the period jumps to 21 seconds with the swell coming from the south, but the wave energy is high at 1360. The problem is a 22 mph onshore wind, so it’s just a choppy mess. That kind of long-period groundswell breaking straight into a strong headwind is not going to be any fun.

A few days later, like the 24th through the 27th, we see more of those long-period S swells (15-16 seconds) pumping through with combined energy over 1500. But again, the wind is a relentless onshore breeze at 19-22 mph. It’s enough to make you want to check the kite gear instead of the surfboard.

For the first couple of days, the water temperature is sitting around 81°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year, so at least you don't need a thick suit, but you'd be fighting a losing battle against the wind.

There is no standout here. No clean waves to chase. The best chance, and it’s a slim one, would have been Friday the 14th morning if that gentle onshore had been just a tiny bit more offshore. As it stands, keep your board in the car and maybe go for a drive.

Rusty.

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