Anse Bougainville Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let me tell you about the next couple of weeks. I’ve been staring at the charts and, to be honest, it’s a bit of a tough stretch for a proper session. Anse Bougainville is the only spot on the cards, but the conditions are fighting us the whole way.

The swell is coming in steady from the SSE, but the wind is the problem. We’ve got a relentless onshore flow from the same direction as the swell for the first several days, which is that dreaded “on” wind state. It’s blowing 9 mph to start, then ramps up to a fresh 19-22 mph from the 5th through the 8th. The water temp is about average for the time of year, so nothing unusual there. The combined energy readings start moderate and climb—by the 6th and 7th of July we’re seeing moderate wave energy in the 765 to 824 range, but with that wind on it, it’s just messy and lumpy.

There’s a brief shift on the morning of the 8th where the wind goes cross-on, but it’s still a fresh breeze, so it’s not cleaning anything up. The swell sits around 6 ft to 7 ft from the SSE, with period mostly short at 8-9 seconds. That’s choppy, onshore junk—honestly, this setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. Not worth paddling out.

From the 11th of July onward, the wind stays onshore and moderate to fresh. The swell drops a little, down to 4 ft to 5 ft, but the period stays short at 9-10 seconds. The combined energy numbers drop to moderate levels around 504 to 587. Still poor surf conditions across the board.

Now, the 14th of July is interesting but not in a good way for us. We get a long-period swell showing up—period of 15 to 18 seconds, which is groundswell energy, and the combined energy spikes to 1173 on Tuesday morning, which is strong wave energy. But again, the wind is a fresh cross-on or onshore, and the swell height is only 3 ft to 4 ft. That long period at a reef break like Anse Bougainville, with onshore wind, will just make it fat and bumpy.

Later in the second week, from the 16th of July onward, the swell builds again. We’re seeing 8 ft from the SE on Thursday the 16th and Friday the 17th, with combined energy hitting 1249 to 1358—strong to very strong energy. But the period is short at 9 seconds and the wind is a fresh 19-22 mph onshore. That’s big, windy, sloppy surf. For experts only, and even then, it’s not going to be pretty.

There’s no standout session here. The only silver lining is that the spot is consistent, so it usually doesn’t stay this poor for long. Forecasts can change. But based on what I see now, you’re better off keeping the board in the car.

Rusty.

Read more