Anse Bougainville Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, listen up. I’ve stared at the charts for the next 16 days and it’s a tough one to write. We’re looking at a block of onshore wind that just won’t let up, and the surf is going to be messy for the vast majority of it. The first real hint of something different is a long way off, and even that’s a maybe.

The only spot we’re talking about is Anse Bougainville. It’s a reef break, breaks consistently, and likes a swell from the southeast. The water is about 82°F, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year. That’s about the only nice thing I can say.

From the get-go, it’s a struggle. Wednesday afternoon, the 9th, there’s a 4 ft swell from the south with a 16-second period, which is a long-period groundswell. The problem is the wind is blowing 30 km/h from the east-southeast, right onshore. The wave energy is moderate (989), but it’s going to be a bumpy, ugly mess.

Thursday the 10th and Friday the 11th are more of the same. The swell kicks up to 5 ft and 8 ft, with the energy climbing into the strong range (1622 and 2045), but that onshore wind is still there, 20-25 km/h. That 8 ft is getting into “experts only” territory anyway, but with that wind, it’s just a blown-out, dangerous mess. Stay out.

The whole second week is a write-off. Swell hangs between 4 ft and 8 ft, but the wind is relentless from the south to southeast, 20-35 km/h. The period drops, the waves get shorter and choppier, and the energy levels drop back to weak to moderate. It’s poor surf conditions, day in, day out.

Even when the swell is bigger, like the 8 ft on Tuesday the 15th, the wind is 35 km/h and cross-onshore, creating fresh cross-onshore and lumpy conditions. That’s not a day for a surfboard; that’s a day for a kite.

Now, I’m looking way down the line, to Thursday the 24th of September. We’ve got a 4 ft swell from the south, but the period is a massive 21 seconds. That’s a proper, long-period groundswell with a lot of energy (1337). The wind is still onshore, 30 km/h in the morning and 25 km/h in the afternoon. A swell that long can produce some amazing, long walls at a reef like this, but that onshore breeze will ruin the surface. It’s a long way out, so don’t book the day off, but it’s the only thing on the whole board that even has a chance.

So, honest truth: there’s no standout. The whole 16-day window is a no-go for clean waves. The wind is the enemy. If you’re desperate, keep an eye on that 24th, but don’t hold your breath. Forecasts can change, but right now, it’s a bust.

Rusty.

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