Anse Bougainville Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the table for Anse Bougainville over the next couple of weeks.

Well, I gotta be straight with you – this forecast is a tough one to swallow. For the entire 16-day window, the conditions are just not cooperating. The swell is there, but the wind is blowing straight onshore every single day, with speeds mostly in that 15 to 22 mph range. That’s a fresh breeze hammering the surface, and it’s gonna make for some pretty lumpy, blown-out waves. We’re looking at a solid run of “poor surf conditions” from the 14th of September all the way through to the 29th.

The swell is coming from the SE, which is right on the nose for this exposed reef break. Heights are hovering between 5 ft and 8 ft for the first week, with periods bouncing between 7 and 10 seconds. The combined swell energy is moderate to strong, with values like 631 and even hitting 1493 on the 17th. So there’s definitely some push in the water, but that onshore wind is just ruining the surface texture. The water temperature is about average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

For the first week, from Monday the 14th through Sunday the 20th, you’re looking at 5 ft to 8 ft of SE swell, but with that relentless onshore wind, the wave quality is going to be poor. The period stays in that average 7 to 10 second range, so it’s a mix of windswell and some groundswell, but none of it will be clean.

Heading into the second week, from Monday the 21st through to Sunday the 27th, the pattern doesn’t change. Swell holds between 5 ft and 7 ft, but the wind is still onshore at 15 to 19 mph. The combined energy dips a bit, down to around 566 to 791, still moderate, but again, the wind is the enemy.

The final days, the 28th and 29th, the swell drops off to 4 ft to 5 ft, and the period gets shorter, down to 7 seconds. The wind is still onshore, and on the 29th it goes cross-onshore, which is even more frustrating.

Honestly, there’s not a single standout day in this entire run. The wind is just too strong and too onshore to make anything of the consistent swell. With the break being an exposed reef, this setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing, if you’re into that. For the rest of us, it’s a waiting game.

Rusty.

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