Anse Bougainville Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, it’s Rusty here, and I gotta be straight with you – this 16-day window is a tough one for Anse Bougainville. The forecast is a long, drawn-out run of "poor surf conditions" with no real standout windows, so we’re looking at a bit of a blank spell.

The first chance to get wet is from Friday afternoon, July 24th, but it’s not pretty. We’ve got a 6ft SE swell running, but with a 19 mph cross-on wind from the SSE, it’s going to be lumpy and choppy. The water’s sitting at 81°, which is a touch warmer than normal for this time of year. The energy is moderate at 658, but the wind is just ruining it. Saturday and Sunday don’t get much better; the swell drops to 3ft on Sunday with a short period, and the wind swings onshore, cleaning things up a bit but the swell is weak.

The whole first week is a write-off, honestly. The wind stays onshore and fresh, with swell heights bouncing between 4ft and 7ft, but the period is short (6 to 9 seconds), so it’s all wind-affected junk. The energy climbs into the three-digit range, hitting 993 on the 29th, but it’s all blown out. This is a reef break, so the onshore wind is going to make it a washing machine.

We hit the second week, and it’s more of the same grind. Starting August 1st, we’ve got a 7ft SSE swell with 22 mph onshore winds – that’s a no-go. The energy is up to 978, but it’s just messy. There is a notable increase in size around August 5th and 6th, with swell heights hitting 10ft and energy rocketing up to 1856 (strong to very strong wave energy). That’s big, powerful stuff, but with 22 mph onshore winds, it’s going to be a dangerous, blown-out mess. It’s too big for anyone but experts, and even then, the conditions are terrible. The period stretches to 10 seconds, which is better, but the wind is the problem.

The last few days of the forecast, from August 7th, the swell is still solid at 8ft, but the wind is still onshore. There’s just no clean window here. The crowd factor for this spot is "sometimes," but with conditions this poor, you won’t have to worry about company.

So, the bottom line: there are no good surf options in this 16-day window. The consistent swell is there, but the wind is relentless. It’s a classic case of a region that gets periods of onshore wind that just won’t let up. Sometimes you get a blank run like this. It’s frustrating, but it’s the reality. Keep an eye on it, the forecasts can change, but for now, I’d say save your energy.

Rusty.

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