Supertubes Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s look at what’s on the table for the next couple of weeks.

We’ve got a pretty classic setup on the cards for Supertubes. It’s a reef break that’s exposed to the SW, so it needs that big groundswell direction to really fire. The water temp is sitting at 60°F, which is basically normal for this time of year, nothing out of the ordinary.

The first real chance to get amongst it kicks off on Thursday afternoon, the 6th of August. There’s a bit of a SW groundswell running at 5 ft, and the period is a very long 16 seconds. That’s proper energy. The wind is light and cross from the SE at 6 mph, so it’s not going to be glassy clean, but it’s surfable. The combined energy is moderate (1018). It’s not a stand-out session, but it’s a start.

The best window in the near term is Friday afternoon, the 7th of August. The swell drops back to 5 ft from the SW, but the period bumps up to 17 seconds, and the wind swings to a gentle offshore from the NE at 9 mph. That’s clean. That’s what you want. The combined energy is moderate (1158). This is your pick of the first week for a solid session.

Saturday, the 8th of August, starts with a bit of cross-off wind and a 5 ft SW swell, but the afternoon turns to junk with a cross-onshore wind and a choppy mess. Sunday the 9th is a write-off – strong, stormy winds and a big, blown-out 10 ft swell. That’s only for the mad dogs and experts, but even then, the wind is onshore. Not good.

Monday the 10th through Wednesday the 13th is a patchy stretch. There’s a lot of energy in the water, with the combined energy hitting 3455 and 4776 on Monday and Wednesday, but the winds are just too strong or onshore to make it worthwhile. The swell is big (8 ft to 10 ft) and powerful, but it’s messy. You’d be fighting a losing battle.

We get a bit of a reprieve on Saturday morning, the 15th of August. The swell drops to 6 ft from the SW, with a long 16-second period, and we get a gentle cross-off wind from the E at 9 mph. The combined energy is moderate (1654). Conditions are clean. This is a solid look, another good option.

Then, Sunday morning the 16th of August looks like a proper gem. The swell is 4 ft from the SW, period of 15 seconds, and we get a clean, glassy offshore wind from the NE at 9 mph. The combined energy is 799. This is one of the true standouts of the whole forecast. The water will be smooth, the waves will be lined up. Get out there.

The second week has a couple more promising moments. Tuesday morning the 18th of August has a tiny 2 ft swell but with a very long 19-second period and a clean offshore wind. It’s a long-period groundswell, so it will be very straight at a beach break, but at a reef like Supertubes, it should wrap in nicely. The combined energy is 587. Wednesday afternoon the 19th of August sees the swell build back to 6 ft with a 16-second period and a cross-off wind, giving a combined energy of 3036. That’s a lot of power, but it’s a clean option for the confident surfer.

The last few days of the forecast, the 20th and 21st of August, are a bit messy again with onshore winds and rain showers. The surf is there, but the quality drops off.

Summary: The best on offer is Sunday morning, the 16th of August, with clean offshore winds and a solid SW groundswell. The second best is Friday afternoon, the 7th of August, with a gentle offshore and a long-period swell. For the later part of the window, keep an eye on Wednesday afternoon, the 19th of August, for a bigger, powerful swell with clean wind.

Rusty.

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