Club Med Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right. Let’s get into it. Club Med (SW-facing reef) is the only spot in the mix here, and honestly, the whole 16-day window is a tough one. We’ve got a bit of a wait before anything even worth paddling out for shows up.

The overall pattern is dominated by moderate, consistent SSW groundswell with nice long periods, but the wind and conditions just aren’t playing ball for most of it. You get that classic South Pacific energy pulsing in—combined swell energy sits in a moderate range (between 409 and 714 in the first week), meaning there's definitely power moving through the water, but the wind is a total buzzkill. Cross-shore and cross-onshore winds ruin the shape for most of the first week and into the second.

The standout session in this entire outlook is Tuesday morning, the 18th of August. That's the one. For a few hours, the wind goes glassy—NE at only 3 mph, dead calm. The water’s a touch warmer than normal at 85°F, about a degree and a half above average, so you’re surfing in bathwater. Swell is a solid 4 ft from the SW at a juicy 14 seconds, and combined energy reads 606—solid moderate power. For a reef break like Club Med, that long-period groundswell will wrap in nicely, giving you lined-up, punchy waves. The *only* caveat is that with that period, the sets might feel a bit walled-off if you’re looking for a steep peak, but on a reef, it should offer some nice, clean walls. This one is the clear winner.

After that morning, it’s a muddy mix of cross-onshore and moderate winds right through to the end of August. By the 25th, the swell drops right off to knee-high and the period shortens to 8 seconds, so we’re looking at weak, sloppy mush. Combined energy tanks to under 100 (88 on the 25th afternoon), which is barely enough to push a foam board around.

There’s a brief flicker on the 24th Monday morning with another glassy window (SW 3 mph), but the swell is smaller at 3 ft with a 10-second period—surfable but nothing special. Again, the 26th has offshore winds from the NE, but swell is tiny (2 ft, 7 seconds, energy reading 76). That’s skunk territory for most surfboards.

Late in the window, on the 30th and 31st of August, the swell direction swings more to the SW and period stretches back out to 14 seconds, but the energy is still moderate (259 down to 172) and the winds are cross or cross-onshore. Not worth the drive unless you’re desperate for any kind of movement.

So here’s the truth: there’s only one truly good window—Tuesday morning, the 18th of August. After that, it’s a long, frustrating run of poor to average conditions with only a few marginal, small windows.

This is Rusty, signing off.

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