Club Med Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let’s get stuck into this stretch of surf, looking at what’s on offer for the next couple of weeks. There’s not a lot of size to get excited about, but there are a few windows of clean, fun waves for the experienced crew. We’re looking at a bit of a waiting game, with the standout period landing later in the piece.

The water’s sitting at the seasonal norm for this time of year, so nothing to stress about there in terms of a sudden change. The first couple of days are pretty grim. We kick off on the 16th with a tiny 2ft southwest swell, a short period 14 second one at that. The morning is clean with light winds but the size is just too weak. The energy in the water is weak at 196. It's out of Club Med (reef) and the light cross-off is the only saving grace, but it's poor, and I wouldn't even bother paddling out. The outlook weakens further into the rest of the week, with barely a whisper of swell. From the 17th right through the 22nd, the guidance just calls it as poor surf conditions, with sets below 2ft and wobbly periods. A lot of onshore crud and messy, weak lines. Just not doing anything.

There's a slight flicker on Saturday the 21st, with the period stretching out to 16 seconds late afternoon, but the swell is still anemic at 1ft. It would be a miracle to find a ripple.

Then we get a real taste of things to come. On the 24th, very early morning until late morning, we see a solid NW pulse at 3ft and with that long, long 16-second period. The energy jumps right up to 287. The guidance even says “expect good surf conditions” and the wind is light offshore, making for a super clean surface. This is the best morning of the entire outlook – a proper window. The following day, the 25th, sees a bit more size, up to 4ft from the NW, but the wind is a touch variable. The morning is a bit of a gamble but the afternoon on the 25th is absolute gold. The period is a solid 13 seconds, and the wind goes glassy with that light SE breeze – the conditions look perfect, a real standout moment. Energy is right up there at 450.

We've got a good window there on the 24th and 25th. The morning of the 24th is clean with that light offshore, and the 25th afternoon is looking glassy and clean with that 3ft. a standout moment. The direction matches the optimum for the break from the NW.

The waves stick around for the 26th, still around 3ft from the NW. The morning is a bit soft, but the afternoon is another clean winner with light offshore winds and a crisp 3ft. After that, it's gone again. We’re back to tiny 2ft leftovers and lumpy conditions for the end of September. The 29th – 30th are back to being marginal and the energy dries up. There are signs that things are moving on the 1st of October, but we're not there yet.

So, bottom line: the surf is pretty poor for the first week. Don't get your hopes up. Hold out for the 24th – 26th. That’s your window for some classic, clean cross-off/glassy waves. It's been a while since we've had any proper swell, so let's hope this delivers. Keep it a bit in the back of your mind that it's a long way out, but it's all we've got.

Make sure you're checking the tide and getting a look when the sun's up. That's all I've got from here. Keep it real.

Rusty.

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