Club Med Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cookin’ for Club Med.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you – this is a tough stretch for the reef. The water’s a touch warmer than normal at 29°, which is nice if you’re floating around, but the swell just isn’t delivering. For the first few days, from Thursday the 10th through the weekend, the swell is tiny, around 0.7ft to 2ft, and the energy is weak (combined energy mostly under 100). The wind is all over the place, with some clean-ish moments on Saturday morning, but the waves are just too small to get excited about. It’s basically a flat spell.

We don’t really see anything worth paddling out for until Sunday the 13th. Even then, it’s only 2ft of SW swell with weak energy (89 in the morning, 109 in the afternoon). The wind is cross-offshore and clean, so the conditions will be pretty, but the waves are just ordinary. You might get a few knee-high rollers, but it’s not a session to write home about.

Monday the 14th is more of the same – 2ft of SSW swell, with light offshore winds in the morning and a moderate offshore in the afternoon. The energy is moderate (107 and 104), and the wind is clean, but the wave height is still tiny. It’s surfable, but only just.

Now, here’s the one decent window, and it’s coming up on Tuesday the 15th. The morning looks like the best we’re gonna get. We’ve got a 2ft SSW groundswell with a very long period of 16 seconds, and the combined energy jumps to 215 (moderate). The wind is a clean offshore from the NE at 12 mph. This is a long-period groundswell, so the waves will have more shape and power, but at a reef break like Club Med, that long period should wrap in nicely. The waves will be small, but the quality will be there. The afternoon drops off a little, but the morning session is the standout.

After that, Wednesday the 16th is still clean in the morning (2ft, 14-second period, 196 energy), but the wind shifts cross-offshore. The afternoon gets messy with a cross-onshore wind. Then from Thursday the 17th, it all goes pear-shaped. The swell bumps up to 4ft on Thursday morning, but it’s a short-period, weak NW windswell with a brutal cross-onshore wind. The energy is 260, but the wind will chop it to pieces. The setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing. After that, it’s a long run of poor conditions, with onshore winds and choppy seas right through to the end of the forecast on the 25th.

So, to sum it up: the one true standout is Tuesday the 15th, first light. That’s your window. Everything else is small, ordinary, or blown out. If you can’t make that Tuesday morning, you’re looking at a long wait.

Stay patient, and keep an eye on the sky.

- Rusty

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