Club Med Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for the next couple of weeks.

To be straight with you, the first week and a half is a bit of a write-off for any decent surf. We’re looking at a long, frustrating gap with almost nothing to get excited about. From Sunday the 5th through Friday the 11th, it’s a real struggle. The swell is tiny, mostly around 1ft to 3ft, and the wind is almost always on it or cross-shore, messing up any chance of a clean wave. The wave energy is weak to moderate, with the combined energy sitting between 74 and 646, but the conditions are just poor. It’s not worth paddling out.

Things start to look a little more interesting around Sunday the 12th. The swell picks up to 4ft from the SSW with a period of 14 seconds, and the wind goes light cross-shore, making it a bit more manageable. The energy is strong at 532, but it’s still pretty marginal. The spot is Club Med, a reef break, and it’s fairly consistent. The water temperature is a warm 81°, which is about average for the time of year. The wind on Sunday afternoon is a light breeze from the WNW, which is a cross-shore, so it’ll be a bit bumpy but rideable. This is probably the best we’ll see in the first week, but it’s nothing to write home about.

Then we get another lull through Monday the 13th and Tuesday the 14th, with the swell dropping back to 2ft to 3ft. The wind is mostly cross-off from the NW, which keeps it clean, but the waves are just too small and weak, with the energy dropping to 94. Not worth the effort.

Now, the real highlight comes in the second week, on Saturday the 18th of July. The morning session looks like the clear standout. We’ve got a 2ft SSW swell with a period of 13 seconds, and a gentle breeze from the NW, which is cross-offshore. That means clean, glassy conditions. The combined energy is strong at 283, and the forecast says “expect good surf conditions.” For a reef break that’s fairly consistent, this is the one to aim for. The swell direction from the SSW is a good match for the optimum swell direction from the SW. It’s small, but it’ll be clean and fun. Later that afternoon, the wind swings to the west and it gets a bit cross-shore and choppy, so the morning is the window.

Before that, on Friday the 17th, there’s a bit of a tease with a 2ft SW swell and a long period of 18 seconds, but a strong cross-off wind from the NNW keeps it messy. The energy is high at 375, but it’s just not clean enough.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a dud. The best bet is the morning of Saturday the 18th at Club Med. It’s small, but it’ll be clean and worth a paddle. Keep an eye on it, but don’t hold your breath for the rest of the fortnight.

Rusty.

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