Surf Forecasts:
Baie des Carpes surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 19 Sep, 6PM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, NNW swell with 259 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Baie des Carpes this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Baie des Carpes in the next 16 days are 1.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 19) at 6PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.9m 13s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 16) at 3PM.
| Wave Type | Time (GMT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 6PM (Sat 19th Sep) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Baie des Carpes over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s talk this one out. It’s a long, dry spell for the most part, and the one good moment is way out at the end of the outlook. Everything else is choppy, blown-out, or just flat. Here’s the rundown.
The only spot we’ve got is Baie des Carpes, a reef break that wants a clean NW swell. Problem is, from September 12th right through the 23rd, the wind is always cross-on or onshore, and the waves are junk. On the 12th, you’ve got 1.2m of NNW swell, 8-second period, and 187 combined energy—moderate wave energy—but it’s cross-on and messy. There’s a little bump on the 19th afternoon with 1.4m of NNW swell and 305 energy (moderate), but still cross-on and sloppy. Not worth the drive.
The one and only standout comes on September 24th, Thursday morning. The swell from the NW is only 2ft (0.7m), but the period shoots up to 13 seconds—that’s very long period groundswell, which is energy in the water. Combined energy is at 276, which is solid. The real key is the wind: light and offshore from the E, going cross-off. The wave comment calls it clean, good surf. For a reef break like this, that’s your moment. The long-period groundswell will set up nicely with offshores, giving you lined-up, proper waves. Crowds are possible here sometimes, so don’t expect to have it all to yourself. That afternoon, the wind goes glassy, but the swell drops to just 3ft (0.8m), 7-second period, with only 65 energy. Barely surfable and ordinary.
The water temp on the 12th is 85°F, which is a touch warmer than average for the year—feels nice, but not unusual.
From the 25th onward, it’s back to poor conditions. By the 27th, you get 5ft (1.6m) of NNW swell and 359 energy (moderate to strong), but it’s cross-on with moderate wind and messy. That kind of setup looks more fun for a kiteboard than a surfboard.
So bottom line: the only real window is that Thursday morning, September 24th, at Baie des Carpes. One standout in a whole lot of nothing. It’s been a rough run, but forecasts can change.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 28°C on Sat afternoon, min 25°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 28°C on Wed afternoon, min 27°C on Tue afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | |||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | N 8 | N 8 | N 8 | N 4 | N 8 | NNW 13 | NNW 6 | NNW 11 | NW 11 | NNW 10 | NW 7 | NNW 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 |
Wave Graph  | ||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 187 | 173 | 77 | 53 | 26 | 43 | 60 | 71 | 14 | 68 | 65 | 25 | 51 | 57 | 67 | 91 | 199 | 144 | 102 | 147 |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | off | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 10:02PM1.27m | 10:16AM1.37m | 10:35PM1.26m | 10:50AM1.28m | 11:08PM1.22m | 11:22AM1.17m | 11:41PM1.15m | 11:56AM1.05m | 00:16AM1.07m | 12:32PM0.93m | 00:57AM0.97m | 1:16PM0.82m | 1:55AM0.89m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:50PM-0.03m | 3:57AM0.00m | 4:23PM-0.01m | 4:35AM0.03m | 4:56PM0.04m | 5:12AM0.08m | 5:28PM0.11m | 5:50AM0.16m | 6:01PM0.19m | 6:31AM0.25m | 6:38PM0.28m | 7:20AM0.35m | 7:26PM0.37m | |||||||
 |  |  | |  | | |  |  | | | | | | | | | | | | |
 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — | 6:58 | — | — |
 | 7:14 | — | — | 7:13 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:12 | — | — | 7:10 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 27 | 25 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 26 |
Feels °C | 30 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 32 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 28 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 7 | NNW 6 | SSW 12 | N 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | N 5 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | NNW 7 | SSW 12 | NNW 9 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 | NNW 8 |
| kJ | 187 | 173 | 77 | 53 | 91 | 43 | 91 | 47 | 169 | 146 | 28 | 163 | 273 | 192 | 60 | 103 | 199 | 144 | 102 | 147 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 | SSW 13 | NNW 6 | SSW 12 | NW 9 | SSW 16 | N 4 | SSW 11 | SSW 14 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | NNW 6 | SSW 13 | NNW 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | WSW 4 | NW 12 |
| kJ | 17 | 38 | 74 | 106 | 26 | 93 | 13 | 105 | 14 | 66 | 183 | 25 | 27 | 47 | 111 | 35 | 82 | 56 | 7 | 37 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | SSW 6 | NW 10 | NW 10 | NNW 9 | NW 9 | SSW 18 | NW 9 | SSW 11 | NNW 14 | NNW 13 | SSW 10 | NNW 11 | NW 11 | NNW 10 | SSW 6 | N 12 | NW 10 | SW 12 | SW 11 |
| kJ | 9 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 31 | 14 | 66 | 36 | 65 | 57 | 51 | 57 | 67 | 14 | 3 | 36 | 36 | 33 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | NW 6 | — | N 6 | N 8 | N 8 | — | N 8 | — | — | — | NW 6 | W 4 | NW 7 | WSW 4 | WSW 4 | — | — |
| kJ | — | — | — | 10 | — | 17 | 60 | 71 | — | 68 | — | — | — | 10 | 15 | 91 | 18 | 14 | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 609 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 609 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 611 | 609 | 609 | 613 | 609 | 609 | 609 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Senegal | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Senegal | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Baie des Carpes Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Baie des Carpes provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Baie des Carpes can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Baie des Carpes surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Baie des Carpes) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Baie des Carpes may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Baie des Carpes is 7 km (4 miles) from the very large city of Dakar. If you plan a holiday in Senegal, look for hotels and other accommodation in Dakar. Dakar has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as cheap car hire and transport links.
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