Conchan Surf Forecast and Surf Report

G'day, I'm Rusty, and I've been lookin' over the charts for the next stretch here. The long and short of it is, we've got a real mixed bag—a weak start, then a big pulse of energy rolling in later, but it's gonna be a bit of a wait for the good stuff. This whole forecast revolves around one spot, Conchan (Peru).

First up, Wednesday the 19th, we've got a bit of swell on the way, but it's a bit of a tease. The morning sees a 7ft SSW swell, but it's coming in with a cross-on breeze from the south at 6 mph, which isn't ideal. The combined energy is moderate at 1014, but it's got that "marginal" feel to it. By the afternoon, the wind picks up to 9 mph, and the swell drops to 7ft, and it looks pretty ordinary. The swell direction from the SSW is spot-on, but the wind's just not cooperating.

Thursday the 20th is more of the same, with a 6ft SSW swell in the morning, but again, a light cross-on breeze. The energy drops to 661, and it's still marginal. The afternoon sees a bit of a shift, with the wind going onshore from the SSW, but the swell drops to 5ft, and the energy is down to 566. It's not great, but it's the best we've got for the next few days, and it's still small and messy.

From Friday the 21st through to Tuesday the 27th of August, it's a real slump. The swell drops away significantly, with heights barely reaching 4ft on Friday, then down to 1ft by Sunday. The wind stays cross-on, and the energy is weak, dropping into the 100s and 200s. The water temperature is about average for this time of year, nothing to shout about. Honestly, it's a bit of a flat spell, and not much to get excited about. There's a gap of several days with no real surf on offer.

Now, here's where it gets interesting. The real standout is the end of the run. From Friday the 28th of August, we get a big pulse of SW groundswell. Friday morning hits with a 6ft SW swell, but the period is a juicy 17 seconds and the energy is strong at 1819. The wind is light and onshore from the SW, which is great. Friday afternoon pushes that swell to 7ft with a 16-second period, and the energy is 2018. This is proper groundswell, and those long periods (over 15 seconds) mean it's got real power and shape. This is a standout for the more experienced crew—it's over 5ft, so it's getting a bit chunky for beginners, but for the advanced guys, it's a solid option. The optimum swell direction is SW, and it's coming from the SW, so it's locking in nicely.

Saturday the 29th carries on the swell with 7ft SW swells, with a 14-second period and energy around 1821. The wind is a light cross-on from the S, which is manageable. This is still a good chance for the advanced surfers, but that wind is a slight drag. It's still a big improvement over the previous week.

The energy starts to fade from Sunday the 30th, with 6ft SW swells and a 13-second period, but the wind picks up to 9 mph, making it choppy. The energy drops to 1086.

The rest of the run into September drops off quickly, with smaller swells and longer periods, but the energy stays moderate. The 2nd of September has a 3ft SW swell with a 15-second period and energy around 809, but the wind is light and onshore from the SW, so it's clean but small. The 3rd of September has a 5ft SW swell with a 17-second period, pushing energy to 1260, but it's still marginal.

So, the best bet is that Friday the 28th and Saturday the 29th of August. For experienced surfers, those are the sessions to target, but the long period swell at a beach/jetty break like Conchan can be a bit tricky—it might break a bit straight, but it's still got punch. The wind is a bit of a factor, but it's still the best of the run. Keep an eye on it, as the long-range forecast is promising but not set in stone.

Rusty.

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