
Surf Forecasts:
Big Wave Bay surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 16s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.3m), 16s period, ESE swell with 864 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 16s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Big Wave Bay this week:
The surf forecast for Big Wave Bay over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Big Wave Bay in the next 16 days are 1.3m 16s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.6m 8s period and expected on Friday (Jul 17) at 5AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HKT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 4ft (1.2m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.3m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Big Wave Bay over the next 16 days.
Hey folks, Rusty here. Let's break down the next couple weeks at Big Wave Bay. Honest truth – it's a quiet stretch. This spot is normally pretty consistent for beginners, but most days we're looking at tiny, weak surf or messy conditions. There are a couple of short windows that might be worth a look, but nothing that gets me stoked.
Kicking off Friday the 10th: an ESE swell at 5 feet with a long 17-second period – that's solid energy (1352), but the wind is light cross-onshore and the report mentions marginal tide or something. Not clean. Water temp is a warm 84°, about average for the time of year.
Saturday the 11th morning is your best early call. The swell drops to 3 feet from the ESE, still a nice 15-second period (358 energy), and the wind swings to a light cross-off. It'll be clean, small, and fun for a beginner or anyone just wanting a lazy session. After that, things go flat and crummy – Sunday through Tuesday the 14th and beyond into the following week, we've got almost nothing. Tiny ripples and messy wind.
The next glimmer is Sunday the 19th morning. Another 3 feet from the east, 7-second period, cross-off breeze – clean but weak (154 energy). Surfable, but ordinary. Then Monday the 20th morning goes cross-off but with only 1 foot – barely a bump.
Late in the window, around Wednesday the 22nd and Thursday the 23rd, we see a pulse of bigger swell – 6 feet Wednesday afternoon, 8 feet Thursday morning – but the wind is cranking from the east, cross or cross-on, and the energy values are high (968 Thursday morning). Problem is it's messy, lumpy, not clean. For a sheltered bay, that onshore wind kills it. Honestly, if you've got a kite, those days might be more fun than trying to paddle into a lumpy 6-foot closeout. For surf, forget it.
The last possible window is Friday the 24th morning: a 3-foot easterly swell with a light west cross-off. Clean again, but small. After that, it's back to tiny or nothing.
So bottom line: if you're keen, hit Saturday the 11th early, or maybe Sunday the 19th or Friday the 24th mornings. Otherwise, this stretch is mostly a dud. Forecasts can change, but right now it's slim pickings.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastMostly dry. Warm (max 30°C on Fri afternoon, min 28°C on Fri night). Winds increasing (light winds from the WNW on Fri night, fresh winds from the WSW by Sat night). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 30°C on Wed afternoon, min 27°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Fri 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 17 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | E 9 | ESE 14 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | E 11 | S 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 9 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1352 | 843 | 358 | 116 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | on | on | cross | cross |
High Tide | 7:23PM0.78m | 4:28AM1.73m | 8:54PM0.80m | 5:28AM1.87m | 9:58PM0.82m | 6:30AM1.98m | 10:48PM0.82m | 7:29AM2.06m | 11:29PM0.82m | 8:26AM2.07m | 00:07AM0.82m | 9:17AM2.02m | 00:42AM0.85m | 10:04AM1.89m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:06PM0.70m | 12:41PM0.19m | 10:51PM0.76m | 1:45PM0.03m | 11:42PM0.79m | 2:43PM-0.07m | 00:38AM0.78m | 3:36PM-0.12m | 1:36AM0.75m | 4:24PM-0.11m | 2:34AM0.72m | 5:07PM-0.04m | 3:34AM0.70m | ||||||||
— | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | |
7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — | 7:08 | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 30 |
Feels °C | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 34 | 34 | 33 | 35 | 34 | 33 | 33 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 17 | ESE 16 | ESE 15 | ESE 14 | E 9 | ESE 14 | SE 13 | S 9 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 10 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 9 | S 8 | S 8 | E 11 | S 8 | S 8 |
1352 | 843 | 358 | 116 | 7 | 18 | 6 | 269 | 334 | 356 | 229 | 305 | 287 | 219 | 274 | 230 | 191 | 169 | 2 | 190 | 190 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 7 | SSW 7 | SSW 7 | E 9 | SE 13 | — | E 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 11 | E 11 | — | E 10 | E 9 | E 7 | E 7 | E 9 | E 9 | — | E 10 | E 10 |
26 | 55 | 51 | 15 | 6 | — | 4 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | E 10 | — | E 11 | E 10 | — | — | — | E 9 | E 9 | — | E 6 | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1 | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SW 3 | — | SSW 7 | SSW 8 | SSW 7 | S 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | S 8 | SSW 8 | — |
— | 5 | — | 76 | 232 | 203 | 363 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 205 | 298 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 670 | 3 | 0 | 889 | 819 | 813 | 813 | 43 | 820 | 813 | 581 | 683 | 581 | 144 | 6 | 581 | 40 | 581 | 581 | 161 | 29 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hong Kong | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in China | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Big Wave Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Big Wave Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Big Wave Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Big Wave Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Big Wave Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Big Wave Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Hong Kong? If you are looking for accommodation near Big Wave Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Hong Kong, consider staying in Hong Kong which is 9 km (6 miles) away. Other places in and around Hong Kong where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Aberdeen which is 10 km (6 miles) away, Kowloon, Shenzhen and Yantian.











