
Surf Forecasts:
Big Wave Bay surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 16 Jul, 5PM (local time) - 0.5ft (0.1m), 11s period, E swell with 2 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Big Wave Bay this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Big Wave Bay in the next 16 days are 0.1m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 5PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 8s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 21) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (HKT) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5PM (Thu 16th Jul) | 0.5ft (0.1m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Big Wave Bay over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, grab a coffee and listen up. I’m Rusty, and I’ve been staring at this forecast for a while. The honest truth is, it’s a grim run for the next sixteen days at Big Wave Bay. There’s a massive gap of nothing for the first week and a half, so leave your board in the car for now.
The first sign of any life won’t show up until the morning of the 28th of July, and even then it’s just a tiny 0.3ft ripple from the SE with a period of 12 seconds. The combined energy is a measly (10) – that’s barely a bump. The wind is light and offshore, which would be a major positive if there was any swell to clean up, but there isn’t. It’s a beginner-friendly spot, sheltered from the swell, and the water temp is about average for the time of year at 84°F.
Things stay tiny and poor through to the 30th of July. The only real shift happens on the afternoon of the 30th, where we finally see a 3ft SSW swell, but it’s wind swell with a short period of 6 seconds, so it’ll be weak and crumbly with a combined energy of (74). The wind turns cross-offshore and clean, but honestly, for a sheltered beach break like this, it’s looking more interesting for a kite surfer than a paddle surfer. The waves are too small, too short-period, and the quality is just poor. It’s a blank run, and for this area, that’s not unusual.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 84mm), heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 29°C on Fri afternoon, min 27°C on Wed morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed night, light winds from the WSW by Fri night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 50mm), heaviest during Mon afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Sat morning, min 26°C on Sun night). Winds increasing (calm on Sat night, fresh winds from the SW by Mon afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | E 9 | E 8 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | E 10 | E 8 | S 8 | E 10 | S 8 | SSW 8 | S 8 | E 9 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-on | cross |
High Tide | 8:26AM2.07m | 00:07AM0.82m | 9:17AM2.02m | 00:42AM0.85m | 10:04AM1.89m | 1:14AM0.91m | 10:44AM1.71m | 1:45AM1.00m | 11:17AM1.49m | 2:12AM1.10m | 11:44AM1.25m | 2:32AM1.20m | 12:08PM1.04m | 2:28AM1.30m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:24PM-0.11m | 2:34AM0.72m | 5:07PM-0.04m | 3:34AM0.70m | 5:45PM0.07m | 4:35AM0.70m | 6:18PM0.19m | 5:38AM0.70m | 6:48PM0.32m | 6:44AM0.71m | 7:16PM0.44m | 7:54AM0.70m | 7:42PM0.55m | ||||||||
5:47 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | |
— | 7:09 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:08 | — | — | 7:07 | — | — | 7:07 | — | |
mm | 11 | 8 | 20 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 8 |
Temp °C | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
Feels °C | 29 | 28 | 26 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 29 | 33 | 31 | 32 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 28 | 29 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 8 | — | — | S 8 | E 11 | E 10 | E 10 | E 9 | S 7 | S 7 | E 8 | S 8 | S 7 | E 10 | E 8 | — | E 10 | — | S 8 | — | E 9 |
270 | — | — | 277 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 212 | 212 | 1 | 289 | 181 | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | — | 323 | — | 2 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | E 9 | — | — | — | E 9 | E 8 | — | E 9 | E 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 7 | S 7 | S 7 | SSW 7 | S 8 | — | — | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | S 8 | SSW 8 | S 8 | S 8 |
583 | 386 | 398 | 355 | 228 | 307 | 272 | 243 | 320 | 292 | 287 | — | — | 222 | 392 | 305 | 481 | 228 | 561 | 333 | 193 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 656 | 656 | 656 | 1433 | 1433 | 43 | 832 | 1433 | 43 | 43 | 832 | 43 | 841 | 822 | 822 | 1507 | 822 | 683 | 1427 | 683 | 670 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Hong Kong | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in China | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Live Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Big Wave Bay Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Big Wave Bay provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Big Wave Bay can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Big Wave Bay surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Big Wave Bay) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Big Wave Bay may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Hong Kong? If you are looking for accommodation near Big Wave Bay, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Hong Kong, consider staying in Hong Kong which is 9 km (6 miles) away. Other places in and around Hong Kong where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Aberdeen which is 10 km (6 miles) away, Kowloon, Shenzhen and Yantian.










