Big Wave Bay Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s get into it. This is Rusty, and I’ve got the lowdown on what’s cookin’ for the next couple of weeks.

We’re looking at a pretty bleak start here, folks. For the next ten days or so, it’s practically a desert out there. From Tuesday the 11th right through to late August, the swell is basically non-existent at Big Wave Bay. We’re talking tiny, weak scraps of energy with nothing to get excited about. The water temp is sitting at a warm 84°, which is bang on average for this time of year, but that’s about the only thing that’s normal. The winds are mostly cross or cross-off, but there’s just no swell to work with. You’d be better off doing something else.

There is a bit of a tease on Friday morning the 14th, when we get a short window of glassy conditions with a light breeze, but with only 0.3 ft of east swell and combined energy of just 2 (weak), it’s not going to do anything. Saturday the 15th afternoon sees a sudden leap up to 2 ft of swell, but the period is an awful 3 seconds—that’s pure wind chop, not surf.

Then, just when you think it’s all over, we get a massive turnaround.

Mark your calendars for the morning of Monday the 25th of August. That’s the one. We’ve got a solid 10 ft swell rolling in from the ESE, with an 8-second period and combined energy reading a whopping 913 (strong). That’s a proper pulse of energy. And get this—the wind is forecast to be glassy from the NNW. That’s offshore and dead clean. For a sheltered spot like Big Wave Bay, that’s a dream scenario. Now, keep in mind that 10 ft is big. This is not for beginners; this is expert territory only, and with a bit of size and a clean face, it’s going to be game on for those who can handle it. The direction is from the ESE, which is a touch east of the optimum NE, but with that power and clean wind, it’ll still wrap in nicely.

The afternoon of the 25th stays clean with a 8 ft swell, but the wind swings onshore, so the morning window is your golden hour.

The next day, Wednesday the 26th morning, still has some decent leftover energy at 6 ft from the east with a clean offshore breeze from the NW. That’s still a good wave, but the standout is definitely that Monday morning. Expect crowds to be a factor, as it’s listed as “sometimes” busy, and for a wave of that quality after a long flat spell, it’ll be worth getting there early.

So, the long and short of it: endure a ten-day flat spell, then get ready for one absolute beauty of a morning on the 25th of August. It’s a long way out, so the details might shuffle a bit, but the potential is there for the best session in weeks.

Rusty.

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