Surf Forecasts:
Utua Mamao (Atafu) surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 22 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period, ESE swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 18 Jul, 10PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 10s period, SE swell with 1,852 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 22 Jul, 4PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 8s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Utua Mamao (Atafu) this week:
The surf forecast for Utua Mamao (Atafu) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 22) at 4PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 8s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 16s. Another secondary swell of 0.7m and 12s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Utua Mamao (Atafu) in the next 16 days are 3.0m 10s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 18) at 10PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 14s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 16) at 4AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+13) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 4PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 4PM (Wed 22nd Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 10PM (Sat 18th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Utua Mamao (Atafu) over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 28°C on Thu afternoon, min 27°C on Wed night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 38mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Warm (max 28°C on Mon morning, min 25°C on Sun morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the SE on Sat night, light winds from the ENE by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | SSW 16 | ESE 8 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1197 | 1121 | 955 | 1191 | 1473 | 1610 | 1309 | 1508 | 1645 | 1401 | 1342 | 1372 | 1019 | 531 | 389 | 473 | 474 | 493 | 512 | 374 | 280 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | cross | cross-off | off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:10AM1.46m | 7:37PM1.27m | 7:57AM1.40m | 8:24PM1.23m | 8:44AM1.31m | 9:12PM1.18m | 9:32AM1.20m | 10:03PM1.11m | 10:23AM1.08m | 10:59PM1.05m | 11:21AM0.98m | 00:02AM1.00m | 12:29PM0.90m | 1:11AM0.98m | |||||||
Low Tide | 1:30PM0.00m | 1:39AM0.06m | 2:16PM0.06m | 2:27AM0.13m | 3:01PM0.15m | 3:17AM0.23m | 3:48PM0.24m | 4:09AM0.32m | 4:37PM0.33m | 5:09AM0.41m | 5:31PM0.40m | 6:20AM0.46m | 6:35PM0.45m | ||||||||
 | |  |  |  | | | |  | | |  | | | | | | | | |  | |
 | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — |
 | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:27 | — |
mm | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 12 | 11 | 5 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 4 | — | — |
Temp °C | 27 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 23 | 25 | 25 | 23 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 25 | 24 | 26 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 32 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | SSE 19 | SSE 18 | SSE 17 | SSE 16 | SSE 15 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SSE 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | E 8 |
| kJ | 186 | 165 | 118 | 115 | 75 | 146 | 395 | 459 | 481 | 417 | 405 | 400 | 389 | 531 | 389 | 277 | 176 | 203 | 512 | 322 | 153 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 14 | NE 10 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 9 | WNW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | SSE 13 | SSE 13 | SSW 15 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 76 | 24 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 70 | 216 | 179 | 190 | 171 | 166 | 164 | 202 | 373 | 219 | 253 | 238 | 191 | 125 | 127 | 77 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 8 | SW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 20 | SW 21 | SW 19 | WNW 13 | WNW 13 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | S 12 | S 18 | SSW 16 |
| kJ | 18 | 49 | 18 | 16 | 109 | 91 | 35 | 35 | 21 | 12 | 20 | 11 | 10 | 252 | 261 | 239 | 193 | 209 | 25 | 162 | 280 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | E 8 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | — |
| kJ | 1197 | 1121 | 955 | 1191 | 1473 | 1610 | 1309 | 1508 | 1645 | 1401 | 1342 | 1372 | 1019 | 412 | 384 | 473 | 474 | 493 | 434 | 374 | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1521 | 1523 | 1523 | 1521 | 1521 | 1521 | 1521 | 1521 | 1521 | 1521 | 1524 | 1507 | 1507 | 1523 | 1497 | 1503 | 1453 | 1144 | 1974 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Tokelau | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Tokelau | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Utua Mamao (Atafu) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Utua Mamao (Atafu) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Utua Mamao (Atafu) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Utua Mamao (Atafu) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Utua Mamao (Atafu)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Utua Mamao (Atafu) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Tokelau? If you are looking for accommodation near Utua Mamao (Atafu), camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Tokelau, consider staying in Fakaofo which is 162 km (101 miles) away.
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