Surf Forecasts:
Utua Mamao (Atafu) surf forecast from 24 Oct 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 31 Oct, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period, ESE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 25 Oct, 4PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 8s period, SE swell with 948 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 31 Oct, 7AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 8s period with ESE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Utua Mamao (Atafu) this week:
The surf forecast for Utua Mamao (Atafu) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Oct 31) at 7AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 8s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Utua Mamao (Atafu) in the next 16 days are 2.5m 8s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Oct 25) at 4PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.7m 12s period and expected on Saturday (Oct 31) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+13) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 7AM (Sat 31st Oct) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
| Best Surf | 7AM (Sat 31st Oct) | 5ft (1.5m) 8s |
| Most Powerful | 4PM (Sun 25th Oct) | 8ft (2.5m) 8s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Utua Mamao (Atafu) over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 68mm), heaviest during Sun morning. Warm (max 28°C on Sun night, min 26°C on Sat night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SE on Sun night, light winds from the E by Tue morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 32mm), heaviest during Fri afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Tue night, min 27°C on Fri afternoon). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 25 | Monday 26 | Tuesday 27 | Wednesday 28 | Thursday 29 | Friday 30 | Saturday 31 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 598 | 948 | 714 | 419 | 535 | 756 | 538 | 538 | 410 | 346 | 381 | 469 | 543 | 469 | 381 | 372 | 392 | 373 | 238 | 204 | 191 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 4:41AM1.31m | 5:00PM1.39m | 5:20AM1.33m | 5:40PM1.42m | 6:01AM1.30m | 6:22PM1.42m | 6:46AM1.25m | 7:08PM1.37m | 7:36AM1.17m | 8:00PM1.30m | 8:33AM1.07m | 9:02PM1.21m | 9:45AM1.00m | 10:17PM1.14m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:48AM0.06m | 11:13PM0.03m | 11:26AM0.03m | 11:56PM0.01m | 12:07PM0.03m | 00:41AM0.03m | 12:51PM0.07m | 1:31AM0.08m | 1:40PM0.14m | 2:27AM0.15m | 2:36PM0.23m | 3:34AM0.23m | 3:46PM0.31m | ||||||||
 |  |  | | | | | | |  | | | | | | | | |  | |  | |
 | 6:03 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — | 6:01 | — | — |
 | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:23 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — |
mm | 12 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 72 | 1 | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 27 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 |
Feels °C | 26 | 26 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 10 | S 15 | S 14 | SSE 8 | SSE 9 | S 16 | ESE 8 | S 16 | SE 8 | SE 8 | S 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 12 | NNW 16 | NNW 15 | NNW 14 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | NNW 13 | NNW 12 |
| kJ | 36 | 113 | 96 | 262 | 295 | 137 | 538 | 386 | 410 | 346 | 160 | 107 | 98 | 65 | 142 | 167 | 163 | 373 | 238 | 93 | 127 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 16 | NNE 9 | NE 9 | S 13 | S 12 | NNE 8 | S 16 | SSW 16 | S 14 | S 13 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | WNW 16 | WNW 14 | WNW 14 | NNW 13 | NNW 13 | WNW 13 | SW 14 |
| kJ | 82 | 32 | 20 | 51 | 71 | 27 | 318 | 98 | 334 | 219 | 202 | 127 | 124 | 87 | 94 | 79 | 79 | 141 | 99 | 66 | 50 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 10 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | SW 17 | SSW 16 | NE 9 | SW 18 | SSW 18 | NE 8 | NE 8 | NW 14 | NNW 17 | S 11 | SSW 14 | NW 13 | WNW 14 | WNW 13 | NW 11 | WNW 12 |
| kJ | 54 | 19 | 18 | 31 | 31 | 76 | 99 | 19 | 80 | 124 | 18 | 18 | 53 | 93 | 58 | 81 | 58 | 71 | 66 | 30 | 28 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 9 | — | ESE 8 | — | — | SE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | — | — | ESE 8 | ESE 8 |
| kJ | 598 | 948 | 714 | 419 | 535 | 756 | — | 538 | — | — | 381 | 469 | 543 | 469 | 381 | 372 | 392 | — | — | 204 | 191 |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1521 | 1521 | 1521 | 1521 | 2743 | 1497 | 1426 | 1144 | 1453 | 1507 | 1155 | 1144 | 1144 | 1144 | 665 | 665 | 1144 | 565 | 580 | 1144 | 1155 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Tokelau | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Tokelau | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Utua Mamao (Atafu) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Utua Mamao (Atafu) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Utua Mamao (Atafu) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Utua Mamao (Atafu) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Utua Mamao (Atafu)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Utua Mamao (Atafu) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Tokelau? If you are looking for accommodation near Utua Mamao (Atafu), camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Tokelau, consider staying in Fakaofo which is 162 km (101 miles) away.
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