
Surf Forecasts:
Utua Mamao (Atafu) surf forecast from 23 Sep 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 29 Sep, 1AM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 10s period, SSE swell with 1,082 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Utua Mamao (Atafu) this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Utua Mamao (Atafu) in the next 16 days are 2.3m 10s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 29) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Wednesday (Sep 30) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+13) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Tue 29th Sep) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 10s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Utua Mamao (Atafu) over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 7mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 29°C on Wed afternoon, min 28°C on Wed night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 29mm), heaviest during Sun afternoon. Warm (max 29°C on Tue morning, min 27°C on Sat afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Wed 23 | Thursday 24 | Friday 25 | Saturday 26 | Sunday 27 | Monday 28 | Tuesday 29 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | S 8 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
493 | 954 | 1068 | 892 | 740 | 585 | 459 | 269 | 271 | 734 | 751 | 519 | 382 | 279 | 186 | 264 | 1082 | 416 | 644 | 660 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on | on | on | on | on |
High Tide | 4:08AM1.22m | 4:27PM1.19m | 4:40AM1.29m | 4:58PM1.27m | 5:12AM1.34m | 5:30PM1.34m | 5:45AM1.35m | 6:04PM1.37m | 6:21AM1.33m | 6:40PM1.37m | 7:00AM1.28m | 7:21PM1.33m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:55PM0.23m | 10:21AM0.17m | 10:28PM0.16m | 10:50AM0.10m | 11:02PM0.10m | 11:22AM0.06m | 11:37PM0.06m | 11:54AM0.04m | 00:14AM0.04m | 12:30PM0.05m | 00:55AM0.06m | 1:08PM0.09m | 1:39AM0.12m | |||||||
— | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | |
6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:24 | — | |
mm | — | 5 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | — | 4 |
Temp °C | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 31 | 30 | 32 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 31 | 31 | 30 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 27 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | ESE 6 | SW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 8 | SSW 15 | SSE 8 | S 8 | SE 12 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
493 | 954 | 1068 | 892 | 740 | 585 | 459 | 71 | 271 | 734 | 751 | 519 | 113 | 279 | 83 | 264 | 73 | 416 | 644 | 660 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | S 13 | SSE 12 | NE 10 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSE 14 | NE 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 16 | SSE 8 | SSW 9 | SSW 14 | NE 10 | S 10 | SE 12 | NE 9 |
75 | 102 | 57 | 44 | 173 | 77 | 32 | 269 | 158 | 140 | 41 | 108 | 382 | 65 | 103 | 138 | 46 | 284 | 153 | 29 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 15 | S 14 | NE 10 | NE 10 | SE 11 | SSW 17 | SE 6 | NE 9 | SE 12 | SE 13 | SE 13 | S 8 | SSW 14 | NE 10 | SE 15 | SE 13 | NE 9 | SW 13 |
100 | 74 | 163 | 189 | 48 | 35 | 33 | 202 | 29 | 41 | 69 | 109 | 108 | 64 | 186 | 48 | 76 | 136 | 29 | 46 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | — | — | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | E 7 | E 7 | SSE 10 | E 6 | E 6 | E 6 |
— | — | — | — | 41 | 42 | 42 | — | — | 50 | 107 | 149 | 141 | 130 | 124 | 104 | 1082 | 135 | 95 | 76 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 580 | 1155 | 565 | 565 | 580 | 580 | 565 | 565 | 1953 | 1974 | 1974 | 1974 | 1523 | 1974 | 1521 | 1521 | 1521 | 1521 | 2002 | 1521 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Tokelau | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Tokelau | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Utua Mamao (Atafu) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Utua Mamao (Atafu) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Utua Mamao (Atafu) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Utua Mamao (Atafu) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Utua Mamao (Atafu)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Utua Mamao (Atafu) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Tokelau? If you are looking for accommodation near Utua Mamao (Atafu), camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Tokelau, consider staying in Fakaofo which is 162 km (101 miles) away.










