Surf Forecasts:
Utua Mamao (Atafu) surf forecast from 18 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 23 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period, SSW swell with glassy winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 7AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 9s period, SE swell with 1,150 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 23 Jul, 1AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Utua Mamao (Atafu) this week:
The surf forecast for Utua Mamao (Atafu) over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 23) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 16s period with a secondary swell of 1.6m and 8s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Utua Mamao (Atafu) in the next 16 days are 2.5m 9s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 7AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives.
| Wave Type | Time (+13) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 1AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 1AM (Thu 23rd Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 7AM (Sun 19th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 9s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Utua Mamao (Atafu) over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastHeavy rain (total 30mm), heaviest during Tue afternoon. Warm (max 28°C on Mon afternoon, min 26°C on Sat night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 57mm), heaviest during Wed night. Warm (max 28°C on Wed afternoon, min 24°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the ESE on Tue night, calm by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wednesday 22 | Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map |  |  |  |  |  |  |  | ||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | SSE 13 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | S 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph  | |||||||||||||||||||||
 kJ | 1064 | 993 | 1053 | 1058 | 484 | 483 | 530 | 838 | 458 | 518 | 397 | 357 | 314 | 475 | 655 | 437 | 419 | 280 | 250 | 184 | 178 |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | glassy | on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 9:32AM1.20m | 10:03PM1.11m | 10:23AM1.08m | 10:59PM1.05m | 11:21AM0.98m | 00:02AM1.00m | 12:29PM0.90m | 1:11AM0.98m | 1:43PM0.87m | 2:16AM0.99m | 2:48PM0.88m | 3:10AM1.03m | 3:38PM0.92m | 3:55AM1.08m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:48PM0.24m | 4:09AM0.32m | 4:37PM0.33m | 5:09AM0.41m | 5:31PM0.40m | 6:20AM0.46m | 6:35PM0.45m | 7:38AM0.46m | 7:44PM0.45m | 8:46AM0.43m | 8:44PM0.42m | 9:38AM0.37m | 9:33PM0.36m | ||||||||
 |  |  |  | | | | | | | | |  | |  | | | | | | | |
 | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — | 6:45 | — | — |
 | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:25 | — | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:27 | — | — | 6:27 | — |
mm | — | 1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 28 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 7 |
Temp °C | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 28 | 26 | 26 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 24 | 24 | 24 | 24 | 26 | 25 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 27 | 29 | 28 | 27 | 27 | 29 | 30 | 29 | 29 | 29 | 32 | 31 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 15 | SSE 15 | SSE 14 | SSE 14 | SSE 9 | SSE 9 | SSE 8 | SSE 13 | SSE 12 | SSW 16 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SE 8 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
| kJ | 417 | 485 | 515 | 389 | 484 | 381 | 211 | 838 | 203 | 518 | 392 | 277 | 153 | 124 | 655 | 437 | 419 | 125 | 250 | 184 | 178 |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 17 | SSE 14 | SSE 13 | SSE 13 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSE 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSE 8 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 | SSW 14 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 |
| kJ | 171 | 166 | 119 | 202 | 307 | 253 | 326 | 470 | 276 | 127 | 397 | 357 | 89 | 218 | 163 | 115 | 120 | 280 | 65 | 44 | 46 |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NE 9 | NE 9 | NE 8 | NE 8 | SSW 17 | SW 16 | SSW 20 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | S 11 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSW 15 | S 19 | NE 10 | E 8 | E 7 | NE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 8 |
| kJ | 19 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 252 | 261 | 478 | 138 | 196 | 21 | 125 | 88 | 314 | 475 | 48 | 72 | 70 | 38 | 31 | 29 | 22 |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 9 | E 9 | E 9 | ESE 9 | E 8 | ESE 8 | SE 8 | E 7 | — | — | — | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| kJ | 1064 | 993 | 1053 | 1058 | 483 | 483 | 530 | 383 | 458 | 517 | 183 | — | — | — | 95 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1521 | 2322 | 1507 | 1514 | 1974 | 1514 | 1507 | 1453 | 1144 | 1144 | 665 | 0 | 580 | 565 | 1523 | 1521 | 1521 | 1453 | 565 | 565 | 553 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Tokelau | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Tokelau | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Utua Mamao (Atafu) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Utua Mamao (Atafu) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Utua Mamao (Atafu) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Utua Mamao (Atafu) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Utua Mamao (Atafu)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Utua Mamao (Atafu) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Tokelau? If you are looking for accommodation near Utua Mamao (Atafu), camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Tokelau, consider staying in Fakaofo which is 162 km (101 miles) away.
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