
Surf Forecasts:
Utua Mamao (Atafu) surf forecast from 10 Nov 2026:
- Best quality surf: No days rated 1★ or higher at Utua Mamao (Atafu) in the next 16 days. The closest to surfable is Thursday 19 Nov, 1AM (local time) – 18ft (5.5m), 11s period, SSE swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Thursday 19 Nov, 1AM (local time) - 18ft (5.5m), 11s period, SSE swell with 6,624 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): None forecast at Utua Mamao (Atafu) before Thursday 26 Nov. Conditions stay below 1★ throughout, with swell peaking at 18ft (5.5m), 11s on Thursday 19 Nov.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Utua Mamao (Atafu) this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Utua Mamao (Atafu) in the next 16 days are 5.5m 11s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Nov 19) at 1AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 10s period and expected on Wednesday (Nov 25) at 7PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+13) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 1AM (Thu 19th Nov) | 18ft (5.5m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Utua Mamao (Atafu) over the next 16 days.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Tue morning. Warm (max 28°C on Tue morning, min 27°C on Wed night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 28°C on Fri morning, min 28°C on Fri morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 10 | Wednesday 11 | Thursday 12 | Friday 13 | Saturday 14 | Sunday 15 | Monday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
437 | 470 | 435 | 433 | 443 | 625 | 750 | 780 | 830 | 679 | 586 | 624 | 687 | 589 | 542 | 565 | 626 | 680 | 898 | 1092 | 1201 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 6:16PM1.25m | 6:36AM1.08m | 6:51PM1.20m | 7:11AM1.02m | 7:27PM1.14m | 7:49AM0.95m | 8:07PM1.07m | 8:33AM0.89m | 8:52PM1.01m | 9:27AM0.85m | 9:48PM0.96m | 10:35AM0.83m | 10:56PM0.94m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:01PM0.18m | 00:35AM0.18m | 12:34PM0.22m | 1:11AM0.22m | 1:09PM0.27m | 1:50AM0.28m | 1:46PM0.33m | 2:33AM0.34m | 2:28PM0.39m | 3:22AM0.40m | 3:20PM0.45m | 4:22AM0.44m | 4:25PM0.49m | ||||||||
5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | 5:58 | — | — | |
— | 6:27 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:29 | — | — | 6:29 | — | — | 6:29 | — | |
mm | 5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | — | — |
Temp °C | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 |
Feels °C | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 27 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 29 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 30 | 27 | 26 | 29 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNW 14 | NNW 14 | NNW 13 | N 12 | NNE 11 | NE 11 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 10 | NE 11 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | NNE 10 | NNE 10 |
207 | 189 | 137 | 112 | 75 | 119 | 106 | 79 | 77 | 96 | 586 | 624 | 687 | 589 | 542 | 565 | 626 | 680 | 898 | 160 | 151 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 9 | NNE 11 | N 12 | N 12 | NNW 11 | N 11 | N 10 | N 12 | NE 10 | NNE 10 | NNW 16 | NNW 16 | NNW 15 | NNW 14 | NNW 14 | NNW 13 | NNE 11 | NNW 12 | NNW 12 |
46 | 42 | 30 | 75 | 106 | 72 | 43 | 87 | 50 | 97 | 84 | 63 | 302 | 295 | 314 | 303 | 210 | 195 | 128 | 83 | 81 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | N 11 | NNW 18 | NE 9 | NE 9 | N 10 | NNE 11 | N 9 | NNE 9 | NNW 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 |
29 | 14 | 14 | 27 | 66 | 57 | 82 | 80 | 46 | 45 | 89 | 180 | 41 | 40 | 75 | 75 | 25 | 94 | 106 | 86 | 81 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 10 | SE 10 |
437 | 470 | 435 | 433 | 443 | 625 | 750 | 780 | 830 | 679 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1092 | 1201 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1521 | 1521 | 1521 | 1521 | 1523 | 1521 | 1521 | 1974 | 1521 | 1521 | 1974 | 1453 | 1453 | 1523 | 1453 | 1453 | 3062 | 1252 | 1521 | 1521 | 1453 |
Best forecast wave conditions in Tokelau | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in Tokelau | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Utua Mamao (Atafu) Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Utua Mamao (Atafu) provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Utua Mamao (Atafu) can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Utua Mamao (Atafu) surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Utua Mamao (Atafu)) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Utua Mamao (Atafu) may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in Tokelau? If you are looking for accommodation near Utua Mamao (Atafu), camping, hotels and holiday cottages in Tokelau, consider staying in Fakaofo which is 162 km (101 miles) away.










