Thunder Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let's get straight into it. Rusty here.

Look, I'm not gonna sugarcoat it – this is a tough stretch for Thunder. We're looking at a long, dry spell with hardly any surf to get excited about. The water temp is sitting around 82°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so at least a dip won't be a shock to the system.

From now, right through the first week and beyond, it's a whole lot of nothing. For days on end, there's just no wave energy to speak of. We get a few tiny pulses – a mere 0.7 ft on the afternoon of Thursday the 2nd, and a 2 ft bump on the morning of Monday the 6th – but it's all coming from the ESE with a weak period under 10 seconds. The combined energy on that Monday morning is just 48 (weak energy), and with a fresh E wind blowing 19 mph, cross-off, it's just messy. That setup is more interesting for a kite than a paddle board, to be honest.

The entire period between the 3rd and the 16th of July is basically a write-off for decent waves. We're talking nearly two weeks of flatness or tiny, wind-affected junk. There's a little glimmer right at the very end, on Thursday the 16th of July afternoon: a 0.3 ft swell with a long 12-second period from the SE, but the energy is a measly 6 (weak). It's not going to do anything.

Then, on Friday the 17th of July, we see the most surfable conditions of the whole outlook. Through the morning you get a 1 ft swell from the ESE with an 8-second period, combined energy of 23 (still weak). The wind drops to a 16 mph E breeze in the afternoon, making it a touch cleaner. But this is a reef break that rarely breaks, and it's sheltered, needing an ENE optimum swell. The ESE swell is not ideal, and 1 ft is tiny. You'd be scraping the bottom of the barrel.

Honestly, there's no standout here. The best on offer is that Friday the 17th of July afternoon, and that's a very, very low bar. If you're desperate, paddle out then, but don't expect much.

Rusty

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