Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with 3,427 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 3.0m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 1.4m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 8s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 20) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let’s cut through the noise and get down to it. This stretch at Fausse Passe (Guadeloupe) has some moments, but it’s gonna take some patience. Water’s sitting at an average 73°F for this part of the year, so no surprises there. But this forecast is less about the water and more about the wind and swell alignment.
We start off with some decent size on the 16th, but it's messy. A cross-shore at 18 mph is chopping up a 5ft SSW groundswell. The energy reading is 1733, which is moderate, but it's just not clean enough to get excited about. Monday the 17th bumps up to 6ft, and the wind turns cross-off, which makes things look a bit better. But the quality is still marginal, and the tide is a question mark. You're not gonna be alone out there for this one, and I’d say it's a low priority.
Now, Tuesday the 18th is a different beast. You’ve got a solid 8ft of S swell, and the energy meter is pegged at 6202, which is the strongest push of the whole run. The morning is the call if you're an experienced surfer, because this gets strong. But 8ft on a reef is a serious wave. The afternoon backs off to 2779 energy and the period drops, so the punch is out of it. If you're not an expert, this is a day to watch from the shore.
Then the taps get turned off. From the 21st through the 24th, the swell just falls out of bed. We’re talking 2ft to 1ft. The energy numbers just plummet, dropping to 43 by the 24th. It’s flat. You could waterski. There's a total lull here for a few days, so don't even bother.
But hold on. Tuesday the 25th, things start to wake up. A 5ft SSW swell comes in with a short period, energy around 749. The wind is light cross-off, and in the afternoon, the call is for "very good" conditions. That’s the first real window of clean surf. It’s not big, but it’ll be fun and rippable. That's your window.
The 26th stays clean but small, with a 3ft groundswell at a very long period. Again, a light cross-off breeze means good shape. Not a big day, but a quality glassy one. A good time to pull out the log.
Now, the 27th is a monster. The forecast has a huge 10ft SSW swell, with a massive energy reading of 3669. But the morning is messy. The afternoon is called as having favorable wind and tide, but the data is clear: this swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is a bomb, with a 14-second period. For experts only, and even then, it’s a serious call. This is a day for heroes or fools.
After that, the last few days of August settle back into a more mundane rhythm. We're looking at consistent 5ft to 6ft swells with cross-off winds, which makes for clean, rideable surf. The energy stays in the moderate range. It won't be spectacular, but there should be waves every day from the 28th to the 31st.
So, if you want my call: 25th is the best overall bet for a clean, quality session. And if you’ve got a death wish, the 27th is the big one, but only for the true experts. Be smart.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun morning. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 18°C on Mon night). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 8mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 21°C on Fri night, min 18°C on Wed morning). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | S 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 15 | S 12 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 8 | SSW 15 | S 10 | SE 12 | SE 8 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1199 | 1297 | 2432 | 3304 | 1375 | 1358 | 3277 | 1745 | 788 | 954 | 769 | 611 | 359 | 148 | 161 | 152 | 284 | 371 | 229 | 125 | 122 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 10:09AM1.14m | 10:28PM1.29m | 10:52AM1.11m | 10:58PM1.20m | 11:37AM1.07m | 11:28PM1.11m | 12:25PM1.01m | 11:59PM1.02m | 1:23PM0.95m | 00:35AM0.92m | 2:42PM0.91m | 1:27AM0.84m | 4:19PM0.92m | 2:58AM0.79m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:10PM0.18m | 4:50AM0.18m | 4:49PM0.28m | 5:24AM0.19m | 5:28PM0.39m | 6:00AM0.22m | 6:10PM0.50m | 6:41AM0.27m | 7:02PM0.59m | 7:31AM0.31m | 8:18PM0.66m | 8:39AM0.35m | 10:11PM0.67m | ||||||||
6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
— | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | |
mm | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Feels °C | 15 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | S 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSE 8 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SSE 10 |
1199 | 1297 | 2432 | 3304 | 1375 | 1358 | 2284 | 800 | 454 | 673 | 269 | 263 | 203 | 120 | 161 | 94 | 68 | 371 | 229 | 125 | 122 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | SSW 20 | SSW 8 | ESE 13 | E 9 | S 16 | SSW 15 | SSE 13 | SSW 14 | SW 22 | SSW 10 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | S 10 | SSW 14 | SE 12 | SW 14 | ESE 8 | S 9 | S 12 | S 11 |
17 | 339 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 42 | 892 | 187 | 585 | 18 | 77 | 124 | 177 | 122 | 79 | 152 | 47 | 53 | 42 | 103 | 61 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SE 18 | SSW 15 | SE 15 | SSW 13 | S 15 | S 10 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | SW 16 |
7 | 17 | 8 | 26 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | 124 | 12 | 148 | 57 | 33 | 17 | 68 | 33 | 12 | 11 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 10 | S 9 | SSE 7 | S 7 | S 8 | S 9 | S 15 | S 12 | SSE 10 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 8 | E 7 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 |
527 | 372 | 166 | 311 | 765 | 1124 | 3277 | 1745 | 788 | 954 | 769 | 611 | 359 | 114 | 428 | 236 | 284 | 122 | 130 | 181 | 94 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1233 | 1235 | 1233 | 1339 | 1438 | 1416 | 1416 | 1416 | 1416 | 150 | 1416 | 110 | 82 | 150 | 80 | 147 | 150 | 80 | 105 | 80 | 80 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.











