Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s shaping up at Fausse Passe. This reef can deliver, but patience is going to be the name of the game over the next couple of weeks.

This forecast kicks off with a bit of a wait. For the first few days, the conditions just aren’t coming together. Starting Sunday the 5th and Monday the 6th, we’ve got small, messy swell with a cross-shore wind and a bit of chop on the surface – it’s not worth paddling out for. By Tuesday the 7th, a big SSW groundswell builds up, hitting 10 ft with a 17-second period, and that combined wave energy is huge (13,416). The problem is, the wind is howling cross-onshore at 18 mph, so it’s going to be lumpy and raw, not the clean lines you’d want on a reef. That swell sticks around through Wednesday and Thursday, too big and blown out for a good session – it’s really just a big, choppy mess.

We finally get a window on Friday the 10th. The swell drops back to a more manageable 8 ft from the SSW, but it’s still a bit crossed up with a light wind. The real standout comes on Saturday morning, July 11th. We’ve got a solid 7 ft S swell at 12 seconds, a moderate 1,753 combined energy, and the wind goes totally glassy – calm. The comment says it’s excellent for experienced surfers, and I have to agree. That’s your best shot right there, and it’s about as good as it’s going to get.

After that, things taper off. A quick jump on Sunday the 12th with a clean 4 ft swell from the SSE gives a few fun ones, but the swell runs out of steam quickly. There’s a big drop-off the following week. By Monday the 14th, the swell is tiny, barely 2 ft, and strong offshore winds are blowing it flat. There’s a quiet stretch through to Wednesday the 15th where the swell just isn’t there.

Look further out to Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th – another big pulse of SSW swell shows up, pushing 13 ft to 15 ft on the Saturday. But that’s too much juice for this break, and with a cross-shore wind, it’s just a washing machine. The slither of hope comes on Monday, July 20th. We’ve got a clean 7 ft from the SSW, glassy conditions, and the comment says it’s excellent for experienced surfers. That’s a heavy session for the crew who know the reef.

Water temp is sitting around 73°, which is about normal for the time of year, so no surprises there. You’ll be comfortable in a spring suit.

For the best of it, I’m calling it now: the early morning of Saturday the 11th is your window. Clean, glassy, good-sized swell, and it’s only going to get better the further out you are. After that, keep an eye on Monday July 20th – it’s promising, but it’s a long way off, so treat that one as a maybe.

Rusty.

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