Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's have a look at what's on the menu for Fausse Passe.

Right off the bat, I gotta say, the first week or so is a bit of a struggle. We’re looking at a pretty quiet start. The first few days are small, real small. Wednesday the 5th has some waist-high swell showing up, around 4ft from the SSW, but with a strong 22 mph cross-offshore wind, it’s going to be a mission. The water is a pleasant 72.1°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The combined energy is moderate at best (1033), but the wind is just too strong for a good time. Thursday the 6th is cleaner with a fresh offshore breeze, but the swell drops to 2.6ft. It’s surfable if you’re desperate, but not something to write home about. Friday and Saturday are pretty much a write-off as the swell bottoms out, and the wind is either too strong or swinging around.

Things start to look a bit more promising by the middle of the second week. On Wednesday the 12th, we get a glassy morning with a 1.3ft, 19-second groundswell from the SW. It’s tiny, but that long period (over 15 seconds) means it’ll have some shape. The combined energy is still weak (117), so it’s a longboard or a foiler kind of day.

The real standout window fires up from Saturday the 15th through to Tuesday the 18th. This is where the ocean finally wakes up. We’re looking at solid, clean swell with a moderate cross-offshore breeze. Saturday morning the 15th sees 7.9ft from the SW, with a combined energy reading of 1279 – that’s strong. That’s a big, powerful swell for a reef break. This is expert territory for sure; anything over 8ft is only for the brave, and 7.9ft is right on the edge. The wind is clean, which is a huge plus. The afternoon holds at 6.6ft, still solid. Sunday the 16th keeps the energy pumping with 7.2ft from the S, and Monday the 17th has 4.9ft from the SSW with a very long 17-second period. That long period (over 15 seconds) will be a dream for the reef, giving it great shape and power, but it might close out on a beach break. Since this is a reef, it’s a good thing. The combined energy on Monday is 1691, which is very strong.

The absolute best of the best, though, looks like Wednesday the 19th. We’ve got 5.2ft in the morning from the SSW, dropping to 4.9ft in the afternoon, but the wind goes glassy in the afternoon. A light 3 mph breeze from the ESE, with the sea going flat calm. The combined energy is still strong (696), and the period is a solid 12 seconds. This is the one to circle on the calendar. Clean, solid, and with that reef bottom, it’s going to be firing. Just keep in mind, Fausse Passe does get crowded sometimes, so get out there early. The swell direction from the SSW is a good match for the optimum SW direction, so it’s all lining up.

So, to sum it up: the first week is a dud. Don’t bother. The real action is from the 15th to the 18th for big, powerful, expert-only surf, and the 19th for the cleanest, most fun waves of the whole outlook.

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