Fausse Passe Surf Break

Lat Long: 22.57° S 166.47° E

Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 4 am 10 Jul 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Fausse Passe sea temperature is
22.8° C
0.0° 

Fausse Passe surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Fausse Passe surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, S swell with 3,388 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period with S swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:

The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 8PM.

Wave TypeTime (+11) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2PM (Fri 10th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Best Surf 2PM (Fri 10th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 14s
Most Powerful 2PM (Fri 10th Jul)10ft (3.0m) 14s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.


Alright, this is Rusty with a look at the next couple of weeks.

First up, we've got a bit of a wild start. The swell is pumping, but it's really only for the crew who know what they're doing. The big story is the swell kicking off around Friday the 10th. We're looking at a serious 10ft groundswell from the South with a 13-second period, packing a massive 2771 (combined energy). That's a lot of power, but honestly, for a spot like Fausse Passe (reef), that's just too big. It's an advanced wave on a good day, but at that size with a cross-shore wind, it's going to be a washing machine. The water temp is sitting at 73°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no complaints there.

By Saturday the 11th, the swell drops to a more manageable 6ft, but the wind is all wrong, and the quality is just not there. It stays pretty average for the rest of that week; the energy drops off a cliff into the 100-200 range, and the winds are fresh and onshore. It's a bit of a dead period.

Now, here's the real standout and the one you want to circle on your calendar. Thursday morning, July 16th. The stars look like they might align. The swell is a clean 4ft from the SSW with a very long 17-second period, pushing 825 (combined energy) of that good, clean groundswell. But the best part? The wind is a glassy NNE at just 3 mph. That is *glassy*, perfect conditions. That long period stuff can be a bit tricky at beach breaks, but for a reef setup like this, it should be threading out beautifully. This is the best-looking window in the whole forecast.

The rest of the run is a bit of a struggle. The wind stays on the gas from the West for days, making it lumpy and choppy. There's a quick flicker of hope on the morning of Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th with some glassy conditions and small 3ft swell, but it's very small. Don't get your hopes up for anything epic there.

So, bottom line: don't paddle out Friday the 10th unless you're a pro and want a beating. The real deal is Thursday morning, July 16th. That's your window. Everything else is a gamble.

Rusty.

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 20°C on Fri morning, min 19°C on Sat afternoon). Wind will be generally light.

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 20°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Mon afternoon, light winds from the ENE by Wed night).

Friday
10
Saturday
11
Sunday
12
Monday
13
Tuesday
14
Wednesday
15
Thursday
16
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
!
!
4
2
2
2
2
1
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
1
1
3
3
2
3
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
3
S
13
3
S
14
2.5
S
13
1.9
S
12
1.6
S
11
1.2
SSE
11
0.8
SSW
18
0.9
SSW
16
0.7
SSW
15
1
SE
10
0.9
SE
10
0.7
SE
10
0.6
SE
10
0.6
SE
10
0.8
SSW
10
0.7
SW
13
1.1
SW
12
0.7
SSW
19
1.1
SSW
17
1
SSW
15
0.8
SSW
16
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
2518
3200
2037
1010
628
346
404
407
191
208
145
100
77
76
125
162
325
312
692
455
326
Wind (km/h)
15
SSE
15
SSE
5
SSW
10
W
15
SSE
20
E
20
ESE
25
ESE
25
E
25
E
30
E
30
E
30
E
30
E
25
E
25
ESE
25
ESE
10
E
5
NNE
5
SSW
5
NNW
Wind State
cross
cross
glassy
cross-on
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
cross-off
cross-off
off
glassy
cross-on
glassy
High Tide
4:39PM1.03m
3:56AM0.98m
5:48PM1.12m
5:05AM0.96m
6:48PM1.22m
6:10AM0.97m
7:40PM1.31m
7:08AM1.00m
8:28PM1.37m
8:00AM1.03m
9:12PM1.41m
8:50AM1.05m
9:53PM1.41m
Low Tide
9:42AM0.22m
10:23PM0.57m
10:43AM0.16m
11:47PM0.56m
11:43AM0.10m
00:56AM0.51m
12:40PM0.03m
1:53AM0.45m
1:32PM-0.02m
2:43AM0.40m
2:21PM-0.04m
3:28AM0.36m
3:07PM-0.03m
4:11AM0.33m
cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
cloud
cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
6:33
6:33
6:33
6:33
6:33
6:33
6:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:23
5:23
5:23
5:24
5:24
5:25
5:25
 mm
4
Temp °C
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
20
21
21
21
21
21
21
21
20
21
20
20
20
Feels °C
17
17
17
18
18
17
16
16
16
18
17
16
15
16
16
17
16
19
19
20
20
  • Map Icons:
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  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.

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