Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the forecast for Fausse Passe. It’s been a bit of a mixed bag lately, but there’s something to get excited about far out on the calendar.

The big story here is the waiting game. Right now, through the end of July, the surf is pretty marginal. The swell is coming from the SSW, which is the right direction for this reef, but the energy is all over the place. The combined swell energy (887) is weak on the 18th, and it just doesn't line up with clean conditions often enough. The wind is mostly cross-off or cross, which keeps it rideable, but there’s a lot of rain and thunderstorms in the mix. The water temperature is average for this time of year, so nothing weird there.

The standout moment is far out, nearly two weeks away. Saturday, August 1st, and Sunday, August 2nd, look like a different story entirely. We’ve got a solid 10 ft SSW swell rolling in, with a period of 13 seconds, giving it real power. The combined swell energy is monstrous (4337 on Saturday morning, 5041 on Saturday afternoon). This is big, powerful groundswell. The wind is forecast to be light offshore from the ENE, which is a dream scenario for this exposed reef – it will be glassy and clean. However, and this is a big however, at 10 ft, this is pushing into the “too big for beginners” territory and is really only for the experienced crew. The forecast says it might be too big for this break, so you need to be very comfortable with heavy, critical waves. If you’re an advanced surfer, that’s your window.

Before that, Sunday, July 19th, morning is the best of a very average bunch. We’ll see a 4 ft SSW swell with a very long 21-second period (1734 combined energy). The wind is offshore from the ENE, keeping it clean. That long period will make for some proper lines, but it’s a reef, so the sets will be very spaced out. It’s not a standout, but it’s the only real window of quality before the big stuff arrives.

The rest of the 16 days are a write-off. There’s a lot of 3 ft to 7 ft windswell with short periods (8-10 seconds) and cross-off winds that just don’t have the punch. The energy is moderate at best, and the consistency is poor. You’ll be left scratching your head.

So, the final call: If you’re an experienced surfer, get ready for the 1st and 2nd of August. That’s the only true standout. Everything else is a marginal, tricky session at best.

Rusty.

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