Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 27 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 1 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 1 Sep, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with 4,324 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 27 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 4ft (1.2m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Aug 27) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.2m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.1m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 3.0m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Sep 01) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 8s period and expected on Thursday (Aug 27) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2PM (Thu 27th Aug) | 4ft (1.2m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Tue 1st Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright surfers, Rusty here with the long-range outlook for Fausse Passe. This is a reef break for the advanced crew, and it's a consistent spot that needs a good swell from the southwest to really fire. The water temperature is sitting at 72°, right where it should be for this time of year, so no surprises there.
The forecast starts on Thursday, 27 August with a clean, moderate offshore breeze from the ENE. The swell is from the SSW at 4ft with a very long 15-second period, giving us a moderate wave energy of 763. It's a solid start, but the reports are calling it marginal, so don't expect perfection. Thursday afternoon looks a little better with lighter winds and a similar swell, but still not a standout.
Friday, 28 August, things go south fast. The wind swings onshore and the swell drops off, so you can pretty much write that day off. Saturday and Sunday are similar stories with messy, cross-onshore winds and building but choppy swell. Saturday afternoon sees the swell hit 7ft but with poor conditions, making it more of a kiteboarding session than a clean surf.
Monday, 31 August, we get a bit of a reset with clean cross-offshore winds from the ESE. The swell is still there, around 5ft from the south with a long period, but the energy is moderate. It's a step in the right direction, but still a bit marginal.
The real action starts to build from Tuesday, 1 September. The swell is pumping up to 6ft from the SSW with a 14-second period, and the wave energy is strong at 2393. The winds are clean and cross-offshore. By Tuesday afternoon, it's getting serious with 8ft swell and an 18-second period, pushing wave energy to a massive 4137. This is big, powerful groundswell – definitely for experts only. The wind is a fresh breeze, but it's clean.
Wednesday, 2 September, keeps the energy high with 8ft swell in the morning and 8ft in the afternoon. The wind stays cross-offshore, but it's a fresh breeze, so the surface will have some texture. This is a solid run of good-to-big surf.
The swell starts to ease a bit from Thursday, 3 September, dropping to 6ft, then 6ft. The wind remains clean, though a bit stronger. It's still a good option for the experienced surfer.
We hit a bit of a lull from Friday, 4 September, through the weekend, with swell dropping to around 3ft to 4ft. The period is still long, but the energy is low. The winds are clean, so it'll be a bit of a slow, small-wave session.
Then on Sunday, 6 September, we get a little gem. The wind drops to a light breeze, the swell is 4ft from the SSW with a 14-second period, and the conditions are looking very good. It's a small window of clean, glassy waves.
The following week sees a mix of small, clean days and building swell. The standout here is Wednesday, 9 September. The morning brings 6ft SSW swell with a 19-second period – that's a very long-period groundswell with a massive energy reading of 3477. The wind is offshore from the east, making for a fresh, clean session. This is the best of the fortnight for the experts, but be warned, that long period will make it suck a lot of water off the reef, so it's a serious paddle.
The forecast finishes with a bang on Friday, 11 September. The afternoon shows a huge 10ft SSW swell with a 14-second period and an enormous wave energy of 7489. The wind is clean and cross-offshore. However, the report clearly states this swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is a monster event, and even for advanced surfers, it might be beyond what Fausse Passe can handle. It's one to watch from the cliffs.
So, to sum it up: the first few days are a write-off, then we get a good run of strong, clean swell from the start of September through to the 3rd. The absolute best windows for the expert crew are the afternoons of Tuesday, 1st and Wednesday, 9th. The 9th looks like the pick of the fortnight for quality, but it's a long way out so keep an eye on the charts.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Thu afternoon. Warm (max 23°C on Thu afternoon, min 19°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 19°C on Sun morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 27 | Friday 28 | Saturday 29 | Sunday 30 | Monday 31 | Tuesday 1 | Wednesday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 14 | S 17 | S 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
756 | 519 | 316 | 273 | 178 | 324 | 470 | 482 | 1288 | 1173 | 815 | 736 | 577 | 434 | 631 | 3473 | 4323 | 3705 | 2478 | 2167 | 1677 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | cross | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 8:06PM1.27m | 7:56AM1.05m | 8:34PM1.31m | 8:33AM1.10m | 9:02PM1.32m | 9:10AM1.14m | 9:30PM1.31m | 9:48AM1.16m | 9:59PM1.28m | 10:28AM1.16m | 10:30PM1.21m | 11:12AM1.13m | 11:03PM1.14m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:27PM0.14m | 2:18AM0.34m | 2:02PM0.11m | 2:48AM0.27m | 2:37PM0.12m | 3:18AM0.21m | 3:12PM0.15m | 3:48AM0.17m | 3:47PM0.20m | 4:20AM0.14m | 4:25PM0.28m | 4:54AM0.14m | 5:07PM0.37m | ||||||||
6:09 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:07 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:05 | — | — | 6:03 | — | — | |
— | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:42 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:43 | — | — | 5:44 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Feels °C | 19 | 21 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 13 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 | S 11 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 14 | S 17 | S 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 |
756 | 519 | 316 | 121 | 88 | 324 | 462 | 482 | 1288 | 1173 | 815 | 736 | 577 | 434 | 631 | 3473 | 4323 | 3705 | 2478 | 2167 | 1677 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | S 9 | SE 12 | SE 12 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | E 9 | E 9 |
7 | 6 | 96 | 273 | 178 | 64 | 39 | 38 | 47 | 77 | 72 | 51 | 146 | 348 | 264 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 162 | 42 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 12 | SE 12 | S 22 | SW 20 | SW 19 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 | ESE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | — | 6 | 7 | 87 | 93 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 51 | 52 | 29 | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | NE 4 | — | SW 3 | SSW 4 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 9 | E 9 |
206 | 171 | 19 | — | 2 | 14 | 470 | 441 | 847 | 917 | — | — | — | — | — | 29 | 30 | 61 | 39 | 121 | 83 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 11 | 0 | 10 | 1231 | 596 | 584 | 596 | 1398 | 110 | 1235 | 1285 | 80 | 1272 | 1438 | 149 | 1235 | 1235 | 11 | 110 | 736 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.











