Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the pipe for the next couple of weeks. We’ve got one spot in the mix, Fausse Passe, so we’ll be riding that wave the whole time.

The outlook starts off a bit flat and funky, as you’d expect from a reef setup that’s pretty exposed to the swell. The first few days, starting Saturday the 4th, are for the keeners only. We’ve got a 4ft SE swell with 11-second period on Saturday afternoon, but the cross-off wind is making it a bit tricky, and the combined wave energy is moderate at 437. Sunday morning the 5th cleans up a touch with a 4ft SE swell, now 13-second period, and the energy jumps to 594. It’s still a cross-off wind though, keeping it marginal.

By Monday the 6th, things get a bit rougher. A 4ft SE swell on the morning is cross-on, and the wind picks up. The afternoon sees the swell jump to 6ft from the SSW, with a 12-second period and the combined energy ramping up to a strong 1361, but it’s cross-on and choppy. Tuesday the 7th is a write-off for paddle surfing – we’re looking at a massive 12ft swell from the SSW with a long 14- to 16-second period, and the combined energy is absolutely cranking at 10250 to 12323. However, the wind is howling at 30 km/h cross-on, making it lumpy and dangerous. This setup looks way more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

Wednesday the 8th keeps the massive energy coming. You’ve got a 13ft swell from the SSW early morning, combined energy at 6676, but again it’s cross-on and choppy with a 20 km/h wind. The swell is just too big for this break for most folks, and the conditions are poor. The energy drops slightly Thursday the 9th with a 10ft swell, but it’s still cross-on and messy.

Now, Friday the 10th is where we start to see a bit of a reset. The swell drops to 7ft from the SSW, period goes to 11 seconds, and the energy is down to a moderate 1597. The wind swings cross-shore, creating a cross-chop but it’s more manageable. Saturday the 11th is the standout in the first week. We’ve got a 8ft S swell on Saturday morning with a 12-second period and combined energy of 2092. But the magic is the wind: a glassy 5 km/h from the east. That’s offshore for this spot, and it’s going to be clean and lined up. But remember, 8ft is a big wave – this is for experienced surfers only.

Sunday the 12th backs off a touch with a 5ft S swell and the wind goes cross-off in the morning, keeping it clean and fun. Monday and Tuesday the 13th and 14th are smaller but clean. Monday morning has a 5ft SSE swell with 9-second period, cross-off wind (623 energy), and Tuesday morning has a 4ft SE swell with an offshore wind at 20 km/h – feeling fresh but workable.

The middle of the week from the 15th gets ugly again with onshore winds and small, weak swell. That brings us to the big finish on Friday the 17th of July. This is the true standout of the whole outlook. Friday morning is an absolute gem: a 4ft SSW swell with an incredibly long 18-second period, combined energy of 1978, and it’s glassy calm. That’s a groundswell of the highest order. It will be peeling perfectly at this reef, but watch for those long lulls between sets. Then Friday afternoon gets even better for a few of you – the swell jumps to 6ft from the SSW, still with that long 17-second period, combined energy a meaty 3912, and a light cross-off wind from the southeast. This is as good as it gets for Fausse Passe.

Saturday the 18th the swell gets big again, 12ft, and it’s glassy, but that’s too much juice for this break unless you’re an expert on a gun. Sunday the 19th closes it out with a windy, lumpy 10ft swell.

So, for the highlights: Saturday the 11th is the best bet in the first week if you’ve got the skill for a solid 8ft glassy wave. But the true winner, the one you circle on the calendar, is Friday the 17th of July. That glassy morning with 4ft of 18-second groundswell is pure magic, and the afternoon holds up with a little more size and clean offshore texture.

The water temp is sitting around 74°F with a tiny anomaly of just 0.4°F, so it’s pretty average for this time of year. No worries about a cold one.

Stay stoked, keep an eye on the wind, and don’t sleep on that Friday the 17th.

Rusty

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