Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 17 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 18 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, S swell with 3,056 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 8AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 1.5m and 15s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 8s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 8AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Tue 18th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what the next couple of weeks have in store.
Alright, first up – the good news is we’ve got some solid, consistent south-west groundswell headed our way. The bad news is that the wind is going to be a real pain in the arse for most of it. We’re looking at a long run of cross-offshore winds from the east and southeast, mostly in the fresh to strong breeze range. That means choppy, lumpy conditions more often than not, and the water’s getting a proper thrashing with moderate to strong combined swell energy.
We come out of the gate on Monday the 17th with a 6ft SSW swell, but that 25 mph cross-off wind is going to make it a bit of a grindy, wind-affected mess. Not much fun.
The real standout of this whole outlook, and I'm calling it now, is Tuesday the 18th. The morning is where it’s at. We’ve got a beefy 10ft swell pulsing in from the SSE with a period of 12 seconds, and the combined energy is massive. That is serious, powerful surf. But here’s the thing – that size crosses the line into expert territory. The arrow is pointing at Fausse Passe, but for most of us, that's going to be too big. A reef break with that much juice is no joke. It’s clean, but you need to know what you’re doing. The afternoon drops to a still-big 8ft, but the quality is marginal.
After that, things get a bit messy. The wind stays up, and the swell starts to back off through the middle of the week. There’s a glimmer of hope on Friday the 21st morning, with a 5ft SE swell and actual offshore wind from the east. That’s a big plus for clean conditions, and the energy is still respectable. That morning session could be a good, clean option for a wider range of surfers.
Lock in that Tuesday the 18th morning if you’re an expert and want the biggest, rawest power of the window. For the rest of us, keep an eye on Friday the 21st morning for something a bit more manageable and clean.
After that, it’s a long, slow decline. From the weekend of the 23rd right through to the end of the month, we’re looking at minimal, weak swell and mostly poor conditions. There’s a little bump in energy around the 25th and 26th with a 5ft to 6ft SSW groundswell, but the wind is shifting to the west and southwest, turning onshore and ruining any chance of quality. By the time we hit September, it’s basically flat and windy.
So, to sum it up: Tuesday the 18th is the big show for experts. Friday the 21st is the best bet for everyone else. The rest is a write-off.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Mon night. Warm (max 20°C on Tue afternoon, min 18°C on Mon afternoon). Mainly strong winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Thu morning. Warm (max 21°C on Fri morning, min 19°C on Thu morning). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | Sunday 23 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 12 | S 12 | SSE 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 10 | SE 9 | S 10 | S 10 | SE 8 | SE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SE 8 | SE 10 | S 11 | SSE 9 | SE 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1550 | 1375 | 1512 | 2899 | 1750 | 855 | 687 | 572 | 573 | 367 | 233 | 361 | 297 | 142 | 311 | 175 | 256 | 200 | 65 | 55 | 31 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 10:52AM1.11m | 10:58PM1.20m | 11:37AM1.07m | 11:28PM1.11m | 12:25PM1.01m | 11:59PM1.02m | 1:23PM0.95m | 00:35AM0.92m | 2:42PM0.91m | 1:27AM0.84m | 4:19PM0.92m | 2:58AM0.79m | 5:35PM0.98m | 4:38AM0.80m | |||||||
Low Tide | 4:49PM0.28m | 5:24AM0.19m | 5:28PM0.39m | 6:00AM0.22m | 6:10PM0.50m | 6:41AM0.27m | 7:02PM0.59m | 7:31AM0.31m | 8:18PM0.66m | 8:39AM0.35m | 10:11PM0.67m | 10:00AM0.34m | 11:46PM0.63m | ||||||||
6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
— | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:40 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 21 |
Feels °C | 11 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 16 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 10 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SE 12 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | S 9 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SSE 9 | SE 8 |
1550 | 1375 | 1512 | 2501 | 789 | 647 | 642 | 326 | 263 | 96 | 233 | 361 | 148 | 142 | 311 | 175 | 42 | 200 | 65 | 55 | 18 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 9 | E 9 | S 16 | SSW 15 | SSE 13 | SSW 14 | SW 22 | SSW 10 | SSW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SE 14 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 12 | E 8 | S 11 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 |
13 | 7 | 42 | 892 | 290 | 472 | 18 | 74 | 124 | 111 | 196 | 129 | 89 | 94 | 70 | 67 | 15 | 34 | 58 | 33 | 31 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 12 | SE 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SW 18 | S 11 | SW 16 | SE 12 | SE 11 |
16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | 124 | 177 | 35 | 54 | 43 | 46 | 19 | 33 | 12 | 61 | 10 | 24 | 31 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 12 | S 12 | SSE 10 | SSE 8 | SSE 8 | SE 10 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 7 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 8 | SE 8 | SSE 9 | ESE 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 7 |
424 | 779 | 1137 | 2899 | 1750 | 855 | 687 | 572 | 573 | 367 | 264 | 99 | 297 | 394 | 136 | 140 | 256 | 113 | 157 | 163 | 129 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1561 | 1417 | 1416 | 1416 | 1416 | 1416 | 1416 | 1398 | 110 | 110 | 1233 | 0 | 105 | 80 | 80 | 105 | 730 | 80 | 110 | 730 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.











