Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 14 Aug 2026:
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with 3,366 kJ wave energy.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 10s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | - | - |
| Best Surf | - | - |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it.
We’ve got a bit of a waiting game on our hands. The first decent surf showing up is on Friday afternoon, 14th August, but that’s a pretty marginal offering. The swell is coming in at 5 feet from the SSW, but the period is short at 8 seconds, so it’s mostly windswell, fairly weak in terms of energy (778). The wind is a cross-shore from the south at 15 mph, which will put a bit of a chop on the surface. For a spot like Fausse Passe (reef), it’s just not looking clean enough to get excited about.
Saturday morning, 15th August, is more of the same: 5 feet, 9-second period, cross-shore winds. The afternoon sees the swell bump up slightly to 6 feet, still with a cross-shore breeze. The wave energy is building (898), but it’s still a messy, cross-shore deal. Not a standout.
Sunday, 16th August, is where things get interesting. The morning brings a much longer period groundswell of 16 seconds, pushing 5 feet from the SSW. The combined energy jumps to 1625, which is solid. The caveat is the wind—still a cross-shore from the south at 15 mph. That’s going to mess with the shape. The afternoon gets windier (22 mph from the SSE) and delivers a lumpy, cross-chop surface (1858 energy). For a reef, you want it glassy, not lumpy.
Monday, 17th August, the wind finally shifts to a cross-offshore from the SE, blowing at 25 mph. That’s a strong breeze, but it’ll clean the surface up. The swell is 6 feet from the SSW, with a 16-second period. That’s proper groundswell energy (2074). The set waves will have some punch, and the longer period means good shape for a reef break. The water is a warm 73°, which is about average for this time of year. This is a solid option, but the wind is strong, so it’ll be a bit of a work-out.
Tuesday, 18th August, is our standout. We’re looking at 8 feet of swell from the south, with a 15-second period on the morning. The combined energy is massive at 5834. That’s a lot of power. The wind is cross-off from the ESE at 25 mph (strong breeze), keeping the surface clean. This is big, powerful, and clean. For experts. The afternoon swell drops to 8 feet with a 12-second period, energy drops to 3097, but it’s still big and clean. If you’re an advanced surfer, this is your window.
Wednesday, 19th August, the swell starts to back off. Morning shows 7 feet from the SSE, 9-second period, clean cross-off wind. Energy is 1317. It’s still surfable, but the shorter period will make it hollower and less consistent. The afternoon drops to 6 feet, and the rain showers come in.
Thursday, 20th August, is a fade. 6 feet of swell, short period (8 seconds), clean cross-off wind. Gets the job done for a mellow session, but nothing special.
From Friday, 21st August, through to the end of the month, we hit a long dry spell. The swell drops to 2 feet or less, and the energy readings are all below 200. The wind is offshore and cross-off, but there’s simply no swell to work with. The water stays around 73°, but the wave heights are too small for any real surf. The last few days of August show a slight pulse around 5 feet on the 25th and 27th, but the wind is near gale force (31 mph), and the energy levels are moderate (663), but the conditions are marked as poor. The long period swells (16 seconds) on the 26th and 27th will be too straight for a beach break like this, and the winds are strong.
So, the pick of the forecast is Tuesday, 18th August. Big, clean, powerful south swell. Experts only. Sunday, 16th and Monday, 17th are also worth a look for the groundswell, but the wind is a headache.
Signing off,
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 20°C on Sat morning, min 18°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the S on Sat night, strong winds from the SE by Mon morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 20°C on Wed night, min 18°C on Tue morning). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 15 | Sunday 16 | Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SE 8 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SE 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
415 | 415 | 932 | 1199 | 1102 | 2222 | 3055 | 1375 | 1512 | 2012 | 1613 | 1236 | 751 | 883 | 815 | 780 | 805 | 456 | 535 | 806 | 334 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:26AM1.14m | 9:57PM1.35m | 10:09AM1.14m | 10:28PM1.29m | 10:52AM1.11m | 10:58PM1.20m | 11:37AM1.07m | 11:28PM1.11m | 12:25PM1.01m | 11:59PM1.02m | 1:23PM0.95m | 00:35AM0.92m | 2:42PM0.91m | 1:27AM0.84m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:31PM0.09m | 4:16AM0.19m | 4:10PM0.18m | 4:50AM0.18m | 4:49PM0.28m | 5:24AM0.19m | 5:28PM0.39m | 6:00AM0.22m | 6:10PM0.50m | 6:41AM0.27m | 7:02PM0.59m | 7:31AM0.31m | 8:18PM0.66m | ||||||||
6:18 | — | — | 6:18 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
— | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Feels °C | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 15 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | S 10 | S 10 | S 10 | SE 11 |
415 | 415 | 415 | 426 | 1102 | 2222 | 3055 | 1375 | 1512 | 1121 | 822 | 415 | 342 | 246 | 119 | 151 | 148 | 204 | 138 | 135 | 334 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 20 | E 9 | ESE 13 | E 9 | S 15 | — | SSE 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 11 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SE 12 | SW 14 | S 10 |
232 | 322 | 932 | 1199 | 339 | 7 | 16 | 14 | 41 | — | 295 | 585 | 198 | 100 | 82 | 82 | 29 | 108 | 175 | 49 | 96 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 10 | SW 21 | S 11 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 13 | — | — | — | — | — | SE 15 | SSE 15 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | — | S 20 | S 18 | SSW 13 | S 15 | SSW 14 |
18 | 112 | 110 | 17 | 16 | 17 | — | — | — | — | — | 9 | 21 | 37 | 124 | — | 7 | 24 | 34 | 17 | 19 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 9 | — | — | — | S 9 | S 7 | S 7 | S 8 | S 9 | S 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SE 8 | SSE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 10 | SE 11 | E 8 |
301 | — | — | — | 521 | 269 | 233 | 703 | 874 | 2012 | 1613 | 1236 | 751 | 883 | 815 | 780 | 805 | 456 | 535 | 806 | 157 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1235 | 1235 | 1339 | 1240 | 1231 | 1233 | 1438 | 1438 | 1416 | 1438 | 1416 | 1416 | 1416 | 1416 | 110 | 1416 | 1235 | 80 | 105 | 1233 | 80 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.











