
Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 24 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period, SSW swell with 5,316 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 26 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 11ft (3.5m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.5m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.6m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 3.5m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 6s period and expected on Sunday (Jul 26) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 11ft (3.5m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what’s shakin’ for Fausse Passe.
We’re starting off slow. Friday the 24th and Saturday the 25th are a write-off. Swell is tiny and the wind is all wrong, so leave the stick at home.
The first real chance to get wet is Sunday the 26th of July. This is a big one, but it’s for the big dogs only. The swell is pumping from the SSW at 12 ft on the morning, with a 15-second period, and the combined energy is a massive 5412 (strong to very strong). At 10 ft in the afternoon, don’t even think about bringing a beginner. That long period groundswell and clean cross-off wind will make the wave look good, but the power is serious. The water temp is 73°, which is about average for this time of year, so nothing unusual.
After that, Monday the 27th through Wednesday the 29th drops off a bit. It’s still rideable for the experienced crowd, with 7 ft to 4 ft SSW swell, but the wind gets a bit fresher and the conditions get marginal. The energy is still moderate (between 630 and 1606), but it’s not the standout.
Thursday the 30th of July brings a change with fresh offshore wind from the ENE, and that’s the kind of clean you dream about. 4 ft to 3 ft SSW swell, but the period is long (13 to 15 seconds), so the sets will be clean and lined up. The energy is moderate (621 to 831), but that offshore wind is the key. It’s a good one for the advanced surfer.
Friday the 31st is where I’d point you. The afternoon session is the real gem. 4 ft SSW swell with a 15-second period, combined energy of 1033 (moderate), and a moderate offshore breeze from the ENE. The guidance says it’s excellent surf for experienced surfers, and I agree. The swell direction is SSW, which matches the optimum for this spot, and those offshore winds will have it glassy. Crowds are only "sometimes" a problem, so you might get a few waves to yourself.
Saturday the 1st of August morning is a sleeper hit. Only 4 ft swell, but it’s glassy – WSW wind at 3 mph. That’s as good as it gets for upper-crust conditions. The period is 14 seconds, so there’s plenty of energy (853) for a clean, pushy wave. That’s a quiet, beautiful morning if you want it to yourself.
From Sunday the 2nd of August onward, it gets ugly. The wind swings onshore or cross-on, and the swell gets either too messy or too big. Monday the 3rd is a total loss. There’s a big spike again on the 4th, 5th, and 6th of August, with serious SSW swell (6 ft to 13 ft), but the wind is straight cross or cross-on, and the energy is through the roof (3198 to 6053). It’s just too lumpy and messy for a good paddle. For a reef break like Fausse Passe, that big swell without the right wind is a fight, not a ride.
So, the best on offer is the Friday afternoon on the 31st of July for the clean, offshore, well-powered swell, and the Saturday morning of the 1st of August for the sheer glassy bliss. The long-range stuff in the second week is all big, wind-blown chaos – steer clear unless you’re a masochist.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Warm (max 21°C on Fri morning, min 19°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the WSW on Fri afternoon, fresh winds from the SE by Sat night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 20°C on Mon morning, min 19°C on Tue morning). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 10 | SSW 11 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
198 | 149 | 107 | 131 | 168 | 673 | 5316 | 4037 | 2376 | 1454 | 1501 | 1561 | 970 | 701 | 469 | 347 | 295 | 380 | 386 | 417 | 402 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off |
High Tide | 4:53PM0.95m | 3:44AM0.85m | 5:57PM1.01m | 4:59AM0.85m | 6:47PM1.07m | 6:00AM0.87m | 7:29PM1.13m | 6:49AM0.91m | 8:05PM1.19m | 7:32AM0.95m | 8:38PM1.24m | 8:11AM0.99m | 9:09PM1.28m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:33AM0.31m | 10:36PM0.65m | 10:37AM0.29m | 11:57PM0.62m | 11:36AM0.25m | 00:54AM0.57m | 12:27PM0.20m | 1:37AM0.52m | 1:11PM0.15m | 2:14AM0.47m | 1:49PM0.11m | 2:47AM0.42m | 2:25PM0.08m | 3:20AM0.37m | |||||||
6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | |
— | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Feels °C | 19 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 18 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 10 | SSW 11 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 |
194 | 149 | 107 | 57 | 168 | 673 | 5316 | 4037 | 2376 | 1454 | 1501 | 1561 | 970 | 701 | 469 | 347 | 260 | 380 | 386 | 417 | 362 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SE 11 | — | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SE 13 | SE 13 |
198 | 131 | 96 | 34 | 59 | 168 | 96 | — | 96 | 63 | 64 | 79 | 127 | 116 | 168 | 168 | 295 | 226 | 176 | 330 | 282 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SSW 13 | SSW 19 | SE 10 | S 8 | — | — | SE 18 | SE 17 | SE 16 | SE 11 | — | — | — | SSW 12 | SW 17 | SSW 18 | SE 8 | SE 7 | SSW 16 |
— | — | 17 | 35 | 33 | 6 | — | — | 13 | 46 | 41 | 43 | — | — | — | 115 | 12 | 31 | 59 | 84 | 402 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSE 6 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | — | ENE 7 | — | E 4 | SE 5 | SE 5 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 6 | E 7 | E 7 | E 3 |
— | — | — | 131 | 84 | 93 | 317 | 117 | — | 9 | — | 9 | 61 | 69 | 59 | 47 | 43 | 25 | 15 | 24 | 4 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 10 | 1235 | 80 | 1231 | 1235 | 149 | 1235 | 1235 | 149 | 1235 | 1438 | 80 | 105 | 147 | 80 | 80 | 1233 | 0 | 34 | 80 | 80 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.










