Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s take a look at what the next couple of weeks have in store.

Alright, first up – the good news is we’ve got some solid, consistent south-west groundswell headed our way. The bad news is that the wind is going to be a real pain in the arse for most of it. We’re looking at a long run of cross-offshore winds from the east and southeast, mostly in the fresh to strong breeze range. That means choppy, lumpy conditions more often than not, and the water’s getting a proper thrashing with moderate to strong combined swell energy.

We come out of the gate on Monday the 17th with a 6ft SSW swell, but that 25 mph cross-off wind is going to make it a bit of a grindy, wind-affected mess. Not much fun.

The real standout of this whole outlook, and I'm calling it now, is Tuesday the 18th. The morning is where it’s at. We’ve got a beefy 10ft swell pulsing in from the SSE with a period of 12 seconds, and the combined energy is massive. That is serious, powerful surf. But here’s the thing – that size crosses the line into expert territory. The arrow is pointing at Fausse Passe, but for most of us, that's going to be too big. A reef break with that much juice is no joke. It’s clean, but you need to know what you’re doing. The afternoon drops to a still-big 8ft, but the quality is marginal.

After that, things get a bit messy. The wind stays up, and the swell starts to back off through the middle of the week. There’s a glimmer of hope on Friday the 21st morning, with a 5ft SE swell and actual offshore wind from the east. That’s a big plus for clean conditions, and the energy is still respectable. That morning session could be a good, clean option for a wider range of surfers.

Lock in that Tuesday the 18th morning if you’re an expert and want the biggest, rawest power of the window. For the rest of us, keep an eye on Friday the 21st morning for something a bit more manageable and clean.

After that, it’s a long, slow decline. From the weekend of the 23rd right through to the end of the month, we’re looking at minimal, weak swell and mostly poor conditions. There’s a little bump in energy around the 25th and 26th with a 5ft to 6ft SSW groundswell, but the wind is shifting to the west and southwest, turning onshore and ruining any chance of quality. By the time we hit September, it’s basically flat and windy.

So, to sum it up: Tuesday the 18th is the big show for experts. Friday the 21st is the best bet for everyone else. The rest is a write-off.

Rusty.

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