Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with a look at the coming swell window for Fausse Passe. We’ve got a pretty wild ride ahead with some thumping energy, but you’re going to need to pick your moments carefully because this spot gets properly thumped when the ocean turns on.

We start off quiet for the next few days. Tuesday morning the 15th has a solid 7 ft of south swell with 14 seconds of period, but a stiff 16 mph cross-off breeze keeps it just average. The word is "marginal" and with a combined energy reading of 1663 (moderate wave energy), it’s not the cleanest option. Afternoon gets even windier, so we’re just waiting it out. Wednesday the 16th sees the swell back off to 4 ft, still with an ESE cross-off, but the energy has dropped significantly to 512. Not worth suiting up. Thursday the 17th is a write-off with tiny swell and a 28 mph cross-on howler in the afternoon. Plenty of downtime here.

Now, Friday the 18th is where things get interesting, but it’s a bit of a double-edged sword. By morning, we’ve got a massive 10 ft SSW pulse arriving with a 12-second period. The combined energy reading is a serious 5601 (strong wave energy). The models say the wind and tide are favorable, but that swell is simply too big for this break – it’s going to be a washing machine even for experienced surfers. This one is for the absolute experts only. Saturday the 19th is still sizable at 8 ft but the clean conditions are fleeting. Morning holds some promise with a gentle cross-shore, but it’s still not perfect.

The real standout window is Monday the 21st. After the weekend’s leftover size, the swell drops to a very manageable 8 ft from the SSW with a long 15-second period. That’s proper groundswell. The kicker is the wind: a light 6 mph SE breeze, making for a glassy, cross-off situation. This is described as "excellent surf conditions for experienced surfers". The energy is still high at 2326, so you’ll get proper walls, but the light wind will clean it right up. This is your absolute best bet of the entire run – get on it.

Tuesday the 22nd morning is also decent. We have 8 ft from the SSW with a very long 16-second period and a gentle 9 mph ESE cross-off. Energy is still pumping at 3315. It’s a "marginal" call on the tide, but the wave quality is cleaner than the rest of the week. It gets windier in the afternoon.

After that, a fresh 19 mph cross-off breeze kicks up from the 23rd through the 27th, with swell hovering around the 7 ft to 8 ft mark. The energy is moderate to strong, but this persistent wind makes for a lumpy, choppy surface. Not the same quality as the Monday and Tuesday window.

We then hit a steep drop-off at the end. By the 28th of September, the swell goes tiny, barely 2 ft. It stays flat and weak right through to the end of September with combined energy readings under 400. The final days are a full stop for the paddle surfer. There’s a couple of days in there with no real surf on offer.

Bottom line: your prime window is Monday the 21st into Tuesday the 22nd. That’s the cleanest, best-conditioned swell of the whole period. The water temp sits at 72°, which is bang on average for the time of year, so no worries there.

Rusty, signing off.

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