Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 16 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Tuesday 18 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Monday 17 Aug, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 17s period, SSW swell with 3,427 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Tuesday 18 Aug, 11AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Aug 18) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 12s period with a secondary swell of 3.0m and 12s. Another secondary swell of 1.4m and 15s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 2.5m 17s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Aug 17) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.9m 8s period and expected on Friday (Aug 21) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Tue 18th Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Mon 17th Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 17s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here, let's talk about what's coming up for our little slice of the lineup.
Honestly, the next couple of weeks are a bit of a mixed bag. We've got a real feast-or-famine situation brewing. The first week is mostly a write-off, but there's a serious window of opportunity that pops up around the 25th of August that has my attention. Let's get into it.
We're starting with a bit of a flat spell, but the first real action is on the cards for the 16th of August down at Fausse Passe. It's a tricky reef setup, so it's for the advanced crew only. Sunday afternoon sees a 5 ft SSW groundswell rolling in with a very long 15-second period, carrying a solid moderate wave energy (1858). The water's sitting at 72°F, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year. The problem is that cross-shore wind from the SSE at 19 mph is going to make it lumpy and choppy. It's rideable, but far from perfect.
The 17th of August looks a bit cleaner with a cross-offshore breeze, but the swell is still up and the winds are strong, 22-25 mph. By Tuesday the 18th, the swell really jacks up. We're looking at a 10 ft SSE swell on Tuesday morning, and the energy is massive (6246). That's too big for this break, so we'll leave that one alone.
The rest of that week, from the 20th through the 24th, is pretty quiet. The swell drops right off, with heights hovering around 2 ft to 4 ft. The energy is weak (60-726), and the conditions are just poor. The wind stays mostly cross-off, but there's not enough wave to make it worthwhile. The 22nd and 24th afternoons do have a clean offshore wind, but the swell is tiny.
Now, hold onto your boards, because the 25th of August is where it gets interesting. Tuesday morning we get a 5 ft SSW groundswell with a pumping 17-second period. The energy is back up to a strong 2022. The wind is a light NNE breeze at 6 mph, making for clean conditions. This is a solid session for the experienced surfer.
But the real standout is Tuesday afternoon, the 25th. The swell builds to 7 ft from the SSW with an 18-second period, which is about as long as it gets. The energy is strong (2715), and the wind... it's dead calm. Glassy. Zero wind. That's the kind of afternoon you sit on the beach and watch the sets roll in. This is the best on offer, no question. It might be a bit much for beginners, but for the advanced crew, that's a dream session.
The following days from the 26th onwards see the swell drop off again, with onshore winds starting to mess things up. There's some marginal surf on the 27th, but the wind is on it, so things get sloppy. The 29th and 30th offer some small, clean-ish waves but the cross-onshore wind keeps it from being anything special.
So, to sum it up: the first week is a bit of a dud. The 25th of August is the day to circle on the calendar. Get your board ready for that Tuesday afternoon.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 20°C on Sun night, min 18°C on Mon afternoon). Mainly strong winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 9mm), mostly falling on Thu night. Warm (max 21°C on Fri night, min 19°C on Wed night). Mainly strong winds. | ||||||||||||||||||
Monday 17 | Tuesday 18 | Wednesday 19 | Thursday 20 | Friday 21 | Saturday 22 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 7 | S 10 | SE 8 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SSE 11 | SE 8 | SE 10 | SE 7 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
2432 | 1550 | 1375 | 1512 | 2894 | 1826 | 611 | 765 | 634 | 573 | 217 | 308 | 299 | 130 | 144 | 317 | 297 | 250 | 102 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off |
High Tide | 10:28PM1.29m | 10:52AM1.11m | 10:58PM1.20m | 11:37AM1.07m | 11:28PM1.11m | 12:25PM1.01m | 11:59PM1.02m | 1:23PM0.95m | 00:35AM0.92m | 2:42PM0.91m | 1:27AM0.84m | 4:19PM0.92m | 2:58AM0.79m | ||||||
Low Tide | 4:50AM0.18m | 4:49PM0.28m | 5:24AM0.19m | 5:28PM0.39m | 6:00AM0.22m | 6:10PM0.50m | 6:41AM0.27m | 7:02PM0.59m | 7:31AM0.31m | 8:18PM0.66m | 8:39AM0.35m | 10:11PM0.67m | |||||||
— | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:16 | — | — | 6:15 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | 6:13 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:38 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | — | 5:39 | — | |
mm | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Feels °C | 14 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 16 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | S 9 | S 10 | SE 8 | S 10 | SE 12 | SSE 11 | S 9 | SE 10 | SE 7 |
2432 | 1550 | 1375 | 1512 | 2460 | 789 | 569 | 595 | 246 | 263 | 73 | 308 | 299 | 92 | 144 | 317 | 44 | 250 | 102 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 8 | SW 9 | E 9 | S 15 | SSW 15 | SSE 13 | SSW 14 | SW 22 | SSW 10 | SSW 18 | SSW 12 | SSW 15 | S 10 | SE 13 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 13 | S 9 | SSE 10 |
7 | 38 | 25 | 40 | 892 | 232 | 472 | 18 | 115 | 124 | 111 | 148 | 225 | 130 | 94 | 70 | 33 | 60 | 63 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 13 | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SSW 14 | SW 18 | SW 18 | S 11 |
8 | 16 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 37 | 124 | 177 | 14 | 108 | 44 | 46 | 19 | 13 | 12 | 61 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSE 7 | S 8 | S 8 | S 9 | SSE 12 | S 12 | SSE 7 | SSE 8 | SE 8 | SE 9 | SE 7 | ESE 9 | E 7 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | E 8 | SE 8 | E 8 | E 8 |
166 | 362 | 798 | 1263 | 2894 | 1826 | 611 | 765 | 634 | 573 | 217 | 247 | 97 | 458 | 318 | 88 | 297 | 76 | 153 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1240 | 1438 | 1416 | 1416 | 1438 | 1416 | 1416 | 1416 | 1235 | 110 | 1416 | 1235 | 80 | 105 | 1235 | 80 | 105 | 82 | 80 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.











