Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s talk about what’s cooking at Fausse Passe. We’ve got a drawn-out period ahead, but it’s not all smooth sailing. The early days are a write-off, so we’re waiting for a window to open up.

Right now, the water temp is sitting at 72°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

The first half of the week is a real struggle. Wednesday the 12th and Thursday the 13th are offering tiny, weak swell with poor conditions. The wave energy is low (74 to 372), and the winds are messy. Honestly, you’re better off doing something else.

Friday the 14th and Saturday the 15th see the swell picking up a bit, but the wind is still a problem. Friday has a fresh cross-onshore breeze turning it lumpy and choppy. Saturday morning shows a glimmer of hope with clean conditions and a 5ft SSW swell, but the energy is moderate (615) and the overall forecast is marginal. It’s a maybe, but not a standout.

Now, Sunday the 16th rolls in and things start to get interesting. We’ve got a solid 5ft SSW groundswell with a very long 16-second period, cranking the energy up to 1572. The wind is a clean cross-offshore, which is a major positive. But here’s the thing – with that long period, the waves will be powerful and a bit straight at the beach, but Fausse Passe is a reef, so it should handle that energy nicely. This is the best morning of the early window. Sunday afternoon is still clean, but the wind picks up fresh.

Monday the 17th keeps the power going with 6ft SSW swell, still with that long 16-second period and strong energy (1776). The wind is cross-off, keeping it clean. This is a solid day for experienced surfers, but the size and power mean beginners should sit this one out.

The standout of the whole run, though, is Wednesday the 19th. The morning is looking at a 10ft SE swell. That’s a big, powerful wave. The energy is very strong (1564), and the wind is cross-off. However, the data tells us this swell is predicted to be too big for this break. This is only for experts, and even then, it’s going to be a beast. If you’re a confident, experienced surfer, that’s the session to aim for, but be very aware of what you’re paddling into.

After that, the swell drops off through the end of the week. Thursday the 20th and Friday the 21st still have decent size (8ft to 8ft) but the energy is dropping, and the wind stays cross-off. It’s just not as good as Monday or Wednesday.

By Saturday the 22nd, the swell fades significantly, and the rest of the period into the 27th is a mix of small, weak, or onshore junk. The 23rd gives a brief moment of offshore wind, but the swell is tiny and weak (183 energy). Not worth chasing.

So, to wrap it up: the best on offer is Monday the 17th for a solid, powerful, clean session, and the extreme big-wave option for experts only on Wednesday the 19th. Everything else is a wait-and-see or a pass.

Rusty out.

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