Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here, checkin' in with the local outlook for Fausse Passe. This reef setup is an advanced-only wave, so keep that in mind right from the start. It's pretty consistent, and it does best with a good SW swell – which is exactly what we've got coming for most of the period.

The water temperature is sittin' at 72°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there.

Now, the first few days are a bit of a letdown. Saturday morning (Sept 5th) we've got a 3ft SSW swell, but it's a cross-off shore breeze at 16 mph, and the forecast is just callin' it marginal. The combined energy is weak at 554, so don't expect much. Sunday (Sept 6th) offers a little more size, hitting 7ft, but the wind is still cross-off and the energy is kickin' up to moderate (1875). Still, the forecast is markin' it as marginal, so it's not the one.

We finally get a proper window on Monday morning (Sept 7th). This is the standout of the first week. The wind goes glassy, dead calm at 3 mph from the WSW, and it's holdin' a clean 4ft SSW swell. The period is a solid 14 seconds, giving it some real grunt with a combined energy of 908 (moderate). The forecast says "expect very good surf conditions," and I'm with that. For an advanced spot like this, Monday morning is the time to be in the water, especially if you can handle a little crowd.

After that, it gets messy. Tuesday through Thursday (Sept 8th-10th) we see the wind turn onshore or cross-on, bumpin' up the chop and killin' the quality. The swell sticks around, but the conditions are just poor. Thursday the 10th sees a decent 8ft SSW swell, but with a strong cross-shore wind, it's a choppy mess.

Friday the 11th cleans up a bit with a cross-off wind, but the swell is dropping. Then Saturday the 12th is a massive red flag. The swell is forecast to be 13ft from the SSW with a 18-second period. That's a *very long period* groundswell, and the combined energy is a monstrous 10228. The forecast is clear: the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. For a reef, that's a legit danger zone – only for the absolute most experienced, and even then, be careful. That big energy continues through the following week, with waves over 7ft and often over 10ft, but the wind is mostly cross-off, so the shape is there. The issue is the size; it's going to be too big for most.

The second week (from the 15th onwards) is a mixed bag of big, powerful swells but with strong winds. The 20th of September rolls around with another 10ft+ SSW swell, and again, it's flagged as too big for the break. The energy is strong (5586).

So, the bottom line: Fausse Passe is an advanced spot, and you're either lookin' at a window of clean, glassy perfection on Monday morning (Sept 7th) with that 4ft pulse, or you're dealin' with some serious, potentially dangerous, overhead-to-double-overhead power that's just too much for the reef. The gap between the good stuff and the too-big stuff is basically the whole first week, so pick your moment carefully.

Rusty, signing off.

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