
Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 23 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 26 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 26 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 15s period, SSW swell with 4,475 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 24 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 10s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 24) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 10s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 3.0m 15s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 26) at 11AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.0m 9s period and expected on Thursday (Jul 23) at 11PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Fri 24th Jul) | 5ft (1.5m) 10s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 11AM (Sun 26th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 15s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for Fausse Passe over the next couple of weeks.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a bumpy start. Thursday the 23rd is a write-off: messy, cross-off winds and a 7 ft swell from the SE. The wave energy is moderate (910), but the conditions are just too rough to get excited about. Honestly, you’d be better off waiting.
Friday the 24th morning is where it starts to get interesting. We’ve got glassy conditions with a light westerly breeze, and a clean 4 ft SE swell rolling in. The energy drops to a moderate 375, but with the wind dead flat, the waves will be smooth and user-friendly. This is a solid window for a fun session if you’ve got a shortboard or a fish.
Saturday the 25th is a bit of a letdown. The swell drops right off to 3 ft, and even though it’s clean, the energy is weak (173). Not worth the paddle.
Now, Sunday the 26th – hold onto your board. A massive 12 ft SSW groundswell shows up, with a very long period of 15 seconds and a huge energy reading of 5258. The wind is cross-off, but mate, this is way too big for this break. The models are basically saying it’s a no-go for everyone except absolute experts, and even then, it’s a dangerous beast. The swell will be breaking straight across the reef at that size. Beginners, stay on the beach.
Monday the 27th and Tuesday the 28th still have solid 7 ft to 8 ft SSW swell, but the period drops a bit, and the winds stay cross-off. The energy is still strong (over 2000), but the quality is described as marginal. The tide might be playing tricks, and the swell is still pushing the limits for comfort. Only for experienced surfers who know the reef.
The middle of the week, from the 29th to the 30th, sees the swell drop back to 3 ft to 4 ft, but with a clean offshore wind from the ENE. The energy is moderate (around 600-700), and the period is long (14 seconds). These are clean, but the models say the surf is marginal. The offshore wind will make it glassy, but the waves might be hard to get into.
Friday the 31st is a genuine standout. The morning session has a 4 ft SSW groundswell with a very long period of 16 seconds, light cross-off wind, and an energy of 1093. The models are calling it excellent for experienced surfers. The long period will make the waves hollow and powerful, so it’s a reef-breaker’s dream. The afternoon is still very good, with a gentle offshore wind.
Sunday the 2nd of August is another cracker. We’ve got a 7 ft SSW swell, 12-second period, and glassy winds in the morning. The energy is strong (1574), and the models are saying excellent for experienced surfers. This is a proper session for the advanced crew.
The first week of August sees a mix of 7 ft to 8 ft S to SSW swell, but the winds start turning onshore or cross-shore, making it choppy. The energy is still strong (over 2000), but the quality drops. Tuesday the 5th has a clean 6 ft morning with a cross-off wind, and that’s a decent option for experienced surfers.
By the end of the run, Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th, the swell fades again. The 7th is a poor day with onshore wind and a messy 4 ft SSE swell. Time to hang up the wetsuit for a bit.
Best bets: Friday the 31st morning and Sunday the 2nd of August morning are the true standouts. The first one has the long-period groundswell for power, and the second has solid size with glassy conditions. Both are for experienced surfers only.
Water temp is at 73°F, which is a touch warmer than average for this time of year. Nice, but not a game-changer.
Stay safe out there.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Fri night. Warm (max 21°C on Thu morning, min 19°C on Thu night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Thu morning, calm by Fri morning). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Tue morning. Warm (max 20°C on Sun morning, min 19°C on Sun afternoon). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 23 | Friday 24 | Saturday 25 | Sunday 26 | Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 11 | SSE 10 | SE 14 | SE 14 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
580 | 524 | 391 | 220 | 149 | 123 | 71 | 168 | 928 | 4475 | 3668 | 2121 | 1477 | 1525 | 1408 | 1140 | 735 | 695 | 500 | 285 | 308 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off |
High Tide | 3:35PM0.93m | 2:33AM0.90m | 4:53PM0.95m | 3:44AM0.85m | 5:57PM1.01m | 4:59AM0.85m | 6:47PM1.07m | 6:00AM0.87m | 7:29PM1.13m | 6:49AM0.91m | 8:05PM1.19m | 7:32AM0.95m | 8:38PM1.24m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 8:33AM0.30m | 9:03PM0.64m | 9:33AM0.31m | 10:36PM0.65m | 10:37AM0.29m | 11:57PM0.62m | 11:36AM0.25m | 00:54AM0.57m | 12:27PM0.20m | 1:37AM0.52m | 1:11PM0.15m | 2:14AM0.47m | 1:49PM0.11m | 2:47AM0.42m | |||||||
6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | |
— | 5:29 | — | — | 5:29 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | |
mm | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | 5 | 1 | — | 2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 15 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SSW 17 | SSW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 11 | SE 13 | SSW 11 | SE 14 |
150 | 524 | 391 | 220 | 149 | 123 | 71 | 168 | 928 | 4475 | 3668 | 2121 | 1477 | 1525 | 1408 | 1140 | 735 | 695 | 215 | 218 | 308 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 15 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SE 9 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SSW 12 | SE 14 | SSW 11 |
121 | 155 | 198 | 198 | 131 | 96 | 57 | 59 | 68 | 96 | 92 | 96 | 79 | 60 | 79 | 127 | 118 | 108 | 83 | 285 | 186 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | — | — | SSW 13 | SSW 18 | SE 10 | SE 11 | — | — | SE 18 | SE 17 | SE 16 | SE 11 | SE 11 | E 9 | SE 18 | S 18 | SW 18 | SE 7 |
— | 42 | 75 | — | — | 17 | 34 | 33 | 60 | — | — | 12 | 46 | 41 | 43 | 29 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 79 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | SE 4 | SE 8 | S 6 | ESE 11 | — | — | — | E 5 | ESE 4 | — | SE 4 | — | SSE 10 | SE 6 | E 6 |
580 | — | — | — | — | — | 13 | 82 | 66 | 247 | — | — | — | 7 | 9 | — | 45 | — | 500 | 72 | 26 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 102 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 1235 | 565 | 11 | 1272 | 149 | 1234 | 1398 | 149 | 1398 | 1418 | 80 | 1361 | 1361 | 80 | 80 | 105 | 80 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.










