
Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Friday 10 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, S swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 10 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, S swell with 3,388 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 10 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 20s. The wind is predicted to be cross-shore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 3.0m 14s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Jul 10) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-shore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.0m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 2PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Fri 10th Jul) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
Alright, this is Rusty with a look at the next couple of weeks.
First up, we've got a bit of a wild start. The swell is pumping, but it's really only for the crew who know what they're doing. The big story is the swell kicking off around Friday the 10th. We're looking at a serious 10ft groundswell from the South with a 13-second period, packing a massive 2771 (combined energy). That's a lot of power, but honestly, for a spot like Fausse Passe (reef), that's just too big. It's an advanced wave on a good day, but at that size with a cross-shore wind, it's going to be a washing machine. The water temp is sitting at 73°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so no complaints there.
By Saturday the 11th, the swell drops to a more manageable 6ft, but the wind is all wrong, and the quality is just not there. It stays pretty average for the rest of that week; the energy drops off a cliff into the 100-200 range, and the winds are fresh and onshore. It's a bit of a dead period.
Now, here's the real standout and the one you want to circle on your calendar. Thursday morning, July 16th. The stars look like they might align. The swell is a clean 4ft from the SSW with a very long 17-second period, pushing 825 (combined energy) of that good, clean groundswell. But the best part? The wind is a glassy NNE at just 3 mph. That is *glassy*, perfect conditions. That long period stuff can be a bit tricky at beach breaks, but for a reef setup like this, it should be threading out beautifully. This is the best-looking window in the whole forecast.
The rest of the run is a bit of a struggle. The wind stays on the gas from the West for days, making it lumpy and choppy. There's a quick flicker of hope on the morning of Thursday the 23rd and Friday the 24th with some glassy conditions and small 3ft swell, but it's very small. Don't get your hopes up for anything epic there.
So, bottom line: don't paddle out Friday the 10th unless you're a pro and want a beating. The real deal is Thursday morning, July 16th. That's your window. Everything else is a gamble.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 20°C on Fri morning, min 19°C on Sat afternoon). Wind will be generally light. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Mon morning, min 20°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Mon afternoon, light winds from the ENE by Wed night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SSW 10 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SSW 19 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2518 | 3200 | 2037 | 1010 | 628 | 346 | 404 | 407 | 191 | 208 | 145 | 100 | 77 | 76 | 125 | 162 | 325 | 312 | 692 | 455 | 326 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross | glassy | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross-on | glassy |
High Tide | 4:39PM1.03m | 3:56AM0.98m | 5:48PM1.12m | 5:05AM0.96m | 6:48PM1.22m | 6:10AM0.97m | 7:40PM1.31m | 7:08AM1.00m | 8:28PM1.37m | 8:00AM1.03m | 9:12PM1.41m | 8:50AM1.05m | 9:53PM1.41m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 9:42AM0.22m | 10:23PM0.57m | 10:43AM0.16m | 11:47PM0.56m | 11:43AM0.10m | 00:56AM0.51m | 12:40PM0.03m | 1:53AM0.45m | 1:32PM-0.02m | 2:43AM0.40m | 2:21PM-0.04m | 3:28AM0.36m | 3:07PM-0.03m | 4:11AM0.33m | |||||||
6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | |
— | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Feels °C | 17 | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 18 | 17 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | S 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSW 16 | SE 11 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SSW 10 | SW 9 | SW 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 12 |
2518 | 3200 | 2037 | 1010 | 628 | 346 | 277 | 407 | 165 | 208 | 145 | 100 | 77 | 76 | 125 | 83 | 325 | 204 | 692 | 455 | 314 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 20 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSW 9 | SSW 12 | SE 9 | SW 13 | SSW 19 | SE 10 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 |
253 | 312 | 390 | 490 | 380 | 227 | 167 | 147 | 147 | 78 | 75 | 42 | 26 | 61 | 71 | 162 | 146 | 134 | 105 | 116 | 96 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | ESE 12 | S 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | SE 10 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SSW 9 | SSW 14 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SSW 19 | SSW 10 | SW 11 | SSW 16 |
31 | 13 | 100 | 298 | 217 | 217 | 404 | 48 | 191 | 133 | 135 | 71 | 43 | 15 | 20 | 54 | 46 | 312 | 133 | 182 | 326 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 10 | SSE 9 | E 4 | E 4 | ESE 5 | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 10 | — | — | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | — | — | 204 | 147 | 8 | 9 | 30 | 38 | 57 | 61 | 65 | 204 | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1361 | 584 | 0 | 10 | 730 | 80 | 102 | 730 | 110 | 102 | 150 | 80 | 105 | 150 | 0 | 84 | 147 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.










