Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here with the long-range look at what’s on the cards for Fausse Passe.

Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a waiting game on our hands. The first few days are a write-off. Tuesday and Wednesday are just messy with strong cross-off winds and a lumpy, blown-out vibe. The swell is there, but it’s not clean enough to get excited about. It’s a frustrating start, but hang tight because the picture changes nicely.

The real action kicks off on Thursday the 30th of July. We’ve got a clean, offshore breeze from the ENE blowing at 12 mph, and it’s going to line up that 3ft of swell from the SE perfectly. The energy is sitting at a solid 720 (moderate), and that 13-second period from the SE is a nice, clean groundswell. This is the standout window – Thursday morning is looking like the pick of the entire forecast. Friday the 31st holds similar promise with lighter offshore winds, keeping the 3ft SSW swell glassy and clean. For a reef break, this is as good as it gets.

Now, the weekend gets a bit dicey. Saturday the 1st of August sees a jump in swell size to 5ft, but the wind swings onshore from the SSE, turning it into a lumpy, cross-chop mess. By Sunday the 2nd, the swell is pumping up to 8ft from the S with a strong 13-second period and a massive 3028 (strong) energy reading. But here’s the catch – the wind is a stiff cross-off at 22 mph. That’s a lot of power, but it’s going to be tricky to manage. That’s expert territory, and even then, the wind is going to make it a battle. For a reef, that setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

The energy drops back down through the following week, but the wind stays stubbornly cross-off, keeping the surf messy and marginal. There’s a flash of hope on Wednesday the 12th of August, with a return to offshore ENE winds and a clean 6ft from the SE. But it’s a long way out, so while it looks promising, treat it as a hopeful maybe rather than a sure thing.

The water temperature is sitting at 73°, which is pretty much bang on average for the time of year, so no surprises there.

For the best of it, you’re looking at Thursday the 30th of July and Friday the 31st of July. That’s the sweet spot: clean, glassy conditions, fun-sized swell, and a reef that loves that direction. Don’t sleep on it.

Rusty, signing off.

Read more