
Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 12 Sep 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 12 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period, SSW swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 19 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 13s period, SSW swell with 6,512 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 12 Sep, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 16s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 12) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 3.0m and 16s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 4.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Sep 19) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.4m 6s period and expected on Monday (Sep 14) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sat 12th Sep) | 10ft (3.0m) 16s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 19th Sep) | 15ft (4.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let's talk about what the next couple of weeks are looking like for our local stretch.
The picture here is a bit of a mixed bag, with some serious size early on that will only be for the brave and experienced. We've got a big, powerful swell rolling in right from the start, and the water is sitting at a pretty standard 72°F for this time of year, so no surprises there.
Saturday, September 12th (Afternoon)
We kick off with a bang, but it’s a heavy one. Fausse Passe is going to be absolutely pumping with a solid 12ft SSW groundswell, boasting a very long 16-second period and a massive combined energy of 6000. That's a lot of power in the water. However, this is a reef break, and at that size, it’s strictly for advanced crew only. The wind is howling out of the SE at 19 mph, which keeps it cross-off and the surface clean, but the sheer volume of water makes this a serious, no-joke session. If you're not absolutely on your game, sit this one out.
Sunday, September 13th (Morning & Afternoon)
Sunday still holds plenty of size, though it backs off a tad. The morning sees a 8ft S swell at 14 seconds, but the tide and conditions look questionable, and it's still carrying moderate energy (3112). The afternoon kicks back up to a 10ft SSW swell with a very long 18-second period and strong energy (5717), but again, it's borderline too big and the wind stays a fresh cross-off at 19 mph. This window is for the big-wave specialists only.
We then hit a pretty bleak stretch. From Monday afternoon all the way through Thursday, September 17th, the conditions are messy. The swell drops off significantly, dropping below 3ft by Thursday, but a fresh to strong cross-off wind combined with poor surf quality ratings makes it a write-off. It’s a gap of a few days where you’re better off doing something else.
Friday, September 18th (Morning & Afternoon)
The swell starts to rebuild, but the wind turns nasty. We’re looking at a lumpy, 7ft to 10ft SSW swell, but with a strong cross-onshore wind component. The wave state is described as "fresh cross-onshore and lumpy," which is not what you want. This looks more like a day for the kite surfers to have a field day than for a clean paddle session.
Saturday, September 19th (Morning & Afternoon)
This is where it gets wild again, but not in a good way for most. The morning brings a massive 13ft SSW swell with a period of 13 seconds and a colossal combined energy of 9952. The wind is cross-onshore, making it choppy and heavy. Total monster-charge territory. The afternoon settles down a little to 10ft, with cross-shore winds, but the big-wave warnings still stand.
Sunday September 20th through the end of the forecast
The rest of the period looks like a waiting game. From Sunday the 20th through to the 27th, we have a lot of "marginal" surf days. Swell heights bounce between 3ft and 8ft, mostly from the SSW. The wind stays predominantly cross-off from the ESE or SE, keeping the surface clean, but the wave forecasts are consistently poor or marginal, with a lot of readings in the 400 to 3000 range for combined energy. There's nothing here that stands out as a must-surf session. The highlight, if you can call it that, is Monday, September 21st, with a clean 8ft SSW groundswell (15 second period) and gentle cross-off winds (9 mph) in the morning. It’s a consistent spot, Fausse Passe, so it might have a few, but it’s not shaping up to be epic.
So, the best bet? Frankly, there isn't a single standout classic day in this whole run. The best on offer is likely the morning of Monday, September 21st, for someone who wants a clean, moderately sized wave (8ft SSW) without the chaos of the earlier giant swell. It's a solid, surtable size, but nothing to write home about, and the crowds might be around as it's a known spot.
Keep your eyes on the charts, because it tends not to stay flat for long here.
- Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 20°C on Sat night, min 19°C on Sat afternoon). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Tue night. Warm (max 21°C on Thu afternoon, min 18°C on Fri morning). Winds increasing (calm on Wed night, fresh winds from the SW by Thu night). | |||||||||||||||||||
Sat 12 | Sunday 13 | Monday 14 | Tuesday 15 | Wednesday 16 | Thursday 17 | Friday 18 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | S 17 | S 16 | S 14 | S 14 | S 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | S 11 | S 10 | SSW 16 | SW 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
6000 | 3760 | 2247 | 5717 | 5933 | 2578 | 5303 | 3103 | 1809 | 1723 | 1247 | 461 | 353 | 192 | 84 | 74 | 288 | 664 | 3092 | 6512 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | on | on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on |
High Tide | 8:48PM1.32m | 9:09AM1.21m | 9:17PM1.27m | 9:47AM1.21m | 9:46PM1.21m | 10:25AM1.19m | 10:14PM1.13m | 11:04AM1.13m | 10:43PM1.05m | 11:47AM1.06m | 11:13PM0.96m | 12:38PM0.99m | 11:48PM0.88m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:05AM0.13m | 3:10PM0.19m | 3:35AM0.11m | 3:47PM0.26m | 4:05AM0.11m | 4:23PM0.34m | 4:36AM0.14m | 4:59PM0.43m | 5:10AM0.19m | 5:40PM0.51m | 5:48AM0.25m | 6:30PM0.59m | ||||||||
— | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:52 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:50 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | 5:48 | — | — | |
5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:46 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | — | 5:47 | — | |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — |
Temp °C | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 |
Feels °C | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 17 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | S 14 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | S 14 | S 17 | S 16 | S 14 | SSW 14 | S 13 | SSW 12 | S 12 | SSW 12 | SE 6 | S 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 |
6000 | 3760 | 2247 | 5717 | 5933 | 2578 | 5303 | 3103 | 1809 | 756 | 1247 | 461 | 353 | 192 | 34 | 74 | 288 | 379 | 3092 | 6512 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ENE 12 | SSW 20 | — | — | SSW 18 | — | — | ENE 13 | E 13 | E 13 | E 12 | SSW 15 | SE 7 | S 11 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | WSW 12 | SSW 19 | E 8 |
— | 15 | 865 | — | — | 2462 | — | — | 17 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 85 | 47 | 84 | 30 | 17 | 251 | 145 | 11 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | E 8 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 11 | SE 12 | SE 12 | S 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 17 | SE 11 | S 15 | — | — |
— | — | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 67 | 59 | 5 | 347 | — | — | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | — | SE 7 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | S 14 | SE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | — | — | SW 3 | SSW 7 | SW 9 | WSW 12 | SSW 14 |
— | — | — | — | — | — | 275 | 130 | 132 | 1723 | 140 | 78 | 73 | — | — | 2 | 261 | 664 | 1236 | 4360 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1416 | 150 | 1235 | 1416 | 147 | 1235 | 1235 | 82 | 730 | 1542 | 80 | 110 | 730 | 0 | 1231 | 1235 | 584 | 584 | 596 | 596 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.










