Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming down the line for the next couple of weeks.

Alright, it’s been a bit of a slow start. The first few days at Fausse Passe are offering tiny, weak waves. Friday morning the 7th you’ve got a strong offshore wind making it clean, but with only 2 ft of south swell at 12 seconds, the energy is weak (150), and it’s just too hard to paddle into for the effort. That pattern sticks through the weekend and into Monday, with barely a ripple worth mentioning.

Things stay pretty ordinary through the start of the week, but there’s a hint of life on Tuesday morning the 11th. We’re looking at 1 ft of swell from the SW with a long 16-second period. The wind goes glassy, dead calm. It’s small, but for a patient surfer on a longboard, that could be a nice, clean window. The energy is still low (81), so don’t expect much push.

Now, Wednesday the 12th morning shows a bit more promise. The swell is still only 1 ft, but it’s from the SW with a very long 19-second period, and the combined energy jumps to moderate (134). With a clean cross-offshore breeze, it’s another small-wave session for the log, but the quality of the lines might be worth the paddle.

Then things get interesting, but only for the brave. Thursday the 13th morning sees the swell jump to 4 ft from the SW at 15 seconds. The energy is strong now (731). It’s a light cross-onshore wind, so the face will have a few bumps. That afternoon the wind picks up and chops it out. Friday the 14th sees more swell (6 ft to 7 ft), but the cross-onshore wind makes it a messy, choppy mess. Not the best.

The standout window looks like Saturday the 15th afternoon. The swell hits 10 ft from the SSW with 14-second period and a massive 3515 combined energy. The wind is light and cross-onshore, just keeping a little texture on the face. This is a serious, powerful swell. But here’s the thing: the file says it’s predicted to be too big for this break. For an advanced surfer who knows Fausse Passe, it could be an incredible, heavy session, but it’s a big, expert-only wave. The morning is more manageable at 6 ft, but still with a cross-shore wind.

Sunday the 16th through Tuesday the 19th is a run of huge, powerful swells, all over 7 ft and some hitting 15 ft. The wind conditions vary, but most of these are either blown out or just too massive for the break. A couple of windows on the 18th and 19th afternoons are flagged as too big, but with clean winds. For a tow crew or a very experienced charger, those could be epic. For anyone else, stay on the beach.

After that, the swell drops. Thursday the 21st and Friday the 22nd have a lot of energy (over 1000), but the wind is fresh, and the conditions are only marginal. The last mention, Saturday the 22nd morning, shows a drop to 6 ft from the SSW with a moderate offshore wind from the east. That looks like the best clean option in the second week, offering solid, clean surf for a competent surfer.

Water temp is sitting around 72°, which is pretty much bang on normal for this time of year. No major surprises there.

So, to sum it up: if you’re an expert, circle Saturday the 15th afternoon for the biggest, most powerful swell of the run, but know it’s pushing the limits of the break. For everyone else, the small, clean windows on Tuesday the 11th and Wednesday the 12th mornings are your best bet for a fun, glassy session. The second week is mostly big and tricky, with Saturday the 22nd morning offering a cleaner option as things start to settle.

Rusty.

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