Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.

Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you: the next week and a half is pretty grim. We’re looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak swell and messy wind. The first real pulse of size doesn’t show up until the weekend of the 15th, and even then, the conditions are going to be a battle.

We start off Friday the 7th with a tiny 2ft swell from the south, but it's getting hammered by a strong 25 mph offshore wind. That wind is making it clean but nearly impossible to paddle into. The combined energy is weak (115). That theme continues through Saturday and Sunday – swell dropping to 0.7ft to 1ft, periods all over the place, but the wind keeps shifting. Sunday afternoon (9th) turns onshore and choppy.

Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th offer a slight glimmer – the waves are still tiny (0.7ft to 1ft), but we get a clean cross-offshore breeze on Monday and even a glassy period from the east on Tuesday morning. The energy is still low (70), but if you’re desperate for a log session, the conditions are clean. The water is sitting at 72°, which is bang on average for this time of year.

Wednesday the 12th morning picks up a touch with a 1ft swell from the SW and a long 19-second period, giving a moderate energy reading (103). The wind is light and cross-off, so it’s clean, but the size is still tiny.

Now, the real change comes Saturday the 15th. The swell jumps to 8ft from the SSW on Saturday morning, with a solid 12-second period and a massive energy reading of 1647. That’s a serious amount of water moving. But here’s the kicker – the wind is a light cross-shore, so it’s not completely blown out, but it’s not glassy either. The afternoon drops to 6ft but the energy spikes to 2667. This is big, powerful groundswell. For a reef break like Fausse Passe, that long period (15 seconds) is good for shape, but 6ft to 8ft is getting into expert territory. Beginners should stay well clear.

The standout window, if you can handle the size, is the morning of the 15th. That 8ft SSW swell with a gentle cross-shore breeze is the best combination of size and wind we’ve got in the whole 16 days. After that, Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th are bigger but get hammered by strong onshore winds, making it lumpy and tough. The energy is huge (up to 2957) but the quality is poor.

Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th see the swell hold around 7ft, with a clean cross-offshore wind, but the wind is blowing 19-28 mph – that’s a fresh to strong breeze, which will make the surface bumpy even if it’s technically offshore. The energy is still immense (up to 2854), so this is strictly for the experienced crew with bigger boards.

By the 20th, the swell drops back under 5ft, and the wind stays strong and cross-off, but the energy fades quickly. The last few days of the window (21st-22nd) are a write-off with near-gale force winds and tiny, weak swell.

So, if you’re asking me, the one true standout is Saturday morning, August 15th. That’s the cleanest shot at a proper, powerful SSW groundswell at Fausse Passe before the wind ruins it. It’s big, it’s for experts, and the energy is pumping. The rest? A lot of waiting for the wind to play nice.

Rusty.

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