Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s get into it. We’ve got a single spot on the radar for this region: Fausse Passe. It’s a reef break, and it’s consistent, but it’s an advanced wave, so don’t get any ideas if you’re just learning.

The water temperature is 72°, which is just about bang on average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.

The first real bit of action worth talking about kicks off on Wednesday morning, the 12th. A tiny 1ft SW groundswell with a super long 19 second period rolls in. The wind is glassy out of the NW. The combined wave energy is only moderate (102). It’s not going to blow your mind, but it’s clean. The afternoon drops to 1.0ft from the SSW—still glassy. It’s surfable, but very ordinary.

Thursday the 13th sees a bump in size to 3ft from the SW in the morning, but the wind goes cross-onshore, so it gets a bit messy. The energy picks up to 246 (moderate). The afternoon goes onshore with 9 mph winds, and the quality drops out.

Friday the 14th is a write-off. We’ve got a 5ft SW swell in the morning, but the wind is screaming 19 mph cross-onshore, creating lumpy conditions. Afternoon is even worse with cross-shore wind. The energy is strong (705 and 541), but it’s just a mess.

Saturday the 15th morning offers a bit of hope. A 6ft SSW swell with a short period of 8 seconds, but the wind is clean cross-offshore. The energy is moderate (576). It’s clean, but the period is short, so the waves will be a bit fat and weak. Afternoon dips to 5ft S with cross-shore wind and chop.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. Sunday the 16th morning: a solid 5ft SSW groundswell with a long 16 second period. The wind is clean cross-offshore. The combined energy is a massive 1445 (very strong). This is the standout of the early window. It’s a powerful, clean swell. The long period means it’ll hold up well at this reef, and the gaps between sets will let you get out without a fight. The afternoon stays clean with a 4ft swell, but the wind picks up to 19 mph.

Monday the 17th is similar. The morning has a 6ft SSW swell (16 sec period) and clean cross-offshore wind, but the wind is 22 mph, so it’s gusty. The energy is huge (1892). It’s a big, powerful, clean wave, but only for the experienced crew. Afternoon stays clean with the same story.

Tuesday the 18th keeps the clean cross-offshore wind, with 5ft SSW swell (14 sec). The energy is still very strong (1310). Another solid day for advanced surfers.

Wednesday the 19th is the big one. The morning has a 6ft SSE swell with a 10 second period and offshore wind from the E at 12 mph. The energy is strong (726). The wave comment says “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s your best call of the window. The afternoon, however, jumps to 10ft from the SE. That’s too big for this reef, and the comment says it’s predicted to be too big for the break. That’s a pass for us, maybe one for the tow crew or the kite guys.

After that, things drop off. Thursday the 20th morning has a tiny 2ft SSW swell with a long period (16 sec) and offshore wind, but the energy is weak (267). It’s clean but small. The afternoon is similar with 2ft.

The rest of the run from Friday the 21st through to the 27th is mostly a mix of onshore winds, small sizes, or poor conditions. There are a few clean moments, like the 4ft SE swell on Sunday the 23rd morning, but the wind is cross-offshore and the energy is only moderate (330). It’s surfable, but nothing to get excited about.

Overall, the real standout is the Sunday 16th through Tuesday 18th stretch, with the cleanest and most powerful conditions. The best single session is Wednesday morning the 19th before the swell blows out. After that, it’s a long, quiet gap with not much on offer.

Rusty out.

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