Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, folks, Rusty here. We’re looking at a pretty quiet start to the forecast window for Fausse Passe. The first few days offer only small, weak waves with moderate energy (267) at best, so don’t get your hopes up. The water temperature is 72°, which is about average for the time of year.

The early part of the period is a bit of a struggle. Thursday the 6th has a 2ft swell from the south with a decent 15-second period, but a fresh 22 mph east wind is blowing offshore, making it clean but tricky. Friday the 7th is even smaller at 2ft, and the wind is even stronger at 25 mph, making it hard to even get into the waves. Saturday the 8th drops to 1.0ft with a moderate offshore breeze – surfable, but barely. There is a gap from there until Tuesday the 11th, when we get a little 1ft glassy moment on the Tuesday morning with a light north-northwest wind. That’s about as good as it gets for the first week, but the energy is still weak (81).

Things start to rattle a bit more mid-week. Wednesday the 12th afternoon sees a jump in energy to 567, with a 2ft SW swell and a 16-second period, plus a clean cross-offshore wind. That’s a glimmer. Then Thursday the 13th morning brings a 6ft SSW swell with strong energy (1065), but the wind swings cross-onshore, so it’s choppy and messy.

Now, the real standout – and the only one worth getting excited about – is Saturday the 15th. This is for experts only. The swell pumps up to 12ft from the southwest with a long 16-second period, and the combined energy goes ballistic (5922). The wind is a moderate cross-shore, which is manageable. But the forecast notes the swell is predicted to be too big for this break. It’s a reef setup, so this long-period groundswell could be extremely powerful and dangerous. The same goes for Sunday the 16th morning with 10ft, and Monday the 17th with 12ft and a fresh cross-onshore, making it even more of a beast. For the rest of the second week, the swell stays big – over 7ft – with mostly cross-onshore winds and poor conditions. The last few days from the 20th drop back to smaller, cleaner but still poor surf.

So, bottom line: this is a flat, slow start, then a massive, expert-only spike around the 15th. If you’re not a seasoned charger, this window is a write-off. The crowds at Fausse Passe can pop up sometimes, but with these sizes, they’ll be thin.

Rusty.

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