
Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 29 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 8AM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 12s period, SSW swell with cross-shore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 13s period, S swell with 3,035 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 13s period. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 3.0m 13s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 9s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 8PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s take a long look at the only game in town for the next couple of weeks.
We’re focusing entirely on Fausse Passe. The outlook is a real mixed bag with a lot of waiting involved. The overall pattern shows a few early windows of clean, small surf, followed by a big pulse of energy that's just too aggressive for this spot, and then a tail-off into messy, onshore conditions. The water temperature is running about average for the time of year, which is what you’d expect.
The first honest chance to get wet is Thursday, July 30th. We’ve got a clean 3ft to 3ft swell from the SSW, and winds are fresh offshore from the ENE. It’s a reef break, so those long 13 to 15-second periods will be drawing up some nice lines, but the energy is moderate (676 to 723). It’s not big, but it’s clean. Be aware, crowds are sometimes an issue here.
Friday, July 31st looks similar. The swell drops a touch to 3ft, still from the SSW with a 14-second period, and winds are a light cross-offshore. The energy is a bit lower (534 to 696), but it’s clean and glassy enough for a fun morning session.
Then things get heavy. Saturday, August 1st through Monday, August 3rd, the swell pumps up to a massive 10ft from the SSW, with the combined energy hitting anywhere from 2348 to a monstrous 4425. That’s a lot of power. However, the wind turns onshore or cross-shore and lumpy, ruining the quality. On Sunday and Monday, the data says the swell is just too big for this break. This is expert-only territory at best, and honestly, it looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The second week is a slow fade. From Tuesday, August 4th onward, the swell drops back to a knee-to-waist high 3ft to 4ft, but the wind stays onshore or cross-onshore from the west and southwest for days on end. The water gets choppy and lumpy. There’s a brief window on Thursday, August 6th with a small 2ft to 4ft SSW swell and a clean offshore wind, but the period is short (8 seconds) on the morning session, so it’ll be weak. By the second week of August, it’s mostly a write-off with poor conditions and onshore slop. Hang tight, folks.
If you’re looking for the best of a tough bunch, the Thursday 30th morning session is the clear standout. It’s the cleanest, most surfable wave in the whole window.
Rusty
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 21°C on Wed night, min 19°C on Sat morning). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 12mm), heaviest on Mon night. Warm (max 21°C on Mon afternoon, min 18°C on Sat night). Winds increasing (moderate winds from the SE on Sun night, strong winds from the ESE by Mon night). | ||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | Tuesday 4 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 15 | SE 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 13 | S 12 | SSE 12 | SE 9 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
290 | 340 | 344 | 535 | 431 | 290 | 346 | 536 | 602 | 2179 | 2239 | 2239 | 3012 | 2291 | 2053 | 795 | 751 | 667 | 643 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-on | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:38PM1.24m | 8:11AM0.99m | 9:09PM1.28m | 8:49AM1.02m | 9:38PM1.31m | 9:26AM1.04m | 10:07PM1.31m | 10:05AM1.05m | 10:36PM1.29m | 10:47AM1.05m | 11:07PM1.25m | 11:32AM1.03m | 11:40PM1.19m | ||||||
Low Tide | 2:47AM0.42m | 2:25PM0.08m | 3:20AM0.37m | 2:59PM0.08m | 3:53AM0.33m | 3:33PM0.11m | 4:25AM0.29m | 4:08PM0.16m | 4:59AM0.26m | 4:44PM0.23m | 5:34AM0.24m | 5:25PM0.32m | |||||||
— | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:34 | — | |
mm | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 9 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Feels °C | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 15 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | S 16 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 13 | S 12 | SE 12 | S 11 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SE 9 |
290 | 340 | 315 | 535 | 431 | 290 | 346 | 536 | 602 | 267 | 2239 | 2239 | 3012 | 2291 | 83 | 441 | 751 | 667 | 412 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SW 11 | SE 11 | S 16 | S 15 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 22 | SSW 20 | S 10 | S 10 | SSW 16 |
170 | 229 | 344 | 402 | 265 | 244 | 200 | 232 | 268 | 119 | 338 | 534 | 136 | 134 | 181 | 596 | 164 | 94 | 643 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 7 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | E 7 | E 18 | ESE 7 | E 16 | SE 12 | E 15 | SE 11 | SE 14 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSE 15 | SSW 12 | SE 13 | S 9 |
63 | 107 | 64 | 98 | 27 | 6 | 16 | 5 | 161 | 4 | 103 | 164 | 37 | 31 | 31 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 40 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | — | ESE 7 | — | S 6 | S 7 | SSW 13 | S 12 | — | — | — | SSE 12 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | — |
91 | 186 | 153 | 88 | — | 27 | — | 171 | 200 | 2179 | 1745 | — | — | — | 2053 | 795 | 665 | 519 | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 0 | 80 | 80 | 11 | 32 | 1235 | 11 | 1233 | 1285 | 1233 | 1240 | 1285 | 1416 | 1235 | 1398 | 110 | 147 | 1233 | 80 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.










