Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright folks, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s on the cards for our little corner of the world.

Right off the bat, I gotta be straight with you—there’s a bit of a dry spell to start. The first solid nod for a surf comes on Tuesday the 28th of July, but honestly, it’s a tough one. We’re looking at Fausse Passe, a reef setup that’s consistent and exposed to the swell, but the early part of the week is pretty average. Tuesday morning has a 6ft swell from the SSW with a 12-second period, but that cross-off wind at 19 mph is making things a bit messy, and the combined energy is a hefty 1128 (moderate to strong), yet it’s not coming together well. The water temp is about average for this time of year, so no big surprises there.

Wednesday the 29th sees the swell drop to 4ft, and while the wind turns offshore from the East at 22 mph, making for a clean face, the overall energy is down to 601. It’s rideable but nothing to write home about. The real standout in this first week? I’d say keep an eye on Thursday morning, the 30th of July. The combo of a 3ft swell from the SE, a 13-second period (nice and long, groundswell), and a moderate offshore breeze from the East at 16 mph has the potential for some clean, shaped-up lines. The combined energy sits at 676. It’s not big, but the quality should make up for it. That 13-second period means longer gaps between sets, easier paddling, and better shape—especially on a reef. Crowds are sometimes an issue here, so factor that in.

Now, Friday the 31st is a toss-up. Morning brings a 3ft SSW swell with a 14-second period and light cross-off winds, which could be glassy. But by the afternoon, rain showers roll in and the energy drops. The weekend takes a downturn. Saturday and Sunday, the 1st and 2nd of August, have size (5ft to 6ft), but the winds are cross to cross-off and lumpy, and the scores are poor. Monday the 3rd sees a bump in size up to 8ft from the SSE, but that’s getting towards expert-only territory and the wind is still cross-off. Energy is cranked up to 2770, but the conditions just aren’t there.

After that, the second week is patchy. Tuesday the 4th drops back to 3ft but with an 18-second period—very long period groundswell. That kind of period can be tricky on a reef: super long lines but hard to predict. Still, the wind is offshore. Energy is 1040. Then from the 5th through the 10th, we’ve got a real flat spell. Lots of small swells, poor scores, and strong breezes. The best of that string might be Monday the 10th afternoon with a 6ft from the SSE, but it’s still cross-off and the energy is only 700.

Looking way out, the one that really catches my eye is Tuesday the 11th of August. The morning shows a 10ft SE swell with a 12-second period, offshore wind from the East at 22 mph, and a combined energy of 3908. That is solid, strong wave energy, and fresh offshore wind. But here’s the rub—at 10ft, this is expert-only territory on a reef, and the forecast warns it might be too big for the break. Still, if you’re a charger and the winds hold, that’s the one session to circle. The afternoon is a more manageable 8ft. Given this is more than a week out, treat it as a promising but not locked-in call.

Overall, the pick of the bunch is Thursday morning, the 30th of July. Clean, long-period swell, manageable size, and offshore winds. The 11th of August is the wildcard for the brave. For the rest, there are long gaps with no real recommendations.

Stay safe out there.

Rusty

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