
Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 5 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 8 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period, SSW swell with cross-onshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 7 Jul, 11PM (local time) - 15ft (4.5m), 16s period, SSW swell with 8,708 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 8 Jul, 11AM (local time) - 13ft (4.0m), 14s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 08) at 11AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 4.0m and 14s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-onshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 4.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.6m 11s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 07) at 2PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
| Best Surf | 11AM (Wed 8th Jul) | 13ft (4.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Tue 7th Jul) | 15ft (4.5m) 16s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
Updates in hr min s Forecast update imminent
Alright, Rusty here, let’s talk about what’s shaping up at Fausse Passe. This reef can deliver, but patience is going to be the name of the game over the next couple of weeks.
This forecast kicks off with a bit of a wait. For the first few days, the conditions just aren’t coming together. Starting Sunday the 5th and Monday the 6th, we’ve got small, messy swell with a cross-shore wind and a bit of chop on the surface – it’s not worth paddling out for. By Tuesday the 7th, a big SSW groundswell builds up, hitting 10 ft with a 17-second period, and that combined wave energy is huge (13,416). The problem is, the wind is howling cross-onshore at 18 mph, so it’s going to be lumpy and raw, not the clean lines you’d want on a reef. That swell sticks around through Wednesday and Thursday, too big and blown out for a good session – it’s really just a big, choppy mess.
We finally get a window on Friday the 10th. The swell drops back to a more manageable 8 ft from the SSW, but it’s still a bit crossed up with a light wind. The real standout comes on Saturday morning, July 11th. We’ve got a solid 7 ft S swell at 12 seconds, a moderate 1,753 combined energy, and the wind goes totally glassy – calm. The comment says it’s excellent for experienced surfers, and I have to agree. That’s your best shot right there, and it’s about as good as it’s going to get.
After that, things taper off. A quick jump on Sunday the 12th with a clean 4 ft swell from the SSE gives a few fun ones, but the swell runs out of steam quickly. There’s a big drop-off the following week. By Monday the 14th, the swell is tiny, barely 2 ft, and strong offshore winds are blowing it flat. There’s a quiet stretch through to Wednesday the 15th where the swell just isn’t there.
Look further out to Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th – another big pulse of SSW swell shows up, pushing 13 ft to 15 ft on the Saturday. But that’s too much juice for this break, and with a cross-shore wind, it’s just a washing machine. The slither of hope comes on Monday, July 20th. We’ve got a clean 7 ft from the SSW, glassy conditions, and the comment says it’s excellent for experienced surfers. That’s a heavy session for the crew who know the reef.
Water temp is sitting around 73°, which is about normal for the time of year, so no surprises there. You’ll be comfortable in a spring suit.
For the best of it, I’m calling it now: the early morning of Saturday the 11th is your window. Clean, glassy, good-sized swell, and it’s only going to get better the further out you are. After that, keep an eye on Monday July 20th – it’s promising, but it’s a long way off, so treat that one as a maybe.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 3mm), mostly falling on Sun night. Warm (max 20°C on Sun afternoon, min 19°C on Mon night). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSE on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the SW by Tue afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Wed night. Warm (max 20°C on Wed afternoon, min 19°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the SSW on Wed afternoon, calm by Sat morning). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Sun 5 | Monday 6 | Tuesday 7 | Wednesday 8 | Thursday 9 | Friday 10 | Saturday 11 | |||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 13 | S 12 | SSW 11 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
543 | 392 | 361 | 816 | 4974 | 6086 | 8533 | 8281 | 6997 | 4921 | 3399 | 2393 | 2233 | 2047 | 1437 | 1167 | 2460 | 1388 | 851 | 541 | 325 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-on | on | glassy | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 11:46PM1.23m | 11:53AM0.93m | 00:22AM1.20m | 12:51PM0.92m | 1:03AM1.15m | 2:00PM0.92m | 1:50AM1.08m | 3:19PM0.96m | 2:48AM1.02m | 4:39PM1.03m | 3:56AM0.98m | 5:48PM1.12m | 5:05AM0.96m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 6:16AM0.35m | 5:49PM0.30m | 7:00AM0.33m | 6:38PM0.39m | 7:49AM0.29m | 7:39PM0.48m | 8:43AM0.26m | 8:56PM0.55m | 9:42AM0.22m | 10:23PM0.57m | 10:43AM0.16m | 11:47PM0.56m | 11:43AM0.10m | ||||||||
— | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | |
5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:22 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | 5:23 | |
mm | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 19 | 19 | 16 | 17 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 11 | S 13 | S 12 | SSW 11 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 |
543 | 392 | 361 | 816 | 4974 | 4824 | 8533 | 8281 | 6997 | 4921 | 3399 | 2393 | 2233 | 2047 | 1437 | 1167 | 2460 | 1388 | 851 | 541 | 325 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SE 11 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | ESE 11 | ESE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SW 22 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SW 22 | SSW 20 | S 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSE 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 10 |
44 | 177 | 309 | 255 | 1033 | 2410 | 78 | 46 | 30 | 29 | 18 | 76 | 184 | 122 | 253 | 813 | 386 | 330 | 236 | 366 | 222 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 18 | SSW 17 | S 5 | SSW 23 | SE 11 | SE 11 | — | — | ESE 11 | — | SE 10 | SSW 20 | ESE 12 | SE 11 | SSW 17 | SSW 19 | SE 11 | SSE 13 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 |
13 | 28 | 34 | 54 | 145 | 96 | — | — | 44 | — | 28 | 78 | 14 | 33 | 92 | 315 | 32 | 35 | 322 | 220 | 286 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | S 4 | — | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | — | SSW 14 | — | — | SSW 12 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
— | 20 | — | 554 | 3821 | 6086 | 6028 | 5476 | — | 3363 | — | — | 1731 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1235 | 1235 | 1231 | 1285 | 1231 | 1231 | 1231 | 1231 | 1235 | 1439 | 584 | 1417 | 1311 | 1235 | 1251 | 1398 | 80 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.











