
Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 10 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 11 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Saturday 11 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 13s period, S swell with 2,037 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 11 Jul, 2PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 1.3m and 12s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 2.5m 13s and forecast to arrive on Saturday (Jul 11) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.1m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 14) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 2PM (Sat 11th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sat 11th Jul) | 8ft (2.5m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s have a look at what’s on offer here, and I gotta be straight with you—this one’s a tough stretch. The forecast shows a long, quiet gap for the first few days with nothing worth paddling out for, so don’t rush to wax up just yet. The first real chance of a wave comes in on Saturday, July 11th, but it’s a real mixed bag.
Saturday morning, July 11th, we’ve got a 6ft S swell running into Fausse Passe, with a 12-second period. The energy is strong (1798), but it’s a cross-on wind from the SSW, so it’s going to be a bit scrappy. The tide and conditions look marginal, and honestly, this is more of a look-see than a solid go. Afternoon cleans up with a cross-off wind from the ESE, dropping to 5ft from the SSE, but the quality is still iffy. It’s a consistent reef break, but it’s an advanced wave, and the crowds can pop up sometimes, so keep your eyes peeled.
Sunday, July 12th, the swell drops off fast. Morning has 3ft SSW groundswell with a very long 18-second period, but the energy is moderate (848). The wind is cross-off, so it’ll look clean, but with that super long period, it might be a bit too straight for this reef. This is more for the patient surfer.
By Monday, July 13th, we’re down to 3ft and weak energy (419). The wind stays cross-off, but it’s just small. This stretch from Saturday through Wednesday is lackluster—nothing to write home about. The best I can say is that Thursday, July 16th, morning has a 4ft SSW swell with a 17-second period, and the energy is moderate (831), but the wind is cross-off, so it’s clean. It’s a marginal call, but it’s the most interesting of a flat week.
Now, look ahead to the second week. Friday, July 17th, the swell bumps up to 7ft to 8ft from the SW, but it’s onshore wind from the WSW and SW, which will mush it up. That’s a big wave but blown out. Saturday, July 18th, gets even bigger—8ft SSW—but with a strong cross-on wind and choppy conditions, it’s a mess. Honestly, this is more of a kite-surfing setup than a paddle session.
The real standout, if you’re patient, is the following Monday, July 20th. The morning shows 6ft SSW groundswell with a very long 18-second period, and the energy is very strong (4670). The wind is cross-off from the SE, which will keep it clean. That’s a powerful, long-period groundswell on a reef, so expect some proper lines, but be ready for long lulls between sets. The afternoon, though… it’s 10ft from the SSE. That’s too big for this break, and it’s noted as being too big for the spot. That’s for experts only, and even then, you’d want to know the reef well.
Tuesday, July 21st, holds the same size—10ft SE in the morning, dropping to 8ft in the afternoon. The energy is still huge (3166 and 2246), but the wind is cross-off, so it’s clean. Again, this is big, powerful surf. If you’re not solid, stay out.
The best overall window, and the one I’d circle, is Wednesday, July 22nd. Morning brings 6ft SE swell with a 10-second period, light wind from the SE, and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” The energy is moderate (795), but it’s clean, manageable, and the break is consistent. The wind is light, so it’ll be glassy. This is your best bet for a fun, user-friendly session. Crowds are sometimes an issue, but with this quality, it’s worth it.
Thursday, July 23rd, is smaller—4ft SE—but still clean with a slight breeze. Friday, July 24th, morning is glassy with 3ft SSW groundswell and a 13-second period, and it’s “expect very good surf conditions.” That’s a sneaky good one for the longboard or a fun day out.
The last weekend, July 25th and 26th, gets a bump back up to 7ft, but it’s onshore and messy again. Not a great way to end the run.
The water temperature is about average for the time of year, nothing unusual. So, overall: the first week is a bust, the second week has some big, clean swell but it’s for experts, and the real sweet spot is Wednesday, July 22nd, and Friday, July 24th morning. Don’t sleep on those.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 21°C on Fri night, min 19°C on Sat morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the SSW on Sat morning, fresh winds from the ESE by Mon afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 20°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | ||||||||||||||||||||
Saturday 11 | Sunday 12 | Monday 13 | Tuesday 14 | Wednesday 15 | Thursday 16 | Fri 17 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SW 10 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
2037 | 1010 | 539 | 401 | 404 | 407 | 123 | 208 | 135 | 79 | 74 | 71 | 110 | 178 | 336 | 286 | 692 | 443 | 669 | 1369 | 1403 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | on |
High Tide | 3:56AM0.98m | 5:48PM1.12m | 5:05AM0.96m | 6:48PM1.22m | 6:10AM0.97m | 7:40PM1.31m | 7:08AM1.00m | 8:28PM1.37m | 8:00AM1.03m | 9:12PM1.41m | 8:50AM1.05m | 9:53PM1.41m | 9:39AM1.06m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 10:23PM0.57m | 10:43AM0.16m | 11:47PM0.56m | 11:43AM0.10m | 00:56AM0.51m | 12:40PM0.03m | 1:53AM0.45m | 1:32PM-0.02m | 2:43AM0.40m | 2:21PM-0.04m | 3:28AM0.36m | 3:07PM-0.03m | 4:11AM0.33m | 3:51PM0.02m | |||||||
— | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | |
— | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:23 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:24 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | |
mm | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Feels °C | 19 | 19 | 18 | 16 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 16 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 17 | 19 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 19 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 13 | S 12 | SSW 11 | SSE 11 | SSE 10 | SSW 16 | SE 9 | SE 10 | SSE 10 | SE 10 | SE 10 | SE 9 | SW 10 | SW 13 | SW 12 | SW 11 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 13 | SW 12 | SW 12 |
2037 | 1010 | 495 | 401 | 277 | 407 | 123 | 208 | 127 | 79 | 74 | 71 | 110 | 178 | 336 | 237 | 692 | 443 | 669 | 1369 | 1403 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSE 12 | SSE 12 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | SSW 10 | S 9 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | SE 9 | SW 10 | SSW 19 | SE 10 | SW 10 | SSW 11 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 |
390 | 490 | 539 | 227 | 167 | 147 | 115 | 78 | 75 | 44 | 66 | 63 | 70 | 73 | 148 | 113 | 98 | 227 | 78 | 40 | 64 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 14 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 18 | SE 10 | SE 11 | SSW 14 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 9 | SSW 8 | S 8 | SSW 21 | SW 19 | SSW 18 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | SE 21 |
100 | 298 | 217 | 217 | 404 | 35 | 119 | 133 | 135 | 71 | 26 | 13 | 5 | 44 | 96 | 286 | 41 | 77 | 19 | 12 | 17 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | SSE 10 | SE 5 | — | ESE 3 | ESE 5 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | ESE 6 | SE 9 | SE 10 | — | — | SW 3 | WSW 3 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 188 | 19 | — | 8 | 38 | 70 | 66 | 56 | 166 | 184 | — | — | 3 | 2 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 8 | 730 | 730 | 80 | 105 | 730 | 80 | 105 | 1361 | 80 | 105 | 150 | 0 | 105 | 730 | 80 | 110 | 1231 | 32 | 564 | 564 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Header Global | |||||||||||||||||||||
- Map Icons:
Break
Live Wave Height (m)
Live Wind Speed (km/h)
Surf Rating (10 Max)
Ocean Swells (m)
Wind Speed (km/h)
Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.











