Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty. Let’s talk about what’s happening at Fausse Passe over the next couple of weeks.

Right off the bat, the next few days are pretty grim. There’s just no energy in the water to get excited about; the swell is tiny and the conditions are lackluster. For Sunday the 9th through to Tuesday the 11th, you’re looking at weak, knee-high dribble with a combined swell energy that barely hits 78, and the wind is all over the place. There’s nothing ridable there.

The surf really starts to build from Thursday the 14th onwards, but don’t get your hopes up because the wind is a problem. Friday the 14th sees the swell jump to 6ft from the SSW, but it arrives with a strong cross-onshore and a short period of 9 seconds, which means messy, choppy, and pretty horrible conditions. The combined energy hits 2162, showing there’s push, but the wind just ruins it. This setup looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.

By Saturday the 15th, the swell drops to around 5ft but remains short-period and cross-shore. Still not great.

Now, the real standout window is Sunday the 16th into Monday the 17th. On Sunday morning, we get a 6ft SSW groundswell, with a period of 18 seconds – that’s proper long-period energy, indicating power and shape. The combined swell energy is a strong 2873. The wind is a clean cross-off from the SE, which is perfect for Fausse Passe. This is the best on offer. The waves will have good power and hold their shape on the reef, but because it’s such a long-period swell, it might break a little straight at times. Get out there early. Monday the 17th still has some nice 5ft SSW swell with a 15-second period and clean cross-off winds, but the wind picks up a bit in the afternoon. Crowds are possible at this spot, so expect company.

Further out, Tuesday the 18th jumps to 8ft from the SSE, but with a shorter 14-second period and strong offshore winds that could hold it open, though it’s getting into expert-only territory for size. Wednesday the 19th looks like a drop-off, with messy conditions returning.

By Thursday the 20th, we get a late breakout. The wind goes offshore from the ENE, blowing 15 to 25 mph, with a 3ft to 4ft SSW/S swell. The period is short (8-10 seconds), so the waves won’t have much punch, but the offshore wind will make it clean and rideable. It’s a good option for a mellow session.

After that, the forecast falls apart again into the final week, with onshore winds and poor quality right through to the 24th. Friday the 21st onwards is a write-off for any decent surf.

So for the whole period, your best bets are Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th. The water temp is sitting at 72°, which is about normal for this time of year. No complaints there.

Rusty.

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