
Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 28 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 2 Aug, 8PM (local time) - 10ft (3.0m), 14s period, S swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 2 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 14s period, S swell with 2,939 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 30 Jul, 2AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 13s period with SE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 30) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 2.5m 14s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 02) at 2PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.7m 8s period and expected on Tuesday (Aug 04) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2AM (Thu 30th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 13s |
| Best Surf | 8PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 10ft (3.0m) 14s |
| Most Powerful | 2PM (Sun 2nd Aug) | 8ft (2.5m) 14s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright folks, Rusty here with the long-range look at what’s on the cards for Fausse Passe.
Right off the bat, we’ve got a bit of a waiting game on our hands. The first few days are a write-off. Tuesday and Wednesday are just messy with strong cross-off winds and a lumpy, blown-out vibe. The swell is there, but it’s not clean enough to get excited about. It’s a frustrating start, but hang tight because the picture changes nicely.
The real action kicks off on Thursday the 30th of July. We’ve got a clean, offshore breeze from the ENE blowing at 12 mph, and it’s going to line up that 3ft of swell from the SE perfectly. The energy is sitting at a solid 720 (moderate), and that 13-second period from the SE is a nice, clean groundswell. This is the standout window – Thursday morning is looking like the pick of the entire forecast. Friday the 31st holds similar promise with lighter offshore winds, keeping the 3ft SSW swell glassy and clean. For a reef break, this is as good as it gets.
Now, the weekend gets a bit dicey. Saturday the 1st of August sees a jump in swell size to 5ft, but the wind swings onshore from the SSE, turning it into a lumpy, cross-chop mess. By Sunday the 2nd, the swell is pumping up to 8ft from the S with a strong 13-second period and a massive 3028 (strong) energy reading. But here’s the catch – the wind is a stiff cross-off at 22 mph. That’s a lot of power, but it’s going to be tricky to manage. That’s expert territory, and even then, the wind is going to make it a battle. For a reef, that setup actually looks more interesting for kite surfing than paddle surfing.
The energy drops back down through the following week, but the wind stays stubbornly cross-off, keeping the surf messy and marginal. There’s a flash of hope on Wednesday the 12th of August, with a return to offshore ENE winds and a clean 6ft from the SE. But it’s a long way out, so while it looks promising, treat it as a hopeful maybe rather than a sure thing.
The water temperature is sitting at 73°, which is pretty much bang on average for the time of year, so no surprises there.
For the best of it, you’re looking at Thursday the 30th of July and Friday the 31st of July. That’s the sweet spot: clean, glassy conditions, fun-sized swell, and a reef that loves that direction. Don’t sleep on it.
Rusty, signing off.
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Thu morning. Warm (max 21°C on Tue afternoon, min 19°C on Wed night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the E on Tue night, light winds from the E by Wed night). | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sat morning. Warm (max 21°C on Fri morning, min 18°C on Sun morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Fri afternoon, strong winds from the ESE by Sun night). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | Monday 3 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 11 | SSE 11 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | S 13 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | SSE 12 | SSE 11 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1435 | 1084 | 401 | 631 | 242 | 290 | 340 | 344 | 402 | 431 | 290 | 390 | 563 | 464 | 1326 | 1854 | 2466 | 2719 | 1927 | 1538 | 1436 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 8:05PM1.19m | 7:32AM0.95m | 8:38PM1.24m | 8:11AM0.99m | 9:09PM1.28m | 8:49AM1.02m | 9:38PM1.31m | 9:26AM1.04m | 10:07PM1.31m | 10:05AM1.05m | 10:36PM1.29m | 10:47AM1.05m | 11:07PM1.25m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 1:11PM0.15m | 2:14AM0.47m | 1:49PM0.11m | 2:47AM0.42m | 2:25PM0.08m | 3:20AM0.37m | 2:59PM0.08m | 3:53AM0.33m | 3:33PM0.11m | 4:25AM0.29m | 4:08PM0.16m | 4:59AM0.26m | 4:44PM0.23m | ||||||||
6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
— | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | 5 |
Temp °C | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 |
Feels °C | 14 | 15 | 15 | 15 | 14 | 15 | 18 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 14 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 13 | 13 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | S 12 | SSW 11 | SE 13 | SSW 11 | SE 13 | SE 8 | ESE 8 | SE 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | S 13 | S 14 | S 13 | S 12 | SSW 23 | SSW 21 |
1435 | 1084 | 401 | 171 | 206 | 290 | 151 | 138 | 277 | 431 | 290 | 390 | 563 | 464 | 1326 | 1854 | 2466 | 2719 | 1927 | 344 | 891 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | S 18 | SE 13 | SSW 11 | SE 13 | SE 13 | ESE 7 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | S 15 | S 16 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 14 |
127 | 116 | 171 | 6 | 242 | 170 | 340 | 315 | 79 | 265 | 244 | 236 | 167 | 417 | 454 | 662 | 422 | 138 | 140 | 73 | 49 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | E 9 | — | S 18 | SW 19 | SE 7 | SSW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | ESE 7 | E 18 | ESE 8 | SSW 16 | SE 12 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 11 | SSW 20 | SSW 24 | SW 18 | SE 12 |
— | 2 | — | 6 | 14 | 54 | 229 | 344 | 402 | 50 | 6 | 34 | 153 | 161 | 77 | 127 | 125 | 37 | 110 | 81 | 34 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | SE 7 | SSE 11 | SE 6 | — | ESE 8 | E 8 | E 7 | — | ESE 7 | S 3 | S 6 | S 7 | SE 6 | SSE 8 | — | — | — | SSE 12 | SSE 11 |
— | — | 155 | 631 | 94 | — | 308 | 253 | 121 | — | 52 | 5 | 212 | 240 | 162 | 385 | — | — | — | 1538 | 1436 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 147 | 1417 | 80 | 102 | 147 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1233 | 1253 | 1233 | 1416 | 1416 | 150 | 1416 | 1416 | 80 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.










