Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, Rusty here. Let's take a look at what's coming down the pipeline for Fausse Passe.

First thing you need to know: this is a reef break, exposed and consistent, but it’s for the advanced crew. The water temp is sitting at 72°, which is bang on average for this time of year, so nothing weird going on there.

Right now, there's nothing to surf. The whole start of the period is a no-go. It kicks off proper on the 12th, but don't get excited. Saturday the 12th sees a solid 12 ft of SSW groundswell pumping in, with a very long period of 17 seconds. The combined energy is massive (7581), and the wind is a clean cross-off. Looks perfect, right? Wrong. That swell is just too damn big for this break – it’s an advanced spot, and over 8 ft it’s expert only. Saturday afternoon is much the same story: big, clean, but too powerful.

Sunday the 13th tries to settle a bit. The morning drops to 7 ft from the S with a 15 second period, still cross-off wind. The score is low, and the forecast notes it's marginal. It's smaller, but it's still a heavy wave for the size. Afternoon kicks back up to 10 ft. Monday the 14th is similar; the morning is a little cleaner but the swell is still pushing 8 ft with strong cross-off winds. The energy is moderate, but the size keeps it from being a happy-go-lucky session.

From Tuesday the 15th through to Wednesday the 16th, the swell drops. Tuesday sees 8 ft dropping to 7 ft, period dropping to 14 seconds, but it's still marked as marginal. Wednesday the 16th it fades to 4 ft – clean, but the energy is weak (467) and the conditions are called poor. Thursday the 17th has almost nothing.

Then we hit a lull. Thursday afternoon through to Friday the 18th, the wind swings onshore and the swell either disappears or gets messy. Friday afternoon sees a 12 ft spike from the SW but with a strong cross-onshore wind of 22 mph. That's not surfable; that's a cleanup job.

Saturday the 19th is the one, and it's a standout. The morning session sees a big 13 ft SSW swell, period of 12 seconds, and combined energy of 9103. The wind is cross-shore but moderate at 16 mph. The forecast has that "wind and tide favorable" note, but again, this is a caution – at 13 ft, this break is not for the faint of heart. It's an expert-only window. The afternoon gets a little smaller but messier with cross-onshore wind.

Sunday the 20th comes in at a more manageable 7 ft from the SSW with a long 17 second period, and a light 9 mph cross-onshore wind. It's still marked as marginal, but the energy is still high (4040). Monday the 21st drops to 8 ft, period of 16 seconds, but with a fresh 19 mph cross-shore wind, making it lumpy.

From Tuesday the 22nd onward, it's a slow fade. Swells drop under 7 ft, periods shorten, and the scores are poor to marginal. The wind stays mostly cross-off, clean, but there's just not enough push. By the 23rd, it's tiny. The 24th sees a brief pulse of 8 ft from the SSE, but with a short 8-second period – that's weak windswell, not worth paddling out for.

The standout session is Saturday the 19th morning. If you’re an expert and you can handle a solid 13 ft SW groundswell with moderate cross-shore wind, that is the window. The energy is immense. For the more reasonable punter, the early hours of Sunday the 13th or Tuesday the 15th morning offer a cleaner 7 ft+ swell with good period, but you’ll be battling for a makeable wave rather than a perfect one.

Bottom line: There are a few promising moments, but Saturday the 19th is the only true standout for the experienced surfer. The rest is a waiting game.

Rusty.

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