Fausse Passe Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s break it down. We’ve got a 16-day window, but it’s a slow starter. The first few days are a wash, so don’t rush. The real action fires up towards the end of the first week and into the second, but you gotta pick your spots.

Fausse Passe is a reef break, and it’s consistent, but it’s exposed to the SW swell. Water temp is about 73°, which is dead average for this time of year, so no surprises.

The early days, Wednesday the 22nd through Thursday the 24th, are a mixed bag. Wednesday morning has a 3ft S swell, but it’s a long-period 17-second groundswell, and the cross-off wind is a solid 25 mph. The energy is high, but that wind is gonna make it a fight. Not worth it. Wednesday afternoon drops to a 7ft SE swell, but the period is a short 8 seconds, and the wind is still strong. Thursday’s got some size, 7ft in the morning, but the wind is still cross-off and fresh. The energy is dropping, but the quality is poor. Skip it.

Friday morning the 24th is the first real standout. The wind goes glassy, NE at 3 mph. The swell is 4ft from the SE, period 8 seconds. The energy is moderate, but that glassy wind is the key. It’s going to be clean. The break is a reef, so that short period isn’t ideal, but the conditions are so good it’ll be worth a look. The crowds are *sometimes* an issue, so you might have a few out, but it’s a solid pick for a morning session.

Saturday and Sunday the 25th and 26th are a mess. Saturday is small and cross, with a 1ft SSW swell, and the wind is a moderate 12 mph cross. Sunday the 26th is a different story – a massive 10ft SSW swell rolls in, with a 15-second period. The energy is huge. But it’s too big for this break. That’s expert-only territory, and even then, it’s going to be a washing machine. The wind is cross-off, but it’s still a no-go for most.

The next few days – Monday the 27th through Wednesday the 29th – are marginal. The swell drops to 8ft on Monday, then 6ft on Tuesday, with periods of 13-14 seconds. The energy is moderate to strong. The wind is cross-off, but the quality is just okay. Not a standout, but if you’re itching, Tuesday morning could be a session if the wind is manageable.

Now, the big one. Look at Sunday the 6th of August. It’s a long way out, so treat it with caution, but the forecast is a monster. Another 10ft SW swell, 15-second period, with glassy conditions in the afternoon. The energy is massive. It’s the same story as the 26th – it’s likely too big for this break, but if you’re an expert and you like big, clean, powerful reef waves, this is the window. The morning has a light N wind, and the afternoon is glassy. It’s the best on offer in the whole 16 days, but it’s for the brave only. The rest of the second week is a mix of smaller, choppier stuff.

So, bottom line: Friday morning the 24th is your best bet for a clean, fun session. Sunday the 6th of August is the one for the big-wave hunters, but don’t get your hopes up too much this far out. The rest is for the keen.

Rusty

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