
Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 15 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Thursday 16 Jul, 8AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 17s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 19 Jul, 8PM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 20s period, SSW swell with 2,177 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 16 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 3ft (0.9m), 17s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jul 16) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.9m and 17s period with a secondary swell of 0.8m and 9s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 1.7m 20s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Jul 19) at 8PM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 2.1m 9s period and expected on Saturday (Jul 18) at 8AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 3ft (0.9m) 17s |
| Best Surf | 8AM (Thu 16th Jul) | 4.5ft (1.4m) 17s |
| Most Powerful | 8PM (Sun 19th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 20s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here, let’s have a look at what’s coming up for Fausse Passe (Fausse-Passe). This is a solid reef break that needs a good SSW swell and offshore winds to really light up. The water temp is sitting at 73°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so nothing wild there.
We’ve got a bit of a slow start. The first real chance to get wet is Wednesday afternoon, 15th July, but honestly, it’s a bit of a tease. There’s a 3ft SSW swell, but with a cross-off east wind at 25 km/h, it’s going to be messy. The energy is moderate (537), but it’s not worth getting excited about.
Thursday morning, 16th July, is when things start to look better. A 5ft SSW groundswell (16-second period) is coming in with a clean offshore NE wind at 30 km/h. The energy is strong (1013), and while it’s a bit much for beginners over 5ft, it’s a proper session for experienced surfers. The wind holds for the afternoon, though it picks up to 35 km/h, so it’ll be a bit more of a battle.
Friday the 17th is a step down. Swell drops to 3ft, and while the wind is still offshore, the energy is weaker (415). It’s a skunk day for most.
Now, here’s the standout. Saturday the 18th is the pick of the first week. The morning brings a 4ft SSW swell with a very long period of 17 seconds, and a clean offshore NE breeze at 20 km/h. The energy is strong (1052). The afternoon is even better: 5ft, 17-second period, and the wind goes light and cross-off from the NNE. The energy jumps to 1588. This is a proper reef-swell setup, long lines, clean faces. It’s an advanced wave, and the crowds are likely, so get there early.
Sunday the 19th is a mixed bag. The morning is a write-off with onshore W wind, but the afternoon is magic: 5ft, 20-second period, and a glassy offshore from the east at only 5 km/h. The energy is massive (2218). This is the best-looking session of the whole forecast, but it’s a Sunday, so expect company.
From Monday the 20th, things get tricky. Monday morning has a 5ft swell but a strong SE wind at 45 km/h makes it a no-go for surfing – that setup screams kite-surfing more than paddling. The afternoon is just as bad with a strong cross-shore.
Tuesday the 21st is marginal, with 4ft swell and a cross-off ESE wind, but the energy is still decent (1149). Followed by a drop in quality towards the end of the week, with shorter period swells and strong winds.
The second week looks patchy. There’s a gap of a few days with no real recommendations. Saturday the 25th and Sunday the 26th are small and weak. However, Monday the 27th is a standout for the second week: 5ft SSW swell, 18-second period, and a light cross-off ESE wind at 10 km/h. The energy is very strong (1624). That’s a clean, powerful reef session for the experienced crew.
Tuesday the 28th has a bigger 7ft swell, but it’s onshore from the west, so it’s only for the brave and the expert. After that, the wind turns onshore and lumpy through to the 30th, with 8ft swell but poor conditions.
So, bottom line: circle Saturday the 18th and Sunday the 19th for the best of the first week, and Monday the 27th for a promising long-range look. The rest is either marginal or blown out.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastModerate rain (total 17mm), heaviest on Thu morning. Warm (max 23°C on Fri afternoon, min 20°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (light winds from the E on Wed night, fresh winds from the NE by Fri afternoon). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryHeavy rain (total 63mm), heaviest during Sat night. Warm (max 21°C on Sat night, min 18°C on Sun afternoon). Winds increasing (calm on Sun afternoon, fresh winds from the SSE by Tue afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Thursday 16 | Friday 17 | Saturday 18 | Sunday 19 | Monday 20 | Tuesday 21 | Wed 22 | |||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SSW 16 | SSW 17 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SE 15 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 9 | S 9 | SE 8 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
404 | 933 | 742 | 346 | 260 | 171 | 240 | 924 | 1162 | 837 | 519 | 1537 | 1733 | 1178 | 913 | 687 | 615 | 642 | 295 | 364 | 318 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | off | off | cross-off | cross-on | glassy | glassy | glassy | cross-on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 9:12PM1.41m | 8:50AM1.05m | 9:53PM1.41m | 9:39AM1.06m | 10:32PM1.38m | 10:27AM1.05m | 11:09PM1.32m | 11:17AM1.03m | 11:45PM1.25m | 12:10PM0.99m | 00:20AM1.16m | 1:08PM0.96m | 00:56AM1.06m | 2:16PM0.93m | |||||||
Low Tide | 3:28AM0.36m | 3:07PM-0.03m | 4:11AM0.33m | 3:51PM0.02m | 4:53AM0.30m | 4:34PM0.11m | 5:33AM0.28m | 5:17PM0.23m | 6:14AM0.27m | 6:01PM0.35m | 6:56AM0.28m | 6:49PM0.47m | 7:42AM0.29m | 7:47PM0.57m | |||||||
— | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:33 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | — | 6:31 | — | |
— | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:25 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:27 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | — | — | 5:28 | |
mm | — | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 37 | 12 | 9 | — | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 21 | 22 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 22 | 22 | 23 | 21 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 21 |
Feels °C | 17 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 19 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 18 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 14 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 10 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 8 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 17 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 20 | SSW 18 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 9 | S 9 | S 8 |
137 | 933 | 742 | 181 | 201 | 293 | 288 | 337 | 1162 | 264 | 254 | 1537 | 1733 | 1178 | 913 | 687 | 615 | 642 | 295 | 364 | 116 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 18 | SE 9 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | SW 10 | SSW 17 | ESE 9 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 8 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 |
404 | 40 | 79 | 346 | 260 | 171 | 160 | 924 | 294 | 837 | 515 | 242 | 264 | 300 | 237 | 141 | 99 | 62 | 242 | 152 | 150 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 11 | SE 9 | — | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 10 | SE 17 | SE 16 | SE 15 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 12 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 12 | S 16 | SE 12 |
117 | 40 | — | 229 | 155 | 160 | 240 | 117 | 413 | 492 | 519 | 485 | 598 | 220 | 331 | 212 | 171 | 136 | 126 | 183 | 90 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | ESE 7 | E 8 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | NE 4 | E 9 | NE 4 | NNE 4 | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 7 | WSW 6 | — | — | ESE 8 | SE 8 |
— | 140 | 367 | 31 | 22 | 15 | 14 | 637 | 26 | 30 | — | — | — | — | — | 5 | 4 | — | — | 21 | 318 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 730 | 80 | 32 | 32 | 32 | 11 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 564 | 564 | 32 | 1231 | 1231 | 149 | 1416 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.











