
Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 8 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Sunday 9 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 12s period, SSE swell with cross-offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Sunday 16 Aug, 2AM (local time) - 6ft (1.8m), 11s period, SSW swell with 759 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 9 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 1.5ft (0.4m), 12s period with SSE swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 09) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.4m and 12s period. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 1.8m 11s and forecast to arrive on Sunday (Aug 16) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.2m 9s period and expected on Sunday (Aug 09) at 2AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 11PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 12s |
| Best Surf | 11PM (Sun 9th Aug) | 1.5ft (0.4m) 12s |
| Most Powerful | 2AM (Sun 16th Aug) | 6ft (1.8m) 11s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, let's get into it. The next couple of weeks are a real mixed bag around here, so let’s take it session by session.
Right off the bat, the surf is practically flat. The 9th and 10th are a total write-off with tiny, poor surf and cross-shore winds messing things up. It’s a waiting game.
Things start to stir a bit on the morning of Monday the 11th. We get a small pulse of southwest swell, about 1ft, with a proper 16-second period on it. The wind is light offshore at Fausse Passe, so it’s clean but tiny. The energy is weak (71), so you’re not getting anywhere fast. The afternoon goes glassy, but the swell drops away. It’s more of a chance to get wet than to actually surf.
The 12th has the best wind of the early week – a clean offshore breeze in the morning, but again the swell is small and weak. The energy is moderate (103) but the wave height is still marginal.
Now, here’s where it gets interesting. We have a gap in the quality surf, but the ocean starts to wake up. From the 13th through the 19th, the swell builds but so does the wind. It’s a lot of energy, some of it very strong, but the local winds are howling and gusty, mainly cross-off. For a break like this, that’s going to put a lot of chop on the surface.
The 16th and 17th see the swell kick up a notch with some longer-period energy, but the wind is a solid 20-28 mph. It's making things messy. There’s a huge amount of energy in the water (over 1000), but it’s not rideable for us. With that much wind and a cross-off angle at a reef, it’s way too lumpy.
You have to sit tight through a pretty bleak stretch, watching the swell charts and wishing the wind would play ball. The 18th and 19th are just frustrating – the swell is there, with some real size, but the wind is near gale-force. It’s angry and blown-out. Honestly, that looks more like a day for the kite crew than for us paddle surfers.
But then, on the morning of Thursday the 20th of August, it looks like we finally get a window. The wind swings around to the east, a moderate offshore breeze, and the forecast shows 3ft of south swell with a lovely 18-second period. The energy is solid (534). This is the standout morning. The conditions should be clean and the long-period swell will wrap in nicely. That's the one to circle on the calendar. It’s still over a week out, so don’t hold your breath, but it’s a very promising call.
Right after that, on the afternoon of the same day, it gets blown out again with a near gale from the south and a combo of swells producing a messy 8ft. The rest of that week is poor quality – a lot of stormy, onshore slop with some size.
The weekend of the 23rd and 24th sees a cleaner outlook. By Sunday the 23rd, the wind drops to a light breeze. The swell is a bit raw and lumpy – around 7ft from the south with an 11-second period – but the energy is pumping (1986). It’ll be big and powerful but the onshore element might make it a battle. Not perfect, but much better than what we had.
So, to sum up: it’s a rough few days to start, a whole lot of windy mush in the middle, but that Thursday morning on the 20th is the one to go for – clean, offshore, and a proper south groundswell. Keep your fingers crossed for that one.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 4mm), mostly falling on Sat night. Warm (max 22°C on Sat night, min 19°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 21°C on Wed afternoon, min 19°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light. | ||||||||||||||||||
Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | Friday 14 | ||||||||||||||
Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SW 16 | SE 11 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | SW 16 | SSW 16 | SW 13 | SSW 18 | SW 9 | SW 10 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||
46 | 48 | 46 | 66 | 30 | 30 | 52 | 64 | 42 | 20 | 96 | 35 | 79 | 66 | 160 | 234 | 204 | 528 | 546 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | off | glassy | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross-on | on | cross-on | cross-on | cross | cross-off |
High Tide | 3:29AM0.89m | 5:41PM1.12m | 4:56AM0.89m | 6:41PM1.22m | 6:07AM0.94m | 7:29PM1.30m | 7:05AM1.00m | 8:11PM1.37m | 7:55AM1.06m | 8:49PM1.40m | 8:42AM1.11m | 9:24PM1.39m | |||||||
Low Tide | 10:20PM0.62m | 10:21AM0.20m | 11:52PM0.58m | 11:32AM0.14m | 00:57AM0.50m | 12:31PM0.07m | 1:46AM0.42m | 1:23PM0.02m | 2:27AM0.34m | 2:09PM0.01m | 3:06AM0.28m | 2:51PM0.03m | 3:41AM0.23m | ||||||
— | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | |
— | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 22 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 |
Feels °C | 20 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 17 | 17 | 17 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SSW 18 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SW 10 | SW 13 | SW 11 | SW 9 | SW 10 |
227 | 147 | 147 | 121 | 121 | 30 | 113 | 88 | 84 | 58 | 61 | 61 | 44 | 44 | 67 | 234 | 101 | 528 | 546 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 13 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SW 9 | SE 12 | SW 9 | SW 16 | S 6 | S 6 | SW 19 | SSW 19 | SW 18 | SW 11 | SSW 16 | E 10 | SSW 18 | SSW 17 | SSW 16 |
46 | 48 | 46 | 37 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 64 | 7 | 6 | 96 | 35 | 79 | 43 | 160 | 47 | 204 | 243 | 226 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 14 | SSW 10 | SE 11 | SW 16 | SE 11 | SW 8 | SSW 16 | S 6 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SSE 6 | SW 16 | ESE 9 | SW 18 | SW 9 | ESE 10 | ESE 10 |
29 | 19 | 32 | 66 | 30 | 10 | 52 | 7 | 42 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 66 | 44 | 84 | 37 | 32 | 32 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | — | — | ESE 9 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | WSW 3 | SW 9 | SW 6 | — | — |
— | — | — | — | — | 151 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 132 | 102 | — | — | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 32 | 1231 | 110 | 11 | 105 | 1235 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | 736 | 10 | 1231 | 1231 | 1231 | 1231 | 1231 | 1233 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.











