
Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 7 Aug 2026:
- Best quality surf: Saturday 8 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 15s period, SSW swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Friday 14 Aug, 11PM (local time) - 7.5ft (2.3m), 13s period, SSW swell with 1,859 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Saturday 8 Aug, 2PM (local time) - 1ft (0.3m), 15s period with SSW swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Saturday (Aug 08) at 2PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.3m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.3m and 11s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 2.3m 13s and forecast to arrive on Friday (Aug 14) at 11PM. Winds are predicted to be cross-onshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.8m 9s period and expected on Saturday (Aug 08) at 5PM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 2PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 1ft (0.3m) 15s |
| Best Surf | 2PM (Sat 8th Aug) | 1ft (0.3m) 15s |
| Most Powerful | 11PM (Fri 14th Aug) | 7.5ft (2.3m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, Rusty here. Let’s have a look at what’s coming our way.
Right off the bat, I gotta be honest with you: the next week and a half is pretty grim. We’re looking at a long stretch of tiny, weak swell and messy wind. The first real pulse of size doesn’t show up until the weekend of the 15th, and even then, the conditions are going to be a battle.
We start off Friday the 7th with a tiny 2ft swell from the south, but it's getting hammered by a strong 25 mph offshore wind. That wind is making it clean but nearly impossible to paddle into. The combined energy is weak (115). That theme continues through Saturday and Sunday – swell dropping to 0.7ft to 1ft, periods all over the place, but the wind keeps shifting. Sunday afternoon (9th) turns onshore and choppy.
Monday the 10th and Tuesday the 11th offer a slight glimmer – the waves are still tiny (0.7ft to 1ft), but we get a clean cross-offshore breeze on Monday and even a glassy period from the east on Tuesday morning. The energy is still low (70), but if you’re desperate for a log session, the conditions are clean. The water is sitting at 72°, which is bang on average for this time of year.
Wednesday the 12th morning picks up a touch with a 1ft swell from the SW and a long 19-second period, giving a moderate energy reading (103). The wind is light and cross-off, so it’s clean, but the size is still tiny.
Now, the real change comes Saturday the 15th. The swell jumps to 8ft from the SSW on Saturday morning, with a solid 12-second period and a massive energy reading of 1647. That’s a serious amount of water moving. But here’s the kicker – the wind is a light cross-shore, so it’s not completely blown out, but it’s not glassy either. The afternoon drops to 6ft but the energy spikes to 2667. This is big, powerful groundswell. For a reef break like Fausse Passe, that long period (15 seconds) is good for shape, but 6ft to 8ft is getting into expert territory. Beginners should stay well clear.
The standout window, if you can handle the size, is the morning of the 15th. That 8ft SSW swell with a gentle cross-shore breeze is the best combination of size and wind we’ve got in the whole 16 days. After that, Sunday the 16th and Monday the 17th are bigger but get hammered by strong onshore winds, making it lumpy and tough. The energy is huge (up to 2957) but the quality is poor.
Tuesday the 18th and Wednesday the 19th see the swell hold around 7ft, with a clean cross-offshore wind, but the wind is blowing 19-28 mph – that’s a fresh to strong breeze, which will make the surface bumpy even if it’s technically offshore. The energy is still immense (up to 2854), so this is strictly for the experienced crew with bigger boards.
By the 20th, the swell drops back under 5ft, and the wind stays strong and cross-off, but the energy fades quickly. The last few days of the window (21st-22nd) are a write-off with near-gale force winds and tiny, weak swell.
So, if you’re asking me, the one true standout is Saturday morning, August 15th. That’s the cleanest shot at a proper, powerful SSW groundswell at Fausse Passe before the wind ruins it. It’s big, it’s for experts, and the energy is pumping. The rest? A lot of waiting for the wind to play nice.
Rusty.
Short Range ForecastLight rain (total 5mm), mostly falling on Sat afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Sat afternoon, min 19°C on Mon morning). Winds decreasing (strong winds from the ENE on Fri afternoon, light winds from the WNW by Sun morning). | Days 5-7 Weather SummaryMostly dry. Warm (max 20°C on Mon afternoon, min 19°C on Mon night). Wind will be generally light. | |||||||||||||||||||
Fri 7 | Saturday 8 | Sunday 9 | Monday 10 | Tuesday 11 | Wednesday 12 | Thursday 13 | ||||||||||||||
PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SW 16 | SE 11 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 14 | SW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | SW 16 | SW 11 |
Wave Graph | ||||||||||||||||||||
72 | 42 | 23 | 21 | 47 | 48 | 46 | 66 | 30 | 30 | 52 | 64 | 42 | 20 | 96 | 70 | 120 | 65 | 64 | 60 | |
Wind (km/h) | ||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | off | off | off | off | cross | on | cross-on | cross | cross-off | cross-off | off | glassy | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-on | on | cross-on |
High Tide | 2:51PM0.98m | 2:05AM0.94m | 4:24PM1.03m | 3:29AM0.89m | 5:41PM1.12m | 4:56AM0.89m | 6:41PM1.22m | 6:07AM0.94m | 7:29PM1.30m | 7:05AM1.00m | 8:11PM1.37m | 7:55AM1.06m | 8:49PM1.40m | |||||||
Low Tide | 8:35PM0.60m | 9:06AM0.23m | 10:20PM0.62m | 10:21AM0.20m | 11:52PM0.58m | 11:32AM0.14m | 00:57AM0.50m | 12:31PM0.07m | 1:46AM0.42m | 1:23PM0.02m | 2:27AM0.34m | 2:09PM0.01m | 3:06AM0.28m | |||||||
— | — | 6:24 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:22 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | 6:20 | — | — | |
5:35 | — | — | 5:35 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:36 | — | — | 5:37 | — | — | 5:37 | — | |
mm | — | — | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Temp °C | 21 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 |
Feels °C | 15 | 14 | 17 | 20 | 19 | 20 | 18 | 18 | 19 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 21 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 18 | 20 | 19 | 18 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | S 12 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | SE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 | ESE 9 |
72 | 474 | 360 | 301 | 181 | 165 | 151 | 182 | 111 | 138 | 130 | 92 | 88 | 70 | 94 | 90 | 80 | 82 | 62 | 66 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 19 | SSW 11 | SSW 11 | SSW 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 11 | SSE 12 | SW 9 | SE 12 | SW 9 | SW 16 | SSW 15 | SSW 7 | SW 19 | SSW 19 | SSW 18 | SW 16 | SW 9 | SW 9 |
35 | 42 | 23 | 21 | 47 | 48 | 31 | 57 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 64 | 42 | 5 | 96 | 70 | 120 | 65 | 41 | 47 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SW 15 | SSW 18 | SSW 15 | SSW 11 | SW 13 | SSW 10 | SE 13 | SW 16 | SE 11 | SSW 18 | SSW 16 | SSE 6 | SSW 8 | SSW 14 | SW 13 | SW 13 | SE 13 | SW 10 | SW 16 | SW 11 |
8 | 30 | 22 | 11 | 46 | 19 | 46 | 66 | 30 | 30 | 52 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 25 | 64 | 60 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | ESE 9 | NNE 4 | NE 4 | E 9 | — | — | SW 3 | S 4 | SSE 5 | SSE 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | NE 3 | — | — | WSW 3 |
563 | 7 | 9 | 493 | — | — | 1 | 12 | 17 | 24 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 3 | — | — | 2 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | ||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 105 | 32 | 8 | 11 | 80 | 1231 | 110 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1235 | 11 | 0 | 730 | 0 | 105 | 1231 | 80 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | ||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | ||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.











