
Surf Forecasts:
Fausse Passe surf forecast from 27 Jul 2026:
- Best quality surf: Wednesday 29 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period, S swell with offshore winds.
- Most powerful swell: Tuesday 28 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 8ft (2.4m), 13s period, S swell with 1,932 kJ wave energy.
- Next surfable swell (1★+): Wednesday 29 Jul, 5AM (local time) - 5.5ft (1.7m), 11s period with S swell.
Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Fausse Passe this week:
The surf forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Wednesday (Jul 29) at 5AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.7m and 11s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 13s. The wind is predicted to be offshore as the swell arrives.
The most powerful waves expected at Fausse Passe in the next 16 days are 2.4m 13s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 5AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.5m 6s period and expected on Tuesday (Jul 28) at 11AM.
| Wave Type | Time (+11) & Date | Wave Height & Period |
|---|---|---|
| Next good surf (1 star+) | 5AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 11s |
| Best Surf | 5AM (Wed 29th Jul) | 5.5ft (1.7m) 11s |
| Most Powerful | 5AM (Tue 28th Jul) | 8ft (2.4m) 13s |
Table - best surf conditions forecast for Fausse Passe over the next 16 days.
The Lowdown
Alright, this is Rusty, and I’m looking at the next couple of weeks here. The swell window is open, but it’s not going to be a total classic. There’s a lumpy, powerful start, then it fades and gets tricky, with a few clean windows if you’re patient.
We kick off Monday, July 27th, with a solid push of SSW groundswell. Fausse Passe is the only show in town, and it’s handling a 7.2ft SSW swell with a 12-second period. The combined energy is strong at 1633, so there’s real grunt in the water. The wind is a cross-off from the ESE at 12 mph, which will keep the faces reasonably clean. This is a reef break, and it’s an advanced wave – it’s not for learners. The water temp is 72.1°, which is pretty much bang on average for this time of year, so no surprises there. The morning is the slightly cleaner window, but the scores are marginal, so don’t expect perfection. The afternoon on Monday is similar, with the period stretching to 13 seconds and energy up to 1677, but the wind is the same story.
Tuesday, July 28th, the swell is still 7.5ft from the S early, but the wind is a stiff cross-off at 19 mph. It’s still clean, but it’s a battle. The energy drops to 1657 in the morning. By the afternoon, the swell drops to 6.6ft and the energy falls to 1192, but the wind is still fresh. This is borderline for quality.
Wednesday, July 29th, is where the tide turns. The swell drops to 3.6ft from the SSW, and the wind finally goes offshore from the E at 22 mph. This is fresh offshore and clean, but the energy is only 548. It’s a small, clean wave, but it’s very marginal. The afternoon sees a 2.6ft SE swell, which is a total non-event.
Thursday, July 30th, the morning looks promising for a quick session. A 3.3ft SSE swell with a 13-second period, and offshore ENE wind at 16 mph. The energy is 678, and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is a small, clean morning window. The afternoon has a 3.0ft SSW swell with a 15-second period, making it a longer-period groundswell. The energy is 720, but the wind is still offshore, though stronger.
Friday, July 31st, is the real standout if you can handle the size. The morning has a 3.3ft SSW swell, 14-second period, and a gentle offshore from the ENE at 9 mph. The energy is 655, and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is the cleanest, most workable wave of the early run. It’s not big, but it’s a proper reef wave with a long period that will wrap in nicely. The afternoon sees rain showers and a slightly stronger offshore, but it’s still clean.
Then the weekend takes a turn. Saturday, August 1st, the wind swings to the SSE, bringing a fresh cross-shore that will ruin the surface. The swell is 4.3ft from the SSW, but the wave will be lumpy and cross-chop. The energy is high at 1089, but the quality is poor. Sunday, August 2nd, the swell is back up to 5.2ft from the SSW, with a cross-off wind. The energy is 1547, but it’s still marginal. The wind is strong, so it’s a messy, powerful wave.
Monday, August 3rd, the swell is 4.9ft from the S, but the wind is a strong cross-off at 25 mph. It’s clean, but it’s a grind. The energy is 1067. The afternoon is a total write-off.
Tuesday, August 4th, the swell drops to 2.6ft, but the period jumps to 18 seconds. That’s a very long-period groundswell. The wind is strong offshore from the E at 25 mph, so it’s clean but hard to paddle into. The energy is only 625. This is a wave for the experts only,
Short Range ForecastSome drizzle, heaviest during Mon night. Warm (max 21°C on Wed afternoon, min 19°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds. | Days 4-6 Weather SummaryModerate rain (total 11mm), heaviest on Fri afternoon. Warm (max 22°C on Fri afternoon, min 19°C on Thu morning). Winds increasing (light winds from the ENE on Thu night, fresh winds from the SSE by Sat afternoon). | ||||||||||||||||||||
Monday 27 | Tuesday 28 | Wednesday 29 | Thursday 30 | Friday 31 | Saturday 1 | Sunday 2 | |||||||||||||||
AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | AM | PM | Night | |
Swell Height Map | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wave Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SSW 11 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 |
Wave Graph | |||||||||||||||||||||
1523 | 1572 | 1532 | 1530 | 1076 | 778 | 265 | 242 | 290 | 340 | 344 | 402 | 431 | 290 | 362 | 464 | 799 | 775 | 800 | 820 | 694 | |
Wind (km/h) | |||||||||||||||||||||
Wind State on-shore cross-onshore cross-shore cross-offshore off-shore glassy | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | off | cross-off | off | off | off | off | off | off | cross-off | cross | cross | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off | cross-off |
High Tide | 7:29PM1.13m | 6:49AM0.91m | 8:05PM1.19m | 7:32AM0.95m | 8:38PM1.24m | 8:11AM0.99m | 9:09PM1.28m | 8:49AM1.02m | 9:38PM1.31m | 9:26AM1.04m | 10:07PM1.31m | 10:05AM1.05m | 10:36PM1.29m | ||||||||
Low Tide | 12:27PM0.20m | 1:37AM0.52m | 1:11PM0.15m | 2:14AM0.47m | 1:49PM0.11m | 2:47AM0.42m | 2:25PM0.08m | 3:20AM0.37m | 2:59PM0.08m | 3:53AM0.33m | 3:33PM0.11m | 4:25AM0.29m | 4:08PM0.16m | 4:59AM0.26m | |||||||
6:30 | — | — | 6:30 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:28 | — | — | 6:26 | — | — | |
— | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:30 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:31 | — | — | 5:32 | — | — | 5:32 | — | |
mm | — | — | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
Temp °C | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 21 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 21 | 19 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 20 | 19 |
Feels °C | 16 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 18 | 20 | 20 | 18 | 15 | 14 | 13 | 14 | 14 | 11 |
Swell 1 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SSW 12 | SSW 13 | SSW 13 | S 12 | S 12 | S 11 | SE 7 | SSW 11 | SE 13 | SE 7 | SE 13 | SE 13 | SSW 14 | SSW 14 | SSW 13 | SSW 12 | SSW 14 | S 8 | SSW 12 | SSW 12 | S 12 |
1523 | 1572 | 1532 | 1530 | 1076 | 778 | 112 | 183 | 290 | 109 | 277 | 277 | 431 | 290 | 362 | 464 | 799 | 343 | 800 | 820 | 694 | |
Swell 2 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 11 | SE 11 | SE 15 | SE 14 | SE 14 | SE 13 | SSW 11 | SE 13 | SE 7 | SE 13 | SSW 15 | SSW 16 | SE 13 | SE 12 | SE 12 | SSW 15 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | S 16 | SE 15 | SE 13 |
64 | 64 | 79 | 127 | 116 | 168 | 265 | 242 | 77 | 340 | 344 | 402 | 224 | 207 | 240 | 428 | 389 | 775 | 185 | 35 | 138 | |
Swell 3 Height (m) Direction Period (s) | SE 17 | SE 16 | SE 11 | — | E 9 | SSE 7 | SE 13 | SW 19 | SSW 11 | SSW 16 | SSW 11 | SSW 13 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | E 7 | SE 12 | SE 12 | S 16 | SW 21 | SW 21 | SSW 19 |
46 | 41 | 32 | — | 2 | 36 | 171 | 14 | 135 | 229 | 99 | 98 | 59 | 43 | 27 | 197 | 224 | 412 | 18 | 17 | 37 | |
Wind waves Height (m) Direction Period (s) | — | — | — | SE 6 | SE 6 | ESE 6 | E 4 | SE 7 | — | E 7 | ESE 7 | ESE 7 | — | — | — | ESE 7 | SE 4 | SE 8 | SE 8 | SE 7 | SE 7 |
— | — | — | 156 | 126 | 87 | 17 | 184 | — | 117 | 134 | 101 | — | — | — | 42 | 10 | 320 | 544 | 421 | 313 | |
Nearest Offshore or Glassy | |||||||||||||||||||||
Distance (km) | 1405 | 1405 | 82 | 1361 | 1416 | 80 | 82 | 80 | 0 | 0 | 34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 80 | 1233 | 1285 | 1272 | 1416 | 1398 | 1398 |
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
Best forecast wave conditions in New Caledonia | |||||||||||||||||||||
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Information about the Fausse Passe Surf forecast
The above surf forecast table for Fausse Passe provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Fausse Passe can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Fausse Passe surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Fausse Passe) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).
Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Fausse Passe may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.
Are you planning a holiday in New Caledonia? If you are looking for accommodation near Fausse Passe, camping, hotels and holiday cottages in New Caledonia, consider staying in Noumea which is 34 km (21 miles) away. Other places in and around New Caledonia where you can find information about places to rent, and car hire include Mont-Dore which is 34 km (21 miles) away and Dumbea, 47 km (29 miles) away.










