Cocles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Right, let me break down the next two weeks for Cocles. It’s a bit of a slow start, if I’m being honest.

The first few days, Friday 7th and Saturday 8th, are pretty much a write-off. The swell is there, about 4 feet, but it’s a short period swell (8 seconds) and the wind is all cross or cross-on, so it’s going to be a choppy mess. The water is a warm 84°, which is right about average for this time of year, so at least you’re comfortable.

Sunday 9th and Monday 10th show a bit of life. The swell picks up to 6 feet on Sunday morning with a longer period of 10 seconds, and the energy is building (711 on Sunday morning). The wind is light cross-shore, so it’s not total junk, but it’s still marginal. Monday afternoon (10th) is the first real tease – the wind goes offshore from the SW, giving us a clean window. The swell is 6 feet with a 9-second period. It’s a small window, but if you can get out, it’ll be the best of a rough start.

Tuesday 11th morning is a quiet little gem. The wind drops to glassy, zero mph. The swell is 5 feet from the ENE at 9 seconds. It’s not huge, but with perfect conditions, it’ll be a fun session for the experienced crew. The energy is moderate (362) and the break is very consistent, so you won’t be waiting.

The real heat is coming for the weekend of the 15th and 16th. Saturday 15th morning sees the swell jump to 8 feet from the ENE, with a 10-second period. The energy rockets to 1170, which is strong. The wind is light cross-on in the morning, but Saturday afternoon is the big one. The wind goes offshore from the SW, with a 7-foot swell and 10-second period. The energy is still high (908), and the forecast says “expect very good surf conditions.” This is your best bet of the whole outlook. The wave is going to be solid, but at 7 feet, it’s getting into expert territory. Beginners should sit this one out.

Sunday 16th afternoon also looks promising. Another 7-foot pulse from the NE, this time with an 11-second period, pushing energy to 1070. The wind is onshore, so it’ll be a bit bumpy, but there’s a lot of water moving. The following Monday 17th morning is the biggest of the run, with 8 feet from the NE and a 10-second period, energy hitting 1622. That’s serious power, but the wind is cross-on, so it’s going to be a rough, bumpy ride. Only for the brave and the experienced.

After that, the swell backs off. From Tuesday 18th through to Tuesday 22nd, it drops back to 4 feet to 5 feet, with short period, and the wind is mostly cross-on or onshore. There’s a brief glassy window on Wednesday 19th morning, but the swell is small (4 feet, 8 seconds). It’ll be clean, but gutless.

So, the standout is Saturday 15th afternoon. The offshore wind, the solid 7-foot swell, and the high energy. That’s the session to pencil in. The swell direction is ENE, which is a bit off the optimum (NE) for the break, but the clean conditions will make up for it. It’s a long-range call, so keep an eye on it. The beaches here are consistent, so don’t write off the smaller days, but this is the one that has the most potential.

Rusty.

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