Cocles Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, this is Rusty checking in with the surf outlook for Cocles.

The coming days are a bit of a mixed bag, but there’s a serious pulse building for the second week. The early part of the forecast has plenty of swell on the way, but the wind is going to be a pain in the neck for most of it. The real story here is the cleanup that's due around the 12th and 13th of July – that’s where we get our standout.

Water temp is sitting at a warm 85°F. The anomaly of 2°F means it's a touch toastier than usual for this time of year, but nothing crazy.

Let’s start with Friday, July 3rd. The morning has some hope with a 7ft ENE swell and light cross-offshore winds—the setup is clean and the combined wave energy is moderate at 674. That morning window shows some promise. But by the afternoon, the wind swings onshore and it gets choppy, making it a write-off.

Saturday the 4th is a washout. Onshore winds all day and messy conditions. Don’t bother.

Sunday morning, July 5th, brings a glimmer of hope. The swell drops to 5ft from the ENE, and the wind goes glassy. That’s a rare window of clean, albeit smaller, surf. The combined energy is 378, so it’s weak, but it’ll be smooth. By the afternoon, it’s back to a light cross-onshore breeze.

From Monday the 6th through to Saturday the 11th of July, it’s a frustrating stretch. There’s a consistent 4ft to 8ft ENE swell running, and the combined energy builds from weak 230 up to strong 1301 by the 11th. But the wind stays mostly cross-onshore, leaving the surface bumpy and second-rate. The mornings of July 9th and 10th show a 7ft ENE swell with better wind angles, but the forecast just calls it marginal.

Now, here’s where it gets good. Sunday, July 12th morning is a true standout. Cocles is going to fire with a 7ft ENE groundswell (period 11 seconds), and the wind is glassy. The combined energy is a solid 1113, meaning strong, powerful waves. This size is well into the intermediate to expert range. The long 11-second period means the waves will have real shape and push, but at a beach-and-reef setup like this, that longer period can make them a bit straight. The morning of Monday, July 13th is almost a carbon copy: another 7ft ENE swell with absolute glassy conditions and 1134 combined energy. This is the best of the run. If you can only paddle out once, make it one of those mornings. The following morning, July 15th, also looks promising with a 7ft NE swell and glassy conditions, but it’s not quite as powerful as the peak on the 12th and 13th.

A word on the longer-term stuff: from the 14th through the 18th, the swell sticks around in the 6ft to 8ft range with strong combined energy, but the wind is mostly cross-onshore again, so the quality won't match the standout days around the 12th and 13th. Cocles is very consistent, so there’s always something to ride, but the conditions need to line up.

Crowds at Cocles are possible, especially on those clean Sunday and Monday mornings, so get out early.

Alright, I’m done. Keep an eye on that glassy window – it’s the one.

Rusty.

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