Surf Break

Lat Long: 21.77° S 13.95° E

Factory Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 7 pm 26 Sep 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Factory Point sea temperature is
15.7°C
1.0° 

Factory Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Factory Point surf forecast from 26 Sep 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Monday 28 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 15s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Monday 28 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 4.5ft (1.4m), 15s period, SW swell with 844 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Sunday 27 Sep, 2AM (local time) - 2.5ft (0.8m), 15s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Factory Point this week:

The surf forecast for Factory Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Sunday (Sep 27) at 2AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 0.8m and 15s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 11s. Another secondary swell of 0.9m and 6s is also forecast. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Factory Point in the next 16 days are 1.4m 15s and forecast to arrive on Monday (Sep 28) at 2AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 0.8m 6s period and expected on Friday (Oct 02) at 11PM.

Wave TypeTime (CAT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 2AM (Sun 27th Sep)2.5ft (0.8m) 15s
Best Surf 2AM (Mon 28th Sep)4.5ft (1.4m) 15s
Most Powerful 2AM (Mon 28th Sep)4.5ft (1.4m) 15s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Factory Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 16°C on Sun afternoon, min 12°C on Sat night). Wind will be generally light.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu afternoon, min 14°C on Tue night). Wind will be generally light.

Sunday
27
Monday
28
Tuesday
29
Wednesday
30
Thursday
1
Friday
2
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
3
1
1
4
2
1
3
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.8
SW
15
1.3
SW
14
1.2
SW
13
1.4
SW
15
1.4
SSW
9
1.7
SSW
9
1.4
SSW
9
1.3
S
9
1.2
S
9
1.1
S
9
1
S
9
1
S
9
0.8
SW
13
0.8
SW
13
0.7
SW
13
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
0.6
SW
12
1.3
S
6
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
313
648
511
844
318
466
340
287
246
199
153
150
242
242
161
148
116
114
126
Wind (km/h)
15
SSE
15
S
20
S
10
S
5
SW
10
SW
0
WNW
10
W
15
WNW
5
N
10
WNW
10
SW
10
SE
15
SSE
10
SE
5
SSW
25
SSE
25
S
20
S
Wind State
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-on
cross-on
glassy
on
on
cross
on
cross-on
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross-off
High Tide
3:39AM1.45m
3:46PM1.49m
4:14AM1.45m
4:22PM1.47m
4:51AM1.42m
5:02PM1.41m
5:31AM1.35m
5:45PM1.32m
6:17AM1.25m
6:38PM1.21m
7:14AM1.15m
7:45PM1.10m
Low Tide
9:21PM0.01m
9:33AM0.12m
9:53PM-0.01m
10:08AM0.12m
10:28PM0.01m
10:44AM0.14m
11:06PM0.08m
11:24AM0.20m
11:49PM0.17m
12:11PM0.28m
00:40AM0.29m
1:13PM0.38m
1:52AM0.41m
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
part cloud
clear
part cloud
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
—
6:48
—
—
6:48
—
—
6:47
—
—
6:46
—
—
6:45
—
—
6:43
—
—
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:00
—
7:00
—
—
7:00
—
—
7:01
—
—
7:01
—
—
7:01
—
—
7:01
—
 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
Temp °C
14
15
16
14
14
15
14
15
15
14
16
16
15
17
18
17
15
17
14
Feels °C
11
12
12
13
13
12
13
13
12
13
15
14
15
15
15
16
11
13
10
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Factory Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Factory Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Factory Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Factory Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Factory Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Factory Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Factory Point is 118 km (73 miles) from the city of Swakopmund. If you plan a holiday in Swakopmund, look for hotels and other accommodation in Swakopmund. Swakopmund has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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