Surf Break

Lat Long: 21.77° S 13.95° E

Factory Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Issued: 1 pm 16 Oct 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Factory Point sea temperature is
15.2°C
0.1° 

Factory Point surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Factory Point surf forecast from 16 Oct 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Friday 16 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period, SW swell with cross-offshore winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Tuesday 20 Oct, 8AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 12s period, SSW swell with 1,763 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Friday 16 Oct, 11PM (local time) - 6ft (1.9m), 13s period with SW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Factory Point this week:

The surf forecast for Factory Point over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Friday (Oct 16) at 11PM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.9m and 13s period with a secondary swell of 0.7m and 5s. The wind is predicted to be cross-offshore as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Factory Point in the next 16 days are 2.5m 12s and forecast to arrive on Tuesday (Oct 20) at 8AM. Winds are predicted to be cross-offshore at the time the swell arrives.

Wave TypeTime (CAT) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+)11PM (Fri 16th Oct)6ft (1.9m) 13s
Best Surf11PM (Fri 16th Oct)6ft (1.9m) 13s
Most Powerful 8AM (Tue 20th Oct)8ft (2.5m) 12s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Factory Point over the next 16 days.


Short Range Forecast

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Sat morning, min 13°C on Fri night). Mainly fresh winds.

Days 5-7 Weather Summary

Mostly dry. Very mild (max 18°C on Thu morning, min 12°C on Mon night). Mainly fresh winds.

Fri
16
Saturday
17
Sunday
18
Monday
19
Tuesday
20
Wednesday
21
Thursday
22
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
2
3
1
0
2
2
1
2
3
1
3
2
2
2
1
0
2
2
2
4
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
2.1
SSW
14
1.9
SSW
13
1.4
SW
13
1.3
SW
12
1
SSW
12
0.9
SSW
14
1.6
SW
13
1.5
SW
13
2.4
SSW
9
2.4
SSW
9
2.1
SSW
9
2.4
SSW
12
2.2
SSW
10
1.9
SSW
11
1.7
SSW
11
1.7
SSW
11
1.3
SSW
13
1.9
SSW
12
2.1
SSW
12
2.3
SSW
12
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
1686
1180
649
455
294
367
880
769
878
939
679
1592
1039
885
680
680
578
1106
1220
1496
Wind (km/h)
25
S
20
SSE
20
S
30
S
15
SSE
20
SSE
35
S
30
SSE
25
SSE
25
S
15
SSE
15
S
25
S
15
SSE
20
S
25
S
15
SSE
20
S
20
S
10
SSE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
cross
cross
cross-off
High Tide
6:54PM0.99m
7:23AM0.99m
8:00PM0.92m
8:40AM0.95m
9:36PM0.89m
10:12AM0.97m
11:07PM0.95m
11:24AM1.04m
00:06AM1.04m
12:12PM1.14m
00:48AM1.15m
12:52PM1.23m
1:25AM1.26m
Low Tide
00:51AM0.47m
1:34PM0.51m
2:03AM0.55m
3:16PM0.55m
3:48AM0.58m
4:51PM0.51m
5:10AM0.54m
5:49PM0.43m
6:03AM0.47m
6:31PM0.33m
6:44AM0.39m
7:06PM0.22m
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
clear
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
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6:31
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6:30
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6:28
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6:28
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6:28
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6:26
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<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
7:07
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7:07
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7:07
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7:07
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7:08
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7:08
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7:09
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 mm
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
—
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Temp °C
17
15
18
18
16
17
15
13
15
15
13
14
15
13
16
16
14
18
17
15
Feels °C
13
12
14
13
13
14
9
8
11
9
10
11
12
10
12
12
10
15
14
12
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
Map placeholder
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Information about the Factory Point Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Factory Point provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Factory Point can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Factory Point surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Factory Point) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Factory Point may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Factory Point is 118 km (73 miles) from the city of Swakopmund. If you plan a holiday in Swakopmund, look for hotels and other accommodation in Swakopmund. Swakopmund has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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