Cape Paterson Surf Break

Lat Long: 38.68° S 145.60° E

Issued: 9 am 10 Jun 2026 (local time)

Forecast update in  hr  min

Today's Cape Paterson sea temperature is
15.3° C

Slightly warmer than usual

Cape Paterson surf forecast is for near shore open water. Breaking waves will often be smaller at less exposed spots.


Cape Paterson surf forecast from 10 Jun 2026:

  • Best quality surf: Thursday 11 Jun, 4AM (local time) - 7ft (2.1m), 17s period, WSW swell with glassy winds.
  • Most powerful swell: Thursday 11 Jun, 10AM (local time) - 8ft (2.5m), 16s period, WSW swell with 3,074 kJ wave energy.
  • Next surfable swell (1★+): Thursday 11 Jun, 1AM (local time) - 5ft (1.5m), 14s period with WSW swell.

Best Forecast Surf Conditions for Cape Paterson this week:

The surf forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days: The first swell (rated 1 star or higher) is forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 11) at 1AM. The primary swell is predicted to be 1.5m and 14s period with a secondary swell of 0.9m and 18s. The wind is predicted to be glassy as the swell arrives.

The most powerful waves expected at Cape Paterson in the next 16 days are 2.5m 16s and forecast to arrive on Thursday (Jun 11) at 10AM. Winds are predicted to be offshore at the time the swell arrives. The largest open ocean swell (not directed at the beach) is 1.3m 5s period and expected on Saturday (Jun 13) at 10AM.

Wave TypeTime (AEST) & Date Wave Height & Period
Next good surf (1 star+) 1AM (Thu 11th Jun)5ft (1.5m) 14s
Best Surf 4AM (Thu 11th Jun)7ft (2.1m) 17s
Most Powerful10AM (Thu 11th Jun)8ft (2.5m) 16s

Table - best surf conditions forecast for Cape Paterson over the next 16 days.


Updates in  hr  min  s Forecast update imminent

Short Range Forecast

Light rain (total 2mm), mostly falling on Wed afternoon. Very mild (max 19°C on Fri afternoon, min 13°C on Wed night). Winds increasing (calm on Thu morning, strong winds from the NNW by Fri night).

Days 4-6 Weather Summary

Moderate rain (total 10mm), heaviest on Sat afternoon. Very mild (max 17°C on Mon afternoon, min 10°C on Sun night). Winds decreasing (fresh winds from the NNW on Sat morning, calm by Sun afternoon).

Wednesday
10
Thursday
11
Friday
12
Saturday
13
Sunday
14
Monday
15
Tuesday
16
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
AM
PM
Night
Rating
(10 max)
0
0
3
4
4
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
1
2
3
2
2
1
1
1
2
Swell
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Height Map
Wave
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
14
2.5
WSW
16
2.3
WSW
15
2
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
13
1.7
WSW
18
1.5
WSW
16
1.9
WSW
16
1.5
WSW
14
2.2
WSW
13
2.2
SW
13
1.9
SW
13
1.5
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
0.9
WSW
11
0.9
WSW
11
0.6
WSW
16
1.3
WSW
14
Wave Graph
Metric surfscale
Energy kJ
545
838
826
3074
2336
1538
1176
975
1682
1184
1788
947
1572
1527
1077
657
400
193
193
171
678
Wind (km/h)
40
NNW
25
WNW
5
WNW
5
NE
10
E
15
NNE
15
N
25
N
30
N
35
NNW
35
WNW
25
WSW
15
W
5
WSW
15
NE
10
NE
10
ENE
10
NNE
10
NNE
15
NE
15
NNE
Wind State
cross-off
cross-on
glassy
off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross-off
cross
cross-on
cross-on
on
off
off
off
off
off
off
off
High Tide
6:18PM0.72m
7:05AM0.66m
7:01PM0.70m
8:09AM0.68m
7:50PM0.69m
9:17AM0.71m
8:46PM0.69m
10:25AM0.75m
9:48PM0.69m
11:29AM0.78m
10:53PM0.70m
12:29PM0.82m
11:58PM0.72m
Low Tide
12:03PM0.24m
00:47AM0.18m
12:57PM0.27m
1:36AM0.14m
1:59PM0.31m
2:31AM0.10m
3:07PM0.33m
3:30AM0.06m
4:17PM0.34m
4:32AM0.02m
5:24PM0.32m
5:34AM-0.01m
6:26PM0.30m
cloud
light rain
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
part cloud
clear
part cloud
part cloud
light rain
mod rain
rain showers
part cloud
clear
clear
part cloud
part cloud
cloud
cloud
cloud
light rain
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunrise">Sunrise</span>
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:31
7:33
7:33
7:33
<span class="translation_missing" title="translation missing: en.weather_tables.sunset">Sunset</span>
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
5:01
 mm
2
1
8
1
1
Temp °C
16
14
14
15
16
16
18
19
17
16
15
13
13
12
11
14
17
17
17
18
16
Feels °C
9
10
13
15
13
13
14
15
10
9
10
7
10
10
8
11
15
13
15
16
14
Swell 1
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.2
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
14
1.5
WSW
14
2.5
WSW
16
2.3
WSW
15
2
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
14
1.7
WSW
13
1.7
WSW
18
1.5
WSW
16
1.9
WSW
16
1.5
WSW
14
2.2
WSW
13
2.2
SW
13
1.9
SW
13
1.5
SW
12
1.2
SW
12
0.9
WSW
11
0.9
WSW
11
0.7
WSW
12
1.3
WSW
14
Energy kJ
545
838
826
3074
2336
1538
1176
975
1682
1184
1788
947
1572
1527
1077
657
400
193
193
142
678
Swell 2
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
E
5
0.2
E
7
0.9
WSW
18
0.1
SW
24
0.3
WSW
22
0.9
SW
13
1.1
SW
14
1
SW
12
0.7
SW
12
0.6
SSW
11
0.4
SW
10
0.6
WSW
16
0.7
W
10
Energy kJ
2
4
553
22
91
238
465
297
147
82
28
171
100
Swell 3
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
0.2
WSW
18
0.4
SW
10
0.3
SSW
10
0.3
NW
4
Energy kJ
31
27
20
2
Wind waves
Height (m)
Direction
Period (s)
1.3
NNW
5
1
WNW
5
0.5
NNW
3
0.6
NW
4
0.9
NNW
4
1.3
NNW
5
1.4
WNW
5
1.6
WSW
7
0.3
NNE
3
0.3
NE
2
0.2
NNW
3
0.3
NNW
4
0.6
NNE
3
Energy kJ
94
44
7
12
29
83
94
230
2
1
1
3
8
Nearest Offshore or Glassy
Rating
(10 max)
2
2
3
4
4
3
3
3
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
3
2
2
1
2
2
Distance (km)
113
41
5
5
26
5
5
5
38
105
114
54
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
Best forecast wave conditions in East Coast of Victoria
Rating
(10 max)
1
3
4
3
3
3
3
3
1
3
3
3
3
2
2
1
2
2
Best forecast wave conditions in Australia
Rating
(10 max)
5
2
7
8
6
5
5
3
5
4
5
4
5
5
5
4
4
4
4
3
4
Header Global
Rating
(10 max)
5
5
7
8
6
6
5
7
7
6
5
4
5
5
6
4
4
7
9
7
4
  • Map Icons:
  • Break
  • Live Wave Height (m)
  • Live Wind Speed (km/h)
  • Surf Rating (10 Max)
  • Ocean Swells (m)
  • Wind Speed (km/h)
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Information about the Cape Paterson Surf forecast

The above surf forecast table for Cape Paterson provides essential information for determining whether the surfing conditions will be good over the next 16 days. A general guide to surfing at Cape Paterson can be found by selecting the local surf guide option on the grey menu. Our Cape Paterson surf forecast is unique since it includes wave energy (power) that defines the real feel of the surf rather than just the height or the period. If you surf the same spot (Cape Paterson) regularly then make a mental note of the wave energy from the surf forecast table each time you go. Very soon you may start to choose your surf days based on the wave energy alone combined with our forecast of favourable offshore wind conditions. Our star ratings will help here and of course you will also find the usual wave height and period predictions on our surf forecasts as well as a full break down of the swell components under our advanced users option (to reveal that, click the little Einstein character under the tide times).

Further information to help with frequently asked questions about our surf forecast for Cape Paterson may be found under the help tab on the top menu and also by moving your mouse over the question marks on the surf forecast table itself. Please always bear in mind that the forecast is for near-shore open water and local factors at each surf break influence the actual breaking wave height, such as the beach / reef profile, water depths offshore and shelter.

Cape Paterson is 70 km (43 miles) from Cranbourne. If you plan a holiday in East Coast of Victoria, look for hotels and other accommodation in Cranbourne. Cranbourne has rooms for a wide range of budgets as well as car hire and transport links.

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