Jacks Point Surf Forecast and Surf Report

Alright, let’s look at this surf outlook for Jacks Point, in feet and miles per hour.

We’re starting off flat or near flat. The first few days are a bust. Thursday and Friday, the 23rd and 24th of July, are showing tiny, weak swell – we’re talking 0.6ft to 2ft – with poor, crossy winds and no real energy. Nothing to get excited about. Saturday the 25th stays small, around 3ft to 3ft, and still just no quality. The combined energy is weak, peaking at 127 (weak energy) on Saturday morning, so it’s a real struggle.

Then we hit a bit of a gap. Sunday the 26th morning finally shows a little life: a 2ft swell from the ESE with a long 15-second period and a light offshore wind from the West. That’s clean, but the size is tiny. The combined energy jumps to 184 (moderate energy), so there’s some pulse, but it’s just “surfable but ordinary.” Sunday afternoon gets a bit more size – 2ft from the same direction – but the wind swings onshore, making it a bit messy. Monday the 27th is similar, small and clean in the morning (2ft, offshore), but nothing to write home about.

Now, here’s where it gets interesting. The standout window kicks off on Tuesday the 28th of July. Tuesday morning, we’ve got a 4ft swell from the ESE, with a 14-second period – that’s a nice groundswell. The wind is a light cross-offshore from the NNW, so the surf should be clean and lined up. The combined energy hits 514 (strong energy), which is a solid pulse. This is the best on offer for the whole outlook. The swell direction of ESE is a great match for this advanced reef break, though it’s an exposed spot, so it’ll be handling all that energy. Keep in mind the water temp is around 49°F, which is about 1°F warmer than average for this time of year – nothing unusual.

Wednesday the 29th keeps the quality going, with a 3ft swell from the ESE, same 13-second period, and light cross-off winds. Combined energy at 416 (strong energy). It’s a good morning, but the afternoon sees a cross-on breeze, so morning sessions are the call.

Thursday the 30th still has clean 2ft waves in the morning with a light offshore, but the afternoon gets chopped by a moderate SSE wind at 12 mph. The wave energy drops to 238 (moderate energy).

We then hit another quiet patch from Friday the 31st through to Monday the 3rd of August. Swell sizes hover around 1ft to 3ft, but the periods are short (7-8 seconds), and the energy is weak (48 to 162). There’s a glassy moment on Sunday afternoon the 2nd, but it’s just small, weak, and short-period – not worth the paddle.

The second week brings a second possible highlight. Tuesday the 4th of August morning shows a 4ft swell from the SSE with a 9-second period, and a light cross-off wind. Combined energy is 295 (moderate energy), and it’s described as “expect good surf conditions.” That’s promising, but it’s a shorter period swell, so it won’t have the same grunt as the 14-second stuff.

Wednesday the 5th of August is a real standout for the second week. Wednesday afternoon, we’ve got 4ft from the ESE with a 12-second period, and the wind goes completely glassy (calm, 0 mph). The combined energy is 458 (strong energy). That’s a beautiful call – clean, good size, decent period. Morning of the 5th is also good, with a light cross-off and 4ft swell.

Thursday the 6th and Friday the 7th of August keep the clean, morning surf rolling with 2ft to 3ft swells, but the energy drops off a bit. The afternoons get onshore wind, so stick to the early sessions.

So, bottom line: the first week is a wash until Tuesday the 28th of July. That Tuesday morning is the absolute standout – 4ft, 14-second groundswell, light offshore, strong energy. Best surf of the whole outlook. The second week’s best bet is Wednesday the 5th of August, with glassy conditions and 4ft of clean groundswell. Both are for advanced surfers only, given the exposed reef and the size. This spot is a reef break and it’s fairly consistent, so when the swell comes, it’s on. You’ll want to be comfortable on a reef, though. Crowds are possible sometimes, but with the chilly water, it might thin out a little.

That’s the story from me. Keep your eyes on Tuesday the 28th and Wednesday the 5th.

Rusty.

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