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Waitpinga ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 3.5
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Wind and Kite Surfing: 2.0
Crowds: 3.5

Overall: 3.3

See all 18 ratings

Based on 2 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Waitpinga Swell Statistics, Spring: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Waitpinga that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal southern hemisphere spring. It is based on 7740 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red illustrates the largest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.

The diagram indicates that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was SSW, whereas the the most common wind blows from the S. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 28% of the time, equivalent to 25 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal southern hemisphere spring but 5% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 5%, equivalent to (5 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Waitpinga is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Waitpinga about 28% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 70% of the time. This is means that we expect 89 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere spring, of which 25 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.