The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Fernandina Beach Pier that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal April. It is based on 1680 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow represent increasing swell sizes and red illustrates the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.
The diagram indicates that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was ENE, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the SSE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 10% of the time, equivalent to 3 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal April. Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Fernandina Beach Pier is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Fernandina Beach Pier about 10% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 40% of the time. This is means that we expect 15 days with waves in a typical April, of which 3 days should be surfable.
IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.