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Elim ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.7
Consistency of Surf: 4.0
Difficulty Level: 2.3
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 3.3

See all 18 ratings

Based on 3 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Elim Swell Statistics, Spring: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Elim that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions through a typical southern hemisphere spring. It is based on 8476 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft) are shown in red. In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell was forecast.

The diagram indicates that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was SE, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the ENE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 28% of the time, equivalent to 25 days. Open water swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) only occur 1.6% of the time in a typical southern hemisphere spring, equivalent to just one day but 8% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 8%, equivalent to (7 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Elim is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Elim about 28% of the time and that surf is blown out by onshore wind 51% of the time. This is means that we expect 72 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere spring, of which 25 days should be surfable.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.