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Elim ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.7
Consistency of Surf: 4.0
Difficulty Level: 2.3
Wind and Kite Surfing: 1.0
Crowds: 4.0

Overall: 3.3

See all 18 ratings

Based on 3 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Elim Swell Statistics, Autumn: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Elim that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal southern hemisphere autumn. It is based on 6580 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red represents highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the prevailing swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was SE, whereas the the dominant wind blows from the SSE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 43% of the time, equivalent to 39 days. Expect open water swells to exceed >3m (>10ft) 1.7% of the time (2 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Elim is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Elim about 43% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 45% of the time. This is means that we expect 80 days with waves in a typical southern hemisphere autumn, of which 39 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.