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El Cardon ratings
Quality on a good day: 1.0
Consistency of Surf: 4.0
Difficulty Level: 3.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.2

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Surf Report Feed

El Cardon Swell Statistics, September: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at El Cardon that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal September. It is based on 2880 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours illustrate increasing wave sizes. Blue shows the smallest swells, less that 0.5m (1.5 feet) high. Green and yellow illustrate increasing swell sizes and red represents highest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In either graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how often that size swell happens.

The diagram indicates that the dominant swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was WNW (which was the same as the dominant wind direction). The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 11% of the time, equivalent to 3 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to arise in a normal September. Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with forecast offshore winds, and given the fact that El Cardon is exposed to open water swells, we estimate that clean surf can be found at El Cardon about 11% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 79% of the time. This is means that we expect 27 days with waves in a typical September, of which 3 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.