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Carlsbad City Beach ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.3
Consistency of Surf: 3.0
Difficulty Level: 2.3
Wind and Kite Surfing: 2.0
Crowds: 2.9

Overall: 3.3

See all 18 ratings

Based on 8 votes. Vote


Surf Report Feed

Carlsbad City Beach Swell Statistics, Autumn: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

The rose diagram shows only the swells directed at Carlsbad City Beach that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal northern hemisphere autumn. It is based on 8724 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours represent increasing wave sizes. Very small swells of less than 0.5m (1.5 feet) high are shown in blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red shows the biggest swells, greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how commonly that size swell occurs.

The diagram implies that the most common swell direction, shown by the biggest spokes, was WSW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the WNW. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 29% of the time, equivalent to 26 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to happen in a normal northern hemisphere autumn but 3% of the time you can expect swell in the range 1.3-2m (4-6.5ft) 3%, equivalent to (3 days). Taking into account the ratio of these swells that coincided with predicted offshore winds, and given the fact that Carlsbad City Beach is exposed to open water swells, we calculate that clean surf can be found at Carlsbad City Beach about 29% of the time and that surf is spoilt by onshore wind 25% of the time. This is means that we expect 49 days with waves in a typical northern hemisphere autumn, of which 26 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.

FEATURE UPDATE: we now show red swell icons for 'open sea' swells that are travelling in an unfavourable direction for the surf break. In places, these swells may still wrap around coastlines and produce smaller waves at some breaks. They are also significant for windsurfers and other water users that tend to venture further off-shore.