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Baya Reef ratings
Quality on a good day: 3.0
Consistency of Surf: 4.0
Difficulty Level: 4.0
Crowds: 3.0

Overall: 3.2

See all 18 ratings

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Surf Report Feed

Baya Reef Swell Statistics, May: Surf with Light or Offshore Winds

This image shows only the swells directed at Baya Reef that coincided with light winds or offshore conditions over a normal May. It is based on 2838 predictions, one every 3 hours. The direction of the spokes show where quality surf generating swell comes from. Five colours show increasing wave sizes. The smallest swells, less than 0.5m (1.5 feet), high are coloured blue. Green and yellow show increasing swell sizes and red represents biggest swells greater than >3m (>10ft). In each graph, the area of any colour is proportional to how frequently that size swell was forecast.

The diagram suggests that the dominant swell direction, shown by the largest spokes, was SSW, whereas the the prevailing wind blows from the SE. The chart at the bottom shows the same thing but without direction information. For example, swells larger than 1.5 feet (0.5m) coincided with good wind conditions 51% of the time, equivalent to 16 days. Open sea swells exceeding >3m (>10ft) are unlikely to occur in a normal May but 15% of the time we expect swell in the range 2-3m (6.5-10ft) 15%, equivalent to (5 days). Taking into account the fraction of these swells that coincided with expected offshore winds, and given the fact that Baya Reef is exposed to open water swells, we think that that clean surf can be found at Baya Reef about 51% of the time and that surf is messed up by onshore wind 49% of the time. This is means that we expect 31 days with waves in a typical May, of which 16 days should be clean enough to surf.

IMPORTANT: Beta version feature! Swell heights are open water values from NWW3. There is no attempt to model near-shore effects. Coastal wave heights will generally be less, especially if the break does not have unobstructed exposure to the open ocean.